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Edison International (EIX)
NYSE:EIX

Edison International (EIX) AI Stock Analysis

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EIX

Edison International

(NYSE:EIX)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$76.00
▲(3.06% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/19/26
The score is driven most by mixed financial quality—strong recent earnings/revenue trends but consistently negative free cash flow and leverage uncertainty—paired with supportive technical uptrend signals. Valuation is a clear positive with a low P/E and strong dividend yield, while earnings-call risks (notably wildfire liability uncertainty and near-term EPS headwinds) keep the overall score in the upper-middle range.
Positive Factors
Regulated rate base growth & capital plan
A large, multi‑year $38–41B capital program and projected ~7% rate base CAGR (2025–2030) creates durable, regulated revenue growth and predictable cost recovery. That scale supports long‑term utility economics, steady returns on invested capital and alignment with electrification trends.
Clear financing framework & no equity plan
Management’s commitment to no equity issuance through 2030 and a defined 15–17% FFO/debt target provides durable financing visibility, limits shareholder dilution, and signals a prioritized capital structure. Use of securitization and targeted metrics supports predictable funding for the capital plan.
Dividend & multi‑year EPS targets
A ~5% dividend coupled with a 5–7% long‑term core EPS growth target provides a sustainable shareholder return profile anchored by regulated cash flows. The combination of yield and predictable EPS guidance supports long‑term income investors and reflects operational stability in a regulated business.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative free cash flow
Consistent negative free cash flow indicates the business repeatedly requires external funding to finance investments and obligations. Over time this raises refinancing needs, increases leverage or financing costs, and constrains discretionary capital allocation despite regulated revenues and approved rate base recoveries.
High leverage & inconsistent balance sheet metrics
Historically elevated debt ratios and large year‑to‑year swings in reported leverage reduce balance‑sheet predictability. For a capital‑intensive utility, inconsistent leverage raises refinancing and rating risk, complicates long‑term financing assumptions and could increase the cost of capital if adverse trends reappear.
Wildfire liability & regulatory uncertainty
Ongoing investigations and indeterminate wildfire liabilities create structural legal and regulatory risk. Potential large claims, subrogation variability and evolving prudency standards can materially affect cash flows, cost recovery timing, capital plans, and insurer/creditor treatment over multiple years.

Edison International (EIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Edison International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEdison International, through its subsidiaries, generates and distributes electric power. It delivers electricity to 15 million residential, commercial, industrial, public authorities, agricultural, and other customers across Southern, Central, and Coastal California. The company also provides energy solutions to commercial and industrial users. Its transmission facilities consist of lines ranging from 55 kV to 500 kV and substations; and distribution system consists of approximately 39,000 circuit-miles of overhead lines, approximately 31,000 circuit-miles of underground lines, and 800 substations. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Rosemead, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyEdison International generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to its customers via Southern California Edison. The company's revenue model is largely based on regulated rates set by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC), which allows SCE to recover its costs and earn a regulated return on its investments in infrastructure. Key revenue streams include residential and commercial electricity sales, transmission and distribution services, and ancillary services such as demand response programs. Additionally, EIX earns income from investments in renewable energy projects and partnerships aimed at increasing energy efficiency and sustainability, including incentives for electric vehicle adoption and solar power initiatives. The company also benefits from federal and state incentives for clean energy development, contributing to its earnings through reduced operating costs and enhanced revenue from green energy sales.

