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Edison International (EIX)
:EIX

Edison International (EIX) AI Stock Analysis

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EI

Edison International

(NYSE:EIX)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$54.00
▲(11.75%Upside)
Edison International's overall score is influenced by solid valuation metrics and strong earnings call outcomes, despite bearish technical indicators. High leverage and negative free cash flow are key concerns, but the company's strategic initiatives and regulatory successes provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Guidance Update
Management raised 2025 guidance as a result of the TKM Settlement, increasing the range to $5.94-$6.34.
Legislative Support
Legislative & Commission support: AB 1054 established a liability cap at 20% of the electric T&D equity rate base and a ~$21Bn claim paying fund for wildfires with reimbursement based on prudency.
Stock Valuation
EIX shares currently trade at a very wide P/E discount to the broader group, suggesting potential value for investors.
Negative Factors
Litigation Risk
EIX’s updated Eaton disclosure preliminarily suggests that SCE’s transmission equipment likely caused the fire’s ignition.
Market Perception
EIX currently trades at levels that would imply the market believes EIX started the fire.
Uncertainty in Legislative Clarity
Timing remains uncertain for when the CA legislature can provide clarity on a replenishment mechanism and liability cap extension.

Edison International (EIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Edison International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEdison International, through its subsidiaries, generates and distributes electric power. It delivers electricity to 15 million residential, commercial, industrial, public authorities, agricultural, and other customers across Southern, Central, and Coastal California. The company also provides energy solutions to commercial and industrial users. Its transmission facilities consist of lines ranging from 55 kV to 500 kV and substations; and distribution system consists of approximately 39,000 circuit-miles of overhead lines, approximately 31,000 circuit-miles of underground lines, and 800 substations. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Rosemead, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyEdison International primarily generates revenue through its subsidiary, Southern California Edison (SCE), which provides electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company earns money by charging customers for the electricity they consume, with rates regulated by the California Public Utilities Commission. Revenue is also derived from investments in infrastructure, such as the development and maintenance of transmission and distribution networks. Additionally, Edison International benefits from its involvement in renewable energy projects and energy efficiency programs, which contribute to its earnings by diversifying its energy portfolio and enhancing operational efficiencies. Key partnerships with government entities and technology providers help facilitate these initiatives and support the company's financial performance.

Edison International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -17.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and challenging aspects. While Edison International reported strong financial performance, regulatory progress, and successful financing activities, it also faced challenges related to potential losses from the Eaton Fire and ongoing uncertainties in wildfire legislation. The overall sentiment reflects cautious optimism, given the company's ability to navigate regulatory and operational challenges while maintaining financial guidance.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Core Earnings Per Share Increase
Edison International reported core earnings per share of $1.37 for Q1 2025, compared to $1.13 in the same period last year, marking a notable improvement despite the lack of a decision in the 2025 General Rate Case.
Rebuilding and Wildfire Mitigation Efforts
SCE plans to underground more than 150 circuit miles in High Fire Risk Areas, improving infrastructure resilience and reliability following recent wildfires.
Strong Regulatory Progress
SCE achieved important milestones, including the unanimous CPUC approval of the TKM settlement agreement and progress in the WMCE proceeding.
Affirmation of EPS Guidance
Edison International affirmed its 2025 EPS guidance range of $5.94 to $6.34 and its long-term EPS growth expectations of 5 to 7% from 2025 to 2028.
Successful Financing Activities
EIX and SCE successfully issued $550 million of senior notes and $1.5 billion of long-term debt, respectively, with strong investor support.
Negative Updates
Potential Material Losses from Eaton Fire
Edison International disclosed that it is probable they will incur material losses related to the Eaton Fire, with investigations ongoing and no conclusive evidence pointing to another source of ignition.
Uncertainty in Wildfire Legislation
Discussions on potential updates to California's wildfire legislative framework are in early stages, with no specific proposals advanced yet.
Interest Expense Impact
Higher interest expense at EIX Parent affected quarterly earnings, partially offsetting the positive impact of the TKM settlement approval.
Company Guidance
During Edison International's First Quarter 2025 Financial Teleconference, the company reported core earnings per share of $1.37, an increase from $1.13 the previous year. However, this comparison was noted to be not particularly meaningful due to the pending decision in Southern California Edison's (SCE) 2025 General Rate Case. The company remains confident in meeting its 2025 EPS guidance and anticipates a 5 to 7% core EPS compound annual growth rate through 2028. SCE plans to submit its 2026 Wildfire Mitigation Plan, which will include investments such as undergrounding over 150 circuit miles and hardening an additional 1,800 miles of overhead distribution infrastructure. Additionally, the company highlighted a recent settlement agreement in its Wildfire Mitigation and Cost Recovery proceeding, which is expected to contribute $0.10 per share of true-up earnings embedded in the 2025 guidance. Edison International reaffirmed its 2025 EPS guidance range of $5.94 to $6.34 and long-term EPS growth expectations up to $7.14 by 2028.

