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Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)
NYSE:HPE

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) AI Stock Analysis

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HPE

Hewlett Packard Enterprise

(NYSE:HPE)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(18.07% Upside)
Hewlett Packard Enterprise's overall stock score reflects strong earnings performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in networking and AI. However, challenges in profitability and valuation metrics, such as a negative P/E ratio, weigh down the score. The technical analysis suggests a cautious approach due to potential overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, positioning HPE well for sustained expansion.
Networking Segment Success
The robust growth in networking highlights HPE's competitive advantage and strategic positioning in a high-demand sector, supporting long-term growth.
Strong Cash Flow
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing HPE to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability
The decline in profitability could impact HPE's ability to reinvest in business operations and maintain competitive pricing strategies.
Increased Leverage
Higher leverage may limit HPE's financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially affecting its ability to pursue strategic initiatives.
Decline in Server Revenue
The decline in server revenue suggests challenges in a key segment, which could impact overall growth if not addressed strategically.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHewlett Packard Enterprise Company provides solutions that allow customers to capture, analyze, and act upon data seamlessly in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. The company offers general purpose servers for multi-workload computing and workload-optimized servers; HPE ProLiant rack and tower servers; HPE BladeSystem and HPE Synergy; and solutions for secondary workloads and traditional tape, storage networking, and disk products, such as HPE Modular Storage Arrays and HPE XP. It also offers HPE Apollo and Cray products; and HPE Superdome Flex, HPE Nonstop, HPE Integrity, and HPE Edgeline products. In addition, the company provides HPE Aruba product portfolio that includes wired and wireless local area network hardware products, such as Wi-Fi access points, switches, routers, and sensors; HPE Aruba software and services comprising cloud-based management, network management, network access control, analytics and assurance, and location; and professional and support services, as well as as-a-service and consumption models for the intelligent edge portfolio of products. Further, it offers various leasing, financing, IT consumption, and utility programs and asset management services for customers to facilitate technology deployment models and the acquisition of complete IT solutions, including hardware, software, and services from Hewlett Packard Enterprise and others. Additionally, the company invests in communications and media solutions. It has a partnership with Striim, Inc. to offer high performance and mission-critical solutions with real-time analytics. It serves commercial and large enterprise groups, such as business and public sector enterprises; and through various partners comprising resellers, distribution partners, original equipment manufacturers, independent software vendors, systems integrators, and advisory firms. Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyHewlett Packard Enterprise generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of hardware, software, and services. Key revenue streams include the sale of servers, storage solutions, networking equipment, and software licenses. In addition, HPE offers consulting services and support through its IT services division. The company has made significant investments in hybrid cloud solutions, which have become a growing revenue driver as businesses increasingly seek flexible and scalable IT infrastructure. Strategic partnerships with major cloud providers and technology firms, such as Microsoft and Intel, further enhance HPE's market presence and revenue potential. Subscription-based models and as-a-service offerings are also contributing to recurring revenue, allowing HPE to capitalize on the shift towards pay-per-use consumption models in the technology sector.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsHewlett Packard Enterprise's revenue growth in the Americas has been robust, recently surpassing $3.8 billion, driven by strong AI and hybrid cloud demand. EMEA shows moderate recovery, while APAC faces volatility. The latest earnings call highlights a 7% revenue increase, with AI and GreenLake services as key growth drivers. Despite challenges in the server segment and cash flow, HPE's strategic focus on AI and cloud services positions it well for future growth, with projected revenue increases of 7% to 9% year-over-year.
Data provided by:The Fly

