Central Puerto (CEPU)
:CEPU
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Central Puerto SA (CEPU) AI Stock Analysis

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CEPU

Central Puerto SA

(NYSE:CEPU)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(82.99% Upside)
Central Puerto SA's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators are the primary drivers of its high stock score. The company's robust earnings growth and strategic initiatives, such as market liberalization and renewable energy expansion, further enhance its outlook. However, liquidity concerns due to declining free cash flow and uncertainties in hydro generation and market dynamics slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Market Liberalization
The liberalization of the power market allows Central Puerto to benefit from dollar-denominated revenues, reducing currency risk and enhancing financial stability.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquiring renewable assets like the Cafayate solar farm strengthens Central Puerto's position in the renewable energy sector, supporting long-term growth and diversification.
Strong EBITDA Growth
Significant EBITDA growth indicates robust operational performance and effective cost management, supporting sustainable profitability.
Negative Factors
Declining Free Cash Flow
A sharp decline in free cash flow growth could impact liquidity, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt.
Decreased Hydro Generation
Reduced hydro generation affects overall energy output, potentially impacting revenue and highlighting vulnerability to environmental factors.
Uncertain Market Dynamics
Uncertainty in market dynamics can affect revenue predictability and strategic planning, posing risks to long-term business stability.

Central Puerto SA (CEPU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Central Puerto SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentral Puerto SA (CEPU) is a leading energy company based in Argentina, primarily engaged in the generation and commercialization of electricity. The company operates a diverse portfolio of power plants, including thermal and renewable energy sources, which positions it strategically within the country's energy sector. CEPU focuses on providing sustainable energy solutions while contributing to the national grid, catering to both residential and commercial customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentral Puerto SA generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to the Argentine electricity market. The company earns money by operating its power generation facilities, which include thermal plants powered by natural gas, as well as wind and hydroelectric plants. Key revenue streams include long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with government entities and private companies, as well as participation in the wholesale electricity market. Additionally, CEPU benefits from its strategic partnerships with various stakeholders in the energy sector, which can enhance its operational efficiency and market reach. The company may also generate supplementary income through ancillary services related to grid stability and energy management.

Central Puerto SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant financial growth, successful project acquisitions, and a positive outlook driven by market liberalization. However, challenges remain in the form of decreased hydro generation and uncertain market dynamics in the newly liberalized environment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA reached $101.1 million, up 64% quarter-on-quarter and 8% year-on-year, reflecting effective fuel cost pass-through and solid operational performance.
Revenue Increase
Revenues totaled $233.9 million, up 30% quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to higher contract sales from renewables and thermal.
Moody’s Credit Rating Upgrade
Moody's upgraded Central Puerto's rating to AA from AA-, signaling a healthy financial position.
Battery Energy Storage System Award
Successfully participated in the AlmaGBA BESS bidding process, adding 205-megawatt hours of new capacity, scheduled to be operational by mid-2027.
Market Liberalization Impact
Resolution 400/25 by the Energy Secretariat marks a pivotal step in market liberalization, creating a strong business outlook. The new spot revenues are now denominated in dollars, mitigating currency and inflation risk.
Acquisition of Cafayate Solar Farm
Acquired Cafayate solar farm, adding 80 megawatts of installed capacity, contributing to a 24% increase in renewable generation revenues.
Negative Updates
Year-on-Year Generation Decline
Total generation was 20% down year-on-year, primarily due to lower hydrology at Piedra del Aguila.
Hydro Generation Decrease
Hydro volumes decreased due to lower hydrology, affecting overall generation output.
Uncertain Market Dynamics
The market for selling to large users remains uncertain, with significant reliance on future regulatory clarity and market stabilization.
Company Guidance
During Central Puerto's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a robust financial performance, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $101.1 million, marking a 64% increase quarter-on-quarter and an 8% rise year-on-year. Revenues also saw a significant uplift to $233.9 million, up 30% quarter-on-quarter, largely due to higher contract sales from renewables and thermal, as well as an increase in fuel cost pass-through revenues. Total generation for the quarter was 4,539 gigawatt hours, a 4% increase from the previous quarter, although it was 20% lower year-on-year due to reduced hydrology at the Piedra del Aguila. The company's net leverage ratio remained healthy at 0.5x adjusted EBITDA, underscoring its strong balance sheet. Central Puerto also highlighted its strategic growth initiatives, including the acquisition of the Cafayate solar farm and successful participation in the AlmaGBA Battery Energy Storage System bidding process, which collectively added 205 megawatt hours of new capacity. The company anticipates significant growth momentum driven by the Energy Secretariat's Resolution 400, which liberalizes the power market, and expects a 20-25% increase in EBITDA as a result. Total financial debt stood at $452 million, with cash and cash equivalents at $292 million, resulting in net debt of $159.9 million. The company also successfully issued a new corporate bond for $89 million and repaid $90 million of maturing debt.

