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Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobras (EBR)
:EBR
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Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras (EBR) AI Stock Analysis

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EBR

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras

(NYSE:EBR)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(0.12% Upside)
Eletrobras receives a strong overall score due to its solid financial performance, favorable valuation, and positive technical indicators. The company's strategic initiatives and significant debt reduction further enhance its outlook. While there are some challenges, such as regulatory impacts on transmission revenue, the overall sentiment remains positive.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Significant debt reduction enhances financial stability and lowers interest expenses, improving long-term cash flow and investment capacity.
Investment Growth
Increased investment signals commitment to growth and expansion, potentially leading to enhanced operational capacity and competitive positioning.
Generation Margin Growth
Rising generation margins indicate improved efficiency and profitability in core operations, supporting sustainable revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Transmission Revenue Decline
Declining transmission revenue can pressure overall profitability and limit growth in a key segment, impacting long-term financial health.
Reported Loss
Regulatory-driven losses highlight vulnerability to policy changes, potentially affecting future earnings stability and predictability.
Liquidity Challenges
Reduced liquidity in the energy market can hinder trading strategies and revenue generation, posing risks to cash flow and operational flexibility.

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras (EBR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras (EBR) is a Brazilian government-owned electric utility company, primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. As one of the largest power generation companies in Latin America, Eletrobras plays a crucial role in Brazil's energy sector, operating in various segments including hydroelectric, thermal, and renewable energy sources. The company focuses on delivering reliable energy services while also participating in energy trading and providing energy efficiency solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyEletrobras generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of electricity generated from its diverse portfolio of power plants, which include hydroelectric, thermal, and renewable energy facilities. The company earns money by selling electricity to both residential and commercial customers, as well as through long-term power purchase agreements with other utilities and energy distributors. Additionally, Eletrobras benefits from its transmission and distribution operations, which involve charging fees for the transport of electricity through its grid infrastructure. The company also engages in energy trading to capitalize on market fluctuations. Significant partnerships with governmental agencies and private sector entities contribute to its earnings, as do investments in renewable energy projects aimed at meeting Brazil's growing energy demands while adhering to sustainability goals.

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in debt reduction, dividend payouts, and investment growth. However, challenges such as a decline in transmission revenue and a reported loss due to regulatory factors were noted. Overall, while there were some challenges, the positive developments in financial performance and strategic initiatives suggest a generally favorable outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Debt Reduction
Reduced compulsory debt from BRL 20 billion to under BRL 12 billion.
Record Dividend Payout
Announced a BRL 4 billion dividend payout due to risk reduction and improved financial performance.
Generation Margin Growth
Contribution from generation to margins increased by 21% versus Q1 2025 and 16% versus Q2 2024.
Investment Surge
Investments grew by 116% versus the first quarter of 2025.
Completion of Transmission Auction
Concluded the first post-privatization transmission auction with the Caladinho project.
Cost Reduction and Efficiency
Achieved a cost reduction with PMSO of BRL 1.4 billion, lower than Q1 and Q2 2024.
Improved Energy Trading Margins
Contribution margins from energy trading increased to BRL 1.6 billion in Q2 2025 from BRL 1 billion in Q1 2025.
Negative Updates
Transmission Revenue Decline
Faced a reduction in RAP (Allowed Revenue for Transmission) which was partially offset by generation revenue.
Reported Loss
A reported loss of BRL 1.3 billion due to regulatory remeasurement of transmission contracts.
Liquidity and Energy Market Challenges
Liquidity in the energy market was slightly lower than last year, affecting sales and trading strategies.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Eletrobrás focused on several strategic initiatives to enhance its financial and operational performance. The company successfully reduced its compulsory debt from BRL 20 billion to under BRL 12 billion and announced a BRL 4 billion dividend payout. Investments grew significantly, with disbursements nearing BRL 2 billion, marking a 116% increase compared to the first quarter. The company also completed the first post-privatization transmission auction, the Caladinho project, and highlighted a 21% increase in generation margins from the previous quarter. Despite posting a reported loss of BRL 1.3 billion due to regulatory adjustments, adjusted net income reached BRL 1.4 billion, a 40% increase from the previous year. Eletrobrás continues to focus on capital allocation and risk reduction, aiming to enhance predictability and efficiency while pursuing growth opportunities through M&A and energy auctions.

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eletrobras demonstrates a solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and profitability. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels. Cash flow generation is improving, although there is room for enhancing free cash flow conversion. Overall, Eletrobras is well-positioned in the regulated electric industry, with opportunities to optimize returns and cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Eletrobras shows a strong income statement with consistent revenue growth and robust profit margins. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 82.99% and a net profit margin of 23.16%, both of which are impressive. However, the net profit margin has decreased from the previous year, indicating some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth rate is positive at 4.31%, showing a steady upward trajectory.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 5.49%, which is relatively low, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with a free cash flow growth rate of 19.77% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.56, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.78 indicates some constraints in converting income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.68B40.18B37.16B34.07B37.62B29.08B
Gross Profit21.66B21.76B18.49B18.22B25.66B15.65B
EBITDA17.26B20.73B11.81B9.07B14.08B11.33B
Net Income6.63B10.38B4.55B2.65B5.65B6.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets274.96B289.87B267.06B270.22B188.30B178.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.39B29.83B15.97B23.62B16.53B14.33B
Total Debt73.47B78.24B63.15B61.15B46.14B49.10B
Total Liabilities156.21B167.87B154.59B159.19B111.89B105.22B
Stockholders Equity118.71B121.86B112.33B110.50B76.12B73.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.65B9.29B4.12B-24.35B-10.92B1.80B
Operating Cash Flow16.13B12.39B8.24B9.28B-8.23B4.20B
Investing Cash Flow-1.66B-8.66B827.04M-28.80B123.99M2.44B
Financing Cash Flow-9.89B9.80B-6.76B30.07B-8.45B-6.69B

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.49
Price Trends
50DMA
7.39
Positive
100DMA
7.27
Positive
200DMA
6.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Negative
RSI
69.77
Neutral
STOCH
84.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EBR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.05, above the 50-day MA of 7.39, and above the 200-day MA of 6.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EBR.

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Risk Analysis

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$19.58B15.996.01%7.36%6.41%37.23%
72
Outperform
$20.51B7.8317.37%5.87%4.26%173.18%
68
Neutral
$17.40B3.8915.47%0.34%0.44%124.47%
68
Neutral
$21.16B20.8612.48%3.01%8.25%4.37%
66
Neutral
$17.40B17.965.60%3.67%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$27.97B19.3912.61%3.16%14.35%3.62%
60
Neutral
$23.76B27.555.63%4.59%14.44%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EBR
Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras
8.49
1.53
21.98%
CMS
CMS Energy
71.22
3.22
4.74%
DTE
DTE Energy
135.64
13.82
11.34%
EIX
Edison International
55.57
-25.62
-31.56%
KEP
Korea Electric Power
14.09
5.68
67.54%
ES
Eversource Energy
64.01
-0.82
-1.26%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025