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Cisco Systems (CSCO)
NASDAQ:CSCO
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Cisco Systems (CSCO) AI Stock Analysis

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CSCO

Cisco Systems

(NASDAQ:CSCO)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$75.00
▲(13.29% Upside)
Cisco's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are key drivers of the stock's score. While technical indicators suggest a cautious outlook, the company's strategic focus on AI and security, along with robust shareholder returns, support a favorable long-term view. Valuation concerns slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
AI and Networking Growth
AI infrastructure orders reached $800mn for the quarter and $2.1bn for the year, while overall networking orders grew double digits.
Financial Performance
Cisco reported solid beat-and-raise results for its fiscal fourth quarter, driven by continued recovery in its core networking market and robust AI contributions.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressures
Broader macro uncertainty and the persistence of tough competition across its core markets are seen as offsetting factors for Cisco's growth.
Security Business Challenges
Softer federal demand drove underwhelming results in Cisco’s security business, weighing on total order growth.

Cisco Systems (CSCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cisco Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCisco Systems, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells Internet Protocol based networking and other products related to the communications and information technology industry in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and China. The company also offers switching portfolio encompasses campus switching as well as data center switching; enterprise routing portfolio interconnects public and private wireline and mobile networks, delivering highly secure, and reliable connectivity to campus, data center and branch networks; and wireless products include indoor and outdoor wireless coverage designed for seamless roaming use of voice, video, and data applications. In addition, it provides security, which comprising network security, identity and access management, secure access service edge, and threat intelligence, detection, and response offerings; collaboration products, such as Webex Suite, collaboration devices, contact center, and communication platform as a service; end-to-end collaboration solutions that can be delivered from the cloud, on-premise or within hybrid cloud environments allowing customers to transition their collaboration solutions from on-premise to the cloud; and observability offers network assurance, monitoring and analytics and observability suite. Further, the company offers a range of service and support options for its customers, including technical support and advanced services and advisory services. It serves businesses of various sizes, public institutions, governments, and service providers. The company sells its products and services directly, as well as through systems integrators, service providers, other resellers, and distributors. Cisco Systems, Inc. has strategic alliances with other companies. Cisco Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCisco generates revenue primarily through the sale of hardware, software, and services. Key revenue streams include the sale of networking equipment such as routers and switches, which are essential for data traffic management. Additionally, the company earns substantial income from its software solutions, particularly in areas like cybersecurity and cloud services, as enterprises increasingly move towards digital transformation. Subscription-based services, particularly for collaboration tools and security solutions, represent a growing segment of Cisco's revenue model. Furthermore, Cisco often enters into strategic partnerships with other technology providers and enterprises, enhancing its product offerings and market reach, which contributes significantly to its overall earnings. This multi-faceted approach allows Cisco to maintain a strong presence in the tech industry and adapt to changing market demands.

Cisco Systems Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Indicates the stable, predictable income from subscription-based services, highlighting the company's ability to generate consistent cash flow and customer loyalty.
Chart InsightsCisco's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) experienced a significant uptick in 2024, driven by strong growth in AI infrastructure orders and security offerings, as highlighted in the earnings call. This momentum aligns with the company's strategic focus on subscription-based models, which now constitute a majority of total revenue. However, the recent data shows a sudden drop to zero, likely due to data reporting issues rather than a true decline, as the earnings call underscores robust financial health and continued shareholder returns.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Cisco Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.47%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Cisco's earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and significant growth in AI infrastructure orders, exceeding expectations. Strategic partnerships and shareholder returns were also positive points. However, ongoing tariff uncertainties and specific sector challenges, such as in servers and the public sector, present concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Order Growth
Total product orders grew 20% year-over-year, or 9% on an organic basis, demonstrating strong demand across various sectors despite an uncertain macro environment.
AI Infrastructure Orders Surpass Expectations
AI infrastructure orders from web-scale customers exceeded $600 million in Q3, bringing the year-to-date total to over $1 billion, surpassing the original fiscal year '25 target a quarter early.
Strong Shareholder Returns
Cisco returned $3.1 billion in capital to shareholders in Q3 through share repurchases and dividends, with a total of $9.6 billion returned year-to-date.
Security Orders Growth
Security orders grew in high double digits in Q3, including a large multiyear deal with a major financial services company for Splunk's security and observability platforms.
New Strategic Partnerships
Cisco announced new partnerships and investments in AI infrastructure, including collaborations with NVIDIA, Saudi Arabia's HUMAIN, and others to enhance AI capabilities.
Positive Financial Performance
Total revenue was $14.1 billion, up 11% year-over-year, with non-GAAP earnings per share at $0.96, exceeding guidance expectations.
Negative Updates
Tariff Concerns
Continued uncertainty around tariffs, including potential impacts from China, Mexico, and Canada, remains a concern, affecting gross margins.
Challenges in Public Sector
Despite overall growth, stress remains on the civilian side of the U.S. public sector due to agency shutdowns and employment concerns.
Decline in Server Revenue
Networking was up 8%, but this was partially offset by a decline in server revenues, indicating challenges in this segment.
Company Guidance
During Cisco's Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance for its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025. Cisco expects fourth-quarter revenue to be between $14.5 billion and $14.7 billion, with a non-GAAP gross margin ranging from 67.5% to 68.5%. The non-GAAP operating margin is projected to be between 33.5% and 34.5%, and non-GAAP earnings per share are expected to be between $0.96 and $0.98. For the full fiscal year 2025, Cisco anticipates revenue in the range of $56.5 billion to $56.7 billion, with non-GAAP earnings per share projected to range from $3.77 to $3.79. The guidance reflects assumptions about tariffs remaining in place and highlights uncertainties due to the macroeconomic environment.

