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Netscout Systems (NTCT)
NASDAQ:NTCT
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Netscout Systems (NTCT) AI Stock Analysis

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NTCT

Netscout Systems

(NASDAQ:NTCT)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(4.17% Upside)
Netscout Systems' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, highlighting revenue and earnings growth. Technical analysis indicates a potential reversal from oversold conditions, while valuation remains reasonable. Challenges in the Service Provider market and external risks like government shutdowns and tariffs are notable concerns.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth, particularly in the cybersecurity segment, indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Flow Performance
Strong cash flow performance enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth initiatives and shareholder returns, supporting sustainable business operations.
Profit Margin Improvement
Improved profit margins reflect efficient cost management and pricing strategies, contributing to better profitability and competitive positioning in the market.
Negative Factors
Service Provider Vertical Decline
A decline in the service provider vertical may indicate challenges in maintaining market share or competitive pressures, potentially impacting overall revenue growth.
Service Assurance Slow Growth
Minimal growth in the service assurance segment suggests potential stagnation, which could hinder overall business expansion if not addressed.
Historical Earnings Volatility
Earnings volatility can signal underlying operational challenges, which may affect investor confidence and the company's ability to deliver consistent financial performance.

Netscout Systems (NTCT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Netscout Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNetScout Systems, Inc. provides service assurance and cybersecurity solutions for protect digital business services against disruptions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers nGeniusONE management software that enables customers to predict, preempt, and resolve network and service delivery problems, as well as facilitate the optimization and capacity planning of their network infrastructures; and specialized platforms and analytic modules that enable its customers to analyze and troubleshoot traffic in radio access and Wi-Fi networks. It also provides nGeniusPULSE, an active testing tool that enables enterprises to identify infrastructure performance issues and determine application availability, reliability, and performance; and nGenius Business Analytics solution, which enables service providers to analyze their network traffic. In addition, the company offers ISNG, an advanced passive network probe; packet flow systems that deliver targeted network traffic access to various monitoring and security tools and systems; and a suite of test access points that enable non-disruptive access to network traffic. Further, it provides cybersecurity solutions to protect their networks against distributed denial of service attacks under the Arbor brand, such as Arbor Sightline, Arbor Threat Mitigation System, Arbor Insight, Arbor Edge Defense, and Arbor Cloud. Additionally, it offers advanced threat detection solutions, such as Omnis Cyber Investigator. It serves enterprise customers in various industries, including financial services, technology, manufacturing, healthcare, utilities, education, transportation, and retail; mobile operators, wireline operators, cable operators, Internet service providers, and cloud providers; and governmental agencies through a direct sales force, and indirect reseller and distribution channels. NetScout Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyNetscout generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software solutions, hardware appliances, and subscription services. The company has a diverse revenue model that includes license fees for its software products, maintenance and support services, and recurring revenue from cloud-based offerings. Key revenue streams also come from professional services, such as consulting and training, which assist customers in optimizing their network performance. Additionally, Netscout has established strategic partnerships with various technology firms and telecommunications providers, enhancing its market reach and capabilities, thus contributing to its overall earnings.

Netscout Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a largely positive outlook with strong revenue and earnings growth, driven by enterprise and federal government sector performance. Product innovations in cybersecurity and observability were highlighted as key strengths. However, challenges remain in the Service Provider market, and there are concerns about potential impacts from a government shutdown and tariff uncertainties.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue for Q2 was approximately $219 million, representing a year-over-year increase of nearly 15%. For the first half of fiscal year 2026, revenue was approximately $406 million, marking an 11% increase year-over-year.
Increased Earnings Per Share
Diluted earnings per share for the second quarter were $0.62, an increase of approximately 32% year-over-year. For the first half, EPS was $0.95, up 27% year-over-year.
Federal Government Sector Strength
Significant growth in the federal government sector, contributing to strong enterprise revenue growth of 12.7% in the first half of fiscal year 2026.
Product Innovation in Cybersecurity
Launch of Omnis AI Insights and Omnis KlearSight Sensor for Kubernetes, enhancing capabilities in observability and cybersecurity.
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Position
Ended the second quarter with $526.9 million in cash and equivalents, and no outstanding balance on the $600 million revolving credit facility.
Negative Updates
Service Provider Market Challenges
While optimistic about capturing opportunities, the Service Provider space remains challenging, with growth largely dependent on maintenance renewals.
Potential Impact of Government Shutdown
Concerns about the potential impact of a prolonged government shutdown on future federal orders.
Tariff Uncertainty
Ongoing uncertainties regarding tariffs that may affect pricing and budget planning for end users.
Company Guidance
During NETSCOUT's second quarter fiscal year 2026 conference call, the company reported a strong financial performance, driven by revenue growth in its cybersecurity and service assurance product lines, and highlighted several key metrics. Revenue for Q2 was approximately $219 million, marking a 15% year-over-year increase, while diluted earnings per share rose by 32% to $0.62. The first half of fiscal year 2026 saw a revenue of $406 million, up 11% year-over-year, with a 27% increase in diluted EPS to $0.95. Service Assurance revenue increased by 10.1%, and Cybersecurity revenue grew by 12.7% in the first half. The company also expanded its gross and operating margins and raised its full-year revenue and non-GAAP EPS outlook. Looking ahead, NETSCOUT expects full-year revenue between $830 million and $870 million and non-GAAP EPS between $2.35 and $2.45, with a Q3 revenue forecast of $230 million to $240 million and EPS of $0.83 to $0.88.