Central Puerto SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Central Puerto SA exhibits strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient operations and a solid balance sheet with low leverage. However, the decline in free cash flow growth poses a potential risk to liquidity. Overall, the company is in a stable financial position with opportunities for improving cash flow management and return on equity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Central Puerto SA demonstrates strong revenue growth with a 16.78% increase in TTM, indicating robust demand. The company maintains healthy profitability with a gross profit margin of 36.76% and a net profit margin of 21.91%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 39.91% and 52.14% respectively, showcasing efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20, indicating prudent leverage management. The equity ratio stands at 64.86%, highlighting a strong equity base. However, the return on equity is relatively low at 0.05%, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns from equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -85.40%, which could be a concern for liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.72, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.38 suggests moderate cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue972.62B738.17B682.84B687.58B346.24B112.05B
Gross Profit366.35B291.64B225.17B325.98B166.92B62.61B
EBITDA522.65B313.94B569.26B349.64B139.78B64.82B
Net Income286.37B49.60B322.39B129.12B-4.50B20.26B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.66T2.66T3.06T1.19T391.45B239.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments399.24B244.02B224.97B158.78B39.20B21.67B
Total Debt280.09B380.79B729.91B197.52B82.10B75.08B
Total Liabilities1.23T798.95B1.19T375.52B144.46B111.51B
Stockholders Equity2.37T1.80T1.82T813.26B246.66B127.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.84M86.29M335.77M52.29B174.41M56.15M
Operating Cash Flow247.67M241.92M369.17M55.64B230.83M225.49M
Investing Cash Flow-275.19M-188.99M-233.15M-211.98B-74.20M-246.58M
Financing Cash Flow64.53M-70.94M-196.19M-110.58B-157.21M-2.66M

Central Puerto SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.29
Price Trends
50DMA
10.73
Positive
100DMA
11.09
Positive
200DMA
11.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.24
Positive
RSI
62.92
Neutral
STOCH
45.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CEPU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.97, below the 50-day MA of 10.73, and below the 200-day MA of 11.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CEPU.

Central Puerto SA Risk Analysis

Central Puerto SA disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Central Puerto SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Central Puerto SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$2.52B14.3213.07%2.39%-4.16%-40.47%
74
Outperform
$24.41B21.01-5.50%5.78%1.52%-159.17%
70
Outperform
-5.50%5.72%1.52%-159.17%
68
Neutral
$1.64B5.4313.91%2.98%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
58
Neutral
$386.03M75.033.60%2.05%13.12%29.97%
56
Neutral
$5.41B78.301.30%5.81%-25.78%-91.93%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CEPU
Central Puerto SA
14.62
1.27
9.51%
EBR.B
Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras
12.06
5.70
89.62%
EDN
Edenor SA
31.45
-5.19
-14.16%
GNE
Genie Energy Commo
14.64
-0.66
-4.31%
EBR
Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras
11.49
5.74
99.83%
ENIC
Enel Chile SA
3.85
1.20
45.28%

Central Puerto SA Corporate Events

Central Puerto S.A. Reports Strong Financial Performance for Nine Months Ending September 2025
Nov 18, 2025

Central Puerto S.A. released its consolidated financial statements for the nine-month period ending September 30, 2025, reporting a significant increase in revenues and net income compared to the previous year. The company achieved a net income of ARS 326.7 million, up from ARS 109.4 million in the same period last year, reflecting strong operational performance and improved financial results, which could enhance its market position and benefit stakeholders.

