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NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE)
NYSE:NEE

NextEra Energy (NEE) AI Stock Analysis

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NEE

NextEra Energy

(NYSE:NEE)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$89.00
▲(11.89% Upside)
NextEra Energy's overall stock score is driven by a strong earnings call and strategic corporate events, indicating robust growth plans and financial stability. However, technical analysis suggests potential bearish momentum, and the valuation indicates the stock may be overvalued. Financial performance is solid but shows some areas of concern, such as increasing leverage.
Positive Factors
Renewable Energy Growth
Consistent growth in renewable energy capacity strengthens NextEra's market position in clean energy, supporting long-term sustainability and competitive advantage.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Google Cloud enhances technological innovation and infrastructure development, positioning NextEra for future growth in the energy sector.
Investment in Infrastructure
Significant investment in energy infrastructure, including solar and battery storage, supports long-term growth and reliability, enhancing market competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Increasing Leverage
Higher leverage can pose financial risks, potentially impacting cash flow and limiting financial flexibility, which may affect long-term stability.
Declining Margins
Declining margins suggest potential efficiency challenges, which could impact profitability and operational performance over the long term.
Higher Financing Costs
Increased financing costs can reduce net income and strain financial resources, potentially affecting future investment and growth opportunities.

NextEra Energy (NEE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NextEra Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNextEra Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electric power to retail and wholesale customers in North America. The company generates electricity through wind, solar, nuclear, coal, and natural gas facilities. It also develops, constructs, and operates long-term contracted assets that consists of clean energy solutions, such as renewable generation facilities, battery storage projects, and electric transmission facilities; sells energy commodities; and owns, develops, constructs, manages and operates electric generation facilities in wholesale energy markets. As of December 31, 2021, the company had approximately 28,564 megawatts of net generating capacity; approximately 77,000 circuit miles of transmission and distribution lines; and 696 substations. It serves approximately 11 million people through approximately 5.7 million customer accounts in the east and lower west coasts of Florida. The company was formerly known as FPL Group, Inc. and changed its name to NextEra Energy, Inc. in 2010. The company was founded in 1925 and is headquartered in Juno Beach, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyNextEra Energy generates revenue through several key streams. The Florida Power & Light Company segment earns money primarily by providing utility services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Florida, charging them for electricity consumption. This segment benefits from a regulated rate structure, allowing it to earn a return on investment for infrastructure improvements approved by state regulators. The NextEra Energy Resources segment makes money by developing, owning, and operating renewable energy projects, including wind and solar farms, which sell electricity to utilities and other customers under long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs). Additionally, NextEra Energy benefits from tax incentives and credits associated with renewable energy production, further enhancing its profitability. Strategic partnerships and investments in innovative technologies also play a significant role in driving revenue growth and expanding its market presence.

NextEra Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
FPL Customers
FPL Customers
Monitors the number of customers served by Florida Power & Light, highlighting market reach and stability in the utility sector.
Chart InsightsFPL's customer base has experienced significant growth since 2023, with a notable surge in 2024, reflecting strong infrastructure investments and regulatory support for expansion. The recent earnings call highlighted FPL's strategic focus on capital expenditures and regulatory capital, which are likely driving this customer growth. Despite regulatory challenges, the company's robust financial performance and infrastructure investments position it well for continued expansion, aligning with Florida's growing population needs.
Data provided by:The Fly

NextEra Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive overall sentiment with strong financial performance, robust project backlog, and significant customer demand contributing to growth. However, challenges remain with regulatory uncertainties and weaker wind resources impacting certain segments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Performance
NextEra Energy delivered a strong second quarter with adjusted earnings per share increasing by 9.4% year-over-year. Through the first six months of the year, adjusted earnings per share increased by 9.1% year-over-year.
Significant Project Backlog
Energy Resources added 3.2 gigawatts of new projects since the last earnings call, bringing the total backlog to nearly 30 gigawatts. This marks the sixth time in the past eight quarters that Energy Resources has added more than 3 gigawatts to its backlog.
Robust Customer Demand
FPL's second-quarter retail sales increased by 1.7% from the previous year, driven by strong customer growth. The company is seeing demand growth from all sectors, including residential, commercial, and industrial.
Favorable Regulatory Environment
Florida's regulatory environment remains constructive, with the Florida Supreme Court affirming the approval of FPL's 2021 settlement agreement.
Expansion in Data Center Sector
The backlog includes approximately 6 gigawatts of projects intended to serve technology and data center customers, with over 10.5 gigawatts expected to serve this sector across the United States.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Regulatory and Policy Environment
The company faces a challenging regulatory and policy environment, including executive orders and agency rulemakings that could impact operations.
Weaker Wind Resource
Energy Resources' existing clean energy portfolio faced a $0.02 per share decrease due to weaker wind resources during the quarter, with wind resources at approximately 97% of the long-term average.
Higher Interest Costs
All other impacts decreased by $0.07 per share, driven by higher interest costs of $0.06 per share.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, NextEra Energy provided a robust outlook, highlighting a 9.4% year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share. The company emphasized its strategic initiatives to meet the rising U.S. electricity demand, particularly driven by sectors such as artificial intelligence and manufacturing. Key metrics included Florida Power & Light's (FPL) capital expenditures of approximately $2 billion for the quarter and a projected full-year investment between $8 billion and $8.8 billion. FPL reported a 1.7% increase in retail sales, driven by customer growth, and an anticipated regulatory capital employed growth of nearly 8% year-over-year. The company also highlighted the addition of 3.2 gigawatts of new projects, bringing its backlog to nearly 30 gigawatts, with significant contributions from renewables and storage. Looking forward, NextEra remains confident in maintaining strong financial performance, aiming to deliver results at or near the top end of its adjusted earnings per share expectation ranges through 2027, with projected dividend growth of around 10% annually through at least 2026.

