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PG&E (PCG)
NYSE:PCG
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PG&E (PCG) AI Stock Analysis

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PCG

PG&E

(NYSE:PCG)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$18.50
â–²(13.29% Upside)
PG&E's strong earnings call and positive technical indicators are the most significant factors driving the score. Financial performance is solid but hampered by cash flow issues. Valuation is reasonable, and the absence of notable corporate events keeps the focus on operational and strategic execution.
Positive Factors
Wildfire Risk Mitigation
PG&E's success in reducing wildfire risks by undergrounding power lines and lowering ignitions enhances safety and reliability, crucial for long-term operational stability.
Earnings Guidance
Improved earnings guidance reflects strong financial management and growth prospects, supporting investor confidence and future capital investments.
Operational Efficiency
Consistent operational cost reductions enhance profitability and competitiveness, allowing PG&E to reinvest in infrastructure and sustainability initiatives.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent cash flow issues could limit PG&E's ability to fund capital projects and manage debt, impacting long-term financial health and growth capacity.
Data Center Pipeline Attrition
Attrition in the data center pipeline may slow growth in a key segment, affecting revenue diversification and future earnings potential.
Pending Regulatory Decisions
Uncertainty around regulatory outcomes could impact PG&E's financial planning and cost structure, posing risks to future profitability and strategic initiatives.

PG&E (PCG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PG&E Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E) is a publicly traded utility company based in California, primarily engaged in the transmission and distribution of electricity and natural gas. Serving millions of customers across Northern and Central California, PG&E operates within the energy sector, focusing on providing reliable energy services, including renewable energy solutions, energy efficiency programs, and infrastructure improvements. The company is also involved in various initiatives aimed at enhancing sustainability and reducing carbon emissions.
How the Company Makes MoneyPG&E generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates under a regulated utility model, where its rates are approved by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC). This regulatory framework allows PG&E to recover costs associated with infrastructure investments, maintenance, and operational expenses through rate adjustments. Key revenue streams include standard electricity and gas service charges, as well as additional fees for services such as energy efficiency programs and renewable energy initiatives. PG&E also benefits from partnerships with renewable energy developers, which contribute to its growing portfolio of clean energy resources, and various state and federal programs that incentivize energy efficiency and renewable energy adoption.

PG&E Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Electric Operating Revenue Breakdown
Electric Operating Revenue Breakdown
Shows revenue generated from electric operations, highlighting the company's core business strength and its ability to maintain or grow its market share in the electric utility sector.
Chart InsightsPG&E's electric operating revenue shows a robust increase in the Residential, Commercial, and Industrial segments, particularly in the third quarter of 2024. This growth aligns with the company's strategic focus on operational improvements and data center expansion, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, potential legislative challenges and wildfire risks could impact future revenue stability. The company's commitment to customer affordability and operational cost reductions is crucial for maintaining growth momentum amidst these external pressures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

