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Exelon (EXC)
NASDAQ:EXC
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Exelon (EXC) AI Stock Analysis

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EXC

Exelon

(NASDAQ:EXC)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
â–˛(10.37% Upside)
Exelon's strong earnings performance and reasonable valuation are key strengths, supported by positive earnings call sentiment. However, high leverage and cash flow challenges pose risks. Technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, with potential for improvement.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a stable market position and effective business operations, supporting long-term financial health.
Operational Excellence
High reliability rankings reflect strong operational capabilities, enhancing customer satisfaction and competitive advantage.
Legislative Advancements
Legislative support for energy efficiency and grid improvements strengthens Exelon's market position and growth prospects.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, impacting long-term financial stability and investment capacity.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, constraining the ability to invest in growth and manage debt effectively.
Supply Challenges
Supply shortfalls can disrupt service reliability and customer trust, impacting long-term operational stability and market reputation.

Exelon (EXC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Exelon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExelon Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the energy generation, delivery, and marketing businesses in the United States and Canada. It owns nuclear, fossil, wind, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar generating facilities. The company also sells electricity to wholesale and retail customers; and sells natural gas, renewable energy, and other energy-related products and services. Additionally, it is involved in the purchase and regulated retail sale of electricity and natural gas; and transmission and distribution of electricity, and distribution of natural gas to retail customers. Further, the company offers support services, including legal, human resources, information technology, financial, supply management, accounting, engineering, customer operations, distribution and transmission planning, asset management, system operations, and power procurement services. It serves distribution utilities, municipalities, cooperatives, and financial institutions, as well as commercial, industrial, governmental, and residential customers. Exelon Corporation was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyExelon generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Its revenue model is driven by several key streams, including energy generation from its nuclear, fossil, and renewable energy plants, as well as utility services provided by its subsidiaries. Additionally, Exelon benefits from regulatory frameworks and market mechanisms that allow it to sell electricity in competitive markets. The company also engages in hedging and trading activities to optimize its revenue from wholesale energy markets. Strategic partnerships and investments in renewable energy projects further enhance its earnings potential, while ongoing infrastructure investments and efficiency improvements contribute to its operational profitability.

Exelon Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Natural Gas Customers
Natural Gas Customers
Indicates the number of customers using natural gas services, reflecting market penetration and potential for revenue growth in this segment.
Chart InsightsExelon's natural gas customer base has shown consistent growth across all segments, with PECO, BGE, and DPL steadily increasing their customer numbers over the years. This trend reflects Exelon's strategic focus on enhancing customer service and addressing evolving energy demands. Despite challenges like increased customer costs from PJM auction results, Exelon remains optimistic about future growth, supported by robust operational performance and significant investment plans, including $38 billion through 2028. The company's focus on regulatory activities and transmission expansion positions it well for sustained growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Exelon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Exelon's third-quarter earnings call showcased strong financial and operational performance, with significant progress in legislative and regulatory areas. However, concerns about supply shortfalls and interest expenses were noted. The sentiment leans positive with substantial achievements outweighing the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Performance
Exelon reported earnings of $0.86 per share in the third quarter, up from $0.71 per share in the same period last year, driven by higher distribution and transmission rates and favorable storm conditions.
Operational Excellence
Exelon's utility operating companies achieved top rankings in reliability benchmarking, with positions 1, 2, 4, and 7, improving upon last year's rankings.
Legislative Advancements
Illinois passed the Clean and Reliable Grid Affordability Act, enhancing energy efficiency programs and expanding distributed generation and energy storage opportunities.
Rate Case Progress
Exelon made progress on several rate cases, including the Delmarva Power gas distribution rate case and the Atlantic City Electric rate case, with settlements anticipated soon.
Large Load Pipeline
Exelon's large load pipeline now stands at over 19 gigawatts, with significant progress in transmission security agreements and new business driving anticipated growth in transmission investment.
Financial Stability
Exelon completed all planned long-term debt issuances for the year and priced nearly half of its equity needs through 2028, maintaining a strong balance sheet.
Negative Updates
Supply Challenges
Exelon highlighted a significant anticipated shortfall in power supply, with concerns that markets alone may not fill the gap, posing risks to customers.
Maryland RFP Shortfall
The Maryland RFP process for new energy supply attracted submissions but fell short of capacity targets, necessitating further recommendations from state agencies.
Interest Expense Impact
Earnings were slightly offset by increased interest expenses, impacting overall financial performance.
Company Guidance
During Exelon's third quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, the company reported earnings of $0.86 per share, exceeding expectations due to favorable weather conditions and timing-related factors. Exelon reaffirmed its operating earnings guidance for 2025, projecting a range of $2.64 to $2.74 per share, with an annualized growth rate of 5% to 7% expected through 2028. The company highlighted its strong operational performance with its utility companies ranking 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 7th in reliability benchmarks. Exelon is actively involved in several rate cases and legislative initiatives, including the Clean and Reliable Grid Affordability Act in Illinois and a request for proposals in Maryland for new energy supply. The company also noted a significant large load pipeline of over 19 gigawatts, with transmission investments anticipated to grow as part of their next four-year plan. Exelon aims to maintain a balanced financing plan while delivering reliable and cost-effective power supply to its customers.

