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Ppl Corp. (PPL)
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PPL (PPL) AI Stock Analysis

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PPL

PPL

(NYSE:PPL)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(6.85% Upside)
PPL's overall stock score is primarily supported by positive earnings call sentiment and solid financial performance. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the valuation appears stretched. The company's high debt levels and negative free cash flow also pose risks that need addressing.
Positive Factors
Infrastructure Investment
Significant infrastructure investments indicate a commitment to long-term growth and modernization, enhancing service reliability and capacity.
Regulatory Achievements
Regulatory approvals for new projects support PPL's expansion and adaptation to growing energy needs, ensuring compliance and operational continuity.
Data Center Expansion
Expansion in data center projects reflects growing demand for digital infrastructure, positioning PPL as a key player in a high-growth sector.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially in volatile markets, potentially impacting future investment capabilities.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow suggests challenges in generating sufficient cash to cover expenses, which could hinder growth and debt reduction efforts.
Challenges in Cost Recovery
Inability to recover costs can strain financial resources and affect profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain financial health.

PPL (PPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PPL Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPPL Corporation (PPL) is an energy company, primarily engaged in the generation and distribution of electricity. Headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania, the company operates through various segments, including PPL Electric Utilities, which serves customers in Pennsylvania, and PPL Energy Supply, focused on generating and selling electricity. PPL also has a significant presence in the UK energy market through its subsidiary, Western Power Distribution, which provides electricity distribution services across several regions.
How the Company Makes MoneyPPL generates revenue primarily through its regulated utility operations, which include the distribution of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company earns a stable income from the sale of electricity, which is regulated by state utility commissions that allow for cost recovery and a return on investment. Additionally, PPL makes money through its generation segment, where it sells electricity into wholesale markets, leveraging its diverse energy portfolio, including nuclear, natural gas, and renewable energy sources. The company also benefits from long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) and has established partnerships with various stakeholders in the energy sector, contributing to its overall revenue stability and growth.

PPL Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Electricity Sales by Geography
Electricity Sales by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

PPL Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
PPL Corporation's earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with significant infrastructure investments and growth in data center projects. The company also achieved regulatory approvals and has a robust economic development pipeline. However, there were challenges in cost recovery for certain projects and higher interest expenses. Overall, the sentiment is positive due to the outweighing highlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
PPL Corporation reported third quarter GAAP earnings of $0.43 per share and ongoing operations earnings of $0.48 per share. The company has narrowed its ongoing earnings forecast range for 2025 to $1.78 to $1.84 per share, maintaining a midpoint of $1.81 per share.
Infrastructure Investment and Growth
PPL is on track to complete $4.3 billion in infrastructure improvements in 2025 and projects $20 billion in infrastructure investments from 2025 through 2028, with an average annual rate base growth of 9.8%.
Data Center Expansion
PPL's Pennsylvania service territory has seen a 40% increase in data center projects, with 20.5 gigawatts now in advanced stages of planning. This includes over 11 gigawatts with public announcements.
Economic Development in Kentucky
The economic development pipeline in Kentucky now totals just under 10 gigawatts of electricity demand, including about 8.7 gigawatts from data centers.
Regulatory Achievements
LG&E and KU received approval for much of their CPCN stipulation agreement, allowing the construction of new natural gas combined cycle units, supporting Kentucky's growing energy needs.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Cost Recovery
The Kentucky Public Service Commission did not approve two proposed cost recovery mechanisms related to Mill Creek 6 and the costs associated with keeping Mill Creek 2 open beyond its original retirement date in 2027.
Higher Interest Expenses
While PPL saw increased revenues and lower operating costs, these were partially offset by higher interest expenses.
Company Guidance
During the PPL Corporation Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported GAAP earnings of $0.43 per share and adjusted ongoing operations earnings of $0.48 per share. They narrowed their 2025 ongoing earnings forecast to a range of $1.78 to $1.84 per share, with a midpoint of $1.81, and anticipate maintaining a strong credit profile with an FFO to debt ratio of 16% to 18% and a holding company to total debt ratio below 25%. PPL plans $4.3 billion in infrastructure improvements for the year, a projected $20 billion in investments from 2025 through 2028, driving an average annual rate base growth of 9.8%. They expect 6% to 8% annual EPS and dividend growth through at least 2028, with EPS growth likely in the upper half of the range. The Kentucky rate case settlement proposes a $235 million revenue increase and a 9.9% ROE, while a Pennsylvania rate increase request is under review, and a Rhode Island distribution base rate request is planned. Additionally, PPL has a robust data center pipeline in Pennsylvania, with 20.5 gigawatts in advanced stages, and continues to monitor economic development and energy needs in Kentucky.

