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Edenor SA Class B (EDN)
NYSE:EDN

Edenor SA (EDN) AI Stock Analysis

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EDN

Edenor SA

(NYSE:EDN)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(2.15% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/21/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash generation (declining operating cash flow and deeply negative, worsening free cash flow) and higher balance-sheet risk from a sharp 2025 debt increase. These are partly offset by strong 2025 revenue growth and an inexpensive earnings multiple (low P/E). Technical indicators are broadly neutral and do not materially shift the view.
Positive Factors
Tariff normalization & automatic adjustments
Structural tariff reform and monthly automatic adjustments materially improve revenue and cash-flow visibility versus prior tariff lag. Over the medium term this reduces regulatory revenue shortfalls, supports recoverable distribution margins, and enables steadier funding for capex and maintenance.
Strong 2025 revenue and EBITDA recovery
A sharp top-line rebound and higher EBITDA reflect restored tariffs, demand growth, and better collectability. Durable revenue momentum, if sustained by regulatory indexing and ongoing demand, provides base for operational leverage and supports reinvestment in the network over coming quarters.
Equity build-up and sustained capex program
A stronger equity base plus near-term heavy capex boosts network capacity and service quality, lowering operational risk. Continued investment improves regulator and creditor confidence, supports reliability metrics, and positions the company to capture growth in customer base and reduce future outage costs.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Persistent negative free cash flow and a marked decline in operating cash flow increase dependence on external funding. Over the medium term this raises refinancing needs, constrains discretionary capex or dividend flexibility, and heightens liquidity risk if funding markets tighten.
Sharp rise in debt
A large one‑year jump in debt raises fixed charges and leverage, reducing financial flexibility. Higher interest and principal obligations heighten refinancing and currency exposure in Argentina, increasing the likelihood of strained covenants or higher funding costs during adverse cycles.
Operating margin & efficiency pressures
EBIT weakness despite positive EBITDA suggests rising non-operating charges, depreciation or cost base pressures. Elevated technical losses erode distribution margins and require sustained capex or efficiency programs, which strains cash further and can slow margin recovery absent structural fixes.

Edenor SA (EDN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Edenor SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmpresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima engages in the distribution and sale of electricity in Argentina. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima is a subsidiary of Empresa de Energía del Cono Sur S.A.
How the Company Makes MoneyEdenor primarily makes money by providing regulated electricity distribution services and charging customers tariffs for delivering electricity over its network. Its main revenue stream is distribution billing to end-users, which is generally composed of (a) regulated distribution/VAD (value-added distribution) charges intended to compensate the utility for operating and maintaining the network and earning an allowed return, and (b) pass-through components related to the cost of purchased energy and certain taxes/charges that are included in customer bills but are not necessarily retained as margin. Additional revenue can come from connection fees or charges for new service hookups, metering services, and other regulated or ancillary services associated with operating the distribution grid. Edenor’s earnings are significantly influenced by Argentina’s regulatory framework for electricity distribution, including tariff-setting, periodic tariff adjustments, inflation and currency dynamics, collection levels, and government policies affecting energy prices and subsidies; when tariffs lag costs, operating margins can compress, while approved tariff updates can improve cash flow and profitability. Information on specific material partnerships is null.

Edenor SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Recent fundamentals are mixed. Revenue growth accelerated sharply in 2025 (~33%), and reported earnings remained solid in 2024–2025, but operating performance weakened with EBIT slightly negative in 2025. Balance-sheet risk rose as total debt jumped materially in 2025, and cash flow is the biggest concern: operating cash flow declined and free cash flow stayed deeply negative and worsened in 2025, increasing reliance on external funding.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue growth accelerated materially in 2025 (annual revenue up ~33% versus ~2% in 2024), showing strong top-line momentum. Profitability is mixed: net income stayed solid in 2024–2025, but operating performance weakened in 2025 with EBIT turning slightly negative despite positive EBITDA, suggesting heavier non-operating costs and/or depreciation burden. History is volatile (losses in 2020–2022 and inconsistent operating results), which tempers confidence in durability of earnings.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Equity has expanded meaningfully (stockholders’ equity rising from ~1.5T in 2024 to ~2.2T in 2025), supporting a larger asset base. However, leverage stepped up sharply in 2025 as total debt increased to ~1.17T (from ~0.48T in 2024), implying a higher fixed-charge burden going forward. Where provided, leverage looked moderate in 2024 (debt-to-equity ~0.32), but the 2025 debt jump is a clear risk factor.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation is the weak spot. Operating cash flow declined in 2025 (to ~116B from ~246B in 2024) while free cash flow remained deeply negative and deteriorated further in 2025 (about -313B versus -114B in 2024), indicating elevated capital spending and/or working-capital pressure. The company has struggled to translate accounting earnings into free cash flow consistently, which increases financing dependence.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.49T2.04T701.10B1.40T688.50B
Gross Profit741.17B394.60B27.73B50.82B88.49B
EBITDA238.60B199.76B586.64B706.74B187.58B
Net Income278.72B272.13B48.37B-44.01B-129.47B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.80T3.98T3.29T3.26T463.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments796.08B397.47B199.81B205.69B36.75B
Total Debt1.17T476.36B213.23B101.38B20.66B
Total Liabilities3.57T2.47T2.05T2.21T319.72B
Stockholders Equity2.22T1.51T1.23T1.04T143.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-312.84B-114.05B-48.31B3.70B6.62B
Operating Cash Flow116.44B245.92B71.47B35.43B21.35B
Investing Cash Flow-537.73B-567.25B-79.06B-37.36B-25.54B
Financing Cash Flow614.18B265.18B7.34B-4.76B-1.44B

