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NextEra Energy
(NYSE:NEE)
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Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$97.00
â–²(5.46% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/23/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance (high margins and improving recent earnings/cash flow) and a constructive earnings outlook with reiterated multi-year growth targets and expanding contracted backlog. The rating is moderated by leverage and cash-flow variability typical of capital-intensive utilities, plus mixed technical signals (negative MACD and below key intermediate moving averages). Valuation is reasonable but not cheap at a 22.15 P/E, supported by a 2.74% dividend yield; corporate events add upside potential but carry approval and execution risk.
Positive Factors
Large contracted renewables & storage backlog
A ~33 GW contracted backlog and a >10 GW battery pipeline create a durable multi-year revenue and cash-flow runway for the competitive business. Long-term contracts and pipeline scale reduce merchant exposure, support project financing, and underpin predictable asset utilization and returns over the next several years.
Negative Factors
Sustained utility‑style leverage
NextEra’s above-average utility leverage is workable for the sector but leaves limited flexibility if interest rates, refinancing costs, or macro shocks rise. High fixed obligations increase sensitivity to cash-flow swings and constrain agility to fund opportunistic investments without incremental leverage or dilutive financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Large contracted renewables & storage backlog
A ~33 GW contracted backlog and a >10 GW battery pipeline create a durable multi-year revenue and cash-flow runway for the competitive business. Long-term contracts and pipeline scale reduce merchant exposure, support project financing, and underpin predictable asset utilization and returns over the next several years.
Read all positive factors
NextEra Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
FPL Customers
Monitors the number of customers served by Florida Power & Light, highlighting market reach and stability in the utility sector.
Monitors the number of customers served by Florida Power & Light, highlighting market reach and stability in the utility sector.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyNextEra Energy (NEE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$180.13B
Dividend Yield2.84%
Average Volume (3M)12.26M
Price to Earnings (P/E)21.9
Beta (1Y)0.33
Revenue Growth11.51%
EPS Growth47.33%
CountryUS
Employees16,800
SectorUtilities
Sector Strength65
IndustryRegulated Electric
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.95
Shares Outstanding2,085,605,500
10 Day Avg. Volume11,087,682
30 Day Avg. Volume12,260,990
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-11.71
Price to Book (P/B)3.07
Price to Sales (P/S)6.10
P/FCF Ratio52.23
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.56
Enterprise Value/Revenue9.98
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit14.82
Enterprise Value/Ebitda16.33
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$102.62Price Target Upside11.56% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering14
EPS Forecast (FY)4.07
Revenue Forecast (FY)$30.97B
NextEra Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
NextEra Energy, Inc., operating through its diverse subsidiaries, is a prominent electric power provider in North America. The company's operations encompass the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity to both individual co...
How the Company Makes Money
NextEra Energy primarily makes money through a combination of regulated utility earnings and competitive energy/renewables revenues.
1) Regulated utility revenue (Florida Power & Light - FPL)
- Regulated electric service: FPL earns revenue by gen...
NextEra Energy Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational and financial momentum: Q1 adjusted EPS rose ~10%, Energy Resources delivered a record quarter and backlog expansion, FPL showed robust customer additions and high reliability, and the company articulated multiple growth avenues (data center hubs, transmission, pipelines, storage). Management highlighted proactive risk mitigation (supply-chain contracts, large interest-rate hedges) and strategic initiatives (Rewire AI, Symmetry acquisition). Headwinds exist—customer supply margin normalization, higher financing costs, labor and permitting constraints for new gas builds, and timing risks for large projects—but these were framed as manageable and being actively addressed. Overall, the positive growth metrics, backlog, and strategic positioning outweigh the operational and execution challenges discussed.Positive Updates
Adjusted EPS Growth
Adjusted earnings per share increased ~10% year-over-year for Q1 2026, driven by strong performance at both Florida Power & Light (FPL) and Energy Resources.
