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Eversource Energy (ES)
NYSE:ES
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Eversource Energy (ES) AI Stock Analysis

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ES

Eversource Energy

(NYSE:ES)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$72.00
▲(9.91% Upside)
Eversource Energy's overall score reflects strong earnings growth and strategic investments, balanced by valuation concerns and leverage risks. The company's ability to maintain recent financial improvements and manage its high debt levels will be key to sustaining investor confidence.
Positive Factors
Financial Strategy
Financially, storm securitization of potentially $1bn and $1.6bn from the Aquarion Water sale would help support metrics like FFO/debt and reduce equity needs of $1.8bn through 2029.
Project Progress
Orsted announced the project is 75% complete and the company reiterated that it is well-positioned for its role.
Regulatory Environment
SB4 repositions PURA to serve in an administrative-only capacity, which may help future rate proceedings move faster, reduce uncertainty, and more consistent.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
Results were below Consensus/BofA expectations of $1.51/$1.53.
Interest Costs
Losses at the parent company were primarily due to higher interest expense because of the absence of capitalized interest.
Regulatory Challenges
The company's relationship with the CT Public Utilities Regulatory Authority remains contentious, especially with ongoing legal proceedings.

Eversource Energy (ES) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eversource Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEversource Energy (ES) is a leading energy delivery company based in the northeastern United States, serving over 4 million customers in Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New Hampshire. The company operates in the electric and natural gas sectors, providing reliable energy services while focusing on sustainability and innovation. Eversource is involved in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity, as well as the delivery of natural gas. With a commitment to clean energy and reducing carbon emissions, Eversource is a key player in the transition to renewable energy sources.
How the Company Makes MoneyEversource Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's revenue model is based on regulated utility rates set by state public utility commissions, which allows it to earn a return on its investments in infrastructure and service delivery. Key revenue streams include electricity transmission and distribution, natural gas distribution, and energy efficiency programs. Additionally, Eversource may engage in partnerships with renewable energy developers to support clean energy initiatives, which can provide additional income through power purchase agreements and incentives. The company's focus on expanding its renewable energy portfolio and improving energy efficiency also contributes to its long-term growth and stability.

Eversource Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.89%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, growth in infrastructure investments, and positive regulatory developments in New Hampshire. However, challenges such as high interest expenses and regulatory concerns in Connecticut were noted. Overall, the positive highlights, particularly in growth and regulatory achievements, outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
Earnings for the second quarter were $0.96 a share, in line with expectations. The company is reaffirming its 2025 EPS guidance range of $4.67 to $4.82 per share, as well as its long-term EPS growth projection of 5% to 7% through 2029.
Infrastructure Investment Plan Increase
Eversource announced a 10% increase in its 5-year infrastructure investment plan, reinforcing expectations and validating investments to capitalize on growth momentum.
Positive Developments in New Hampshire
The company received a constructive decision on the rate case for a public service company of New Hampshire with a $100 million rate increase based on an ROE of 9.5%. A new performance-based rate mechanism with a 4-year term was also approved.
Progress in Regulatory Approvals
Connecticut's SB4 allows for securitization of storm costs, and the Aquarion divestiture process continues to progress well, with expectations to close the sale by the end of the year.
Innovative Projects and Sustainability Achievements
The company launched its annual sustainability report, highlighting major projects like the Cambridge Underground substation and the Outer Cape battery energy storage system, which have received industry recognition.
Negative Updates
High Interest Expenses
Lower results in Eversource's parent and other earnings were primarily due to higher interest expenses resulting from the absence of capitalized interest after the sale of the offshore wind business.
Challenges in Connecticut
Moody's announced a downgrade for Connecticut Light & Power to Baa1 from A3, citing the Connecticut regulatory environment as the reason for the downgrade.
Regulatory Concerns
The Connecticut PBR docket draft decision raised concerns, with Eversource working with stakeholders to ensure alignment with the PBR structure.
Company Guidance
During the Eversource Energy Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reiterated its solid financial performance and strategic progress, highlighted by a 2% load growth in the first half of 2025, which is nearly double the rate observed in the same period last year. This growth supports a 10% increase in the company's 5-year infrastructure investment plan, announced in February, which aligns with the rising demand for electrification and decarbonization. The company reported earnings of $0.96 per share for the second quarter, reaffirming its 2025 EPS guidance range of $4.67 to $4.82 and its long-term EPS growth projection of 5% to 7% through 2029. Eversource's balance sheet is strengthening, with an improving FFO to debt ratio, aided by regulatory outcomes and strategic divestitures, including the exit from the offshore wind business. The call also emphasized the company's commitment to grid modernization and system resilience, which has enhanced reliability during extreme weather events, and detailed regulatory achievements, such as the passage of Senate Bill 4 in Connecticut.

