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Endava Ltd (DAVA)
NYSE:DAVA

Endava (DAVA) AI Stock Analysis

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DAVA

Endava

(NYSE:DAVA)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(1.21% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
The score is primarily held back by deteriorating financial performance (revenue decline, net loss, and sharp margin compression) and clearly bearish technical signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Earnings call commentary adds modest support via sequential recovery expectations, strong near-term coverage, and AI traction, but valuation lacks dividend support and the P/E is not compelling relative to the weakened profitability.
Positive Factors
Service-led, diversified delivery model
Endava's core business is recurring, contract-driven professional services across digital engineering, cloud, data, QA and managed services, giving durable revenue streams tied to client digital transformation. This diversified service mix and distributed delivery model supports resilience across industries and long-term client relationships.
Positive operating and free cash flow
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides internal funding for strategic investment, platform buildout and shareholder returns. Even with declining trends, positive cash generation bolsters liquidity and funds AI investments and buybacks without immediate dilution, underpinning financial flexibility.
AI-native platform and strategic partnerships
Investments in Dava Flow and formal partnerships (OpenAI, hyperscalers) create a scalable AI-native delivery capability that can raise productivity and expand higher-value engagements. These structural tech and partner assets can differentiate services and enable upsells across payments, fintech and enterprise platforms over time.
Negative Factors
Year-on-year revenue decline
Sustained YoY revenue declines indicate weakening demand in key regions and verticals, reducing operating leverage and headroom for reinvestment. If top-line shrinkage persists, it undermines the economics of time-and-materials delivery and could pressure long-term client expansion and pricing power.
Sharp margin compression and pre-tax loss
Margins have deteriorated materially, driven by higher investment and cost mix changes; compressed gross and EBITDA margins weaken earnings sustainability. Lower margins reduce cash cushion and limit reinvestment capacity, making profitable scaling of new AI offerings and maintaining competitive pricing more challenging.
Rising leverage to fund buybacks and investments
Increasing borrowings to support buybacks and scale AI investments raises leverage and reduces balance-sheet optionality. Higher debt burdens constrain flexibility in economic downturns, increase interest exposure, and may force tougher prioritization between growth investments, working capital and shareholder returns.

Endava (DAVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Endava Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEndava plc provides technology services for clients in the consumer products, healthcare, mobility, and retail verticals in Europe, Latin America, North America, and internationally. The company offers technology and digital advisory services for payments and financial services, and TMT sectors; IT strategies; business analysis services; program management services; digital product strategy services; and architecture, extended reality, machine learning and artificial intelligence, product design, and user experience and visual design services. It also engages in the identifying, defining, and embedding collaborative data and analytics; and provision of automated testing, cloud native software engineering, continuous delivery, distributed agile delivery, intelligent automation, secure development, agile applications management, cloud infrastructure, DevSecOps, service delivery, smart desk, and telemetry and monitoring services. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyEndava generates revenue primarily through its consulting and technology services. The company operates on a project-based revenue model, where it earns fees by delivering bespoke software development and IT consulting solutions tailored to the specific needs of its clients. Key revenue streams include billing for time and materials on projects, fixed-price contracts for specific deliverables, and ongoing managed services agreements. Additionally, Endava has formed partnerships with various technology providers, which may enhance its service offerings and contribute to revenue growth. The company also benefits from a strong client retention rate and recurring revenue from long-term contracts, which provide a stable income base.

Endava Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

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Total Employees
Total Employees
Reflects the company's workforce size, offering insight into operational scale and potential for service delivery and expansion.
Chart InsightsEndava's employee count has shown fluctuations, peaking in mid-2024 before a slight decline. Despite a recent uptick, the overall trend reflects strategic adjustments amid revenue challenges. The earnings call highlights a focus on AI talent, with 470 new hires from DARVAX Academy, aligning with their AI-driven transformation strategy. However, the company's revenue decline and profitability issues underscore the need for careful workforce management to balance growth initiatives with financial stability.
Data provided by:The Fly