Edison International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Edison International shows strong operational profitability and effective shareholder capital utilization, with healthy margins and ROE. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow pose risks, particularly with fluctuating revenues. Focus on revenue growth and improved free cash flow could enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement unveils a moderate financial performance. The TTM Gross Profit Margin stands at approximately 37.62%, reflecting strong profitability in core operations. However, the TTM Net Profit Margin is 16.94%, which, while positive, indicates that a significant portion of revenue is absorbed by non-operational costs. The TTM EBIT Margin is robust at 27.80%, and the EBITDA Margin is 47.45%, showcasing effective cost management. Notably, the revenue has fluctuated, with a recent decline from $17.60 billion to $17.33 billion, warranting attention to growth strategies.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable yet leveraged position. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is approximately 2.38, indicating significant reliance on debt financing, which introduces potential risk if interest rates rise or revenues decline. Return on Equity (ROE) for the TTM is strong at 17.67%, signifying effective use of shareholder capital. The Equity Ratio is 18.81%, suggesting a moderate cushion against liabilities but emphasizing the need for careful financial maneuvering.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement indicates challenges in liquidity management. While Operating Cash Flow is positive at $5.20 billion for TTM, Free Cash Flow remains negative, at -$641 million, highlighting issues with capital expenditure investments. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.77, suggesting efficient cash generation from operational activities. However, the negative Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio and declining Free Cash Flow Growth Rate underscore potential constraints in funding growth or debt reduction without raising additional capital.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
17.33B17.60B16.34B17.22B14.90B13.58B
Gross Profit
6.52B7.22B6.71B6.12B5.72B5.04B
EBIT
4.82B2.93B2.63B1.48B1.48B1.22B
EBITDA
8.22B6.37B5.85B4.46B4.00B3.50B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.94B1.55B1.41B824.00M925.00M871.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.32B193.00M345.00M914.00M390.00M87.00M
Total Assets
88.42B85.58B81.76B78.04B74.75B69.37B
Total Debt
39.56B37.76B35.31B33.10B29.53B24.15B
Net Debt
38.24B37.57B34.97B32.18B29.14B24.06B
Total Liabilities
69.62B67.84B63.81B60.52B56.96B53.42B
Stockholders Equity
16.62B15.56B15.50B15.62B15.89B14.05B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-641.00M-693.00M-2.05B-2.56B-5.49B-4.22B
Operating Cash Flow
5.20B5.01B3.40B3.22B11.00M1.26B
Investing Cash Flow
-5.63B-5.54B-5.23B-5.57B-5.15B-4.97B
Financing Cash Flow
1.06B674.00M1.45B2.88B5.45B3.73B

Edison International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price48.32
Price Trends
50DMA
55.51
Negative
100DMA
54.87
Negative
200DMA
67.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.82
Positive
RSI
29.44
Positive
STOCH
15.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EIX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 48.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.49, below the 50-day MA of 55.51, and below the 200-day MA of 67.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.44 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EIX.

Edison International Risk Analysis

Edison International disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Edison International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Edison International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CMCMS
72
Outperform
$21.10B20.8712.53%3.08%5.87%3.59%
FEFE
72
Outperform
$23.28B21.468.69%4.41%7.92%1.54%
ESES
71
Outperform
$23.96B28.155.63%4.62%10.82%
PPPPL
71
Outperform
$25.05B25.307.00%3.22%5.62%30.02%
EIEIX
67
Neutral
$18.59B6.8617.93%6.85%5.36%209.92%
CNCNP
67
Neutral
$23.74B24.459.22%2.42%4.76%4.08%
64
Neutral
$8.58B10.364.24%4.64%4.07%-13.04%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EIX
Edison International
48.32
-20.01
-29.28%
CNP
Centerpoint Energy
36.37
6.50
21.76%
CMS
CMS Energy
70.53
13.04
22.68%
FE
FirstEnergy
40.34
3.65
9.95%
ES
Eversource Energy
65.21
10.23
18.61%
PPL
PPL
33.89
6.86
25.38%

Edison International Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Edison International Highlights Grid Modernization Efforts
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Edison International provided a business update highlighting its ongoing efforts to transform the electric power industry through significant investments in grid modernization and clean energy initiatives. The company is focused on addressing wildfire risks, enhancing grid reliability, and supporting California’s climate goals. The update emphasized the importance of regulatory mechanisms that provide revenue certainty and promote energy efficiency, as well as the company’s commitment to maintaining a strong rate base and dividend growth.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Edison International Reports Strong Q1 Turnaround
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Edison International reported a significant turnaround in its first-quarter financial results, with a net income of $1,436 million compared to a net loss in the same period last year. The company highlighted strong regulatory progress and ongoing efforts to enhance the safety and reliability of its electrical infrastructure, particularly in wildfire-impacted areas. Edison International reaffirmed its core earnings guidance for 2025 and expressed confidence in achieving 5-7% core EPS growth from 2025 to 2028, underscoring its commitment to supporting California’s economic development and community safety.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.