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Eversource Energy (ES)
NYSE:ES

Eversource Energy (ES) AI Stock Analysis

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Eversource Energy

(NYSE:ES)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$72.00
▲(7.21% Upside)
Eversource Energy's overall stock score reflects a mix of solid operational performance and strategic investments, offset by financial risks due to high leverage and cash flow challenges. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, while the valuation remains reasonable with a strong dividend yield. The earnings call provided positive guidance, but regulatory challenges and liability concerns are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Infrastructure Investment
Significant infrastructure investments strengthen Eversource's operational capabilities and support long-term growth in energy delivery.
Regulatory Progress
Improved regulatory environment can lead to more favorable outcomes, enhancing Eversource's ability to implement strategic initiatives.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow strengthens financial flexibility, enabling Eversource to fund operations and investments without excessive reliance on debt.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, limiting Eversource's ability to respond to economic changes and invest in growth opportunities.
Offshore Wind Liability
Increased liabilities from offshore wind projects could strain financial resources and impact profitability if not managed effectively.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory setbacks can hinder strategic plans, affecting Eversource's ability to optimize its asset portfolio and financial structure.

Eversource Energy (ES) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eversource Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEversource Energy, a public utility holding company, engages in the energy delivery business. The company operates through Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Natural Gas Distribution, and Water Distribution segments. It is involved in the transmission and distribution of electricity; solar power facilities; and distribution of natural gas. The company operates regulated water utilities that provide water services to approximately 226,000 customers. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, municipal and fire protection, and other customers in Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New Hampshire. The company was formerly known as Northeast Utilities and changed its name to Eversource Energy in April 2015. Eversource Energy is based in Springfield, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyEversource Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates on a regulated utility model, which allows it to earn a return on its investments in infrastructure, such as power lines and gas pipelines. Key revenue streams include charges for electricity distribution, natural gas delivery, and related services. Additionally, Eversource benefits from various regulatory mechanisms that allow for cost recovery and investment in renewable energy projects. The company also engages in energy efficiency programs, which not only enhance customer satisfaction but can lead to additional revenue through incentives and rebates from state and federal programs. Strategic partnerships with local governments and organizations further bolster its initiatives in renewable energy and sustainability.

Eversource Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, strategic regulatory advancements, and significant infrastructure investments. However, challenges with offshore wind liabilities and regulatory hurdles in Connecticut and Massachusetts were notable concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Share Price Performance
Eversource's share price has been a top performer among the EEI peer group year-to-date.
Regulatory Progress in Connecticut
Positive developments in the Connecticut regulatory environment with new commissioners appointed at PURA, offering potential for more balanced regulatory outcomes.
Offshore Wind Project Advancements
Substantial completion of the onshore substation for the Revolution Wind project, with expected back-feed energization by end of November.
Significant Infrastructure Investment
On track to invest nearly $5 billion in transmission and distribution infrastructure this year.
Improved Credit Metrics
FFO to debt ratio expected to be over 13% by the third quarter, reflecting an improvement of over 300 basis points from December 2024.
Cash Flow Improvement
Operating cash flows increased over $1.7 billion year-over-year through the third quarter.
Negative Updates
Offshore Wind Liability Increase
Recognized a net after-tax nonrecurring charge of $75 million related to offshore wind liability, with a $285 million increase in liability offset by $210 million in tax benefits.
Challenges with Yankee Gas Rate Case
Awaiting final decision on Yankee rate case, with ongoing regulatory challenges in Connecticut.
NSTAR Gas Rate Base Reset Denied
Massachusetts DPU denied a $45 million rate base roll-in for NSTAR Gas, leading to a motion for reconsideration and intent to file a rate case.
Company Guidance
During the Eversource Energy Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the remainder of the year and beyond. The company has achieved a year-to-date share price performance that ranks among the top in the EEI peer group, underscoring strong operational execution. Eversource is on track to invest nearly $5 billion this year in transmission and distribution infrastructure, having already installed over 40,000 AMI meters and completed significant network deployments. The company expects a final decision on the sale of Aquarion Water by November 19, aiming to close by year-end, which will bring in net cash of $1.6 billion. Eversource has also increased its liability to GIP by approximately $285 million, largely offset by $210 million in tax benefits. The guidance for 2025 recurring EPS has been raised to a range of $4.72 to $4.80, with a reaffirmed long-term EPS growth rate of 5% to 7%. The company is actively working with regulators to ensure customer affordability while advancing decarbonization and electrification initiatives, expecting weather-normalized load growth of 2% year-to-date.

