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WEC Energy Group Inc (WEC)
NYSE:WEC

WEC Energy Group (WEC) AI Stock Analysis

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WEC

WEC Energy Group

(NYSE:WEC)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$123.00
â–²(7.57% Upside)
The score is driven by a strong, upbeat earnings outlook (reaffirmed guidance, long-term EPS CAGR target, and dividend growth) and supportive price momentum. It’s moderated by historically higher leverage and inconsistent/negative free cash flow during heavy capex cycles, and a relatively high P/E for a regulated utility despite a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Capital Investment and Growth
The significant increase in capital investment supports long-term growth and infrastructure expansion, positioning WEC for future demand.
Dividend Growth
Consistent dividend growth reflects strong financial health and commitment to returning value to shareholders, enhancing investor confidence.
Revenue Growth
Stable revenue growth indicates resilience in core operations and effective market positioning, supporting long-term financial stability.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Management
Negative free cash flow highlights challenges in liquidity management, which could impact the company's ability to fund operations and investments.
Higher Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can pressure margins, potentially reducing profitability and affecting the company's competitive edge.
Point Beach Nuclear Plant Negotiations
Uncertainty in negotiations may lead to operational disruptions or increased costs, impacting long-term strategic planning and capacity.

WEC Energy Group (WEC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

WEC Energy Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWEC Energy Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides regulated natural gas and electricity, and renewable and nonregulated renewable energy services in the United States. The company operates through six segments: Wisconsin, Illinois, Other States, Electric Transmission, Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure, and Corporate and Other. It generates and distributes electricity from coal, natural gas, oil, hydroelectric, wind, solar, and biomass sources; provides electric transmission services; offers retail natural gas distribution services; transports natural gas; and generates, distributes, and sells steam. As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 35,800 miles of overhead distribution lines and 35,600 miles of underground distribution cables, as well as 440 electric distribution substations and 510,500 line transformers; 50,900 miles of natural gas distribution mains; 1,200 miles of natural gas transmission mains; 2.3 million natural gas lateral services; 500 natural gas distribution and transmission gate stations; and 68.2 billion cubic feet of working gas capacities in underground natural gas storage fields. The company was formerly known as Wisconsin Energy Corporation and changed its name to WEC Energy Group, Inc. in June 2015. WEC Energy Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyWEC Energy Group generates revenue primarily through the provision of utility services, including electric and natural gas sales to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company earns money by charging customers based on consumption rates, which are regulated by state utility commissions. Additionally, WEC has significant revenue streams from infrastructure investments, where it expands its utility networks and renewable energy generation capabilities. The company also benefits from long-term power purchase agreements and partnerships with renewable energy developers, which provide stable income from energy sales. Regulatory mechanisms, such as rate cases and cost recovery processes, further enhance its ability to generate earnings consistently.

WEC Energy Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Electric Utility Sales by Customer
Electric Utility Sales by Customer
Tracks electricity sales across various customer types, providing insight into demand patterns and customer dependency.
Chart InsightsWEC Energy Group's residential sales show seasonal fluctuations with a slight decline over time, while small and large commercial & industrial segments remain stable. The resale segment experienced a notable spike in 2023, likely driven by increased demand from data centers, as highlighted in the earnings call. The company's strategic focus on renewable energy and infrastructure investments aligns with its growth in wholesale and resale segments, despite challenges like increased operating expenses and storm impacts. This positions WEC Energy for long-term growth, supported by Wisconsin's economic expansion and data center developments.
Data provided by:The Fly