Edison International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue based on different business units or services, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where the company might focus its strategic efforts.
Chart InsightsEdison International's revenue from contracts with customers shows a consistent upward trend, particularly in Q3 of each year, indicating strong seasonal performance. However, the alternative revenue program segment is volatile, with significant negative values impacting overall stability. The latest earnings call highlights robust core EPS growth and legislative successes, such as SB 254, which could mitigate wildfire-related financial risks. Despite these positives, uncertainties remain around wildfire liabilities and refinancing challenges, which could affect future revenue stability and growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Edison International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong execution and financial performance — full-year 2025 core EPS topped guidance, long-term EPS targets were met, management provided multi-year guidance and affirmed a large capital plan with projected ~7% rate base growth and no planned equity issuance through 2030. Significant operational progress on wildfire mitigation, customer rate relief and program enhancements were emphasized. However, material uncertainties remain from the Eaton fire (ongoing investigations, inability to estimate potential losses), discrete 2025 impacts (Woolsey true-up) and near-term muted EPS growth drivers. Despite these risks, management's messages around regulatory clarity, financing plans, and delivering on commitments support confidence in the multi-year plan.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Core EPS Above Guidance & Long-Term Target Delivered
2025 core EPS of $6.55 exceeded the high end of guidance and completes the long-term core EPS growth target set in 2021, reflecting disciplined execution, cost management and capital efficiency.
Quarter and Near-Term EPS Guidance
Q4 2025 core EPS was $1.86. Company provided 2026 core EPS guidance of $5.90–$6.20 and 2027 guidance of $6.25–$6.65, reaffirmed 2028 guidance and extended a 5%–7% core EPS growth target through 2030.
Strong Capital Plan & Rate Base Growth
Updated capital plan of $38–$41 billion for 2026–2030, including nearly $1.5 billion of AMI 2.0 spend through 2030; projected rate base growth of ~7% from 2025 to 2030 and potential step-up to ~$9 billion/year in the next GRC cycle.
No Equity Needs and Solid Balance Sheet Targets
Management expects no equity issuance through 2030, targets efficient financing within a 15%–17% FFO to debt framework, and plans Woolsey securitization (~$2 billion) to close mid-2026 to offset normal debt issuances.
Shareholder Returns & Dividend Yield
EIX offers an attractive dividend yield of approximately 5% and expects total shareholder returns of 10%–12% driven by 5%–7% EPS growth plus income.
Significant Wildfire Mitigation and Reliability Progress
SCE installed more than 7,000 miles of covered conductor (over 90% of planned grid hardening in high-fire-risk areas) and implemented fast-curve settings on 93% of distribution circuits in high-fire-risk areas to reduce ignition risk and improve reliability.
Customer Affordability Actions
SCE implemented a 2.3% residential rate decrease and a 5.3% decrease for small- and medium-sized business customers; typical non-CARE residential bill is ~$188/month (modestly up from $180 two years ago), and the company has invested over $12 billion in safety and reliability in the last two years.
Program Enhancements & Community Support
Wildfire Recovery Compensation Program improvements: tenants can recover the higher of actual rent or fair-market rent for three months; attorney fee support increased from 10% to 20% (applied retroactively). Edison International donated $2 million to Pasadena Community Foundation for Eaton fire relief.
Negative Updates
Eaton Fire Liability Uncertainty and Investigations
SCE acknowledged that its energized idle transmission facility could have been associated with the Eaton fire ignition. Investigations are ongoing (including an L.A. District Attorney inquiry) and management cannot reasonably estimate a loss range at this time, creating material uncertainty and potential future charges.
Recorded Wildfire-Related Charges and Subrogation Activity
Management referenced roughly $1 billion recorded to date related to payments under the wildfire recovery compensation program (a smaller portion) and subrogation settlements (larger portion). Two insurance subrogation settlements averaged about $0.55 on the dollar; further settlements and claims could materially change the loss profile.
Woolsey True-Up Impact on EPS
A $0.46 true-up related to the final Woolsey cost recovery decision was recorded in 2025; while the company is pursuing securitization (~$2 billion), the true-up was a discrete negative to 2025 results.
Muted Near-Term EPS Growth Drivers
2026 mid-point EPS growth is modest (~3.5% versus $5.84 baseline) due to a $0.25 headwind: fewer regulatory decisions (-$0.11), depreciation/property tax and asset-mix variances (-$0.07), and financing/tax law changes (-$0.07). This results in a non-linear growth profile for 2026.
Scale of Potential Claims and Ongoing WRCP Pace Uncertainty
18,000 properties are eligible for the WRCP and tens of thousands of claimants are possible; only ~2,300 claims submitted and ~590 offers issued to date—the pace and volume uncertainty complicate loss forecasting and cash flow timing.
Regulatory and Legislative Uncertainty
SB 254 natural catastrophe resiliency study and broader legislative developments remain unresolved; credit rating agencies continue to evaluate California-specific risks—outcomes could affect regulatory durability, cost of capital and affordability.
Increased Financing / Wildfire-Related Debt Costs
More wildfire-related debt outstanding contributed to financing variances and modestly higher financing costs year-over-year, which reduced core EPS by approximately $0.07 in 2026 assumptions.
Operational and Industry Practice Complexity Around Idle-Line Grounding
While SCE changed protocols to require more frequent grounding of idle lines (endpoints and every two miles for long lines), management noted there is no consistent industry standard; this complexity both raised operational questions and could have liability and implementation costs.
Company Guidance
Edison reiterated a multi‑year financial roadmap anchored by strong near‑term and long‑term targets: full‑year 2025 core EPS was $6.55 (Q4 $1.86, including $0.06 of preferred tender costs and a $0.46 Woolsey true‑up), 2026 core EPS guidance of $5.90–$6.20 and 2027 guidance of $6.25–$6.65 (2026 midpoint ≈ +3.5% vs a $5.84 baseline), reaffirmed 2028 guidance and extended a long‑term core EPS growth target of 5–7% to 2030 (measured from the $5.84 baseline) with 2027 expected at the high end of that range; SCE plans $38–41 billion of capital from 2026–2030 (including nearly $1.5B of AMI 2.0 spend through 2030 and a total AMI request >$3B through 2033), a $7B 2026 capital program with potential step‑up to as high as $9B/year in the next GRC cycle, and projected rate base growth of ≈7% from 2025–2030; financing highlights include no equity needs through 2030, a 15–17% FFO/debt framework, a ~$2B Woolsey securitization targeted mid‑2026, an approximate 5% dividend yield and a 10–12% total shareholder return target—while calling out a ~ $0.25 EPS headwind in 2026 (≈$0.11 regulatory timing, $0.07 depreciation/property tax, $0.07 financing/tax) that management says is largely non‑recurring.

