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Central Puerto (CEPU)
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Central Puerto SA (CEPU) AI Stock Analysis

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CEPU

Central Puerto SA

(NYSE:CEPU)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(61.46% Upside)
Central Puerto SA's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, and recent earnings call challenges highlight operational risks. The company's strategic project progress and solid financial position provide a positive outlook.

Central Puerto SA (CEPU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Central Puerto SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentral Puerto SA (CEPU) is a leading energy company based in Argentina, primarily engaged in the generation and commercialization of electricity. It operates a diversified portfolio of power plants, including thermal and renewable energy facilities, catering to both the national and regional electricity markets. CEPU is focused on providing reliable energy solutions while investing in sustainable practices and technologies to enhance its operational efficiency and environmental responsibility.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentral Puerto SA generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to wholesale and retail customers in Argentina. The company operates under various contracts and tariff structures, including long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with government entities and private companies. Key revenue streams include the sale of energy generated from its thermal plants, which predominantly utilize natural gas, as well as from renewable sources such as wind and solar power. Additionally, CEPU benefits from ancillary services and capacity payments, which provide further income based on its ability to deliver electricity during peak demand periods. Strategic partnerships with local and international energy firms, along with participation in government renewable energy programs, also contribute to its revenue growth and market presence.

Central Puerto SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Central Puerto's progress in strategic projects and maintaining a strong financial position. However, the decrease in adjusted EBITDA and generation volumes, along with unplanned maintenance costs, posed significant challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Increase Despite Challenges
Revenues in Q2 were $179.6 million, an increase of 7% compared to the same quarter of the previous year, despite a decrease of 8% compared to the previous quarter.
Significant Project Progress
Brigadier Lopez combined cycle and San Carlos solar project are at approximately 80% completion with expected commercial operation before year-end, adding 155 megawatts of installed capacity.
Strong Financial Position
Net leverage ratio of 0.56x the last 12-month adjusted EBITDA, reflecting a solid financial position with cash and cash equivalents balance of $235 million.
Ongoing Growth Strategy
Central Puerto is actively engaged in increasing capacity and participating in new projects including Brigadier Lopez, San Carlos, and Alamitos projects, as well as battery storage tenders.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was $61.4 million, a 32% decrease compared to the previous quarter.
Significant Decrease in Generation Volumes
Total generation volumes were 4,372 gigawatt hours, a 24% decrease compared to the first quarter and a 12% decline year-on-year, primarily due to scheduled upgrades and maintenance.
Unplanned Maintenance Costs
Unplanned maintenance in Central Costanera's boilers resulted in additional costs of approximately $18-$20 million, impacting revenues.
Company Guidance
In Central Puerto's second quarter of 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and operational updates were discussed. The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was reported at $61.4 million, marking a 32% decrease from the previous quarter and a 35% increase year-on-year. Total generation volumes were 4,372 gigawatt hours, which is a 24% decrease from the prior quarter and a 12% decline from the same period last year, largely due to scheduled maintenance and upgrades at the Central Costanera and Central Puerto plants. Revenues for the quarter stood at $179.6 million, down 8% from the previous quarter but up 7% year-over-year, with 89.6% of these revenues stemming from energy sales. The quarter saw capital expenditures of $102.4 million, primarily towards the 155 megawatts of additional capacity under development, including projects like Brigadier Lopez and San Carlos, expected to be completed by year-end. Financially, the company maintained a solid position with a net leverage ratio of 0.56x the last 12-month adjusted EBITDA. On the regulatory front, spot prices in pesos were adjusted for inflation, contributing to a compounded 5.1% increase for the quarter. The company also addressed ongoing projects and future plans, including the Alamitos wind project and participation in the battery storage tender process.

Central Puerto SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Central Puerto SA shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency with solid margins and a stable balance sheet. However, the low return on equity and declining free cash flow growth rate are areas for improvement.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Central Puerto SA demonstrates strong revenue growth with an 8.04% increase in TTM, supported by a solid gross profit margin of 39.29%. The net profit margin is moderate at 6.06%, indicating efficient cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 29.67% and 43.38%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin has decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21, indicating prudent leverage use. The equity ratio stands at 69.83%, reflecting a strong equity base. However, the return on equity is relatively low at 0.01%, suggesting limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The balance sheet shows stability, but there is potential for enhancing returns on equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.69, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.45, showing a reasonable conversion of income to free cash flow. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -24.07%, highlighting a decline in cash flow generation, which could impact future investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue820.20B738.17B313.57B101.39B111.19B57.52B
Gross Profit301.74B291.62B103.40B48.07B53.53B31.88B
EBITDA487.68B303.86B259.62B186.75B66.76B36.59B
Net Income179.74B49.60B148.04B59.29B-1.45B10.40B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.20T2.66T1.40T381.94B200.96B158.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments258.13B244.02B103.31B158.78B39.20B21.67B
Total Debt439.38B380.79B335.18B63.43B42.15B49.74B
Total Liabilities910.91B798.95B546.72B120.59B74.16B73.88B
Stockholders Equity2.23T1.80T834.82B813.26B246.66B84.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow133.07B115.72B115.78B52.29B20.66B7.32B
Operating Cash Flow345.81B258.22B125.61B55.64B26.04B19.29B
Investing Cash Flow-276.02B-164.91B-138.45B-211.98B-42.00B-26.10B
Financing Cash Flow-47.69B-109.81B-177.29B-110.58B-116.27B-5.56B

