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Okta (OKTA)
NASDAQ:OKTA
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Okta (OKTA) AI Stock Analysis

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OKTA

Okta

(NASDAQ:OKTA)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$86.00
▲(0.12% Upside)
Okta's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial stability and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting growth opportunities in AI security. However, the high valuation and bearish technical indicators weigh down the score. Continued focus on improving profitability and reversing revenue decline will be crucial for future growth.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A robust balance sheet with significant cash reserves provides Okta with financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic uncertainties.
AI Security Growth Catalyst
By capitalizing on AI security, Okta can tap into a growing market, potentially driving long-term revenue growth and enhancing its competitive position.
Revenue Growth Outlook
A positive revenue growth outlook indicates Okta's ability to expand its market presence and increase its customer base, supporting sustained business performance.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A declining revenue growth rate could signal challenges in market expansion and customer acquisition, potentially impacting long-term business momentum.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A significant decline in free cash flow growth can limit Okta's ability to invest in new initiatives and may affect its financial stability over time.
Limited FY '27 Guidance
The absence of guidance for FY '27 introduces uncertainty about Okta's future financial performance, which could affect investor confidence and strategic planning.

Okta (OKTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Okta Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOkta, Inc. is a leading identity and access management company based in the United States. It specializes in providing cloud-based solutions that enable organizations to securely manage user authentication and authorization across various applications and platforms. Okta's core products include Single Sign-On (SSO), Multi-Factor Authentication (MFA), and lifecycle management, catering to businesses of all sizes and across multiple sectors, including technology, healthcare, and finance.
How the Company Makes MoneyOkta primarily generates revenue through a subscription-based model, charging customers for access to its identity management platform. The company's key revenue streams include fees for its various services, such as Single Sign-On and Multi-Factor Authentication, which are typically billed annually or monthly based on the number of users or applications integrated. Additionally, Okta has established strategic partnerships with other technology providers, which can enhance its offerings and drive customer acquisition. The company's success is also bolstered by the increasing demand for security solutions in response to the growing concerns over data breaches and cyber threats.

Okta Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue across different business units, highlighting which segments are driving growth and where Okta might face challenges or opportunities.
Chart InsightsOkta's Subscription revenue continues its steady upward trajectory, reflecting robust demand for its core offerings. However, Professional Services and Other revenue remains stagnant, indicating limited growth in this segment. The latest earnings call underscores strong cash flow and profitability, driven by new product growth and large customer success. Despite these positives, management's cautious guidance for FY 2026 highlights macroeconomic uncertainties and a sequential decline in cRPO, suggesting potential challenges ahead. The strategic specialization of sales teams, particularly in the U.S. public sector, is expected to bolster long-term growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Okta Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 02, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter with significant contributions from new products and a positive financial outlook. The focus on AI security presents a promising growth opportunity. However, there is some uncertainty due to limited guidance for FY '27 and potential risks associated with AI agent security. Overall, the sentiment is positive with optimism for future growth.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Okta reported another solid quarter with improvements in sales productivity, positive trends in key performance indicators, and a strong balance sheet with nearly $2.5 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments.
Growth in New Products
Okta's new products, including Okta Identity Governance and Okta for AI agents, have shown significant contributions to results, with a record number of customers engaging with these solutions.
AI Security as a Growth Catalyst
Okta is focusing on securing AI agents, which is seen as a significant new opportunity and a catalyst for growth. Okta has already engaged with over 100 customers, representing over $200 million in existing ARR.
Positive Outlook for Revenue Growth
For FY '26, Okta expects total revenue growth of 11%, non-GAAP operating margin of 26%, and a free cash flow margin of approximately 29%.
Sales Specialization Strategy Success
The specialization strategy in sales is yielding positive results, with improvements in AE productivity, tenure, and low attrition rates.
Negative Updates
Limited Guidance for FY '27
Due to the importance of Q4, Okta did not provide guidance for FY '27, creating some uncertainty regarding future financial performance.
Potential Risks with AI Agent Security
While there is a surge in interest for AI agent security, it is still early days. The market is dynamic and there is a risk of being locked into a single platform.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 earnings webcast, Okta provided detailed guidance about its financial outlook and market positioning. The company anticipates a total revenue growth of 10% for Q4 and FY 2026, with current RPO growth projected at 9%. Okta expects a non-GAAP operating margin of 25% for Q4 and a free cash flow margin of approximately 31%. For the full year FY 2026, Okta has raised its outlook, now predicting an 11% total revenue growth, a 26% non-GAAP operating margin, and approximately 29% free cash flow margin. The company plans to issue FY 2027 guidance in the next quarterly earnings call. Emphasizing its strategic focus, Okta reported a strong balance sheet with $2.5 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, and a healthy sales productivity improvement, reinforced by a robust average AE tenure and low attrition levels.