Edison International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (revenue growth to $19.3B and a sharp 2025 earnings step-up) is tempered by persistent negative free cash flow across all years shown and historically high leverage, with additional uncertainty from large year-to-year balance-sheet metric shifts.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily overall (from $13.6B in 2020 to $19.3B in 2025), with 2025 showing a strong ~6.8% increase. Profitability improved meaningfully: net margin rose from ~8.8% (2024) to ~24.3% (2025) and earnings jumped to $4.7B. The main weakness is year-to-year volatility (notably a revenue decline in 2023) and some inconsistency in reported operating profitability details across periods (e.g., 2025 gross profit and certain margin fields).
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet shows high leverage in most years, with debt-to-equity around ~1.7–2.4x from 2020–2024, which is a key risk factor even for a regulated utility. A positive is that equity has been relatively stable and 2025 shows sharply lower reported debt and much lower debt-to-equity (~0.20x) alongside a higher return on equity (~26.7%). However, the magnitude of the 2025 debt/asset shift versus prior years introduces uncertainty and suggests balance-sheet metrics are less consistent year to year.
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
Operating cash flow improved versus the weak 2021 level and reached ~$5.0–$5.8B in 2024–2025, which supports earnings quality in recent years. However, free cash flow is negative every year shown (including -$0.7B in both 2024 and 2025 and much larger deficits in 2021–2023), meaning the business has consistently required external funding for investment and/or other uses. Free cash flow relative to net income remains negative, highlighting ongoing cash reinvestment pressure.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.32B17.60B16.34B17.22B14.90B
Gross Profit6.05B7.22B6.71B6.12B5.72B
EBITDA8.48B6.37B5.85B4.46B4.00B
Net Income4.70B1.55B1.41B824.00M925.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.78B85.58B81.76B78.04B74.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.00M193.00M345.00M914.00M390.00M
Total Debt42.59B37.76B35.31B33.10B29.53B
Total Liabilities7.20B67.84B63.81B60.52B56.96B
Stockholders Equity17.58B15.56B15.50B15.62B15.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-715.00M-693.00M-2.05B-2.56B-5.49B
Operating Cash Flow5.80B5.01B3.40B3.22B11.00M
Investing Cash Flow-6.33B-5.54B-5.23B-5.57B-5.15B
Financing Cash Flow571.00M674.00M1.45B2.88B5.45B

Edison International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price73.74
Price Trends
50DMA
61.80
Positive
100DMA
58.78
Positive
200DMA
55.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.12
Negative
RSI
78.26
Negative
STOCH
87.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EIX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 73.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.48, above the 50-day MA of 61.80, and above the 200-day MA of 55.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.26 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EIX.

Edison International Risk Analysis

Edison International disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Edison International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Edison International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$26.82B6.0327.88%5.68%4.43%123.35%
67
Neutral
$40.28B19.508.76%3.44%10.35%7.64%
66
Neutral
$23.02B21.3112.33%3.10%10.96%-0.77%
66
Neutral
$26.93B15.7210.84%4.54%13.12%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
64
Neutral
$28.27B27.738.17%3.94%7.64%48.61%
62
Neutral
$29.64B20.2312.16%3.45%19.42%-9.68%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EIX
Edison International
73.74
24.60
50.05%
CMS
CMS Energy
75.86
5.86
8.37%
ED
Consolidated Edison
109.81
13.35
13.84%
DTE
DTE Energy
145.00
16.94
13.23%
FE
FirstEnergy
50.20
9.00
21.84%
ES
Eversource Energy
73.56
13.41
22.30%

Edison International Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Edison International Details Grid Investment Plan and Strategy
Positive
Feb 19, 2026

On February 18, 2026, Edison International management presented a business update to institutional investors and analysts outlining its strategy as a wires-focused utility driving California’s clean energy transition. The company highlighted a projected $38 billion to $41 billion electric infrastructure investment opportunity from 2026 through 2030, aimed at strengthening and modernizing the grid, enhancing reliability and resiliency, and supporting widespread electrification.

