tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Five9 (FIVN)
NASDAQ:FIVN

Five9 (FIVN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,873 Followers

Top Page

FIVN

Five9

(NASDAQ:FIVN)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(3.41% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
The score is driven mainly by improving fundamentals and strong cash generation, reinforced by constructive 2026 guidance and continued Enterprise AI momentum. Offsetting these positives are weak technical trend signals and a demanding valuation, with leverage and retention/margin dynamics adding execution risk.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation and free cash flow
Sustained, material free cash flow provides durable optionality: it funds product investment, AI capacity, share repurchases and debt paydown without relying on capital markets. Consistent cash conversion reduces execution risk and supports reinvestment as scale expands.
Enterprise AI momentum with attractive AI economics
AI is the fastest-growing segment and has reached meaningful scale. High-margin AI offerings expand gross-margin potential and create upsell/capacity revenue streams, strengthening long-term unit economics and differentiation as customers shift to AI-driven CX solutions.
High subscription mix and concentrated enterprise base
A recurring subscription model with a large, growing cohort of >$1M ARR enterprise customers improves revenue durability and upsell potential. High subscription mix supports predictable recurring cash flow and increases lifetime value from installed-base expansion.
Negative Factors
Relatively high leverage for a software company
A roughly 1.0x debt-to-equity position leaves less financial flexibility than typical SaaS peers. Elevated leverage increases sensitivity to margin or growth slips, limits ability to opportunistically invest or M&A, and raises refinancing and interest-rate risk over the medium term.
Gross-margin pressure from telecom usage and services mix
Lower-margin telecom usage and professional services are structurally dilutive unless offset by higher-margin AI mix. Persistent usage or services penetration could cap gross-margin expansion, making long-term margin upside dependent on successful product mix shift to AI and subscription services.
Revenue predictability exposed by consumption-based AI and guidance profile
Consumption-driven AI introduces quarter-to-quarter variability and makes backlog conversion timing less certain. Back-end loaded guidance plus a slight dollar-based retention step-down increase execution risk and reduce near-term revenue visibility for planning and investment decisions.

Five9 (FIVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Five9 Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFive9, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud software for contact centers in the United States and internationally. The company offers virtual contact center cloud platform that delivers a suite of applications, which enables the breadth of contact center-related customer service, sales, and marketing functions. Its solution enables its clients to manage these customer interactions across various channels, including voice, video, chat, email, website, social media, click-to-call, callback, and mobile channels, as well as through APIs; and provides natural language processing and automatic speech recognition solutions. The company serves customers in various industries comprising banking and financial services, business process outsourcers, consumer, healthcare, technology, and education. Five9, Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in San Ramon, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyFive9 generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, where customers pay for access to its cloud contact center software and services. This includes tiered pricing based on the number of users and the level of features required. Key revenue streams include recurring software subscriptions, professional services for implementation and training, and ongoing support and maintenance. Additionally, Five9 has formed strategic partnerships with other technology providers and telecommunications companies, which enhance its service offerings and contribute to its earnings through bundled solutions and shared customer bases.

Five9 Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Five9 is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsFive9's U.S. revenue continues its upward trajectory, reflecting strong domestic demand and strategic focus on AI solutions. International revenue, while smaller, shows robust growth, particularly in the latest quarters, indicating successful global expansion efforts. The latest earnings call highlights a surge in Enterprise AI revenue and record profitability, underscoring the company's effective transformation initiatives. Despite CEO transition and challenges in the commercial segment, Five9's strategic partnerships and AI momentum position it well for sustained growth, with significant ROI anticipated from industries like healthcare and airlines.
Data provided by:The Fly

