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Pinnacle West Capital Corp (PNW)
NYSE:PNW
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Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) AI Stock Analysis

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PNW

Pinnacle West Capital

(NYSE:PNW)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$96.00
â–²(9.13% Upside)
Pinnacle West Capital's overall stock score reflects solid financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, driven by strong revenue growth and strategic investments. However, technical indicators suggest cautious market sentiment, and financial challenges such as cash flow constraints and regulatory uncertainties weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth, driven by strong sales and increased transmission revenues, indicates robust market demand and effective business strategy.
Strategic Investments
Significant investments in infrastructure, such as new generation sites, enhance capacity and support long-term growth in energy supply.
Economic and Customer Growth
Strong economic growth in Arizona, bolstered by major corporate investments, provides a favorable environment for customer base expansion.
Negative Factors
Higher Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses, including interest and pension costs, could pressure margins and limit profitability improvements.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory uncertainties, such as pending rate cases, can impact financial projections and introduce risks to revenue stability.
Cash Flow Constraints
Cash flow constraints, indicated by negative free cash flow, may hinder the company's ability to finance growth and manage debt effectively.

Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pinnacle West Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) is a Phoenix-based utility holding company primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity through its principal subsidiary, Arizona Public Service Company (APS). The company operates in the utility sector, providing reliable energy services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across Arizona. Pinnacle West is also involved in renewable energy initiatives, emphasizing sustainable practices and innovative solutions to meet the growing demand for clean energy.
How the Company Makes MoneyPinnacle West Capital generates revenue primarily through its regulated utility operations, specifically from the sale of electricity to its customers. The company's revenue model is based on a cost-plus pricing structure, where it earns a regulated return on the investments made in infrastructure and capital improvements. Key revenue streams include residential, commercial, and industrial electricity sales, as well as fees from ancillary services. Furthermore, the company benefits from partnerships with renewable energy developers and government incentives for clean energy initiatives, contributing to its earnings through renewable energy credits and lower operational costs associated with sustainable practices.

Pinnacle West Capital Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Pinnacle West Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and solid growth projections, with significant investments in infrastructure and robust economic expansion in Arizona. However, challenges such as higher operating expenses and regulatory uncertainties were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sales and Revenue Growth
Reported earnings of $3.39 per share for Q3 2025, a $0.02 increase year-over-year. Weather-normalized sales growth was 5.4%, with residential growth at 4.3% and C&I growth at 6.6%.
Revised Earnings Guidance
2025 EPS guidance was raised from $4.40-$4.60 to $4.90-$5.10 per share, reflecting strong sales growth and increased transmission revenues.
Major Investments and Development Plans
Announced development of a new generation site near Gila Bend, potentially adding 2,000 MW of natural gas generation. Major projects include Desert Southwest expansion and Desert Sun Power Plant.
Robust Economic and Customer Growth
Arizona's economic growth is strong, with significant investments from semiconductor companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Amkor Technology. Maricopa County named top county for economic development.
Negative Updates
Higher Operating Expenses
Increased interest expenses and reduced pension benefits partially offset revenue gains. 2026 earnings expected to decrease due to normal weather and higher financing and D&A costs.
Regulatory Challenges
Pending rate case with a hearing in Q2 2026 introduces uncertainty. Regulatory lag continues to be a factor, affecting financial projections.
Company Guidance
During the Pinnacle West Capital Corporation Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Ted Geisler and CFO Andrew Cooper discussed the company's revised 2025 earnings guidance and long-term strategic investments. The company reported third-quarter earnings of $3.39 per share, with a year-over-year increase of $0.02. Key drivers included a 5.4% weather-normalized sales growth, 4.3% residential sales growth, and increased transmission revenue. Consequently, 2025 EPS guidance was raised to $4.90-$5.10 from the previous $4.40-$4.60 range. For 2026, earnings per share are anticipated to be $4.55-$4.75, considering normal weather and higher financing costs. Pinnacle West is focusing on significant investments in transmission and generation, including a new generation site near Gila Bend, projected to add up to 2,000 megawatts of natural gas generation. The company is leveraging a subscription model to ensure growth pays for itself, aiming for a long-term EPS growth of 5%-7% and a rate base growth of 7%-9% through 2028.

