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Mongodb, Inc. (MDB)
:MDB

MongoDB (MDB) AI Stock Analysis

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MongoDB

(NASDAQ:MDB)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$241.00
▲(14.03%Upside)
MongoDB's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting significant growth potential and strategic focus on AI. However, challenges in profitability and valuation weigh on the score, along with bearish technical signals.
Positive Factors
Corporate Strategy
The company raised full-year guidance modestly and increased its buyback authorization from $200 million to $1 billion.
Financial Performance
MongoDB reported strong FQ1 results, including Atlas revenue growth of 26% vs. 24% in FQ4 and strong customer growth, pushing shares higher after hours.
Strategic Growth
MongoDB's strong momentum with new customers and workloads attests to the ongoing advantages and appeal of its product.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
The rising popularity of Postgres could limit the long-term growth potential of MongoDB by constraining it to a narrower set of use-cases.
Revenue Outlook
The very slight revenue raise, and implied 2H revenue deceleration, likely reflects continued conservatism due to the macro, coupled with new CFO Mike Berry just starting.

MongoDB (MDB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MongoDB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMongoDB, Inc. is a leading provider of modern, general-purpose database platforms designed to unleash the power of software and data for developers and the applications they build. Operating in the technology sector, the company is renowned for its flagship product, MongoDB, a NoSQL database that allows developers to store, query, and manage data in a flexible, scalable manner. MongoDB offers its database platform across various deployment types, including on-premise, cloud, and as a fully managed service through MongoDB Atlas.
How the Company Makes MoneyMongoDB, Inc. primarily generates revenue through subscriptions and services. The company's core revenue stream comes from its MongoDB Atlas offering, a cloud-based Database-as-a-Service (DBaaS) that provides customers with a fully managed and scalable database solution. Customers pay for MongoDB Atlas based on their usage, which includes factors like data storage, throughput, and additional features. MongoDB also earns revenue from Enterprise Advanced, which provides on-premise database solutions along with advanced security, monitoring, and support features. Additionally, the company offers professional services such as consulting and training to help enterprises effectively use and manage their MongoDB deployments. Key partnerships with major cloud providers like Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure further enhance MongoDB's market reach and adoption, contributing significantly to its revenue growth.

MongoDB Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Customers
Total Customers
Tracks the total number of customers, indicating the company's market reach and potential for scaling its business model.
Chart InsightsMongoDB's customer base has shown a consistent upward trajectory, culminating in a record addition of 2,600 new customers in the latest quarter, the highest in over six years. This growth aligns with the company's strategic focus on AI and application modernization, as highlighted in their earnings call. Despite some challenges like a decline in gross margin and softness in April consumption, the expansion of their share repurchase program and increased revenue guidance underscore confidence in sustained growth and market leadership.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

MongoDB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 05, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -6.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presents an overall positive sentiment with strong revenue growth, record customer additions, and a significant increase in operating margin. The expansion of the share repurchase program and strategic acquisition to enhance AI capabilities further indicate confidence in future growth. However, challenges such as a decline in gross margin, softness in April consumption, and anticipated decline in non-Atlas revenue were noted.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
MongoDB, Inc. reported revenue of $549 million, a 22% year-over-year increase and above the high end of their guidance. Atlas revenue grew 26% year-over-year, representing 72% of total revenue.
Record Customer Growth
MongoDB, Inc. ended the quarter with over 57,100 customers, with total customer net adds being the highest in over six years. Atlas had over 55,800 customers at the end of the quarter.
Solid Operating Margin
The company generated non-GAAP operating income of $87 million for a 16% non-GAAP operating margin, a significant increase from 7% in the year-ago period.
Positive Cash Flow
Operating cash flow was $110 million and free cash flow was $106 million in Q1, up from $64 million and $61 million, respectively, in the year-ago period.
Expansion of Share Repurchase Program
The Board authorized an increase to the share repurchase program by up to an additional $800 million, bringing the total authorization to $1 billion.
Strategic Acquisition Enhances AI Capabilities
The acquisition of Voyage AI enhances MongoDB's ability to serve AI needs, significantly improving the accuracy and reliability of AI applications.
Negative Updates
Decline in Gross Margin
Gross margin was 74%, down from 75% in the year-ago period, primarily due to the growth of Atlas and the impact of the Voyage acquisition.
Softness in April Consumption
Atlas consumption saw some softness in April due to macroeconomic volatility, although there was a healthy rebound in May.
Challenges in Non-Atlas Business
Non-Atlas revenue came in ahead of expectations but is expected to see a high single-digit year-over-year decline in the upcoming quarter.
Company Guidance
During MongoDB, Inc.'s Q1 FY2026 earnings call, the company reported a robust financial performance, with revenue reaching $549 million, marking a 22% year-over-year increase and surpassing their guidance. Atlas, their cloud database service, contributed 72% of the total revenue, growing by 26% compared to the previous year. MongoDB ended the quarter with over 57,100 customers, reflecting a significant increase of approximately 2,600 new customer additions, the highest in over six years. The company's non-GAAP operating income was $87 million, translating to a 16% operating margin, and net income was $86 million or $1.00 per share. MongoDB highlighted strong adoption across various sectors and emphasized its strategic focus on AI, application modernization, and moving upmarket. The company announced an increase in their share repurchase program to $1 billion, underscoring their confidence in the business's long-term potential. Additionally, MongoDB raised its full-year revenue guidance to $2.25 to $2.29 billion and increased their operating margin guidance by 200 basis points to 12%.

