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Netscout Systems (NTCT)
NASDAQ:NTCT
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Netscout Systems (NTCT) AI Stock Analysis

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NTCT

Netscout Systems

(NASDAQ:NTCT)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(0.56% Upside)
Netscout Systems' overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, highlighting growth in the cybersecurity segment and improved profit margins. Technical analysis presents a neutral outlook, while valuation suggests moderate pricing. Challenges in specific revenue segments pose risks, but the company's financial stability and strategic focus on growth areas support a positive outlook.

Netscout Systems (NTCT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Netscout Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNetScout Systems, Inc. provides service assurance and cybersecurity solutions for protect digital business services against disruptions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers nGeniusONE management software that enables customers to predict, preempt, and resolve network and service delivery problems, as well as facilitate the optimization and capacity planning of their network infrastructures; and specialized platforms and analytic modules that enable its customers to analyze and troubleshoot traffic in radio access and Wi-Fi networks. It also provides nGeniusPULSE, an active testing tool that enables enterprises to identify infrastructure performance issues and determine application availability, reliability, and performance; and nGenius Business Analytics solution, which enables service providers to analyze their network traffic. In addition, the company offers ISNG, an advanced passive network probe; packet flow systems that deliver targeted network traffic access to various monitoring and security tools and systems; and a suite of test access points that enable non-disruptive access to network traffic. Further, it provides cybersecurity solutions to protect their networks against distributed denial of service attacks under the Arbor brand, such as Arbor Sightline, Arbor Threat Mitigation System, Arbor Insight, Arbor Edge Defense, and Arbor Cloud. Additionally, it offers advanced threat detection solutions, such as Omnis Cyber Investigator. It serves enterprise customers in various industries, including financial services, technology, manufacturing, healthcare, utilities, education, transportation, and retail; mobile operators, wireline operators, cable operators, Internet service providers, and cloud providers; and governmental agencies through a direct sales force, and indirect reseller and distribution channels. NetScout Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyNetscout generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software and hardware products, which are designed to enhance network performance and security. The company operates on a subscription-based model for many of its software solutions, providing recurring revenue through annual subscriptions and maintenance contracts. Additionally, Netscout earns revenue from professional services, such as consulting, deployment, and training, which help clients integrate its solutions into their existing systems. Strategic partnerships with telecommunications companies and technology providers also contribute to its earnings, as these alliances often lead to joint offerings and expanded market reach, enhancing overall sales.

Netscout Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive start to fiscal year 2026 for NETSCOUT, with strong growth in revenue and profitability driven primarily by the cybersecurity segment. The company demonstrated effective cost management and showcased innovative product solutions. However, there were some challenges in the service provider vertical, with a decline in revenue, and slower growth in the service assurance revenue.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue for Q1 FY2026 was approximately $187 million, representing a 7% year-over-year increase driven by strong growth in the cybersecurity segment and timing of orders.
Increase in Cybersecurity Revenue
Cybersecurity revenue increased approximately 18% year-over-year, driven by strong growth in both enterprise and service provider customer verticals.
Improved Profit Margins
The company expanded both gross and operating profit margins, with non-GAAP gross profit margin increasing by 1.6 percentage points to 78.7%.
Significant Earnings Per Share Growth
Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $0.34, an increase of approximately 21% year-over-year.
Positive Cash Flow and Share Repurchase
Free cash flow for the quarter was $71.7 million, and the company repurchased approximately 761,000 shares of common stock for approximately $15 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Service Provider Vertical Revenue
Revenue from the service provider customer vertical decreased by 5.6% year-over-year.
Minimal Growth in Service Assurance Revenue
Service assurance revenue increased by only 1.4% year-over-year, indicating slower growth compared to other segments.
Company Guidance
During NETSCOUT's First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided several key financial metrics and insights into its business strategy. NETSCOUT reported a revenue of approximately $187 million for Q1, marking a 7% year-over-year increase, driven by robust growth in its cybersecurity segment. The company achieved a non-GAAP gross profit margin of 78.7%, with product revenue increasing by 19.3% to $73 million and service revenue rising slightly by 0.3% to $113.8 million. Operating profit margin improved to 14.2% from 8% the previous year, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increased by 21% to $0.34. The cybersecurity segment saw an 18% growth, while the service assurance segment grew by 1%. The company reaffirmed its fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance of $825 million to $865 million and non-GAAP EPS outlook of $2.25 to $2.40, with a full-year effective tax rate expected to be around 20%. NETSCOUT also highlighted its strong cash position, ending the quarter with $543.5 million in cash and investments, and free cash flow of $71.7 million.