Edenor SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.39
Price Trends
50DMA
28.08
Negative
100DMA
29.88
Negative
200DMA
26.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
51.70
Neutral
STOCH
69.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EDN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.79, above the 50-day MA of 28.08, and above the 200-day MA of 26.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EDN.

Edenor SA Risk Analysis

Edenor SA disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Edenor SA reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Edenor SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$6.44B17.337.76%4.38%7.53%-17.59%
69
Neutral
$2.45B41.2714.42%2.00%-4.16%-40.47%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
61
Neutral
$5.60B10.387.43%5.63%-25.78%-91.93%
56
Neutral
$1.34B6.8311.82%2.98%
54
Neutral
$358.47M14.482.47%2.16%13.12%29.97%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EDN
Edenor SA
27.76
-5.91
-17.55%
GNE
Genie Energy Commo
13.53
-1.50
-10.00%
POR
Portland GE
50.97
9.09
21.69%
ENIC
Enel Chile SA
3.91
0.71
22.34%
CEPU
Central Puerto SA
15.15
3.00
24.69%

Edenor SA Corporate Events

Edenor Files 2025 Consolidated Financial Results and Confirms Year-End Capital Structure
Mar 11, 2026

Edenor has filed its consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025, presenting results in constant Argentine pesos and in comparative form with prior years. The filing details its comprehensive income, financial position, cash flows, capital structure and key regulatory, risk and tax notes, providing investors and regulators with an updated view of the company’s financial health amid Argentina’s inflationary and highly regulated electricity market.

The disclosure confirms Edenor’s share structure as of December 31, 2025, including 906.5 million common shares across Classes A, B and C and the presence of treasury and employee stock program shares. By formalizing these audited figures with U.S. and Argentine authorities, the company reinforces transparency around its earnings, asset base and capital, information that is central for creditors, minority shareholders and policymakers as they assess its role in the country’s power distribution sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (EDN) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edenor SA stock, see the EDN Stock Forecast page.

Edenor Reports Strong 2025 Profit and Solid Equity Position as Board Approves Annual Results
Mar 11, 2026

On March 6, 2026, Edenor’s board approved the annual report, financial statements, sustainability and corporate governance reports for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. The filings confirm a profit attributable to shareholders of ARS 239,236 million and total comprehensive income of ARS 240,380 million, underscoring a strong earnings performance in a high‑inflation local currency context.

As of year-end 2025, total equity attributable to shareholders reached ARS 2,222,906 million, supported by sizable statutory and discretionary reserves that enhance the company’s capital position. Edenor also detailed its share capital structure, with 51% of Class A shares controlled by Empresa de Energía del Cono Sur and significant holdings of Class B shares by Argentina’s Sustainability Guarantee Fund, which may be relevant for governance dynamics and liquidity in its listed securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (EDN) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edenor SA stock, see the EDN Stock Forecast page.

Edenor Posts Strong 2025 Profit and Record Service Quality on Back of Tariff Restorations
Mar 11, 2026

On March 6, 2026, Edenor’s board approved financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025, showing a profit of ARS 239,236 million and EBITDA of ARS 571,975 million, supported by electricity rate adjustments and cost optimization. The company reported 2025 revenue and distribution margin increases of 11% and 9% year on year, investments of ARS 394,892 million to expand and upgrade its network, slightly higher energy losses, and modest growth in both electricity sales and customer base, while achieving the best service quality indicators in its history, underscoring a stronger operational and financial position for the utility and its stakeholders.

Edenor’s 2025 EBITDA surged to ARS 571,975 million on the back of restored tariffs and tighter cost control, reinforcing its balance sheet and funding capacity for network improvements. Investments reached ARS 394,892 million, backing record service quality metrics, a 1% rise in electricity sales to 22,951 GWh and a 1.4% increase in customers, though energy losses edged up to 15.7%, highlighting both progress and ongoing efficiency challenges in its distribution operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (EDN) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edenor SA stock, see the EDN Stock Forecast page.