NextEra Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NextEra Energy demonstrates a robust financial position with consistent revenue growth and strong profitability. However, increasing leverage and declining EBIT and EBITDA margins could be areas of concern. The company maintains healthy cash flow metrics, supporting its operational and financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
NextEra Energy shows a solid performance with a stable gross profit margin and a strong net profit margin of 24.72% in the TTM. Revenue growth is modest at 1.54%, indicating steady expansion. However, there is a noticeable decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years, suggesting potential efficiency challenges.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.78, indicating higher leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. Return on equity is healthy at 12.69%, but the equity ratio is moderate, reflecting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Free cash flow growth is strong at 21.92%, showing improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable, but the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.85 suggests that a significant portion of earnings is being converted into free cash flow, which is positive.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.30B24.75B28.11B20.96B17.07B18.00B
Gross Profit16.46B14.87B17.98B10.14B8.56B10.71B
EBITDA14.23B14.03B16.76B9.21B8.66B8.68B
Net Income6.50B6.95B7.31B4.15B3.57B2.92B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets204.35B190.14B177.49B158.94B140.91B127.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.24B1.49B2.69B1.60B639.00M1.10B
Total Debt96.71B82.33B73.21B64.97B54.83B48.09B
Total Liabilities139.76B129.28B118.47B109.50B95.24B82.75B
Stockholders Equity54.18B50.10B47.47B39.23B37.20B36.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.64B4.75B1.75B-1.48B-277.00M224.00M
Operating Cash Flow11.97B13.26B11.30B8.26B7.55B7.98B
Investing Cash Flow-22.53B-22.26B-23.47B-18.36B-13.59B-13.70B
Financing Cash Flow10.72B7.00B12.15B12.23B5.81B6.17B

NextEra Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price79.54
Price Trends
50DMA
83.04
Negative
100DMA
78.12
Positive
200DMA
73.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.74
Positive
RSI
37.64
Neutral
STOCH
18.36
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NEE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 79.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.65, below the 50-day MA of 83.04, and above the 200-day MA of 73.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.74 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.36 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NEE.

NextEra Energy Risk Analysis

NextEra Energy disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NextEra Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NextEra Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$165.65B25.2612.48%2.85%26.96%-6.80%
70
Outperform
$89.87B18.179.92%3.65%4.80%14.44%
69
Neutral
$61.15B16.7512.85%3.27%7.66%37.42%
68
Neutral
$93.90B21.2013.06%3.45%9.40%-6.05%
67
Neutral
$44.11B15.6310.31%3.67%6.07%15.20%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
$50.75B20.229.27%4.49%12.72%4.90%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NEE
NextEra Energy
79.54
9.24
13.14%
AEP
American Electric Power
114.49
24.76
27.59%
D
Dominion Energy
59.43
8.19
15.98%
DUK
Duke Energy
115.56
10.79
10.30%
EXC
Exelon
43.66
7.64
21.21%
SO
Southern Co
85.28
4.27
5.27%

NextEra Energy Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NextEra Energy Updates Earnings and Growth Targets
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

At the 2025 Investor Conference held on December 8, 2025, in New York, NextEra Energy announced updates to its adjusted earnings per share expectations, tightening the 2025 range and increasing the 2026 range. The company also extended its growth expectations through 2032 and set a long-term growth target through 2035. Additionally, NextEra Energy outlined its dividend per share growth expectations for 2027 and 2028. These updates reflect the company’s strategic focus on sustained growth and shareholder returns, with implications for its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
NextEra Energy Subsidiary Sells $1.8 Billion in Bonds
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Florida Power & Light Company, a subsidiary of NextEra Energy, completed the sale of $650 million in 4.70% First Mortgage Bonds due in 2036 and $1,150 million in 5.60% First Mortgage Bonds due in 2066. This transaction is part of the company’s financial strategy to secure long-term funding, potentially impacting its financial stability and market position.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NextEra Energy’s FPL Settlement Approved by Regulators
Neutral
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, the Florida Public Service Commission approved a settlement agreement between Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) and several intervenor groups regarding FPL’s base rate proceeding. The agreement, effective from January 2026 to December 2029, includes new retail base rates resulting in significant revenue increases, provisions for solar and battery projects, and a regulatory return on equity mechanism. This settlement is expected to impact FPL’s financial operations, allowing for adjustments in response to economic needs and regulatory changes, while also addressing future storm restoration costs and potential tax changes.

Private Placements and Financing
NextEra Energy Secures €2.5 Billion in Debentures
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, NextEra Energy Capital Holdings, Inc., a subsidiary of NextEra Energy, Inc., successfully sold €2.5 billion in junior subordinated debentures, divided equally between Series V and Series W, both due in 2056. This strategic financial move, with interest rates set to reset periodically, underscores the company’s efforts to secure long-term funding, potentially enhancing its financial stability and market competitiveness.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025