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Oge Energy Corp. (OGE)
NYSE:OGE
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OGE Energy (OGE) AI Stock Analysis

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OGE

OGE Energy

(NYSE:OGE)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$48.00
â–²(8.72% Upside)
OGE Energy's overall score reflects strong earnings growth and a positive outlook from the earnings call, balanced by liquidity concerns due to declining free cash flow and a bearish technical trend. The attractive dividend yield and reasonable valuation provide additional support.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
OGE is expected to be at the high end of 5-7% EPS CAGR near-term and even higher over the long-term with RFP and other spend.
Growth Opportunities
OGE Energy Corp is expected to benefit from new data center capacity and discussions with multiple data centers, showing no decline in interest.
Regulatory Environment
The recent legislation fundamentally changes OGE's ability to accelerate its CapEx program with less frequent rate filings and improved cash recovery for large gas investments.
Negative Factors
Credit Risk
There is a potential risk of a credit rating downgrade if Moody's does not relax its downgrade threshold.
Financial Uncertainty
OGE needs to address Moody’s watch to negative as RFP and related financing are known.

OGE Energy (OGE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OGE Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOGE Energy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and energy services provider that offers physical delivery and related services for electricity, natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electric energy. It provides retail electric service to approximately 879,000 customers, which covers a service area of approximately 30,000 square miles in Oklahoma and western Arkansas; and owns and operates coal-fired, natural gas-fired, wind-powered, and solar-powered generating assets. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated interconnected electric generation, transmission, and distribution systems, including 16 generating stations with an aggregate capability of 7,207 megawatts; and transmission systems comprising 54 substations and 5,122 structure miles of lines in Oklahoma, and 7 substations and 277 structure miles of lines in Arkansas. Its distribution systems included 350 substations; 29,494 structure miles of overhead lines; 3,365 miles of underground conduit; and 11,125 miles of underground conductors in Oklahoma, as well as 29 substations, 2,795 structure miles of overhead lines, 349 miles of underground conduit, and 662 miles of underground conductors in Arkansas. The company was founded in 1902 and is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyOGE Energy generates revenue primarily through its regulated utility operations, which include the sale of electricity and natural gas to customers. This revenue is largely derived from customer rates set by regulatory authorities, ensuring a stable income stream. The company also earns revenue from its non-regulated operations, which encompass energy generation and other services, including renewable energy projects. Key revenue streams include power generation from traditional sources and renewable energy, as well as transmission and distribution services. Significant partnerships with other energy companies and investments in infrastructure projects further enhance OGE's earnings potential, allowing it to expand its service offerings and reach.

OGE Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates a generally positive outlook for OGE Energy, with strong earnings growth, new capacity additions, and positive economic development initiatives. However, challenges in industrial sales and higher expenses present areas of concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Steady Earnings Growth
OGE Energy reported consolidated earnings of $0.53 per diluted share for Q2 2025, up from $0.51 in the same period of 2024, and net income of $108 million, up from $102 million in 2024.
Customer Growth and Demand
Weather-normalized load grew 6.5% year-to-date compared to the same period in 2024, with significant growth in residential and commercial segments.
New Generation Capacity
OGE plans to add approximately 550 megawatts of capacity with new natural gas combustion turbines, with additional plans for 450 megawatts by 2029.
Economic Development Initiatives
The 2025 Oklahoma Innovation Expansion Program supports high-impact, new capital investment, leading to new product development and job creation.
Strong Balance Sheet
OGE's balance sheet remains one of the strongest in the industry, with no refinancing risk until 2027.
Negative Updates
Weaker Industrial Sales
Industrial and oilfield loads showed some softness, partly due to unplanned customer outages.
Higher Expenses
The year-over-year net income decrease was impacted by milder weather and higher interest and depreciation expense on a growing asset base, although partially offset by increased recovery of capital investments.
Company Guidance
During the 2025 Second Quarter Earnings and Business Update Call, OGE Energy Corp. provided an optimistic outlook, expecting to deliver in the top half of their earnings guidance range. The company reported consolidated earnings of $0.53 per diluted share, with a consolidated net income of $108 million, up from $102 million the previous year. The electric company segment reported net income of $108 million, slightly down from $109 million the prior year, due to milder weather and increased expenses. The holding company reported a minimal loss, attributed to a one-time pretax benefit of $8.7 million. Year-over-year, customer growth was near 1%, and weather-normalized load grew 6.5% year-to-date. OGE Energy also highlighted ongoing projects, including adding approximately 550 megawatts of capacity and filing for approval of additional turbines to contribute another 450 megawatts by 2029. The company plans to maintain its competitive low-rate advantage and expects to achieve a consolidated earnings growth rate of 5% to 7% based on the midpoint of 2025 guidance.