Central Puerto S.A. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results Amid Market Reforms
Nov 12, 2025

Central Puerto S.A. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a significant 64% increase in Adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous quarter, driven by increased revenues and strategic acquisitions. The company is benefiting from Argentina’s electricity market reform, which introduces a new market model and dollar-denominated revenues, enhancing its financial stability and positioning in the energy sector.

Central Puerto S.A. Reports Strong Nine-Month Profit and Announces Merger
Nov 12, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Central Puerto S.A.’s Board of Directors approved the financial statements for the period ending September 30, 2025. The company reported a total profit of ARS 326,656,429 for the nine-month period, with ARS 323,504,796 attributable to shareholders. Additionally, the company underwent a merger with Operating S.A., Hidroneuquén S.A., and Sociedad Argentina de Energía S.A., resulting in no single shareholder holding a controlling interest. This development may affect shareholding dynamics, as the company is listed on major stock exchanges.

Central Puerto S.A. Adjusts Share Repurchase Price
Oct 24, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced a modification to the purchase price under its share repurchase program. The new maximum purchase price is set at US$ 11 per American Depositary Receipt on the NYSE and AR$ 1,750 per common share on Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos. This adjustment reflects the company’s strategic financial management and could influence investor perceptions and market positioning.

Central Puerto S.A. Completes Significant Share Repurchase
Oct 20, 2025

On October 17, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of its own shares, totaling 131,000 common shares at an average price of ARS 1,474.28 per share, amounting to ARS 193,130,372. This move, executed on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA), is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure effectively, without exceeding 25% of the average daily trading volume over the past 90 business days.

Central Puerto S.A. Executes Share Buyback on BYMA
Oct 16, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced that it has repurchased 295,000 of its own book-entry common shares on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA) at an average price of ARS 1,421.72 per share, totaling ARS 419,408,308. This strategic move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its capital structure effectively and enhance shareholder value, without exceeding 25% of the average daily trading volume over the past 90 business days.

Central Puerto S.A. Executes Share Repurchase on BYMA
Oct 15, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of 284,000 of its own common shares on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA) at an average price of ARS 1,359.49 per share, totaling ARS 386,093,966. This strategic move is in compliance with the Capital Markets Law and aims to consolidate the company’s market position, potentially impacting shareholder value positively by reducing the number of shares outstanding.

Central Puerto S.A. Executes Strategic Share Repurchase
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of its own shares, acquiring 284,000 book-entry common shares on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA) at an average price of ARS 1,330.33 per share, totaling ARS 377,812,619. This strategic move is part of the company’s efforts to manage its capital structure and enhance shareholder value, without exceeding 25% of the average daily trading volume over the past 90 business days.

Central Puerto S.A. Repurchases Shares to Bolster Market Position
Oct 10, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of its own shares, acquiring 280,000 book-entry common shares at an average price of ARS 1,330.06 per share, totaling ARS 372,415,880. This strategic move, executed on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA), did not exceed 25% of the average daily trading volume of the company’s shares over the past ninety business days, potentially strengthening its market position and shareholder value.

Central Puerto S.A. Executes Share Repurchase on BYMA
Oct 9, 2025

On October 8, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of 202,000 of its own book-entry common shares on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA) at an average price of ARS 1,210.26 per share, totaling ARS 244,473,062. This strategic move is part of the company’s efforts to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value, without exceeding 25% of the average daily trading volume over the past 90 days.

Central Puerto S.A. Announces Strategic Share Repurchase
Oct 7, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of its own shares, acquiring 265,000 book-entry common shares at an average price of ARS 1,206.24 per share, totaling ARS 319,654,680. This strategic move, conducted on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA), did not exceed 25% of the average daily trading volume over the past ninety business days, indicating a calculated approach to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

Central Puerto S.A. Executes Strategic Share Repurchase
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of its own shares, adhering to the regulations of the Comisión Nacional de Valores and the Capital Markets Law. The company acquired 233,000 book-entry common shares at an average price of ARS 1,195.35 per share, amounting to a total of ARS 278,516,557. This strategic move did not exceed 25% of the average daily trading volume over the past 90 business days, potentially strengthening the company’s market position and shareholder value.

