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Couchbase (BASE)
NASDAQ:BASE
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Couchbase (BASE) AI Stock Analysis

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BASE

Couchbase

(NASDAQ:BASE)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(6.38% Upside)
Couchbase's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting growth in ARR and strategic innovations. However, financial performance and valuation concerns, including ongoing profitability challenges and a negative P/E ratio, weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong ARR growth indicates robust demand for Couchbase's products, suggesting a solid market position and potential for continued expansion.
Strategic Innovations
Innovations in AI and edge capabilities enhance product offerings, potentially driving future growth and maintaining competitive advantage.
Low Leverage
Low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility, allowing Couchbase to invest in growth opportunities without significant debt burden.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues could hinder long-term financial health, affecting Couchbase's ability to reinvest in business growth.
Negative Operating Cash Flow
Negative cash flow indicates liquidity challenges, potentially restricting Couchbase's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives.
Decline in Customer Count
A decline in customer count may signal retention issues, impacting future revenue growth and market share stability.

Couchbase (BASE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Couchbase Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCouchbase, Inc. is a leading provider of a NoSQL cloud database platform designed to help businesses manage and analyze large volumes of data with high speed and flexibility. The company operates primarily in the technology sector, focusing on database management solutions that cater to various industries, including finance, e-commerce, and telecommunications. Couchbase's core products include the Couchbase Server, a distributed NoSQL database, and Couchbase Capella, a fully managed cloud database service, enabling organizations to build and scale applications seamlessly.
How the Company Makes MoneyCouchbase generates revenue through a subscription-based model, offering various licensing options for its database products, including on-premises and cloud-based services. Key revenue streams include annual subscriptions for Couchbase Server and Couchbase Capella, professional services for implementation and support, and training services for customers. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with cloud providers and technology integrators, enhancing its market reach and customer acquisition. Additionally, Couchbase has seen growth through upselling and cross-selling additional features and services to its existing customer base.

Couchbase Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Customers
Total Customers
Indicates the total number of customers using Couchbase's services, reflecting market penetration and overall demand for its database solutions.
Chart InsightsCouchbase's customer growth has been robust, reaching 947 by early 2025, reflecting strategic account engagement and Capella's strong adoption. However, the latest earnings call reveals a slight decline in net new customers due to churn in starter packs, despite overall healthy retention. This suggests a need to address entry-level customer retention while capitalizing on high-value accounts. The company's focus on AI and edge innovations could further bolster customer acquisition and retention, supporting future growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Couchbase Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 09, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong net new ARR and Capella growth, successful strategic account expansion, and product innovations. However, challenges such as a decline in professional service revenue, customer churn in starter packs, and negative cash flow were also highlighted.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net New ARR Growth
Net new ARR was $14.2 million, up more than 300% year over year, driven by strategic accounts and Capella adoption.
Capella ARR Growth
Capella ARR increased by 84% year over year, now representing 17.4% of total ARR, highlighting strong adoption and consumption growth.
Expansion in Strategic Accounts
Couchbase gained new wins in various industries, including energy, defense, and healthcare, indicating strong strategic account growth.
New Product Launches and Innovations
Introduced Couchbase Edge Server and enhanced AI capabilities, empowering developers with new features and capabilities.
Negative Updates
Professional Service Revenue Decline
Professional service revenue was $1.7 million, down 27% year over year and 22% sequentially, indicating a decline in this segment.
Customer Churn in Starter Packs
Decline in customer count due to churn in customers with starter packs, which were introduced last year.
Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow Negative
Operating cash flow for the first quarter was negative $6.8 million, and free cash flow was negative $8.6 million or a negative 15.3% free cash flow margin.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Couchbase, Inc. reported a total ARR of $252.1 million, reflecting a 21% year-over-year increase and a 6% sequential growth, surpassing the high end of their guidance. Net new ARR reached $14.2 million, up over 300% from the previous year. Revenue for Q1 was $56.5 million, marking a 10% increase year over year and a 3% sequential rise. Despite a $4.2 million non-GAAP operating loss, Couchbase highlighted significant growth in Capella adoption, with Capella ARR increasing by 84% year over year to $44 million, now constituting 17.4% of total ARR. The company also maintained a dollar-based net retention rate above 114%. Guidance for the full fiscal year 2026 was revised, with expected total revenue between $228.3 million and $232.3 million and ARR projected to range from $279.3 million to $284.3 million, both reflecting a stable growth outlook. Couchbase continues to focus on strategic accounts and new applications, leveraging its Capella free tier to drive developer engagement and long-term customer expansion.

