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WEC Energy Group Inc (WEC)
:WEC

WEC Energy Group (WEC) AI Stock Analysis

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WEC Energy Group

(NYSE:WEC)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$119.00
â–²(13.21%Upside)
WEC Energy Group's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's valuation and mixed technical analysis provide a balanced outlook. The significant capital investment plan is a positive factor, although potential tariff impacts pose a risk.
Positive Factors
Capital Expenditure
The construction at Microsoft's Mt. Pleasant site is well underway, and the scale of Phase 1 is impressive, indicating a significant capex opportunity for WEC.
Growth Opportunities
Cloverleaf's acquisition of 2,000 acres in Port Washington for a potential 3.5 GW data center complex presents a substantial growth opportunity for WEC.
Regulatory Environment
The constructive outcome in the recently completed Wisconsin rate case contributes to a more favorable regulatory environment for WEC.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory proceedings in Illinois continue to be challenging, though they have a diminishing impact on WEC's overall results.
Stock Valuation
Despite one of the highest-quality profiles and most impressive execution stories in the sector, the stock appears fairly valued at these levels.

WEC Energy Group (WEC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

WEC Energy Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWEC Energy Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides regulated natural gas and electricity, and renewable and nonregulated renewable energy services in the United States. The company operates through six segments: Wisconsin, Illinois, Other States, Electric Transmission, Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure, and Corporate and Other. It generates and distributes electricity from coal, natural gas, oil, hydroelectric, wind, solar, and biomass sources; provides electric transmission services; offers retail natural gas distribution services; transports natural gas; and generates, distributes, and sells steam. As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 35,800 miles of overhead distribution lines and 35,600 miles of underground distribution cables, as well as 440 electric distribution substations and 510,500 line transformers; 50,900 miles of natural gas distribution mains; 1,200 miles of natural gas transmission mains; 2.3 million natural gas lateral services; 500 natural gas distribution and transmission gate stations; and 68.2 billion cubic feet of working gas capacities in underground natural gas storage fields. The company was formerly known as Wisconsin Energy Corporation and changed its name to WEC Energy Group, Inc. in June 2015. WEC Energy Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyWEC Energy Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates a regulated utility business model, where rates are set by public utility commissions, ensuring a stable revenue stream. Key revenue streams include customer usage charges, service fees, and infrastructure investments that allow for cost recovery and returns. Additionally, WEC Energy Group benefits from strategic investments in renewable energy projects, enhancing its earnings potential while aligning with environmental goals. These investments, alongside partnerships with state and regional energy initiatives, contribute to sustained growth and profitability.

WEC Energy Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong start to the fiscal year with robust financial performance, significant economic development in Wisconsin, and a large capital investment plan. However, challenges such as tariff impacts and uncertainties in the Illinois pipeline program pose potential risks.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Performance
The company reported first quarter 2025 earnings of $2.27 per share, reflecting a $0.30 increase compared to the first quarter of 2024.
Robust Economic Development in Wisconsin
Significant economic development is occurring along the I-94 corridor between Milwaukee and Chicago, including Microsoft's data center complex and Eli Lilly's $3 billion manufacturing facility.
Largest Investment Plan in History
The company is executing its largest five-year investment plan, totaling $28 billion dedicated to economic growth and reliability.
Solar and Renewable Projects Progress
The Darien solar project added 225 megawatts of renewable generation, and two more solar projects are under construction expected to be completed next year.
Dividend Increase
The Board increased the dividend by 6.9%, marking the 22nd consecutive year of dividend increases for shareholders.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impacts on Capital Plan
The company is evaluating the impacts of tariffs on its supply chain and capital plan, with an estimated tariff exposure of approximately 2% to 3% overall.
Uncertainty in Illinois Pipeline Program
The Illinois pipeline safety modernization program requires significant capital investment, with potential delays in ramping up to full capacity.
Weather-Driven Earnings Variability
Earnings were positively impacted by $0.18 due to weather, highlighting sensitivity to weather conditions.
Company Guidance
During WEC Energy Group's first quarter 2025 results conference call, the company reaffirmed its 2025 earnings guidance of $5.17 to $5.27 per share, assuming normal weather conditions for the remainder of the year. The company expects a long-term compound annual growth rate of 5% to 7%, supported by a $28 billion capital plan dedicated to economic growth and reliability. WEC Energy Group highlighted significant projects, including the Darien solar project, which adds 225 megawatts of renewable generation, and two other solar projects expected to come online next year. The company is also seeking to mitigate tariff impacts on its supply chain, estimating a 2% to 3% exposure within its capital plan. Additionally, the proposed very large customer (VLC) tariff in Wisconsin aims to meet the needs of large load customers with a fixed return on equity of 10.48% and an equity ratio of 57%. Earnings for the first quarter of 2025 were reported at $2.27 per share, reflecting a $0.30 increase from the first quarter of 2024.

