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Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)
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Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) AI Stock Analysis

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HPE

Hewlett Packard Enterprise

(NYSE:HPE)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(10.64% Upside)
Hewlett Packard Enterprise's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance driven by revenue growth and cash flow generation, supported by positive technical indicators. The high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, but strategic initiatives and successful acquisitions provide a positive outlook. Challenges in profit margins and leverage need addressing to ensure sustained growth.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
The upcoming Analyst Day is expected to be a significant event, providing more details on long-term growth targets and financial strategies, which could positively influence the stock sentiment.
Networking Segment Performance
The new Networking segment represented almost 50% of total operating profit, highlighting the accretive margin profile of the combined company.
Revenue Growth
Hewlett Packard Enterprise showed stronger-than-expected performance in Servers and Networking, which contributed to revenue exceeding expectations by 4%.
Negative Factors
AI Server Margins
AI server margins were a concern, driven by one large deal in the quarter, indicating potential challenges in this area.
Cost Impacts
Free cash flow guidance was reduced to $700 million due to impacts from the Juniper acquisition.
Free Cash Flow Guidance
Management guided F25E free cash flow to $700 million, down from a prior estimate of $1 billion, due to impacts from the Juniper acquisition.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHewlett Packard Enterprise Company provides solutions that allow customers to capture, analyze, and act upon data seamlessly in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. The company offers general purpose servers for multi-workload computing and workload-optimized servers; HPE ProLiant rack and tower servers; HPE BladeSystem and HPE Synergy; and solutions for secondary workloads and traditional tape, storage networking, and disk products, such as HPE Modular Storage Arrays and HPE XP. It also offers HPE Apollo and Cray products; and HPE Superdome Flex, HPE Nonstop, HPE Integrity, and HPE Edgeline products. In addition, the company provides HPE Aruba product portfolio that includes wired and wireless local area network hardware products, such as Wi-Fi access points, switches, routers, and sensors; HPE Aruba software and services comprising cloud-based management, network management, network access control, analytics and assurance, and location; and professional and support services, as well as as-a-service and consumption models for the intelligent edge portfolio of products. Further, it offers various leasing, financing, IT consumption, and utility programs and asset management services for customers to facilitate technology deployment models and the acquisition of complete IT solutions, including hardware, software, and services from Hewlett Packard Enterprise and others. Additionally, the company invests in communications and media solutions. It has a partnership with Striim, Inc. to offer high performance and mission-critical solutions with real-time analytics. It serves commercial and large enterprise groups, such as business and public sector enterprises; and through various partners comprising resellers, distribution partners, original equipment manufacturers, independent software vendors, systems integrators, and advisory firms. Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyHewlett Packard Enterprise generates revenue through several key streams: hardware sales, which include servers, storage devices, and networking equipment; software sales, particularly for its management and security solutions; and services, encompassing consulting, support, and managed services. The company also earns revenue from its hybrid cloud solutions, which enable businesses to integrate on-premises and cloud environments. Significant partnerships with major cloud providers and technology firms enhance HPE's offerings and expand its market reach. Additionally, subscription and consumption-based models for certain services provide recurring revenue, contributing to the company's overall financial performance.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Margin by Segment
Operating Margin by Segment
Indicates the efficiency and profitability of each business segment, helping investors assess which segments are most effectively converting revenue into profit.
Chart InsightsHewlett Packard Enterprise's server segment, despite a 30% revenue surge, faces profitability challenges due to pricing competition and inventory issues, with margins dropping to 8.1%. The Intelligent Edge segment shows resilience, maintaining strong margins and growth, driven by AI and GreenLake adoption. Hybrid Cloud's margin improvements reflect strategic focus, yet overall operating margins are pressured by tariffs and cost-saving measures, including workforce reductions. Investors should watch for how these strategic shifts and external pressures impact future profitability.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 02, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call showcased strong revenue growth, successful strategic acquisitions, and robust performance in AI and networking. However, challenges in gross margins and specific segment pressures highlight areas for improvement. The positive aspects of the call, including record revenue and improved cash flow, somewhat balance out the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) achieved record-breaking revenue of $9.1 billion, up 18% year over year. This was fueled by strong momentum across AI, networking, and hybrid cloud.
Successful Juniper Networks Acquisition
HPE closed the acquisition of Juniper Networks, which is expected to provide at least $600 million in cost synergies over the next three years. The acquisition is anticipated to be accretive to non-GAAP results in year one.
Strong AI and Networking Performance
HPE's AI orders nearly doubled sequentially, driven by sovereign opportunities up approximately 250%. The new combined networking segment accounted for nearly 50% of HPE's non-GAAP consolidated operating profit.
Improved Profitability and Free Cash Flow
Non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share reached $0.44, and free cash flow was $719 million, driven by higher AI backlog conversion to revenue and strong supply chain execution.
Growth in Intelligent Edge and Hybrid Cloud
Intelligent Edge revenue increased 11% year over year, and hybrid cloud revenue increased year over year for the fourth consecutive quarter.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Gross Margin
Non-GAAP gross margin was 29.9%, down 190 basis points year over year due to unfavorable mix within server, networking, and hybrid cloud.
Pressure on Server Operating Margin
Server operating margin was 6.4%, below the historical levels of 10-12%, impacted by higher AI mix and inventory adjustments.
Lower Financial Services Revenue
Financial services revenue was $886 million, down 1% year over year, and operating margin declined 50 basis points quarter over quarter due to unfavorable operating expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Fiscal 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) provided guidance on various business segments and detailed metrics. HPE reported record-breaking revenue of $9.1 billion, reflecting an 18% increase year-over-year, fueled by strong performance in AI, networking, and hybrid cloud. The acquisition of Juniper Networks contributed to this growth, with Juniper accounting for $480 million of the revenue and nearly 50% of HPE's non-GAAP consolidated operating profit. The new combined networking segment saw revenue of $1.7 billion, up 54% year over year. HPE's server segment achieved $4.9 billion in revenue, marking a 16% increase year-over-year, driven by strong AI order conversions. HPE's hybrid cloud revenue reached $1.5 billion, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth. The company reported non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share of $0.44 and a free cash flow of $719 million. HPE is targeting operating margins in the upper 9% range for the fiscal year and is implementing a structural cost-saving program, Catalyst, to enhance operational efficiency and optimize its workforce. The company expects significant integration synergies from the Juniper acquisition, reiterating a $600 million cost synergy target over the next three years.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hewlett Packard Enterprise demonstrates a positive revenue growth trend and strong cash flow generation, which are key strengths. However, declining profit margins and increased leverage present challenges that need to be addressed to ensure long-term financial stability. The company should focus on improving operational efficiency and managing debt levels to enhance profitability and shareholder value.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Hewlett Packard Enterprise shows a solid revenue growth rate of 4.64% in the TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, reflecting potential cost pressures. The net profit margin has also declined to 3.78% in the TTM, which is below the industry average, suggesting challenges in maintaining profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased, indicating potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.97 in the TTM, indicating higher leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed properly. Return on equity has decreased to 5.08%, reflecting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but the rising debt levels warrant caution.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company exhibits a remarkable free cash flow growth rate of 1653.27% in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.09, suggesting that cash flows are not fully aligned with reported earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.76 indicates efficient cash conversion from earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.02B30.13B29.11B28.11B27.86B26.94B
Gross Profit9.23B9.88B9.92B8.82B9.10B8.05B
EBITDA3.85B5.06B4.85B4.40B6.32B2.44B
Net Income1.25B2.58B2.02B868.00M3.43B-322.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.34B71.26B57.15B57.12B57.70B54.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.57B14.85B4.27B4.16B4.00B4.23B
Total Debt23.65B19.82B13.52B13.48B14.58B17.03B
Total Liabilities52.94B46.38B35.91B37.21B37.68B37.92B
Stockholders Equity24.40B24.82B21.18B19.86B19.97B16.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.88B1.97B1.60B1.47B3.37B-143.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.48B4.34B4.43B4.59B5.87B2.24B
Investing Cash Flow-12.09B-53.00M-3.28B-2.09B-2.80B-2.58B
Financing Cash Flow10.40B6.28B-1.36B-1.80B-3.36B883.00M

