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Evergy (EVRG)
NASDAQ:EVRG
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Evergy (EVRG) AI Stock Analysis

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EVRG

Evergy

(NASDAQ:EVRG)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$74.00
â–²(3.42%Upside)
Evergy's overall stock score is driven by its stable financial performance and reasonable valuation. While technical analysis presents mixed signals, strategic corporate events and a reaffirmed earnings guidance contribute positively. However, high leverage and cash flow challenges pose risks that need addressing.
Positive Factors
Growth Prospects
Evergy's growth prospects are now better aligned with its peers, following revisions to its capital plan.
Regulatory Environment
The process and outcome of the settlement represent a significant improvement from the prior rate case, indicating an improving regulatory environment.
Valuation
Shares are trading at a discount, providing an attractive risk/reward opportunity, reinforcing the Outperform rating.
Negative Factors
Operational Challenges
While this outcome is positive, with the outage in Q1 and the potential weather losses in Q2, there are headwinds to FY guidance.

Evergy (EVRG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Evergy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvergy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in Kansas and Missouri, the United States. It generates electricity through coal, hydroelectric, landfill gas, uranium, and natural gas and oil sources, as well as solar, wind, other renewable sources. The company has approximately 10,100 circuit miles of transmission lines; 39,800 circuit miles of overhead distribution lines; and 13,000 circuit miles of underground distribution lines. It serves approximately 1,620,400 customers, including residences, commercial firms, industrials, municipalities, and other electric utilities. Evergy, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvergy makes money primarily through the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity to approximately 1.6 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's revenue model is mainly based on regulated utility operations, where it earns income through customer billing for electricity usage, which is subject to state regulatory approval for rate adjustments. Evergy's key revenue streams include residential electricity services, commercial and industrial power supply, and renewable energy programs. Additionally, the company benefits from partnerships with renewable energy developers and government incentives aimed at increasing the use of sustainable energy sources, further enhancing its earnings potential.

Evergy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Retail Electric (KWh)
Retail Electric (KWh)
Measures the total kilowatt-hours sold to retail customers, reflecting demand for electricity and the company's market reach and operational efficiency in the retail sector.
Chart InsightsEvergy's Retail Electric demand shows a notable seasonal spike in Q2 for both 2023 and 2024, driven by increased residential and commercial consumption. Despite this, industrial demand faces challenges due to unplanned maintenance and weather impacts, as highlighted in the earnings call. The company remains optimistic about long-term growth, supported by a robust customer pipeline and strategic legislative support in Kansas and Missouri. However, short-term pressures from block pricing and increased expenses could temper immediate gains, although operational efficiencies are expected to stabilize earnings by year-end.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Evergy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.80%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call demonstrated a mix of stability in earnings and robust growth potential through customer pipeline expansion and legislative support, offset by challenges like lower industrial demand and weather-related impacts. The sentiment balances positive long-term growth with some short-term pressures.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Earnings Year-Over-Year
First quarter adjusted earnings were $0.54 per share, consistent with the same period last year, driven by regulated investments offsetting lower industrial demand.
Reaffirmed Earnings Guidance
Evergy reaffirmed its 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $3.92 to $4.12 per share, with a midpoint of $4.02.
Strong Operational Performance
The generation team achieved strong availability and set a new winter peak load record of over 48 gigawatts in the Southwest Power Pool.
Legislative Success
Constructive bills passed in Kansas and Missouri to enhance regulatory frameworks and support infrastructure investment.
Robust Customer Pipeline
Pipeline expanded by 1 gigawatt to 12.2 gigawatts, with 300 megawatts moved from finalizing agreements to actively building.
Integrated Resource Plan Update
The 2025 IRP adds 2.1 gigawatts of new generation from 2025 to 2035, reflecting increased demand growth expectations.
Negative Updates
Lower Industrial Demand
Industrial demand was affected by a large unplanned maintenance shutdown at a major customer's refinery.
Weather-Related Sales Impact
Two heavy snow events limited the business activity in January and February, impacting sales.
Interest and Depreciation Expense Increase
Higher interest and depreciation expenses due to increased infrastructure investments negatively impacted earnings.
Weather-Normalized Demand Decline
Weather-normalized demand decreased by 3%, despite a 2.7% absolute demand growth.
Company Guidance
During the Evergy Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reaffirmed its 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $3.92 to $4.12, with a midpoint at $4.02 per share. Despite a challenging first quarter, where adjusted earnings remained flat year-over-year at $0.54 per share, Evergy anticipates achieving the midpoint of its EPS target by year-end, supported by operational efficiencies and a rebound in demand growth. Retail demand grew by 2.7% and heating degree days increased by 18%, although the benefits were partially offset by block pricing and industrial outages. The company also maintained its long-term EPS growth target of 4% to 6% through 2029, driven by strong operational performance and strategic regulatory frameworks in Kansas and Missouri. Evergy's robust customer pipeline, which increased by 1 gigawatt to 12.2 gigawatts, underpins its future growth, with major projects anticipated to enhance demand growth significantly post-2026.

