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Five9 Inc (FIVN)
:FIVN

Five9 (FIVN) AI Stock Analysis

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Five9

(NASDAQ:FIVN)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(6.35%Upside)
Five9's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook, offset by challenges in valuation metrics and longer sales cycles. Strategic investments in AI and partnerships with major players like Salesforce and Google Cloud are key strengths supporting future growth.
Positive Factors
AI Integration
Monetizing AI through partnerships in addition to its own.
Earnings
Five9 outperformed Street expectations and beat across both revenue and operating income.
Negative Factors
AI Advancements
There are concerns about the potential impact of AI advancements on the need for agent seats, which could affect Five9's primary monetization strategy.
Sales Cycle
Some international prospects are more hesitant to sign deals with U.S. companies, and it has also seen a lengthening sales cycle for larger enterprise deals.

Five9 (FIVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Five9 Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFive9, Inc. (FIVN) is a leading provider of cloud-based contact center solutions, catering to businesses across various industries. The company offers a comprehensive suite of applications designed to optimize customer interactions and improve customer service operations. Its core products include inbound and outbound call center services, workforce management, predictive dialing, and analytics. Five9's solutions enable organizations to engage customers more effectively through multiple channels such as voice, email, chat, and social media, all within a single platform.
How the Company Makes MoneyFive9 generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, where customers pay recurring fees to access its cloud contact center software. The company offers various pricing tiers based on the features and scale of the services provided, allowing it to cater to businesses of different sizes and needs. Key revenue streams include subscription fees for its software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings and professional services, such as implementation, training, and support. Additionally, Five9 partners with various technology providers and resellers to expand its market reach and enhance its service offerings, which can contribute to its revenue growth.

Five9 Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate
Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate
Measures the ability to retain and grow revenue from existing customers, indicating customer satisfaction, product value, and potential for sustainable growth.
Chart InsightsFive9's Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate has been on a declining trend since 2021, reflecting challenges in retaining and expanding existing customer revenue. Despite this, the latest earnings call reveals strong growth in subscription and AI revenues, suggesting potential for future stabilization. However, longer sales cycles and geopolitical resistance could continue to pressure retention rates. The company's strategic focus on AI and partnerships, such as with Salesforce and Google Cloud, aims to leverage its expanding TAM, potentially offsetting retention challenges and driving future growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Five9 Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with strong subscription and AI revenue growth, strategic partnerships, and record cash flow. However, longer sales cycles, geopolitical resistance, and tough year-over-year comparisons present challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Subscription Revenue Growth
Subscription revenue now makes up 80% of total revenue and grew 14% year-over-year, primarily driven by LTM Enterprise subscription revenue growing 20% year-over-year.
Record Operating Cash Flow
Q1 record operating cash flow of $48 million or 17% of revenue, and an all-time record of free cash flow of $35 million or 12% of revenue.
AI Revenue Growth
Enterprise AI revenue grew 32% year-over-year in the first quarter, making up 9% of enterprise subscription revenue.
Strategic Partnerships and Innovations
Five9 deepened its Salesforce partnership with the launch of Five9 Fusion and reported early traction with the Google Cloud Marketplace, adding more than $35 million in ACV pipeline.
Negative Updates
Longer Sales Cycles
Noted lengthening of sales cycles on larger deals, attributed to the macroeconomic backdrop.
Geopolitical Resistance
Observed resistance in international regions to doing business with U.S. vendors, impacting net new sales.
Tough Year-over-Year Comparisons
Challenges due to stronger downtick among seasonal customers in consumer and healthcare verticals, and significant revenue contributions from the largest customer completing its ramp last year.
Company Guidance
During the recent conference call, Five9 reported first-quarter results that exceeded expectations across key financial metrics. Subscription revenue, which constitutes 80% of total revenue, grew by 14% year-over-year, driven mainly by a 20% year-over-year increase in LTM Enterprise subscription revenue. The adjusted EBITDA margin stood at 19%, contributing to a record operating cash flow of $48 million or 17% of revenue, and a record free cash flow of $35 million or 12% of revenue. The company outlined its transformation initiatives aimed at enhancing long-term competitive positioning and achieving the Rule of 40 on an adjusted EBITDA basis by 2027. AI offerings have significantly contributed to the financial outcomes, evidenced by a 32% year-over-year growth in enterprise AI revenue, which now comprises 9% of enterprise subscription revenue. The company also anticipates further growth through strategic investments in AI and go-to-market initiatives, leveraging its expanding total addressable market (TAM) with AI to drive future revenue growth.

