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Dominion Energy (D)
NYSE:D

Dominion Energy (D) AI Stock Analysis

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D

Dominion Energy

(NYSE:D)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$61.00
â–²(6.23%Upside)
Dominion Energy's overall score is driven by solid financial performance and effective management of strategic projects, particularly the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind initiative. While challenges such as high leverage and tariff uncertainties persist, the company's stable margins and income potential support a favorable outlook. Technical indicators suggest a cautious market sentiment, but the reaffirmed earnings guidance and strong dividend yield provide investor confidence.
Positive Factors
Capital Investment
Dominion Energy raised its five-year capital plan by $7 billion, indicating a significant investment in growth.
Data Center Growth
Dominion raised its data center contracted capacity numbers significantly, which suggests potential for future growth.
Regulated Growth Strategy
The core fundamentals of the company's streamlined, VEPCO-centric profile have improved significantly and placed it in a favorable position to execute its regulated growth strategy.
Negative Factors
Earnings Expectations
The expected earnings per share for Dominion Energy are modestly below the consensus expectations.
Macroeconomic Pressures
Potential exposure to tariffs and broader macroeconomic pressures could impact both the cost estimate and schedule for CVOW.
Project Costs and Timelines
Despite the expected solid quarterly results and year-over-year growth, the analyst sees potential for project costs to increase or timelines to be delayed but views it as overly punitive to apply a 25% increase to the remaining project spend.

Dominion Energy (D) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dominion Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDominion Energy, Inc. produces and distributes energy in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Dominion Energy Virginia, Gas Distribution, Dominion Energy South Carolina, and Contracted Assets. The Dominion Energy Virginia segment generates, transmits, and distributes regulated electricity to approximately 2.7 million residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental customers in Virginia and North Carolina. The Gas Distribution segment is involved in the regulated natural gas sales, transportation, gathering, storage, and distribution operations in Ohio, West Virginia, North Carolina, Utah, southwestern Wyoming, and southeastern Idaho that serve approximately 3.1 million residential, commercial and industrial customers. It also has nonregulated renewable natural gas facilities in operation. The Dominion Energy South Carolina segment generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 772,000 customers in the central, southern, and southwestern portions of South Carolina; and distributes natural gas to approximately 419,000 residential, commercial, and industrial customers in South Carolina. The Contracted Assets segment is involved in the nonregulated long-term contracted renewable electric generation and solar generation facility development operations; and gas transportation, LNG import, and storage operations, as well as in the liquefaction facility. As of December 31, 2021, the company's portfolio of assets included approximately 30.2 gigawatt of electric generating capacity; 10,700 miles of electric transmission lines; 78,000 miles of electric distribution lines; and 95,700 miles of gas distribution mains and related service facilities. The company was formerly known as Dominion Resources, Inc. Dominion Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyDominion Energy generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the sale and distribution of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's regulated utility operations are a significant source of income, as they involve long-term agreements and regulated pricing structures that ensure stable cash flows. Additionally, Dominion Energy earns money from its non-regulated operations, which include energy trading and merchant power generation. The company has also invested in renewable energy projects, which contribute to its earnings through power purchase agreements and government incentives. Partnerships with other energy companies and investments in energy infrastructure further support Dominion Energy's revenue model, enabling the company to optimize its energy delivery capabilities and expand its market presence.