Central Puerto S.A. Completes Share Repurchase on BYMA
Oct 3, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of 230,000 of its own shares on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA) at an average price of ARS 1,216.73 per share, totaling ARS 279,847,875. This strategic move is part of the company’s efforts to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value, while adhering to the regulatory limits on daily trading volumes.

Central Puerto S.A. Executes Strategic Share Repurchase
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of 200,000 of its own shares on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA) at an average price of ARS 1,253.26 per share, totaling ARS 250,651,549. This strategic move, compliant with Argentine Capital Markets Law, aims to consolidate the company’s market position and potentially enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding shares.

Central Puerto S.A. Completes Share Repurchase on September 30, 2025
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of its own shares, acquiring 240,000 book-entry common shares at an average price of ARS 1,239.22 per share, totaling ARS 297,412,083. This strategic move is part of the company’s efforts to manage its capital structure and enhance shareholder value, reflecting a strong position in the market.

Central Puerto S.A. Announces USD 20 Million Share Buyback Program
Sep 26, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced that its Board of Directors, with the input from the Audit and Supervisory Committees, has approved a share buyback program worth up to USD 20 million. This move is intended to enhance shareholder value by increasing their stake in the company’s strategic assets. The buyback will not exceed 10% of the company’s share capital and will be conducted over a period of 180 days. The company assures that it has the necessary liquidity to execute this plan without affecting its financial stability, signaling a positive outlook for stakeholders.

Central Puerto S.A. Announces Strategic Split-Off-Merger with ECOGAS
Sep 22, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. will execute a significant corporate reorganization involving a split-off-merger with ECOGAS Inversiones S.A., following approvals from relevant authorities. This strategic move involves the transfer of shares and cash to ECOGAS and the issuance of new shares to CEPU shareholders, aiming to streamline operations and potentially enhance shareholder value.

Central Puerto Completes Spin-Off-Merger with ECOGAS
Sep 11, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the completion of a spin-off-merger with ECOGAS Inversiones S.A., which was initially approved on May 22, 2025. The corporate reorganization, effective from October 1, 2025, involves the transfer of equity and issuance of new shares, impacting the company’s shareholder structure and market operations. This strategic move is expected to streamline operations and enhance shareholder value, with implications for investors holding shares through CEPU’s ADR program.

Central Puerto S.A. Finalizes Merger with CP Renovables
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the completion of its merger with CP Renovables S.A., following the authorization by the National Securities Commission. The merger, initially approved on May 22, 2025, will take effect on October 1, 2025, with Central Puerto acquiring all assets of CP Renovables, which will be dissolved without liquidation. This strategic move is expected to enhance Central Puerto’s operational capacity and market position.

Central Puerto Reports Decreased Q2 2025 Financial Results Amid Regulatory Changes
Aug 22, 2025

Central Puerto S.A. reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showing a significant decrease in adjusted EBITDA to US$ 61.4 million, down 32% from the previous quarter but up 35% from the same period last year. The decline in generation volumes, primarily due to maintenance work at key facilities, contributed to an 8% drop in revenues compared to the first quarter. Regulatory changes, including adjustments to electricity and gas laws and spot price adjustments, were also highlighted, indicating potential impacts on future operations.

Central Puerto S.A. Acquires Cafayate Solar Project
Aug 21, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced a purchase and sale agreement with Canadian Solar Energy Group B.V. and Canadian Solar UY Holding Latam S.A. to acquire 100% of the shares and votes of Fieldfare Argentina S.R.L., which owns and operates the Cafayate Solar Project in Salta Province. This acquisition, expected to close on September 2, 2025, underscores Central Puerto’s commitment to renewable energy and marks a significant step in its strategy to diversify its technology and strengthen its presence in the renewable energy market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025