OGE Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OGE Energy demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by a stable balance sheet. However, the significant decline in free cash flow poses a risk to liquidity, which needs to be addressed to maintain financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
OGE Energy shows a solid financial performance with a consistent revenue growth rate of 2.52% in the TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin of 54.12% and net profit margin of 15.26% reflect strong profitability. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased compared to previous years, which could indicate rising operational costs.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.27, which is manageable but slightly higher than the previous year, indicating increased leverage. The return on equity (ROE) of 10.60% is healthy, reflecting efficient use of equity. The equity ratio of 32.96% suggests a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
OGE Energy's cash flow statement reveals challenges with free cash flow, which has decreased significantly by 111.15% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.66 indicates moderate cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 4.93%, highlighting potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.22B2.99B2.67B3.38B3.65B2.12B
Gross Profit1.48B1.39B1.26B1.21B1.06B1.01B
EBITDA1.40B1.31B1.20B1.42B1.46B250.60M
Net Income490.80M441.50M416.80M665.70M737.30M-173.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.09B13.72B12.79B12.54B12.61B10.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments500.00K600.00K200.00K88.10M0.001.10M
Total Debt5.90B5.52B4.84B4.55B4.98B3.59B
Total Liabilities9.44B9.08B8.28B8.13B8.55B7.09B
Stockholders Equity4.64B4.64B4.51B4.41B4.06B3.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.00M-278.10M54.10M-207.80M-1.09B62.30M
Operating Cash Flow831.20M812.80M1.23B843.10M-313.30M712.80M
Investing Cash Flow-1.13B-1.16B-1.27B12.90M-749.10M-654.90M
Financing Cash Flow299.80M348.80M-48.10M-767.90M1.06B-56.80M

OGE Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price44.15
Price Trends
50DMA
44.75
Negative
100DMA
44.37
Negative
200DMA
43.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
40.43
Neutral
STOCH
22.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OGE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 44.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.98, below the 50-day MA of 44.75, and above the 200-day MA of 43.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OGE.

OGE Energy Risk Analysis

OGE Energy disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OGE Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

OGE Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.67B15.668.02%4.73%9.78%-6.19%
72
Outperform
$16.47B19.708.55%3.73%3.28%13.56%
71
Outperform
$16.61B19.9711.94%3.10%4.62%32.23%
71
Outperform
$6.77B22.039.31%2.74%-0.48%6.40%
66
Neutral
$17.24B18.035.54%3.64%6.63%11.55%
66
Neutral
$8.92B18.1910.76%3.82%16.01%19.05%
65
Neutral
$10.63B18.348.90%4.02%7.47%-8.53%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OGE
OGE Energy
44.15
5.76
15.00%
LNT
Alliant Energy
64.62
7.28
12.70%
IDA
IdaCorp
125.36
24.80
24.66%
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
89.00
3.05
3.55%
POR
Portland GE
42.81
-3.19
-6.93%
EVRG
Evergy
71.60
13.53
23.30%

OGE Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividends
OGE Energy Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting, Elects Board
Neutral
May 15, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 15, 2025, OGE Energy Corp. elected 10 board members, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as their principal independent accountants for 2025, and approved executive compensation. However, an amendment to eliminate supermajority voting provisions was not passed. Additionally, the Board of Directors declared a third quarter dividend of $0.42125 per common share, payable on July 25, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (OGE) stock is a Hold with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OGE Energy stock, see the OGE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025