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PPL Corporation (PPL)
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PPL (PPL) AI Stock Analysis

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PPL

PPL

(NYSE:PPL)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(4.11% Upside)
PPL's overall score is driven by a positive earnings outlook and strategic infrastructure investments, despite concerns over high leverage and negative cash flow. Technical indicators and valuation suggest caution, but the company's growth plans and dividend yield offer potential upside.
Positive Factors
Infrastructure Investment
Significant infrastructure investments are expected to drive long-term growth and enhance service reliability, supporting future earnings.
Earnings and Dividend Growth
Projected earnings and dividend growth indicate strong financial health and shareholder value, enhancing investor confidence over the long term.
Regulatory Advances
Positive regulatory developments support new projects and cost recovery, reducing investment lag and enhancing operational efficiency.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
High leverage poses risks to financial stability, potentially impacting cash flow and limiting the company's ability to invest in growth.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates challenges in cash generation, which could hinder the company's ability to fund operations and investments.
Sales Volume Decline
Declining sales volumes may impact revenue growth, requiring strategic adjustments to maintain market position and profitability.

PPL (PPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PPL Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPPL Corporation, a utility holding company, delivers electricity and natural gas in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company operates through two segments: Kentucky Regulated and Pennsylvania Regulated. It serves approximately 429,000 electric and 333,000 natural gas customers in Louisville and adjacent areas in Kentucky; 538,000 electric customers in central, southeastern, and western Kentucky; and 28,000 electric customers in five counties in southwestern Virginia. The company also provides electric services to approximately 1.4 million customers in Pennsylvania; and generates electricity from coal, gas, hydro, and solar sources in Kentucky; and sells wholesale electricity to two municipalities in Kentucky. PPL Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyPPL generates revenue primarily through its regulated utility operations, which include the distribution of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company earns a stable income from the sale of electricity, which is regulated by state utility commissions that allow for cost recovery and a return on investment. Additionally, PPL makes money through its generation segment, where it sells electricity into wholesale markets, leveraging its diverse energy portfolio, including nuclear, natural gas, and renewable energy sources. The company also benefits from long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) and has established partnerships with various stakeholders in the energy sector, contributing to its overall revenue stability and growth.

PPL Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Electricity Sales by Geography
Electricity Sales by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

PPL Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook for PPL Corporation with substantial infrastructure investment plans, robust earnings and dividend growth projections, and strategic regulatory and business advancements, particularly in data center projects. However, the company faces some challenges with declining earnings and sales volumes, as well as increased regulatory activity due to cost pressures.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Infrastructure Investment
PPL Corporation is on track to complete over $4 billion in infrastructure improvements in 2025, with a projection of $20 billion in improvements from 2025 to 2028, resulting in an average annual rate base growth of 9.8%.
Projected Earnings and Dividend Growth
PPL is well positioned to achieve a 6% to 8% annual earnings per share and dividend growth through at least 2028, with EPS growth expected in the top half of that range.
Positive Regulatory Advances
PPL has announced a constructive stipulation agreement with KPSC, supporting approval of new generation units and mechanisms that reduce investment lag, including a new tracker for cost recovery.
Data Center Strategy and Joint Venture
PPL is actively engaging in a joint venture with Blackstone Infrastructure to build new generation in Pennsylvania, with an estimated need of 7.5 gigawatts over the next 5 to 7 years.
Economic Development in PA and KY
PPL's regions are experiencing robust economic development with significant data center and manufacturing investments, totaling $36 billion in Kentucky alone, with half in PPL's service territories.
Negative Updates
Earnings Decline
Second quarter earnings from ongoing operations were $0.32 per share, a $0.06 per share decrease compared to Q2 2024, attributed to higher operating costs and the timing of certain expenses.
Sales Volume Decline
Lower sales volumes were primarily observed in Pennsylvania due to decreased industrial load from specific customers, and in Kentucky among smaller industrial customers.
Regulatory and Economic Challenges
PPL faces increased regulatory activity and inflationary pressures, leading to more frequent rate case filings across its service territories to manage costs and maintain service reliability.
Company Guidance
During PPL Corporation's Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported GAAP earnings of $0.25 per share and earnings from ongoing operations of $0.32 per share. PPL is confident in achieving at least the midpoint of its 2025 ongoing earnings forecast of $1.81 per share, driven by expected stronger earnings growth in the latter half of the year. This growth is anticipated due to higher returns on capital investments, projected cumulative O&M savings of $150 million compared to 2021, and over $4 billion in planned infrastructure improvements. PPL also forecasts $20 billion in infrastructure improvements from 2025 to 2028, driving an average annual rate base growth of 9.8%. The company aims to maintain a favorable credit profile with an FFO to debt ratio of 16% to 18% and a holding company to total debt ratio below 25%. Furthermore, PPL expects 6% to 8% annual EPS and dividend growth through at least 2028, targeting the top half of this range.

