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American Electric Power (AEP)
NASDAQ:AEP
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American Electric Power (AEP) AI Stock Analysis

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AEP

American Electric Power

(NASDAQ:AEP)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$135.00
▲(12.94% Upside)
AEP's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive outlook from the earnings call, highlighting significant growth potential and strategic investments. Technical indicators suggest a positive trend, though caution is warranted due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation is reasonable but not exceptional.
Positive Factors
Long-Term Earnings Growth
The increased long-term earnings growth rate reflects strong future prospects, driven by strategic investments and market demand, ensuring sustained profitability.
Capital Investment Plan
The substantial capital investment plan aims to enhance infrastructure and capacity, supporting long-term growth and competitive positioning in the utility sector.
Regulatory Progress
Favorable regulatory developments provide a stable framework for operations, enhancing AEP's ability to execute its growth strategy and improve returns.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
High debt levels can limit financial flexibility and pose risks, especially in a rising interest rate environment, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Gross Profit Margin Decline
A declining gross profit margin suggests potential cost management issues, which could pressure profitability if not addressed effectively.
Regulatory Challenges in West Virginia
Regulatory challenges in West Virginia could impact AEP's ability to maintain favorable rates and returns, affecting regional operations and financial performance.

American Electric Power (AEP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Electric Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican Electric Power (AEP) is one of the largest electric utility companies in the United States, serving approximately 5.5 million customers across 11 states. It operates in the electric utility sector, primarily focusing on the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. AEP's core products include electricity generation from various sources, including coal, natural gas, and renewable energy, as well as providing related services such as energy efficiency programs and customer solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyAEP generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's revenue model is based on regulated utility operations, where it earns returns on investments in infrastructure, such as power plants and transmission lines, as approved by state utility commissions. Key revenue streams include retail electricity sales, transmission services, and ancillary services. AEP also engages in wholesale electricity sales and has partnerships with independent power producers and renewable energy developers to diversify its energy portfolio and enhance revenue. Additionally, the company benefits from energy efficiency programs and demand response initiatives, which can provide supplemental revenue through incentive programs and cost savings for customers.

American Electric Power Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Retail Electric
Retail Electric
Measures performance in the retail electricity market, reflecting customer base size, pricing power, and market competitiveness.
Chart InsightsAmerican Electric Power's Retail Electric segment shows consistent growth in both Vertically Integrated Utilities and Transmission and Distribution Utilities. The latest earnings call highlights a record-breaking second quarter and an increased capital investment plan, driven by transformative load growth from data centers and manufacturing reshoring. This aligns with the upward revision of the 2025 earnings forecast and a long-term growth rate of 6% to 8%. However, challenges in regulatory recovery and potential tax credit uncertainties could impact future capital allocation and growth strategies.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

American Electric Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook for AEP, with significant long-term growth projections, a large capital investment plan, and strong financial performance. Although there are some challenges, particularly in West Virginia, the overall sentiment is buoyed by exceptional load growth and positive regulatory and legislative progress.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Long-Term Operating Earnings Growth Rate
AEP announced a new increased long-term operating earnings growth rate of 7% to 9% for 2026 to 2030 with an expected 9% compounded annual growth rate over the 5-year period.
Large Capital Investment Plan
AEP has introduced a $72 billion capital plan over the next 5 years, which is one of the largest in the industry and represents a more than 30% increase over the previous plan.
Strong Financial Performance
AEP reported third quarter 2025 operating earnings of $1.80 per share or $963 million and year-to-date operating earnings of $4.78 per share, up from $4.38 per share in 2024, driven by favorable rate changes and strong transmission investment execution.
Exceptional Load Growth
AEP is experiencing significant load growth, projecting a system peak demand of 65 gigawatts by 2030, driven by data centers and industrial development. The load growth is backed by 28 gigawatts of contracted load additions.
Regulatory and Legislative Progress
Positive legislative outcomes in Ohio, Oklahoma, and Texas are supporting AEP's growth and regulatory framework, including Ohio House Bill 15, Oklahoma Senate Bill 998, and Texas House Bill 5247.
Negative Updates
Impact of Prior Year Sale
Operating earnings for the third quarter decreased to $1.80 per share from $1.85 per share in the same period last year, primarily reflecting the impact of the prior year sale of the on-site partners distributed resources business.
Regulatory Challenges in West Virginia
AEP is facing challenges in West Virginia, requiring a filing for reconsideration centered around adjustments to the authorized ROE, capital structure, and rate base following a recent base case order.
Company Guidance
During the American Electric Power (AEP) Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company announced several key financial metrics and guidance for future growth. AEP reported third-quarter operating earnings of $1.80 per share or $963 million. The company reaffirmed its 2025 full-year operating earnings range of $5.75 to $5.95 per share, guiding to the upper half of this range. For 2026, AEP unveiled an operating earnings guidance range of $6.15 to $6.45 per share, representing approximately an 8% increase from the 2025 guidance range midpoint. Additionally, AEP introduced a new long-term operating earnings growth rate of 7% to 9% for 2026 to 2030, with an expected 9% compounded annual growth rate over the five-year period. This growth is supported by a $72 billion capital plan, a significant increase from previous plans, driven by strong load growth, particularly in regions with high demand from data centers and industrial development. AEP’s strategy includes leveraging its unmatched transmission infrastructure, with a focus on operational excellence and partnerships to manage costs, while targeting an improved regulatory environment to enhance return on equity (ROE) and maintain customer affordability.