WEC Energy Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was broadly positive: management delivered solid 2025 adjusted results (+8% EPS growth), hit the top end of guidance, secured a proposed Illinois settlement that removes historical overhang, announced meaningful incremental demand (500 MW) and added $1 billion to a $37.5 billion five‑year capital plan, and reaffirmed a 7%–8% long‑term EPS CAGR while raising the dividend. Offsetting items include a one‑time $0.46/share GAAP charge and $125M of customer credits, elevated near‑term financing requirements, ongoing regulatory proceedings (VLC and rate cases), higher depreciation and interest expense pressures, and sensitivity to weather and political/affordability concerns. On balance, the positives — strong demand momentum, clear capital plan execution, and reaffirmed guidance — outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EPS and Year‑over‑Year Growth
Reported full‑year 2025 adjusted earnings of $5.27 per share, up $0.39 or 8% versus 2024 on an adjusted basis; hit the top end of 2025 adjusted guidance.
Illinois Settlement to Resolve Historical Dockets
Reached a proposed settlement with the Illinois attorney general that would resolve ~ $2.3 billion of open dockets; settlement terms include a $130 million prospective rate base reduction and $125 million in customer credits paid over three years (approx. $50 million in year one).
One‑time Charge Related to Illinois
Recorded a one‑time charge of $0.46 per share associated with the proposed Illinois settlement (excluded from adjusted EPS).
Large Incremental Demand and Capital Plan Expansion
Added 500 MW of forecasted demand from Microsoft, increasing five‑year electric demand growth to 3.9 GW (2.6 GW in I‑94 Corridor, 1.3 GW north of Milwaukee) and adding an estimated $1.0 billion to the five‑year capital plan, which now totals $37.5 billion.
Long‑Term EPS Growth Outlook
Reiterated long‑term EPS compound annual growth rate of 7%–8% between 2026 and 2030, with acceleration to the upper half of the range starting in 2028.
Planned Capital Spending by Resource Type
Over 2026–2030 expects $7.4 billion in modern natural gas generation and LNG storage investment and $12.6 billion to add 6,500 MW of renewables; multiple gas, solar and battery projects underway (seven renewables and two battery storage facilities under construction).
Generation Projects Underway
Under construction: Oak Creek five‑unit 1,100 MW combustion turbine project, two‑BCF LNG facility, seven‑unit Paris Rice generation site, and multiple renewables including two solar facilities expected online later this year.
Dividend Increase and Capital Return
Board increased the dividend by 6.7% to an annualized $3.81 per share — the 23rd consecutive year of a dividend increase; payout policy maintained at 65%–70% of earnings.
Positive Retail Sales and Near‑term Sales Outlook
2025 weather‑normal retail electric deliveries in Wisconsin (ex iron ore mine) rose 1.1% year‑over‑year; projecting 2026 weather‑normal retail electric sales to grow 1.6% with commercial & industrial segment up ~5.8% due to forecasted data center load.
2026 Guidance and Financing Plan
Reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $5.51–$5.61; Q1 2026 EPS guide $2.27–$2.37. Financing plan includes $4–$5 billion debt funding in 2026 (incl. $1.4B note maturities) and $900M–$1.1B of equity issuance via ATM/DRIP/employee plans; incremental capital expected to target ~50% equity content.
Negative Updates
One‑time Charge and Near‑term Cash Impact
The proposed Illinois settlement produced a one‑time GAAP charge of $0.46 per share; settlement also requires $125 million in customer cash credits over three years, which will exert near‑term pressure on cash flow and FFO metrics.
Higher Depreciation, O&M and Corporate Interest Expense
Utility operations were offset by $0.46 per share of higher depreciation/amortization, O&M, tax and other items; corporate & other recorded a $0.24 adverse variance driven by higher interest expense from increased debt balances and fewer gains from early debt retirements recognized in 2024.
Large Near‑term Financing Needs
Significant 2026 funding needs — $4–$5 billion of debt issuance plus $900M–$1.1B of equity — could modestly pressure leverage and interest costs while the company funds its $37.5 billion five‑year plan.
Regulatory Uncertainty and Timing
Multiple regulatory/planning items remain unresolved: VLC tariff under PSC review (order expected early May), Wisconsin rate filings planned in April (forward‑looking test years 2027–2028), and Illinois rate proceedings with an ~11‑month review for new rates — creating timing and execution risk.
Weather and Volatility in Utility Earnings
Weather produced material swings to utility earnings: 2024 had a 25¢ unfavorable impact versus normal, while 2025 had a 10¢ favorable impact; results remain sensitive to weather variability.
Affordability and Political/Community Headwinds
Potential election rhetoric and local opposition to data centers raise affordability and policy risk that could influence rate case discussions and public sentiment, requiring added transparency and community engagement.
Slight Residential Usage Decline Assumed
Guidance and forecasting assume a slight decline in residential usage per customer in 2026 (company states a conservative base assumption), reflecting headwinds from efficiency or lower per‑customer demand.
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $5.51–$5.61 and Q1 2026 EPS of $2.27–$2.37 (assuming normal weather after January); full‑year 2025 adjusted EPS was $5.27 (excluding a $0.46/share one‑time Illinois charge). They outlined a $37.5 billion five‑year capital plan (including an incremental $1 billion tied to 500 MW of added Microsoft demand), forecasting 3.9 GW of five‑year demand growth (2.6 GW in the I‑94 corridor, 1.3 GW north), projecting weather‑normal Wisconsin retail sales growth of 1.6% in 2026 (2025 deliveries +1.1% YoY ex‑iron ore; large C&I +5.8%), and expecting 7%–8% EPS CAGR from 2026–2030 with acceleration to the upper half of that range starting in 2028. Between 2026–2030 they plan ~$7.4 billion for modern gas/LNG and $12.6 billion to add 6,500 MW of renewables; projects under way include a 1,100‑MW (five‑unit) Oak Creek CT, a two‑BCF LNG facility, a seven‑unit Paris Rice site, seven renewables and two battery storage projects (two solar sites online later this year). Financing plans call for $4–$5 billion of debt funding in 2026 (including $1.4 billion of maturing senior notes), $900M–$1.1B of common equity issuance via ATM/DRIP/employee plans (issued ~$800M in 2025), 50% equity content on incremental capital, and a 6.7% dividend increase to an annualized $3.81 (target payout 65%–70% of earnings).

