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Southern Co (SO)
NYSE:SO

Southern Co (SO) AI Stock Analysis

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SO

Southern Co

(NYSE:SO)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$92.00
â–²(6.98% Upside)
Southern Co's overall stock score is primarily driven by its strong earnings call performance and strategic corporate events, which highlight robust financial health and growth prospects. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics suggest potential overvaluation, which weigh down the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a stable demand for Southern Co's energy services, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency through higher gross margins enhances profitability, providing a competitive edge in the energy sector.
Equity Financing Progress
Securing equity financing strengthens Southern Co's financial position, supporting future growth and capital investment plans.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth poses risks to financial flexibility, potentially affecting the company's ability to fund operations and investments.
High Debt Levels
High debt levels can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, impacting long-term financial health and strategic options.
Moody's Negative Outlook
A negative outlook from Moody's may affect Southern Co's credit rating, increasing borrowing costs and impacting future financing.

Southern Co (SO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Southern Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Southern Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. It operates through Gas Distribution Operations, Gas Pipeline Investments, Wholesale Gas Services, and Gas Marketing Services segments. The company also develops, constructs, acquires, owns, and manages power generation assets, including renewable energy projects and sells electricity in the wholesale market; and distributes natural gas in Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee, as well as provides gas marketing services, wholesale gas services, and gas pipeline investments operations. In addition, it owns and/or operates 30 hydroelectric generating stations, 24 fossil fuel generating stations, three nuclear generating stations, 13 combined cycle/cogeneration stations, 45 solar facilities, 15 wind facilities, one fuel cell facility, and four battery storage facility; and constructs, operates, and maintains 76,289 miles of natural gas pipelines and 14 storage facilities with total capacity of 157 Bcf to provide natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company serves approximately 8.7 million electric and gas utility customers. Further, the company offers digital wireless communications and fiber optics services. The Southern Company was incorporated in 1945 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneySouthern Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to its customer base, which includes residential, commercial, and industrial users. Key revenue streams include regulated electricity sales, where rates are set by state utility commissions, ensuring a stable income source. Additionally, the company earns revenue from natural gas distribution services and from its investments in renewable energy projects, which contribute to its long-term growth strategy. Southern Company has established partnerships with various stakeholders, including governmental entities and other energy firms, to expand its renewable energy portfolio and enhance its infrastructure, thus contributing to its overall earnings. The company's diverse energy generation mix, which includes coal, natural gas, nuclear, and renewable sources, allows it to adapt to changing market conditions and regulatory environments, further solidifying its revenue base.

Southern Co Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Kilowatt-Hour Sales by Segment
Kilowatt-Hour Sales by Segment
Monitors electricity sales across different customer segments, highlighting demand trends and potential growth areas within residential, commercial, or industrial markets.
Chart InsightsSouthern Co's industrial segment is showing notable growth, driven by a 13% increase in data center demand, aligning with the company's strategic focus on expanding its capital plan. Despite a slight dip in year-over-year earnings, the company is experiencing strong retail electricity sales, up 3% in Q2 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. This growth is supported by robust economic development and a significant capital plan expansion, indicating confidence in future load growth and customer demand.
Data provided by:The Fly

Southern Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with strong financial performance, significant growth in customer base and energy usage, and substantial economic development activities. However, challenges such as higher costs and a negative outlook from Moody's were noted. There is also caution regarding future nuclear expansion.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted Earnings
For the third quarter of 2025, adjusted EPS was $1.60 per share, $0.10 above the previous estimate and $0.17 higher than the third quarter of 2024.
Customer Growth and Usage Increase
Year-to-date weather-normal retail electricity sales were 1.8% higher compared to the first 3 quarters of 2024, with significant growth in the commercial sector (3.5%) and data centers (17%).
Economic Development and Job Creation
22 companies announced plans to establish or expand operations, generating nearly 5,000 potential new jobs and capital investments of approximately $2.8 billion.
Progress in Equity Financing
Priced an additional $1.8 billion of equity through forward sales agreements, solidifying over $7 billion of the $9 billion equity need through 2029.
Recognition for Trustworthiness
Southern Company was named to Newsweek's World's Most Trustworthy Companies for 2025 list, ranking as the highest energy company in the U.S.
Negative Updates
Higher Costs
The quarter's performance was partially offset by milder than normal weather, higher depreciation and amortization, and higher interest costs.
Moody's Negative Outlook
Moody's put the holding company on a negative outlook, which could influence future equity issuance timing.
Uncertainties in Nuclear Expansion
Despite federal support for nuclear development, Southern Company is not yet ready to commit to new nuclear projects due to risk considerations.
Company Guidance
During The Southern Company's third quarter 2025 earnings call, strong guidance was provided, emphasizing the company's robust financial health and future growth prospects. The company reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.60 for the third quarter, surpassing the previous estimate by $0.10 and exceeding the third quarter 2024 figure by $0.17. Year-to-date, the adjusted EPS was $3.76, up from $3.56 in the same period in 2024. Retail electricity sales showed a weather-normal increase of 1.8% year-over-year, with the commercial sector growing by 3.5% and residential sales up by 2.7%. The company executed contracts with large load customers representing over 2 gigawatts of demand. Looking ahead, Southern Company anticipates its fourth quarter adjusted EPS to be $0.54, potentially placing full-year earnings at the top of its guidance range of $4.30 per share. The company also detailed its financing strategy, having issued $4 billion in long-term debt and secured $1.8 billion in equity through forward sales agreements, with plans to address a $9 billion equity need through 2029 to support a $76 billion capital investment plan.

