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Centerpoint Energy (CNP)
NYSE:CNP

Centerpoint Energy (CNP) AI Stock Analysis

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Centerpoint Energy

(NYSE:CNP)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
CenterPoint Energy presents a mixed outlook. The company maintains stable operational performance with strong income margins and low leverage but faces revenue growth and cash flow challenges. Technical analysis signals a positive trend, while valuation metrics are fair. The recent earnings call and corporate events highlight strategic growth plans and robust earnings, contributing positively to the score.
Positive Factors
Capital Plan
The company raised its 10-year capital plan by $1.0bn to $48.5bn and signaled incremental capital increases, showing a commitment to growth and expansion.
Earnings Growth
CNP has transformed into one of the premier utilities with an 8% EPS growth through 2025 and 6-8% long-term EPS growth, making it an attractive option in the utility sector.
Infrastructure Investments
A robust 3Q update is set to showcase significant upsides from infrastructure investments and increasing data-center demand.
Regulatory Clarity
With significant regulatory/political clarity achieved, investors have been able to turn their attention to the company's already robust regulated growth story and visible additional upside opportunities.
Negative Factors
Earnings Decline
The decline in earnings year-over-year is driven by factors such as higher operating and maintenance costs, higher operating expenses, and higher debt balances.
Operational Costs
The ~$0.03 decline year-over-year is driven by higher O&M including storms, higher OpEx, drag from transition bonds rolling off, and higher drag at Parent/Other largely driven by higher debt balances as well as dilution.

Centerpoint Energy (CNP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centerpoint Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCenterPoint Energy, Inc. operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. The company operates through Electric and Natural Gas segments. The Electric segment includes electric transmission and distribution services to electric customers and electric generation assets, as well as assets in the wholesale power market. The Natural Gas segment provides natural gas distribution services, as well as home appliance maintenance and repair services to customers in Minnesota; and home repair protection plans to natural gas customers in Arkansas, Indiana, Mississippi, Ohio, Oklahoma, and Texas and Louisiana through a third party. This segment also engages in the sale of regulated intrastate natural gas, and transportation and storage of natural gas for residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation customers. As of December 31, 2021, it served approximately 2.7 million metered customers; owned 239 substation sites with a total installed rated transformer capacity of 71,241 megavolt amperes; operated approximately 1,00,000 linear miles of natural gas distribution and transmission mains; and owned and operated 285 miles of intrastate pipeline in Louisiana, Texas, and Oklahoma. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCenterPoint Energy makes money through its electric and natural gas utility operations. The company earns revenue by charging customers for the distribution of electricity and natural gas, which includes fixed service fees and variable charges based on usage. As a regulated utility, its rates are determined and approved by state regulatory commissions, ensuring a stable revenue stream. Additionally, CenterPoint Energy may generate income from infrastructure investments and energy-related services, such as construction and maintenance of utility infrastructure. Key partnerships with local governments and regulatory bodies, alongside strategic investments in grid modernization and renewable energy initiatives, also contribute to its earnings by enhancing operational efficiency and expanding service offerings.

Centerpoint Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CenterPoint Energy exhibits a strong income statement with stable margins but faces challenges with declining revenue growth. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, although asset data is incomplete for TTM. Cash flow issues are notable due to high capital expenditures, impacting free cash flow negatively.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Centerpoint Energy has experienced fluctuating revenues with a recent decline in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 47.34% for TTM. Net profit margin is also strong at 16.03% in TTM. However, there is a noticeable drop in revenue and net income compared to the previous year, indicating a potential concern in revenue growth. The EBIT margin and EBITDA margin are stable, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.17 in TTM, indicating a relatively low leverage. Return on equity is modest at 8.82% in TTM, suggesting reasonable profitability. The equity ratio is not calculable due to missing total assets in the TTM period, but historical data shows a steady equity position. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a stable financial structure with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Free cash flow is negative at -$2.695 billion in TTM, marking a concern for cash flow stability. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.08 in TTM, showing strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the significant capital expenditures impact cash reserves negatively. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, highlighting challenges in converting income to cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
8.94B8.64B8.70B9.32B8.35B7.42B
Gross Profit
4.02B3.98B3.69B3.40B3.21B2.93B
EBIT
2.02B1.99B1.76B1.57B1.36B-168.00M
EBITDA
3.51B3.49B3.19B3.23B2.62B2.28B
Net Income Common Stockholders
966.00M1.02B917.00M1.06B668.00M-591.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
637.00M585.00M631.00M584.00M1.67B147.00M
Total Assets
40.20B43.77B39.72B38.55B37.68B33.47B
Total Debt
19.15B20.96B18.62B16.86B16.10B13.44B
Net Debt
18.99B20.94B18.53B16.78B15.87B13.29B
Total Liabilities
30.20B33.10B30.05B28.50B28.26B25.12B
Stockholders Equity
10.00B10.67B9.67B10.04B9.41B8.35B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-2.69B-2.37B-524.00M-2.61B-3.14B-601.00M
Operating Cash Flow
2.01B2.14B3.88B1.81B22.00M2.00B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.88B-4.49B-4.23B-1.63B-1.85B-1.26B
Financing Cash Flow
2.95B2.27B374.00M-345.00M1.92B-834.00M

Centerpoint Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.22
Price Trends
50DMA
36.67
Positive
100DMA
34.57
Positive
200DMA
31.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Positive
RSI
50.05
Neutral
STOCH
53.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.75, above the 50-day MA of 36.67, and above the 200-day MA of 31.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNP.