Evergy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Evergy demonstrates a stable revenue base and profitability with strong margins and moderate growth. However, the balance sheet reflects high leverage, typical for utility companies, posing a risk. Cash flow challenges with negative free cash flow suggest the need for improved capital management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Evergy's income statement shows a stable revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 0.81% compared to prior year. The gross profit margin stands solid at 47.48% TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. Net profit margin is healthy at 14.86% TTM. However, slight fluctuations in EBIT and EBITDA margins at 25.50% and 45.44% TTM, respectively, indicate variability in operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderately leveraged position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.45 TTM, which is typical for the industry. ROE is decent at 8.82% TTM, indicating effective equity utilization. The equity ratio at 30.60% TTM suggests a balanced approach between equity and liabilities but highlights potential risk in high leverage.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Evergy's cash flow shows a concerning free cash flow trajectory, with a negative free cash flow of -$194.8 million TTM. Operating cash flow coverage of net income is strong at 2.42 TTM, indicating good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting challenges in covering capital expenditures.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.85B5.51B5.86B5.59B4.91B
Gross Profit3.03B1.69B2.63B2.63B2.39B
EBITDA2.64B2.42B2.19B2.31B2.04B
Net Income873.50M731.30M752.70M879.70M618.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.28B32.24B29.49B28.52B27.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.00M27.70M25.20M26.20M144.90M
Total Debt14.07B13.27B12.04B11.17B10.32B
Total Liabilities22.29B22.56B20.00B19.28B18.40B
Stockholders Equity9.81B9.66B9.48B9.24B8.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-352.90M-353.80M-364.60M-620.80M193.50M
Operating Cash Flow1.98B1.98B1.80B1.35B1.75B
Investing Cash Flow-2.26B-2.47B-2.15B-1.91B-1.53B
Financing Cash Flow280.30M494.00M349.30M443.40M-98.40M

Evergy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price71.55
Price Trends
50DMA
68.01
Positive
100DMA
67.34
Positive
200DMA
64.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.67
Negative
RSI
65.48
Neutral
STOCH
91.53
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EVRG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.24, above the 50-day MA of 68.01, and above the 200-day MA of 64.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EVRG.

Evergy Risk Analysis

Evergy disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Evergy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Evergy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$22.08B21.7812.48%2.86%8.25%4.37%
76
Outperform
$16.70B22.4310.71%3.07%2.46%5.66%
72
Outperform
$24.66B18.8510.33%3.98%6.44%49.07%
71
Outperform
$20.45B7.8117.37%6.14%4.26%173.18%
69
Neutral
$10.83B18.019.08%3.95%10.69%12.37%
69
Neutral
$16.29B18.658.95%3.70%5.53%23.00%
62
Neutral
HK$29.15B8.505.79%4.93%-3.50%2.59%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EVRG
Evergy
71.55
15.42
27.47%
LNT
Alliant Energy
65.47
12.02
22.49%
CMS
CMS Energy
74.08
11.04
17.51%
EIX
Edison International
53.13
-23.43
-30.60%
FE
FirstEnergy
43.19
3.01
7.49%
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
90.68
8.82
10.77%

Evergy Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Evergy Enters Equity Distribution Agreement for $1.2 Billion
Positive
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Evergy, Inc. entered into an equity distribution agreement with several financial institutions, including Barclays, BofA Securities, Citigroup, and others, to facilitate the offering and sale of up to $1.2 billion in common stock. The agreement allows for sales through ordinary brokers’ transactions on the Nasdaq Stock Market and includes provisions for forward sale agreements. The company intends to use any net proceeds for general corporate purposes, potentially investing in its subsidiaries. This strategic move could enhance Evergy’s financial flexibility and support its growth initiatives, impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Evergy Announces Q1 2025 Financial Results and Dividend
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Evergy announced its first quarter 2025 financial results, reporting GAAP earnings of $125.0 million, or $0.54 per share, a slight increase from $122.7 million, or $0.53 per share, in the same period of 2024. The company reaffirmed its 2025 earnings guidance and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.6675 per share. Evergy’s performance was influenced by the recovery of regulated investments, though partially offset by lower demand due to an unplanned customer maintenance shutdown and other factors. The company also highlighted legislative advancements in Missouri and Kansas that support infrastructure investment and its efforts to gain approval for new generation projects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 10, 2025