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DTE Energy Company (DTE)
:DTE

DTE Energy (DTE) AI Stock Analysis

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DTE Energy

(NYSE:DTE)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$151.00
▲(11.05%Upside)
DTE Energy scores well overall, driven by solid financial performance, strong technical indicators, and a positive outlook from its recent earnings call. The company's strategic investments and operational efficiency are substantial strengths, though high leverage and negative free cash flow present risks. Valuation metrics are balanced, supporting a favorable investment case.
Positive Factors
Dividends
DTE reaffirmed its expectation of dividends per share to grow in line with earnings, setting it apart from peers.
Earnings
Favorable weather conditions are expected to positively impact earnings.
Growth Potential
Increased visibility and confidence in drivers of high-end growth at 6-8%.
Negative Factors
Operational Expenses
Higher operational expenses for electric and gas sectors are expected to partially offset earnings gains.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory challenges now a material concern after disappointing successive rate case orders; Michigan premium status in question.
Tariff Costs
The Trenton Battery Energy Storage Center could face tariff-related cost exposure, impacting capital investments.

DTE Energy (DTE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DTE Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDTE Energy Company engages in the utility operations. The company's Electric segment generates, purchases, distributes, and sells electricity to approximately 2.3 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers in southeastern Michigan. It generates electricity through fossil-fuel, hydroelectric pumped storage, and nuclear plants, as well as wind and other renewable assets. This segment owns and operates approximately 698 distribution substations and 449,800 line transformers. The company's Gas segment purchases, stores, transports, distributes, and sells natural gas to approximately 1.3 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers throughout Michigan; and sells storage and transportation capacity. This segment has approximately 20,000 miles of distribution mains; 1,304,000 service pipelines; and 1,305,000 active meters, as well as owns approximately 2,000 miles of transmission pipelines. The company's Power and Industrial Projects segment offers metallurgical coke; pulverized coal and petroleum coke to the steel, pulp and paper, and other industries; and power, steam and chilled water production, and wastewater treatment services, as well as supplies compressed air to industrial customers. Its Energy Trading segment engages in power, natural gas, and environmental marketing and trading; structured transactions; and the optimization of contracted natural gas pipeline transportation and storage positions. The company was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDTE Energy makes money through multiple revenue streams. The primary source of income comes from its utility operations, where it provides electricity and natural gas services to millions of customers in Michigan. The company charges customers based on the volume of electricity and gas used, along with applicable service fees. Additionally, DTE Energy generates revenue from its non-utility operations, which include power and industrial projects, renewable energy initiatives, and energy trading. These ventures involve investments in infrastructure and energy resources, contributing to the company's financial performance. Furthermore, DTE Energy has strategic partnerships and investments that enhance its capabilities in energy generation and distribution, supporting its overall earnings.

DTE Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.74%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
DTE Energy's earnings call reflects a strong start to 2025 with significant improvements in reliability, financial performance, and economic development initiatives. While there are minor challenges related to tariffs and regulatory processes, the overall outlook remains positive with data center growth and strategic investments.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
DTE Energy is well positioned to meet their targets for 2025, with a strong start to the year and achievements in employee engagement recognized by the Gallup organization.
Significant Reliability Improvements
Investments in grid reliability have resulted in a 70% improvement in customer outage time in 2024 and an additional 60% improvement year-to-date versus last year.
Economic Development and Job Creation
DTE invested $3.3 billion with Michigan businesses in 2024, creating and sustaining over 14,000 jobs, with $1 billion invested with diverse suppliers and companies based in Detroit.
Positive Financial Performance
Operating earnings for Q1 2025 were $436 million, translating to $2.10 per share, positioning the company to achieve the high end of its guidance for the year.
Data Center Opportunities
Nonbinding agreements for 2,100 megawatts with data centers and discussions with additional opportunities provide potential upside to the plan.
Negative Updates
Tariff Exposure
While manageable, there is a 1% to 2% tariff exposure risk to the capital plan, although mitigated by domestic supplier relationships.
Timing of Tax Credits
Significant impact from timing of taxes at DTE Electric related to investment tax credits on solar projects, affecting quarter-over-quarter earnings comparison.
Regulatory Challenges
The expansion of the IRM and the proposed rate case filing will be subject to regulatory approval, with potential implications for capital planning.
Company Guidance
During the DTE Energy Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. DTE Energy plans to invest $30 billion over five years, with $24 billion allocated to DTE Electric to improve reliability and transition to cleaner energy. The company aims to reduce power outages by 30% and cut outage times in half over the next five years, with significant progress already made in 2024. DTE's 2025 operating EPS guidance is set at $7.9 to $7.23, with a midpoint of $7.16 per share, marking a 7% increase over the 2024 guidance midpoint. The long-term EPS growth target remains at 6% to 8%. DTE also reported a 70% improvement in outage times in 2024, with an additional 60% improvement year-to-date compared to last year. Furthermore, the company has executed agreements for 2,100 megawatts of data center projects, providing additional growth opportunities. DTE's renewable energy investments continue, with plans to build an average of 800 megawatts of renewable energy annually over the next five years. The company's comprehensive strategy includes enhancing grid reliability, supporting Michigan's economy, and maintaining strong financial health with a manageable tariff exposure of 1% to 2% of the capital plan.