Eversource Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eversource Energy shows strong profit margins and operating cash flow but faces challenges in revenue growth and leverage. Recent net income and free cash flow recovery are positives, yet maintaining this trajectory is crucial given industry-standard high debt levels.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Eversource Energy shows a stable gross profit margin with a slight decline in revenue over recent years. The TTM data shows a strong net income recovery, leading to improved net profit margins. However, revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decline in the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate stable operating performance, but there is potential for improvement in revenue growth to enhance long-term profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a solid equity base with a stable equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, which is typical for the regulated electric industry but poses potential leverage risks. Return on equity has fluctuated, reflecting varying profitability levels. Overall, the company maintains a stable asset base, but leverage management remains critical.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Eversource Energy's cash flow position benefits from a strong operating cash flow relative to net income, indicating quality earnings. However, free cash flow has been negative in past periods, though recent TTM data shows significant improvement. The company needs to sustain positive free cash flow trends to ensure long-term financial flexibility, especially given high capital expenditure requirements.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.69B11.90B11.91B12.29B9.86B8.90B
Gross Profit4.91B3.70B4.85B5.41B4.75B4.44B
EBITDA4.26B4.13B1.40B4.19B3.49B3.25B
Net Income840.59M811.65M-442.24M1.40B1.22B1.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.19B59.59B55.61B53.23B48.49B46.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments111.36M26.66M53.87M374.60M66.77M106.60M
Total Debt29.43B29.11B26.75B22.94B20.22B17.97B
Total Liabilities44.70B44.40B41.28B37.60B33.74B31.88B
Stockholders Equity15.34B15.04B14.17B15.47B14.60B14.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.43B-2.32B-2.69B-1.04B-1.21B-1.26B
Operating Cash Flow2.91B2.16B1.65B2.40B1.96B1.68B
Investing Cash Flow-4.09B-4.54B-4.87B-4.13B-3.45B-4.13B
Financing Cash Flow1.02B2.34B2.87B2.03B1.44B2.59B

Eversource Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price65.51
Price Trends
50DMA
65.07
Positive
100DMA
62.55
Positive
200DMA
60.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Positive
RSI
49.95
Neutral
STOCH
51.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.91, above the 50-day MA of 65.07, and above the 200-day MA of 60.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES.

Eversource Energy Risk Analysis

Eversource Energy disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eversource Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Eversource Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$21.79B21.4912.48%2.95%8.25%4.37%
72
Outperform
$21.56B8.2317.37%5.82%4.26%173.18%
72
Outperform
$25.21B19.2710.33%3.99%6.44%49.07%
71
Outperform
$24.31B28.205.63%4.48%14.44%
71
Outperform
$29.05B20.1312.61%3.07%14.35%3.62%
67
Neutral
$25.10B26.798.76%2.21%4.84%-11.24%
56
Neutral
AU$1.98B1.725.21%4.09%24.08%-117.07%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES
Eversource Energy
65.51
3.41
5.49%
CNP
Centerpoint Energy
38.44
13.14
51.94%
CMS
CMS Energy
72.59
8.12
12.60%
DTE
DTE Energy
139.93
22.04
18.70%
EIX
Edison International
56.02
-23.26
-29.34%
FE
FirstEnergy
43.66
2.82
6.90%

Eversource Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Eversource Energy Reports Q2 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Eversource Energy reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showing an increase in earnings to $352.7 million compared to $335.3 million in the same period of 2024. The company attributed this growth to improved performance across its electric transmission, electric distribution, natural gas, and water distribution segments, driven by increased investments and rate adjustments. However, the parent and other companies experienced increased losses due to higher interest expenses. Eversource reaffirmed its earnings projection for 2025 and its commitment to long-term investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eversource Energy stock, see the ES Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Eversource Energy Enters $1.2 Billion Equity Agreement
Positive
May 30, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Eversource Energy entered into an Equity Distribution Agreement with several financial institutions, allowing the company to issue and sell up to $1.2 billion in common shares. This move is part of Eversource’s strategy to strengthen its financial position and potentially expand its market presence, impacting its operations and stakeholders positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES) stock is a Sell with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eversource Energy stock, see the ES Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025