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Endava Ltd (DAVA)
NYSE:DAVA
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Endava (DAVA) AI Stock Analysis

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DAVA

Endava

(NYSE:DAVA)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(7.02%Upside)
Endava's solid financial health and recent revenue growth are offset by challenges in operational efficiency and macroeconomic headwinds. The stock's technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio indicates overvaluation. Earnings call highlights reveal strategic partnerships and profitability improvements, yet caution remains due to external economic pressures.
Positive Factors
Earnings
EPS of £0.34 beat the £0.31 consensus thanks to higher-than-expected adjusted gross margins and disciplined cost controls in SG&A.
Financial Performance
Banking and capital markets, which account for 21.5% of revenue, grew 65% year-over-year and continues to see strong traction with large opportunities.
Growth Potential
Endava’s high-quality engineering capabilities equip the company with the appropriate skills to benefit from an eventual cyclical recovery in discretionary demand.
Negative Factors
Guidance
Endava provided fourth-quarter guidance that was below consensus for revenue and EPS, sending shares down over 25% in midday trading.
Market Position
Investors are likely to find more attractive alternatives as peers demonstrate more stability and consistent growth recovery.
Revenue Growth
There is limited potential for revenue growth recovery and earnings expansion in the near future.

Endava (DAVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Endava Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEndava (DAVA) is a leading technology company that specializes in delivering next-generation technology services. Operating across multiple sectors including finance, insurance, telecommunications, media, technology, and retail, Endava focuses on helping its clients accelerate their digital transformation. The company offers a range of services including agile transformation, digital evolution, and automation solutions, leveraging a combination of industry-specific knowledge and innovative technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyEndava makes money through a diversified revenue model primarily driven by providing technology and consulting services. Key revenue streams include digital strategy consulting, software development, and IT services which are tailored to meet the needs of various industries. The company capitalizes on long-term partnerships with clients, which often leads to repeat business and sustained revenue. Additionally, Endava's focus on delivering high-quality services through nearshore and offshore delivery centers contributes to cost efficiency and competitive pricing, further enhancing its earning potential.

Endava Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -30.17%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Endava reported revenue growth and profitability improvements, along with significant strategic partnerships. However, economic headwinds, currency impacts, and client caution have delayed deal conversions and affected guidance, resulting in a cautious outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Endava's revenue totaled £194.8 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2025, representing an 11.7% increase from the prior year.
Significant Partnerships and Innovations
Endava announced partnerships with Open AI, Google, AlixPartners, and others, contributing to deal flow and delivering innovative AI-driven solutions for clients.
Increased Share Buyback Authorization
Endava increased its share buyback authorization by an additional $50 million, optimizing capital allocation.
Strong Client and Industry Engagement
Endava's work with clients in AI, payments, and banking sectors, showcasing significant engagements in modernizing systems and transforming operations.
Profitability Improvement
Profit before tax for the quarter was £13.6 million compared to a loss in the same period last year, with adjusted PBT margin rising to 12.6% from 8.9%.
Negative Updates
Slowing Growth Due to Economic Factors
The weakening of the U.S. dollar and delayed deals in North America and Asia Pacific impacted growth, with revenue falling short of guidance.
Challenges in North America
Despite strong growth, North America faced conversion slowdowns in the opportunity pipeline, especially in mobility and healthcare sectors.
Guidance Reflects Cautious Outlook
Q4 revenue guidance indicates potential negative growth, with a range of £186 million to £188 million, reflecting ongoing challenges.
Client Caution and Delayed Large Deals
Endava faced delays in closing large deals due to client caution and external factors, impacting expected revenue growth.
Company Guidance
During Endava's third quarter fiscal year 2025 conference call, the company provided detailed guidance for the upcoming quarter and fiscal year. For Q4 fiscal year 2025, Endava expects revenue to range between £186 million and £188 million, with a constant currency revenue change of between -1.0% and 0% year-over-year. Adjusted diluted EPS is anticipated to be between 22 pence and 24 pence per share. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company projects revenue between £771.5 million and £773.5 million, representing a 6.0% to 6.5% increase on a constant currency basis. Adjusted diluted EPS for the year is expected to be between 111 pence and 113 pence per share. Endava's guidance considers significant currency headwinds, particularly the weakening of the U.S. dollar, which has impacted revenue projections. The company also noted challenges in signing large deals due to client caution in the current macroeconomic environment, especially in North America and the healthcare and mobility sectors, while Europe performed as expected. Despite these challenges, Endava is focusing on increasing its share buyback authorization by an additional $50 million and enhancing partnerships to improve long-term growth and client engagement.

Endava Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Endava demonstrates solid financial health with strong equity and cash flow positions. While revenue growth is steady, operational efficiency has decreased, impacting profitability margins. The balance sheet is strong, with low leverage and high equity, offering stability. However, the company faces challenges in maintaining profit margins and ROE, which could impact future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Endava's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth is moderate with a 5.28% increase compared to the previous annual period. The gross profit margin for the TTM is 24.42%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.33%, and there is a decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to past years, signaling reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 67.14% as of the latest TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.29, indicating low leverage and financial stability. However, the return on equity has declined, reflecting reduced profitability relative to equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Endava's cash flow statements show a robust free cash flow generation with a slight growth rate of 2.48%, supporting its operational requirements. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 3.02, indicating high cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.76, which suggests a slight decline in conversion efficiency.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue740.76M794.73M654.76M446.30M350.95M
Gross Profit179.71M264.08M217.93M153.83M100.15M
EBITDA72.19M150.77M96.86M81.27M19.66M
Net Income17.12M94.16M83.09M43.45M19.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.01B770.12M621.86M473.21M360.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.54M164.76M163.20M70.45M101.91M
Total Debt202.76M69.01M55.90M63.69M53.37M
Total Liabilities374.44M198.81M189.13M172.54M124.62M
Stockholders Equity639.46M571.31M432.72M300.67M236.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow48.91M110.84M106.75M82.24M30.36M
Operating Cash Flow54.39M124.52M120.72M88.35M40.24M
Investing Cash Flow-290.32M-110.85M-23.88M-107.09M-29.75M
Financing Cash Flow135.06M-11.00M-5.08M-11.92M20.88M

Endava Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price14.95
Price Trends
50DMA
14.96
Negative
100DMA
17.35
Negative
200DMA
23.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Negative
RSI
52.80
Neutral
STOCH
84.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DAVA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 14.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.49, below the 50-day MA of 14.96, and below the 200-day MA of 23.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DAVA.

Endava Risk Analysis

Endava disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Endava reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Endava Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.33B28.495.32%-2.09%76.96%
73
Outperform
$1.35B28.1324.36%1.29%4.90%9.91%
70
Neutral
$731.44M22.8611.18%2.07%22.81%
68
Neutral
$1.22B107.543.78%9.54%
64
Neutral
$857.73M38.312.85%7.58%-57.13%
64
Neutral
3.50B13.39-31.13%160.23%14.99%32.04%
51
Neutral
$1.60B-21.26%-0.82%-146.80%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DAVA
Endava
14.95
-16.01
-51.71%
NTCT
Netscout Systems
22.25
2.06
10.20%
RDWR
Radware
28.51
10.02
54.19%
VRNT
Verint Systems
21.86
-13.29
-37.81%
ATEN
A10 Networks
18.58
4.69
33.77%
CINT
CI&T
5.47
-0.59
-9.74%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 24, 2025