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Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras (EBR.B)
NYSE:EBR.B
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Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras (EBR.B) AI Stock Analysis

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EBR.B

Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras

(NYSE:EBR.B)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$9.00
â–²(5.51% Upside)
The overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The attractive valuation and positive earnings call sentiment further enhance the score. While regulatory challenges exist, the company's strategic initiatives and financial health position it well for future growth.

Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras (EBR.B) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobras, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, thermal, nuclear, wind, and solar plants. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and operated 32 hydroelectric plants with a total installed capacity of 46,295.75 megawatts; nine thermal plants, including coal, and oil and gas power generation units with a total installed capacity of 1,505 megawatts; and two nuclear power plants comprising Angra I with an installed capacity of 640 megawatts and Angra II with an installed capacity of 1,350 megawatts. It also operates 66,556 kilometers of transmission lines. The company was incorporated in 1962 and is based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyEBR.B generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to its customers. The company's revenue model is built on several key streams, including residential and commercial electricity tariffs, which are regulated by government authorities. Additionally, the company may benefit from long-term contracts and agreements with industrial clients that provide a stable income. Significant partnerships with governmental bodies and other energy providers can also enhance its market position and contribute to earnings. Furthermore, investments in renewable energy projects may open up additional revenue streams as the demand for sustainable energy solutions increases.

Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a company that is successfully navigating post-privatization challenges, with significant improvements in debt reduction, dividend payouts, and investment growth. However, regulatory adjustments and external market challenges such as GSF and liquidity issues present ongoing hurdles.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Reduction of Compulsory Debt
Eletrobrás reduced its compulsory debt from BRL 20 billion to under BRL 12 billion, demonstrating effective liability management.
Record Dividend Payout
The company announced a BRL 4 billion dividend payout, indicating strong financial performance and commitment to shareholder returns.
Increase in Generation Margins
Contributions from generation increased by 21% compared to Q1 2025 and 16% compared to Q2 2024, offsetting a drop in transmission revenue.
Significant Investment Growth
Investments grew by 116% versus Q1 2025, focusing on reinforcements and improvements, with a target of over BRL 4 billion for the year.
Successful Completion of Infrastructure Projects
Completion of the Caladinho project and financial rebalancing for Transnorte Energia, including extending the concession term from 17 to 27 years.
Negative Updates
Reported Loss Due to Regulatory Adjustments
Eletrobrás reported a loss of BRL 1.3 billion, primarily due to the regulatory remeasurement of transmission contracts.
Challenges with GSF and Liquidity
The challenging GSF scenario and liquidity constraints affected the company's ability to fully capitalize on the high energy prices.
Company Guidance
During Eletrobrás' earnings call for the second quarter of 2025, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. CEO Ivan de Souza Monteiro highlighted the reduction of compulsory debt from BRL 20 billion to under BRL 12 billion and the announcement of a BRL 4 billion dividend payout. The company also reported a 21% increase in generation margins compared to Q1 and a 16% increase versus Q2 2024, despite a drop in transmission revenue. Investments grew significantly by 116% from the first quarter of 2025. Eletrobrás' net income adjusted for regulatory remeasurement would have reached BRL 1.4 billion, marking a 40% increase from the previous year. The company's energy trading strategy contributed BRL 1.6 billion in contribution margins for the second quarter. Additionally, they discussed the completion of significant projects like the Coxilha Negra Wind Farm and the Transnorte Energia transmission line. Moving forward, Eletrobrás aims to consolidate these initiatives, with a focus on increasing predictability, improving capital allocation, and continuing modernization efforts leveraging new technologies.

Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive profitability and growth metrics. The income statement shows robust margins, while the balance sheet reflects stability with a healthy mix of debt and equity. The cash flow statement highlights solid cash generation, although there is room for improvement in ROE and consistency in cash flows.
Income Statement
80
Positive
In the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras showed a strong gross profit margin of 83.16%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin was also robust at 23.15%, reflecting solid profitability. Revenue growth over the past year was 4.23%, signaling steady expansion. The EBIT margin was 29.36%, and the EBITDA margin stood at 47.73%, both indicating healthy operating performance. Overall, the income statement suggests a sound financial performance with impressive profitability and growth metrics.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60, implying a balanced approach to leverage. The return on equity (ROE) for the TTM is 7.98%, showing moderate efficiency in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is 43.07%, indicating a strong capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity. The balance sheet reflects stability with a healthy mix of debt and equity, although the ROE could be improved for enhanced shareholder value.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate was 22.71% in the most recent period, demonstrating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was 1.45, indicating that operating cash flows substantially cover net income, which is a positive indicator of cash flow health. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.18 also underscores strong cash conversion. Overall, the cash flow statement shows a solid cash position with good growth, although consistency in cash flow trends can be further enhanced.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.68B40.18B37.16B34.07B37.62B29.08B
Gross Profit35.97B34.23B18.49B18.22B25.66B15.65B
EBITDA17.26B20.73B11.81B9.07B14.08B11.33B
Net Income6.63B10.38B4.55B2.65B5.65B6.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets274.96B289.87B267.06B270.22B188.30B178.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.39B29.83B15.97B23.62B16.53B14.33B
Total Debt73.47B78.24B63.15B61.15B46.14B49.10B
Total Liabilities156.21B167.87B154.59B159.19B111.89B105.22B
Stockholders Equity118.71B121.86B112.33B110.50B76.12B73.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.65B9.29B4.12B-24.35B-10.92B1.80B
Operating Cash Flow16.13B12.39B8.24B9.28B-8.23B4.20B
Investing Cash Flow-1.66B-8.66B827.04M-28.80B123.99M2.44B
Financing Cash Flow-9.89B9.80B-6.76B30.07B-8.45B-6.69B

Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.53
Price Trends
50DMA
7.78
Positive
100DMA
7.81
Positive
200DMA
7.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
63.28
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EBR.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.90, above the 50-day MA of 7.78, and above the 200-day MA of 7.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EBR.B.

Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras Risk Analysis

Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$18.17B15.776.01%7.88%6.41%37.23%
77
Outperform
$17.67B14.286.01%7.86%6.41%37.23%
68
Neutral
$17.80B3.9515.47%0.35%1.28%124.47%
68
Neutral
$5.97B29.186.36%2.85%10.23%114.67%
67
Neutral
$17.69B18.145.29%3.53%7.33%12.21%
65
Neutral
$1.68B10.019.38%3.19%-9.20%-53.99%
61
Neutral
$4.73B32.752.89%6.42%-19.56%-83.31%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EBR.B
Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras
8.53
0.74
9.50%
KEP
Korea Electric Power
14.21
6.17
76.74%
TXNM
TXNM Energy
56.73
17.11
43.19%
EBR
Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras
7.85
0.78
11.03%
ENIC
Enel Chile SA
3.48
0.80
29.85%
CEPU
Central Puerto SA
11.02
2.41
27.99%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025