Dominion Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and where there may be challenges or opportunities for expansion.
Chart InsightsDominion Energy's Virginia segment shows robust growth, reflecting strong demand and strategic positioning, while the Gas Distribution segment has ceased operations. The 'Other' segment's volatility continues, with recent improvements. The earnings call highlights the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project's progress, which is expected to bolster future revenues. However, tariff uncertainties and safety incidents pose risks. The company's reaffirmed earnings guidance and proactive equity management indicate confidence in navigating these challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Dominion Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.87%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strong start to the fiscal year with positive financial performance and progress on key projects, particularly the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project. However, challenges such as a tragic safety incident and tariff uncertainties pose concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Dominion Energy reported first-quarter operating earnings of $0.93 per share, outperforming expectations due to $0.03 of better-than-normal weather, $0.02 of RNG 45Z income, and $0.02 of better-than-expected sales. GAAP results were $0.75 per share, and the company affirmed its financial guidance for 2025 operating earnings per share of $3.28 to $3.52.
Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project Progress
The Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project is 55% complete, on track for first delivery of electricity in early 2026, with full completion by the end of next year. The project has created approximately 2,000 jobs and generated $2 billion in economic activity.
Data Center Capacity and Demand
Dominion Energy has approximately 40 gigawatts of data center capacity in various stages of contracting, with no evidence of slowing demand from data center customers across its service area.
Regulatory and Legislative Support
The Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project has robust bipartisan support from Virginia government and congressional leaders, and is consistent with American energy dominance goals.
Negative Updates
Safety Incident
A Dominion Energy employee, Ryan Barwick, died after being injured while unloading a railcar. The company emphasized its commitment to achieving zero injuries.
Tariff Uncertainty
The Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project faces ongoing uncertainty regarding tariff impacts, with potential costs escalating to $500 million through 2026 if current policies remain unchanged.
Millstone Contracting Uncertainty
There is no new progress on contracting opportunities for the Millstone facility, which provides over 90% of Connecticut's carbon-free electricity.
Company Guidance
During the Dominion Energy First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reiterated its commitment to key priorities and financial guidance. Dominion Energy reported first-quarter operating earnings of $0.93 per share, surpassing its GAAP results of $0.75 per share. The company confirmed its 2025 operating earnings per share guidance of $3.28 to $3.52, with a midpoint of $3.40. Dominion emphasized the progress of its Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project, which is 55% complete and on schedule for full completion by the end of 2026. The project is expected to add $0.04 to residential customer bills over its life. Dominion also discussed its proactive approach to tariff exposure, estimating a potential cumulative impact of about $500 million if current policies persist through 2026, with Dominion bearing approximately $130 million of this cost. Additionally, the company highlighted steady equity issuance under its ATM program, amounting to approximately $1 billion at a weighted average price of $57, and an expectation to complete $200 million of DRIP-related equity by year-end, aligning with its 2025 common equity guidance.

Dominion Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dominion Energy demonstrates strong operational efficiency and revenue growth, supported by stable margins. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow due to substantial capital expenditures pose potential risks. The company must focus on enhancing net profitability and managing debt levels to maintain financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Dominion Energy's income statement reflects stable revenue growth with a 3.08% increase in revenues for the TTM period. The gross profit margin stands at 48.95%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin slightly declined to 14.06% from 14.70% in the prior year, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT margin improved to 24.40%, reflecting better operational efficiency. Overall, the company displays solid revenue growth and operational efficiency but faces challenges in maintaining high net profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Dominion Energy shows a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.61, indicating relatively high leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. The return on equity (ROE) is 7.66%, reflecting a reasonable return on shareholders' investments, though it could be improved. The equity ratio of 26.17% suggests a balanced capital structure but highlights the importance of managing debt levels effectively. While the company maintains a stable asset base, high leverage remains a concern.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Dominion Energy's cash flow statement reveals challenges in cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.01, indicating strong cash generation capability. However, the free cash flow is negative, highlighting significant capital expenditures that exceed operating cash inflows. Free cash flow to net income ratio is -4.02, pointing towards heavy investments that may burden cash reserves. While operational cash flows are robust, the negative free cash flow underscores the need for careful capital allocation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.90B14.46B14.39B13.94B11.42B14.17B
Gross Profit7.30B6.92B6.96B6.38B5.41B7.30B
EBITDA7.26B6.71B6.82B6.37B5.39B6.93B
Net Income2.10B2.12B1.99B1.32B3.40B-401.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets104.56B102.42B109.03B104.24B99.59B95.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments355.00M310.00M184.00M153.00M283.00M172.00M
Total Debt44.10B41.75B44.24B45.68B40.58B37.01B
Total Liabilities73.83B72.22B81.50B76.36B72.28B69.44B
Stockholders Equity27.36B27.25B27.53B27.88B27.31B26.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.42B-7.18B-3.66B-3.89B-1.92B-793.00M
Operating Cash Flow4.22B5.02B6.57B3.70B4.04B5.23B
Investing Cash Flow-7.81B-3.18B-7.21B-6.75B-6.25B-2.92B
Financing Cash Flow3.73B-1.77B595.00M2.98B2.37B-2.33B