American Electric Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
American Electric Power demonstrates strong profitability with high EBIT and net profit margins. However, challenges exist in maintaining gross profit margins and managing debt levels. Cash flow generation is generally positive, but historical volatility suggests potential risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
American Electric Power shows a stable revenue growth rate of 2.5% TTM, with strong EBIT and EBITDA margins at 70.6% and 112.7% respectively. The net profit margin is exceptionally high at 46.8% TTM, indicating robust profitability. However, the gross profit margin has decreased compared to previous years, suggesting potential cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 1.56 TTM, indicating a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity is strong at 36.2%, reflecting efficient use of equity. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is healthy, with a coverage ratio of 0.57 TTM. Free cash flow growth is positive at 1.05% TTM, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33, indicating a reasonable conversion of profits into cash. However, the company has experienced fluctuations in free cash flow in previous years, which could indicate volatility in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.44B19.92B19.38B19.31B16.62B14.91B
Gross Profit7.95B6.36B5.62B4.87B4.67B4.28B
EBITDA8.96B8.09B7.21B7.10B6.75B6.21B
Net Income3.66B2.97B2.21B2.31B2.49B2.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets110.25B103.08B96.68B93.40B87.67B80.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.33B418.30M544.40M697.00M623.80M593.50M
Total Debt47.89B45.76B43.61B41.58B36.66B34.43B
Total Liabilities78.71B76.09B71.40B69.35B64.99B59.98B
Stockholders Equity30.39B26.94B25.25B23.89B22.43B20.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.17B6.66B-2.49B-1.48B-1.92B-2.48B
Operating Cash Flow6.86B6.80B5.01B5.29B3.84B3.83B
Investing Cash Flow-10.58B-7.60B-6.27B-7.75B-6.43B-6.23B
Financing Cash Flow4.53B659.20M1.08B2.57B2.61B2.41B

American Electric Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price119.53
Price Trends
50DMA
113.55
Positive
100DMA
110.67
Positive
200DMA
106.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.75
Positive
RSI
59.60
Neutral
STOCH
63.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AEP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 119.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 118.29, above the 50-day MA of 113.55, and above the 200-day MA of 106.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AEP.

American Electric Power Risk Analysis

American Electric Power disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Electric Power reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Electric Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$96.29B20.259.60%3.39%4.07%9.94%
74
Outperform
$74.18B19.118.31%4.03%-6.02%7.24%
72
Outperform
$64.39B17.6012.85%3.20%7.66%37.42%
72
Outperform
$46.86B16.6010.31%3.36%6.07%15.20%
69
Neutral
$100.65B22.7213.06%2.99%9.40%-6.05%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
$50.65B20.199.27%4.53%12.72%4.90%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AEP
American Electric Power
119.53
25.64
27.31%
D
Dominion Energy
60.50
5.34
9.68%
DUK
Duke Energy
124.00
14.81
13.56%
EXC
Exelon
45.71
8.62
23.24%
NGG
National Grid Transco
76.29
15.14
24.76%
SO
Southern Co
90.90
5.13
5.98%

American Electric Power Corporate Events

American Electric Power’s Ambitious Growth and Earnings Outlook
Oct 30, 2025

American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) is a major utility company in the United States, specializing in electric power generation, transmission, and distribution, with a focus on enhancing infrastructure to meet growing energy demands. The company operates the nation’s largest electric transmission system and serves millions of customers across 11 states.

AEP’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth and Strategic Investments
Oct 30, 2025

The recent earnings call for American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) exuded a positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s robust financial health and strategic growth plans. Despite some challenges, particularly in West Virginia, the overall tone was optimistic, driven by significant load growth and favorable regulatory and legislative developments. AEP’s long-term vision is underscored by a substantial capital investment plan and strong financial performance, setting a promising trajectory for the future.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
American Electric Power Issues $2 Billion in Debentures
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 23, 2025, American Electric Power Company, Inc. announced the issuance of $1.1 billion in Series C Debentures and $900 million in Series D Debentures, both due in 2056. This strategic financial move is expected to bolster the company’s capital structure and potentially enhance its market position by securing long-term funding.

The most recent analyst rating on (AEP) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American Electric Power stock, see the AEP Stock Forecast page.

American Electric Power Reports Record Earnings and Growth Plans
Jul 31, 2025

American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) is a major electric utility company operating in the United States, known for its extensive electric transmission system and diverse generating capacity. It provides reliable and affordable power to millions of customers across 11 states.

AEP Reports Record Earnings and Growth Prospects
Jul 31, 2025

American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) has reported a strong financial performance in its latest earnings call, showcasing a mix of optimism and caution. The company highlighted its record-breaking operating earnings, significant load growth, and successful regulatory and legislative outcomes, all of which position it for substantial future growth. However, challenges remain, particularly in regulatory recovery and potential tax credit uncertainties.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025