MongoDB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MongoDB shows strong revenue and free cash flow growth, supported by a robust balance sheet. Despite challenges in profitability, with negative net profit margins, operational efficiencies are improving, indicating potential for future profitability.
Income Statement
87
Very Positive
MongoDB has shown impressive revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $2.10 billion, a substantial increase from $873.78 million in 2022. The company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 72.9%, indicating efficient cost management. However, negative net profit and EBIT margins suggest ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. Improvements in EBITDA margin from past years demonstrate an upward trajectory towards operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
77
Positive
The company's balance sheet is solid with a high equity ratio of 83.7%, indicating low financial leverage. A declining debt-to-equity ratio, currently at 0.01, shows effective management of debt levels. Return on Equity is negative due to the net losses, highlighting a need for profitability improvements. The strong liquidity position with significant cash reserves supports financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
MongoDB's cash flow statement reveals strong free cash flow growth, with TTM free cash flow reaching $167.50 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, highlighting effective cash generation despite net losses. Positive free cash flow to net income ratio indicates potential for sustained cash flow improvement.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.10B2.01B1.68B1.28B873.78M590.38M
Gross Profit1.53B1.47B1.26B934.74M614.29M413.30M
EBITDA-82.27M-96.53M-122.34M-294.27M-267.12M-186.03M
Net Income-86.11M-129.07M-176.60M-345.40M-306.87M-266.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.62B3.43B2.87B2.59B2.45B1.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.45B2.34B2.02B1.84B1.83B957.74M
Total Debt37.00M36.50M1.23B1.18B1.18B979.17M
Total Liabilities591.47M648.07M1.80B1.85B1.78B1.41B
Stockholders Equity3.03B2.78B1.07B739.51M666.70M-5.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow167.50M120.64M115.40M-20.21M-1.09M-54.45M
Operating Cash Flow196.51M150.19M121.48M-12.97M6.98M-42.67M
Investing Cash Flow-557.73M-657.44M188.02M-33.31M-852.14M-262.66M
Financing Cash Flow201.38M202.06M38.24M30.20M890.89M27.58M

MongoDB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price211.34
Price Trends
50DMA
193.62
Positive
100DMA
201.99
Positive
200DMA
239.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.68
Positive
RSI
59.15
Neutral
STOCH
62.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 211.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 209.33, above the 50-day MA of 193.62, and below the 200-day MA of 239.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MDB.

MongoDB Risk Analysis

MongoDB disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MongoDB reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MongoDB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$17.01B28.1219.89%5.61%26.65%
MDMDB
78
Outperform
$17.27B-4.00%19.24%59.66%
76
Outperform
$11.62B26.809.82%3.51%-27.28%
71
Outperform
$1.01B-15.69%8.38%-278.88%
68
Neutral
$1.34B-55.90%12.76%16.97%
64
Neutral
$8.71B-34.18%24.11%21.87%
50
Neutral
AU$1.49B1.75-28.24%3.26%16.24%-7.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MDB
MongoDB
211.34
-55.40
-20.77%
AKAM
Akamai
79.48
-10.99
-12.15%
FFIV
F5 Networks
300.13
128.50
74.87%
YEXT
Yext
8.26
3.18
62.60%
CFLT
Confluent
26.30
-3.01
-10.27%
BASE
Couchbase
24.42
6.36
35.22%

MongoDB Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
MongoDB Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jul 3, 2025

On June 30, 2025, MongoDB, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where five proposals were voted on. Key outcomes included the election of directors Francisco D’Souza, Charles M. Hazard, Jr., and Tom Killalea, approval of executive compensation on a non-binding advisory basis, and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm. Additionally, stockholders approved an amendment to the company’s charter to limit the liability of certain officers, reflecting a strategic move to align with Delaware law.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDB) stock is a Buy with a $360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MongoDB stock, see the MDB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
MongoDB Appoints Michael J. Berry as New CFO
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

On April 28, 2025, MongoDB announced the appointment of Michael J. Berry as Chief Financial Officer, effective May 27, 2025. Berry, who brings over 30 years of experience in the technology and software industry, previously served as CFO at NetApp, McAfee, and other notable companies. His appointment is expected to bolster MongoDB’s strategic and financial objectives, particularly as the company navigates growth opportunities in the software market, including the adoption of GenAI by customers. Berry’s extensive experience in scaling businesses is seen as a valuable asset for MongoDB’s future growth.

Executive/Board Changes
MongoDB Announces CFO Resignation and Transition Plan
Neutral
Apr 21, 2025

On April 21, 2025, MongoDB, Inc. announced the resignation of its Interim Chief Financial Officer, Srdjan (‘Serge’) Tanjga, effective May 8, 2025. The company is in advanced discussions with a qualified candidate and expects to appoint a new CFO within 7-10 days, indicating a smooth transition in its financial leadership.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025