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Korea Electric Power Corp (KEP)
NYSE:KEP

Korea Electric Power (KEP) AI Stock Analysis

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Korea Electric Power

(NYSE:KEP)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$14.00
â–²(3.93%Upside)
Korea Electric Power's stock score reflects a combination of strong technical indicators and attractive valuation, suggesting potential for price appreciation and income. Financial performance has improved markedly, but historical volatility and current operational challenges in electricity sales and transmission capacity need careful monitoring. The earnings call provided a balanced view, with both opportunities and risks outlined.

Korea Electric Power (KEP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Korea Electric Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKorea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO), listed as KEP, is South Korea's largest electric utility company. It operates primarily in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity, serving as a central player in the nation's energy sector. KEPCO is involved in various sectors including nuclear, hydroelectric, and renewable energy, and its core products and services revolve around providing stable and efficient energy solutions both domestically and internationally.
How the Company Makes MoneyKEPCO generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across South Korea. The company's revenue streams include regulated electricity tariffs set by the government, ensuring a consistent income from energy distribution. Additionally, KEPCO has diversified into international projects and investments in energy infrastructure, which contribute to its earnings. The company's involvement in renewable energy projects and partnerships with global energy firms also play a significant role in enhancing its revenue. Government policies and energy regulations are significant factors that influence KEPCO's financial performance, as they dictate pricing and operational frameworks for energy companies in South Korea.

Korea Electric Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 41.49%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative factors. While there were increases in revenue, operating profit, and a reduction in costs, challenges remain with declining electricity sales volumes, a decrease in other revenue, and issues related to coal and LNG generation. Transmission capacity limitations also pose challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Revenue
Revenue for Q1 2025 was KRW24.2 trillion, a 4% increase year-over-year. Electricity sales revenue was KRW23.2 trillion, up by 4.7%.
Reduction in Costs
Cost of sales and SG&A expenses totaled KRW20.47 trillion, down by 6.9%. Fuel cost decreased by 18.7% to KRW5 trillion.
Operating and Net Profit Increase
Consolidated operating profit for Q1 2025 was KRW3.75 trillion. Net profit was KRW2.36 trillion.
Decrease in Interest Expense
Interest expense amounted to KRW1.1 trillion, which is down by KRW34.6 billion from the same period last year.
Nuclear Generation Increase
The generation mix for nuclear increased due to the introduction of a new plant and higher utilization.
Negative Updates
Decline in Electricity Sales Volume
Electricity sales volume in Q1 reached 141 terawatt hours, showing a 0.5% decline due to decreased industrial sales from sluggish export.
Decrease in Other Revenue
Other revenue, including overseas business income, recorded KRW1.1 trillion, down by 10.2%.
Challenges with Coal and LNG Generation
Coal generation mix declined due to lower utilization, and LNG generation also declined slightly from decreased capacity and higher baseload generation.
Transmission Capacity Limitations
Due to limitations in transmission capacity, not all electricity generated, especially from coal, could be transmitted.
Company Guidance
In the KEPCO Fiscal Year 2025 Q1 earnings call, the company reported a consolidated operating profit of KRW 3.75 trillion, with revenue reaching KRW 24.2 trillion, a 4% increase year-over-year. Electricity sales revenue contributed KRW 23.2 trillion, marking a 4.7% rise, while other revenue fell by 10.2% to KRW 1.1 trillion. The cost of sales and SG&A expenses decreased by 6.9% to KRW 20.47 trillion, with fuel costs down 18.7% to KRW 5 trillion, and power purchase costs reducing by 4.8% to KRW 8.75 trillion. Depreciation expenses rose by 5.1% to KRW 2.95 trillion. Interest expenses decreased by KRW 34.6 billion year-over-year to KRW 1.1 trillion, resulting in a net profit of KRW 2.36 trillion for the period. Electricity sales volume dropped by 0.5% to 141 terawatt hours due to sluggish industrial sales, with projections indicating a slight decline for the full year. The average determinist coal price was $105.3 per ton, while LNG was approximately KRW 1.06 million per ton. KEPCO's generation mix saw an increase in nuclear utilization and a decrease in coal and LNG, with nuclear expected to remain in the mid-80% utilization range for the year. Consolidated borrowing stood at KRW 133.2 trillion, with plans for further debt management and adjustments to be discussed with stakeholders.