PPL Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PPL demonstrates solid revenue growth and profitability with strong margins. However, high debt levels and negative free cash flow are areas of concern. The company needs to focus on improving cash flow management and reducing leverage to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
PPL has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.66%. The gross profit margin is healthy at 40.72%, and the net profit margin has improved to 11.22% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, indicating efficient operations. However, the revenue growth rate has slowed compared to previous years.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 1.25, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity is modest at 6.96%, reflecting moderate profitability. The equity ratio stands at 33.73%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in reducing debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive, but free cash flow is negative, with a decline in free cash flow growth rate by 20.19% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating potential challenges in converting income to cash. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio suggests cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.81B8.46B8.31B7.90B5.78B5.47B
Gross Profit3.59B3.39B3.28B2.89B2.71B2.79B
EBITDA3.37B3.21B2.92B2.66B2.56B2.67B
Net Income988.00M888.00M740.00M756.00M-1.48B1.47B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.36B41.07B39.24B37.84B33.22B48.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments294.00M306.00M331.00M356.00M3.57B442.00M
Total Debt17.80B16.81B15.60B14.23B11.21B15.86B
Total Liabilities28.08B26.99B25.30B23.92B19.50B34.74B
Stockholders Equity14.29B14.08B13.93B13.91B13.72B13.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-855.00M-465.00M-632.00M-425.00M297.00M476.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.41B2.34B1.76B1.73B2.27B2.75B
Investing Cash Flow-3.27B-2.82B-2.38B-5.65B7.96B-3.26B
Financing Cash Flow857.00M435.00M650.00M709.00M-7.39B386.00M

PPL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.50
Price Trends
50DMA
36.03
Positive
100DMA
34.99
Positive
200DMA
34.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
53.46
Neutral
STOCH
84.87
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.91, above the 50-day MA of 36.03, and above the 200-day MA of 34.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PPL.

PPL Risk Analysis

PPL disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PPL reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
PPL may not realize the anticipated benefits of the RIE acquisition, which could materially adversely affect PPL's business, financial condition and results of operations. Q3, 2022

PPL Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
27.27B22.159.96%2.78%17.32%3.35%
73
Outperform
25.45B19.4610.18%3.93%6.44%49.07%
70
Neutral
28.80B19.9612.31%3.17%14.35%3.62%
69
Neutral
21.45B21.1512.19%3.02%8.25%4.37%
67
Neutral
$26.99B27.306.96%2.97%6.62%17.35%
62
Neutral
25.64B29.745.48%4.34%14.44%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PPL
PPL
36.16
4.57
14.47%
AEE
Ameren
100.78
17.19
20.56%
CMS
CMS Energy
70.98
3.11
4.58%
DTE
DTE Energy
137.66
16.18
13.32%
FE
FirstEnergy
44.24
2.41
5.76%
ES
Eversource Energy
68.50
5.60
8.90%

PPL Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
PPL’s LG&E and KU Issue $700M Bonds
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Louisville Gas and Electric Company (LG&E) and Kentucky Utilities Company (KU) issued $700 million each in First Mortgage Bonds due 2055, with an interest rate of 5.850%. These bonds are secured by liens on the companies’ real and tangible personal property in Kentucky, used for electricity and natural gas operations. The proceeds will be used to repay existing bonds, short-term debt, and for general corporate purposes.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPL) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPL stock, see the PPL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
PPL Corporation Enters Forward Contracts for Stock Sale
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

In August 2025, PPL Corporation entered into forward contracts to sell 27.4 million shares of its common stock at an average price of $35.90 per share, with expected net proceeds of approximately $984 million. These contracts, part of PPL’s at-the-market program, aim to address a significant portion of its $2.5 billion equity requirement through 2028, with settlements scheduled through August 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPL) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPL stock, see the PPL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
PPL Secures $500M Through First Mortgage Bonds
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 6, 2025, PPL Electric Utilities Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement with several financial institutions for the offering and sale of $500 million in First Mortgage Bonds, 5.55% Series due 2055. The issuance, completed on August 11, 2025, aims to secure funds for repaying short-term debt and general corporate purposes, potentially strengthening PPL Electric’s financial positioning and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPL) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPL stock, see the PPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
PPL’s LG&E and KU Announce $700M Bond Offering
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 4, 2025, LG&E and KU entered into separate underwriting agreements for the offering and sale of $700 million aggregate principal amount of 5.850% First Mortgage Bonds due 2055. Both companies plan to issue these bonds around August 13, 2025, with the proceeds intended to repay existing bonds, short-term debt, and for other corporate purposes. This strategic financial move is expected to impact their debt structure and support their operational funding.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPL) stock is a Buy with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPL stock, see the PPL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025