WEC Energy Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are stable for a regulated utility (solid, consistent profitability and ~11–12% ROE), but the balance sheet is historically levered and free cash flow is frequently negative/volatile due to heavy capex, implying ongoing reliance on external funding.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has been relatively stable with a return to growth in 2025 (+2.6% vs. 2024), after softness in 2023–2024. Profitability is solid and consistent for a regulated utility, with net margin holding in the mid-teens and 2025 earnings slightly higher than 2024. A notable strength is the steady improvement in gross profitability from 2022 through 2025. The main weakness is that top-line growth has been uneven over the last several years, limiting the pace of earnings expansion.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Leverage looks high in most years (debt-to-equity roughly ~1.4–1.6 from 2020–2024), which is a key risk factor if rates stay elevated or capital spending rises. Equity has grown steadily over time, and returns on equity are stable around ~11–12%, supporting the view of a durable regulated earnings base. 2025 shows unusually low leverage versus prior years, but given the sharp year-over-year change, it reads as less consistent with the longer trend and reduces confidence in the balance-sheet improvement being structural.
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
Operating cash flow is steady and has improved since 2022, which supports dividend capacity and ongoing investment needs. However, free cash flow is volatile and frequently negative (notably 2020–2022 and again 2025), indicating heavy capital spending and/or timing headwinds that pressure self-funding. While 2024 produced positive free cash flow, the reversal to a large deficit in 2025 and generally modest cash generation versus earnings are the key weaknesses.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.80B8.60B8.89B9.60B8.32B
Gross Profit4.95B3.79B3.60B3.30B3.00B
EBITDA4.08B3.92B3.53B3.37B3.04B
Net Income1.56B1.53B1.33B1.41B1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets51.52B47.36B43.94B41.87B38.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.60M9.80M42.90M28.90M16.30M
Total Debt22.31B20.33B18.80B17.37B15.59B
Total Liabilities37.47B34.56B31.87B30.26B27.88B
Stockholders Equity13.64B12.43B11.75B11.41B10.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.02B430.70M525.50M-254.20M-220.10M
Operating Cash Flow3.38B3.21B3.02B2.06B2.03B
Investing Cash Flow-4.87B-3.80B-3.56B-2.64B-2.31B
Financing Cash Flow1.52B467.70M522.80M676.40M294.00M

WEC Energy Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price114.34
Price Trends
50DMA
107.53
Positive
100DMA
109.36
Positive
200DMA
107.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.94
Negative
RSI
65.97
Neutral
STOCH
52.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WEC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 114.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 111.50, above the 50-day MA of 107.53, and above the 200-day MA of 107.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WEC.

WEC Energy Group Risk Analysis

WEC Energy Group disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. WEC Energy Group reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

WEC Energy Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$36.99B23.6411.96%3.38%11.88%29.76%
68
Neutral
$29.30B20.2511.41%2.86%22.71%22.86%
67
Neutral
$40.28B19.508.76%3.44%10.35%7.64%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
64
Neutral
$45.73B26.1910.93%2.64%6.71%-0.12%
62
Neutral
$29.64B20.2312.16%3.45%19.42%-9.68%
57
Neutral
$39.30B15.188.62%0.66%-0.27%-7.65%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WEC
WEC Energy Group
114.34
12.89
12.70%
AEE
Ameren
110.05
14.03
14.61%
ED
Consolidated Edison
109.81
13.35
13.84%
DTE
DTE Energy
145.00
16.94
13.23%
ETR
Entergy
104.02
21.01
25.31%
PCG
PG&E
18.36
2.43
15.25%

WEC Energy Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
WEC Energy Highlights Dividend Growth and Midwest Demand Surge
Positive
Feb 6, 2026

