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MongoDB Inc (MDB)
NASDAQ:MDB

MongoDB (MDB) AI Stock Analysis

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MDB

MongoDB

(NASDAQ:MDB)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$418.00
▲(12.16% Upside)
MongoDB's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and technical momentum, bolstered by positive earnings call insights and strategic corporate events. While valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings, the company's growth trajectory and strategic focus on AI provide a compelling long-term investment case.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for MongoDB's products, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term business expansion.
Atlas Performance
Atlas's growth underscores MongoDB's successful cloud strategy, crucial for capturing market share in the growing cloud database segment.
Leadership Change
New leadership with a strong background in cloud infrastructure can drive strategic initiatives, particularly in AI, enhancing MongoDB's competitive edge.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing net losses and negative margins highlight operational challenges, which could hinder sustainable profitability and long-term financial health.
Gross Margin Decline
Declining gross margins may pressure profitability, especially as Atlas grows as a larger percentage of the business, impacting cost efficiency.
AI Adoption Challenges
Slow AI adoption could delay expected benefits from AI-driven strategies, affecting MongoDB's ability to capitalize on AI market opportunities.

MongoDB (MDB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MongoDB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMongoDB, Inc. provides general purpose database platform worldwide. The company offers MongoDB Enterprise Advanced, a commercial database server for enterprise customers to run in the cloud, on-premise, or in a hybrid environment; MongoDB Atlas, a hosted multi-cloud database-as-a-service solution; and Community Server, a free-to-download version of its database, which includes the functionality that developers need to get started with MongoDB. It also provides professional services comprising consulting and training. The company was formerly known as 10gen, Inc. and changed its name to MongoDB, Inc. in August 2013. MongoDB, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMongoDB generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model that includes various tiers of service for its software products, including on-premises licenses and cloud-based offerings via MongoDB Atlas. Key revenue streams include subscriptions for its enterprise and community editions, support services, and cloud services. The company also earns revenue from professional services, such as consulting and training. Significant partnerships with cloud providers, including Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud, enhance its market reach and customer acquisition, contributing to its overall earnings.

MongoDB Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsMongoDB's revenue growth is robust across all regions, with the Americas leading the charge. The latest earnings call highlights a 24% year-over-year revenue increase, driven by Atlas, their cloud-based service, which now constitutes 74% of total revenue. This growth is particularly strong in the U.S. The strategic focus on AI infrastructure is also boosting their self-serve channel, although it hasn't yet significantly impacted overall growth. Despite minor setbacks like a slight gross margin decline, MongoDB's raised guidance underscores confidence in sustained expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

MongoDB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 01, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in revenue, customer base, and profitability, with strong performance from Atlas and an optimistic outlook for future growth. Despite a decline in gross margins and challenges in widespread AI adoption, the company's strategic positioning for AI and robust operational execution indicate a positive trajectory.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Accelerating Atlas Growth
Atlas performance was strong, accelerating to 30% year-over-year growth, up from 29% in Q2 and 26% in Q1. Atlas now represents 75% of total revenue.
Record Revenue and Profitability
Total revenue of $628.3 million, up 19% year-over-year and above the high end of guidance. Delivered non-GAAP operating income of $123.1 million or a 20% non-GAAP operating margin.
Customer Growth
Ended the quarter with over 62,500 customers, adding 2,600 in the quarter and 8,000 year-to-date, reflecting 65% growth in customer additions on a year-to-date basis.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow was $144 million, and free cash flow was $140 million, compared to $37 million and $35 million, respectively, in the year-ago period.
Increased Financial Guidance
Raised financial guidance for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2026, expecting full year revenue growth of 21% to 22%.
Expansion in Fortune 100
MongoDB serves more than 70% of the Fortune 100, with a strong example being a major global insurance provider that has broadly adopted MongoDB.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin for the third quarter was 74%, down from 77% in the year-ago period, primarily driven by Atlas growing as a percent of the overall business.
Challenges with AI Adoption
Many AI projects are still in pilot phases, with few AI agents in production that fundamentally transform businesses.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, MongoDB reported robust financial performance, with total revenue reaching $628.3 million, reflecting a 19% year-over-year increase and surpassing the high end of their guidance. The company highlighted the strong performance of its Atlas product, which saw accelerated growth of 30% year-over-year, contributing to 75% of total revenue. MongoDB also achieved a non-GAAP operating income of $123.1 million, translating to a 20% non-GAAP operating margin. The company ended the quarter with over 62,500 customers, marking an addition of 2,600 customers in the quarter and an 8,000 increase year-to-date, showcasing a 65% growth in customer additions. Looking ahead, MongoDB raised its revenue guidance for the fourth quarter to $665 million to $670 million, indicating a 21% to 22% year-over-year growth, and projected full fiscal year 2026 revenue to be between $2.434 billion and $2.439 billion, emphasizing their continued confidence in both core and AI-driven business opportunities.