Okta Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Okta demonstrates financial stability with strong gross margins and cash flow management. However, declining revenue growth and modest profitability metrics suggest challenges in scaling operations efficiently. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, providing a buffer against financial risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Okta's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin is strong at 76.83%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is low at 3.39%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. The revenue growth rate has declined significantly by 24.04% TTM, which is concerning. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved but remain modest, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 TTM, indicating low leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is modest at 2.59% TTM, showing some profitability but room for improvement. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability with potential for enhanced returns.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 317.87 TTM, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also high at 98.56%, highlighting effective cash management. However, the free cash flow growth rate has declined by 18.35% TTM, which could impact future liquidity. Overall, cash flow remains a strong aspect of Okta's financials.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.61B2.26B1.86B1.30B835.00M
Gross Profit1.99B1.68B1.31B904.00M617.00M
EBITDA139.00M-245.00M-676.00M-651.00M-156.00M
Net Income28.00M-355.00M-815.00M-848.00M-266.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.44B8.99B9.31B9.21B3.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.52B2.20B2.58B2.50B2.56B
Total Debt952.00M1.30B2.37B2.03B1.97B
Total Liabilities3.03B3.10B3.84B3.28B2.60B
Stockholders Equity6.41B5.89B5.47B5.92B694.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow730.00M488.00M63.00M87.00M111.00M
Operating Cash Flow750.00M512.00M86.00M104.00M128.00M
Investing Cash Flow-314.00M441.00M-130.00M-367.00M-1.30B
Financing Cash Flow-359.00M-883.00M48.00M89.00M1.09B

Okta Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price85.90
Price Trends
50DMA
86.99
Negative
100DMA
89.98
Negative
200DMA
97.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.79
Negative
RSI
56.26
Neutral
STOCH
87.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OKTA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 85.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.50, below the 50-day MA of 86.99, and below the 200-day MA of 97.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OKTA.

Okta Risk Analysis

Okta disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Okta reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Okta Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$61.68B34.07228.04%14.78%22.52%
67
Neutral
$129.08B-405.28-8.88%22.05%-341.24%
62
Neutral
$14.43B79.352.96%12.12%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$38.57B-2.41%23.24%-8.83%
58
Neutral
$71.51B-8.88%28.06%-7.44%
39
Underperform
$11.05B25.99%-25.47%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OKTA
Okta
85.89
2.69
3.23%
FTNT
Fortinet
86.92
-10.12
-10.43%
ZS
Zscaler
242.68
36.55
17.73%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
512.03
158.43
44.80%
NET
Cloudflare
200.95
87.08
76.47%
SAIL
SailPoint, Inc.
20.24
-4.31
-17.56%

Okta Corporate Events

Okta’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Optimism
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for Okta, Inc. conveyed a predominantly positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s strong Q2 performance and growth prospects. The call emphasized significant achievements in the public sector, a robust pipeline, and strategic acquisitions, all contributing to an optimistic outlook. Despite minor challenges in the federal vertical and stabilization of Net Revenue Retention (NRR), the sentiment remained upbeat, with raised revenue and margin guidance for fiscal year 2026.

Okta, Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2026 Financial Results
Aug 27, 2025

Okta, Inc. is a leading independent identity management company that provides secure identity solutions for businesses and developers, empowering them to use technology safely and efficiently. The company operates primarily in the technology sector, focusing on authentication and authorization services.

Financial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Okta Reports Q2 2026 Financial Results with Revenue Growth
Positive
Aug 26, 2025

On August 26, 2025, Okta announced its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, highlighting a 13% year-over-year revenue growth and a 12% increase in subscription revenue. The company reported significant improvements in operating cash flow and net income, reflecting strong product adoption and performance in the public sector. Additionally, Okta has reached a preliminary settlement in ongoing stockholder derivative litigation, with a final approval hearing scheduled for October 24, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKTA) stock is a Buy with a $119.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Okta stock, see the OKTA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025