Couchbase Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Couchbase shows strong revenue growth with a healthy gross profit margin. However, it struggles with profitability and cash flow challenges, and has a negative Return on Equity. The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating prudent financial management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Couchbase has shown strong revenue growth, with a TTM growth rate of 17.00% compared to the previous annual period. However, profitability remains a challenge with negative net and EBIT margins, reflecting ongoing losses. Gross Profit Margin is healthy at 87.84% TTM, indicating strong revenue retention after cost of goods sold.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 TTM, suggesting prudent leverage. However, the Return on Equity is negative due to overall net losses, affecting shareholder value. The equity ratio is stable at 51.09%, indicating balanced asset financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Free Cash Flow is declining, with a negative growth rate of 48.81% in the TTM period compared to the previous year. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. However, cash flow from financing activities remains positive, providing liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue220.64M209.47M180.04M154.82M123.54M103.28M
Gross Profit193.63M184.51M157.96M134.56M108.76M91.67M
EBITDA-69.57M-70.51M-76.36M-64.18M-53.73M-29.96M
Net Income-75.23M-74.65M-80.18M-68.49M-58.23M-39.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets250.43M260.60M247.75M253.04M276.74M117.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments142.22M147.17M153.63M168.30M205.95M56.84M
Total Debt8.18M4.32M5.29M7.66M0.0024.95M
Total Liabilities126.42M132.98M117.33M102.78M93.53M103.71M
Stockholders Equity124.01M127.62M130.42M150.26M183.22M13.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-29.46M-18.85M-31.60M-46.83M-42.39M-42.00M
Operating Cash Flow-22.79M-15.83M-26.89M-41.19M-41.57M-39.18M
Investing Cash Flow-9.90M-4.85M15.43M-23.37M-92.03M-22.41M
Financing Cash Flow14.29M9.94M12.93M9.71M192.41M80.50M

Couchbase Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price24.44
Price Trends
50DMA
24.34
Positive
100DMA
22.08
Positive
200DMA
19.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
67.11
Neutral
STOCH
47.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BASE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.40, above the 50-day MA of 24.34, and above the 200-day MA of 19.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 67.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BASE.

Couchbase Risk Analysis

Couchbase disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Couchbase reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Couchbase Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
25.66B-318.76-2.67%21.90%67.81%
72
Outperform
10.87B26.899.50%3.98%-31.18%
67
Neutral
44.24B-1,041.98-2.31%23.31%31.04%
60
Neutral
$1.35B-60.03%10.98%11.62%
56
Neutral
5.16B-28.20-10.95%-20.82%-154.29%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BASE
Couchbase
24.44
10.33
73.21%
AKAM
Akamai
75.84
-23.60
-23.73%
MDB
MongoDB
315.38
31.52
11.10%
ZS
Zscaler
279.46
106.88
61.93%
STNE
Stoneco
19.02
6.67
54.01%

Couchbase Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Couchbase Merger Receives Early FTC Approval
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

Couchbase, Inc. announced a merger agreement with Cascade Parent Inc. and Cascade Merger Sub Inc. on June 20, 2025, with Couchbase becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of the Parent. The Federal Trade Commission granted early termination of the waiting period under the HSR Act on August 7, 2025, but the merger still requires shareholder approval and other regulatory approvals.

M&A Transactions
Couchbase to be Acquired by Haveli Investments
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 20, 2025, Couchbase announced its agreement to be acquired by Haveli Investments for approximately $1.5 billion, with stockholders receiving $24.50 per share in cash. This acquisition, which has been approved by Couchbase’s Board of Directors, marks a significant milestone for the company as it transitions to a privately-held entity. The merger is expected to close in the second half of 2025, subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals. The transaction highlights Couchbase’s strong market position and potential for future growth, as Haveli Investments aims to leverage its operational expertise to expand Couchbase’s market leadership in high-performance database solutions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025