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Public Service Enterprise (PEG)
NYSE:PEG

Public Service Enterprise (PEG) AI Stock Analysis

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PEG

Public Service Enterprise

(NYSE:PEG)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$86.00
â–²(9.01% Upside)
Public Service Enterprise Group's overall score reflects strong earnings performance and strategic investments, balanced by technical weaknesses and cash flow concerns. The company's valuation is reasonable, but external challenges such as supply-demand imbalance and affordability issues in New Jersey warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a positive trajectory and strong market demand, supporting long-term business stability and expansion.
Capital Investment
Significant capital investments in infrastructure modernization enhance operational efficiency and future growth potential.
Nuclear Operations
Strong nuclear operations provide a stable, carbon-free energy source, aligning with sustainability trends and regulatory incentives.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Concerns
Negative free cash flow growth suggests liquidity issues, potentially limiting financial flexibility and investment capacity.
Supply-Demand Imbalance
Supply-demand imbalance in New Jersey could impact energy reliability and affordability, posing long-term operational challenges.
Affordability Challenges
Affordability issues in key markets may limit customer growth and pressure regulatory frameworks, affecting revenue stability.

Public Service Enterprise (PEG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Public Service Enterprise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPublic Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PSEG) is an energy company based in the United States, primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity and natural gas. Operating through its subsidiaries, PSEG Power and PSEG Long Island, the company serves millions of customers across New Jersey and New York. Its core products and services include electric utility services, natural gas distribution, renewable energy solutions, and energy efficiency programs, focusing on delivering reliable and sustainable energy solutions to support the communities it serves.
How the Company Makes MoneyPSEG generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily from the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company earns a significant portion of its revenue from utility services, which includes regulated rates for electricity distribution and transmission. Additionally, PSEG benefits from its generation assets, which produce power that can be sold on the wholesale market. The company is also involved in renewable energy projects, allowing it to capitalize on government incentives and credits related to clean energy production. Key partnerships with state and local governments further enhance its revenue through energy efficiency programs and renewable energy incentives, solidifying its position in the evolving energy landscape.

Public Service Enterprise Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Income Breakdown
Net Income Breakdown
Analyzes the sources of profit, highlighting which business areas are most profitable and where there might be challenges impacting overall financial health.
Chart InsightsPSEG's net income shows a notable recovery in 2025, driven by strong performance in both PS&G and PSEG Power segments. The recent earnings call highlights robust financial results, with a significant increase in net income per share and strategic investments in infrastructure. However, potential challenges like higher customer bills and resource adequacy issues could impact future performance. The company's commitment to a substantial capital spending plan and effective nuclear fleet operations are key to maintaining growth momentum despite external pressures.
Data provided by:The Fly

Public Service Enterprise Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strong financial and operational performance with notable investments and achievements, especially in capital spending and nuclear operations. However, challenges related to supply-demand imbalance and affordability issues in New Jersey pose significant concerns for the future.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
PSEG reported net income of $1.24 per share for Q3 2025 compared to $1.04 per share in Q3 2024, and non-GAAP operating earnings were $1.13 per share in 2025 compared to $0.90 per share in 2024.
Capital Investment and Infrastructure Modernization
PSEG invested approximately $1 billion during the third quarter and $2.7 billion over the first 9 months of 2025 as part of a planned $3.8 billion regulated capital spending program focused on modernizing New Jersey's energy infrastructure.
Nuclear Operations and Fuel Cycle Extension
PSEG Nuclear supplied the grid with 7.9 terawatt hours of carbon-free energy in the quarter. The Hope Creek unit completed a 499-day run and extended its fuel cycle from 18 to 24 months, enhancing future megawatt production.
Five-Year Contract Extension
The Long Island Power Authority approved a 5-year contract extension for PSEG to continue as the operations service provider, extending through 2030.
Negative Updates
Supply-Demand Imbalance
New Jersey faces a significant and growing supply-demand imbalance, which could adversely impact reliability and affordability. The region relies on over 40% of its generation consumption from imports.
Challenges with Affordability
Affordability remains a major concern in New Jersey, with taxes and utility costs being prominent issues for residents.
Nuclear Generation Decline
Nuclear generation produced 7.9 terawatt hours in Q3 2025, down from 8.1 terawatt hours in Q3 2024.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG) provided updated guidance, narrowing their 2025 non-GAAP operating earnings forecast to the upper half of their previous range, now at $4 to $4.06 per share, compared to the earlier range of $3.94 to $4.06 per share. This adjustment was driven by solid year-to-date results and the positive impact of new rates from an October 2024 distribution rate case settlement. PSEG reported net income of $1.24 per share in Q3 2025, up from $1.04 per share in the same quarter of 2024, with non-GAAP operating earnings increasing to $1.13 per share from $0.90 per share in the previous year. The company invested approximately $1 billion during the quarter, contributing to a total of $2.7 billion over the first nine months of 2025, as part of their planned $3.8 billion regulated capital spending for the year. PSEG Nuclear generated 7.9 terawatt hours of carbon-free energy during the quarter, providing financial flexibility for regulated investments. The company reaffirmed its 5-7% non-GAAP operating earnings growth outlook through 2029 and emphasized its ability to fund a five-year capital investment program of $22.5 billion to $26 billion without issuing new equity or selling assets.

