tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Exelon Corp. (EXC)
:EXC
Advertisement

Exelon (EXC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,698 Followers

Top Page

EXC

Exelon

(NASDAQ:EXC)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
â–²(14.40% Upside)
Exelon's overall stock score reflects a strong technical outlook and solid valuation, supported by sound financial performance. The company's ability to manage costs effectively and maintain growth prospects contributes positively, though cash flow challenges and leverage levels present risks that should be monitored.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
EXC's 1Q25 EPS of $0.92 was above BMO/Street estimates of $0.87/$0.88.
Investment Opportunities
ComEd shines in the spotlight with top-tier 28GW of load applications, representing a significant opportunity for Exelon Corp.
Negative Factors
Growth Limitations
There is limited upside in the near-term relative to other utility stocks.
Regulatory Risks
Enthusiasm is limited by low authorized returns and lingering questions around ICC intent.

Exelon (EXC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Exelon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExelon Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the energy generation, delivery, and marketing businesses in the United States and Canada. It owns nuclear, fossil, wind, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar generating facilities. The company also sells electricity to wholesale and retail customers; and sells natural gas, renewable energy, and other energy-related products and services. Additionally, it is involved in the purchase and regulated retail sale of electricity and natural gas; and transmission and distribution of electricity, and distribution of natural gas to retail customers. Further, the company offers support services, including legal, human resources, information technology, financial, supply management, accounting, engineering, customer operations, distribution and transmission planning, asset management, system operations, and power procurement services. It serves distribution utilities, municipalities, cooperatives, and financial institutions, as well as commercial, industrial, governmental, and residential customers. Exelon Corporation was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyExelon generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Its revenue model is driven by several key streams, including energy generation from its nuclear, fossil, and renewable energy plants, as well as utility services provided by its subsidiaries. Additionally, Exelon benefits from regulatory frameworks and market mechanisms that allow it to sell electricity in competitive markets. The company also engages in hedging and trading activities to optimize its revenue from wholesale energy markets. Strategic partnerships and investments in renewable energy projects further enhance its earnings potential, while ongoing infrastructure investments and efficiency improvements contribute to its operational profitability.

Exelon Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Natural Gas Customers
Natural Gas Customers
Indicates the number of customers using natural gas services, reflecting market penetration and potential for revenue growth in this segment.
Chart InsightsExelon's natural gas customer base has shown consistent growth across all segments, with PECO, BGE, and DPL steadily increasing their customer numbers over the years. This trend reflects Exelon's strategic focus on enhancing customer service and addressing evolving energy demands. Despite challenges like increased customer costs from PJM auction results, Exelon remains optimistic about future growth, supported by robust operational performance and significant investment plans, including $38 billion through 2028. The company's focus on regulatory activities and transmission expansion positions it well for sustained growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Exelon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Exelon's earnings call highlighted strong operational performance, successful financial management, and significant opportunities in transmission expansion. However, it also noted challenges such as a decline in quarterly earnings compared to the previous year and increased customer costs due to PJM auction results. The sentiment reflects optimism about future growth and investments, tempered by current challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Earnings Expectations
Exelon reported $0.39 in operating earnings for the second quarter, surpassing expectations due to favorable timing and cost management at utilities.
Strong Operational Performance
PECO demonstrated resilience by restoring power to over 325,000 customers after a major storm, highlighting Exelon's operational reliability and earning recognition as top reliable utilities.
Robust Large Load Pipeline
Exelon has maintained a large load pipeline of more than 17 gigawatts, with expectations to formalize an additional 16 gigawatts by the end of the year.
Significant Transmission Opportunities
Exelon is well-positioned for over $1 billion in transmission work associated with the MISO Tranche 2.1 projects, with additional $10 billion to $15 billion of transmission work identified through 2028.
Successful Financing and Investor Confidence
Exelon completed nearly 80% of its planned long-term debt financing for 2025 and successfully priced $700 million of planned equity needs, demonstrating strong investor demand and confidence.
Negative Updates
Decline in Quarterly Earnings
Exelon reported a decrease in earnings for the second quarter compared to the previous year, primarily due to higher distribution and transmission rates and various cost factors.
Uncertainty in Legislative Progress
Despite legislative efforts, the Illinois energy omnibus legislation did not pass, creating uncertainty in policy advancements.
Higher Customer Costs Due to PJM Auction Results
Customers are facing increased bills due to PJM capacity auction results, with bill impacts ranging from $1.5 to $4 increases across jurisdictions.
Company Guidance
During Exelon's second quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, the company provided guidance on several key financial metrics. Exelon reported operating earnings of $0.39 per share for the second quarter, surpassing expectations due to favorable timing and cost management, despite a $50 million customer relief fund and storm impacts. The company reaffirmed its full-year operating earnings guidance of $2.64 to $2.74 per share and projected an annualized earnings growth rate of 5% to 7% through 2028. Exelon also highlighted its investment plans, aiming to invest $38 billion through 2028, with an additional $10 billion to $15 billion identified for further transmission work. The company's large load pipeline remains robust with more than 17 gigawatts, and it expects to grow its rate base at 7.4% through 2028. Exelon emphasized its strategic focus on regulatory activities, customer service, and efforts to address evolving energy demands.

