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Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (PCG)
NYSE:PCG

PG&E (PCG) AI Stock Analysis

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PCG

PG&E

(NYSE:PCG)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
â–²(8.49% Upside)
PG&E's overall score reflects strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, tempered by cash flow challenges and mixed technical indicators. The company's fair valuation and positive earnings call sentiment are offset by potential risks from regulatory decisions and financial obligations.
Positive Factors
Wildfire Risk Mitigation
Successful wildfire risk mitigation reduces operational risks and potential liabilities, enhancing long-term stability and community trust.
Leadership Changes
New leadership aims to enhance operational efficiencies and customer service, potentially improving strategic execution and market positioning.
Undergrounding Milestone
Undergrounding power lines in high-risk areas reduces fire risks, ensuring safer and more reliable energy distribution, supporting long-term operational resilience.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent cash flow issues can hinder investment capacity and financial flexibility, potentially affecting long-term growth and stability.
Data Center Pipeline Attrition
Attrition in the data center pipeline may slow growth in high-demand sectors, impacting future revenue streams and strategic expansion plans.
Pending Regulatory Decisions
Pending regulatory decisions could affect financial outcomes and strategic planning, introducing uncertainty in cost structures and profitability.

PG&E (PCG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PG&E Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPacific Gas and Electric Company generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity and natural gas to customers in northern and central California, the United States. It generates electricity using nuclear, hydroelectric, fossil fuel-fired, and photovoltaic sources. The company also develops a personal microgrid backup power transfer meter device for customers that fully integrates into its existing electric SmartMeter system. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural customers, as well as natural gas-fired electric generation facilities. The company was incorporated in 1905 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Pacific Gas and Electric Company operates as a subsidiary of PG&E Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyPG&E generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to its customers. The company operates under a regulated utility model, allowing it to earn a return on its investments by charging customers rates approved by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC). Key revenue streams include residential and commercial utility bills, which encompass charges for energy consumption, transmission, and distribution. Additionally, PG&E earns revenue from ancillary services, such as demand response and energy efficiency programs. The company also engages in partnerships with renewable energy providers, contributing to its revenue through power purchase agreements. Factors influencing its earnings include regulatory decisions, changes in energy demand, and investments in infrastructure and renewable energy sources.

PG&E Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Electric Operating Revenue Breakdown
Electric Operating Revenue Breakdown
Shows revenue generated from electric operations, highlighting the company's core business strength and its ability to maintain or grow its market share in the electric utility sector.
Chart InsightsPG&E's electric operating revenue shows a robust increase in the Residential, Commercial, and Industrial segments, particularly in the third quarter of 2024. This growth aligns with the company's strategic focus on operational improvements and data center expansion, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, potential legislative challenges and wildfire risks could impact future revenue stability. The company's commitment to customer affordability and operational cost reductions is crucial for maintaining growth momentum amidst these external pressures.
Data provided by:The Fly

PG&E Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance by PG&E with improvements in earnings guidance, significant achievements in wildfire risk mitigation, and progress in cost reductions. However, there are concerns regarding the attrition in the data center pipeline and pending regulatory decisions that could impact future earnings.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Earnings Guidance
The company reported core earnings per share of $0.50 for Q3 and $1.14 for the first nine months of 2025. Full-year guidance was narrowed to $1.49 to $1.51, with an expected 10% increase over 2024.
Significant Undergrounding Milestone
PG&E has constructed and energized 1,000 miles of power lines underground in high-risk fire areas, reducing costs by 25% since the start.
Wildfire Risk Mitigation Success
Year-to-date CPUC reportable ignitions are down over 35% from 2024 levels. PG&E is on track for a third consecutive year of zero structures destroyed due to reportable fires in high-risk areas.
Robust Data Center Pipeline
A strong data center pipeline with over 9.5 gigawatts, with projects in final engineering continuing to grow. Most applications are for centers supporting AI models in Silicon Valley.
O&M Cost Reductions
PG&E achieved O&M cost savings contributing $0.05 for Q3 and $0.08 year-to-date, exceeding the 2% reduction target for three consecutive years.
Negative Updates
Data Center Pipeline Attrition
Modest net attrition in the data center application and preliminary engineering phase since June, though projects in final engineering are advancing.
Pending Cost of Capital Decision
Awaiting a proposed decision on the cost of capital application, which could impact financial outcomes, with expected decision in November.
Company Guidance
During the PG&E Corporation Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on several financial metrics. PG&E reported core earnings per share of $0.50 for the third quarter and $1.14 for the first nine months of 2025. The full-year earnings guidance range was narrowed to $1.49 to $1.51 per share, reflecting a 10% increase over 2024. Looking ahead, PG&E introduced a 2026 EPS guidance range of $1.62 to $1.66, representing a 9% increase from the 2025 midpoint. The company's 5-year capital plan through 2030 includes an investment of $73 billion, supporting an average annual rate base growth of 9%, with no new equity financing required through 2030. PG&E also highlighted operational achievements, such as undergrounding 1,000 miles of power lines in the highest fire-risk areas and achieving a 35% reduction in CPUC reportable ignitions compared to 2024. Additionally, the company is on track to maintain or lower customer bills by 2027 through operational efficiency and load growth initiatives, including a robust data center pipeline exceeding 9.5 gigawatts.