Pinnacle West Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pinnacle West Capital demonstrates solid revenue growth and stable profitability, though cost pressures are evident. The balance sheet shows increased leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Cash flow generation is a concern, with negative free cash flow, but there are signs of improvement. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with areas for improvement in cost management and cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Pinnacle West Capital shows a steady revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 9.56%. The gross profit margin has decreased from 41.7% in 2024 to 35.08% in TTM, indicating some pressure on cost management. The net profit margin has slightly decreased to 10.96% in TTM from 11.88% in 2024, suggesting stable profitability despite rising costs. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, although slightly lower than previous years, reflecting consistent operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 2.08 in TTM from 1.64 in 2024, indicating higher leverage and potential risk. Return on equity has slightly decreased to 8.59% in TTM from 9.01% in 2024, showing a slight decline in profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure despite increased debt levels.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains strong, but the free cash flow is negative, with a TTM free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.46, indicating challenges in converting earnings into free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.51, showing moderate cash generation efficiency. The free cash flow growth rate has improved to 15.07% in TTM, suggesting potential recovery in cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.31B5.12B4.70B4.32B3.80B3.59B
Gross Profit2.03B2.14B1.84B1.71B1.70B1.63B
EBITDA2.10B2.07B1.78B1.65B1.70B1.56B
Net Income594.30M608.81M501.56M483.60M618.72M550.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.89B26.10B24.66B22.72B22.00B20.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.52M3.84M4.96M4.83M9.97M59.97M
Total Debt14.25B11.05B10.30B8.88B8.18B6.92B
Total Liabilities22.68B19.25B18.38B16.56B15.98B14.27B
Stockholders Equity7.17B6.75B6.18B6.05B5.91B5.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-718.92M-639.37M-638.67M-466.05M-613.46M-360.22M
Operating Cash Flow1.77B1.61B1.21B1.24B860.01M966.37M
Investing Cash Flow-2.50B-1.93B-1.69B-1.62B-1.39B-1.28B
Financing Cash Flow710.07M322.69M486.68M371.47M476.92M361.14M

Pinnacle West Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price87.97
Price Trends
50DMA
88.62
Negative
100DMA
89.04
Negative
200DMA
88.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Positive
RSI
42.33
Neutral
STOCH
19.06
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PNW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 87.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 90.30, below the 50-day MA of 88.62, and below the 200-day MA of 88.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.06 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PNW.

Pinnacle West Capital Risk Analysis

Pinnacle West Capital disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pinnacle West Capital reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pinnacle West Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$36.72B21.3313.19%3.11%11.88%29.76%
67
Neutral
$17.31B21.1911.46%3.01%7.76%23.48%
67
Neutral
$10.53B18.068.62%4.09%5.70%-8.25%
67
Neutral
$8.93B17.7710.69%3.81%18.03%29.46%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$17.40B20.748.36%3.53%0.11%-0.52%
65
Neutral
$28.40B20.4911.64%3.19%19.42%-9.68%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
87.97
-0.32
-0.36%
LNT
Alliant Energy
67.34
9.32
16.06%
DTE
DTE Energy
136.75
20.93
18.07%
OGE
OGE Energy
44.32
2.21
5.25%
WEC
WEC Energy Group
112.87
17.47
18.31%
EVRG
Evergy
75.59
14.79
24.33%

Pinnacle West Capital Corporate Events

Pinnacle West Capital’s Promising Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Nov 5, 2025

Pinnacle West Capital’s recent earnings call painted a picture of strong financial performance and promising growth prospects, despite facing some challenges. The company reported robust economic expansion in Arizona and significant investments in infrastructure, although higher operating expenses and regulatory uncertainties were noted as potential hurdles.