PG&E Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance by PG&E with improvements in earnings guidance, significant achievements in wildfire risk mitigation, and progress in cost reductions. However, there are concerns regarding the attrition in the data center pipeline and pending regulatory decisions that could impact future earnings.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Earnings Guidance
The company reported core earnings per share of $0.50 for Q3 and $1.14 for the first nine months of 2025. Full-year guidance was narrowed to $1.49 to $1.51, with an expected 10% increase over 2024.
Significant Undergrounding Milestone
PG&E has constructed and energized 1,000 miles of power lines underground in high-risk fire areas, reducing costs by 25% since the start.
Wildfire Risk Mitigation Success
Year-to-date CPUC reportable ignitions are down over 35% from 2024 levels. PG&E is on track for a third consecutive year of zero structures destroyed due to reportable fires in high-risk areas.
Robust Data Center Pipeline
A strong data center pipeline with over 9.5 gigawatts, with projects in final engineering continuing to grow. Most applications are for centers supporting AI models in Silicon Valley.
O&M Cost Reductions
PG&E achieved O&M cost savings contributing $0.05 for Q3 and $0.08 year-to-date, exceeding the 2% reduction target for three consecutive years.
Negative Updates
Data Center Pipeline Attrition
Modest net attrition in the data center application and preliminary engineering phase since June, though projects in final engineering are advancing.
Pending Cost of Capital Decision
Awaiting a proposed decision on the cost of capital application, which could impact financial outcomes, with expected decision in November.
Company Guidance
During the PG&E Corporation Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on several financial metrics. PG&E reported core earnings per share of $0.50 for the third quarter and $1.14 for the first nine months of 2025. The full-year earnings guidance range was narrowed to $1.49 to $1.51 per share, reflecting a 10% increase over 2024. Looking ahead, PG&E introduced a 2026 EPS guidance range of $1.62 to $1.66, representing a 9% increase from the 2025 midpoint. The company's 5-year capital plan through 2030 includes an investment of $73 billion, supporting an average annual rate base growth of 9%, with no new equity financing required through 2030. PG&E also highlighted operational achievements, such as undergrounding 1,000 miles of power lines in the highest fire-risk areas and achieving a 35% reduction in CPUC reportable ignitions compared to 2024. Additionally, the company is on track to maintain or lower customer bills by 2027 through operational efficiency and load growth initiatives, including a robust data center pipeline exceeding 9.5 gigawatts.

PG&E Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PG&E shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, with a strong income statement and improved leverage on the balance sheet. However, cash flow challenges persist, requiring attention to sustain growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
PG&E's income statement shows a steady revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 1.26%. The company maintains healthy margins with a gross profit margin of 28.69% and a net profit margin of 10.93% in the TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 19.98% and 37.93%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from the previous year, suggesting potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a significant reduction in debt, with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05, down from 1.94 the previous year, indicating improved financial stability. Return on equity is moderate at 8.73%, showing decent profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated but appears stable given the equity and asset figures. Overall, the balance sheet shows improved leverage but still requires careful management of equity and assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative free cash flow in the TTM period. Despite a 27.99% growth in free cash flow, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, indicating cash flow issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, suggesting moderate cash generation from operations. While there is improvement, cash flow management remains a critical area for PG&E.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.76B24.42B24.43B21.68B20.64B18.47B
Gross Profit7.10B9.16B4.00B2.68B2.14B2.01B
EBITDA9.39B9.94B7.85B6.73B6.27B4.20B
Net Income2.71B2.51B2.26B1.81B-88.00M-1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets138.25B133.66B125.70B118.64B103.33B97.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments772.00M940.00M635.00M734.00M291.00M484.00M
Total Debt59.79B58.34B57.73B53.54B46.17B42.60B
Total Liabilities106.02B103.26B100.41B95.57B82.10B76.60B
Stockholders Equity31.98B30.15B25.04B22.82B20.97B21.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.77B-2.33B-4.97B-5.86B-5.43B-26.82B
Operating Cash Flow8.69B8.04B4.75B3.72B2.26B-19.13B
Investing Cash Flow-12.41B-11.38B-9.16B-10.21B-6.91B-7.75B
Financing Cash Flow3.26B3.62B4.40B7.13B4.32B25.93B

PG&E Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.33
Price Trends
50DMA
15.66
Positive
100DMA
14.94
Positive
200DMA
15.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
56.02
Neutral
STOCH
63.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.27, above the 50-day MA of 15.66, and above the 200-day MA of 15.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PCG.