Public Service Enterprise Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Public Service Enterprise demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, but faces challenges with high leverage and negative free cash flow. The company needs to manage its debt levels and improve cash flow generation to enhance financial stability. Overall, the financial health is stable but requires careful monitoring of cash flow and debt management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Public Service Enterprise has shown a consistent revenue growth trend, with a notable 5.25% increase in the TTM period. The company maintains healthy profitability margins, with a gross profit margin of 35.35% and a net profit margin of 17.78% in the TTM. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.41, indicating significant leverage. However, the return on equity remains solid at 12.14%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if interest rates rise.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive, but the free cash flow is negative, indicating potential liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient cash to cover its net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.55, reflecting some cash generation efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.72B10.29B11.24B9.80B9.72B9.60B
Gross Profit4.17B3.54B4.83B2.60B3.00B3.43B
EBITDA4.59B4.04B5.09B2.85B814.00M4.28B
Net Income2.08B1.77B2.56B1.03B-648.00M1.91B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets56.91B54.64B50.74B48.72B49.00B50.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments339.00M125.00M54.00M465.00M818.00M543.00M
Total Debt23.51B22.89B20.41B20.44B19.63B17.50B
Total Liabilities39.90B38.53B35.26B34.99B34.56B34.07B
Stockholders Equity17.01B16.11B15.48B13.73B14.44B15.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow73.00M-1.25B481.00M-1.39B-983.00M68.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.94B2.13B3.81B1.50B1.74B3.10B
Investing Cash Flow-3.00B-3.31B-2.96B-1.10B-2.24B-2.68B
Financing Cash Flow113.00M1.23B-1.26B-754.00M799.00M-30.00M

Public Service Enterprise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price78.89
Price Trends
50DMA
81.22
Negative
100DMA
82.12
Negative
200DMA
80.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.77
Positive
RSI
40.56
Neutral
STOCH
19.65
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 78.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 80.43, below the 50-day MA of 81.22, and below the 200-day MA of 80.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.65 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PEG.

Public Service Enterprise Risk Analysis

Public Service Enterprise disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Public Service Enterprise reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Public Service Enterprise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$43.73B15.4910.31%3.67%6.07%15.20%
67
Neutral
$33.72B19.5913.19%3.38%11.88%29.76%
66
Neutral
$39.28B18.9112.58%3.19%18.29%2.40%
66
Neutral
$41.68B23.0311.33%2.64%6.71%-0.12%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
62
Neutral
$34.44B16.678.84%3.49%10.35%7.64%
60
Neutral
$44.18B22.789.45%3.00%3.32%-2.30%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PEG
Public Service Enterprise
78.89
-4.47
-5.36%
ED
Consolidated Edison
97.53
9.31
10.55%
ETR
Entergy
92.35
19.64
27.01%
EXC
Exelon
43.57
8.62
24.66%
WEC
WEC Energy Group
103.88
12.08
13.16%
XEL
Xcel Energy
75.15
9.67
14.77%

Public Service Enterprise Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
PSEG Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, PSEG reported its financial results for the third quarter and year-to-date 2025, highlighting a net income of $1.24 per share in Q3 and $3.59 per share year-to-date. The company also achieved a 26% increase in non-GAAP operating earnings for the quarter. Operationally, PSE&G demonstrated resilience by restoring services quickly after a severe storm in July and completed significant upgrades at the Hope Creek facility. The company invested approximately $1 billion in Q3 as part of its regulated capital spending plan, underscoring its commitment to infrastructure development.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025