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 04, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance for HPE, driven by significant growth in the networking segment and successful integration of Juniper Networks. Despite challenges in server and hybrid cloud revenue, along with commodity cost pressures, the company's strategic moves and record cash flow position it well for future growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarter and Profitable Growth
Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported Q4 revenue of $9.7 billion, a 14% year-over-year increase, with non-GAAP operating profits up 26%. The non-GAAP operating margin reached a record high of 12.2%.
Networking Segment Success
Networking revenue increased 150% year-over-year in Q4, significantly driven by the acquisition of Juniper Networks. Operating margins for this segment were 23%.
Strong Cash Flow and Earnings Per Share
Free cash flow for Q4 was $1.9 billion, and non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share were $0.62, exceeding the high end of guidance.
Growth in Annualized Revenue Run Rate (ARR)
Total company ARR grew by 62% year over year, reaching $3.2 billion, with significant contributions from the GreenLake platform and software solutions.
AI Systems Orders and Sovereign Customer Growth
AI system orders totaled $6.8 billion for the fiscal year, with sovereign and enterprise bookings accounting for more than 60% of cumulative orders since 2023.
Strategic Acquisition and Integration
The acquisition of Juniper Networks was successfully integrated, contributing significantly to revenue and strengthening HPE's networking market position.
Negative Updates
Decline in Server and Hybrid Cloud Revenue
Server revenue for Q4 declined 5% year-over-year, and hybrid cloud revenue decreased 13% year-over-year, reflecting shifts in focus and market challenges.
Challenges with AI Deal Timing and Shipment Delays
AI server revenue experienced timing issues, with some shipments pushed from Q4 to Q1, impacting short-term revenue projections.
Commodity Cost Pressures
DRAM and NAND costs are expected to increase, impacting pricing strategies and potentially affecting demand elasticity.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter earnings call, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) reported impressive financial results, highlighted by a record quarter of profitable growth. HPE's Q4 revenue reached $9.7 billion, a 14% year-over-year increase, with non-GAAP operating profits rising 26%, culminating in a record-high non-GAAP operating margin of 12.2%. The company's non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share exceeded expectations at $0.62, while free cash flow reached $1.9 billion for the quarter. This strong performance was bolstered by significant contributions from the networking segment, which grew 51% year-over-year to $6.9 billion, largely driven by the acquisition of Juniper Networks. HPE's annualized revenue run rate (ARR) grew 62% year-over-year to $3.2 billion, reflecting robust demand for its GreenLake platform and software solutions. For fiscal 2026, HPE raised its guidance for non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share and free cash flow, projecting a continued focus on networking, AI infrastructure, and high-margin software and services growth. Additionally, HPE announced the sale of its remaining 19% stake in H3C in China for approximately $1.4 billion, expected to close during 2026, aligning with its strategy to reduce net leverage by the end of fiscal 2027.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hewlett Packard Enterprise demonstrates strong cash flow generation with a 55.60% increase in free cash flow, indicating efficient cash management. However, declining profitability metrics, such as a reduced net profit margin and increased leverage, are concerns. The balance sheet remains stable, but operational inefficiencies need addressing.
Income Statement
Hewlett Packard Enterprise has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a 3.88% increase in the latest annual report. However, the net profit margin has significantly decreased to 0.17% from 8.56% in the previous year, indicating a decline in profitability. The gross profit margin remains stable, but the EBIT margin has turned negative, suggesting operational challenges. Overall, while revenue growth is positive, declining profitability metrics are a concern.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.91, indicating higher leverage, but it remains manageable. Return on equity has significantly decreased to 0.23% from 10.39%, reflecting reduced profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. While the balance sheet shows stability, the increased leverage and reduced ROE are potential risks.
Cash Flow
Hewlett Packard Enterprise has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth of 55.60%, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.12, suggesting efficient cash flow management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, highlighting robust cash flow relative to net income. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects strong cash generation and management.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.30B30.07B29.11B28.11B27.86B
Gross Profit9.87B9.55B9.92B8.82B9.10B
EBITDA2.63B5.56B4.85B4.40B6.32B
Net Income57.00M2.58B2.02B868.00M3.43B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets75.91B71.26B57.15B57.12B57.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.77B14.85B4.27B4.16B4.00B
Total Debt22.36B19.82B13.52B13.48B14.58B
Total Liabilities51.15B46.38B35.91B37.21B37.68B
Stockholders Equity24.69B24.82B21.18B19.86B19.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow627.00M1.97B1.60B1.47B3.37B
Operating Cash Flow2.92B4.34B4.43B4.59B5.87B
Investing Cash Flow-13.19B-53.00M-3.28B-2.09B-2.80B
Financing Cash Flow1.05B6.28B-1.36B-1.80B-3.36B

