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Dominion Energy (D)
NYSE:D

Dominion Energy (D) AI Stock Analysis

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Dominion Energy

(NYSE:D)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$65.00
â–²(8.28% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality: strong operating margins and improved leverage are offset by sharply weaker profitability and significant negative free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages, while valuation is helped by a strong dividend but tempered by a mid-range P/E. Earnings call and recent CVOW developments reinforce a stable base outlook with ongoing project cost/regulatory risks.
Positive Factors
Regulated utility business model
Dominion’s regulated electric and gas franchises provide predictable, rate‑regulated cash flows and allowed returns, supporting multi‑year infrastructure spending and dividend stability. This structural revenue base cushions earnings volatility versus merchant generators and underpins capital planning.
Improved leverage
A materially lower debt‑to‑equity ratio reduces refinancing and interest expense risk and increases financial flexibility to fund capex or absorb project overruns. Improved leverage durablely strengthens credit profile and capacity to invest in renewables and grid upgrades over coming quarters.
CVOW construction resumed
Resumption of the 2.6GW CVOW project preserves a flagship renewable asset and prevents prolonged schedule slippage. Delivering this capacity supports Dominion’s long‑term generation diversification, secures contracted supply for regional demand, and advances its strategic positioning in U.S. offshore wind.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow
Sustained materially negative FCF (-$7.7B TTM) weakens liquidity and limits internally funded capex, dividends, and project commitments without external financing. Over several quarters this pressures financial flexibility, may require more equity/debt issuance, and raises execution and refinancing risk.
CVOW cost increases and vessel delays
Escalating CVOW costs and installation vessel delays indicate project execution risk on a multi‑billion flagship asset. Higher capex and timetable uncertainty can strain cash flow and require additional financing or regulatory recovery mechanisms, challenging returns and capital allocation for other priorities.
Declining profitability metrics
Falling gross and net margins signal rising input costs or pricing pressure that erodes earnings quality. Combined with lower ROE, margin compression reduces retained earnings and free cash generation, making it harder to fund growth and sustain returns without efficiency gains or regulatory rate relief.

Dominion Energy (D) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dominion Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDominion Energy, Inc. produces and distributes energy in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Dominion Energy Virginia, Gas Distribution, Dominion Energy South Carolina, and Contracted Assets. The Dominion Energy Virginia segment generates, transmits, and distributes regulated electricity to approximately 2.7 million residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental customers in Virginia and North Carolina. The Gas Distribution segment is involved in the regulated natural gas sales, transportation, gathering, storage, and distribution operations in Ohio, West Virginia, North Carolina, Utah, southwestern Wyoming, and southeastern Idaho that serve approximately 3.1 million residential, commercial and industrial customers. It also has nonregulated renewable natural gas facilities in operation. The Dominion Energy South Carolina segment generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 772,000 customers in the central, southern, and southwestern portions of South Carolina; and distributes natural gas to approximately 419,000 residential, commercial, and industrial customers in South Carolina. The Contracted Assets segment is involved in the nonregulated long-term contracted renewable electric generation and solar generation facility development operations; and gas transportation, LNG import, and storage operations, as well as in the liquefaction facility. As of December 31, 2021, the company's portfolio of assets included approximately 30.2 gigawatt of electric generating capacity; 10,700 miles of electric transmission lines; 78,000 miles of electric distribution lines; and 95,700 miles of gas distribution mains and related service facilities. The company was formerly known as Dominion Resources, Inc. Dominion Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyDominion Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's utility operations are regulated, which allows it to earn a stable return on its investments in infrastructure and service delivery. Key revenue streams include retail electricity sales, natural gas distribution, and the development of renewable energy projects that may qualify for tax credits and incentives. Additionally, Dominion Energy benefits from significant partnerships and joint ventures in renewable energy projects, which help diversify its earnings and align with the growing demand for clean energy solutions.

