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FirstEnergy (FE)
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FirstEnergy (FE) AI Stock Analysis

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FE

FirstEnergy

(NYSE:FE)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
▲(11.18% Upside)
FirstEnergy's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and positive technical indicators. Financial performance is solid but hindered by high leverage and cash flow challenges. Valuation is fair, with a competitive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective pricing strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.
Capital Investments
Increased capital investments in regulated utilities enhance infrastructure, potentially boosting operational efficiency and future earnings.
Transmission Investments
Significant transmission investments ensure grid reliability and capacity expansion, aligning with long-term energy demand trends.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk during economic downturns, potentially impacting long-term growth.
Declining Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow may constrain investment capacity and affect the company's ability to fund future growth initiatives.
Rising Customer Bills
Rising customer bills could lead to regulatory scrutiny and customer dissatisfaction, potentially impacting revenue stability.

FirstEnergy (FE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FirstEnergy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirstEnergy Corp., through its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, and distributes electricity in the United States. It operates through Regulated Distribution and Regulated Transmission segments. The company owns and operates coal-fired, nuclear, hydroelectric, natural gas, wind, and solar power generating facilities. It operates 24,074 circuit miles of overhead and underground transmission lines; and electric distribution systems, including 273,295 miles of overhead pole line and underground conduit carrying primary, secondary, and street lighting circuits. The company serves approximately 6 million customers in Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and New York. FirstEnergy Corp. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirstEnergy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Its revenue model is largely based on regulated pricing, where state utility commissions approve rates that the company can charge for electricity delivery. Key revenue streams include transmission and distribution charges, which are collected from customers along with the cost of electricity supplied. Additionally, FirstEnergy earns revenue from ancillary services related to the management of the electric grid and from energy efficiency programs. Partnerships with state governments and regulatory bodies also play a significant role in shaping its earnings, as they influence rate structures and investment in infrastructure improvements that can enhance operational efficiency and service reliability.

FirstEnergy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

FirstEnergy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial results and a positive outlook for FirstEnergy, with notable achievements in earnings growth, increased capital investments, and significant demand growth from data centers. However, there is concern about rising customer bills, primarily due to energy generation costs.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Third quarter GAAP earnings of $0.76 per share, up from $0.73 last year. Core earnings increased to $0.83 per share from $0.76. Year-to-date core earnings rose 15% to $2.02 per share from $1.76 in 2024.
Increased Capital Investments
Through the first 9 months of 2025, $4 billion invested in regulated utilities, a 30% increase from last year. Announced a 10% increase to 2025 capital investment program to $5.5 billion.
Data Center Demand Growth
Contracted customer demand increased by over 30% since last quarter. FirstEnergy's system peak load expected to increase nearly 50% by 2035 due to data center growth.
Transmission Investments
Transmission rate base growth of 18% per year through 2030 expected. $4 billion of capital investments awarded through PJM's open window process.
Negative Updates
Rising Customer Bills
Customer electric bills have increased 11% in deregulated states over the last year, largely driven by the generation component.
Company Guidance
During the FirstEnergy Corp. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance and updates on several key metrics. The full-year 2025 guidance midpoint was raised and the range was narrowed to $2.50 to $2.56 per share, reflecting strong year-to-date results, including a 9% increase in third-quarter core earnings compared to 2024. The company announced a 10% increase in its 2025 capital investment program, now projected at $5.5 billion, and detailed a commitment to a compounded annual growth rate of 6% to 8% for core earnings. FirstEnergy emphasized its strategic focus on transmission investments, which are expected to drive a compound transmission rate base growth of up to 18% annually through 2030. Additionally, the company highlighted a significant opportunity for incremental investments, particularly in West Virginia, where plans include adding 1.2 gigawatts of natural gas generation by 2031, aligning with the state's energy initiatives.

