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FirstEnergy Corp (FE)
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FirstEnergy (FE) AI Stock Analysis

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FE

FirstEnergy

(NYSE:FE)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$47.00
▲(7.65% Upside)
FirstEnergy's overall score reflects strong financial performance and promising growth strategies as evidenced in its earnings call. While technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, caution is warranted due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation metrics indicate a fair price with an attractive dividend yield. The company's strategic investments and financial discipline position it well for future growth despite existing regulatory challenges.
Positive Factors
Capital Expenditure
FE provided '25-29 capex guidance of $28B, a healthy 8% increase vs. '24-28 and supportive of a 9% rate base CAGR.
Financial Performance
Higher authorized Return on Equity for California utilities would be positive compared to previous estimates.
Legal Developments
A new report finds PacifiCorp not responsible for the Santiam Canyon fire, which could be seen as a positive development for utilities.
Negative Factors
Earnings
FE reported 4Q earnings and lowered their earnings forecast due to the removal of non-utility earnings and a reduction in the earnings contribution at the utilities.
Investor Sentiment
The reduced earnings power drove the stock lower by 10%, with uncertainty about pending Ohio legislation impacting investor sentiment.
Regulatory Challenges
Utilities' requests for higher Return on Equity are not expected to be granted as filed, which might not attract new investors.

FirstEnergy (FE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FirstEnergy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirstEnergy Corp. (FE) is a leading electric utility company headquartered in Akron, Ohio. It operates through various subsidiaries that provide regulated electric service to approximately 6 million customers in the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States. The company is involved in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity, with a focus on delivering reliable energy solutions. FirstEnergy’s core services include the generation of electricity from diverse sources, including nuclear, coal, natural gas, and renewable energy, along with the operation of a vast transmission network and a commitment to energy efficiency and customer service.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirstEnergy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Its revenue model is largely based on regulated pricing, where state utility commissions approve rates that the company can charge for electricity delivery. Key revenue streams include transmission and distribution charges, which are collected from customers along with the cost of electricity supplied. Additionally, FirstEnergy earns revenue from ancillary services related to the management of the electric grid and from energy efficiency programs. Partnerships with state governments and regulatory bodies also play a significant role in shaping its earnings, as they influence rate structures and investment in infrastructure improvements that can enhance operational efficiency and service reliability.

FirstEnergy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.56%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
FirstEnergy's earnings call presented a picture of strong financial performance and substantial investment in infrastructure and data center growth. However, challenges remain with capacity auction outcomes and regulatory transitions. Despite these issues, the company is positioned well for future growth, with a focus on transmission expansion and financial discipline.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Core earnings for the second quarter were $0.52 per share, up from $0.51 in the same period last year. GAAP earnings increased substantially to $0.46 per share from $0.08 in the second quarter of 2024.
Significant Investments in Infrastructure
FirstEnergy has invested $2.5 billion in infrastructure through the first six months of 2025 and is on track to deploy $5 billion in capital for the year, with a $28 billion capital investment plan through 2029.
Data Center Growth
The long-term pipeline for data center load has increased over 80% to 11.1 gigawatts since February, with contracted data center load through 2029 increasing approximately 25%.
Transmission System Expansion
FirstEnergy expects its transmission rate base to grow at a 15% compound annual growth rate by 2029, with a 20% increase in transmission investment anticipated in the next five-year plan.
Debt Issuance Success
FirstEnergy completed six subsidiary debt transactions totaling $1.6 billion, with investor demand strong enough to oversubscribe transactions by over 9x.
Negative Updates
Capacity Auction Challenges
PJM's capacity auction cleared at the administratively set cap with no new dispatchable generation, highlighting a lack of incentives for building needed capacity.
Severe Weather Strains
Summer storms have strained the system in several locations, emphasizing the need for long-term investments to prevent outages.
Regulatory Uncertainty
FirstEnergy is navigating a transition to Ohio's new regulatory framework, which includes multiyear rate cases and forward test years, adding complexity to future planning.
Potential Equity Needs
Future increases in capital expenditure, particularly in transmission, may require consideration of equity or equity-like instruments to support growth.
Company Guidance
During the FirstEnergy Corp Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating strong financial performance and strategic progress. Key financial metrics included a second-quarter GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.46, up from $0.08 in the same quarter of 2024, and core EPS of $0.52 compared to $0.51 last year. FirstEnergy is on track to achieve core earnings in the upper half of its 2025 guidance range of $2.40 to $2.60 per share, supported by a $5 billion capital investment plan for 2025 and a broader $28 billion plan through 2029. Investments focus on enhancing system resiliency and reliability, with $2.5 billion already spent in the first half of 2025. The company also highlighted a 15% compound annual growth rate in transmission rate base expected through 2029. Additionally, FirstEnergy's data center load pipeline increased over 80% to 11.1 gigawatts since February 2025. The company reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining a strong balance sheet with a target funds from operations (FFO) to debt ratio of 14% or more through 2029 and no new equity needs anticipated in the current plan.