Pinnacle West Capital Reports Strong Q3 Earnings
Nov 4, 2025

Pinnacle West Capital Corp., an energy holding company based in Phoenix, operates primarily through its subsidiary, Arizona Public Service, providing retail electricity services to approximately 1.4 million customers in Arizona. The company is known for its robust infrastructure and commitment to reliable energy delivery.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pinnacle West Capital Reports Q3 2025 Net Income
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

Pinnacle West Capital Corp. reported a net income of $413.2 million for the third quarter of 2025, driven by increased customer growth and usage, despite a 2.4% decrease in earnings over the first nine months compared to 2024. The company plans to invest over $2.5 billion annually through 2028 in infrastructure, including a new natural gas power plant, to meet Arizona’s growing energy demands. Additionally, Pinnacle West is expanding community support efforts with an additional $3 million in shareholder funds for utility bill assistance and other support programs.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNW) stock is a Hold with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle West Capital stock, see the PNW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Pinnacle West Capital Highlights Strategic Growth Focus
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

In October 2025, Pinnacle West Capital Corporation will engage with securities analysts and investors, highlighting its strategic focus on growth and energy future. The company is making significant strides in improving its regulatory environment and infrastructure, which supports its goal of expanding capacity and enhancing reliability. Arizona’s favorable economic conditions and Pinnacle West’s commitment to clean energy and customer service improvements are expected to drive continued growth and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNW) stock is a Hold with a $101.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle West Capital stock, see the PNW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Pinnacle West Capital Amends Forward Sale Agreements
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Pinnacle West Capital Corporation amended its forward sale agreements with Wells Fargo Bank, initially dated February 28 and 29, 2024. The amendment sets a new settlement date for the share forward transactions to December 31, 2026, impacting the company’s financial operations and potentially its market strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNW) stock is a Hold with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle West Capital stock, see the PNW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Pinnacle West Capital Discusses Growth and Energy Future
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

In September 2025, Pinnacle West Capital Corporation will engage with securities analysts and investors, discussing its growth outlook and energy future. The company is focusing on infrastructure improvements, regulatory alignment, and strategic transmission projects to support customer growth and enhance system reliability. Arizona’s favorable business environment and strong economic growth continue to position Pinnacle West advantageously in the market, with ongoing investments in clean energy and customer experience improvements.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNW) stock is a Hold with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle West Capital stock, see the PNW Stock Forecast page.

Pinnacle West Reports Decrease in Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 7, 2025

Pinnacle West Capital Corp., an energy holding company based in Phoenix, operates primarily through its subsidiary, Arizona Public Service, providing retail electricity service to approximately 1.4 million homes and businesses in Arizona. The company is known for its diverse energy generation portfolio, including nuclear, coal, gas, and renewables.

Pinnacle West Capital’s Balanced Earnings Call Highlights
Aug 7, 2025

Pinnacle West Capital’s recent earnings call reflected a balanced sentiment, highlighting strong customer and economic growth in Arizona, supported by strategic infrastructure investments. However, the financial performance in the second quarter was negatively impacted by decreased earnings and regulatory challenges.

Business Operations and Strategy
Pinnacle West Capital Highlights Strategic Growth Initiatives
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

In August 2025, Pinnacle West Capital Corporation will engage with securities analysts and investors, highlighting its strategic initiatives and growth outlook. The company is focusing on expanding its capacity to meet customer needs, improving regulatory environments, and enhancing infrastructure to support Arizona’s economic development. These efforts aim to sustain customer growth and align with the company’s clean energy goals, positioning Pinnacle West as a key player in the region’s energy market.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNW) stock is a Hold with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle West Capital stock, see the PNW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pinnacle West Capital Reports Q2 2025 Income Decline
Negative
Aug 6, 2025

Pinnacle West Capital Corp. reported a decrease in net income for the second quarter of 2025 compared to the previous year, primarily due to milder weather, increased operational costs, and higher taxes. Despite the financial dip, the company experienced robust customer and sales growth, setting a new peak demand record. The company continues to prioritize reliability and affordability, updating its clean energy goals to a carbon-neutral approach by 2050. Pinnacle West also offers various customer assistance programs to manage energy costs and provides critical heat relief services in partnership with local organizations.

The most recent analyst rating on (PNW) stock is a Hold with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pinnacle West Capital stock, see the PNW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025