Endava Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear strategic progress—accelerating AI‑native initiatives (Dava Flow, Dava Rise), meaningful partnership wins (OpenAI, hyperscalers), product launches and several client successes—with material near‑term financial deterioration (YoY revenue decline, significant margin compression, a pre‑tax loss, reduced free cash flow and higher borrowings). Management positions these as conscious, margin‑dilutive investments to scale AI capability and capture longer‑term opportunity, while guidance implies modest underlying sequential recovery into Q4; therefore the results reflect meaningful short‑term pain for a stated longer‑term strategic shift.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Guidance Outperformance
Quarterly revenue of £184.1M exceeded the upper end of the company's guidance; revenue was down 5.9% year‑over‑year but increased 3.3% sequentially from Q1 FY2026.
Strong Early Traction for Dava Flow (AI‑native Delivery)
Clients report faster delivery, tighter control and full traceability with Dava Flow; example: a 90‑minute signal session produced weeks of traditional output, and two live Dava Flow engagements are showing higher productivity and better quality.
Material AI Project Wins and Early Results
Advanced enterprise‑scale AI projects including a payments chargeback dispute system (six‑month project with promising mid‑project results) and an AI‑native insurer incubator (agent‑based delivery stood up in ~3 weeks with a backlog of 50+ improvement hypotheses).
Expanded Strategic Partnerships
Completed first year as an official OpenAI services partner with pipeline for Enterprise ChatGPT; accelerating demand across hyperscalers (AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure); new partnerships with Miro and Cognition to deepen agentic workflows and agentic coding.
Notable Client Wins and Deliveries
Selected by PayNetNets/NexSys to design a cloud‑native cross‑border payment switch on AWS; extended commitments with two largest payments customers; Accor Plus payments/loyalty overhaul yielded a 39% increase in product page conversion in first 30 days.
Product and GTM Investments
Launched two AWS Marketplace offerings (cloud application engineering accelerator and AWS Landing Zone) and rolled out Dava Rise venture acceleration program (inaugural cohort with Octopus Ventures) to convert start‑up innovation into enterprise solutions.
Cash Position and Share Repurchase Progress
Cash & cash equivalents increased to £68.5M (from £59.3M at 06/30/2025); repurchased ~8,000,000 ADSs for $121.9M under the buyback program (remaining $28.1M authorization).
Workforce Investments and Talent Upskilling
Continued hiring, training and upskilling for next‑gen AI talent and embedding AI capabilities across the organization to support AI‑native delivery despite a modest YoY headcount reduction.
Negative Updates
Year‑on‑Year Revenue Decline
Revenue declined 5.9% YoY to £184.1M (constant currency decline of 5.1%), with notable regional weaknesses: Europe down 8.5% (payments and mobility), UK down 9.1% (client reclassification and TMT weakness), North America down 5.1% (FX headwind ~3.3% and no contribution from a large media client).
Profitability Compression and Loss Before Tax
Reported loss before tax of £7.2M vs. prior year profit of £2.5M; adjusted PBT fell to £10.7M from £21.8M YoY and adjusted PBT margin declined to 5.8% from 11.2% (management estimates ~3 percentage points of margin reduction driven by AI investments through Q2).
Earnings Decline
Adjusted diluted EPS was 16p for the quarter (within guidance) vs. 30p in the prior year—a drop of ~47% YoY; guidance for Q3 adjusted diluted EPS is 18p–21p.
Free Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Pressures
Adjusted free cash flow decreased to £20.1M from £31.6M YoY; borrowings increased to £202.7M (from £123.7M YoY) to support the share repurchase program, increasing leverage.
Headcount and Cost Actions
Total employees decreased 2.4% YoY to 11,385 as the company streamlined roles in areas of softer demand while shifting investment into AI talent—indicating near‑term restructuring impacts.
One‑time and Margin‑Dilutive Investments
Capex as a percentage of revenue rose to 4.4% from 0.2% YoY, driven by a one‑time Payments Accelerator spend; licensing and partnership costs (Miro, Cognition) were cited as heavier near‑term margin pressure.
Top‑Client Spend and Concentration Trends
Revenue from top 10 clients fell to 35% of revenue (from 36% prior year); average spend per top‑10 client decreased 7.9% YoY (with FX movements contributing ~2% of that decline).
Ongoing FX Headwind and Macro Uncertainty
Weakening U.S. dollar versus GBP is a recurring revenue headwind (management cited the dollar at $1.37/£ at guide date) and the company maintained a relatively wide guide band reflecting market uncertainty.
Company Guidance
Endava guided Q3 FY2026 revenue of £182–185m (constant‑currency decline of 4.0%–2.5% YoY) with adjusted diluted EPS of 18p–21p, and full‑year FY2026 revenue of £736–750m (constant‑currency decline of 3.5%–1.5% YoY) with adjusted diluted EPS of £0.80–£0.86, using FX rates at 31‑Jan‑2026 (£1 = $1.37; €1.15). For context, Q2 revenue was £184.1m (–5.9% YoY; +3.3% sequential), loss before tax was £7.2m, adjusted PBT was £10.7m (adjusted PBT margin 5.8%), adjusted diluted EPS 16p, adjusted free cash flow £20.1m, cash £68.5m, borrowings £202.7m, capex 4.4% of revenue, and headcount 11,385 (–2.4% YoY); management said AI investments have reduced adjusted PBT margin by ~3% through Q2 and will continue to weigh on margins. Management also cited underlying Q3 QoQ growth of ~4% at the midpoint (with an FX headwind of ~1.5% and a working‑days headwind of ~3%), an expected Q4 underlying sequential pickup of roughly 6% at midpoint, contracted/committed coverage around 95% for Q3 and ~70–75% for Q4, and that ~8.0m ADSs were repurchased for $121.9m with $28.1m remaining under the buyback.