Cisco Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cisco Systems exhibits solid financial performance with steady revenue growth, strong profitability, and efficient cash flow management. Minor concerns include operating margin pressures and moderate leverage.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Cisco Systems has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a 1.85% increase in the latest year. The company maintains strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 63.87% and a net profit margin of 18.45%. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years, indicating potential pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity remains robust at 22.19%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio suggests a moderate reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cisco's cash flow position is strong, with a 3.79% growth in free cash flow, indicating healthy cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.40 suggests efficient cash conversion, while the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.94 highlights substantial cash retention relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue56.65B56.65B53.80B57.00B51.56B49.82B
Gross Profit36.90B36.18B34.83B35.75B32.25B31.89B
EBITDA15.86B15.86B15.75B17.47B16.79B15.56B
Net Income10.45B10.45B10.32B12.61B11.81B10.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets122.56B122.56B124.41B101.85B94.00B97.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.11B16.11B17.85B26.15B19.27B24.52B
Total Debt28.09B28.09B30.96B8.39B9.52B11.53B
Total Liabilities75.45B75.45B78.96B57.50B54.23B56.22B
Stockholders Equity47.12B47.12B45.46B44.35B39.77B41.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.29B13.29B10.21B19.04B12.75B14.76B
Operating Cash Flow14.19B14.19B10.88B19.89B13.23B15.45B
Investing Cash Flow1.73B1.73B-20.48B-5.11B1.55B-5.29B
Financing Cash Flow-15.81B-15.81B6.84B-11.63B-15.96B-12.10B

Cisco Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price66.20
Price Trends
50DMA
67.73
Negative
100DMA
63.54
Positive
200DMA
61.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Positive
RSI
40.61
Neutral
STOCH
35.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 66.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.82, below the 50-day MA of 67.73, and above the 200-day MA of 61.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CSCO.

Cisco Systems Risk Analysis

Cisco Systems disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cisco Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cisco Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$76.91B37.15152.71%0.92%6.45%44.24%
76
Outperform
$274.43B26.5522.58%2.45%5.30%3.07%
73
Outperform
$27.98B22.036.39%2.46%11.63%-24.41%
71
Outperform
$13.42B38.187.58%2.20%-2.56%52.05%
64
Neutral
$25.71B15.1819.63%3.53%0.98%
57
Neutral
$22.50B21.254.31%3.76%-2.39%157.33%
50
Neutral
C$3.52B0.36-5.03%7.64%16.99%-2.41%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSCO
Cisco Systems
66.20
18.06
37.52%
JNPR
Juniper Networks
39.95
2.01
5.30%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
7.71
0.77
11.10%
MSI
Motorola Solutions
461.61
44.36
10.63%
NOK
Nokia
4.20
0.26
6.60%
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
21.16
3.02
16.65%

Cisco Systems Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Cisco Systems Appoints New CFO Mark Patterson
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Cisco Systems‘ Compensation and Management Development Committee approved an equity award for Mark Patterson, marking his appointment as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Patterson received 47,832 restricted stock units, which will vest over three years, reflecting Cisco’s strategic approach to executive compensation and leadership development.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSCO) stock is a Buy with a $62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cisco Systems stock, see the CSCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 16, 2025