DTE Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DTE Energy shows strong profitability and positive revenue growth, indicating operational efficiency. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow pose potential risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
DTE Energy has demonstrated a solid financial performance with a strong gross profit margin of 82.3% and a respectable net profit margin of 11.3% for the TTM period. Revenue growth is positive at 9.6% compared to the previous year, indicating a healthy expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are 16.8% and 30.9% respectively, which are strong indicators of operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects stability and profitability, although the net profit margin suggests there is room for improvement.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.97, which suggests potential leverage risk. However, the return on equity is robust at 12.9%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is 24.1%, which is moderate but suggests a reliance on debt financing. The balance sheet demonstrates solid asset management but highlights some potential risks associated with high leverage.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate and a negative free cash flow for the TTM period, indicating strain in generating free cash after investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.38, which is strong and suggests that the company is generating adequate cash from operations relative to its net income. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio indicates a need for improved cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
13.66B12.46B12.74B19.23B14.96B12.18B
Gross Profit
11.23B4.34B4.33B3.67B3.34B3.87B
EBIT
2.30B2.09B2.24B1.75B1.50B1.99B
EBITDA
4.22B4.05B3.96B3.30B2.72B3.01B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.54B1.40B1.40B1.08B907.00M1.37B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
33.00M24.00M26.00M33.00M28.00M514.00M
Total Assets
49.55B48.85B44.76B42.68B39.72B45.50B
Total Debt
23.44B23.24B20.97B19.24B18.25B19.65B
Net Debt
23.40B23.22B20.94B19.21B18.22B19.14B
Total Liabilities
37.63B37.14B33.70B32.28B31.01B32.91B
Stockholders Equity
11.92B11.70B11.05B10.40B8.71B12.43B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-652.00M-824.00M-714.00M-1.40B-705.00M-160.00M
Operating Cash Flow
3.65B3.67B3.22B1.98B3.07B3.70B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.32B-4.95B-4.09B-3.43B-3.86B-4.07B
Financing Cash Flow
423.00M1.34B883.00M1.46B271.00M796.00M

DTE Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price135.98
Price Trends
50DMA
135.13
Positive
100DMA
130.50
Positive
200DMA
126.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Positive
RSI
50.75
Neutral
STOCH
49.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DTE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 135.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 136.14, above the 50-day MA of 135.13, and above the 200-day MA of 126.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DTE.

DTE Energy Risk Analysis

DTE Energy disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DTE Energy reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DTE Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AEAEE
81
Outperform
$26.80B21.4910.23%2.81%8.96%3.75%
WEWEC
77
Outperform
$34.22B20.9312.96%3.21%4.42%11.98%
PPPPL
75
Outperform
$25.69B25.957.00%3.01%5.62%30.02%
DTDTE
72
Outperform
$28.22B18.3613.28%3.09%11.16%20.94%
FEFE
70
Neutral
$24.21B22.318.69%4.10%7.92%1.54%
CNCNP
67
Neutral
$24.44B25.189.22%2.28%4.76%4.08%
64
Neutral
$8.60B10.314.70%4.39%4.14%-13.05%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DTE
DTE Energy
135.98
23.39
20.77%
AEE
Ameren
97.15
25.75
36.06%
CNP
Centerpoint Energy
37.45
7.43
24.75%
FE
FirstEnergy
41.50
2.92
7.57%
PPL
PPL
34.72
6.35
22.38%
WEC
WEC Energy Group
107.23
27.94
35.24%

DTE Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
DTE Energy Shareholders Approve 2025 Incentive Plan
Neutral
May 14, 2025

At the DTE Energy Annual Meeting held on May 8, 2025, shareholders approved the 2025 Long-Term Incentive Plan and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the year. Additionally, the election of all director nominees was confirmed, and the executive compensation package was approved. However, a proposal to eliminate the holding period for shares required to call a special shareholder meeting was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (DTE) stock is a Buy with a $137.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DTE Energy stock, see the DTE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.