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The Southern Company (SO)
:SO

Southern Co (SO) AI Stock Analysis

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SO

Southern Co

(NYSE:SO)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$98.00
â–²(7.52%Upside)
Southern Co's solid financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors contributing to the score. Stable profitability and strong EPS growth highlight strengths, while high leverage and negative free cash flow are risks. Neutral technical indicators and moderate valuation reflect a balanced market perception, with future performance dependent on effective cost management amidst potential tariff impacts.
Positive Factors
Rate Base Growth
SO's imminent RFP wins unlock superior rate base growth vs peers.
Regulatory Certainty
Convergence of regulatory clarity and RFP-driven capex upside uniquely positions SO among utilities.
Negative Factors
Financial Risk
Earnings below the lower limit of 9.5% ROE would have no recovery, indicating potential financial risk if performance targets are not met.

Southern Co (SO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Southern Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Southern Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. It operates through Gas Distribution Operations, Gas Pipeline Investments, Wholesale Gas Services, and Gas Marketing Services segments. The company also develops, constructs, acquires, owns, and manages power generation assets, including renewable energy projects and sells electricity in the wholesale market; and distributes natural gas in Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee, as well as provides gas marketing services, wholesale gas services, and gas pipeline investments operations. In addition, it owns and/or operates 30 hydroelectric generating stations, 24 fossil fuel generating stations, three nuclear generating stations, 13 combined cycle/cogeneration stations, 45 solar facilities, 15 wind facilities, one fuel cell facility, and four battery storage facility; and constructs, operates, and maintains 76,289 miles of natural gas pipelines and 14 storage facilities with total capacity of 157 Bcf to provide natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company serves approximately 8.7 million electric and gas utility customers. Further, the company offers digital wireless communications and fiber optics services. The Southern Company was incorporated in 1945 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneySouthern Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates under a regulated utility model, where it earns a return on its investments in infrastructure and services as approved by state regulatory commissions. Key revenue streams include electricity sales from its subsidiaries like Alabama Power and Georgia Power, which operate under state-regulated rates. Additionally, Southern Company earns income from its natural gas distribution operations and investments in renewable energy projects, including solar and wind farms. Strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with industrial and wholesale customers also contribute to its earnings.

Southern Co Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Kilowatt-Hour Sales by Segment
Kilowatt-Hour Sales by Segment
Monitors electricity sales across different customer segments, highlighting demand trends and potential growth areas within residential, commercial, or industrial markets.
Chart InsightsSouthern Co's residential kilowatt-hour sales show a seasonal pattern with a recent uptick, while commercial and industrial sales are steadily increasing, supported by strong data center demand. Despite a slight overall decline in weather-normalized retail sales, the company remains optimistic about future growth, driven by a robust pipeline of potential load increases and strategic investments. However, potential tariff-related cost increases could pose a challenge. The company's strong financial performance, marked by record EPS growth, reflects its effective execution strategy amidst these dynamics.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Southern Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.03%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook with record-breaking EPS growth, strong commercial and industrial sales, and significant economic development activity. However, there were concerns about weather impacts on sales and potential cost increases due to tariffs.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking EPS Growth
Adjusted EPS for Q1 2025 was $1.23 per share, which is $0.20 higher than Q1 2024 and $0.03 above the company's estimate.
Strong Commercial and Industrial Sales
Commercial and industrial sales saw significant growth compared to Q1 2024, with data center sales up 11% and transportation sector sales up 4%.
Large Load Pipeline Growth
The large load pipeline across electric subsidiaries totals more than 50 gigawatts of potential incremental load by the mid-2030s, with project commitments totaling 10 gigawatts.
Dividend Increase
Southern Company's Board of Directors approved an $0.08 per share increase in annual dividends, marking the 24th consecutive annual increase.
Robust Economic Development Activity
Over $11 billion of capital investment and more than 4,000 new jobs announced in electric service territories in Q1 2025.
Negative Updates
Weather Impact on Sales
Overall, weather-normal retail electricity sales to all classes were 0.3% lower than Q1 2024, driven largely by usage impacts on the residential customer class.
Potential Cost Increases Due to Tariffs
The company estimates a range of 1% to 3% of potential cost increases due to tariffs, with a commitment to mitigate impacts through various strategies.
Moderate Growth in Data Center Sales
Data center sales growth moderated to 11% year-over-year, down from 17% in the previous quarter.
Company Guidance
During Southern Company's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance on various metrics and issues impacting its operations. The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.23 for the first quarter, which was $0.20 higher than the same period in 2024 and $0.03 above their estimate. This performance was driven by investments in state-regulated utilities and weather-related impacts, while higher operating costs and depreciation offset some gains. The company anticipates an adjusted EPS estimate of $0.85 for the second quarter. They noted a 0.3% decline in weather-normal retail electricity sales compared to the first quarter of 2024, attributed mainly to residential customer usage, although commercial and industrial sales increased, partly due to data center sales rising by 11% year-over-year. The company is optimistic about a potential 50 gigawatts of incremental load by the mid-2030s, with 10 gigawatts already committed. Southern Company also discussed tariff implications on their base capital plan, estimating a 1% to 3% range of potential cost increases. Despite these challenges, the company remains confident in their financial outlook and disciplined execution strategy, supported by a strong investment-grade credit rating and ongoing regulatory processes.