Exelon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exelon's financial performance indicates strong operational efficiency with solid profit margins and revenue growth. However, challenges in cash flow management, particularly with sustaining positive free cash flow, present a concern. The balance sheet remains stable, but leverage levels should be monitored.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Exelon's income statement shows a solid performance with a gross profit margin of 37.94% and a net profit margin of 11.43% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The revenue growth rate of 2.92% from the previous year indicates steady growth. The EBIT margin at 19.97% and EBITDA margin at 36.28% suggest consistent operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.75, showing moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 9.81%, indicating satisfactory profitability on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 25.22%, suggesting a balanced capital structure with a reasonable level of equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Exelon's cash flow statement reveals challenges with free cash flow, which remains negative at -$1.499 billion, although operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 2.13. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential cash management issues despite operational cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.70B23.03B21.73B19.08B17.94B33.04B
Gross Profit9.89B9.40B8.93B8.03B7.01B9.53B
EBITDA8.60B8.18B7.94B7.17B9.38B10.49B
Net Income2.71B2.46B2.33B2.17B1.71B1.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets109.48B107.78B101.55B95.35B133.01B129.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.00B357.00M445.00M407.00M672.00M663.00M
Total Debt48.27B46.65B44.01B40.05B34.54B39.33B
Total Liabilities81.88B80.86B75.79B70.61B98.22B94.45B
Stockholders Equity27.61B26.92B25.75B24.74B34.39B32.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.50B-1.53B-2.71B-2.28B-4.97B-3.81B
Operating Cash Flow5.78B5.57B4.70B4.87B3.01B4.24B
Investing Cash Flow-7.22B-7.04B-7.38B-6.99B-3.32B-4.34B
Financing Cash Flow1.71B1.31B2.68B1.59B758.00M145.00M

Exelon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.58
Price Trends
50DMA
43.25
Positive
100DMA
43.84
Positive
200DMA
41.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Negative
RSI
55.30
Neutral
STOCH
44.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.23, above the 50-day MA of 43.25, and above the 200-day MA of 41.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXC.

Exelon Risk Analysis

Exelon disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exelon reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Exelon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$45.10B16.959.87%3.54%4.46%8.68%
74
Outperform
$60.36B16.5313.03%3.32%5.84%36.33%
73
Outperform
$148.76B25.1711.84%2.87%18.80%-6.73%
72
Outperform
$52.21B21.149.29%4.37%7.60%55.99%
71
Outperform
$103.61B24.3212.89%3.08%8.53%-7.53%
66
Neutral
$17.90B18.758.12%3.41%7.32%12.01%
66
Neutral
$96.63B20.329.60%3.43%4.07%9.94%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXC
Exelon
44.58
8.34
23.01%
AEP
American Electric Power
111.99
18.49
19.78%
D
Dominion Energy
61.14
7.71
14.43%
DUK
Duke Energy
122.45
14.16
13.08%
NEE
NextEra Energy
75.41
-0.88
-1.15%
SO
Southern Co
94.07
9.57
11.33%

Exelon Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Exelon Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results Amid Challenges
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Exelon Corporation reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, revealing a decrease in both GAAP net income and adjusted operating earnings compared to the same period in 2024. Despite challenges such as increased storm costs and higher interest expenses, Exelon maintained its full-year earnings guidance and highlighted strong operational performance and strategic investments in grid modernization and energy security. The company executed significant portions of its planned debt and equity financings for 2025 and 2026, while also declaring a regular quarterly dividend.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXC) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exelon stock, see the EXC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025