Centerpoint Energy Risk Analysis

Centerpoint Energy disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Centerpoint Energy reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We are exposed to risks related to changes in demand and energy consumption that could adversely impact financial results from our businesses and our results of operations. Q4, 2024

Centerpoint Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PPPPL
74
Outperform
$25.79B26.057.00%3.00%5.62%30.02%
CMCMS
71
Outperform
$21.53B21.3012.53%2.90%5.87%3.59%
EIEIX
71
Outperform
$22.32B8.2317.93%5.51%5.36%209.92%
ESES
71
Outperform
$24.08B28.305.63%4.42%10.82%
FEFE
70
Neutral
$24.66B22.738.69%3.98%7.92%1.54%
CNCNP
67
Neutral
$24.45B25.189.22%2.21%4.76%4.08%
63
Neutral
$8.63B10.244.67%4.35%3.78%-12.74%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNP
Centerpoint Energy
37.22
8.65
30.28%
CMS
CMS Energy
70.76
11.73
19.87%
EIX
Edison International
56.94
-13.99
-19.72%
FE
FirstEnergy
42.27
4.72
12.57%
ES
Eversource Energy
63.96
9.09
16.57%
PPL
PPL
34.62
6.77
24.31%

Centerpoint Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
CenterPoint Energy's earnings call reflected strong financial growth and strategic advancements, particularly in capital investment and regulatory stability. Despite challenges from delayed capital recovery and increased interest expenses, the company's outlook remains positive, supported by substantial load growth and resilience improvements.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Non-GAAP EPS Growth
CenterPoint Energy reported a non-GAAP EPS of $0.53 for Q1 2025, reaffirming its 2025 guidance range of $1.74 to $1.76, translating to 8% growth at the midpoint from the 2024 non-GAAP EPS of $1.62.
Increased Capital Investment Plan
The capital investment plan through 2030 was increased by $1 billion to a total of $48.5 billion, reflecting nearly a dozen transmission projects to be submitted to ERCOT regional planning.
Regulatory Progress and Stability
80% of the enterprise rate base will not be subject to a general rate case proceeding for about four years, providing a derisked regulatory profile.
Load Growth in Houston Electric Service Territory
Houston Electric's load interconnection queue grew by 7 gigawatts, representing a nearly 20% increase, driven by industrial demand and data centers.
Hurricane Season Resiliency Improvements
Significant progress in grid resiliency, including doubling grid automation devices and replacing 26,000 poles, ahead of the 2025 hurricane season.
Negative Updates
Delayed Capital Recovery Mechanisms
Revenue from capital recovery mechanisms was lower in the first quarter due to delayed filings, expected to catch up in the second half of the year.
Increased Interest Expense
Interest expenses increased by $0.04 per share compared to Q1 2024, driven by $3.4 billion of net new debt issuances.
Book Loss from Sale
The sale of Louisiana and Mississippi Gas LDCs resulted in a book loss due to $217 million of goodwill being disposed, affecting GAAP EPS.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, CenterPoint Energy provided comprehensive guidance for 2025, indicating a strong financial outlook and significant strategic developments. The company reaffirmed its 2025 non-GAAP EPS guidance range of $1.74 to $1.76, representing an 8% growth from the 2024 non-GAAP EPS of $1.62. This growth is supported by a solid capital investment plan, which has been increased by $1 billion, bringing the total to $48.5 billion through 2030, driven by diversified load growth in the Houston Electric service territory. CenterPoint expects to grow its non-GAAP EPS at the mid to high end of a 6% to 8% range annually through 2030, with a commitment to align dividend per share growth with earnings. The company also highlighted its strategic initiatives, including enhancing grid resiliency ahead of the hurricane season, accelerating capital recovery mechanisms, and exploring further capital investment opportunities, especially in electric transmission and gas infrastructure. CenterPoint's strong regulatory progress and capital investment updates reinforce its confidence in achieving its long-term growth objectives.

Centerpoint Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CenterPoint Energy Reports Q1 2025 Earnings and Growth Plans
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

CenterPoint Energy announced its first quarter 2025 earnings, reporting a net income of $297 million, or $0.45 per diluted share on a GAAP basis, and $0.53 per share on a non-GAAP basis. Despite a slight decrease from the previous year due to the sale of its Louisiana and Mississippi gas distribution businesses, the company reiterated its full-year guidance and increased its 10-year capital investment plan by $1 billion to $48.5 billion. The company highlighted significant growth in electric load demand in Houston, supporting its forecast for a 50% load growth by 2031. CenterPoint is committed to expanding its electric infrastructure under the Greater Houston Resiliency Initiative, aiming to build a resilient coastal grid and maintain its financial performance for the benefit of stakeholders.

Financial Disclosures
CenterPoint Energy Releases CEI South’s Audited Financials
Neutral
Mar 18, 2025

CenterPoint Energy has released audited financial statements for its subsidiary, Southern Indiana Gas and Electric Company (CEI South), for the years ended December 31, 2024, and 2023. The financial statements, which include balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements, have been audited in accordance with generally accepted auditing standards in the United States. The release of these statements provides stakeholders with a comprehensive view of CEI South’s financial health and operations, although they are not intended to comply with certain regulatory requirements and will not be incorporated into CenterPoint Energy’s registration statements unless specified.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.