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WEC Energy Group Inc (WEC)
:WEC

WEC Energy Group (WEC) AI Stock Analysis

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WEC

WEC Energy Group

(NYSE:WEC)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$114.00
â–²(9.74% Upside)
WEC Energy Group's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call insights, highlighting significant capital investments and growth prospects. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and cash flow management needs improvement. The valuation is reasonable, but not compelling enough to offset the technical weaknesses.
Positive Factors
Capital Investment and Growth
The significant increase in capital investment supports long-term growth and infrastructure expansion, positioning WEC for future demand.
Dividend Growth
Consistent dividend growth reflects strong financial health and commitment to returning value to shareholders, enhancing investor confidence.
Revenue Growth
Stable revenue growth indicates resilience in core operations and effective market positioning, supporting long-term financial stability.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Management
Negative free cash flow highlights challenges in liquidity management, which could impact the company's ability to fund operations and investments.
Higher Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can pressure margins, potentially reducing profitability and affecting the company's competitive edge.
Point Beach Nuclear Plant Negotiations
Uncertainty in negotiations may lead to operational disruptions or increased costs, impacting long-term strategic planning and capacity.

WEC Energy Group (WEC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

WEC Energy Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWEC Energy Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides regulated natural gas and electricity, and renewable and nonregulated renewable energy services in the United States. The company operates through six segments: Wisconsin, Illinois, Other States, Electric Transmission, Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure, and Corporate and Other. It generates and distributes electricity from coal, natural gas, oil, hydroelectric, wind, solar, and biomass sources; provides electric transmission services; offers retail natural gas distribution services; transports natural gas; and generates, distributes, and sells steam. As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 35,800 miles of overhead distribution lines and 35,600 miles of underground distribution cables, as well as 440 electric distribution substations and 510,500 line transformers; 50,900 miles of natural gas distribution mains; 1,200 miles of natural gas transmission mains; 2.3 million natural gas lateral services; 500 natural gas distribution and transmission gate stations; and 68.2 billion cubic feet of working gas capacities in underground natural gas storage fields. The company was formerly known as Wisconsin Energy Corporation and changed its name to WEC Energy Group, Inc. in June 2015. WEC Energy Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyWEC Energy Group generates revenue primarily through the provision of utility services, including electric and natural gas sales to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company earns money by charging customers based on consumption rates, which are regulated by state utility commissions. Additionally, WEC has significant revenue streams from infrastructure investments, where it expands its utility networks and renewable energy generation capabilities. The company also benefits from long-term power purchase agreements and partnerships with renewable energy developers, which provide stable income from energy sales. Regulatory mechanisms, such as rate cases and cost recovery processes, further enhance its ability to generate earnings consistently.

WEC Energy Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Electric Utility Sales by Customer
Electric Utility Sales by Customer
Tracks electricity sales across various customer types, providing insight into demand patterns and customer dependency.
Chart InsightsWEC Energy Group's residential sales show seasonal fluctuations with a slight decline over time, while small and large commercial & industrial segments remain stable. The resale segment experienced a notable spike in 2023, likely driven by increased demand from data centers, as highlighted in the earnings call. The company's strategic focus on renewable energy and infrastructure investments aligns with its growth in wholesale and resale segments, despite challenges like increased operating expenses and storm impacts. This positions WEC Energy for long-term growth, supported by Wisconsin's economic expansion and data center developments.
Data provided by:The Fly

WEC Energy Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong outlook with significant capital investments and projected growth, driven by large-scale economic developments and data center expansions. However, there are concerns about rising operating expenses and ongoing negotiations regarding the Point Beach Nuclear Plant.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings and Earnings Guidance
Reported Q3 2025 earnings of $0.83 per share, reaffirmed full-year earnings guidance of $5.17 to $5.27 per share.
Capital Investment and Growth
Announced a 5-year capital plan with a $36.5 billion investment, a $8.5 billion increase from the previous plan, representing over a 30% increase.
Load Growth and Economic Development
Projected electric demand to grow by 3.4 gigawatts between 2026 and 2030, driven by significant investments from major corporations like Microsoft and Vantage Data Centers.
Data Center Expansion
Microsoft's data center in Wisconsin is on track to go online next year, with plans for a second phase, and Vantage Data Centers will invest $15 billion in developing a new campus.
Asset and Earnings Growth Forecast
Expecting asset-based growth at an average rate of over 11% annually and long-term projected EPS growth of 7% to 8% annually from 2026 to 2030.
Negative Updates
Higher Operating Expenses
Offsetting factors included $0.06 from higher depreciation and amortization expense and $0.05 from higher day-to-day O&M costs.
Point Beach Nuclear Plant Negotiations
Ongoing negotiations with NextEra regarding the Point Beach Nuclear Plant, with uncertainty around the outcome and potential for needing to replace capacity.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, WEC Energy Group reaffirmed its annual earnings guidance, projecting earnings per share (EPS) between $5.17 and $5.27, assuming normal weather conditions through the year. The company announced a significant increase in its five-year capital plan, with a projected investment of $36.5 billion from 2026 to 2030, marking an $8.5 billion rise from the previous plan. This plan anticipates a 3.4 gigawatt growth in electric demand by 2030, largely driven by developments like Microsoft's data center in Mount Pleasant, Wisconsin, and Vantage Data Centers in Port Washington. Asset-based growth is expected to average over 11% annually, supporting a long-term EPS growth rate of 7% to 8% on a compound annual basis between 2026 and 2030. The company also highlighted its commitment to investing in various energy generation methods, including natural gas, renewables, and battery storage, while maintaining a balanced financial approach with plans to issue approximately $5 billion in common equity over the next five years.