Exelon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exelon shows strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient operations. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow present risks. Continued focus on cash flow management and debt reduction could enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Exelon has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.32%. The company maintains healthy profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 42.48% and a net profit margin of 11.60% in the TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 21.84% and 36.78%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. The upward trend in revenue and profitability margins reflects a stable and growing business environment.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Exelon's balance sheet shows a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76 in the TTM period, which suggests a significant reliance on debt financing. However, the company maintains a reasonable return on equity of 9.76%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 24.76%, reflecting a balanced asset structure. While leverage is on the higher side, the company manages to sustain profitability and growth.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Exelon's cash flow statement reveals challenges in free cash flow, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -9.58% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.66, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.25 highlights the need for improved cash flow management. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a stable operating cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.32B23.03B21.73B19.08B17.94B33.04B
Gross Profit10.33B9.40B8.93B8.03B7.01B9.53B
EBITDA8.95B8.18B7.94B7.17B9.38B10.49B
Net Income2.82B2.46B2.33B2.17B1.71B1.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets113.54B107.78B101.86B95.35B133.01B129.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.05B357.00M445.00M407.00M672.00M663.00M
Total Debt49.53B46.65B44.01B40.05B34.54B39.33B
Total Liabilities85.43B80.86B76.10B70.61B98.22B94.45B
Stockholders Equity28.11B26.92B25.75B24.74B34.39B32.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.59B-1.53B-2.71B-2.28B-4.97B-3.81B
Operating Cash Flow6.44B5.57B4.70B4.87B3.01B4.24B
Investing Cash Flow-8.03B-7.04B-7.38B-6.99B-3.32B-4.34B
Financing Cash Flow2.46B1.31B2.68B1.59B758.00M145.00M

Exelon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.21
Price Trends
50DMA
45.41
Positive
100DMA
44.52
Positive
200DMA
43.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
47.13
Neutral
STOCH
25.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.20, above the 50-day MA of 45.41, and above the 200-day MA of 43.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXC.

Exelon Risk Analysis

Exelon disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exelon reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Exelon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$174.79B26.6512.48%2.66%26.96%-6.80%
72
Outperform
$46.69B16.5410.31%3.46%6.07%15.20%
72
Outperform
$65.00B17.7712.85%3.08%7.66%37.42%
69
Neutral
$96.16B20.229.92%3.40%4.80%14.44%
69
Neutral
$100.69B22.7313.06%2.99%9.40%-6.05%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
$52.58B20.959.27%4.53%12.72%4.90%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXC
Exelon
46.21
8.83
23.62%
AEP
American Electric Power
121.43
29.38
31.92%
D
Dominion Energy
61.58
6.08
10.95%
DUK
Duke Energy
123.66
15.22
14.04%
NEE
NextEra Energy
83.93
10.31
14.00%
SO
Southern Co
91.44
5.97
6.98%

Exelon Corporate Events

Exelon Corp. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 5, 2025

Exelon Corporation, a leading utility company in the United States, operates through six fully regulated transmission and distribution utilities, providing reliable and affordable energy to over 10.7 million customers. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, Exelon announced a GAAP net income of $0.86 per share and adjusted operating earnings of $0.86 per share, reaffirming its full-year earnings guidance and long-term growth outlook. The company continues to demonstrate strong performance in reliability, with top national rankings for its utilities, and has completed all planned debt financings for 2025 while making significant progress on its equity plan. Key financial highlights include increased net income across its business units, attributed to higher utility earnings, lower storm costs, and strategic infrastructure investments. Looking ahead, Exelon remains committed to operational excellence and infrastructure modernization, with plans to invest $38 billion in critical infrastructure over the next four years to enhance service reliability and meet customer needs.

Exelon Corp’s Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth
Nov 5, 2025

Exelon Corp’s third-quarter earnings call painted a largely positive picture, highlighting strong financial performance and operational achievements. The company reported significant progress in legislative and regulatory areas, although concerns about supply shortfalls and increased interest expenses were noted. Overall, the sentiment was optimistic, with substantial achievements overshadowing the challenges.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Exelon Reports Strong Q3 Earnings and Growth Outlook
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Exelon Corporation announced its third-quarter financial results, reporting a GAAP net income of $0.86 per share and adjusted operating earnings of $0.86 per share, reflecting an increase from the previous year. The company reaffirmed its full-year earnings guidance and long-term growth outlook, emphasizing strong operational performance and infrastructure investments. Exelon completed its planned debt financings for 2025 and made significant progress on its equity plan, aiming to invest $38 billion in critical infrastructure over the next four years. The company also highlighted its utilities’ top rankings in reliability and ongoing efforts to modernize infrastructure, including Pepco’s rate case filing in Maryland to support 2026 infrastructure projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXC) stock is a Buy with a $52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exelon stock, see the EXC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025