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Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)
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Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) AI Stock Analysis

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HPE

Hewlett Packard Enterprise

(NYSE:HPE)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(10.95%Upside)
Hewlett Packard Enterprise scores a solid 74, driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call results. Technical indicators support an upward trend, although valuation suggests a potential overvaluation. Corporate events enhance strategic opportunities, but challenges in the server segment and cash flow management remain.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Benefits
The acquisition of Juniper enhances Hewlett Packard Enterprise's position, establishing it as one of the largest Networking companies with a broad portfolio.
Cost Synergies
Hewlett-Packard Enterprise expects at least $600M in cost synergies over the next 3 years, which will be accretive to non-GAAP EPS in the first full year and accretive to FCF in year 2 and 3.
Revenue Synergies
Revenue synergies could yield additional Target Price upside as Juniper products are integrated into HPE’s global sales channels.
Negative Factors
Execution Risks
Execution risks are likely to be top of mind for investors, with concerns about execution, cash restructuring charges, and management changes post-acquisition.
Investor Concerns
Concerns about execution remain a watchpoint, likely leading investors to gradually warm up to the higher earnings multiple.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) is a global technology company that provides cutting-edge solutions in the enterprise IT sector. Known for its focus on innovation and digital transformation, HPE offers a wide range of products and services, including servers, storage systems, networking equipment, and software solutions. The company also provides consulting and support services, enabling organizations to optimize their IT environments and accelerate their digital transformation journeys. HPE operates across various sectors, including telecommunications, finance, healthcare, and government, helping businesses leverage technology to achieve their strategic objectives.
How the Company Makes MoneyHewlett Packard Enterprise makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes the sale of hardware, software, and services. A significant portion of its revenue comes from its Hybrid IT segment, which includes servers, storage, and data center networking solutions. HPE also generates income through its Intelligent Edge segment, offering edge computing and IoT solutions, and its Financial Services segment, which provides leasing and financial management services. Additionally, HPE capitalizes on strategic partnerships with other technology firms and service providers, enhancing its product offerings and expanding its market reach. The company also offers subscription-based services and cloud solutions, creating recurring revenue streams that contribute to its financial performance.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Margin by Segment
Operating Margin by Segment
Indicates the efficiency and profitability of each business segment, helping investors assess which segments are most effectively converting revenue into profit.
Chart InsightsHewlett Packard Enterprise's server segment, despite a 30% revenue surge, faces profitability challenges due to pricing competition and inventory issues, with margins dropping to 8.1%. The Intelligent Edge segment shows resilience, maintaining strong margins and growth, driven by AI and GreenLake adoption. Hybrid Cloud's margin improvements reflect strategic focus, yet overall operating margins are pressured by tariffs and cost-saving measures, including workforce reductions. Investors should watch for how these strategic shifts and external pressures impact future profitability.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 02, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
HPE delivered solid results with revenue and earnings exceeding guidance, driven by strong performances in AI, hybrid cloud, and GreenLake services. However, challenges remain in the server segment and cash flow management, alongside a significant goodwill impairment charge. The company is optimistic about future growth and operational improvements.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Earnings Exceed Guidance
HPE's Q2 revenue was $7.6 billion, up 7% year-over-year, and non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share were $0.38, both above the high end of guidance.
Strong AI and Hybrid Cloud Performance
AI systems revenue increased, with $1.1 billion in net new orders and $1 billion converted into revenue. Hybrid cloud revenue grew 15% year-over-year, with Alletra MP platform showing triple-digit growth.
GreenLake and Intelligent Edge Growth
GreenLake's annualized revenue run rate increased 47% year-over-year to $2.2 billion. Intelligent Edge revenue grew 8% year-over-year, marking a return to growth after five quarters.
Cost Reduction and Operational Improvements
HPE made significant progress in its cost reduction program, leading to improved margins and operational efficiency with a workforce reduction of 5% expected by year-end.
Positive Developments in Networking
Networking orders grew high single digits year-over-year, driven by Wi-Fi 7 demand and enhanced capabilities in HPE Aruba Central.
Negative Updates
Server Segment Challenges
Server operating margin was 5.9%, and while improvements were made, further progress is needed to reach the target of 10% by year-end.
Free Cash Flow and Inventory Issues
Free cash flow was negative $847 million, impacted by inventory management challenges and the need for further reductions in inventory levels.
Non-Cash Goodwill Impairment Charge
A non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $1.4 billion was recorded, impacting GAAP diluted net loss per share, which stood at $0.82.
Company Guidance
During the Fiscal 2025 Second Quarter Hewlett Packard Enterprise Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a Q2 revenue of $7.6 billion, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase, surpassing the high end of their guidance. Non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share reached $0.38, also above the high end of guidance. HPE's hybrid cloud segment saw double-digit growth for the third consecutive quarter, with strong performance in the HPE Alletra MP storage transition and HPE GreenLake cloud services. The company ended Q2 with a $3.2 billion AI systems backlog, signing $1.1 billion in net new orders, converting over $1 billion into revenue. HPE's annualized revenue run rate increased by 47% year-over-year to $2.2 billion, supported by AI and Intelligent Edge growth. The company plans to raise the low end of its non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share range by $0.08, projecting a 7% to 9% year-over-year revenue increase. Additionally, HPE is focused on executing corrective pricing actions in its server segment and expects server operating margins to recover to approximately 10% by the end of Q4.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hewlett Packard Enterprise demonstrates solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The income statement shows healthy profit margins and operational efficiency. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position, though there is room for improvement in asset financing. Strong cash flow generation supports operational needs, but there is potential to enhance cash conversion efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Hewlett Packard Enterprise shows a steady revenue growth with a 3.58% increase in TTM compared to the previous year. The Gross Profit Margin stands at 48.65%, indicating effective cost management. The Net Profit Margin of 8.86% is healthy, reflecting strong profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 6.90% and 13.59% respectively, reveal solid operational efficiency. However, the slight decline in EBIT margin from 7.27% in the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company maintains a moderate Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.71, showing a balanced leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is robust at 10.96%, demonstrating effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 35.86% indicates a stable financial structure, though slightly lower compared to industry peers, suggesting room for improvement in asset financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Hewlett Packard Enterprise's Free Cash Flow grew by 10.24% in the TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.41 reflects efficient cash conversion from earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.79 indicates a healthy cash flow relative to profits, though there is room to enhance cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.13B29.14B28.50B27.78B26.98B
Gross Profit9.84B10.24B9.51B9.38B8.47B
EBITDA5.02B5.06B4.78B4.85B4.26B
Net Income2.58B2.02B868.00M3.43B-322.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.26B57.15B57.12B57.70B54.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.85B4.27B4.16B4.00B4.23B
Total Debt18.25B13.52B12.46B13.45B15.94B
Total Liabilities46.38B35.91B37.21B37.68B37.92B
Stockholders Equity24.82B21.18B19.86B19.97B16.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.97B1.60B1.47B3.37B-143.00M
Operating Cash Flow4.34B4.43B4.59B5.87B2.24B
Investing Cash Flow-53.00M-3.28B-2.09B-2.80B-2.58B
Financing Cash Flow6.28B-1.36B-1.80B-3.36B883.00M