The update emphasized that growth will be underpinned by constructive California and federal regulatory frameworks, including decoupling of sales and forward-looking ratemaking, and by a wildfire prudency standard designed to support cost recovery where appropriate. Edison International projected a roughly 7% compound annual growth rate in rate base from 2025 to 2030 and reiterated its target dividend payout range, while also detailing extensive wildfire risk mitigation, climate adaptation efforts, and operational plans that are central to its long-term financial and strategic positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (EIX) stock is a Buy with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edison International stock, see the EIX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Edison International posts strong Q4 results, raises guidance
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

Edison International reported sharply higher results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 on Feb. 18, 2026, with Q4 GAAP EPS rising to $4.80 and core EPS to $1.87, and full-year GAAP EPS climbing to $11.58 and core EPS to $6.55. The improvement was driven mainly by Southern California Edison, which benefited from revenue recognition tied to the 2025 general rate case decision and lower interest expense from wildfire-related settlement cost recoveries, while parent-level results were pressured by higher interest costs and a loss on preferred stock redemption.

Management underscored that SCE has installed more than 7,000 miles of covered conductor in high fire risk areas, completing over 90% of its planned grid hardening program, and highlighted recent rate cuts of 2.3% for residential customers and 5.3% for small and medium-sized businesses, while still maintaining the lowest system average rate among California’s major investor-owned utilities. The company unveiled 2026 and 2027 core EPS guidance of $5.90–6.20 and $6.25–6.65 respectively, signaled confidence in sustaining 5–7% core EPS growth through 2030, and announced a quarterly common dividend of $0.8775 per share payable April 30, 2026, reinforcing its message of earnings visibility and continued shareholder returns in a heavily regulated, wildfire-exposed market.

The most recent analyst rating on (EIX) stock is a Hold with a $78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edison International stock, see the EIX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Edison International Secures $900 Million Term Loan Facility
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 23, 2025, Edison International entered into a $900 million term loan credit agreement with a syndicate of lenders led by Wells Fargo Bank, maturing on December 22, 2026, with interest based on adjusted term SOFR plus 1.25% or a base rate plus 0.25%, and the flexibility to prepay without penalty. The company plans to use the proceeds for general corporate and working capital purposes, including potential debt repayment, while committing to maintain a consolidated total recourse indebtedness-to-capital ratio not exceeding 0.70 to 1.0, reinforcing liquidity alongside its existing $1.5 billion corporate and $3.35 billion Southern California Edison revolving credit facilities, and underscoring ongoing relationships with key banking partners.

The most recent analyst rating on (EIX) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edison International stock, see the EIX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Edison International Reaffirms Long-Term Earnings and Growth Outlook
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 18, 2025, the California Public Utilities Commission approved Southern California Edison’s authorized cost of capital for 2026, extending the existing cost of capital mechanism and maintaining a capital structure of 52% common equity, 5% preferred equity, and 43% long-term debt, with an overall rate of return of 7.59% for 2026 compared with 7.66% for 2025. Following this decision, Edison International reaffirmed its long-term financial guidance, including a 2025–2028 core earnings per share compound annual growth rate of 5–7%, projected 2028 core EPS of $6.74–$7.14, 2024–2028 rate base growth of 7–8%, a $28–29 billion capital plan for 2025–2028 with no expected equity issuance, and reiterated its 2025 basic EPS guidance of $8.05–$8.30 and core EPS guidance of $5.95–$6.20, underscoring management’s confidence in the company’s regulated business model, capital investment program, and potential for attractive total shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (EIX) stock is a Sell with a $57.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edison International stock, see the EIX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Edison International Announces Tender Offers for Preferred Stock
Neutral
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Edison International announced the commencement of tender offers to purchase for cash any and all of its outstanding Series B and Series A Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock. The tender offers are set to expire on December 19, 2025, unless extended or terminated earlier. The company plans to fund these purchases with cash on hand, and the offers are subject to specific terms and conditions outlined in the Offer Materials. This move could impact the company’s financial structure and market positioning by potentially reducing its outstanding preferred stock liabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (EIX) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edison International stock, see the EIX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026