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NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE)
NYSE:NEE
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NextEra Energy (NEE) AI Stock Analysis

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NEE

NextEra Energy

(NYSE:NEE)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$80.00
â–²(12.83% Upside)
NextEra Energy's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings outlook. The company's strategic initiatives and robust project backlog support future growth. However, technical indicators suggest some short-term weakness, and valuation metrics indicate a premium pricing. Regulatory challenges and interest costs pose risks, but the company's confidence in achieving long-term financial goals and dividend growth remains a positive factor.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
The company's 59.6% equity ratio would remain unchanged, reflecting stability in its financial structure.
Growth Outlook
The proposed settlement is seen as constructive for NextEra Energy as it provides a clearer path for capital expenditures and earnings through 2029.
Settlement Impact
The settlement proposed by FPL allows NEE to continue to accommodate growth in Florida without adjusting base rates in years 3 and 4 of the rate case period via the rate stabilization mechanism and SoBRA.
Negative Factors
Consumer Sentiment
The settlement results in an average customer bill increase of 2% through 2030, which may impact consumer sentiment.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Given this filing is unprecedented in Florida, it will contribute to minor regulatory uncertainty on the rate case outcome.
Revenue Reduction
The intervenors' rate increase proposal is lower at $1.27 billion compared to FPL's proposed $1.65 billion for 2026 and 2027.

NextEra Energy (NEE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NextEra Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNextEra Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electric power to retail and wholesale customers in North America. The company generates electricity through wind, solar, nuclear, coal, and natural gas facilities. It also develops, constructs, and operates long-term contracted assets that consists of clean energy solutions, such as renewable generation facilities, battery storage projects, and electric transmission facilities; sells energy commodities; and owns, develops, constructs, manages and operates electric generation facilities in wholesale energy markets. As of December 31, 2021, the company had approximately 28,564 megawatts of net generating capacity; approximately 77,000 circuit miles of transmission and distribution lines; and 696 substations. It serves approximately 11 million people through approximately 5.7 million customer accounts in the east and lower west coasts of Florida. The company was formerly known as FPL Group, Inc. and changed its name to NextEra Energy, Inc. in 2010. The company was founded in 1925 and is headquartered in Juno Beach, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyNextEra Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and renewable energy certificates (RECs). The Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) segment earns revenue by providing electric utility services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers, operating under a regulated model where rates are set by the Florida Public Service Commission. The NextEra Energy Resources segment makes money by owning and operating renewable energy facilities, including wind and solar farms, selling electricity generated by these assets to wholesale markets and through long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utilities and other buyers. Additionally, the company benefits from tax incentives and subsidies related to renewable energy production, enhancing its profitability. Strategic partnerships with various stakeholders, including governments and other energy companies, further contribute to its revenue streams.

NextEra Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
FPL Customers
FPL Customers
Monitors the number of customers served by Florida Power & Light, highlighting market reach and stability in the utility sector.
Chart InsightsFPL's customer base has experienced significant growth since 2023, with a notable surge in 2024, reflecting strong infrastructure investments and regulatory support for expansion. The recent earnings call highlighted FPL's strategic focus on capital expenditures and regulatory capital, which are likely driving this customer growth. Despite regulatory challenges, the company's robust financial performance and infrastructure investments position it well for continued expansion, aligning with Florida's growing population needs.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

NextEra Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive overall sentiment with strong financial performance, robust project backlog, and significant customer demand contributing to growth. However, challenges remain with regulatory uncertainties and weaker wind resources impacting certain segments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Performance
NextEra Energy delivered a strong second quarter with adjusted earnings per share increasing by 9.4% year-over-year. Through the first six months of the year, adjusted earnings per share increased by 9.1% year-over-year.
Significant Project Backlog
Energy Resources added 3.2 gigawatts of new projects since the last earnings call, bringing the total backlog to nearly 30 gigawatts. This marks the sixth time in the past eight quarters that Energy Resources has added more than 3 gigawatts to its backlog.
Robust Customer Demand
FPL's second-quarter retail sales increased by 1.7% from the previous year, driven by strong customer growth. The company is seeing demand growth from all sectors, including residential, commercial, and industrial.
Favorable Regulatory Environment
Florida's regulatory environment remains constructive, with the Florida Supreme Court affirming the approval of FPL's 2021 settlement agreement.
Expansion in Data Center Sector
The backlog includes approximately 6 gigawatts of projects intended to serve technology and data center customers, with over 10.5 gigawatts expected to serve this sector across the United States.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Regulatory and Policy Environment
The company faces a challenging regulatory and policy environment, including executive orders and agency rulemakings that could impact operations.
Weaker Wind Resource
Energy Resources' existing clean energy portfolio faced a $0.02 per share decrease due to weaker wind resources during the quarter, with wind resources at approximately 97% of the long-term average.
Higher Interest Costs
All other impacts decreased by $0.07 per share, driven by higher interest costs of $0.06 per share.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, NextEra Energy provided a robust outlook, highlighting a 9.4% year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share. The company emphasized its strategic initiatives to meet the rising U.S. electricity demand, particularly driven by sectors such as artificial intelligence and manufacturing. Key metrics included Florida Power & Light's (FPL) capital expenditures of approximately $2 billion for the quarter and a projected full-year investment between $8 billion and $8.8 billion. FPL reported a 1.7% increase in retail sales, driven by customer growth, and an anticipated regulatory capital employed growth of nearly 8% year-over-year. The company also highlighted the addition of 3.2 gigawatts of new projects, bringing its backlog to nearly 30 gigawatts, with significant contributions from renewables and storage. Looking forward, NextEra remains confident in maintaining strong financial performance, aiming to deliver results at or near the top end of its adjusted earnings per share expectation ranges through 2027, with projected dividend growth of around 10% annually through at least 2026.