Edenor Board Approves 2025 Financial Statements and Annual Report
Mar 11, 2026

On March 6, 2026, Edenor’s board of directors and supervisory committee held a duly constituted remote meeting in Buenos Aires, enabled under the company’s bylaws. The session was conducted via Microsoft Teams, ensuring simultaneous audio and video transmission and compliance with Argentine corporate governance standards.

At this meeting, the board unanimously approved the annual report, corporate governance report, and full financial statements for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. The directors also authorized chairman Daniel Marx to sign the approved documents and complete required filings with relevant authorities, confirming formal closure of the 2025 fiscal year reporting process for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (EDN) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edenor SA stock, see the EDN Stock Forecast page.

Edenor Posts Strong 4Q25 Turnaround as Tariff Normalization Boosts Earnings
Mar 6, 2026

In its fourth-quarter 2025 results released on March 6, 2026, Edenor reported that Argentina’s five-year tariff review for 2025–2030 and ongoing automatic monthly rate adjustments have markedly improved the utility’s financial performance and cash flow visibility. Revenues for 4Q25 rose 4% in constant pesos to ARS 706,123 million, distribution margin climbed 11%, and full‑year EBITDA reached ARS 571,975 million, reflecting tariff normalization, higher demand, and better collectability.

Operationally, 4Q25 energy sales volumes increased 3.94% year on year, with growth led by residential and small commercial customers and the client base expanding 1% to 3.39 million. Edenor invested ARS 394,892 million in 2025, cut operating expenses 6% in the quarter through efficiency measures and workforce renewal, reduced financial costs via lower debt and CAMMESA interest, and swung to a 4Q25 net profit of ARS 45,675 million from a loss a year earlier, signaling a strengthening balance sheet and improved visibility for regulators, creditors, and shareholders.

The company also moved to regularize its position in the wholesale market by entering long-term payment plans with CAMMESA and filing a regulatory asset claim now under review by the Secretary of Energy. Additional regulatory changes, such as authorization to move to monthly meter readings and continued application of automatic tariff updates, underpin Edenor’s strategy to normalize operations and support ongoing investments in its network, including smart meter rollouts and the formalization of previously informal connections.

The most recent analyst rating on (EDN) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edenor SA stock, see the EDN Stock Forecast page.

Edenor Calls Remote Ordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting for April 29, 2026
Mar 6, 2026

On March 6, 2026, Edenor’s board resolved to convene an Ordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting for April 29, 2026, with a first call at 10:00 a.m. and a second call at 11:00 a.m. The meeting is scheduled to be held remotely via Microsoft Teams, with the company’s registered office in Buenos Aires serving as the formal meeting location.

This move reflects the company’s continued use of virtual formats for corporate governance, aligning with evolving regulatory practices in Argentina. The announced meeting date and structure will be relevant for shareholders preparing to exercise their rights and engage with management on Edenor’s performance and oversight matters.

The most recent analyst rating on (EDN) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edenor SA stock, see the EDN Stock Forecast page.

Edenor to Fully Redeem US$80 Million Class 8 Notes Ahead of August 2026 Maturity
Feb 12, 2026

On February 11, 2026, Edenor announced it will carry out an early, full redemption of its Class 8 Notes, a US$80 million issuance dated August 7, 2025, bearing 8.50% interest and originally maturing on August 7, 2026. The decision reflects active liability management within the company’s US$750 million simple notes program and may be seen by investors as a signal of strengthened liquidity or a desire to reduce near-term U.S. dollar debt exposure.

The redemption, scheduled for March 2, 2026, will be executed at par plus accrued interest of US$428,493.15 for the period from February 7 to March 2, 2026, with Caja de Valores acting as paying agent and payments made in U.S. dollars to holders registered as of February 26. Once the redemption and payment are completed, interest on the Class 8 Notes will cease to accrue, eliminating this obligation from Edenor’s balance sheet and potentially improving its financial flexibility ahead of future funding needs or regulatory changes in Argentina’s power sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (EDN) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edenor SA stock, see the EDN Stock Forecast page.

Edenor Calls Remote Ordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting for March 5, 2026
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Edenor’s board of directors resolved to convene an Ordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting, to be held remotely via Microsoft Teams from the company’s Buenos Aires headquarters on March 5, 2026, with a first call at 10:00 a.m. and a second call at 11:00 a.m. This upcoming meeting is a routine but important governance event for the Argentine power distributor, giving shareholders a formal forum to review the company’s situation and decisions, and signaling continued adherence to local market regulations and remote-meeting practices that have become standard for listed companies in Argentina.

The most recent analyst rating on (EDN) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edenor SA stock, see the EDN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 21, 2026