tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobras (EBR)
:EBR
Advertisement

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras (EBR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
231 Followers

Top Page

EBR

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras

(EBR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(22.19% Upside)
The stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. However, financial performance concerns, particularly negative net income and valuation challenges, weigh on the score.

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras (EBR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
How the Company Makes MoneyEletrobras generates revenue through multiple streams primarily focused on the sale of electricity. The company's revenue model includes the sale of energy generated from its diverse portfolio of power plants, which includes hydroelectric, thermal, and renewable energy facilities. Eletrobras also earns money through long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with distributors and large industrial clients. Additionally, the company receives revenue from the transmission of electricity via its extensive high-voltage transmission network. Key partnerships with other energy companies and governmental entities further enhance its revenue potential, especially in joint ventures for energy projects. Eletrobras is also influenced by regulatory frameworks set by the Brazilian government, which can impact pricing and revenue generation.

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong shareholder compensation, strategic divestments, and significant investments in growth, alongside challenges such as decreased net income and energy pricing issues.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Compensation for Shareholders
AXIA Energia announced a record compensation for shareholders with an additional BRL 4.3 billion payout, adding up to the previously announced BRL 5 billion.
Divestment Strategy
The company is successfully divesting in EMAE and Eletronuclear, including the sale of their stake in Santa Cruz and the acquisition of Tijoa, indicating a strategic move away from nuclear and thermal power plants.
Strong Investment in Growth
AXIA Energia reached record investments between BRL 2.5 billion and BRL 3 billion, with a forecast to reach BRL 10 billion for the year, focusing on operational efficiency and participation in auctions.
Transmission Revenue Increase
There was an increase in revenue from transmission after the tariff review of '24-'25, contributing to financial stability.
Dividend Strategy and Capital Allocation
The company announced a dividend payout of BRL 4.3 billion in December, totaling BRL 8.3 billion for the fiscal year, as part of its capital allocation strategy.
ESG Initiatives
AXIA Energia partnered with Google Cloud for weather forecasting and invested BRL 51 million in water conservation, enhancing their commitment to sustainability.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Income
Reported net income was significantly lower than Q3 of the previous year, primarily due to provisions for the nuclear contract and the effect of asset sales.
One-Off Effects Impacting Revenue
Revenue from generation was affected by one-off effects, including the extension of the Tucurui contract last year.
Challenges in Energy Pricing
Despite improvements, the company acknowledges ongoing challenges in energy pricing dynamics, with prices below average in some segments.
Company Guidance
During AXIA Energia's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. AXIA Energia announced a record compensation for shareholders, with an additional BRL 4.3 billion in dividends, bringing the total to BRL 8.3 billion for the fiscal year. The company highlighted its divestments in EMAE and Eletronuclear, and the acquisition of a 50.1% stake in Tijoa Energia for BRL 247 million, as part of its strategy to streamline operations and focus on clean energy. AXIA Energia reported a record investment target of BRL 10 billion for the year, aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and participating actively in energy auctions, where it recently secured four lots. Financially, the company noted a decrease in net income compared to Q3 2024, attributed to provisions for the nuclear contract and the impact of previous tariff reviews. Despite this, AXIA Energia achieved positive results in energy commercialization, with expectations for another strong quarter ahead. The company emphasized its commitment to sustainability, highlighting a partnership with Google Cloud for AI-driven weather forecasting and investments in water conservation, reinforcing its leadership in the energy transition toward a Net Zero 2030 goal.

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company shows strong gross profit margins and a stable balance sheet. However, the negative net income and declining revenue growth are concerning. Cash flow generation is positive, but the conversion to net income could be improved.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate at -2.38%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 82.35% and a decent EBIT margin of 29.74%. The net profit margin is negative, indicating a net loss, which is a significant weakness.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is low at 5.49%, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio stands at 41.02%, reflecting a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate of 3.66% in the TTM period, which is a positive sign. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, indicating that cash flow from operations is not fully covering net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.83, showing a healthy conversion of net income to free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.64B40.18B37.16B34.07B34.63B25.40B
Gross Profit34.80B21.76B31.63B29.24B30.46B22.09B
EBITDA2.96B16.58B11.81B10.74B15.31B10.75B
Net Income-6.02B10.38B4.55B3.64B5.65B6.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets266.50B289.87B267.06B270.22B188.30B178.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.65B29.83B18.97B22.93B15.67B13.96B
Total Debt75.32B78.24B61.83B61.15B46.14B49.10B
Total Liabilities157.16B167.87B154.59B159.19B111.89B105.22B
Stockholders Equity109.29B121.86B112.33B110.50B76.12B73.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.15B9.29B4.12B-24.35B-10.92B1.80B
Operating Cash Flow16.76B12.39B8.24B9.28B-8.23B4.20B
Investing Cash Flow-7.40B-8.66B827.04M-28.80B123.99M2.44B
Financing Cash Flow-12.54B9.80B-6.76B30.07B-8.45B-6.69B

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.23
Price Trends
50DMA
10.09
Positive
100DMA
8.74
Positive
200DMA
7.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Negative
RSI
65.99
Neutral
STOCH
61.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EBR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.84, above the 50-day MA of 10.09, and above the 200-day MA of 7.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EBR.

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Risk Analysis

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$22.13B7.6519.13%5.76%4.43%123.35%
72
Outperform
$22.20B21.4412.34%2.97%10.96%-0.77%
71
Outperform
$21.62B3.7118.75%0.28%0.52%111.63%
70
Outperform
-5.50%5.72%1.52%-159.17%
67
Neutral
$24.48B20.488.65%4.55%13.12%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$28.05B20.5411.64%3.23%19.42%-9.68%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EBR
Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras
11.33
5.73
102.32%
CMS
CMS Energy
72.95
5.79
8.62%
DTE
DTE Energy
135.05
15.12
12.61%
EIX
Edison International
57.50
-24.77
-30.11%
KEP
Korea Electric Power
16.58
8.00
93.24%
ES
Eversource Energy
65.26
5.45
9.11%

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA - Eletrobras Corporate Events

Eletrobras Reports Strategic Moves and Financial Highlights
Nov 7, 2025

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A. – Eletrobras, also known as AXIA Energia, is a significant player in Brazil’s energy sector, primarily engaged in electricity generation and transmission, with a focus on renewable energy sources.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025