PG&E Risk Analysis

PG&E disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PG&E reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PG&E Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$96.25B20.249.60%3.39%4.07%9.94%
73
Outperform
$35.76B13.879.21%0.61%-0.27%-7.65%
72
Outperform
$64.10B17.5212.85%3.20%7.66%37.42%
72
Outperform
$26.39B19.8510.54%3.84%7.64%48.61%
69
Neutral
$100.65B22.7213.06%2.99%9.40%-6.05%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$27.83B20.0711.64%3.25%19.42%-9.68%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCG
PG&E
16.33
-4.14
-20.22%
AEP
American Electric Power
119.53
25.64
27.31%
DTE
DTE Energy
134.09
20.14
17.67%
DUK
Duke Energy
124.00
14.81
13.56%
FE
FirstEnergy
45.87
5.61
13.93%
SO
Southern Co
90.90
5.13
5.98%

PG&E Corporate Events

PG&E Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings and Positive Outlook
Oct 24, 2025

Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (PG&E), a major energy provider in Northern and Central California, is a key player in the utility sector, known for its extensive service area and focus on safety and sustainability.

PG&E Earnings Call Highlights Strong Performance and Future Growth
Oct 24, 2025

Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (PG&E) recently held its earnings call, which revealed a strong performance marked by improvements in earnings guidance and significant achievements in wildfire risk mitigation. The company also made progress in cost reductions. However, concerns were raised about attrition in the data center pipeline and pending regulatory decisions that could impact future earnings.

Business Operations and Strategy
PG&E to Discuss Investment Plan in Upcoming Call
Neutral
Sep 26, 2025

PG&E Corporation announced it will hold a conference call on September 29, 2025, to update investors on its extended investment plan through 2030. This update is significant for stakeholders as it outlines the company’s future financial strategies and potential impacts on its operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (PCG) stock is a Hold with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PG&E stock, see the PCG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
PG&E Secures $500 Million Term Loan Agreement
Negative
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, PG&E entered into a $500 million Term Loan Credit Agreement with Wells Fargo Bank and other financial institutions, with a maturity date of September 23, 2026. The loan is secured by a first mortgage bond and includes covenants limiting certain financial activities, requiring PG&E to maintain a specific debt-to-capitalization ratio. The agreement outlines conditions for default, including immediate payment requirements in cases of insolvency or bankruptcy, potentially impacting PG&E’s financial stability and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (PCG) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PG&E stock, see the PCG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
PG&E Reaffirms 2025 Financial Guidance Amid Challenges
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, PG&E Corporation reaffirmed its financial guidance, projecting 2025 non-GAAP Core Earnings Per Share (EPS) between $1.48 and $1.52, and at least 9% growth in non-GAAP Core EPS from 2026 to 2028. The company also anticipates a compound annual rate base growth of 10% from 2023 to 2028, with its common equity issuance plan for 2024-2028 already completed. This announcement underscores PG&E’s commitment to financial stability and growth, despite ongoing challenges related to wildfire liabilities and regulatory scrutiny.

The most recent analyst rating on (PCG) stock is a Hold with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PG&E stock, see the PCG Stock Forecast page.

PG&E Earnings Call: Optimism Amid Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (PG&E) recently held its earnings call, reflecting a cautiously optimistic outlook. The company showcased strong performance metrics and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in data centers and customer affordability. However, significant concerns were raised about legislative and regulatory uncertainties, especially related to wildfire risk management and potential financial impacts.

PG&E Reports Steady Q2 Earnings and Strategic Progress
Aug 1, 2025

Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (PG&E) is a major energy provider in Northern and Central California, serving millions of customers with electricity and natural gas across a vast service area. The company is known for its focus on safety and sustainability in energy delivery.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
PG&E Reports Steady Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, PG&E Corporation reported its second-quarter financial results, maintaining GAAP earnings of $0.24 per share and non-GAAP core earnings of $0.31 per share, consistent with the same period in 2024. The company updated its 2025 GAAP earnings guidance to $1.26 to $1.32 per share and reaffirmed its non-GAAP core earnings guidance at $1.48 to $1.52 per share. PG&E is making operational progress with safety and infrastructure improvements, including a significant reduction in methane emissions and advancements in wildfire safety measures. The company is on track to meet its financial and operational targets for 2025, with a focus on delivering affordable and resilient energy.

The most recent analyst rating on (PCG) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PG&E stock, see the PCG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025