Negative Updates
Customer Supply Business Headwinds
Comparative contribution from the customer supply business decreased ~$0.04 per share year-over-year, driven by lower production volume in upstream operations and continued normalization of margins in the full-requirements business.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Adjusted EPS Growth
Adjusted earnings per share increased ~10% year-over-year for Q1 2026, driven by strong performance at both Florida Power & Light (FPL) and Energy Resources.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.92–$4.02 (targeting the high end) on a 2025 base of $3.71, and reiterated an 8%+ CAGR in adjusted EPS through 2032 (and the same 2032–2035), with average annual operating cash‑flow growth at or above that rate and dividend growth targeted ~10% per year through 2026 (off a 2024 base) and ~6% per year from year‑end 2026–2028. Key operational and capital metrics: FPL Q1 CapEx ≈ $3.2B and FY CapEx $12–13B, 12‑month ROE ≈ 11.7% (ending Mar‑2026), placed ~600 MW of solar in Q1 (FPL owned solar >8.5 GW), added ~100,000 customers year‑over‑year, retail sales +3.4% y/y (+0.3% weather‑normalized), used ~$306M of the rate stabilization mechanism leaving an after‑tax balance ≈ $1.2B, expects $90–100B of investment through 2032 and CIPLan roughly 4 GW new gas, >12 GW solar and >7 GW storage over 10 years, typical residential bill ~20% lower (inflation‑adjusted) vs 20 years ago and ~30% below national average with ~2% projected annual bill growth through the decade, and reliability ~68% better than the national average. Energy Resources and transmission metrics: Q1 adjusted earnings growth ≈ 14% y/y, contributions from new investments +$0.04/share, NextEra Energy Transmission contribution +$0.05/share, backlog ≈ 33 GW after adding 4 GW in Q1 (including 1.3 GW of batteries) and placing 0.3 GW into service, stand‑alone/co‑located battery pipeline >10 GW, recontracting opportunity of up to ~6 GW renewables and ~1.5 GW nuclear through 2032 (Q1 recontracts >600 MW with average contract length >18 years), ownership interest in >1,000 miles of FERC‑regulated pipelines, target for combined electric & gas transmission capital of $20B by 2032 (≈20% CAGR off 2025), NextEra Energy Transmission has secured >$5B of projects since 2023 (≈$8B regulated/secured capital total), transported ~2.9 Tcf/year (~8 Bcf/day), maintain an interest‑rate hedging program >$43B, and have secured panels and batteries through 2029, wind components through 2027 and transformer capacity through the end of the decade; Duane Arnold reentry remains on track no later than Q1 2029 and the company is advancing 9.5 GW of U.S.‑Japan gas projects under DoC selection.NextEra Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 28.19B | 27.48B | 24.75B | 28.11B | 20.96B | 17.07B |
| Gross Profit | 18.98B | 17.25B | 14.87B | 17.98B | 10.14B | 8.56B |
| EBITDA | 17.22B | 16.16B | 14.03B | 16.76B | 9.21B | 8.66B |
| Net Income | 8.18B | 6.83B | 6.95B | 7.31B | 4.15B | 3.57B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 221.42B | 212.72B | 190.14B | 177.49B | 158.94B | 140.91B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.00B | 2.81B | 1.49B | 2.69B | 1.60B | 639.00M |
| Total Debt | 104.40B | 95.62B | 82.33B | 73.21B | 64.97B | 54.83B |
| Total Liabilities | 154.79B | 146.24B | 129.28B | 118.47B | 109.50B | 95.24B |
| Stockholders Equity | 55.22B | 54.61B | 50.10B | 47.47B | 39.23B | 37.20B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.36B | 3.21B | 4.75B | 1.75B | -1.48B | -277.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 12.33B | 12.48B | 13.26B | 11.30B | 8.26B | 7.55B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -26.96B | -23.86B | -22.26B | -23.47B | -18.36B | -13.59B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 14.55B | 12.98B | 7.00B | 12.15B | 12.23B | 5.81B |
NextEra Energy Technical Analysis
Negative
91.98
Price Trends
89.35
Negative
90.35
Negative
85.44
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.21
Negative
45.68
Neutral
56.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NEE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 91.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.18, above the 50-day MA of 89.35, and above the 200-day MA of 85.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NEE.