MongoDB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MongoDB is on a positive trajectory with strong revenue growth and improved cash flow metrics. While profitability remains a challenge, as evidenced by negative net income and margins, the company has significantly reduced its leverage, enhancing financial stability. Continued focus on operational efficiency and profitability will be key to sustaining growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
MongoDB has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 4.46%. The gross profit margin remains strong at 71.62%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company is still operating at a net loss with a net profit margin of -3.06%, though this is an improvement from previous periods. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a significant improvement in the debt-to-equity ratio, now at a low 0.012, reflecting reduced leverage and improved financial stability. However, the return on equity remains negative at -2.43%, indicating that the company is not yet generating positive returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
MongoDB's cash flow position has strengthened, with a substantial 45.04% growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.69, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.92 suggests efficient cash management, despite the net losses.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.01B1.68B1.28B873.78M590.38M
Gross Profit1.47B1.26B934.74M614.29M413.30M
EBITDA-96.53M-122.34M-294.27M-267.12M-186.03M
Net Income-129.07M-176.60M-345.40M-306.87M-266.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.43B2.87B2.59B2.45B1.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.34B2.02B1.84B1.83B957.74M
Total Debt36.50M1.18B1.18B1.18B979.17M
Total Liabilities648.07M1.80B1.85B1.78B1.41B
Stockholders Equity2.78B1.07B739.51M666.70M-5.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow120.64M115.40M-20.21M-1.09M-54.45M
Operating Cash Flow150.19M121.48M-12.97M6.98M-42.67M
Investing Cash Flow-657.44M188.02M-33.31M-852.14M-262.66M
Financing Cash Flow202.06M38.24M30.20M890.89M27.58M

MongoDB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price372.68
Price Trends
50DMA
398.29
Negative
100DMA
365.63
Positive
200DMA
289.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.28
Positive
RSI
40.01
Neutral
STOCH
16.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 372.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 402.30, below the 50-day MA of 398.29, and above the 200-day MA of 289.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -6.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MDB.

MongoDB Risk Analysis

MongoDB disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MongoDB reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MongoDB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.05B24.2714.20%204.86%
75
Outperform
$30.22B-422.54-3.23%20.93%68.47%
67
Neutral
$10.89B-33.90-29.62%21.58%18.88%
65
Neutral
$6.95B-63.38-12.84%16.98%-265.85%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$65.94B-47.25-53.32%28.48%-19.12%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MDB
MongoDB
372.68
103.85
38.63%
ESTC
Elastic
65.48
-46.04
-41.28%
SNOW
Snowflake
190.68
8.14
4.46%
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings
59.81
19.57
48.63%
CFLT
Confluent
30.54
1.58
5.46%

MongoDB Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
MongoDB Appoints Chirantan Desai as New CEO
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, MongoDB announced a leadership transition with the appointment of Chirantan ‘CJ’ Desai as the new President and CEO, effective November 10, 2025. Desai, with a strong background in cloud infrastructure and enterprise software, succeeds Dev Ittycheria, who will remain on the Board and serve as an advisor. This transition follows a comprehensive search for a leader capable of driving MongoDB’s growth in AI-driven applications. The company also expects to exceed its Q3 FY26 financial guidance, driven by the strength of its Atlas platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDB) stock is a Buy with a $389.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MongoDB stock, see the MDB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025