WEC Energy Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
WEC Energy Group demonstrates robust financial performance with consistent revenue growth and healthy profitability metrics. The strong gross and net profit margins, alongside efficient operational metrics like EBIT and EBITDA, signify sound financial health. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, and cash flow indicators reflect effective cash management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company has shown strong and consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase of 5.45% in the latest TTM period. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 40.04%, and the net profit margin is solid at 17.98%, indicating effective cost management and profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
WEC Energy Group maintains a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.58, which is reasonable for its industry. The return on equity is robust at 12.53%, showcasing good returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio is moderate at 26.96%, suggesting a balanced but leveraged capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company demonstrates a solid operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.14, indicating strong cash conversion. Free cash flow growth is positive, with a modest increase of 2.84% in the latest period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.27, reflecting a cautious but improving cash flow situation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
9.07B8.60B8.89B9.60B8.32B7.24B
Gross Profit
3.63B3.79B3.60B3.30B3.00B2.89B
EBIT
2.30B2.15B1.91B1.92B1.71B1.71B
EBITDA
4.04B3.92B3.53B3.15B2.86B2.72B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.63B1.53B1.33B1.41B1.30B1.20B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
82.20M9.80M42.90M28.90M16.30M24.80M
Total Assets
48.23B47.36B43.94B41.87B38.99B37.03B
Total Debt
20.51B20.02B18.80B17.29B15.59B14.29B
Net Debt
20.43B20.01B18.75B17.27B15.57B14.27B
Total Liabilities
34.81B34.56B31.87B30.26B27.88B26.37B
Stockholders Equity
13.01B12.43B11.75B11.41B10.94B10.50B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
442.90M430.70M525.50M-273.40M-220.10M-42.80M
Operating Cash Flow
3.48B3.21B3.02B2.06B2.03B2.20B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.47B-3.80B-3.56B-2.64B-2.31B-2.81B
Financing Cash Flow
984.60M467.70M522.80M676.40M294.00M601.10M

WEC Energy Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price105.11
Price Trends
50DMA
106.25
Negative
100DMA
104.56
Positive
200DMA
99.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Positive
RSI
46.13
Neutral
STOCH
44.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WEC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 105.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 106.24, below the 50-day MA of 106.25, and above the 200-day MA of 99.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WEC.

WEC Energy Group Risk Analysis

WEC Energy Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. WEC Energy Group reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

WEC Energy Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
WEWEC
77
Outperform
$33.54B20.5212.96%3.40%4.42%11.98%
DTDTE
72
Outperform
$28.06B18.2613.28%3.22%11.16%20.94%
ETETR
68
Neutral
$35.88B26.638.96%2.92%-0.84%-37.59%
XEXEL
68
Neutral
$39.00B19.9410.26%3.37%-0.44%2.14%
EDED
66
Neutral
$37.46B19.198.33%3.27%8.52%3.91%
PCPCG
66
Neutral
$29.98B12.548.55%0.73%1.91%-4.40%
64
Neutral
$8.59B10.394.24%4.64%4.07%-13.04%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WEC
WEC Energy Group
105.11
29.46
38.94%
ED
Consolidated Edison
103.96
16.36
18.68%
DTE
DTE Energy
135.22
27.22
25.20%
ETR
Entergy
82.07
30.20
58.22%
PCG
PG&E
13.64
-4.07
-22.98%
XEL
Xcel Energy
67.62
16.13
31.33%

WEC Energy Group Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
WEC Energy Group Issues $900M Convertible Notes
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, WEC Energy Group, Inc. issued $900 million in 3.375% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028. These notes, which were sold under a Purchase Agreement dated June 5, 2025, are senior unsecured obligations and are convertible under specific conditions. The issuance allows WEC Energy Group to raise capital without immediate stock dilution, potentially impacting its financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEC) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEC Energy Group stock, see the WEC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
WEC Energy Group Upsizes Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, WEC Energy Group announced the upsize and pricing of a $775 million offering of 3.375% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028, increased from the initially planned $700 million. This private offering to qualified institutional buyers includes an option for initial purchasers to buy an additional $125 million in notes. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including repaying short-term debt, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEC) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEC Energy Group stock, see the WEC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
WEC Energy Group Announces $700M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, WEC Energy Group announced a proposed private offering of $700 million in convertible senior notes due 2028 to qualified institutional buyers, with an option for initial purchasers to buy an additional $105 million. The company plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, including repaying short-term debt, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEC) stock is a Buy with a $110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEC Energy Group stock, see the WEC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
WEC Energy Group Highlights Strategic Initiatives at Investor Meetings
Positive
May 16, 2025

WEC Energy Group announced its participation in upcoming investor meetings, highlighting its robust financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company has consistently met or exceeded earnings guidance for over two decades and continues to demonstrate strong dividend growth. A new tariff for very large customers in Wisconsin aims to balance the needs of major clients like Microsoft with those of other stakeholders, potentially impacting future rate cases and energy infrastructure investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEC) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEC Energy Group stock, see the WEC Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
WEC Energy Group Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 13, 2025

At the annual meeting held on May 8, 2025, WEC Energy Group‘s stockholders voted on several proposals. Thirteen directors were elected for terms expiring in 2026, and Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for 2025. Additionally, proposals to eliminate supermajority voting requirements in the company’s articles of incorporation and bylaws were approved, although a stockholder proposal to support a simple majority vote was not passed.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEC) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEC Energy Group stock, see the WEC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
WEC Energy Group Appoints New Executive Vice President
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 8, 2025, WEC Energy Group‘s Board of Directors appointed Michael Hooper as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, effective May 11, 2025. Hooper will continue as President of Wisconsin Utilities and take on additional roles as President of Michigan Gas Utilities Corporation and Minnesota Energy Resources Corporation. His compensation package was adjusted to reflect his new responsibilities. Additionally, Curt Culver retired from his director position on May 8, 2025, and received accelerated vesting of his restricted stock in recognition of his service.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEC) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEC Energy Group stock, see the WEC Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
WEC Energy Group Highlights Strategic Initiatives and Growth
Positive
Apr 4, 2025

WEC Energy Group announced its participation in investor meetings, highlighting its consistent financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company has achieved 21 consecutive years of meeting or exceeding earnings guidance and continues to demonstrate robust dividend growth. Additionally, WEC Energy Group has proposed a new tariff for very large customers in Wisconsin, aimed at meeting their unique needs while protecting other stakeholders. The company is also involved in significant regional growth projects, including Microsoft’s $3.3 billion data center in Mount Pleasant, which is expected to create thousands of jobs and drive substantial energy demand.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.