Five9 Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call reflected strong commercial momentum (record bookings, enterprise AI ARR >$100M, subscription mix growth), meaningful profitability and cash-flow improvements, and strategic progress on product and Google partnership. The main headwinds are modest gross margin pressure from telecom usage and services, a small step-down in LTM dollar-based retention, front-loaded 2026 guidance with Q1 sequentially flat, and variability inherent in consumption-based AI revenue. On balance, the positive operational, financial and strategic developments outweigh the manageable near-term margin and timing risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 and Full-Year Revenue Growth
Q4 total revenue of $300 million, up 8% year-over-year; full-year 2025 revenue of $1.15 billion, up 10% year-over-year. Q1 2026 guide midpoint of $299.5 million and 2026 revenue guide midpoint of $1.254 billion (implying ~9.1% incremental revenue vs. 2025).
Subscription Mix and Growth
Subscription revenue represented 82% of total in Q4 (up from 79% a year ago) and grew 12% year-over-year in Q4; full-year subscription revenue grew 13% year-over-year in 2025. Subscription revenue is the strategic focus and high-margin mix driver.
Enterprise AI Momentum and ARR Milestone
Enterprise AI annual run rate surpassed $100 million in Q4; enterprise AI revenue growth accelerated from 41% to 50% year-over-year in Q4. Management highlighted enterprise AI bookings more than doubled year-over-year in Q4 and AI is the fastest-growing part of the portfolio.
Core CCaaS Acceleration
Core CCaaS subscription revenue growth accelerated from 7% to 8% year-over-year in Q4, contributing to overall subscription momentum and backlog conversion.
Record Bookings and Partner-Led Growth
Q4 represented a bookings record driven by enterprise AI and installed-base upsell; installed-base bookings were an all-time high for the third consecutive quarter. Over 80% of business is partner-influenced and the company doubled year-over-year the number of certified partners in 2025.
Improved Profitability and Cash Generation
Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin reached 26% (up ~260 basis points YoY); FY 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin was 23% (up ~470 bps YoY). Q4 free cash flow was $67 million (22% of revenue), more than doubled year-over-year; FY free cash flow was $162 million. Q4 operating cash flow was $84 million (28% of revenue), FY operating cash flow $226 million.
GAAP and Non-GAAP Earnings Progress
Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.23 and non-GAAP EPS of $0.80. Full-year 2025 GAAP EPS was positive at $0.45 (first positive annual GAAP EPS) and non-GAAP EPS was $2.96. 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance midpoint of $3.18 and GAAP EPS guidance midpoint of $0.91.
High-Margin AI Economics and Future Margin Tailwinds
Management reported AI Agents with gross margins in the high-70s to 80s, indicating AI mix expansion is expected to be accretive to overall gross margin over time.
Product and Strategic Partnerships
Launched AI-powered product suite (AQM, Genius Routing, OneVue, Adaptive Digital Engagement) and expanded partnership with Google Cloud (joint Enterprise CX AI solution leveraging Google Gemini); early market traction reported with large enterprise customers.
Balance Sheet Strength and Capital Return
Cash and investments of $697 million at quarter end; completed $50 million accelerated share repurchase (approx. 2.6 million shares) with $100 million remaining under authorization through December 2027.
Strong Enterprise Customer Performance
228 customers with >$1M ARR grew subscription revenue 24% year-over-year and represent 59% of subscription revenue. LTM enterprise subscription revenue grew 15% year-over-year and enterprise represented ~91% of total revenue LTM.
Operational Productivity Improvements
Revenue per employee increased 14% year-over-year, demonstrating productivity gains alongside margin expansion.
Negative Updates
Adjusted Gross Margin Pressure
Q4 adjusted gross margin was 63%, down approximately 40 basis points year-over-year, driven primarily by lower gross margins in telecom usage and professional services.
Telecom Usage Weakness and Seasonality
Telecom usage revenue (11% of total) was weaker in Q4 versus prior year, with Q4 sequential uptick in consumer and health care meaningfully less than last year; management noted telecom usage contributed to margin headwinds and more muted seasonality into Q1.
Dollar-Based Retention Slight Step Down
LTM dollar-based retention rate decreased from 107% in Q3 to 105% in Q4 (management attributed this to tough comps, including the largest customer completing its multiyear ramp), introducing near-term DBRR pressure though spot rate increased sequentially.
Back-End Loaded 2026 Revenue Profile and Q1 Flat Guidance
2026 revenue guide is back-end loaded with Q1 revenue guided to $299.5 million (flat sequentially versus Q4). Management expects double-digit growth to return in H2; the front-loaded conservatism increases execution risk if backlog conversion or AI consumption lags expectations.
AI Revenue Variability and Consumption-Based Model
Enterprise AI revenue is consumption/capacity-based and management warned it will 'ebb and flow' quarter-to-quarter. While bookings are strong, conversion timing from backlog and consumption variability introduces revenue predictability risk.
Competitive and Technology Risk
Management acknowledged the theoretical risk that LLM-native platforms could attempt to bypass CCaaS architectures. Although Five9 argues its conversational-data and orchestration moat is durable, the transcript highlights this external competitive risk as a material consideration.
Gross Margin Dependence on Mix Shift
While AI margin profile is attractive, near-term gross margin declines were tied to lower- margin usage and services. Continued margin improvement depends on AI mix growth and successful containment of telecom/PS margin pressure.
Company Guidance
Five9 initiated 2026 guidance with revenue at a $1.254 billion midpoint and Q1 revenue at a $299.5 million midpoint (sequentially flat), expecting Q2 to increase slightly and revenue to return to double‑digit growth in the second half; the guidance implies about $105 million of incremental revenue for 2026, roughly two‑thirds of which is expected from DBRR with the remainder covered by backlog (no dependency on new‑logo bookings. Management guided 2026 non‑GAAP EPS to a $3.18 midpoint (up from the prior $3.14 outlook) and GAAP EPS to a $0.91 midpoint, with Q1 non‑GAAP EPS at a $0.68 midpoint reflecting typical seasonality. They also expect at least a 24% annual adjusted EBITDA margin and approximately $175 million in annual free cash flow, see LTM dollar‑based retention range‑bound in H1 then inflecting upward in H2, and reiterated that enterprise AI (consumption/capacity‑based) will remain the fastest‑growing part of the business. Finally, they completed a $50 million accelerated share repurchase (~2.6M shares), have $100 million remaining under authorization through December 2027, and plan an Investor Day in late 2026.

