Strong Quarterly Earnings and Guidance Reaffirmed
Q1 2026 operating earnings of $1.64 per share ($891M), up from $1.54 in Q1 2025 (+~6.5% YoY). Company reaffirmed full-year 2026 operating earnings guidance of $6.15–$6.45 per share.
Rapid Contracted Load Growth
Added 7 GW of contracted load in the quarter, bringing total executed contracted load to 63 GW (up from 56 GW last quarter, +12.5%). Nearly 90% of contracted load are data centers; 53 GW are in Texas and Ohio.
Expanded Capital Plan and Rate Base Growth
5-year capital plan increased to $78B from $72B (+$6B). Plan now drives an expected 11% 5-year rate base CAGR and is expected to increase long-term operating earnings CAGR to greater than 9% (previous guidance 7%–9% for 2026–2030).
Large Transmission Wins and Pipeline
Transmission investment forecast increased to $33B (42% of $78B plan). Awarded SPP projects (~315 miles + additional lines) totaling ~$1.6B and PJM projects (~330 miles) totaling ~$1.9B; also selected for ~200-mile 765 kV MISO project (in-service 2034).
Generation Capacity and Supply Chain Positioning
Secured access to more than 10 GW of gas-fired turbine capacity and long-lead transmission equipment (transformers, breakers, lattice steel). Generation capital outlook expanded by $3B to $24B through 2030 (I&M gas-fired projects included).
Regulatory Progress and ROE Improvements
Regulated earned ROE increased to 9.3% in the quarter and expected to reach ~9.5% by 2030. Specific rate outcomes: Ohio ROE approved at 9.84% (from 9.7%), Arkansas ROE up to 9.65% (from 9.5%), West Virginia ROE increased to 9.75% (from 9.25%).
Affordability and Customer Offsets
Forecasts up to $16B in cost offsets for existing customers from large-load ESAs over the life of the agreements; secured ~$315M in generation/distribution grants and closed $1.6B DOE loan guarantee projected to deliver >$275M in customer savings.
Disciplined Financing and Balance Sheet Metrics
Incremental equity in the 5-year financing plan increased modestly by $1.1B (total growth equity $7B for 2026–2030). Issued $665M of ATM equity in Q1 at an average price >$131/sh. S&P FFO-to-debt at 14.7% (within 14%–15% target); Moody's metric 13.9% (near target and above 13% downgrade threshold).
Pipeline Upside Beyond Base Plan
Line of sight to >$10B additional projects (incremental to $78B), including Piketon data center campus and Wyoming fuel cell project; company emphasizes conservative inclusion of projects in base plan and plans fuller update in Q3.
Operational Execution and Reliability Improvements
Management highlighted stronger execution, reduced average outage duration year-over-year, and ongoing investments to enhance system reliability.