WEC Energy Group is updating investors in February 2026 on its continued earnings and dividend growth trajectory and its expanding role as a key power provider in the upper Midwest. The company highlighted 22 consecutive years of meeting or exceeding the top end of earnings guidance on an adjusted basis, a long-term robust EPS growth outlook anchored to 2025 guidance of $5.22 per share, and its 23rd straight annual dividend increase, with the dividend raised 6.7% in January 2026 to an annual rate of $3.81 per share and targeted to grow 6.5%–7% with a payout ratio of 65%–70%. Operationally, WEC detailed a proposed settlement in Illinois that would resolve 12 open regulatory dockets for Peoples Gas and North Shore Gas—covering infrastructure and uncollectible expense riders for 2017–2023—through a combination of rate base reductions and $125 million in customer credits, subject to Illinois Commerce Commission approval. In January 2026, its Illinois gas utilities also filed new rate review applications seeking higher allowed returns on equity and equity ratios, with orders expected in late 2026 and new rates effective Jan. 1, 2027. For growth, WEC emphasized surging long-term electric demand along the I‑94 corridor from Milwaukee to Chicago, driven by large data center investments, including Microsoft’s expanded plan that lifts forecast demand in the corridor to 2.6 GW through 2030 and adds about $1 billion to WEC’s capital plan, now totaling $37.5 billion over five years. Additional large-scale projects such as Vantage Data Centers’ planned $15+ billion campus in Port Washington, tied to OpenAI and Oracle’s Stargate initiative, support WEC’s forecast of adding 3.9 GW of electric demand between 2026 and 2030 and strong projected electric sales growth of 6%–8% annually in Wisconsin from 2028–2030, reinforcing its growth profile and long-term infrastructure investment runway.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEC) stock is a Buy with a $121.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEC Energy Group stock, see the WEC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
WEC Energy Group Illinois Utilities File New Rate Cases
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On Jan. 5, 2026, WEC Energy Group’s Illinois natural gas utilities, The Peoples Gas Light and Coke Company and North Shore Gas Company, filed rate cases with the Illinois Commerce Commission seeking new base rates effective Jan. 1, 2027. The filings include proposed increases in allowed return on equity to 10.10% and higher equity ratios of 54%, supporting forecast 2027 rate bases of $4.678 billion for Peoples Gas and $449 million for North Shore Gas, and corresponding proposed base rate increases of $202.2 million and $14.4 million, respectively. If approved, the company estimates the typical Peoples Gas residential customer would see bills rise by roughly $10 to $11 per month, though it expects Chicago home heating costs to remain below those in other major U.S. cities, underscoring the company’s strategy to strengthen returns and fund infrastructure and growth while managing customer affordability in a region seeing robust long-term energy demand, including large new data center loads along the Milwaukee–Chicago corridor.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEC) stock is a Hold with a $116.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEC Energy Group stock, see the WEC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
WEC Energy Group Plans Dividend Increase for 2026
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

WEC Energy Group announced plans to raise its quarterly dividend to 95.25 cents per share for the first quarter of 2026, marking the 23rd consecutive year of dividend increases. The company is also focusing on significant regional growth, with major investments in data centers along the Milwaukee to Chicago corridor and in Port Washington, which are expected to create thousands of jobs. Additionally, WEC Energy Group has outlined a robust capital plan for 2026-2030, with $8.5 billion in additional investments compared to the previous five-year plan, focusing on natural gas generation, regulated renewables, and electric distribution.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEC) stock is a Sell with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEC Energy Group stock, see the WEC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
WEC Energy Group Sets 2026 Executive Performance Measures
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 4, 2025, WEC Energy Group‘s Compensation Committee established performance measures for the 2026 Short-Term Performance Plan, focusing on financial achievements such as earnings per share and cash flow. The plan also considers operational and social performance areas, impacting incentive awards for executives. Additionally, the 2026 Performance Unit Awards will be based on total shareholder return and return on equity, with potential adjustments based on stock price to earnings ratio, reflecting WEC Energy’s commitment to aligning executive incentives with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEC) stock is a Sell with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEC Energy Group stock, see the WEC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
WEC Energy Group Highlights Strong Growth and Investments
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

WEC Energy Group announced its participation in upcoming investor meetings, highlighting its robust financial performance and growth strategies. The company has consistently met or exceeded earnings guidance for 21 consecutive years and continues to show strong dividend growth, with a recent 6.9% increase. WEC Energy Group is investing heavily in its infrastructure, planning an additional $8.5 billion in capital investments from 2026 to 2030 to support long-term earnings growth. The company is also involved in significant regional projects, including a $7 billion investment in a Microsoft data center and a $15 billion investment in a Vantage Data Center campus, which are expected to drive substantial demand and job creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (WEC) stock is a Hold with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WEC Energy Group stock, see the WEC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026