Five9 Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue scaling and a meaningful turn to profitability in 2025 are supported by robust operating cash flow and free cash flow. The primary offset is still-elevated leverage for a software company (roughly 1.0x debt-to-equity), which reduces flexibility if growth or margins soften.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Revenue has scaled materially over the last several years (from $435M in 2020 to $1.15B in 2025), with gross margin holding relatively steady in the mid-50% range. Profitability has improved meaningfully, moving from sizable losses in 2021–2023 to positive net income in 2025 (about a 3.4% net margin). The key weakness is that operating profitability remains modest versus revenue scale, and the business only recently returned to consistent profitability, which increases sensitivity to any growth slowdown.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Leverage remains a notable constraint: total debt is high at ~$805M versus equity of ~$786M in 2025 (about 1.0x debt-to-equity). This is improved from 2021–2022 when debt-to-equity was much higher, indicating balance sheet strengthening over time. Still, the capital structure is relatively levered for a software company, and returns to equity holders have been pressured historically given prior losses.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength. Operating cash flow increased to ~$226M in 2025 and free cash flow rose to ~$201M, with a strong year-over-year rebound in free cash flow. Free cash flow is substantial relative to earnings, suggesting good cash conversion and improving underlying efficiency. The main caution is that cash flow performance has been more uneven in earlier years, so durability through cycles remains something to monitor.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.15B1.04B910.49M778.85M609.59M
Gross Profit628.03M564.40M477.80M411.35M338.49M
EBITDA163.89M54.96M-23.26M-38.10M-8.82M
Net Income39.42M-12.79M-81.76M-94.65M-53.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.79B2.05B1.49B1.24B1.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments696.92M1.01B730.30M614.26M469.86M
Total Debt847.21M1.23B793.88M790.56M825.51M
Total Liabilities1.00B1.43B956.48M934.52M981.81M
Stockholders Equity785.82M622.19M538.09M309.96M211.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow201.24M78.56M97.60M32.69M-13.22M
Operating Cash Flow226.21M143.17M128.84M88.86M29.00M
Investing Cash Flow122.31M-266.55M-259.56M30.96M-150.48M
Financing Cash Flow-478.57M342.73M94.58M-30.23M-7.50M

Five9 Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price17.89
Price Trends
50DMA
18.33
Negative
100DMA
19.78
Negative
200DMA
23.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Negative
RSI
50.62
Neutral
STOCH
28.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIVN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.35, below the 50-day MA of 18.33, and below the 200-day MA of 23.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FIVN.