Dominion Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price57.42
Price Trends
50DMA
55.00
Positive
100DMA
54.45
Positive
200DMA
54.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Negative
RSI
62.70
Neutral
STOCH
92.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For D, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.64, above the 50-day MA of 55.00, and above the 200-day MA of 54.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for D.

Dominion Energy Risk Analysis

Dominion Energy disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dominion Energy reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dominion Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NENEE
78
Outperform
$150.32B27.3111.19%3.10%20.35%-27.07%
DUDUK
73
Outperform
$90.99B19.539.48%3.57%5.02%45.08%
EXEXC
73
Outperform
$43.33B15.9210.10%3.73%6.71%16.09%
SOSO
70
Outperform
$100.18B21.8614.01%3.25%9.58%8.02%
DD
69
Neutral
$48.97B21.548.22%4.65%3.62%40.33%
AEAEP
68
Neutral
$55.16B19.9210.41%3.60%4.20%-3.64%
67
Neutral
$16.39B16.974.47%3.56%4.77%6.10%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
D
Dominion Energy
57.42
10.57
22.56%
AEP
American Electric Power
103.26
18.58
21.94%
DUK
Duke Energy
117.31
20.41
21.06%
EXC
Exelon
42.92
9.90
29.98%
NEE
NextEra Energy
73.02
3.02
4.31%
SO
Southern Co
91.15
15.67
20.76%

Dominion Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Dominion Energy Announces Leadership Transition Effective October 2025
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Dominion Energy announced the upcoming retirement of Michele L. Cardiff, the Senior Vice President, Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer, effective October 1, 2025. Subsequently, Gary G. Ratliff, Jr. was appointed to succeed her, with his new role commencing on the same date. Mr. Ratliff, who has been with the company in various accounting roles since 2015, will see his annual base salary increased to $290,035. This leadership transition is expected to maintain the company’s operational continuity and uphold its financial management standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (D) stock is a Hold with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dominion Energy stock, see the D Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dominion Energy Updates Bylaws for Officer Appointments
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Paul M. Dabbar resigned from the Board of Dominion Energy, Inc. following his confirmation as Deputy Secretary of Commerce, effective June 25, 2025. His departure was not due to any disagreement with the company. Subsequently, on June 26, 2025, Dominion Energy amended its Bylaws to clarify the process for appointing successor officers in the event of a vacancy due to various reasons, enhancing its governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (D) stock is a Hold with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dominion Energy stock, see the D Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dominion Energy Appoints Jeffrey Lyash as Independent Director
Neutral
Jun 25, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Dominion Energy appointed Jeffrey J. Lyash as an independent director and member of the Safety, Technology, Nuclear and Operations Committee. Mr. Lyash, who recently retired as President and CEO of the Tennessee Valley Authority, brings extensive experience in the energy sector, which is expected to enhance Dominion Energy’s strategic operations and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (D) stock is a Hold with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dominion Energy stock, see the D Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dominion Energy Secures $1 Billion in Senior Notes
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Dominion Energy, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with major financial institutions for the sale of $1 billion in Series C Senior Notes, which are due in 2028. This strategic financial move is expected to impact the company’s operations by potentially enhancing its capital structure and market positioning, although specific implications for stakeholders were not detailed in the release.

The most recent analyst rating on (D) stock is a Hold with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dominion Energy stock, see the D Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dominion Energy Elects Board and Approves Compensation Plan
Neutral
May 9, 2025

During Dominion Energy‘s 2025 Annual Meeting held on May 7, 2025, all 11 director nominees were elected to the Board of Directors, with each nominee receiving a majority of votes. Shareholders also approved the executive compensation plan and ratified the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. However, a shareholder proposal to eliminate non-carbon emitting generation goals in executive pay incentives was not approved.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025