Netscout Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Netscout Systems shows mixed financial performance. While there are challenges with declining revenue and profitability, the company maintains a strong cash flow position and manageable leverage. However, the decrease in equity and assets is concerning.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Netscout Systems has experienced declining revenue over the past year, with total revenue decreasing from $914.5 million in 2023 to $822.7 million in 2025. The company has also faced consistent operating losses, as indicated by negative EBIT and net income in the most recent year. Gross profit margins have remained stable, but the net profit margin has been negative, highlighting profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage. There is a significant decrease in stockholders' equity, which can impact financial stability. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a stable asset base. However, the overall decrease in total assets and equity over time is a concern.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Netscout Systems has maintained a positive free cash flow, which is a positive indicator of financial health. The company's operating cash flow has grown significantly compared to previous years, improving its ability to cover operational expenses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, showing effective cash management despite negative net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue834.86M822.68M829.46M914.53M855.58M831.28M
Gross Profit657.07M643.94M642.04M691.43M641.39M609.18M
EBITDA160.28M-294.85M-60.87M174.01M155.10M139.01M
Net Income72.78M-366.92M-147.73M59.65M35.87M19.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.16B2.19B2.60B2.82B3.19B3.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments532.51M491.47M423.13M419.00M703.20M476.45M
Total Debt41.53M43.50M150.08M160.47M415.34M423.62M
Total Liabilities609.88M626.18M703.24M790.91M1.13B1.08B
Stockholders Equity1.55B1.56B1.89B2.03B2.06B2.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow246.78M212.26M52.47M146.00M285.61M197.40M
Operating Cash Flow252.79M217.67M58.81M156.65M296.01M213.92M
Investing Cash Flow-21.19M-7.00M13.36M15.30M-68.35M24.70M
Financing Cash Flow-108.63M-142.01M-69.35M-419.43M-54.16M-118.31M

Netscout Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price24.86
Price Trends
50DMA
23.07
Positive
100DMA
22.71
Positive
200DMA
22.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.66
Negative
RSI
67.90
Neutral
STOCH
86.71
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTCT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.29, above the 50-day MA of 23.07, and above the 200-day MA of 22.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NTCT.

Netscout Systems Risk Analysis

Netscout Systems disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Netscout Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Netscout Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.29B25.7324.39%1.36%11.04%18.70%
73
Outperform
$4.74B26.30163.44%6.29%62.03%
72
Outperform
$1.23B30.894.72%-2.32%7.70%
70
Outperform
$2.03B291.251.42%14.21%
69
Neutral
$1.80B25.034.88%5.29%
66
Neutral
$1.06B77.294.46%11.51%
61
Neutral
$35.52B8.84-11.04%1.87%8.55%-8.14%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTCT
Netscout Systems
24.86
4.81
23.99%
RDWR
Radware
25.01
4.42
21.47%
VRNT
Verint Systems
20.36
-5.85
-22.32%
ATEN
A10 Networks
17.64
4.55
34.76%
FIVN
Five9
26.70
-1.91
-6.68%
BOX
Box
32.77
0.35
1.08%

Netscout Systems Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Netscout Systems Announces CFO and COO Retirement
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 5, 2025, NETSCOUT SYSTEMS announced the retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, Jean Bua, and Chief Operating Officer, Michael Szabados, effective May 31, 2025. They will transition to advisory roles until June 2026. Anthony Piazza and Sanjay Munshi will assume the roles of CFO and COO, respectively, on June 1, 2025. The company also reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, with a focus on cybersecurity solutions driving revenue. NETSCOUT aims to continue investing in innovation and maintaining customer relationships to support its long-term strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025