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Dte Energy Company (DTE)
NYSE:DTE
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DTE Energy (DTE) AI Stock Analysis

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DTE

DTE Energy

(NYSE:DTE)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$152.00
▲(11.43% Upside)
DTE Energy's overall score reflects strong earnings guidance and strategic investments in renewable energy, which are key strengths. However, high leverage and cash flow challenges due to capital expenditures are significant risks. The stock's valuation is fair, and technical indicators show moderate bullish momentum.
Positive Factors
Data Center Opportunities
Management continues to target finalizing data center contracts with potential for significant projects.
Earnings Outlook
Management is confident in hitting the high end of its 6-8% outlook given its robust current capital plan and clarity on 45Z credits through 2029.
Infrastructure Recovery Mechanism
Staff supports extending the Infrastructure Recovery Mechanism at increasing levels, which is seen as a notable improvement from their position in the previous rate case.
Negative Factors
Long-Term Growth Rate
Despite the overall positive tone on the call, management's comments on its long-term growth rate likely drove the underperformance in DTE shares.
Quarterly Results
Quarterly results were slightly behind expectations and largely driven by weaker year-over-year comps due to the timing of taxes.
Return on Equity
The recommended ROE of 9.80% is below the currently authorized 9.90%.

DTE Energy (DTE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DTE Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDTE Energy Company engages in the utility operations. The company's Electric segment generates, purchases, distributes, and sells electricity to approximately 2.3 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers in southeastern Michigan. It generates electricity through fossil-fuel, hydroelectric pumped storage, and nuclear plants, as well as wind and other renewable assets. This segment owns and operates approximately 698 distribution substations and 449,800 line transformers. The company's Gas segment purchases, stores, transports, distributes, and sells natural gas to approximately 1.3 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers throughout Michigan; and sells storage and transportation capacity. This segment has approximately 20,000 miles of distribution mains; 1,304,000 service pipelines; and 1,305,000 active meters, as well as owns approximately 2,000 miles of transmission pipelines. The company's Power and Industrial Projects segment offers metallurgical coke; pulverized coal and petroleum coke to the steel, pulp and paper, and other industries; and power, steam and chilled water production, and wastewater treatment services, as well as supplies compressed air to industrial customers. Its Energy Trading segment engages in power, natural gas, and environmental marketing and trading; structured transactions; and the optimization of contracted natural gas pipeline transportation and storage positions. The company was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDTE Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to its customers. The Electric segment is responsible for the bulk of the company's earnings, with revenue derived from residential, commercial, and industrial electricity sales, as well as from transmission and distribution services. The Gas segment contributes revenue through the sale and distribution of natural gas, including residential heating and commercial usage. Additionally, DTE earns income from regulated utility operations, which are supported by rate structures set by state regulatory bodies. The company also has investments in renewable energy projects, adding to its revenue base by participating in the growing market for green energy solutions. Partnerships with local governments and businesses for energy efficiency programs further bolster DTE's earnings by creating additional service offerings and enhancing customer engagement.

DTE Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Income Breakdown
Net Income Breakdown
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

DTE Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant achievements in reliability improvements, renewable energy investments, and strong employee engagement. Financial performance is strong, with expectations to achieve the high end of EPS guidance for 2025. However, there are challenges with higher operational costs and losses in the Corporate & Other segment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong First Half of 2025
DTE Energy is well-positioned to meet its targets for 2025, with significant achievements in reliability and renewable energy investments.
Employee Engagement
DTE Energy was recognized by the Gallup organization for the 13th consecutive year with a Great Workplace Award, ranking in the 94th percentile globally.
Improved Grid Reliability
DTE reported nearly 70% improvement in reliability in 2024 compared to 2023, with continued progress in 2025 towards reducing outages by 30% and outage time by 50% by 2029.
Renewable Energy Investments
Plans to significantly increase solar, wind, and battery storage investments over the next five years, supported by favorable tax credits.
Financial Performance
Operating EPS guidance for 2025 is $7.09 to $7.23, with the company positioned to achieve the high end of this range. Long-term EPS growth rate remains at 6% to 8%.
Data Center Opportunities
DTE is in late-stage discussions with multiple data centers, expecting significant new load and potential upside to the 5-year plan.
Negative Updates
Higher Operational Costs
DTE Gas operating earnings were $6 million lower than the second quarter of 2024 due to higher O&M and rate base costs.
Corporate & Other Segment Losses
The segment was unfavorable by $56 million quarter-over-quarter due primarily to the timing of taxes and higher interest expense.
Company Guidance
During the DTE Energy Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key financial and operational metrics. DTE's 2025 operating EPS guidance is projected to be between $7.09 and $7.23, with expectations to achieve the higher end of this range. The company anticipates a long-term operating EPS growth rate of 6% to 8%, using the 2025 original guidance as a baseline. This growth is supported by the 45Z production tax credits from DTE's RNG projects, which were extended through 2029. DTE also plans to update its five-year capital investment plan, which includes $30 billion in customer-focused capital investments, with more than 90% directed towards enhancing and modernizing utility operations. Additionally, the company is in late-stage discussions with data centers, expecting to close deals for significant new load, which could provide upside to the current five-year plan. DTE's 2025 annualized dividend is set at $4.36 per share, aligning with its EPS growth. The company maintains a strong balance sheet and investment-grade credit rating to support its customer-focused capital investment plan.