Eversource Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eversource Energy demonstrates solid operational performance with stable margins and modest revenue growth. However, high leverage and low return on equity present potential financial risks. Cash flow challenges, particularly in free cash flow, need to be addressed to ensure long-term financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Eversource Energy shows a stable gross profit margin of 38.4% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is modest at 6.6%, reflecting moderate profitability. Revenue growth is positive at 1.2% TTM, showing a recovery from previous declines. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 19.1% and 35.0% respectively, suggesting strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.90, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity is low at 0.02% TTM, suggesting limited returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio stands at 36.5%, indicating a reasonable proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow growth is negative, showing a significant decline, which is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.48, indicating that cash generation is not fully aligned with reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.15B11.90B11.91B12.29B9.86B8.90B
Gross Profit6.40B3.70B4.85B5.41B4.75B4.44B
EBITDA5.13B4.13B1.40B4.19B3.49B3.25B
Net Income1.34B811.65M-442.24M1.40B1.22B1.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets61.70B59.59B55.61B53.23B48.49B46.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments259.34M26.66M53.87M374.60M66.77M106.60M
Total Debt29.84B29.11B26.75B22.94B20.22B18.09B
Total Liabilities45.52B44.40B41.28B37.60B33.74B31.88B
Stockholders Equity16.03B15.04B14.17B15.47B14.60B14.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-524.39M-2.32B-2.69B-1.04B-1.21B-1.26B
Operating Cash Flow3.84B2.16B1.65B2.40B1.96B1.68B
Investing Cash Flow-4.50B-4.54B-4.87B-4.13B-3.45B-4.13B
Financing Cash Flow829.27M2.34B2.87B2.03B1.44B2.59B

Eversource Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price67.16
Price Trends
50DMA
69.61
Negative
100DMA
67.48
Negative
200DMA
64.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.47
Negative
RSI
47.26
Neutral
STOCH
41.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 67.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.33, below the 50-day MA of 69.61, and above the 200-day MA of 64.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ES.

Eversource Energy Risk Analysis

Eversource Energy disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eversource Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Eversource Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$22.91B7.8019.13%5.68%4.43%123.35%
72
Outperform
$26.65B18.9511.47%2.88%22.71%22.86%
67
Neutral
$21.38B20.2812.34%3.07%10.96%-0.77%
67
Neutral
$25.55B19.2110.54%3.94%7.64%48.61%
66
Neutral
$25.24B18.498.65%4.43%13.12%
66
Neutral
$25.40B23.377.65%3.14%8.42%32.48%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES
Eversource Energy
67.16
12.81
23.57%
AEE
Ameren
98.48
11.74
13.53%
CMS
CMS Energy
69.17
4.54
7.02%
EIX
Edison International
60.10
-15.02
-19.99%
FE
FirstEnergy
44.23
6.04
15.82%
PPL
PPL
34.29
2.88
9.17%

Eversource Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Eversource Energy Elects W. Robert Mudge to Board
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Eversource Energy announced the election of W. Robert Mudge to its Board of Trustees, effective January 1, 2026. Mudge, who has extensive experience in network infrastructure and corporate governance, will also serve on the Audit Committee and Finance and Risk Management Committee. His appointment is expected to enhance Eversource’s efforts to modernize its energy delivery systems and improve service reliability. Additionally, the Board appointed David H. Long as the Chair of the Governance, Environmental and Sustainability Committee and approved updates to its Corporate Governance Guidelines.

M&A TransactionsLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Eversource Energy’s Aquarion Sale Rejected by Regulators
Negative
Nov 24, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Eversource Energy announced that the Connecticut Public Utilities Regulatory Authority rejected the proposed sale of the Aquarion Water Company to the South Central Connecticut Regional Water Authority. In response, Eversource emphasized its strong financial position and strategic planning, including issuing common equity and $600 million in parent company debt earlier in the year. The company plans to submit an Aquarion rate case in early 2026 and remains focused on maintaining operational excellence and exploring regulatory and legal remedies following the decision.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Eversource Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Eversource Energy reported significant financial improvements for the third quarter of 2025, with earnings of $367.5 million compared to a loss in the same period of 2024. The company has narrowed its full-year earnings guidance and continues to invest in its electric and natural gas infrastructure, which has led to higher revenues despite increased expenses. The results reflect Eversource’s strategic focus on regulated utility operations and its response to regulatory changes, positioning it for continued growth.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Eversource Energy Issues $600M Senior Notes
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

On October 17, 2025, Eversource Energy issued $600 million in 4.45% Senior Notes due in 2030, under an agreement with several financial institutions. This issuance, part of their unsecured obligations, is expected to impact their financial strategy and stakeholder interests by securing long-term capital.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Eversource Energy Updates Guidance Amid Liability Increase
Negative
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Eversource Energy announced an increase in liability related to future payments to Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP) following the sale of its South Fork Wind and Revolution Wind projects. This adjustment results in a non-recurring after-tax charge of approximately $75 million, despite a $210 million federal tax benefit mitigating the impact. The company also updated its full-year non-GAAP recurring EPS guidance, narrowing the range with a higher midpoint. The liability adjustments reflect increased construction costs for the Revolution Wind project, which faced delays due to a stop-work order from the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025