FirstEnergy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FirstEnergy demonstrates solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth and improved profitability. Despite high leverage, which is typical for the industry, the balance sheet remains stable. Cash flow has improved, turning positive, but remains a concern relative to net income.
Income Statement
78
Positive
FirstEnergy shows a consistent revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 4.29% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin is robust at 67.34%, and the net profit margin improved to 9.66% TTM, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the EBITDA margin slightly decreased to 29.14% TTM, which could be an area to monitor.
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
FirstEnergy's balance sheet indicates a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.98, suggesting significant leverage. The equity ratio is stable at 23.70%, and ROE has improved to 10.57% TTM, reflecting better returns on equity. Despite high leverage, the company maintains adequate equity levels.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive shift in free cash flow, which moved from negative to positive in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.61, showing strong cash generation. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 0.17, indicating limited free cash relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.05B13.47B12.87B12.46B11.13B10.79B
Gross Profit9.46B9.10B8.22B7.87B7.69B7.72B
EBITDA4.53B4.10B3.73B3.45B4.24B3.39B
Net Income1.31B978.00M1.10B406.00M1.28B1.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets54.23B52.04B48.77B46.11B45.43B44.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments569.00M111.00M137.00M160.00M1.46B1.73B
Total Debt25.82B24.02B24.91B21.66B23.85B24.48B
Total Liabilities40.06B38.32B37.85B35.47B36.76B37.23B
Stockholders Equity12.85B12.46B10.44B10.17B8.68B7.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow235.00M-1.14B-1.97B-73.00M366.00M-1.23B
Operating Cash Flow3.54B2.89B1.39B2.68B2.81B1.42B
Investing Cash Flow-4.89B-4.35B-3.65B-3.08B-2.56B-2.91B
Financing Cash Flow1.86B1.43B2.24B-912.00M-542.00M2.61B

FirstEnergy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price43.66
Price Trends
50DMA
40.77
Positive
100DMA
40.74
Positive
200DMA
40.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.89
Negative
RSI
69.65
Neutral
STOCH
73.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.24, above the 50-day MA of 40.77, and above the 200-day MA of 40.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FE.

FirstEnergy Risk Analysis

FirstEnergy disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FirstEnergy reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FirstEnergy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$25.21B19.2710.33%3.99%6.44%49.07%
72
Outperform
$21.79B21.4912.48%2.95%8.25%4.37%
72
Outperform
$21.56B8.2317.37%5.82%4.26%173.18%
71
Outperform
$24.31B28.205.63%4.48%14.44%
71
Outperform
$27.42B27.886.96%2.86%6.62%17.35%
67
Neutral
$25.10B26.798.76%2.21%4.84%-11.24%
62
Neutral
HK$30.30B9.315.05%4.61%-3.25%1.36%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FE
FirstEnergy
43.66
2.82
6.90%
CNP
Centerpoint Energy
38.44
13.14
51.94%
CMS
CMS Energy
72.59
8.12
12.60%
EIX
Edison International
56.02
-23.26
-29.34%
ES
Eversource Energy
65.51
3.41
5.49%
PPL
PPL
37.08
6.89
22.82%

FirstEnergy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
FirstEnergy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

FirstEnergy Corp. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with GAAP earnings of $0.46 per share and Core Earnings of $0.52 per share, surpassing expectations. The company affirmed its full-year 2025 Core Earnings guidance and projected a 6-8% annual growth rate through 2029. Key drivers included new base rates in Pennsylvania and growth in transmission rate base, although milder temperatures slightly reduced customer demand. FirstEnergy’s strategic investments, including a $2.5 billion deployment in the first half of 2025, are part of its broader $28 billion Energize365 program, positioning the company for stable growth and financial strength.

The most recent analyst rating on (FE) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstEnergy stock, see the FE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
FirstEnergy Updates Incentive Program Metrics to Core EPS
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

On June 17, 2025, FirstEnergy‘s Board of Directors approved a modification to the key performance indicators for its Long-term Incentive Compensation Program, replacing Operating EPS with Core EPS for performance periods in 2025 and 2026. This strategic shift aligns with the company’s transition to reporting based on Core EPS, reflecting its focus on regulated operations and providing consistent performance metrics for management incentives.

The most recent analyst rating on (FE) stock is a Buy with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstEnergy stock, see the FE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
FirstEnergy Completes $2.5 Billion Convertible Note Offering
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, FirstEnergy Corp. completed a $2.5 billion convertible note offering, issuing $1.35 billion in 3.625% Convertible Senior Notes due 2029 and $1.15 billion in 3.875% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031. The company plans to use approximately $1.2 billion of the net proceeds to repurchase a portion of its outstanding 4.00% convertible senior notes due 2026. This strategic financial maneuver is expected to impact the market price of FirstEnergy’s common stock and the 2026 Notes, as holders may adjust their positions and employ convertible arbitrage strategies, potentially affecting the effective conversion price of the new Notes.

The most recent analyst rating on (FE) stock is a Buy with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstEnergy stock, see the FE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
FirstEnergy Announces $2.15 Billion Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 9, 2025, FirstEnergy Corp. announced the pricing of its $2.15 billion convertible senior notes offering, with $1.15 billion due in 2029 and $1 billion due in 2031, in a private placement. The proceeds, expected to be approximately $2.13 billion, will be used for repurchasing existing notes, refinancing debt, and general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (FE) stock is a Buy with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstEnergy stock, see the FE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
FirstEnergy Announces Convertible Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, FirstEnergy Corp. announced its intention to offer $950 million in Convertible Senior Notes due 2029 and $850 million due 2031, subject to market conditions. The proceeds from this private placement will be used for repurchasing existing notes, refinancing debt, and other corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (FE) stock is a Buy with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstEnergy stock, see the FE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
FirstEnergy Confirms Board and Auditor at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

FirstEnergy Corp. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders virtually on May 21, 2025, where several key decisions were made. The election of board members was confirmed, the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025 was ratified, and executive compensation was approved. However, a shareholder proposal for a report on lobbying activities was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (FE) stock is a Buy with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FirstEnergy stock, see the FE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025