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Ppl Corp. (PPL)
NYSE:PPL

PPL (PPL) AI Stock Analysis

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PPL

PPL

(NYSE:PPL)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(6.47% Upside)
PPL's overall stock score is driven by a strong earnings call and strategic infrastructure investments, which are offset by technical weaknesses and cash flow challenges. The company's valuation is moderate, with a high P/E ratio balanced by a decent dividend yield. Corporate events support financial flexibility but also highlight regulatory challenges.
Positive Factors
Infrastructure Investment
Significant infrastructure investments indicate a strong commitment to long-term growth and modernization, enhancing service reliability and capacity.
Data Center Expansion
The expansion of data centers supports increased electricity demand and positions PPL as a key player in the growing digital infrastructure market.
Regulatory Achievements
Regulatory approvals for new generation resources enhance PPL's ability to meet future energy needs and support regional economic growth.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, which could limit PPL's ability to finance future investments without additional borrowing.
Higher Interest Expenses
Rising interest expenses can erode profitability and reduce financial flexibility, impacting long-term financial health and investment capacity.
Debt Levels
Moderate leverage suggests reliance on debt financing, which may constrain financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to interest rate changes.

PPL (PPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PPL Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPPL Corporation, a utility holding company, delivers electricity and natural gas in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company operates through two segments: Kentucky Regulated and Pennsylvania Regulated. It serves approximately 429,000 electric and 333,000 natural gas customers in Louisville and adjacent areas in Kentucky; 538,000 electric customers in central, southeastern, and western Kentucky; and 28,000 electric customers in five counties in southwestern Virginia. The company also provides electric services to approximately 1.4 million customers in Pennsylvania; and generates electricity from coal, gas, hydro, and solar sources in Kentucky; and sells wholesale electricity to two municipalities in Kentucky. PPL Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyPPL generates revenue through several key streams: regulated utility operations, which involve the transmission and distribution of electricity to consumers; wholesale power generation, where PPL sells electricity produced from its power plants to other utilities or energy markets; and renewable energy projects, which contribute to its earnings through the sale of power and renewable energy credits. Additionally, PPL benefits from significant partnerships, including agreements with local governments and organizations for large-scale energy projects, as well as regulatory frameworks that allow for stable returns on investments in infrastructure. The company's earnings are also influenced by energy market conditions and regulatory decisions affecting pricing and operations.

PPL Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Electricity Sales by Geography
Electricity Sales by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

PPL Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
PPL Corporation's earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with significant infrastructure investments and growth in data center projects. The company also achieved regulatory approvals and has a robust economic development pipeline. However, there were challenges in cost recovery for certain projects and higher interest expenses. Overall, the sentiment is positive due to the outweighing highlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
PPL Corporation reported third quarter GAAP earnings of $0.43 per share and ongoing operations earnings of $0.48 per share. The company has narrowed its ongoing earnings forecast range for 2025 to $1.78 to $1.84 per share, maintaining a midpoint of $1.81 per share.
Infrastructure Investment and Growth
PPL is on track to complete $4.3 billion in infrastructure improvements in 2025 and projects $20 billion in infrastructure investments from 2025 through 2028, with an average annual rate base growth of 9.8%.
Data Center Expansion
PPL's Pennsylvania service territory has seen a 40% increase in data center projects, with 20.5 gigawatts now in advanced stages of planning. This includes over 11 gigawatts with public announcements.
Economic Development in Kentucky
The economic development pipeline in Kentucky now totals just under 10 gigawatts of electricity demand, including about 8.7 gigawatts from data centers.
Regulatory Achievements
LG&E and KU received approval for much of their CPCN stipulation agreement, allowing the construction of new natural gas combined cycle units, supporting Kentucky's growing energy needs.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Cost Recovery
The Kentucky Public Service Commission did not approve two proposed cost recovery mechanisms related to Mill Creek 6 and the costs associated with keeping Mill Creek 2 open beyond its original retirement date in 2027.
Higher Interest Expenses
While PPL saw increased revenues and lower operating costs, these were partially offset by higher interest expenses.
Company Guidance
During the PPL Corporation Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported GAAP earnings of $0.43 per share and adjusted ongoing operations earnings of $0.48 per share. They narrowed their 2025 ongoing earnings forecast to a range of $1.78 to $1.84 per share, with a midpoint of $1.81, and anticipate maintaining a strong credit profile with an FFO to debt ratio of 16% to 18% and a holding company to total debt ratio below 25%. PPL plans $4.3 billion in infrastructure improvements for the year, a projected $20 billion in investments from 2025 through 2028, driving an average annual rate base growth of 9.8%. They expect 6% to 8% annual EPS and dividend growth through at least 2028, with EPS growth likely in the upper half of the range. The Kentucky rate case settlement proposes a $235 million revenue increase and a 9.9% ROE, while a Pennsylvania rate increase request is under review, and a Rhode Island distribution base rate request is planned. Additionally, PPL has a robust data center pipeline in Pennsylvania, with 20.5 gigawatts in advanced stages, and continues to monitor economic development and energy needs in Kentucky.