Netscout Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Netscout Systems demonstrates solid financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow metrics. The company has improved its margins and profitability, reduced leverage, and maintained a healthy cash flow position. While revenue growth is moderate, the overall financial health is stable, with a positive outlook for continued improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Netscout Systems shows a strong gross profit margin of 78.7% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved significantly to 8.7% TTM from a negative margin in the previous annual report, reflecting a turnaround in profitability. Revenue growth is modest at 3.3% TTM, but the positive trend is a good sign. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, signaling better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.027 TTM, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity has improved to 4.8% TTM from negative in the previous period, showing better profitability. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid financial foundation. However, the company has experienced fluctuations in equity and returns in the past.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Netscout Systems has shown a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 3.66% TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.65, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, demonstrating efficient cash conversion. The company has consistently generated positive free cash flow, supporting its financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue862.77M822.68M829.46M914.53M855.58M831.28M
Gross Profit683.43M643.94M642.04M691.43M641.39M609.18M
EBITDA174.28M-294.85M-60.87M174.01M146.72M139.01M
Net Income89.58M-366.92M-147.73M59.65M35.87M19.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.18B2.19B2.60B2.82B3.19B3.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments516.86M491.47M423.13M419.00M703.20M476.45M
Total Debt43.55M43.50M150.08M160.47M415.34M423.62M
Total Liabilities602.63M626.18M703.24M790.91M1.13B1.08B
Stockholders Equity1.57B1.56B1.89B2.03B2.06B2.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow255.81M210.97M52.47M146.00M285.61M197.40M
Operating Cash Flow263.18M217.67M58.81M156.65M296.01M213.92M
Investing Cash Flow-20.41M-7.00M13.36M15.30M-68.35M24.70M
Financing Cash Flow-125.02M-142.01M-69.35M-419.43M-54.16M-118.31M

Netscout Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.88
Price Trends
50DMA
26.65
Positive
100DMA
24.93
Positive
200DMA
23.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
50.80
Neutral
STOCH
60.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTCT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.21, above the 50-day MA of 26.65, and above the 200-day MA of 23.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NTCT.

Netscout Systems Risk Analysis

Netscout Systems disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Netscout Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Netscout Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.24B25.2423.88%1.39%10.27%3.52%
72
Outperform
$1.94B21.875.91%9.60%
66
Neutral
$4.30B23.84163.44%6.29%62.03%
65
Neutral
$970.26M60.635.09%10.40%
62
Neutral
$1.24B31.114.72%-2.32%7.70%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$1.53B54.944.67%12.48%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTCT
Netscout Systems
26.88
4.51
20.16%
RDWR
Radware
22.94
-1.58
-6.44%
VRNT
Verint Systems
20.51
-4.20
-17.00%
ATEN
A10 Networks
17.22
-0.11
-0.63%
FIVN
Five9
19.59
-21.98
-52.87%
BOX
Box
29.54
-5.57
-15.86%

Netscout Systems Corporate Events

NETSCOUT Raises Outlook After Strong Q2 Results
Nov 7, 2025

NETSCOUT SYSTEMS, INC. is a prominent provider of enterprise performance management, carrier service assurance, cybersecurity, and DDoS protection solutions, serving major enterprises, service providers, and public sector organizations worldwide.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Netscout Systems Approves Equity Plan Amendment
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 10, 2025, NetScout Systems, Inc. held its annual meeting where stockholders approved an amendment to increase the number of shares in the company’s 2019 Equity Incentive Plan by 3.5 million. Additionally, stockholders elected four directors for three-year terms, approved executive compensation, and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (NTCT) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Netscout Systems stock, see the NTCT Stock Forecast page.

NETSCOUT’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 12, 2025

The latest earnings call from NETSCOUT painted a largely positive picture, with the company showcasing strong revenue and earnings growth. This optimistic outlook is primarily fueled by advancements in cybersecurity and new product enhancements. The company also highlighted successful customer acquisitions and a robust liquidity position. However, challenges such as a decline in service provider revenue and macroeconomic uncertainties were acknowledged.

NETSCOUT Reports Strong Start to Fiscal Year 2026
Aug 8, 2025

NETSCOUT SYSTEMS, INC., a prominent player in the enterprise performance management and cybersecurity sector, specializes in providing solutions for service assurance and DDoS protection. The company serves a diverse clientele, including large enterprises, service providers, and public sector organizations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025