Southern Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Southern Co shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with improving leverage ratios. However, challenges in free cash flow generation and a slight decline in net profit margin suggest areas for improvement. The company maintains a stable financial position, but high debt levels remain a potential risk.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Southern Co has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.94%. The gross profit margin has improved to 55.32% TTM, indicating strong operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 15.42% TTM from 16.47% in the previous year, suggesting some pressure on net profitability. The EBIT margin is stable at 19.09% TTM, while the EBITDA margin remains robust at 43.26% TTM.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.73 TTM from 1.99 in the previous year, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity is healthy at 12.80% TTM, reflecting effective use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio remains low, suggesting a high reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Southern Co's free cash flow growth rate is negative at -229.25% TTM, highlighting challenges in generating free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.56 TTM, indicating reasonable cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.15 TTM, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.91B26.72B25.25B29.28B23.11B20.38B
Gross Profit14.20B13.34B11.71B10.63B10.25B9.90B
EBITDA14.02B13.24B11.78B10.31B8.39B9.22B
Net Income4.46B4.40B3.98B3.54B2.41B3.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets153.25B145.18B139.33B134.89B127.53B122.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.34B1.07B748.00M1.92B1.80B1.06B
Total Debt73.75B66.28B63.49B59.13B55.47B51.04B
Total Liabilities114.97B108.51B104.11B100.36B94.97B90.41B
Stockholders Equity35.00B33.21B31.44B30.41B28.16B28.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.00B833.00M-1.54B-1.62B-1.07B-745.00M
Operating Cash Flow9.38B9.79B7.55B6.30B6.17B6.70B
Investing Cash Flow-12.32B-9.40B-9.67B-8.43B-7.35B-7.03B
Financing Cash Flow5.23B-208.00M999.00M2.34B1.95B-576.00M

Southern Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price86.00
Price Trends
50DMA
92.11
Negative
100DMA
92.69
Negative
200DMA
90.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.95
Positive
RSI
37.44
Neutral
STOCH
18.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.89, below the 50-day MA of 92.11, and below the 200-day MA of 90.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SO.

Southern Co Risk Analysis

Southern Co disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Southern Co reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Southern Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$170.05B25.9312.48%2.77%26.96%-6.80%
70
Outperform
$89.66B18.139.92%3.62%4.80%14.44%
68
Neutral
$60.96B16.7012.85%3.23%7.66%37.42%
67
Neutral
$44.02B15.6010.31%3.65%6.07%15.20%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
64
Neutral
$92.98B20.9913.06%3.42%9.40%-6.05%
63
Neutral
$50.66B20.199.27%4.46%12.72%4.90%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SO
Southern Co
86.00
4.75
5.85%
AEP
American Electric Power
115.77
26.95
30.34%
D
Dominion Energy
59.84
8.69
16.99%
DUK
Duke Energy
116.73
12.61
12.11%
EXC
Exelon
43.87
8.63
24.49%
NEE
NextEra Energy
81.65
11.57
16.51%

Southern Co Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Southern Co Reaches Settlement with Georgia PSC
Neutral
Dec 10, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Georgia Power Company reached a settlement agreement with the Georgia Public Service Commission’s Public Interest Advocacy Staff to resolve its application for the certification of capacity from the 2029-2031 All-Source Request for Proposals. The agreement, pending approval by the Georgia PSC, would certify 9,885 megawatts of resources at their respective costs, including $16.3 billion in company-owned projects. The settlement aims to apply downward pressure on customer rates, potentially saving typical residential customers $102 annually from 2029 to 2031. The Georgia PSC is set to vote on the agreement on December 19, 2025, but the outcome remains uncertain.

Private Placements and Financing
Southern Co Completes Equity Units Issuance
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Southern Co completed the issuance and sale of 40,000,000 equity units, including an over-allotment option, through an underwriting agreement with major financial institutions. Each Corporate Unit, valued at $50, includes a stock purchase contract and interests in the company’s Series 2025B and 2025C Remarketable Senior Notes. The issuance aims to strengthen Southern Co’s financial positioning by securing future equity investments and leveraging long-term debt instruments.

Private Placements and FinancingDividends
Southern Co Adjusts Conversion Rate for Notes
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Southern Co announced an adjustment to the conversion rate for its Series 2023A 3.875% Convertible Senior Notes due December 15, 2025. This adjustment was necessary as the company had declared six regular quarterly cash dividends exceeding the distribution threshold, and no prior adjustments were made since each required less than a one percent increase. The new conversion rate is set at 11.9035 shares per $1,000 principal amount of the notes, reflecting the cumulative effect of previously deferred adjustments.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025