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Ameren (AEE)
NYSE:AEE
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Ameren (AEE) AI Stock Analysis

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AEE

Ameren

(NYSE:AEE)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$113.00
▲(8.30% Upside)
Ameren's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, which are slightly offset by technical indicators suggesting short-term bearish momentum. The company's fair valuation and strategic investments support a stable outlook, though cash flow management remains a concern.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates Ameren's expanding market presence and effective service delivery, supporting long-term financial stability.
Infrastructure Investments
Significant infrastructure investments enhance Ameren's service reliability and capacity, positioning it well for future demand and regulatory compliance.
Data Center Growth
Expansion in data center agreements reflects strong demand and potential for increased sales, supporting long-term revenue growth and market diversification.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, which could constrain Ameren's ability to fund future investments and operations.
Regulatory Approval Needed
Pending regulatory approvals pose risks to Ameren's ability to secure new contracts, potentially delaying revenue growth and strategic initiatives.
Increased Costs
Rising maintenance costs could pressure profit margins and reduce financial flexibility, impacting Ameren's ability to sustain long-term profitability.

Ameren (AEE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ameren Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmeren Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission. The company engages in the rate-regulated electric generation, transmission, and distribution activities; and rate-regulated natural gas distribution and transmission businesses. It primarily generates electricity through coal, nuclear, and natural gas, as well as renewable sources, such as hydroelectric, wind, methane gas, and solar. The company serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Ameren Corporation was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmeren generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's revenue model is based on regulated utility rates set by state commissions, which allows it to earn a return on its infrastructure investments. Key revenue streams include distribution and transmission services, as well as delivery charges. Additionally, Ameren benefits from various energy efficiency programs and renewable energy investments, which can provide additional funding through incentives and grants. The company also engages in partnerships with local and federal agencies to enhance its clean energy initiatives, contributing to its overall earnings and long-term sustainability.

Ameren Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Electric Sales by Geography
Electric Sales by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Ameren Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Ameren's third quarter 2025 earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, significant infrastructure investments, and promising growth in data center agreements. However, some challenges remain, including delays in data center load ramping, pending regulatory approvals, and increased maintenance costs. Overall, the company demonstrates a balanced outlook with potential upside in future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted Earnings
Ameren reported third quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $2.17 per share, up from $1.87 per share in the third quarter of 2024, highlighting strong financial performance.
Infrastructure Investments
Ameren invested over $3 billion in critical infrastructure throughout the first three quarters of 2025, including major upgrades to electric distribution and transmission lines, substations, and smart energy infrastructure.
Data Center Growth
Ameren's construction agreements with data center developers expanded to 3 gigawatts from 2.3 gigawatts, demonstrating robust demand and potential future sales growth.
Strong Sales Growth
Total normalized Ameren Missouri retail sales increased by approximately 1.5% over the trailing 12 months through September, driven by increased demand across all customer classes.
Future Earnings Growth
Ameren expects 2026 earnings per share to be in the range of $5.25 to $5.45, representing an 8.2% growth compared to the 2025 original guidance midpoint.
Negative Updates
Delayed Data Center Ramps
Expected ramping for data center load has been delayed to 2027, pushing back anticipated growth timelines.
Regulatory Approval Needed
Approval for the proposed large load rate structure by the Missouri PSC is still pending, which is crucial for signing energy service agreements with hyperscalers.
Increased Costs
Ameren increased spending on maintenance activities such as tree trimming, impacting short-term financial metrics.
Illinois Regulatory Challenges
The Illinois Commerce Commission's recommendations for a lower annual base rate increase than requested and adjustments in ROE present regulatory challenges.
Company Guidance
During Ameren's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided robust guidance and updates on its strategic initiatives. The call highlighted a significant earnings growth with third quarter 2025 adjusted earnings at $2.17 per share, up from $1.87 per share in the same quarter of the previous year. Despite a tax benefit of $0.18 per share from a recent FERC order being excluded from adjusted earnings, Ameren demonstrated strong financial performance. The company has increased its 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $4.90 to $5.10, reflecting an approximate 8% growth from its original 2024 guidance midpoint. Looking ahead, Ameren anticipates 2026 diluted EPS to be between $5.25 and $5.45, and expects a consistent earnings growth near the upper end of its 6% to 8% compound annual growth rate through 2029. Their strategic investments include more than $3 billion in critical infrastructure upgrades and a plan to add approximately 10 gigawatts of generation capacity by 2035. Ameren's long-term capital investment opportunities have grown to $68 billion, with a focus on strengthening the energy grid and supporting economic development, particularly with a significant pipeline of large load opportunities from data centers.