Southern Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Southern Co exhibits solid revenue growth and profitability with a net profit margin of 16.5% TTM. However, high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.07 and negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures pose challenges. Effective equity utilization and return generation are strengths, but cash management requires attention.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Southern Co exhibits solid revenue growth with a 4.2% increase in TTM compared to the previous annual figure. The gross profit margin stands at 45.4% TTM, indicating strong profitability. The net profit margin of 16.5% TTM is robust, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational efficiency at 26.4% and 48.7% respectively. Overall, the company demonstrates stable profitability and efficient operations, although gross profit has slightly decreased compared to the previous year.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.07, indicating a high leverage level typical in the regulated electric industry. The return on equity is healthy at 13.6% TTM, reflecting effective use of shareholders' capital. The equity ratio of 22.8% suggests a moderate reliance on equity financing. While leverage is high, the company maintains a stable equity base and good returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong at $9.73 billion TTM, although free cash flow is negative at -$39 million, mainly due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is solid at 2.11, indicating good cash conversion from earnings. However, the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern, necessitating careful management of capital expenditures to improve cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.85B26.72B25.25B29.28B23.11B20.38B
Gross Profit12.65B13.34B11.71B10.82B10.06B9.90B
EBITDA13.58B13.20B11.74B9.97B8.31B9.20B
Net Income4.61B4.40B3.98B3.54B2.41B3.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets148.11B145.18B139.33B134.89B127.53B122.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.33B1.07B748.00M1.92B1.80B1.06B
Total Debt70.12B66.28B63.49B59.13B55.47B51.04B
Total Liabilities110.89B108.51B104.11B100.36B94.97B90.41B
Stockholders Equity33.84B33.21B31.44B30.41B28.16B28.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-39.00M833.00M-1.54B-1.62B-1.07B-745.00M
Operating Cash Flow9.73B9.79B7.55B6.30B6.17B6.70B
Investing Cash Flow-9.86B-9.40B-9.67B-8.43B-7.35B-7.03B
Financing Cash Flow1.63B-208.00M999.00M2.34B1.95B-576.00M

Southern Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price91.15
Price Trends
50DMA
89.56
Positive
100DMA
88.96
Positive
200DMA
87.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.63
Negative
RSI
56.37
Neutral
STOCH
86.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 91.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.84, above the 50-day MA of 89.56, and above the 200-day MA of 87.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SO.