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.50
Price Trends
50DMA
21.32
Positive
100DMA
19.24
Positive
200DMA
19.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Negative
RSI
72.35
Negative
STOCH
75.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HPE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.34, above the 50-day MA of 21.32, and above the 200-day MA of 19.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.35 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HPE.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Risk Analysis

Hewlett Packard Enterprise disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$31.03B29.705.37%2.21%14.39%-38.96%
75
Outperform
$264.47B26.2722.65%2.42%5.30%3.07%
72
Outperform
$34.91B49.07186.53%0.45%33.45%103.34%
69
Neutral
$26.97B15.9819.63%3.45%0.98%
62
Neutral
$24.64B23.364.31%3.37%-2.39%157.33%
61
Neutral
$35.56B8.99-10.49%1.86%8.45%-8.32%
54
Neutral
$15.20B-69.70%249.43%-50.21%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
23.50
7.86
50.26%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
66.88
19.39
40.83%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
8.02
0.85
11.85%
NOK
Nokia
4.59
0.50
12.22%
UI
Ubiquiti Networks
583.53
390.51
202.32%
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile
40.77
14.66
56.15%

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Reports Record Q3 2025 Revenue
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) announced its fiscal 2025 third-quarter results, highlighting record revenue of $9.1 billion, a 19% increase from the previous year, and improved profitability. The quarter was marked by the successful acquisition of Juniper Networks, which contributed to the financial results and is expected to enhance future market opportunities. The company reported strong performance in its Server and Networking segments, with significant revenue growth and profitability. HPE also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.13 per share, payable on October 17, 2025. The company remains focused on capturing market opportunities and delivering consistent shareholder value.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hewlett Packard Enterprise to Redeem $2.5 Billion Notes
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise announced its decision to redeem all $2.5 billion of its outstanding 4.900% Notes due 2025 on September 17, 2025. This strategic financial move involves redeeming the notes at their principal amount plus accrued interest, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and market positioning.

Dividends
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Declares Cash Dividend for Series C
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise‘s Board of Directors approved a cash dividend of $0.953125 per share for its 7.625% Series C Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock, with payment scheduled for September 1, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and is contingent upon the Board’s discretion and availability of legally permissible funds.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Partners with Elliott Management
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise announced a cooperation agreement with Elliott Investment Management, which includes the appointment of Robert Calderoni to the board of directors and the formation of a new Strategy Committee to drive shareholder value. This strategic move is part of HPE’s ongoing transformation efforts and aims to enhance the company’s operational and strategic opportunities, particularly following the recent acquisition of Juniper Networks.

M&A TransactionsLegal Proceedings
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Completes Merger with Juniper
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise announced the completion of its merger with Juniper, making Juniper a wholly owned subsidiary. The merger, valued at approximately $13.4 billion, was funded through a combination of cash, commercial paper issuances, and term loan credit facilities. The merger faced legal challenges when the U.S. Department of Justice sought to block it, but a settlement was reached requiring HPE to divest its Instant On business and conduct an auction for non-exclusive licensing of Juniper’s Mist AIOps source code.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025