DTE Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DTE Energy shows strong revenue growth and profitability with consistent margins. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow due to significant capital expenditures pose challenges. Improving cash flow sustainability and managing debt levels are crucial for enhancing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a solid gross profit margin of 44.09% and a net profit margin of 10.16% for the TTM period. Revenue growth is strong at 14.01% compared to the previous annual period. However, there is a slight decrease in EBIT margin to 14.95% from 16.79% the previous year, indicating some pressure on operating efficiency. Overall, the company demonstrates strong revenue growth and maintains healthy profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.05, indicating significant leverage, which is typical in the regulated utility industry. The equity ratio is 23.33%, showing a reasonable level of equity financing. Return on equity is moderate at 12.31%, signaling satisfactory returns to shareholders despite the high leverage. The company's financial stability is adequate but could be improved by reducing debt levels.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a challenging situation with a negative free cash flow of $-644 million for the TTM period, although there is an improvement in operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.48. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, highlighting a need for better cash management or reduced capital expenditures. Despite robust operating cash generation, high capital expenditures impact overall cash flow health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.20B12.46B12.74B19.23B14.96B11.42B
Gross Profit4.44B4.34B4.33B3.67B3.34B3.28B
EBITDA4.16B4.05B3.96B3.25B2.75B3.13B
Net Income1.44B1.40B1.40B1.08B907.00M1.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.25B48.85B44.76B42.68B39.72B45.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments84.00M24.00M26.00M33.00M28.00M472.00M
Total Debt23.99B23.24B20.97B19.24B18.25B19.61B
Total Liabilities38.52B37.14B33.70B32.28B31.01B32.91B
Stockholders Equity11.72B11.70B11.05B10.40B8.71B12.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-644.00M-824.00M-714.00M-1.40B-705.00M-160.00M
Operating Cash Flow3.58B3.64B3.22B1.98B3.07B3.70B
Investing Cash Flow-3.45B-4.95B-4.09B-3.43B-3.86B-4.07B
Financing Cash Flow-125.00M1.34B883.00M1.46B315.00M796.00M

DTE Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price136.41
Price Trends
50DMA
136.60
Negative
100DMA
135.30
Positive
200DMA
129.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Positive
RSI
44.37
Neutral
STOCH
14.25
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DTE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 136.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 138.70, below the 50-day MA of 136.60, and above the 200-day MA of 129.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DTE.

DTE Energy Risk Analysis

DTE Energy disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DTE Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DTE Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$26.97B21.9010.29%2.74%17.32%3.35%
73
Outperform
$25.10B19.1910.33%4.00%6.44%49.07%
71
Outperform
$28.16B19.5212.61%3.14%14.35%3.62%
71
Outperform
$26.93B27.386.96%2.90%6.62%17.35%
66
Neutral
$17.25B17.875.54%3.65%6.63%11.55%
66
Neutral
$23.64B27.425.63%4.63%14.44%
65
Neutral
$33.67B14.178.48%0.55%-1.30%-8.34%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DTE
DTE Energy
136.41
17.26
14.49%
AEE
Ameren
100.88
20.17
24.99%
FE
FirstEnergy
43.47
1.08
2.55%
ES
Eversource Energy
63.42
-0.86
-1.34%
PCG
PG&E
15.23
-4.75
-23.77%
PPL
PPL
36.50
5.44
17.51%

DTE Energy Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
DTE Energy to Discuss 2025 Earnings Guidance
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

DTE Energy announced it will meet with investors on August 20, 2025, to discuss its 2025 operating earnings guidance. The company noted that certain items affecting the 2025 reported results might be excluded from operating results, as these items can fluctuate significantly and impact reported earnings.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
DTE Energy Appoints Joi M. Harris as CEO
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 19, 2025, DTE Energy‘s Board of Directors elected Joi M. Harris as President and Chief Executive Officer, effective September 8, 2025. Harris, who has been with the company since 1991, will succeed Gerardo Norcia, who will transition to Executive Chairman. This leadership change is part of a multi-year succession plan aimed at ensuring continuity and growth. Harris is recognized for her strategic leadership and operational excellence, having significantly improved electric reliability and led renewable energy projects. The transition is expected to maintain the company’s momentum in modernizing infrastructure and achieving long-term sustainable energy production.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025