FirstEnergy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FirstEnergy shows solid revenue growth and profitability improvements, but faces challenges with high leverage and declining free cash flow. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiencies and managing its debt levels to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
FirstEnergy's income statement shows a stable revenue growth rate of 2.98% in the TTM period, with a solid gross profit margin of 65.39%. The net profit margin improved to 9.19%, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, while healthy at 20.69% and 31.72% respectively, suggest room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.01, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in volatile markets. The return on equity stands at 7.07%, reflecting moderate efficiency in using equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 22.89% suggests a balanced asset financing structure but highlights the reliance on debt.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
FirstEnergy's cash flow statement shows a concerning decline in free cash flow growth, down by 335.40% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.63 indicates adequate cash generation relative to net income, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.28 highlights cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.47B13.47B12.87B12.46B11.13B10.79B
Gross Profit9.46B9.10B8.22B7.87B7.69B7.72B
EBITDA4.59B4.10B3.95B3.77B4.29B3.39B
Net Income1.33B978.00M1.10B406.00M1.28B1.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.88B52.04B48.77B46.11B45.43B44.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.43B111.00M137.00M160.00M1.46B1.73B
Total Debt27.47B24.27B24.91B21.66B23.85B24.48B
Total Liabilities41.70B38.32B37.85B35.47B36.76B37.23B
Stockholders Equity12.80B12.46B10.44B10.17B8.68B7.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.31B-1.14B-1.97B-73.00M366.00M-1.23B
Operating Cash Flow3.61B2.89B1.39B2.68B2.81B1.42B
Investing Cash Flow-5.19B-4.35B-3.65B-3.08B-2.56B-2.91B
Financing Cash Flow2.55B1.43B2.24B-912.00M-542.00M2.61B

FirstEnergy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price45.87
Price Trends
50DMA
45.25
Positive
100DMA
43.33
Positive
200DMA
41.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
48.03
Neutral
STOCH
36.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 45.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.59, above the 50-day MA of 45.25, and above the 200-day MA of 41.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FE.

FirstEnergy Risk Analysis

FirstEnergy disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FirstEnergy reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FirstEnergy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$26.66B20.0510.54%3.84%7.64%48.61%
72
Outperform
$22.20B21.0612.34%3.00%10.96%-0.77%
71
Outperform
$27.56B22.3811.47%2.74%22.71%22.86%
66
Neutral
$26.81B27.257.65%2.95%8.42%32.48%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$27.40B20.284.15%13.12%
65
Neutral
$27.71B19.9911.64%3.25%19.42%-9.68%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FE
FirstEnergy
45.87
5.61
13.94%
AEE
Ameren
102.01
14.41
16.45%
CMS
CMS Energy
72.35
7.10
10.88%
DTE
DTE Energy
134.09
20.14
17.67%
ES
Eversource Energy
71.54
13.02
22.25%
PPL
PPL
36.50
4.47
13.96%

FirstEnergy Corporate Events

FirstEnergy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Oct 24, 2025

FirstEnergy Corp. is a major electric utility company based in Akron, Ohio, serving over 6 million customers across several states and operating an extensive network of transmission lines.

FirstEnergy Corp Reports Strong Earnings and Growth Plans
Oct 24, 2025

FirstEnergy Corp’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health and a promising future. The company reported strong earnings growth and increased capital investments, buoyed by a surge in demand from data centers. However, there was a note of caution regarding the rising energy generation costs impacting customer bills.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
FirstEnergy Reports Q3 Earnings, Boosts Capital Investment
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, FirstEnergy Corp. announced its third-quarter financial results, reporting GAAP earnings of $0.76 per share and Core Earnings of $0.83 per share, marking improvements from the previous year. The company has narrowed its full-year 2025 Core Earnings guidance and increased its capital investment program by 10% to $5.5 billion, driven by a strategic focus on grid reliability and industry transformation. FirstEnergy projects a 30% increase in future transmission investments and affirms a 6-8% annual Core Earnings growth rate from 2025 through 2029, positioning itself advantageously within the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (FE) stock is a Buy with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstEnergy stock, see the FE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
FirstEnergy Updates Executive Severance and Control Plans
Neutral
Sep 29, 2025

On September 23, 2025, FirstEnergy Corp. announced amendments and restatements to its Executive Severance Benefits Plan and Change in Control Severance Plan, alongside new forms of restricted stock unit award agreements, effective January 1, 2026. These changes aim to modernize the company’s executive severance compensation program and align it with industry practices. The amendments include extending severance benefits to the CEO, revising cash severance calculations, and updating the Change in Control Plan to provide enhanced benefits for the CEO. These adjustments are expected to impact the company’s executive compensation structure, potentially affecting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (FE) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstEnergy stock, see the FE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025