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price22.02
Price Trends
50DMA
23.17
Negative
100DMA
23.40
Negative
200DMA
20.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
33.85
Neutral
STOCH
4.48
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HPE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 22.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.03, below the 50-day MA of 23.17, and above the 200-day MA of 20.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HPE.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Risk Analysis

Hewlett Packard Enterprise disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$292.22B27.8623.01%2.09%8.91%14.53%
74
Outperform
$31.49B12.5725.45%2.51%1.04%
68
Neutral
$29.39B-288.980.23%2.17%14.17%-102.25%
66
Neutral
$36.37B36.474.03%2.26%5.05%115.92%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$33.23B42.81155.78%0.49%36.77%102.83%
57
Neutral
$33.27B-72.73-39.22%641.24%41.70%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
22.02
0.62
2.90%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
73.96
16.59
28.93%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
9.36
1.59
20.42%
NOK
Nokia
6.49
2.12
48.65%
UI
Ubiquiti Networks
549.20
188.45
52.24%
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile
90.56
69.49
329.81%

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Reports Record Q4 2025 Revenue
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) announced its financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, highlighting a record quarterly revenue of $9.7 billion, a 14% increase from the previous year. The company also reported a significant rise in its annualized revenue run-rate and gross margins. HPE completed the acquisition of Juniper Networks and expanded its AI and cloud businesses, which contributed to its strong performance and strategic momentum. The company raised its fiscal year 2026 guidance for diluted net earnings per share and free cash flow, reflecting confidence in its operational discipline and cost management initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (HPE) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hewlett Packard Enterprise stock, see the HPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
HPE Subsidiary Sells 9% Stake in H3C Technologies
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

On November 28, 2025, H3C Holdings Limited, a subsidiary of Hewlett Packard Enterprise, entered into share purchase agreements with three Chinese entities to sell 9% of H3C Technologies’ share capital for approximately $643 million. This transaction, subject to various conditions and governmental approvals, is part of a strategic move to adjust HPE’s holdings in H3C, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HPE) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hewlett Packard Enterprise stock, see the HPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
HPE Sells 10% Stake in H3C Technologies
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, H3C Holdings Limited, a subsidiary of Hewlett Packard Enterprise, entered into share purchase agreements with several entities in China to sell 10% of H3C Technologies Co., Limited’s share capital for approximately $714 million. This transaction is part of a strategic move to dispose of H3C’s shares, with implications for HPE’s operational focus and market positioning in China. The agreements are subject to various conditions, including governmental approvals and shareholder consents, and involve amendments to existing arrangements with UNIS, a key stakeholder. The outcome of these transactions could significantly impact HPE’s financial structure and its strategic partnerships in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (HPE) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hewlett Packard Enterprise stock, see the HPE Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Approves Cash Dividend for Series C
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise‘s Board of Directors approved a cash dividend of $0.953125 per share for its 7.625% Series C Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock, payable on December 1, 2025. This decision reflects the board’s discretion and is contingent on legally available sources, impacting shareholders and potentially influencing market perceptions of HPE’s financial health.

The most recent analyst rating on (HPE) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hewlett Packard Enterprise stock, see the HPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
HPE Expands Share Repurchase, Plans Juniper Integration
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise held its 2025 Securities Analyst Meeting, where it outlined strategic priorities and provided a financial outlook for the 2026 fiscal year. The company announced a $3 billion increase in its share repurchase program and discussed integration plans for Juniper Networks, including workforce reductions expected to cost approximately $240 million. These moves are aimed at enhancing shareholder value and strengthening HPE’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (HPE) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hewlett Packard Enterprise stock, see the HPE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025