Exceeded 2025 Earnings Guidance
2025 operating earnings of $5.97 per share, above the high end of guidance ($5.75–$5.95); Q4 2025 operating earnings of $1.19 per share.
Strong Shareholder Returns and Dividend Increase
Total shareholder return for 2025 was 29%; quarterly dividend increased to $0.95 per share in October 2025.
Reaffirmed 2026 Guidance and Growth Outlook
Reaffirmed 2026 operating earnings guidance of $6.15–$6.45 per share (midpoint $6.30) and reiterated premium long-term earnings growth target of 7%–9% for 2026–2030 with an expected 9% CAGR.
Historic Load and Sales Growth
Total system sales exceeded 200 million MWh for the first time; retail sales grew 7.5% year-over-year, with commercial & industrial sales up ~10% and residential sales up ~3%; corresponding revenue rose 8.3%.
Major Increase in Contracted Incremental Load
Incremental contracted load outlook doubled from 28 GW to 56 GW (backed by signed customer agreements), including 36 GW in ERCOT LOAs and roughly 90% of incremental PJM load supported by executed take-or-pay ESAs.
Large Capital Plan with Conservative Base Case and Visible Upside
$72 billion five-year base capital plan yielding ~10% rate base CAGR; identified incremental $5–$8 billion of confirmed/endorsed generation and transmission projects beyond the base plan; additional capital for the expanded incremental load (56 GW) will be additive to the $72B plan.
Transmission Scale and Contract Wins
AEP owns/operates nearly 90% of U.S. 765 kV infrastructure; recently recommended/awarded new 765 kV projects in PJM, SPP, and MISO; management estimates ~ $4.7B of transmission projects awarded/endorsed (SPP ~$2.7B, PJM ~$1.5B, MISO ~$0.5B).
Contracted Generation and Long-Term Offtake
Announced $2.65B purchase of Bloom fuel cells for a Wyoming generation facility with a 20-year offtake from an investment-grade counterparty; management characterizes the long-term contracted cash flows similar to a regulated return.
Improving Regulatory Outcomes and ROE Progress
Earned ROE on regulated business of 9.1% (up 30 bps from two years ago); achieved regulatory/legislative wins in 2025 including measures reducing regulatory lag in Ohio, Oklahoma, and Texas and successful base rate outcomes in multiple jurisdictions.
Balance Sheet and Financial Metrics
Management targets FFO-to-debt 14%–15%; S&P FFO-to-debt at 15.2% (year-end) exceeding target; Moody’s FFO-to-debt just under 14%.
Generation & Marketing Outperformance
Generation & Marketing segment delivered meaningful performance in 2025 driven by favorable energy margins and contract optimization; company expects similar G&M performance in 2026 guidance.