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Oge Energy Corp. (OGE)
NYSE:OGE

OGE Energy (OGE) AI Stock Analysis

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OGE

OGE Energy

(NYSE:OGE)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$48.00
â–²(11.50% Upside)
OGE Energy's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and solid financial performance, despite technical indicators showing bearish momentum. The company's valuation is attractive, but challenges in cash flow generation and technical weakness weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a stable demand for OGE's services, supporting long-term financial health and market position.
Regulatory Developments
Regulatory support for new generation capacity enhances OGE's growth prospects and strengthens its competitive position in the energy market.
Operational Efficiency
Improved gross margins reflect effective cost management, which can lead to sustainable profitability and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth can limit OGE's ability to invest in new projects and reduce financial flexibility, impacting long-term growth.
Holding Company Losses
Losses at the holding company level can strain overall profitability and may require strategic adjustments to improve financial performance.
Higher Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can erode profit margins, necessitating cost control measures to maintain financial health and competitiveness.

OGE Energy (OGE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OGE Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOGE Energy Corp. is a diversified energy company based in Oklahoma, primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electric energy. It operates through its subsidiary, Oklahoma Gas and Electric Company (OG&E), which provides electric services to more than 900,000 customers across Oklahoma and Arkansas. The company also has interests in natural gas exploration and production, as well as renewable energy projects, thus contributing to its commitment to sustainable energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyOGE Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates under regulated utility rates, which allows it to earn a return on its investments in infrastructure and energy generation. Key revenue streams include retail sales of electricity, transmission and distribution services, and natural gas sales. OGE also invests in renewable energy projects, which can provide additional revenue through federal incentives and renewable energy credits. Partnerships with government entities and participation in regional energy markets further enhance its earnings potential, while cost management and operational efficiency efforts help to maintain profitability.

OGE Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and regulatory achievements, as well as positive economic developments and customer benefits. However, there were some challenges such as holding company losses and higher operational expenses. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweighed the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Performance
Reported consolidated earnings of $1.14 per share, with electric company earnings at $1.20 per share, indicating strong operational performance.
Positive Regulatory Developments
Preapproval request in Oklahoma for building 450 megawatts of natural gas generation expected soon, facilitating further growth.
Customer Bill Reduction
Oklahoma customers will see a decrease in their monthly bill by approximately $6.75 starting November 1, due to a reduction in the fuel cost adjustment.
Economic Development and Job Creation
Celebrated a major expansion project for a plastics manufacturer, adding 4.5 megawatts of load and creating hundreds of jobs in Shawnee, Oklahoma.
Strong Load Growth
Weather-normalized load growth was historically strong at 6.5% through the third quarter, with an expected total retail normalized load growth of approximately 7.5% in 2025.
Solid Financial Position
The company maintains one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry and expects to deliver results in the top half of the 2025 earnings guidance range.
Negative Updates
Holding Company Losses
The holding company reported a loss of $12 million or $0.06 per diluted share, primarily due to higher interest expense.
Weather Impact
Milder weather compared to last year slightly offset the increase in net income from the electric company.
Higher Operating Expenses
Higher O&M and income taxes partially offset the increase in electric company net income.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, OGE Energy Corp. reported consolidated earnings of $1.14 per share, with electric company earnings of $1.20 per share and a holding company loss of $0.06 per share. The company is on track to achieve results in the top half of its 2025 earnings guidance range, driven by operational excellence and favorable regulatory outcomes. OGE plans to add 450 megawatts of natural gas generation by 2029 and has 550 megawatts of combustion turbines under construction, expected to be operational next year. Additionally, Oklahoma customers will see a reduction in their monthly bills by approximately $6.75 starting November 1, due to a decrease in the fuel cost adjustment. The company has experienced strong load growth, with a weather-normalized load growth of 6.5% through the third quarter and anticipates a total retail normalized load growth of approximately 7.5% for the year. OGE's financial position remains strong, with a focus on maintaining low rates and supporting community growth. The company is also negotiating with data center prospects and anticipates more RFPs to address future generation needs.

OGE Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OGE Energy shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency with strong gross and EBIT margins. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a stable equity position. However, challenges in free cash flow generation persist, which could impact future financial flexibility.
Income Statement
75
Positive
OGE Energy shows a consistent revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 2.48%. The gross profit margin has improved significantly to 57.57% in TTM, indicating strong cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively stable at 15.28%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 1.22, indicating a moderate level of leverage, which is typical for the industry. Return on equity has improved to 10.77% in TTM, showing effective use of equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating challenges in generating free cash flow. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.71, showing that the company is generating sufficient cash from operations relative to its net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.66, suggesting some reliance on external financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.29B2.99B2.67B3.38B3.65B2.12B
Gross Profit1.65B1.39B1.26B1.21B1.06B1.01B
EBITDA1.37B1.31B1.20B1.42B1.46B250.60M
Net Income503.40M441.50M416.80M665.70M737.30M-173.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.26B13.72B12.79B12.54B12.61B10.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments300.00K600.00K200.00K88.10M0.001.10M
Total Debt5.83B5.52B4.84B4.55B4.98B3.59B
Total Liabilities9.46B9.08B8.28B8.13B8.55B7.09B
Stockholders Equity4.80B4.64B4.51B4.41B4.06B3.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow585.30M-278.10M54.10M-98.50M-1.01B62.30M
Operating Cash Flow881.90M812.80M1.23B952.40M-229.90M712.80M
Investing Cash Flow-1.12B-1.16B-1.27B-96.40M-832.50M-654.90M
Financing Cash Flow225.20M348.80M-48.10M-767.90M1.06B-56.80M

OGE Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price43.05
Price Trends
50DMA
44.95
Negative
100DMA
44.72
Negative
200DMA
44.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.55
Positive
RSI
38.12
Neutral
STOCH
9.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OGE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 43.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.09, below the 50-day MA of 44.95, and below the 200-day MA of 44.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OGE.

OGE Energy Risk Analysis

OGE Energy disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OGE Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

OGE Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$16.69B20.4311.46%3.11%7.76%23.48%
70
Outperform
$5.38B17.357.99%4.26%7.53%-17.59%
67
Neutral
$8.76B17.0910.69%3.82%18.03%29.46%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$10.38B17.818.62%4.15%5.70%-8.25%
64
Neutral
$6.80B21.619.41%2.75%-1.58%8.49%
62
Neutral
$16.89B20.148.36%3.66%0.11%-0.52%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OGE
OGE Energy
43.05
2.76
6.85%
LNT
Alliant Energy
65.33
7.35
12.68%
IDA
IdaCorp
125.86
15.67
14.22%
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
87.81
5.17
6.26%
POR
Portland GE
48.13
5.95
14.11%
EVRG
Evergy
73.80
14.72
24.92%

OGE Energy Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
OGE Energy Announces Public Offering to Fund Capital Plan
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025

On November 20, 2025, OGE Energy Corp. announced the pricing of its public offering of 8,023,256 shares of common stock, with an additional 1,203,488 shares purchased by underwriters the following day. The proceeds from this offering are intended to finance the company’s updated $7.285 billion five-year capital plan through 2030. The company also entered into forward sale agreements to manage the issuance of shares, which could impact earnings per share depending on market conditions and settlement choices. This strategic financial maneuver aims to support OGE Energy’s growth and operational goals, although it may lead to dilution of earnings per share if certain settlement options are chosen.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025