Central Puerto SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.29
Price Trends
50DMA
9.40
Positive
100DMA
10.67
Positive
200DMA
11.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.95
Negative
RSI
77.90
Negative
STOCH
90.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CEPU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.55, below the 50-day MA of 9.40, and below the 200-day MA of 11.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.90 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CEPU.

Central Puerto SA Risk Analysis

Central Puerto SA disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Central Puerto SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Central Puerto SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$23.86B20.376.01%6.24%6.41%37.23%
$2.25B12.209.38%2.62%-9.20%-53.99%
$23.56B19.166.01%6.08%6.41%37.23%
$1.49B5.1321.45%11.85%
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
$397.69M48.135.44%2.01%3.75%4.61%
$5.25B37.022.89%5.85%-19.56%-83.31%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CEPU
Central Puerto SA
14.26
3.25
29.52%
EBR.B
Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras
10.95
4.23
62.95%
EDN
Edenor SA
32.03
4.23
15.22%
GNE
Genie Energy Commo
14.89
-0.63
-4.06%
EBR
Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras
10.28
4.16
67.97%
ENIC
Enel Chile SA
3.80
1.23
47.86%

Central Puerto SA Corporate Events

Central Puerto S.A. Adjusts Share Repurchase Price
Oct 24, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced a modification to the purchase price under its share repurchase program. The new maximum purchase price is set at US$ 11 per American Depositary Receipt on the NYSE and AR$ 1,750 per common share on Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos. This adjustment reflects the company’s strategic financial management and could influence investor perceptions and market positioning.

Central Puerto S.A. Completes Significant Share Repurchase
Oct 20, 2025

On October 17, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of its own shares, totaling 131,000 common shares at an average price of ARS 1,474.28 per share, amounting to ARS 193,130,372. This move, executed on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA), is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure effectively, without exceeding 25% of the average daily trading volume over the past 90 business days.

Central Puerto S.A. Executes Share Buyback on BYMA
Oct 16, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced that it has repurchased 295,000 of its own book-entry common shares on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA) at an average price of ARS 1,421.72 per share, totaling ARS 419,408,308. This strategic move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its capital structure effectively and enhance shareholder value, without exceeding 25% of the average daily trading volume over the past 90 business days.

Central Puerto S.A. Executes Share Repurchase on BYMA
Oct 15, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of 284,000 of its own common shares on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA) at an average price of ARS 1,359.49 per share, totaling ARS 386,093,966. This strategic move is in compliance with the Capital Markets Law and aims to consolidate the company’s market position, potentially impacting shareholder value positively by reducing the number of shares outstanding.

Central Puerto S.A. Executes Strategic Share Repurchase
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of its own shares, acquiring 284,000 book-entry common shares on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA) at an average price of ARS 1,330.33 per share, totaling ARS 377,812,619. This strategic move is part of the company’s efforts to manage its capital structure and enhance shareholder value, without exceeding 25% of the average daily trading volume over the past 90 business days.

Central Puerto S.A. Repurchases Shares to Bolster Market Position
Oct 10, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of its own shares, acquiring 280,000 book-entry common shares at an average price of ARS 1,330.06 per share, totaling ARS 372,415,880. This strategic move, executed on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA), did not exceed 25% of the average daily trading volume of the company’s shares over the past ninety business days, potentially strengthening its market position and shareholder value.

Central Puerto S.A. Executes Share Repurchase on BYMA
Oct 9, 2025

On October 8, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of 202,000 of its own book-entry common shares on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA) at an average price of ARS 1,210.26 per share, totaling ARS 244,473,062. This strategic move is part of the company’s efforts to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value, without exceeding 25% of the average daily trading volume over the past 90 days.

