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Netscout Systems (NTCT)
NASDAQ:NTCT
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Netscout Systems (NTCT) AI Stock Analysis

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NTCT

Netscout Systems

(NASDAQ:NTCT)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(2.56% Upside)
Netscout Systems demonstrates a solid financial position with strong cash flow and improving profitability, supported by positive earnings call insights. The technical indicators show bullish momentum, although the valuation suggests limited upside. The company's growth in the cybersecurity segment is a significant strength, but challenges in other areas warrant caution.

Netscout Systems (NTCT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Netscout Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNetScout Systems, Inc. provides service assurance and cybersecurity solutions for protect digital business services against disruptions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers nGeniusONE management software that enables customers to predict, preempt, and resolve network and service delivery problems, as well as facilitate the optimization and capacity planning of their network infrastructures; and specialized platforms and analytic modules that enable its customers to analyze and troubleshoot traffic in radio access and Wi-Fi networks. It also provides nGeniusPULSE, an active testing tool that enables enterprises to identify infrastructure performance issues and determine application availability, reliability, and performance; and nGenius Business Analytics solution, which enables service providers to analyze their network traffic. In addition, the company offers ISNG, an advanced passive network probe; packet flow systems that deliver targeted network traffic access to various monitoring and security tools and systems; and a suite of test access points that enable non-disruptive access to network traffic. Further, it provides cybersecurity solutions to protect their networks against distributed denial of service attacks under the Arbor brand, such as Arbor Sightline, Arbor Threat Mitigation System, Arbor Insight, Arbor Edge Defense, and Arbor Cloud. Additionally, it offers advanced threat detection solutions, such as Omnis Cyber Investigator. It serves enterprise customers in various industries, including financial services, technology, manufacturing, healthcare, utilities, education, transportation, and retail; mobile operators, wireline operators, cable operators, Internet service providers, and cloud providers; and governmental agencies through a direct sales force, and indirect reseller and distribution channels. NetScout Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyNetscout generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software and hardware products, which are designed to enhance network performance and security. The company operates on a subscription-based model for many of its software solutions, providing recurring revenue through annual subscriptions and maintenance contracts. Additionally, Netscout earns revenue from professional services, such as consulting, deployment, and training, which help clients integrate its solutions into their existing systems. Strategic partnerships with telecommunications companies and technology providers also contribute to its earnings, as these alliances often lead to joint offerings and expanded market reach, enhancing overall sales.

Netscout Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive start to fiscal year 2026 for NETSCOUT, with strong growth in revenue and profitability driven primarily by the cybersecurity segment. The company demonstrated effective cost management and showcased innovative product solutions. However, there were some challenges in the service provider vertical, with a decline in revenue, and slower growth in the service assurance revenue.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue for Q1 FY2026 was approximately $187 million, representing a 7% year-over-year increase driven by strong growth in the cybersecurity segment and timing of orders.
Increase in Cybersecurity Revenue
Cybersecurity revenue increased approximately 18% year-over-year, driven by strong growth in both enterprise and service provider customer verticals.
Improved Profit Margins
The company expanded both gross and operating profit margins, with non-GAAP gross profit margin increasing by 1.6 percentage points to 78.7%.
Significant Earnings Per Share Growth
Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $0.34, an increase of approximately 21% year-over-year.
Positive Cash Flow and Share Repurchase
Free cash flow for the quarter was $71.7 million, and the company repurchased approximately 761,000 shares of common stock for approximately $15 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Service Provider Vertical Revenue
Revenue from the service provider customer vertical decreased by 5.6% year-over-year.
Minimal Growth in Service Assurance Revenue
Service assurance revenue increased by only 1.4% year-over-year, indicating slower growth compared to other segments.
Company Guidance
During NETSCOUT's First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided several key financial metrics and insights into its business strategy. NETSCOUT reported a revenue of approximately $187 million for Q1, marking a 7% year-over-year increase, driven by robust growth in its cybersecurity segment. The company achieved a non-GAAP gross profit margin of 78.7%, with product revenue increasing by 19.3% to $73 million and service revenue rising slightly by 0.3% to $113.8 million. Operating profit margin improved to 14.2% from 8% the previous year, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increased by 21% to $0.34. The cybersecurity segment saw an 18% growth, while the service assurance segment grew by 1%. The company reaffirmed its fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance of $825 million to $865 million and non-GAAP EPS outlook of $2.25 to $2.40, with a full-year effective tax rate expected to be around 20%. NETSCOUT also highlighted its strong cash position, ending the quarter with $543.5 million in cash and investments, and free cash flow of $71.7 million.