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.73
Price Trends
50DMA
18.90
Positive
100DMA
17.27
Positive
200DMA
19.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.54
Positive
RSI
59.07
Neutral
STOCH
53.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HPE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.64, above the 50-day MA of 18.90, and above the 200-day MA of 19.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HPE.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Risk Analysis

Hewlett Packard Enterprise disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$272.01B28.1521.36%2.36%0.47%-17.77%
74
Outperform
$27.01B49.21237.68%0.54%21.43%56.87%
74
Outperform
$27.20B21.426.39%2.51%11.63%-24.41%
64
Neutral
$25.19B14.9419.63%0.04%0.98%
63
Neutral
$34.72B5.19-11.20%1.67%5.59%-16.73%
57
Neutral
$23.43B22.234.31%0.65%-2.39%157.33%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
20.73
1.87
9.92%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
68.69
21.98
47.06%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
7.49
0.89
13.48%
NOK
Nokia
4.33
0.55
14.55%
UI
Ubiquiti Networks
446.46
270.92
154.34%

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Partners with Elliott Management
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise announced a cooperation agreement with Elliott Investment Management, which includes the appointment of Robert Calderoni to the board of directors and the formation of a new Strategy Committee to drive shareholder value. This strategic move is part of HPE’s ongoing transformation efforts and aims to enhance the company’s operational and strategic opportunities, particularly following the recent acquisition of Juniper Networks.

The most recent analyst rating on (HPE) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hewlett Packard Enterprise stock, see the HPE Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsLegal Proceedings
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Completes Merger with Juniper
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise announced the completion of its merger with Juniper, making Juniper a wholly owned subsidiary. The merger, valued at approximately $13.4 billion, was funded through a combination of cash, commercial paper issuances, and term loan credit facilities. The merger faced legal challenges when the U.S. Department of Justice sought to block it, but a settlement was reached requiring HPE to divest its Instant On business and conduct an auction for non-exclusive licensing of Juniper’s Mist AIOps source code.

The most recent analyst rating on (HPE) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hewlett Packard Enterprise stock, see the HPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Reports Q2 Revenue Growth
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

Hewlett Packard Enterprise announced its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, reporting a 6% increase in revenue to $7.6 billion compared to the previous year. Despite a solid performance in revenue growth across its product segments, the company faced challenges with a GAAP net loss per share of $(0.82) due to a non-cash impairment of legacy goodwill. HPE continues to focus on innovation and operational efficiency to enhance shareholder value, with an estimated revenue growth of 7% to 9% for fiscal 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (HPE) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hewlett Packard Enterprise stock, see the HPE Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Declares Dividend for Preferred Stock
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise‘s Board of Directors approved a cash dividend of $0.953125 per share for its Series C Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock, payable on June 1, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s financial strategy and commitment to returning value to shareholders, with implications for investor confidence and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 17, 2025