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CMS Energy (CMS)
NYSE:CMS
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CMS Energy (CMS) AI Stock Analysis

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CMS

CMS Energy

(NYSE:CMS)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$82.00
▲(13.34% Upside)
CMS Energy's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and a reasonable valuation. Financial performance shows moderate health with some profitability concerns, while technical analysis indicates mild bullish momentum. The company's positive regulatory outcomes and growth outlook further support the score.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Approvals
The approval for significant renewable energy projects enhances CMS Energy's competitive positioning in sustainable energy, aligning with long-term industry trends and regulatory requirements.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth reflects strong demand for CMS Energy's services, supporting long-term financial stability and market presence.
Operational Expansion
The expansion in industrial connections and contracts indicates robust demand and supports future revenue streams, contributing to sustained growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Margins
Decreasing profitability margins suggest challenges in cost management, which could impact long-term financial health if not addressed.
Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, limiting CMS Energy's ability to invest in growth opportunities without additional financing.
Increased Costs
Rising operational costs can pressure margins and profitability, necessitating improved cost control measures to maintain financial performance.

CMS Energy (CMS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CMS Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCMS Energy Corporation operates as an energy company primarily in Michigan. The company operates through three segments: Electric Utility; Gas Utility; and Enterprises. The Electric Utility segment is involved in the generation, purchase, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity. This segment generates electricity through coal, wind, gas, renewable energy, oil, and nuclear sources. Its distribution system comprises 208 miles of high-voltage distribution overhead lines; 4 miles of high-voltage distribution underground lines; 4,428 miles of high-voltage distribution overhead lines; 19 miles of high-voltage distribution underground lines; 82,474 miles of electric distribution overhead lines; 9,395 miles of underground distribution lines; 1,093 substations; and 3 battery facilities. The Gas Utility segment engages in the purchase, transmission, storage, distribution, and sale of natural gas, which includes 2,392 miles of transmission lines; 15 gas storage fields; 28,065 miles of distribution mains; and 8 compressor stations. The Enterprises segment is involved in the independent power production and marketing, including the development and operation of renewable generation. It serves 1.9 million electric and 1.8 million gas customers, including residential, commercial, and diversified industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Jackson, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyCMS Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers within its service territories. The company's revenue model is supported by regulated rates set by the Michigan Public Service Commission, which allows it to recover costs and earn a regulated return on its investments in infrastructure. Key revenue streams include residential and commercial electricity sales, natural gas distribution, and ancillary services such as energy efficiency programs. Additionally, CMS Enterprises contributes to revenue through investments in power generation projects and partnerships that enhance its portfolio in renewable energy. Factors such as regulatory approvals, energy demand, and operational efficiencies also play significant roles in driving the company's earnings.

CMS Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

CMS Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong regulatory outcomes, economic growth, and robust financial performance, although increased costs and negative variances were noted. The overall sentiment is positive, with a strong outlook for growth and financial stability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Regulatory Outcomes
CMS Energy received a final order in their renewable energy plan approving an additional 8 gigawatts of solar and 2.8 gigawatts of wind through 2035. They also received constructive orders in their gas and electric rate cases.
Economic Growth and Load Expansion
Year-to-date, CMS Energy has connected approximately 450 megawatts of industrial growth and added 100 megawatts of signed contracts, with a robust pipeline including data centers and manufacturing projects.
Financial Performance and Guidance
Adjusted earnings per share for the first 9 months of 2025 were $2.66, up $0.19 from the same period in 2024. CMS Energy raised the bottom end of their 2025 guidance and initiated 2026 guidance reflecting 6% to 8% growth.
Balance Sheet and Funding Strategy
CMS Energy has completed all planned financings for 2025 and is considering pull-ahead opportunities for 2026, focusing on maintaining a strong financial position with mid-teens FFO to debt.
Negative Updates
Increased Costs
The company experienced a $0.04 per share negative variance due to increased vegetation management expenses and discretionary operational spending.
Catch-all Negative Variance
A $0.42 per share negative variance was driven by factors including the planned outage of the Dearborn Industrial Generation facility and higher parent financing costs.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, CMS Energy delivered strong operational, regulatory, and financial results, with adjusted earnings per share reaching $2.66, a $0.19 increase from the same period in 2024. The company received significant regulatory approvals, including an additional 8 gigawatts of solar and 2.8 gigawatts of wind through 2035, and constructive outcomes in gas and electric rate cases. CMS Energy is on track to meet Michigan's clean energy law and anticipates 2% to 3% annual sales growth over the next five years, driven by 450 megawatts of connected industrial growth and additional signed contracts. The company increased its 2025 earnings guidance to $3.56 to $3.60 per share and initiated 2026 guidance at $3.80 to $3.87 per share, reflecting 6% to 8% growth.

