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Netscout (NTCT)
:NTCT

Netscout Systems (NTCT) AI Stock Analysis

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Netscout Systems

(NASDAQ:NTCT)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(0.00%Upside)
Netscout Systems' stock is moderately positioned, with strong technical momentum and a solid cash flow balancing out declining revenue and profitability. The earnings call and corporate events provide optimism for future growth, particularly in cybersecurity.

Netscout Systems (NTCT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Netscout Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNetScout Systems, Inc. provides service assurance and cybersecurity solutions for protect digital business services against disruptions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers nGeniusONE management software that enables customers to predict, preempt, and resolve network and service delivery problems, as well as facilitate the optimization and capacity planning of their network infrastructures; and specialized platforms and analytic modules that enable its customers to analyze and troubleshoot traffic in radio access and Wi-Fi networks. It also provides nGeniusPULSE, an active testing tool that enables enterprises to identify infrastructure performance issues and determine application availability, reliability, and performance; and nGenius Business Analytics solution, which enables service providers to analyze their network traffic. In addition, the company offers ISNG, an advanced passive network probe; packet flow systems that deliver targeted network traffic access to various monitoring and security tools and systems; and a suite of test access points that enable non-disruptive access to network traffic. Further, it provides cybersecurity solutions to protect their networks against distributed denial of service attacks under the Arbor brand, such as Arbor Sightline, Arbor Threat Mitigation System, Arbor Insight, Arbor Edge Defense, and Arbor Cloud. Additionally, it offers advanced threat detection solutions, such as Omnis Cyber Investigator. It serves enterprise customers in various industries, including financial services, technology, manufacturing, healthcare, utilities, education, transportation, and retail; mobile operators, wireline operators, cable operators, Internet service providers, and cloud providers; and governmental agencies through a direct sales force, and indirect reseller and distribution channels. NetScout Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyNetscout Systems generates revenue through the sale of its network performance management and cybersecurity solutions. The company's primary revenue streams include the sales of software licenses, hardware products, and subscription services. Netscout's solutions are often utilized by large enterprises and service providers to enhance their network visibility and operational efficiency. Additionally, the company offers maintenance and support services, which provide recurring revenue and strengthen customer relationships. Significant partnerships with technology vendors and service providers also play a crucial role in expanding their market reach and enhancing their solutions' integration capabilities.

Netscout Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights strong performance in the Cybersecurity segment and effective cost management contributing to financial stability. However, challenges remain in the Service Assurance segment and service provider revenue, leading to a decline in overall revenue and EPS. The company remains optimistic about future growth prospects, particularly in Cybersecurity, despite economic uncertainties.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Fourth Quarter Revenue
Fourth-quarter revenue exceeded expectations, driven by solid performance in the Cybersecurity product line. Revenue increased 1% to approximately $205 million.
Cybersecurity Growth
Cybersecurity offerings delivered nearly 7% year-over-year revenue growth, driven by strong momentum within the enterprise customer vertical.
Cost Management and Financial Stability
Non-GAAP EPS for fiscal year 2025 was $2.22, a 1% improvement over fiscal year 2024, achieved through efficient cost management.
Strong Cash Flow
NetScout ended fiscal year 2025 with $492.5 million in cash and generated free cash flow of $211 million for the year.
Customer Wins and Market Expansion
Notable wins in Service Assurance and Cybersecurity with leading financial services and cloud service providers, respectively.
Negative Updates
Decline in Service Assurance Revenue
Service Assurance revenue declined approximately 4% year over year, partially due to the divestiture of the Test Optimization business and lower radio frequency propagation modeling project revenue.
Operating Margin and EPS Decline
Quarterly non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $0.52, down approximately 5%, compared to the prior year.
Service Provider Revenue Decrease
Service provider customer vertical revenue decreased 10.1% year over year.
Company Guidance
During NetScout's fourth-quarter and full fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial performance, notably in their Cybersecurity product line, which experienced a nearly 7% year-over-year revenue growth. The fourth-quarter revenue increased by 1% to approximately $205 million, while non-GAAP diluted earnings per share stood at $0.52, reflecting a 5% decrease year-over-year. The full fiscal year 2025 concluded with a revenue of approximately $823 million, remaining essentially flat when adjusted for the divestiture of the Test Optimization business. NetScout achieved a growth in non-GAAP EPS to $2.22 per diluted share, a 1% increase from the previous year, due to their focus on cost management. The company highlighted a strong cash position with $492.5 million in cash and marketable securities and reported a significant free cash flow of $211 million for the year. Looking forward to fiscal year 2026, NetScout anticipates revenue growth in the range of $825 million to $865 million and non-GAAP diluted EPS between $2.25 and $2.40, while maintaining a strategic focus on AI and cybersecurity product investments.

