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Eversource Energy (ES)
NYSE:ES

Eversource Energy (ES) AI Stock Analysis

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ES

Eversource Energy

(NYSE:ES)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$65.00
▲( 3.08% Upside)
Eversource Energy's overall score reflects a solid financial performance with strengths in profit margins and cash flow, tempered by challenges in revenue growth and leverage. The positive sentiment from the earnings call and corporate events supports a stable outlook, reinforced by a strong dividend yield. While technical indicators present a neutral trend, strategic growth initiatives and regulatory improvements remain crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
The passage of Senate Bill 1560, which allows securitization for storm costs and the removal of the public benefits charge, would be a big benefit for the company as it could improve debt, if storm cost recovery is approved, metrics and lower consumer bills.
Financial Strategy
The company maintains its 2025 EPS guidance and its capital plan, indicating confidence in its financial strategy.
Project Progress
Orsted announced the project is 75% complete and the company reiterated that it is well-positioned for its role.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
Results were below Consensus/BofA expectations of $1.51/$1.53.
Offshore Wind Risks
Balance sheet still requires significant repair and offshore wind risks are increasing.
Regulatory Challenges
The relationship with the CT Public Utilities Regulatory Authority remains contentious, with ongoing lawsuits and regulatory challenges.

Eversource Energy (ES) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eversource Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEversource Energy, a public utility holding company, engages in the energy delivery business. The company operates through Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Natural Gas Distribution, and Water Distribution segments. It is involved in the transmission and distribution of electricity; solar power facilities; and distribution of natural gas. The company operates regulated water utilities that provide water services to approximately 226,000 customers. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, municipal and fire protection, and other customers in Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New Hampshire. The company was formerly known as Northeast Utilities and changed its name to Eversource Energy in April 2015. Eversource Energy is based in Springfield, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyEversource Energy makes money through the regulated sale and distribution of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's revenue streams are primarily derived from its electric and natural gas utility operations, where it charges customers based on their energy consumption. Eversource operates under a regulated utility model, meaning its rates and services are approved by state regulatory commissions, ensuring a stable revenue structure. Additionally, Eversource invests in infrastructure development projects, which are often supported by regulatory mechanisms that allow for cost recovery through customer rates. The company may also engage in renewable energy projects, partnerships, and energy efficiency programs, further contributing to its revenue and sustainability goals.

Eversource Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eversource Energy presents a mixed financial picture with strengths in profit margins and operating cash flow, but challenges in revenue growth and leverage. The company has demonstrated resilience with a recent recovery in net income and free cash flow, yet maintaining this trajectory will be crucial, especially with the high debt levels typical of the industry. Strategic focus on enhancing revenue growth and managing leverage will be key to future financial health.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Eversource Energy shows a stable gross profit margin with a slight decline in revenue over recent years. The TTM data shows a strong net income recovery, leading to improved net profit margins. However, revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decline in the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate stable operating performance, but there is potential for improvement in revenue growth to enhance long-term profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a solid equity base with a stable equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, which is typical for the regulated electric industry but poses potential leverage risks. Return on equity has fluctuated, reflecting varying profitability levels. Overall, the company maintains a stable asset base, but leverage management remains critical.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Eversource Energy's cash flow position benefits from a strong operating cash flow relative to net income, indicating quality earnings. However, free cash flow has been negative in past periods, though recent TTM data shows significant improvement. The company needs to sustain positive free cash flow trends to ensure long-term financial flexibility, especially given high capital expenditure requirements.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
12.69B11.90B11.91B12.29B9.86B8.90B
Gross Profit
4.91B3.70B4.85B5.41B4.75B4.44B
EBIT
2.79B2.71B2.40B2.20B1.99B1.99B
EBITDA
4.26B4.13B1.40B4.19B3.49B3.25B
Net Income Common Stockholders
840.59M811.65M-442.24M1.40B1.22B1.21B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
259.21M26.66M53.87M374.60M66.77M106.60M
Total Assets
57.32B59.59B55.61B53.23B48.49B46.10B
Total Debt
28.29B29.11B26.75B22.94B20.22B17.97B
Net Debt
28.03B29.09B26.70B22.57B20.15B17.86B
Total Liabilities
42.62B44.40B41.28B37.60B33.74B31.88B
Stockholders Equity
14.54B15.04B14.17B15.47B14.60B14.06B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-1.43B-2.32B-2.69B-1.04B-1.21B-1.26B
Operating Cash Flow
2.91B2.16B1.65B2.40B1.96B1.68B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.09B-4.54B-4.87B-4.13B-3.45B-4.13B
Financing Cash Flow
1.02B2.34B2.87B2.03B1.44B2.59B

Eversource Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price63.06
Price Trends
50DMA
59.49
Positive
100DMA
58.68
Positive
200DMA
60.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.48
Negative
RSI
58.50
Neutral
STOCH
64.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 63.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.90, above the 50-day MA of 59.49, and above the 200-day MA of 60.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES.