CMS Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CMS Energy demonstrates moderate financial health with positive revenue growth and improved leverage. However, profitability margins have decreased, and free cash flow remains a concern. The company shows potential for stability with better cost management and cash flow improvements.
Income Statement
75
Positive
CMS Energy shows a solid revenue growth rate of 3.47% in the TTM, indicating a positive trend. The gross profit margin has decreased from 42.70% in 2024 to 31.77% in TTM, suggesting some pressure on cost management. Net profit margin is stable at 12.62% in TTM, slightly down from 13.35% in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting potential operational challenges. Overall, the income statement reflects moderate growth with some profitability concerns.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.99 in TTM from 2.02 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity is slightly lower at 11.24% in TTM compared to 12.19% in 2024, showing stable profitability. The equity ratio has improved, suggesting a stronger equity base. Overall, the balance sheet shows improved leverage but stable profitability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has increased, with a coverage ratio of 1.11 in TTM, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow remains negative, although it has improved from previous periods. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting ongoing cash flow challenges. Overall, cash flow shows improvement in operating cash but persistent free cash flow issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.29B7.51B7.46B8.60B7.33B6.42B
Gross Profit3.22B3.21B2.86B2.76B2.65B2.63B
EBITDA3.33B3.07B2.78B2.55B2.44B2.36B
Net Income1.05B1.00B887.00M837.00M1.35B755.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.01B35.92B33.52B31.35B28.75B29.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments432.00M103.00M227.00M164.00M452.00M32.00M
Total Debt18.07B16.59B15.67B14.34B12.50B12.42B
Total Liabilities28.58B27.17B25.39B23.76B21.57B23.59B
Stockholders Equity8.86B8.23B7.54B7.01B6.63B5.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.51B-648.00M-910.00M-1.52B-257.00M-1.03B
Operating Cash Flow2.16B2.37B2.31B855.00M1.82B1.28B
Investing Cash Flow-3.87B-3.05B-3.38B-2.47B-1.23B-2.84B
Financing Cash Flow1.68B609.00M1.14B1.32B-296.00M1.59B

CMS Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price72.35
Price Trends
50DMA
72.55
Negative
100DMA
71.89
Positive
200DMA
71.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
43.80
Neutral
STOCH
31.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 72.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.92, below the 50-day MA of 72.55, and above the 200-day MA of 71.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CMS.

CMS Energy Risk Analysis

CMS Energy disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CMS Energy reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CMS Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$21.85B7.4319.13%5.85%4.43%123.35%
72
Outperform
$22.20B21.0612.34%3.00%10.96%-0.77%
72
Outperform
$27.56B22.3811.47%2.74%22.71%22.86%
72
Outperform
$26.39B19.8510.54%3.84%7.64%48.61%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$27.40B20.284.15%13.12%
65
Neutral
$27.71B19.9911.64%3.25%19.42%-9.68%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMS
CMS Energy
72.35
7.10
10.88%
AEE
Ameren
102.01
14.41
16.45%
DTE
DTE Energy
134.09
20.14
17.67%
EIX
Edison International
56.56
-21.94
-27.95%
FE
FirstEnergy
45.87
5.61
13.93%
ES
Eversource Energy
71.54
13.02
22.25%

CMS Energy Corporate Events

CMS Energy’s Positive Earnings Call Highlights Growth
Nov 1, 2025

CMS Energy’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, underscored by strong regulatory outcomes, economic growth, and robust financial performance. Despite noting increased costs and some negative variances, the overall outlook remains optimistic, with expectations of continued growth and financial stability.

CMS Energy Reports Strong Q3 Results and Raises Guidance
Oct 31, 2025

CMS Energy, a Michigan-based energy company, primarily operates through its Consumers Energy segment, providing electricity and natural gas services. The company also engages in independent power generation activities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CMS Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, CMS Energy announced strong third-quarter results, reporting earnings per share of $0.92, up from $0.84 in 2024, and adjusted earnings per share of $0.93, compared to $0.84 in the previous year. The company raised its 2025 adjusted earnings guidance and initiated 2026 guidance, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth strategy. CMS Energy’s performance was bolstered by favorable regulatory outcomes and weather conditions, positioning it well to meet its operational and financial goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMS) stock is a Hold with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CMS Energy stock, see the CMS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025