Dominion Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and where there may be challenges or opportunities for expansion.
Chart InsightsDominion Energy's revenue from the 'Virginia' segment shows a robust upward trend, reflecting strong sales growth driven by data center expansion and economic growth, as highlighted in the earnings call. The 'Other' segment, after a period of volatility, has recently turned positive, indicating potential stabilization. However, the 'Gas Distribution' segment has ceased contributing since late 2023, which could signal strategic shifts or operational challenges. The earnings call also noted regulatory progress and potential tariff impacts, which could influence future revenue dynamics.
Data provided by:The Fly

Dominion Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Dominion Energy showed strong financial performance and significant progress on the CVOW project, despite challenges with weather impacts and vessel delays. The data center segment continues to grow, contributing positively to the company's outlook. However, the company faces cost pressures on the CVOW project.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Third quarter operating earnings were $1.06 per share, with positive contributions from regulated investment growth, increased sales, DESC rate case settlement, and higher margins at Contracted Energy. GAAP results were $1.16 per share.
Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) Project Progress
The CVOW project is 2/3 complete with significant milestones achieved, including 100% monopile installation. The project is expected to deliver first power in late first quarter of 2026.
Data Center Demand Growth
Data center demand increased significantly with approximately 47 gigawatts in various stages of contracting, representing a 17% increase from December 2024.
Safety Performance
OSHA recordable rate was 0.28%, continuing a positive trend over the past three years.
Negative Updates
Weather Impact
Weather reversed from a tailwind to a small headwind for the year, representing a $0.02 impact.
Charybdis Vessel Delays
Challenges with the Charybdis wind turbine installation vessel caused delays, requiring remediation of punch list items before turbine installation can begin.
CVOW Project Cost Increases
Project costs have increased to $11.2 billion, with a modest charge of $50 million after tax included for costs not expected to be recovered from customers.
Company Guidance
During Dominion Energy's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company narrowed its full-year earnings guidance range to $3.33 to $3.48 per share, maintaining the original midpoint of $3.40. The company reported third quarter operating earnings of $1.06 per share, influenced by $0.03 of RNG 45Z credits and a $0.06 negative impact from weather. Compared to the third quarter of 2024, positive factors included $0.06 from regulated investment growth, $0.08 from increased sales, $0.05 from a DESC rate case settlement, and $0.03 from higher margins at Contracted Energy. However, higher depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DD&A) and financing costs were noted challenges. Dominion Energy reaffirmed its existing financial guidance and emphasized its commitment to delivering value to shareholders, driven by continued strength in commercial and residential sales and other strategic initiatives. The company also highlighted progress in its Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project, with key construction milestones achieved, and outlined future capital investment forecasts to be updated in early 2026.

Dominion Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing (3.85% TTM) and operating efficiency remains strong (EBIT margin 24.05%, EBITDA margin 44.88% TTM), with improved leverage (debt-to-equity 0.67 TTM vs. 1.53 in 2024). Offsetting this, profitability has weakened (gross margin 34.67% TTM vs. 47.87% in 2024; net margin 8.42% TTM vs. 14.69% in 2024) and free cash flow is deeply negative (-$7.746B TTM), raising funding and liquidity risk.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Dominion Energy shows a steady revenue growth rate of 3.85% TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from 47.87% in 2024 to 34.67% TTM, suggesting rising costs or pricing pressures. The net profit margin also declined to 8.42% TTM from 14.69% in 2024, reflecting reduced profitability. Despite these challenges, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong at 24.05% and 44.88% TTM, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio improved significantly to 0.67 TTM from 1.53 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity decreased to 4.70% TTM from 7.79% in 2024, suggesting reduced effectiveness in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow is stable at $5.015 billion TTM, but free cash flow remains negative at -$7.746 billion TTM, indicating potential liquidity issues. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is -0.32 TTM, highlighting challenges in converting income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.81B14.46B14.39B13.94B11.42B14.17B
Gross Profit8.00B6.92B6.96B6.38B5.41B7.30B
EBITDA8.12B6.71B6.82B6.37B5.39B6.93B
Net Income2.34B2.12B1.99B1.32B3.40B-401.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets111.60B102.42B109.03B104.80B99.59B95.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.07B310.00M184.00M119.00M283.00M172.00M
Total Debt48.55B41.75B44.24B41.20B40.58B37.01B
Total Liabilities79.87B72.22B81.51B77.14B72.28B69.44B
Stockholders Equity27.69B27.25B27.53B27.66B27.31B26.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.75B-7.41B-3.66B-4.06B-2.02B-1.10B
Operating Cash Flow5.01B5.02B6.57B3.70B4.04B5.23B
Investing Cash Flow-13.06B-3.18B-7.21B-6.75B-6.25B-2.92B
Financing Cash Flow7.21B-1.77B595.00M2.98B2.37B-2.33B

Dominion Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.03
Price Trends
50DMA
59.56
Positive
100DMA
59.70
Positive
200DMA
57.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Negative
RSI
51.36
Neutral
STOCH
48.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For D, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.70, above the 50-day MA of 59.56, and above the 200-day MA of 57.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for D.