PG&E Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PG&E shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, with strong margins and improved leverage. However, cash flow challenges persist, requiring attention to sustain growth.
Income Statement
PG&E's income statement shows a steady revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 1.26%. The company maintains healthy margins with a gross profit margin of 28.69% and a net profit margin of 10.93% in the TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 19.98% and 37.93%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from the previous year, suggesting potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a significant reduction in debt, with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05, down from 1.94 the previous year, indicating improved financial stability. Return on equity is moderate at 8.73%, showing decent profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated but appears stable given the equity and asset figures. Overall, the balance sheet shows improved leverage but still requires careful management of equity and assets.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative free cash flow in the TTM period. Despite a 27.99% growth in free cash flow, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, indicating cash flow issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, suggesting moderate cash generation from operations. While there is improvement, cash flow management remains a critical area for PG&E.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.76B24.42B24.43B21.68B20.64B18.47B
Gross Profit7.10B9.16B4.00B2.68B2.14B2.01B
EBITDA9.80B9.94B7.85B6.73B6.27B4.20B
Net Income2.71B2.51B2.26B1.81B-88.00M-1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets138.25B133.66B125.70B118.64B103.33B97.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments772.00M940.00M635.00M734.00M291.00M484.00M
Total Debt59.79B58.34B57.73B53.54B46.17B42.60B
Total Liabilities106.02B103.26B100.41B95.57B82.10B76.60B
Stockholders Equity31.98B30.15B25.04B22.82B20.97B21.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.77B-2.33B-4.97B-5.86B-5.43B-26.82B
Operating Cash Flow8.69B8.04B4.75B3.72B2.26B-19.13B
Investing Cash Flow-12.41B-11.38B-9.16B-10.21B-6.91B-7.75B
Financing Cash Flow3.26B3.62B4.40B7.13B4.32B25.93B

PG&E Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.13
Price Trends
50DMA
15.88
Positive
100DMA
15.67
Positive
200DMA
15.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
58.30
Neutral
STOCH
74.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.65, above the 50-day MA of 15.88, and above the 200-day MA of 15.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PCG.

PG&E Risk Analysis

PG&E disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PG&E reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PG&E Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$90.84B18.369.92%3.61%4.80%14.44%
69
Neutral
$35.45B13.759.21%0.66%-0.27%-7.65%
69
Neutral
$60.92B16.6912.85%3.25%7.66%37.42%
68
Neutral
$95.65B21.5913.06%3.40%9.40%-6.05%
67
Neutral
$25.87B19.4510.54%3.94%7.64%48.61%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$26.75B19.3011.64%3.45%19.42%-9.68%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCG
PG&E
16.15
-3.01
-15.71%
AEP
American Electric Power
115.04
25.89
29.04%
DTE
DTE Energy
130.04
12.98
11.09%
DUK
Duke Energy
117.74
13.29
12.72%
FE
FirstEnergy
44.84
6.67
17.47%
SO
Southern Co
87.52
6.53
8.06%

PG&E Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
PG&E Announces Leadership Changes Effective January 2026
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

On December 11, 2025, PG&E Corporation and Pacific Gas and Electric Company announced leadership changes aiming to enhance operational efficiencies and customer service, effective January 1, 2026. Sumeet Singh will take over as CEO of Pacific Gas and Electric Company, while Carla Peterman will become President of PG&E Corporation. Additionally, amended bylaws were adopted to clarify executive roles within the Utility. These moves are expected to strengthen the company’s organizational framework to benefit stakeholders and improve its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (PCG) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PG&E stock, see the PCG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025