Netscout Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Netscout Systems shows strong cash flow performance and improving profitability metrics. The low leverage enhances financial stability, while the recent recovery in margins and ROE indicates a positive trajectory. However, historical volatility in earnings and operational performance suggests potential risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Netscout Systems shows a positive revenue growth in the TTM period, with a Gross Profit Margin of 78.7% and a Net Profit Margin of 8.7%, indicating strong profitability. However, the company experienced negative EBIT and EBITDA margins in the previous annual period, reflecting operational challenges. The recent improvement in margins suggests a recovery, but the historical volatility poses a risk.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.027 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The Return on Equity improved to 4.8%, showing better profitability. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the low debt levels suggest a strong equity position. The improvement in ROE is a positive sign, but past negative returns highlight potential risks.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Netscout Systems demonstrates strong cash flow performance with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 16.26% in the TTM period. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.65, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is nearly 1, showing robust cash flow relative to earnings. The consistent positive cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue862.77M822.68M829.46M914.53M855.58M831.28M
Gross Profit683.43M643.94M642.04M691.43M641.39M609.18M
EBITDA159.92M-294.85M-60.87M174.01M155.10M139.01M
Net Income89.58M-366.92M-147.73M59.65M35.87M19.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.18B2.19B2.60B2.82B3.19B3.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments516.86M491.47M423.13M419.00M703.20M476.45M
Total Debt43.55M43.50M150.08M160.47M415.34M423.62M
Total Liabilities602.63M626.18M703.24M790.91M1.13B1.08B
Stockholders Equity1.57B1.56B1.89B2.03B2.06B2.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow255.81M212.26M52.47M146.00M285.61M197.40M
Operating Cash Flow263.18M217.67M58.81M156.65M296.01M213.92M
Investing Cash Flow-20.41M-7.00M13.36M15.30M-68.35M24.70M
Financing Cash Flow-125.02M-142.01M-69.35M-419.43M-54.16M-118.31M

Netscout Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.25
Price Trends
50DMA
26.08
Positive
100DMA
24.53
Positive
200DMA
23.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.60
Negative
RSI
69.73
Neutral
STOCH
50.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTCT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.77, above the 50-day MA of 26.08, and above the 200-day MA of 23.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NTCT.

Netscout Systems Risk Analysis

Netscout Systems disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Netscout Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Netscout Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.26B25.6823.88%1.37%10.27%3.52%
73
Outperform
$1.93B27.294.88%5.29%
71
Outperform
$4.57B25.19163.44%6.29%62.03%
65
Neutral
$1.01B63.485.09%10.40%
63
Neutral
$1.76B238.541.42%14.21%
62
Neutral
$1.23B30.754.72%-2.32%7.70%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTCT
Netscout Systems
29.25
6.80
30.29%
RDWR
Radware
23.52
1.73
7.94%
VRNT
Verint Systems
20.27
-4.08
-16.76%
ATEN
A10 Networks
17.79
1.80
11.29%
FIVN
Five9
21.54
-15.28
-41.50%
BOX
Box
31.11
-2.63
-7.79%

Netscout Systems Corporate Events

NETSCOUT Raises Outlook After Strong Q2 Results
Nov 7, 2025

NETSCOUT SYSTEMS, INC. is a prominent provider of enterprise performance management, carrier service assurance, cybersecurity, and DDoS protection solutions, serving major enterprises, service providers, and public sector organizations worldwide.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Netscout Systems Approves Equity Plan Amendment
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 10, 2025, NetScout Systems, Inc. held its annual meeting where stockholders approved an amendment to increase the number of shares in the company’s 2019 Equity Incentive Plan by 3.5 million. Additionally, stockholders elected four directors for three-year terms, approved executive compensation, and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (NTCT) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Netscout Systems stock, see the NTCT Stock Forecast page.

NETSCOUT’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 12, 2025

The latest earnings call from NETSCOUT painted a largely positive picture, with the company showcasing strong revenue and earnings growth. This optimistic outlook is primarily fueled by advancements in cybersecurity and new product enhancements. The company also highlighted successful customer acquisitions and a robust liquidity position. However, challenges such as a decline in service provider revenue and macroeconomic uncertainties were acknowledged.

NETSCOUT Reports Strong Start to Fiscal Year 2026
Aug 8, 2025

NETSCOUT SYSTEMS, INC., a prominent player in the enterprise performance management and cybersecurity sector, specializes in providing solutions for service assurance and DDoS protection. The company serves a diverse clientele, including large enterprises, service providers, and public sector organizations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025