PPL Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PPL's financial performance is solid, with strong revenue growth and stable margins. However, the balance sheet shows moderate leverage, and cash flow challenges indicate a need for improved cash management.
Income Statement
78
Positive
PPL's income statement shows a solid performance with a consistent increase in revenue over the years, highlighted by a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.97%. The company maintains healthy gross and EBIT margins, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively modest at 11.22%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25, which is manageable but indicates a reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is modest at 6.96%, suggesting moderate efficiency in generating returns from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio of 32.79% indicates a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.48 indicates that cash generation from operations is not fully covering net income. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.98B8.46B8.31B7.90B5.78B5.47B
Gross Profit3.75B3.39B3.28B2.89B2.71B2.79B
EBITDA3.52B3.21B2.92B2.66B2.56B2.67B
Net Income1.09B888.00M740.00M756.00M-1.48B1.47B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.94B41.07B39.24B37.84B33.22B48.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.12B306.00M331.00M356.00M3.57B442.00M
Total Debt18.99B16.81B15.60B14.23B11.21B15.86B
Total Liabilities29.53B26.99B25.30B23.92B19.50B34.74B
Stockholders Equity14.41B14.08B13.93B13.91B13.72B13.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.14B-465.00M-632.00M-425.00M297.00M476.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.59B2.34B1.76B1.73B2.27B2.75B
Investing Cash Flow-3.73B-2.82B-2.38B-5.65B7.96B-3.26B
Financing Cash Flow1.68B435.00M650.00M709.00M-7.39B386.00M

PPL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price34.75
Price Trends
50DMA
35.88
Negative
100DMA
35.90
Negative
200DMA
35.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.52
Negative
RSI
48.53
Neutral
STOCH
77.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PPL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 34.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.70, below the 50-day MA of 35.88, and below the 200-day MA of 35.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PPL.

PPL Risk Analysis

PPL disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PPL reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PPL Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$26.65B18.9511.47%2.88%22.71%22.86%
67
Neutral
$21.38B20.2812.34%3.07%10.96%-0.77%
67
Neutral
$25.71B19.3310.54%3.96%7.64%48.61%
66
Neutral
$25.40B23.377.65%3.14%8.42%32.48%
66
Neutral
$25.24B18.498.65%4.48%13.12%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$26.77B19.3111.64%3.44%19.42%-9.68%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PPL
PPL
34.75
3.73
12.02%
AEE
Ameren
99.20
13.15
15.28%
CMS
CMS Energy
70.61
6.80
10.66%
DTE
DTE Energy
129.90
15.65
13.70%
FE
FirstEnergy
44.62
7.04
18.73%
ES
Eversource Energy
67.98
14.64
27.45%

PPL Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Rhode Island Energy Proposes Rate Increase for 2026
Negative
Nov 26, 2025

On November 26, 2025, Rhode Island Energy announced its filing for a rate increase with the Rhode Island Public Utilities Commission, effective September 1, 2026. This is the first comprehensive rate review since 2017, aimed at aligning electric and gas distribution rates with operational costs and supporting infrastructure upgrades, customer service improvements, and affordability programs. The proposed rate plan seeks to collect additional revenue of $180.7 million in the first year and $49.4 million in the second year, with a focus on system reliability, customer experience enhancements, and affordability measures. The company cites inflation and increased costs as reasons for the proposal, which could impact residential customers’ bills significantly.