Endava Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals have weakened: TTM revenue is down (-1.84%) and net income turned slightly negative with sharply compressed gross/EBITDA margins. Offsetting this, the balance sheet remains serviceable (debt-to-equity ~0.50) and the company still generates positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, though both are trending down.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Profitability has deteriorated meaningfully: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined (-1.84%) and net income turned slightly negative (net margin about -0.4%), versus solid profitability in prior annual periods (e.g., 2023 net margin ~11.8%). Margins have compressed sharply over the last two years (gross margin down from ~33% in 2022–2023 to ~23% TTM; EBITDA margin down from ~17–18% to ~7.6% TTM). The positive offset is that the core operating line remains modestly profitable on an EBIT/EBITDA basis in TTM, suggesting the business is not structurally loss-making, but momentum is clearly weaker.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
The balance sheet is generally healthy but trending more leveraged. Debt remains below equity (debt-to-equity ~0.50 in TTM), yet leverage has increased versus 2022–2024 levels and is well above the low-leverage profile seen in 2022–2023. Equity remains sizable (stockholders’ equity ~$564M TTM), supporting financial flexibility, but returns on equity are now low (TTM ROE ~1.8%), reflecting the recent earnings compression.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation remains a relative strength despite weaker earnings. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~$54.7M) and free cash flow (~$40.6M) are positive, providing internal funding capacity. However, free cash flow has declined materially (TTM free cash flow growth -24.9%), and cash conversion has weakened compared with 2022–2023 (when operating cash flow and free cash flow were notably higher). Overall, cash flow is supportive, but the trajectory is negative.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue741.50M772.25M740.76M794.73M654.76M446.30M
Gross Profit173.48M198.10M188.81M264.08M217.93M154.18M
EBITDA56.23M67.46M59.57M142.38M113.56M79.19M
Net Income-2.86M21.21M17.12M94.16M83.09M43.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets926.73M935.77M1.01B770.12M621.86M473.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.48M59.47M62.54M164.76M163.20M70.45M
Total Debt281.84M228.05M202.76M69.01M55.90M63.69M
Total Liabilities362.28M352.83M374.44M198.81M189.13M172.54M
Stockholders Equity564.44M582.94M639.46M571.31M432.72M300.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow40.56M48.07M48.91M110.84M106.75M82.24M
Operating Cash Flow54.72M52.77M54.39M124.52M120.72M87.67M
Investing Cash Flow-17.05M-9.94M-290.32M-110.85M-23.88M-106.41M
Financing Cash Flow-28.65M-45.13M135.06M-11.00M-5.08M-11.92M

Endava Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.94
Price Trends
50DMA
6.30
Negative
100DMA
7.16
Negative
200DMA
10.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
31.83
Neutral
STOCH
24.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DAVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.73, below the 50-day MA of 6.30, and below the 200-day MA of 10.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DAVA.