Ameren Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ameren demonstrates strong revenue and profit growth, supported by efficient operations and a stable balance sheet. However, challenges in cash flow management, particularly negative free cash flow, pose potential risks. The company should focus on improving cash flow generation to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ameren's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 6.24% increase in TTM, supported by a healthy net profit margin of 15.75%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 25.06% and 43.96%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, suggesting rising costs or pricing pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23 in TTM, significantly improved from previous years. Return on equity is solid at 11.42%, indicating effective use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which could provide further insights into asset financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative free cash flow growth of -24.34% in TTM, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.15, suggesting good cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights ongoing cash flow management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.96B7.62B7.50B7.96B6.39B5.79B
Gross Profit3.65B3.65B3.47B3.34B2.99B2.86B
EBITDA3.94B3.54B3.41B3.18B2.81B2.60B
Net Income1.41B1.18B1.15B1.07B990.00M871.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.42B44.60B40.83B37.90B35.73B32.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.00M7.00M25.00M250.00M16.00M139.00M
Total Debt20.10B18.72B16.51B15.10B13.61B11.58B
Total Liabilities34.51B32.35B29.35B27.27B25.91B22.95B
Stockholders Equity12.78B12.11B11.35B10.51B9.70B8.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.23B-1.65B-1.21B-1.12B-1.86B-1.57B
Operating Cash Flow3.21B2.76B2.56B2.26B1.66B1.73B
Investing Cash Flow-4.46B-4.46B-3.80B-3.37B-3.53B-3.33B
Financing Cash Flow1.36B1.75B1.29B1.17B1.72B1.73B

Ameren Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price104.34
Price Trends
50DMA
102.28
Positive
100DMA
100.27
Positive
200DMA
98.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
56.27
Neutral
STOCH
73.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AEE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 104.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 103.79, above the 50-day MA of 102.28, and above the 200-day MA of 98.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AEE.

Ameren Risk Analysis

Ameren disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ameren reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ameren Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$28.31B20.1311.47%2.68%22.71%22.86%
72
Outperform
$22.29B21.1412.34%2.93%10.96%-0.77%
72
Outperform
$26.51B19.9410.54%3.82%7.64%48.61%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$27.40B20.078.65%4.10%13.12%
65
Neutral
$28.40B20.4911.64%3.13%19.42%-9.68%
63
Neutral
$27.06B24.897.65%2.92%8.42%32.48%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AEE
Ameren
104.34
14.95
16.72%
CMS
CMS Energy
74.06
8.48
12.93%
DTE
DTE Energy
139.13
22.98
19.78%
FE
FirstEnergy
46.13
6.30
15.82%
ES
Eversource Energy
72.51
14.78
25.60%
PPL
PPL
36.84
4.63
14.37%

Ameren Corporate Events

Ameren Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 7, 2025

Ameren Corporation is a utility company based in St. Louis, providing electric and natural gas services to customers in Missouri and Illinois through its subsidiaries. The company operates in the energy sector, focusing on electric generation, transmission, and distribution, as well as natural gas distribution.

Ameren Corporation’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

Ameren Corporation’s third quarter 2025 earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, marked by strong financial performance and strategic investments. The company reported significant infrastructure investments and promising growth in data center agreements. However, challenges such as delays in data center load ramping and pending regulatory approvals were also highlighted. Overall, Ameren maintains a balanced outlook with potential for future growth.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ameren Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Ameren Corporation announced its third quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a significant increase in net income and earnings per share compared to the same period in 2024. The improved financial performance was attributed to increased infrastructure investments, new electric service rates, and higher retail sales, partially offset by higher interest and maintenance expenses. The company raised its 2025 earnings guidance and established a guidance range for 2026, reflecting confidence in its strategic initiatives and market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AEE) stock is a Buy with a $112.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ameren stock, see the AEE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Ameren Announces Leadership Changes for Strategic Growth
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Ameren Corporation announced significant leadership changes effective January 1, 2026, aimed at enhancing operational performance and strategic growth. Michael L. Moehn will transition to Group President of Ameren Utilities, overseeing all operating utilities, while Leonard P. Singh will become Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. These changes are part of Ameren’s strategy to improve decision-making and resource allocation, ultimately delivering better service to customers and value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AEE) stock is a Hold with a $108.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ameren stock, see the AEE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Ameren Announces Leadership Change with Birk’s Retirement
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Mark C. Birk announced his retirement from his roles as Chairman and President of Union Electric Company, known as Ameren Missouri, and other positions within Ameren Corporation. Following his departure, Michael L. Moehn, the Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, was appointed as the Interim Chairman and President of Ameren Missouri, bringing his previous experience in these roles from 2014 to 2019.

The most recent analyst rating on (AEE) stock is a Hold with a $104.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ameren stock, see the AEE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Ameren Illinois Sells $350M in Mortgage Bonds
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Ameren Illinois sold $350 million of its 5.625% First Mortgage Bonds due 2055, adding to the same amount issued earlier in March 2025. The transaction, which was part of a registered offering, resulted in net proceeds of approximately $358.1 million for Ameren Illinois, before expenses, potentially strengthening its financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AEE) stock is a Hold with a $104.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ameren stock, see the AEE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Ameren Amends Equity Distribution Agreement, Increases Sales
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Ameren Corporation amended its Equity Distribution Sales Agreement, originally dated May 12, 2021, by entering into a First Amendment with several financial institutions acting as sales agents and forward sellers. This amendment added an additional agent and forward purchaser, increasing the authorized gross sales price under Ameren’s equity distribution program by $1.25 billion, allowing for up to $1.482 billion in common stock issuance. The company retains the flexibility to suspend offers and enter into forward sale agreements as needed.

The most recent analyst rating on (AEE) stock is a Buy with a $108.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ameren stock, see the AEE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025