Central Puerto S.A. Announces Strategic Share Repurchase
Oct 7, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of its own shares, acquiring 265,000 book-entry common shares at an average price of ARS 1,206.24 per share, totaling ARS 319,654,680. This strategic move, conducted on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA), did not exceed 25% of the average daily trading volume over the past ninety business days, indicating a calculated approach to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

Central Puerto S.A. Executes Strategic Share Repurchase
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of its own shares, adhering to the regulations of the Comisión Nacional de Valores and the Capital Markets Law. The company acquired 233,000 book-entry common shares at an average price of ARS 1,195.35 per share, amounting to a total of ARS 278,516,557. This strategic move did not exceed 25% of the average daily trading volume over the past 90 business days, potentially strengthening the company’s market position and shareholder value.

Central Puerto S.A. Completes Share Repurchase on BYMA
Oct 3, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of 230,000 of its own shares on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA) at an average price of ARS 1,216.73 per share, totaling ARS 279,847,875. This strategic move is part of the company’s efforts to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value, while adhering to the regulatory limits on daily trading volumes.

Central Puerto S.A. Executes Strategic Share Repurchase
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of 200,000 of its own shares on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange (BYMA) at an average price of ARS 1,253.26 per share, totaling ARS 250,651,549. This strategic move, compliant with Argentine Capital Markets Law, aims to consolidate the company’s market position and potentially enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding shares.

Central Puerto S.A. Completes Share Repurchase on September 30, 2025
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the repurchase of its own shares, acquiring 240,000 book-entry common shares at an average price of ARS 1,239.22 per share, totaling ARS 297,412,083. This strategic move is part of the company’s efforts to manage its capital structure and enhance shareholder value, reflecting a strong position in the market.

Central Puerto S.A. Announces USD 20 Million Share Buyback Program
Sep 26, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced that its Board of Directors, with the input from the Audit and Supervisory Committees, has approved a share buyback program worth up to USD 20 million. This move is intended to enhance shareholder value by increasing their stake in the company’s strategic assets. The buyback will not exceed 10% of the company’s share capital and will be conducted over a period of 180 days. The company assures that it has the necessary liquidity to execute this plan without affecting its financial stability, signaling a positive outlook for stakeholders.

Central Puerto S.A. Announces Strategic Split-Off-Merger with ECOGAS
Sep 22, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. will execute a significant corporate reorganization involving a split-off-merger with ECOGAS Inversiones S.A., following approvals from relevant authorities. This strategic move involves the transfer of shares and cash to ECOGAS and the issuance of new shares to CEPU shareholders, aiming to streamline operations and potentially enhance shareholder value.

Central Puerto Completes Spin-Off-Merger with ECOGAS
Sep 11, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the completion of a spin-off-merger with ECOGAS Inversiones S.A., which was initially approved on May 22, 2025. The corporate reorganization, effective from October 1, 2025, involves the transfer of equity and issuance of new shares, impacting the company’s shareholder structure and market operations. This strategic move is expected to streamline operations and enhance shareholder value, with implications for investors holding shares through CEPU’s ADR program.

Central Puerto S.A. Finalizes Merger with CP Renovables
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced the completion of its merger with CP Renovables S.A., following the authorization by the National Securities Commission. The merger, initially approved on May 22, 2025, will take effect on October 1, 2025, with Central Puerto acquiring all assets of CP Renovables, which will be dissolved without liquidation. This strategic move is expected to enhance Central Puerto’s operational capacity and market position.

Central Puerto Reports Decreased Q2 2025 Financial Results Amid Regulatory Changes
Aug 22, 2025

Central Puerto S.A. reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showing a significant decrease in adjusted EBITDA to US$ 61.4 million, down 32% from the previous quarter but up 35% from the same period last year. The decline in generation volumes, primarily due to maintenance work at key facilities, contributed to an 8% drop in revenues compared to the first quarter. Regulatory changes, including adjustments to electricity and gas laws and spot price adjustments, were also highlighted, indicating potential impacts on future operations.

Central Puerto S.A. Acquires Cafayate Solar Project
Aug 21, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Central Puerto S.A. announced a purchase and sale agreement with Canadian Solar Energy Group B.V. and Canadian Solar UY Holding Latam S.A. to acquire 100% of the shares and votes of Fieldfare Argentina S.R.L., which owns and operates the Cafayate Solar Project in Salta Province. This acquisition, expected to close on September 2, 2025, underscores Central Puerto’s commitment to renewable energy and marks a significant step in its strategy to diversify its technology and strengthen its presence in the renewable energy market.

Central Puerto S.A. Releases Mid-2025 Financial Results
Aug 15, 2025

Central Puerto S.A. released its condensed consolidated financial statements for the six-month period ending June 30, 2025. The report includes a comprehensive review of the company’s financial performance, highlighting its operational and strategic initiatives. The financial statements reflect the company’s ongoing commitment to maintaining robust energy production capabilities and expanding its renewable energy footprint, which is crucial for its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025