Dominion Energy Risk Analysis

Dominion Energy disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dominion Energy reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks

Dominion Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$63.97B17.5212.85%3.25%7.66%37.42%
70
Outperform
$94.37B19.089.92%3.61%4.80%14.44%
67
Neutral
$45.24B16.0310.31%3.68%6.07%15.20%
66
Neutral
$41.11B19.7912.58%3.13%18.29%2.40%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$51.38B20.479.27%4.59%12.72%4.90%
65
Neutral
$44.99B23.209.45%3.09%3.32%-2.30%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
D
Dominion Energy
60.03
8.52
16.55%
AEP
American Electric Power
118.33
23.75
25.11%
DUK
Duke Energy
119.49
10.99
10.13%
EXC
Exelon
43.91
4.79
12.25%
PEG
Public Service Enterprise
80.31
-0.48
-0.60%
XEL
Xcel Energy
74.50
9.31
14.28%

Dominion Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Dominion Energy Updates Offshore Wind Project Costs and Timeline
Negative
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Dominion Energy reported updated cost and timing guidance for its Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project after a temporary suspension of work stemming from a December 2025 order from the U.S. Department of the Interior’s Bureau of Ocean Energy Management and the impact of tariffs. The estimated total project cost, including contingency but excluding financing, has risen from about $11.2 billion to approximately $11.5 billion, and full project completion is now expected in early 2027, though first power delivery remains targeted for the first quarter of 2026. Dominion said the project is roughly 71% complete, fully permitted at the state and federal levels, and positioned as a key, bipartisan-backed component of Virginia’s energy strategy, delivering nearly 3 GW to support AI and cyber demand, shipbuilding and military installations, while creating about 2,000 U.S. jobs and $2 billion in economic activity, which underscores both its strategic importance and the cost and schedule risks inherent in large offshore wind developments.

The most recent analyst rating on (D) stock is a Hold with a $69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dominion Energy stock, see the D Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Dominion Energy Wins Injunction to Resume Offshore Wind
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 16, 2026, the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia granted Dominion Energy and its subsidiary Virginia Electric and Power Company a preliminary injunction, allowing construction work on the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project to resume despite a December 22, 2025 federal order that had called for a 90-day suspension. With the injunction in place, Dominion will restart activities on the 176-turbine, 2.6-gigawatt offshore wind project—designed to power up to 660,000 homes—while its legal challenge to the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management’s suspension proceeds, preserving momentum on a flagship asset that is central to the company’s diversified energy strategy and its positioning as a major player in U.S. offshore wind.

The most recent analyst rating on (D) stock is a Hold with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dominion Energy stock, see the D Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Dominion Energy Challenges Suspension of Coastal Virginia Wind
Negative
Dec 23, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Dominion Energy responded to a U.S. Department of Interior Bureau of Ocean Energy Management order that immediately imposed a 90-day suspension of all work on the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project, in which its subsidiary Virginia Electric and Power Company owns 50% of OSW Project LLC. The company warned that halting the more-than-decade-in-development, 2,600-megawatt offshore wind project, located 27 to 44 miles off Virginia’s coast, risks undermining grid reliability for critical military, data center and civilian infrastructure, could drive up energy costs, and threatens thousands of jobs, while noting the project has longstanding military coordination, enjoys bipartisan support, and is central to meeting surging regional power demand under Virginia’s all-of-the-above energy strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (D) stock is a Hold with a $64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dominion Energy stock, see the D Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Dominion Energy Expands Sales Agreements for $1.8 Billion
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Dominion Energy announced an increase in the authorized amount for its sales agency agreements to make available $1.8 billion in shares of its common stock. This move, involving multiple financial institutions as sales agents and forward purchasers, is part of an at-the-market program allowing the company to issue and sell shares over time. The company also entered into additional agreements and amendments on October 31, 2025, to facilitate forward sale transactions, potentially impacting its financial strategy and market operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (D) stock is a Buy with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dominion Energy stock, see the D Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026