Eversource Energy Risk Analysis

Eversource Energy disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eversource Energy reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Variability in the costs and final investment returns of the Revolution Wind and South Fork Wind offshore wind projects no longer owned by Eversource and the inability to monetize investment tax credits and investment tax credit adders could have an adverse impact on our financial position, results of operations, and cash flows. Q4, 2024

Eversource Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DTDTE
72
Outperform
$28.72B18.6913.28%3.05%11.16%20.94%
ESES
71
Outperform
$24.08B28.305.63%4.53%10.82%
CMCMS
71
Outperform
$21.53B21.3012.53%2.90%5.87%3.59%
EIEIX
71
Outperform
$22.44B8.2717.93%5.51%5.36%209.92%
FEFE
70
Neutral
$24.66B22.738.69%3.98%7.92%1.54%
CNCNP
67
Neutral
$24.45B25.189.22%2.21%4.76%4.08%
63
Neutral
$8.63B10.244.67%4.35%3.78%-12.74%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES
Eversource Energy
63.06
8.19
14.93%
CNP
Centerpoint Energy
37.22
8.65
30.28%
CMS
CMS Energy
69.36
10.33
17.50%
DTE
DTE Energy
134.62
26.35
24.34%
EIX
Edison International
56.22
-14.71
-20.74%
FE
FirstEnergy
42.27
4.72
12.57%

Eversource Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Eversource Energy's earnings call highlighted strong growth in transmission and distribution, reaffirmation of financial guidance, and progress on key projects, alongside challenges like potential tariff impacts and regulatory uncertainties. The positive aspects of growth and strategic progress were slightly tempered by the challenges, but overall the sentiment leaned more towards positive.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in Transmission and Distribution
Eversource saw strong growth across its transmission and distribution businesses, reaffirming its 2025 EPS guidance and long-term EPS growth rate of 5% to 7% through 2029. The company is projecting rate-based growth at 8% over the five-year forecast period.
Progress on Key Projects
Significant progress was made on the AMI project in Massachusetts, with the communication network 40% complete and on track for a July completion. The acquisition of the Mystic Site offers promising multi-use interconnection opportunities.
Regulatory and Customer Initiatives
Eversource reduced winter rates for gas customers by approximately 10% in Massachusetts and is actively working on long-term solutions for rate stabilization and affordability. The company is also enhancing its digital customer experience.
Financial Performance and Guidance
First quarter earnings were $1.50 per share, slightly up from $1.49 per share last year, with higher utility earnings offsetting other declines. The company reaffirmed its 2025 earnings guidance and long-term EPS growth rate.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs and Supply Chain Challenges
Potential tariffs and supply chain disruptions could lead to a 3% to 6% increase in capital project costs, although Eversource has managed similar issues in the past by diversifying its supply chain.
Regulatory Uncertainties
There are ongoing uncertainties regarding the composition of the Public Utilities Regulatory Authority (PURA) in Connecticut, and the timing of potential performance-based rate-making impacts remains unclear.
Increased Parent Losses
Eversource parent losses increased by $0.12 per share in 2025, driven by higher interest expenses and the absence of capitalized interest associated with the former offshore wind investment.
Company Guidance
During the Eversource Energy First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, management provided multiple metrics and guidance for the coming years. The company reaffirmed its 2025 EPS guidance and maintained a long-term EPS growth rate of 5% to 7% through 2029. They projected an 8% growth in rate base over the next five years, with a strategic shift towards higher distribution spending in Massachusetts. Additionally, the company highlighted a $24.2 billion five-year capital plan, a 10% increase over the previous plan, with $7 billion allocated for transmission infrastructure investments. Eversource also expects FFO to debt ratios to improve significantly from 2024 levels, aiming for a cushion of over 100 basis points above the rating agency downgrade thresholds. These financial plans are supported by a strategic focus on customer innovation, affordability, and sustainability, alongside efforts to maintain a stable regulatory environment across various states.

Eversource Energy Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Eversource Energy Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Positive
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Eversource Energy held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where several key proposals were voted on, including the election of trustees and the approval of an amendment to its Declaration of Trust to eliminate supermajority voting requirements and allow virtual annual meetings. The company reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with earnings of $550.8 million, up from $521.8 million in the same period in 2024. Eversource also reaffirmed its earnings projections for the fiscal year and highlighted its strategic divestiture of the Aquarion water business, positioning itself as a pure-play regulated utility company with growth opportunities.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.