Netscout Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Netscout Systems shows mixed financial performance with declining revenue and ongoing profitability issues. However, strong cash flow and manageable leverage on the balance sheet are positives.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Netscout Systems has experienced declining revenue over the past year, with total revenue decreasing from $914.5 million in 2023 to $822.7 million in 2025. The company has also faced consistent operating losses, as indicated by negative EBIT and net income in the most recent year. Gross profit margins have remained stable, but the net profit margin has been negative, highlighting profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage. There is a significant decrease in stockholders' equity, which can impact financial stability. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a stable asset base. However, the overall decrease in total assets and equity over time is a concern.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Netscout Systems has maintained a positive free cash flow, which is a positive indicator of financial health. The company's operating cash flow has grown significantly compared to previous years, improving its ability to cover operational expenses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, showing effective cash management despite negative net income.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue821.13M822.68M829.46M914.53M855.58M831.28M
Gross Profit623.17M643.94M642.04M691.43M641.39M609.18M
EBITDA-334.26M-367.60M134.23M174.01M155.10M147.19M
Net Income-417.96M-366.92M-147.73M59.65M35.87M19.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.17B2.19B2.60B2.82B3.19B3.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments426.90M491.47M423.13M419.00M703.20M476.45M
Total Debt117.76M43.50M150.08M160.47M415.34M423.62M
Total Liabilities654.16M626.18M703.24M790.91M1.13B1.08B
Stockholders Equity1.52B1.56B1.89B2.03B2.06B2.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow164.12M212.26M52.47M146.00M285.61M197.40M
Operating Cash Flow169.73M217.67M58.81M156.65M296.01M213.92M
Investing Cash Flow1.97M-5.71M13.36M15.30M-68.35M24.70M
Financing Cash Flow-66.74M-142.01M-69.35M-419.43M-54.16M-118.31M

Netscout Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price24.50
Price Trends
50DMA
22.63
Positive
100DMA
22.31
Positive
200DMA
21.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
61.08
Neutral
STOCH
85.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTCT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.75, above the 50-day MA of 22.63, and above the 200-day MA of 21.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NTCT.

Netscout Systems Risk Analysis

Netscout Systems disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Netscout Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Netscout Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.61B22.1916.09%2.02%3.84%10.25%
73
Outperform
$1.38B28.7224.36%1.25%4.90%9.91%
72
Outperform
$1.25B110.033.78%9.54%
69
Neutral
$1.13B24.185.32%-2.09%76.96%
65
Neutral
$2.37B-78.83%-11.00%-792.47%
63
Neutral
$33.22B5.99-11.76%1.91%5.54%-19.87%
61
Neutral
$1.75B-21.26%-0.82%-146.80%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTCT
Netscout Systems
24.50
5.98
32.29%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
17.77
4.64
35.34%
RDWR
Radware
29.17
10.87
59.40%
SPNS
Sapiens
28.75
-4.26
-12.91%
VRNT
Verint Systems
18.78
-13.84
-42.43%
ATEN
A10 Networks
19.12
5.71
42.58%

Netscout Systems Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Netscout Systems Announces CFO and COO Retirement
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 5, 2025, NETSCOUT SYSTEMS announced the retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, Jean Bua, and Chief Operating Officer, Michael Szabados, effective May 31, 2025. They will transition to advisory roles until June 2026. Anthony Piazza and Sanjay Munshi will assume the roles of CFO and COO, respectively, on June 1, 2025. The company also reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, with a focus on cybersecurity solutions driving revenue. NETSCOUT aims to continue investing in innovation and maintaining customer relationships to support its long-term strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2025