Five9 Risk Analysis

Five9 disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Five9 reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Five9 Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$2.28B38.0128.84%1.66%3.30%31.18%
70
Outperform
$1.46B30.3319.01%1.33%10.27%3.52%
65
Neutral
$2.08B45.300.04%-11.61%99.07%
63
Neutral
$1.35B39.435.60%12.48%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIVN
Five9
17.89
-16.45
-47.90%
CSGS
CSG Systems International
79.83
16.99
27.04%
ATEN
A10 Networks
20.68
0.49
2.43%
EVCM
EverCommerce
12.34
2.61
26.82%

Five9 Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Five9 Amends Cooperation Agreement to Extend Board Alignment
Positive
Feb 20, 2026

On December 8, 2024, Five9, Inc. entered into a cooperation letter agreement with investment firm Anson and related parties, formalizing terms around board representation and governance. On February 17, 2026, the company and Anson amended this agreement to solidify their ongoing cooperation and clarify future board nomination and voting arrangements.

Under the amendment, Five9 will nominate existing director Sagar Gupta for election to its board at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, reinforcing continuity in board composition. Anson, in turn, agreed to extend its voting and standstill obligations until a date tied to the nomination deadlines for the 2027 annual meeting, signaling continued alignment between the company and this shareholder group and helping reduce the risk of near-term governance disputes.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIVN) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five9 stock, see the FIVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Five9 Guides 2026 Growth After Record 2025 Results
Positive
Feb 19, 2026

Five9 reported record 2025 revenue of $1.15 billion, up 10% from 2024, with GAAP results swinging from a $12.8 million loss to a $39.4 million profit and operating cash flow rising to $226.2 million. The company expanded GAAP and adjusted margins, lifted adjusted EBITDA to $269.7 million, and saw strong Q4 metrics, including 12% subscription revenue growth, 50% enterprise AI revenue growth, and record quarterly operating cash flow of $83.6 million, underscoring its positioning in the fast-evolving AI-driven CX market.

For 2026, Five9 guided to further top-line and earnings growth, projecting full-year revenue between $1.247 billion and $1.261 billion and higher GAAP and non-GAAP EPS, while first-quarter guidance called for revenue up to $302.5 million and continued profitability. The company also scheduled its 2026 annual shareholder meeting for May 20, 2026, to be held virtually, marking an ongoing shift toward digital shareholder engagement alongside its strategy to capitalize on AI-centric demand in contact centers.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIVN) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five9 stock, see the FIVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Five9 Announces CEO Succession and Governance Transition Plan
Neutral
Jan 21, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Five9’s board approved an Amended and Restated Employment Transition Agreement that formalizes the succession from current CEO Michael Burkland to incoming CEO Amit Mathradas, who is set to take over effective February 2, 2026. Under the new agreement, Burkland will remain CEO until the transition date, continue as a director and Chairman of the Board through the 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, and then serve as a paid consultant for one year, during which time his existing equity awards will keep vesting but he will receive no new equity grants and limited additional board compensation; the board also plans to reduce its size by one seat after his departure and appoint an independent chairman by the 2026 annual meeting, signaling a structured leadership handover and a shift toward strengthened governance and independent oversight for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIVN) stock is a Buy with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five9 stock, see the FIVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Five9 Announces New CEO Amid Leadership Transition
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

Five9, Inc. announced that Amit Mathradas will assume the role of Chief Executive Officer and join its Board of Directors effective February 2, 2026, succeeding Michael Burkland, who will remain on the Board. Mathradas brings extensive experience in leadership roles within the tech industry, having served in senior positions at companies like Nintex USA, Avalara, and PayPal, which is expected to bolster Five9’s strategic initiatives and enhance its standing in the competitive cloud software market. The terms of his compensation and performance-based incentives highlight a strong, results-driven approach to aligning his leadership with shareholder value, potentially reinforcing Five9’s market position and long-term growth trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIVN) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five9 stock, see the FIVN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026