WEC Energy Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
WEC Energy Group demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and a stable balance sheet. However, cash flow management requires attention due to negative free cash flow, which could impact liquidity.
Income Statement
75
Positive
WEC Energy Group shows a stable revenue growth rate of 2.58% in the TTM, recovering from a decline in previous years. The gross profit margin remains strong at 43.24%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 17.73%. However, the EBIT margin has decreased compared to previous years, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 in the TTM, significantly improved from previous years, indicating strong financial stability. The return on equity is moderate at 8.70%, suggesting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is solid, reflecting a strong asset base.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with a negative free cash flow in the TTM, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is reasonable at 0.74, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights the need for improved cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.55B8.60B8.89B9.60B8.32B7.24B
Gross Profit4.73B3.79B3.60B3.30B3.00B2.89B
EBITDA4.20B3.92B3.53B3.37B3.04B2.90B
Net Income1.70B1.53B1.33B1.41B1.30B1.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.81B47.36B43.94B41.87B38.99B37.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments51.10M9.80M42.90M28.90M16.30M24.80M
Total Debt21.19B20.33B18.80B17.37B15.59B14.29B
Total Liabilities35.80B34.56B31.87B30.26B27.88B26.37B
Stockholders Equity13.60B12.43B11.75B11.41B10.94B10.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-404.90M430.70M525.50M-254.20M-220.10M-42.80M
Operating Cash Flow3.54B3.21B3.02B2.06B2.03B2.20B
Investing Cash Flow-5.32B-3.80B-3.56B-2.64B-2.31B-2.81B
Financing Cash Flow1.54B467.70M522.80M676.40M294.00M601.10M

WEC Energy Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price103.88
Price Trends
50DMA
111.44
Negative
100DMA
109.83
Negative
200DMA
106.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.14
Positive
RSI
26.27
Positive
STOCH
6.34
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WEC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 103.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 108.50, below the 50-day MA of 111.44, and below the 200-day MA of 106.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.27 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.34 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WEC.

WEC Energy Group Risk Analysis

WEC Energy Group disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. WEC Energy Group reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

WEC Energy Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$26.31B18.7111.47%2.92%22.71%22.86%
67
Neutral
$33.66B19.5613.19%3.38%11.88%29.76%
66
Neutral
$41.68B23.0311.33%2.64%6.71%-0.12%
66
Neutral
$32.60B12.649.21%0.66%-0.27%-7.65%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$27.15B19.5911.64%3.36%19.42%-9.68%
62
Neutral
$34.44B16.678.84%3.49%10.35%7.64%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WEC
WEC Energy Group
103.88
12.08
13.16%
AEE
Ameren
97.27
11.07
12.84%
ED
Consolidated Edison
97.53
9.31
10.55%
DTE
DTE Energy
129.80
11.35
9.58%
ETR
Entergy
92.35
19.64
27.01%
PCG
PG&E
15.16
-4.32
-22.18%

WEC Energy Group Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
WEC Energy Group Plans Dividend Increase for 2026
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

WEC Energy Group announced plans to raise its quarterly dividend to 95.25 cents per share for the first quarter of 2026, marking the 23rd consecutive year of dividend increases. The company is also focusing on significant regional growth, with major investments in data centers along the Milwaukee to Chicago corridor and in Port Washington, which are expected to create thousands of jobs. Additionally, WEC Energy Group has outlined a robust capital plan for 2026-2030, with $8.5 billion in additional investments compared to the previous five-year plan, focusing on natural gas generation, regulated renewables, and electric distribution.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
WEC Energy Group Sets 2026 Executive Performance Measures
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 4, 2025, WEC Energy Group‘s Compensation Committee established performance measures for the 2026 Short-Term Performance Plan, focusing on financial achievements such as earnings per share and cash flow. The plan also considers operational and social performance areas, impacting incentive awards for executives. Additionally, the 2026 Performance Unit Awards will be based on total shareholder return and return on equity, with potential adjustments based on stock price to earnings ratio, reflecting WEC Energy’s commitment to aligning executive incentives with shareholder interests.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
WEC Energy Group Highlights Strong Growth and Investments
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

WEC Energy Group announced its participation in upcoming investor meetings, highlighting its robust financial performance and growth strategies. The company has consistently met or exceeded earnings guidance for 21 consecutive years and continues to show strong dividend growth, with a recent 6.9% increase. WEC Energy Group is investing heavily in its infrastructure, planning an additional $8.5 billion in capital investments from 2026 to 2030 to support long-term earnings growth. The company is also involved in significant regional projects, including a $7 billion investment in a Microsoft data center and a $15 billion investment in a Vantage Data Center campus, which are expected to drive substantial demand and job creation.

Private Placements and Financing
WEC Energy Group Issues $600M Subordinated Notes
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 3, 2025, WEC Energy Group, Inc. announced the issuance and sale of $600 million in 5.625% Fixed-to-Fixed Reset Rate Junior Subordinated Notes due in 2056. This financial move, conducted under a registered offering, is expected to impact the company’s financial structure and market positioning by potentially enhancing its capital resources.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
WEC Energy Group Announces $3 Billion Equity Agreement
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, WEC Energy Group, Inc. entered into an equity distribution agreement with several financial institutions as sales agents and forward purchasers. This agreement allows the company to offer and sell up to $3.0 billion in common stock, potentially impacting its capital structure and market positioning. The arrangement includes forward sale agreements and collared forward transactions, which could influence the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025