NextEra Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NextEra Energy demonstrates strong financial performance with robust profitability margins and effective cash flow management. The company shows consistent revenue growth, although net income has slightly decreased recently. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage typical for the industry.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
NextEra Energy shows a strong financial performance with improving profitability metrics. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM is approximately 66.7%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin is 22.8%, reflecting solid bottom-line performance. Revenue growth is healthy with a TTM growth rate of 4.6% compared to the previous annual report. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 30.8% and 51.6% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. The company maintains a positive growth trajectory in revenue and earnings, although the net income has slightly decreased in TTM compared to the previous year.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
NextEra Energy's balance sheet displays a stable financial position. The Debt-to-Equity ratio is relatively high at 0.21, suggesting moderate leverage, which is common in the regulated electric industry. The Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 11.6%, indicating effective use of equity capital to generate profits. The Equity Ratio stands at 25.6%, reflecting a balanced capital structure. While leverage is noteworthy, it remains within manageable levels for the industry.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a resilient cash generation ability. Free Cash Flow has grown significantly by 75.0% from the previous year, driven by strong operating cash inflows. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is 2.06, suggesting robust cash conversion from net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is 1.4, highlighting a good level of free cash flow relative to net earnings. The company exhibits strong cash flow management, although capital expenditures remain high, aligning with industry norms.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.90B24.75B28.11B20.96B17.07B18.00B
Gross Profit16.05B14.87B17.98B10.14B8.56B10.71B
EBITDA14.23B14.03B16.76B9.21B8.66B8.68B
Net Income5.92B6.95B7.31B4.15B3.57B2.92B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets198.83B190.14B177.49B158.94B140.91B127.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.73B1.49B2.69B1.60B639.00M1.10B
Total Debt93.19B82.33B73.21B64.97B54.83B48.09B
Total Liabilities137.90B129.28B118.47B109.50B95.24B82.75B
Stockholders Equity50.80B50.10B47.47B39.23B37.20B36.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.30B4.75B1.75B-1.48B-277.00M224.00M
Operating Cash Flow12.21B13.26B11.30B8.26B7.55B7.98B
Investing Cash Flow-21.68B-22.26B-23.47B-18.36B-13.59B-13.70B
Financing Cash Flow9.36B7.00B12.15B12.23B5.81B6.17B

NextEra Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price70.90
Price Trends
50DMA
72.69
Negative
100DMA
70.75
Positive
200DMA
70.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
39.84
Neutral
STOCH
9.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NEE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 70.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.19, below the 50-day MA of 72.69, and above the 200-day MA of 70.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NEE.

NextEra Energy Risk Analysis

NextEra Energy disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NextEra Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NextEra Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$50.17B20.369.29%4.59%7.60%55.99%
74
Outperform
$58.88B16.1313.03%3.44%5.84%36.33%
73
Outperform
$93.99B19.869.60%3.47%4.07%9.94%
73
Outperform
$43.80B16.469.87%3.64%4.46%8.68%
72
Outperform
$147.56B24.9611.84%3.12%18.80%-6.73%
66
Neutral
$17.25B17.995.54%3.64%6.63%11.55%
65
Neutral
$101.30B23.7812.89%3.18%8.53%-7.53%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NEE
NextEra Energy
70.90
-7.84
-9.96%
AEP
American Electric Power
108.11
8.13
8.13%
D
Dominion Energy
58.19
3.43
6.26%
DUK
Duke Energy
120.61
7.63
6.75%
EXC
Exelon
43.43
6.11
16.37%
SO
Southern Co
91.78
5.36
6.20%

NextEra Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NextEra Energy Seeks Approval for New Rate Agreement
Neutral
Aug 20, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) and ten intervenor groups filed a joint motion with the Florida Public Service Commission (FPSC) for approval of a stipulation and settlement agreement regarding FPL’s base rate proceeding. The proposed 2025 rate agreement, effective from January 2026 through December 2029, includes new retail base rates, solar and battery base rate adjustments, and a regulatory return on equity framework. It also introduces a rate stabilization mechanism and provisions for storm restoration cost recovery. The agreement aims to establish financial stability and support infrastructure investments, contingent on FPSC approval.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
NextEra Energy Completes Remarketing of Series M Debentures
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, NextEra Energy Capital Holdings, a subsidiary of NextEra Energy, completed a remarketing of $2.0 billion of its Series M Debentures, originally issued in September 2022. The interest rate was reset to 4.685% per year, impacting the company’s financial strategy and potentially influencing stakeholder confidence.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
NextEra Energy Sells Debentures to Strengthen Capital
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, NextEra Energy Capital Holdings, a subsidiary of NextEra Energy, sold C$600 million in 3.83% Debentures due 2030 and C$1.4 billion in 4.67% Debentures due 2035, both guaranteed by NextEra Energy, Inc. This transaction, registered under the Securities Act of 1933, reflects the company’s strategic financial maneuvers to strengthen its capital structure and support its ongoing operations and growth in the renewable energy sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025