NextEra Energy Risk Analysis
NextEra Energy disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NextEra Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
NextEra Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $180.13B | 21.87 | 15.24% | 2.84% | 11.51% | 47.33% | |
70 Outperform | $73.48B | 19.83 | 11.86% | 3.25% | 9.38% | 31.12% | |
66 Neutral | $107.23B | 24.14 | 12.28% | 3.40% | 8.33% | -6.26% | |
66 Neutral | $17.65B | 18.10 | 5.60% | 3.62% | 6.62% | 11.55% | |
65 Neutral | $98.05B | 19.26 | 9.85% | 3.61% | 7.21% | 8.97% | |
61 Neutral | $59.62B | 19.94 | 10.51% | 4.59% | 19.15% | 27.09% | |
59 Neutral | $47.33B | 16.88 | 9.76% | 3.68% | 4.58% | 1.43% |
* Utilities Sector Average
NEE
NextEra Energy
86.37
15.41
21.71%
AEP
American Electric Power
135.05
34.96
34.93%
D
Dominion Energy
67.79
12.80
23.27%
DUK
Duke Energy
125.77
12.66
11.20%
EXC
Exelon
46.26
4.84
11.67%
SO
Southern Co
95.12
6.86
7.77%
NextEra Energy Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NextEra Energy Issues $3.75 Billion Hybrid Debentures
Positive
Jun 22, 2026
On June 22, 2026, NextEra Energy Capital Holdings sold a total of $3.75 billion in long-dated junior subordinated debentures in three series, maturing in 2056 and 2066, with initial fixed interest rates ranging from 6.000% to 6.625% before transit...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NextEra Energy Advances Dominion Energy Merger Integration Steps
Positive
Jun 15, 2026
On May 15, 2026, NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy entered into a merger agreement under which a NextEra subsidiary will merge with Dominion Energy, leaving Dominion as a wholly owned subsidiary in a first-step merger, followed by a second-step m...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
NextEra Energy Bolsters FPL with Major Bond Issuance
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
On June 1, 2026, Florida Power Light Company issued three tranches of first mortgage bonds totaling $2.25 billion in principal, with maturities in 2036, 2056 and 2066 and coupons ranging from 5.125% to 5.900%. The bonds, registered under the Secu...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
NextEra shareholders approve board, reject added climate measures
Neutral
May 27, 2026
At its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 21, 2026, NextEra Energy investors elected all 12 board nominees to one-year terms, ratified Deloitte Touche LLP as the independent auditor for 2026 and gave non-binding approval to the compa...
Private Placements and Financing
NextEra Energy Raises Capital via Ultra-Long Floating Notes
Positive
May 26, 2026
On May 26, 2026, Florida Power Light Company issued and sold $255.394 million of Floating Rate Notes, Series due June 1, 2076, in a transaction registered under the Securities Act of 1933. The notes pay interest quarterly at a rate tied to compou...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NextEra Energy Announces All-Stock Merger With Dominion
Positive
May 18, 2026
On May 15, 2026, NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy entered into a definitive all‑stock Agreement and Plan of Merger that will combine Dominion into a wholly owned NextEra subsidiary, followed by a second-step merger into a NextEra affiliate...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
NextEra Energy reshapes FPL leadership in planned transition
Positive
May 18, 2026
As part of a planned leadership succession at NextEra Energy’s Florida Power Light Company, Chief Executive Officer Armando Pimentel, Jr. resigned from his role effective May 18, 2026, and simultaneously assumed the position of vice chairma...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.