Endava Risk Analysis

Endava disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Endava reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
If we fail to meet publicly announced guidance, or if we fail to forecast our market opportunity accurately, our operating results could be adversely affected, and the price of our ADSs could decline. Q2, 2023
2.
We use generative AI tools in our operations, which may result in significant operational challenges, liability and reputational harm. Q2, 2023
3.
Our performance and reputation could be adversely affected by increased focus on and demands from customers, investors and regulators with respect to ESG issues and we may be criticized or penalized for the timing, nature or scope of our ESG disclosures as regulatory standards evolve. Q2, 2023

Endava Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$632.21M17.4512.24%8.33%59.54%
65
Neutral
$534.75M6.61-0.44%-7.23%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$396.48M-36.52-3.62%7.42%34.42%
58
Neutral
$45.92M-94.50-5.30%20.68%84.51%
56
Neutral
$679.82M-486.8416.74%9.46%
50
Neutral
$293.97M25.04-0.61%4.02%34.45%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DAVA
Endava
4.94
-21.10
-81.03%
YEXT
Yext
5.53
-1.01
-15.44%
BAND
Bandwidth
15.12
-1.83
-10.80%
JG
Aurora Mobile
8.09
-2.91
-26.43%
CCSI
Consensus Cloud Solutions
29.87
3.97
15.33%
CINT
CI&T
4.90
-2.52
-33.96%

Endava Corporate Events

Endava Posts Q2 FY2026 Loss as Revenue Declines Amid Costly AI Pivot and Ongoing Share Buybacks
Feb 19, 2026

Endava on February 19, 2026 reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 results for the three months ended December 31, 2025, showing revenue of £184.1 million, down 5.9% year on year and 5.1% at constant currency, but up 3.3% sequentially from Q1. The company swung to a £7.2 million pre-tax loss and a £6.9 million net loss, with diluted EPS at £(0.13) versus £0.11 a year earlier, while adjusted diluted EPS fell to £0.16 from £0.30.

Management attributed recent performance to heavy investment in an AI pivot, including recruitment and training of “NextGen” talent, building an AI-native engagement model through its Dava.Flow platform, and expanding its partner ecosystem. Despite softer top-line and margin pressure, Endava generated £28.2 million of operating cash flow and £20.1 million of adjusted free cash flow, ended the quarter with £68.5 million in cash, and continued returning capital with $121.9 million of share repurchases completed by January 31, 2026, leaving $28.1 million authorized.

Operationally, headcount edged down to 11,385, large-client count slipped to 135 accounts above £1 million, and revenue remained diversified with 40% from North America, 31% from the UK and 23% from Europe. By industry, payments, banking and capital markets, and TMT continued to dominate the mix, and a new mandate to design a cloud-native cross-border payment switch for a PayNet-NETS joint venture highlighted Endava’s depth in the payments vertical and its strategy to build AI-enabled capabilities in high-value financial infrastructure work.

The most recent analyst rating on (DAVA) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endava stock, see the DAVA Stock Forecast page.

Endava Successfully Concludes 2025 Annual General Meeting
Dec 11, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Endava plc held its Annual General Meeting where all proposed resolutions were passed following the board’s recommendations. Key resolutions included the adoption of the 2025 Annual Report, approval of the Directors’ Remuneration Report and Policy, re-appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as auditors, and the re-election of several directors. This successful meeting underscores Endava’s stable governance and strategic direction, reinforcing its position in the technology services industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (DAVA) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Endava stock, see the DAVA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026