Five9 Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Five9 exhibits robust revenue growth and effective cash flow management, with a strong operating cash flow position despite current unprofitability. The balance sheet is stable, but high debt levels require attention.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Five9 has shown a consistent growth trajectory in its revenue, with a TTM revenue of $1.07 billion, reflecting strong market demand. The gross profit margin remains healthy at around 52.6% in the TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, the company is not yet profitable on a net income basis, with a negative net profit margin of -0.5% for the TTM, though losses have been narrowing, showing potential for future profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86, reflecting reliance on debt financing but with a manageable equity base. The equity ratio stands at 31.8%, indicating a stable asset structure, though there is room for improvement in financial leverage. The company has been increasing its equity base, supporting future growth and stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Five9's cash flow position is strong, with an operating cash flow of $159 million for the TTM, showing solid cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates positive cash flow generation despite net losses, with free cash flow significantly improved at $119 million for the TTM, demonstrating effective capital efficiency.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.07B1.04B910.49M778.85M609.59M434.91M
Gross Profit
565.58M564.40M477.80M411.35M338.49M254.62M
EBIT
-31.95M-51.30M-98.58M-87.58M-56.25M-9.27M
EBITDA
22.30M54.96M-10.62M13.31M-8.82M14.54M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-5.14M-12.79M-81.76M-94.65M-53.00M-42.13M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
643.47M1.01B730.30M614.26M469.86M603.54M
Total Assets
1.12B2.05B1.49B1.24B1.19B1.06B
Total Debt
833.01M1.23B793.88M790.56M825.51M653.22M
Net Debt
656.68M870.58M650.68M610.04M734.63M432.85M
Total Liabilities
974.54M1.43B956.48M934.52M981.81M784.58M
Stockholders Equity
144.21M622.19M538.09M309.96M211.13M279.16M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
119.27M78.56M88.07M32.69M-13.73M36.88M
Operating Cash Flow
159.20M143.17M128.84M88.86M28.48M67.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-37.83M-266.55M-259.56M30.96M-150.48M-382.33M
Financing Cash Flow
9.17M342.73M94.58M-30.23M-7.50M457.42M

Five9 Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price29.15
Price Trends
50DMA
25.73
Positive
100DMA
31.26
Negative
200DMA
32.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.59
Negative
RSI
61.53
Neutral
STOCH
86.40
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIVN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 29.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.44, above the 50-day MA of 25.73, and below the 200-day MA of 32.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.40 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FIVN.

Five9 Risk Analysis

Five9 disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Five9 reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
As AI solutions will likely perform an increasing proportion of contact center interactions, if we are unable to replace decreases in subscription revenue from licenses with revenue from the sale of additional AI solutions, our revenue, results of operations and business will be harmed. Q4, 2024

Five9 Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$5.15B28.9940.23%9.58%12.41%
77
Outperform
$8.37B31.9330.28%27.39%115.40%
ZSZS
74
Outperform
$47.18B-2.68%25.46%49.20%
73
Outperform
$2.22B-0.90%14.44%91.60%
64
Neutral
$5.67B-22.21%13.34%13.71%
SS
64
Neutral
$6.10B-26.98%32.25%20.56%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.37-7.29%2.91%7.39%-7.96%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIVN
Five9
29.15
-13.77
-32.08%
QLYS
Qualys
141.86
5.20
3.81%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
50.64
7.94
18.59%
ZS
Zscaler
303.03
119.12
64.77%
FOUR
Shift4 Payments
94.40
21.16
28.89%
S
SentinelOne
18.36
0.67
3.79%

Five9 Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Five9 Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting on May 21
Positive
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Five9, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where three directors were elected to the board, executive compensation was approved on an advisory basis, and KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. With 88% of common stock represented, these decisions are pivotal for Five9’s governance and financial oversight, reflecting strong shareholder engagement and support for the company’s strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIVN) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five9 stock, see the FIVN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Five9 Appoints Andy Dignan as New President
Positive
Mar 11, 2025

On March 10, 2025, Five9, Inc. appointed Andy Dignan as its new President, following his tenure as Chief Operating Officer since November 2023. This strategic promotion is accompanied by a comprehensive compensation package, including a base salary, bonus eligibility, and stock awards, aligning his incentives with the company’s performance goals. This move is expected to strengthen Five9’s leadership team and potentially enhance its market position within the cloud contact center industry.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.