Private Placements and Financing
PPL Issues $1.15 Billion in Exchangeable Notes
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, PPL Capital Funding, Inc., a subsidiary of PPL Corporation, issued $1.15 billion in 3.000% Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2030. The issuance was conducted through a private placement aimed at qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A of the Securities Act of 1933. The net proceeds of $1.14 billion from the sale are intended for repaying short-term debt and general corporate purposes. These senior, unsecured notes are guaranteed by PPL Corporation and are exchangeable for the company’s common stock under specified conditions. The issuance strengthens PPL’s financial positioning by addressing short-term liabilities and potentially enhancing liquidity, while offering investors a structured opportunity to engage with PPL’s equity through the exchangeable feature of the notes.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
PPL Announces $1 Billion Private Placement of Notes
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On November 19, 2025, PPL Corporation announced the pricing of a $1 billion private placement of 3.000% Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2030 through its subsidiary, PPL Capital Funding, Inc. The notes, which are fully guaranteed by PPL Corporation, are aimed at institutional buyers and will generate approximately $988.8 million in net proceeds, intended for repaying short-term debt and general corporate purposes. This financial maneuver is expected to bolster PPL’s operational flexibility and strengthen its market position by addressing short-term liabilities and supporting corporate strategies.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
PPL Announces $1 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 19, 2025, PPL Corporation announced a private placement of $1 billion in Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2030 through its subsidiary, PPL Capital Funding, Inc. The notes, guaranteed by PPL Corporation, aim to repay short-term debt and support general corporate purposes. This strategic move is expected to enhance PPL’s financial flexibility and strengthen its market position, while offering institutional buyers a secure investment opportunity.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
PPL Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

PPL Corporation announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a significant increase in earnings compared to the previous year. The company narrowed its 2025 earnings forecast and reaffirmed its growth targets, highlighting a strong performance supported by disciplined execution and robust capital investment. PPL also achieved key regulatory milestones, including approval for new generation resources in Kentucky, which underscores its strategic focus on balancing customer affordability with infrastructure development.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
PPL Gains Approval for New Gas Units in Kentucky
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 28, 2025, the Kentucky Public Service Commission approved LG&E and KU’s plans to construct two new natural gas combined-cycle units and upgrade environmental controls at Ghent Generating Station. This decision supports Kentucky’s economic growth by ensuring reliable energy supply but did not approve certain rate mechanisms and extended operations for Mill Creek Unit 2. The utilities plan to have the new units operational by 2030 and 2031, respectively, and continue to evaluate the order’s implications.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
PPL Reaches Agreement on Revenue Increase with Stakeholders
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, LG&E and KU announced an agreement with key stakeholders to resolve issues regarding their request for increased annual electricity and gas revenues, filed with the Kentucky Public Service Commission (KPSC) in May 2025. The agreement proposes a $235 million increase in revenues and includes commitments to system enhancements, technology upgrades, and customer service improvements. It also introduces new rate mechanisms and a commitment to refrain from further base rate increases until August 2028. The agreement aims to strengthen system reliability and meet increased energy demands while minimizing the impact on customers’ bills. A KPSC hearing is scheduled for November 3, 2025, with a ruling expected by the end of the year.

Business Operations and Strategy
PPL Requests Rate Increase for Grid Modernization
Neutral
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, PPL Electric Utilities announced a request to the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission for an increase in distribution rates, aiming for implementation by July 1, 2026. This request, the first in a decade, seeks to raise annual base rate distribution revenue by approximately $356 million to support ongoing investments in grid modernization and resilience against severe weather and cyber threats. The proposed rate increase is intended to fund essential improvements and enhance customer service, with the company emphasizing its commitment to maintaining affordability and supporting customers through flexible payment options and energy-saving programs.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025