Southern Co Risk Analysis

Southern Co disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Southern Co reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Southern Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NENEE
78
Outperform
$150.40B27.3211.19%3.10%20.35%-27.07%
DUDUK
73
Outperform
$92.39B19.839.48%3.57%5.02%45.08%
EXEXC
73
Outperform
$43.82B16.1110.10%3.73%6.71%16.09%
SOSO
70
Outperform
$100.18B21.8614.01%3.25%9.58%8.02%
DD
69
Neutral
$48.97B21.548.22%4.65%3.62%40.33%
AEAEP
68
Neutral
$55.76B20.1410.41%3.60%4.20%-3.64%
67
Neutral
$16.54B17.064.47%3.55%4.77%6.10%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SO
Southern Co
91.15
15.67
20.76%
AEP
American Electric Power
103.26
18.58
21.94%
D
Dominion Energy
57.42
10.57
22.56%
DUK
Duke Energy
117.06
20.16
20.80%
EXC
Exelon
42.92
9.90
29.98%
NEE
NextEra Energy
73.02
3.02
4.31%

Southern Co Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Georgia PSC Approves Georgia Power Rate Plan Extension
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, the Georgia Public Service Commission approved a settlement agreement involving Georgia Power Company, extending the existing alternate rate plan through December 31, 2028. This extension maintains the current retail base rates and return on equity, while allowing for separate proceedings to address storm damage costs incurred through 2025. The agreement also outlines the continuation of amortization of regulatory assets and liabilities, and sets guidelines for tax credit amortization and earnings sharing.

The most recent analyst rating on (SO) stock is a Buy with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Co stock, see the SO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Southern Co Confirms Board and Approves Key Amendments
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Southern Company held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key decisions were made. The election of the Board of Directors was confirmed, with all nominees receiving a majority of votes. Additionally, the stockholders approved the compensation for named executive officers and the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. An amendment to the company’s Restated Certificate of Incorporation was also approved, reducing the supermajority vote requirement to a majority vote. However, several stockholder proposals, including those concerning a simple majority vote, fossil fuel reliance, a net zero audit, and workforce civil liberties, were not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (SO) stock is a Buy with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Co stock, see the SO Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Southern Co Issues $1.65 Billion Convertible Notes
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Southern Company issued $1.65 billion in Series 2025A 3.25% Convertible Senior Notes, maturing on June 15, 2028. These notes are unsecured and unsubordinated, with conversion options tied to the company’s stock performance and specific corporate events, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SO) stock is a Buy with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Co stock, see the SO Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Southern Co Upsizes $1.45B Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Southern Company announced the upsize and pricing of a $1.45 billion offering of its Series 2025A 3.25% Convertible Senior Notes, due June 15, 2028, in a private placement to qualified institutional buyers. The offering, which was increased by $200 million from the previously announced size, is expected to close on May 23, 2025. The company plans to use approximately $1.25 billion of the net proceeds to repurchase existing convertible senior notes and the remainder for general corporate purposes. This move is part of Southern Company’s strategy to manage its debt portfolio and optimize its capital structure, potentially impacting its stock market dynamics and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (SO) stock is a Buy with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Co stock, see the SO Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Southern Co Announces $1.25 Billion Note Offering
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Southern Company announced a private offering of $1.25 billion in convertible senior notes due June 15, 2028, with an option for initial purchasers to buy an additional $200 million. The proceeds are intended for repurchasing existing convertible notes and repaying commercial paper borrowings. This move is expected to impact the company’s stock market activity and conversion pricing, potentially affecting its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SO) stock is a Buy with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Co stock, see the SO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Georgia Power Reaches Settlement on Rate Plan Extension
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Georgia Power and the Georgia Public Service Commission’s Public Interest Advocacy Staff reached a settlement agreement to extend the alternate rate plan through December 31, 2028. The agreement, pending approval, would maintain current base rates and retail return on equity, while addressing storm damage costs and regulatory asset amortization. The outcome of this agreement could impact Georgia Power’s financial operations and customer rates, with the Georgia PSC scheduled to vote by July 1, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (SO) stock is a Buy with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Co stock, see the SO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 21, 2025