Korea Electric Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Korea Electric Power has shown improvements in profitability and cash generation in 2024, with a positive net profit margin and better operational efficiency. However, high leverage remains a significant risk factor, indicating a need for careful management of debt levels.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Korea Electric Power's revenue has shown a significant recovery trajectory with a 6.8% growth from 2023 to 2024, rebounding from previous declines. The company has managed to improve its gross profit from a negative position in 2023 to a positive level in 2024, indicating better operational efficiency. The net profit margin improved significantly, moving from a negative margin in 2023 to a 3.74% in 2024. However, historical volatility in profits suggests potential risks in sustaining current margins.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.41 in 2024, which is a concern for financial stability. Despite this, there has been a steady increase in stockholders' equity, indicating a strengthening equity base. The equity ratio stands at 16.17% in 2024, reflecting a moderate capital structure but with potential risks due to high debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow from operations has improved significantly, with positive free cash flow in 2024 compared to negative values in prior years, showing better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the company's free cash flow growth rate remains a concern, as historical fluctuations highlight potential volatility in cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue93.40T87.48T71.26T60.57T58.57T
Gross Profit11.23T-2.22T-29.65T-2.98T6.76T
EBITDA21.71T9.93T-19.87T6.23T16.26T
Net Income3.49T-4.82T-24.43T-5.23T1.99T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.24T7.31T7.52T4.50T4.83T
Total Debt24.36T10.00T>4.16T66.57T4.62T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity39.92T35.85T40.55T63.77T69.30T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.66T-12.40T-35.90T-8.31T-193.19B
Operating Cash Flow15.88T1.52T-23.48T4.47T13.21T
Investing Cash Flow-14.09T-13.07T-14.95T-12.35T-14.83T
Financing Cash Flow-3.85T12.66T39.00T8.44T1.88T

Korea Electric Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.47
Price Trends
50DMA
10.81
Positive
100DMA
9.27
Positive
200DMA
8.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.91
Negative
RSI
63.93
Neutral
STOCH
59.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KEP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.98, above the 50-day MA of 10.81, and above the 200-day MA of 8.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KEP.

Korea Electric Power Risk Analysis

Korea Electric Power disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Korea Electric Power reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Korea Electric Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LNLNT
76
Outperform
$15.81B21.2310.71%3.30%2.46%5.66%
LNLNT
76
Outperform
$15.81B21.2310.71%3.30%2.46%5.66%
KEKEP
72
Outperform
$17.32B4.5913.42%0.36%0.21%628.34%
69
Neutral
$17.61B10.718.58%0.93%0.18%99.46%
69
Neutral
$17.61B10.718.58%0.93%0.18%99.46%
63
Neutral
HK$30.58B8.235.37%5.32%-3.09%4.51%
OGOGE
63
Neutral
$8.96B18.4510.72%3.79%15.56%21.90%
OGOGE
63
Neutral
$8.96B18.4510.72%3.79%15.56%21.90%
60
Neutral
$16.15B18.498.95%3.80%5.53%23.00%
60
Neutral
$16.15B18.498.95%3.80%5.53%23.00%
PNPNW
56
Neutral
$10.80B17.969.08%3.96%10.69%12.37%
PNPNW
56
Neutral
$10.80B17.969.08%3.96%10.69%12.37%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KEP
Korea Electric Power
13.47
6.21
85.54%
LNT
Alliant Energy
61.95
12.26
24.67%
LNT
Alliant Energy
61.95
12.26
24.67%
EBR.B
Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras
8.14
0.90
12.43%
EBR.B
Centrais Elc Braz Pfb B Elbras
8.14
0.90
12.43%
OGE
OGE Energy
43.99
10.24
30.34%
OGE
OGE Energy
43.99
10.24
30.34%
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
90.10
16.74
22.82%
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
90.10
16.74
22.82%
EVRG
Evergy
69.30
18.56
36.58%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025