PPL Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PPL demonstrates solid revenue growth and profitability with strong margins. However, high debt levels and negative free cash flow are areas of concern. The company needs to focus on improving cash flow management and reducing leverage to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
PPL has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.66%. The gross profit margin is healthy at 40.72%, and the net profit margin has improved to 11.22% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, indicating efficient operations. However, the revenue growth rate has slowed compared to previous years.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 1.25, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity is modest at 6.96%, reflecting moderate profitability. The equity ratio stands at 33.73%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in reducing debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive, but free cash flow is negative, with a decline in free cash flow growth rate by 20.19% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating potential challenges in converting income to cash. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio suggests cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.98B8.46B8.31B7.90B5.78B5.47B
Gross Profit3.75B3.39B3.28B2.89B2.71B2.79B
EBITDA3.65B3.21B2.92B2.66B2.56B2.67B
Net Income1.09B888.00M740.00M756.00M-1.48B1.47B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets-31.00M41.07B39.24B37.84B33.22B48.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments647.00M306.00M331.00M356.00M3.57B442.00M
Total Debt-140.00M16.81B15.60B14.23B11.21B15.86B
Total Liabilities0.0026.99B25.30B23.92B19.50B34.74B
Stockholders Equity0.0014.08B13.93B13.91B13.72B13.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow189.00M-465.00M-632.00M-425.00M297.00M476.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.05B2.34B1.76B1.73B2.27B2.75B
Investing Cash Flow-1.44B-2.82B-2.38B-5.65B7.96B-3.26B
Financing Cash Flow641.00M435.00M650.00M709.00M-7.39B386.00M

PPL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price36.50
Price Trends
50DMA
36.61
Negative
100DMA
35.89
Positive
200DMA
34.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
44.87
Neutral
STOCH
29.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PPL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 36.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.13, below the 50-day MA of 36.61, and above the 200-day MA of 34.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PPL.

PPL Risk Analysis

PPL disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PPL reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PPL Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$27.56B22.3811.47%2.74%22.71%22.86%
72
Outperform
$22.08B20.9512.34%3.00%10.96%-0.77%
72
Outperform
$26.39B19.8510.54%3.84%7.64%48.61%
66
Neutral
$26.81B27.257.65%2.95%8.42%32.48%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$27.40B20.284.15%13.12%
65
Neutral
$27.71B19.9911.64%3.25%19.42%-9.68%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PPL
PPL
36.50
4.47
13.96%
AEE
Ameren
102.01
14.41
16.45%
CMS
CMS Energy
72.35
7.10
10.88%
DTE
DTE Energy
134.09
20.14
17.67%
FE
FirstEnergy
45.87
5.61
13.93%
ES
Eversource Energy
71.54
13.02
22.25%

PPL Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
PPL Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

PPL Corporation announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a significant increase in earnings compared to the previous year. The company narrowed its 2025 earnings forecast and reaffirmed its growth targets, highlighting a strong performance supported by disciplined execution and robust capital investment. PPL also achieved key regulatory milestones, including approval for new generation resources in Kentucky, which underscores its strategic focus on balancing customer affordability with infrastructure development.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPL) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPL stock, see the PPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
PPL Gains Approval for New Gas Units in Kentucky
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 28, 2025, the Kentucky Public Service Commission approved LG&E and KU’s plans to construct two new natural gas combined-cycle units and upgrade environmental controls at Ghent Generating Station. This decision supports Kentucky’s economic growth by ensuring reliable energy supply but did not approve certain rate mechanisms and extended operations for Mill Creek Unit 2. The utilities plan to have the new units operational by 2030 and 2031, respectively, and continue to evaluate the order’s implications.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPL) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPL stock, see the PPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
PPL Reaches Agreement on Revenue Increase with Stakeholders
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, LG&E and KU announced an agreement with key stakeholders to resolve issues regarding their request for increased annual electricity and gas revenues, filed with the Kentucky Public Service Commission (KPSC) in May 2025. The agreement proposes a $235 million increase in revenues and includes commitments to system enhancements, technology upgrades, and customer service improvements. It also introduces new rate mechanisms and a commitment to refrain from further base rate increases until August 2028. The agreement aims to strengthen system reliability and meet increased energy demands while minimizing the impact on customers’ bills. A KPSC hearing is scheduled for November 3, 2025, with a ruling expected by the end of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPL) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPL stock, see the PPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
PPL Requests Rate Increase for Grid Modernization
Neutral
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, PPL Electric Utilities announced a request to the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission for an increase in distribution rates, aiming for implementation by July 1, 2026. This request, the first in a decade, seeks to raise annual base rate distribution revenue by approximately $356 million to support ongoing investments in grid modernization and resilience against severe weather and cyber threats. The proposed rate increase is intended to fund essential improvements and enhance customer service, with the company emphasizing its commitment to maintaining affordability and supporting customers through flexible payment options and energy-saving programs.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPL) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPL stock, see the PPL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
PPL’s LG&E and KU Issue $700M Bonds
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Louisville Gas and Electric Company (LG&E) and Kentucky Utilities Company (KU) issued $700 million each in First Mortgage Bonds due 2055, with an interest rate of 5.850%. These bonds are secured by liens on the companies’ real and tangible personal property in Kentucky, used for electricity and natural gas operations. The proceeds will be used to repay existing bonds, short-term debt, and for general corporate purposes.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPL) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPL stock, see the PPL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
PPL Corporation Enters Forward Contracts for Stock Sale
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

In August 2025, PPL Corporation entered into forward contracts to sell 27.4 million shares of its common stock at an average price of $35.90 per share, with expected net proceeds of approximately $984 million. These contracts, part of PPL’s at-the-market program, aim to address a significant portion of its $2.5 billion equity requirement through 2028, with settlements scheduled through August 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPL) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPL stock, see the PPL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
PPL Secures $500M Through First Mortgage Bonds
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 6, 2025, PPL Electric Utilities Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement with several financial institutions for the offering and sale of $500 million in First Mortgage Bonds, 5.55% Series due 2055. The issuance, completed on August 11, 2025, aims to secure funds for repaying short-term debt and general corporate purposes, potentially strengthening PPL Electric’s financial positioning and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPL) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PPL stock, see the PPL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025