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Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)
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Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) AI Stock Analysis

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HPE

Hewlett Packard Enterprise

(NYSE:HPE)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(11.06% Upside)
Hewlett Packard Enterprise is well-positioned with its strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The robust earnings call results and strategic corporate events further enhance the stock's outlook. However, valuation concerns and challenges in specific segments temper the score. Continued focus on strategic growth in AI and cloud services, along with operational improvements, are crucial for sustaining momentum.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Benefits
The Juniper acquisition favorably positions HPE to benefit from secular AI/enterprise networking and edge compute growth drivers.
Financial Performance
The increasing mix of higher-margin networking revenues and cost synergies provide a pathway for significant upside potential for the shares.
Negative Factors
Execution Risks
Execution risks are likely to be top of mind for investors, with concerns about execution, cash restructuring charges, and management changes post-acquisition.
Investor Concerns
Concerns about execution remain a watchpoint, likely leading investors to gradually warm up to the higher earnings multiple.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHewlett Packard Enterprise Company provides solutions that allow customers to capture, analyze, and act upon data seamlessly in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. The company offers general purpose servers for multi-workload computing and workload-optimized servers; HPE ProLiant rack and tower servers; HPE BladeSystem and HPE Synergy; and solutions for secondary workloads and traditional tape, storage networking, and disk products, such as HPE Modular Storage Arrays and HPE XP. It also offers HPE Apollo and Cray products; and HPE Superdome Flex, HPE Nonstop, HPE Integrity, and HPE Edgeline products. In addition, the company provides HPE Aruba product portfolio that includes wired and wireless local area network hardware products, such as Wi-Fi access points, switches, routers, and sensors; HPE Aruba software and services comprising cloud-based management, network management, network access control, analytics and assurance, and location; and professional and support services, as well as as-a-service and consumption models for the intelligent edge portfolio of products. Further, it offers various leasing, financing, IT consumption, and utility programs and asset management services for customers to facilitate technology deployment models and the acquisition of complete IT solutions, including hardware, software, and services from Hewlett Packard Enterprise and others. Additionally, the company invests in communications and media solutions. It has a partnership with Striim, Inc. to offer high performance and mission-critical solutions with real-time analytics. It serves commercial and large enterprise groups, such as business and public sector enterprises; and through various partners comprising resellers, distribution partners, original equipment manufacturers, independent software vendors, systems integrators, and advisory firms. Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyHewlett Packard Enterprise generates revenue through several key streams: hardware sales, which include servers, storage devices, and networking equipment; software sales, particularly for its management and security solutions; and services, encompassing consulting, support, and managed services. The company also earns revenue from its hybrid cloud solutions, which enable businesses to integrate on-premises and cloud environments. Significant partnerships with major cloud providers and technology firms enhance HPE's offerings and expand its market reach. Additionally, subscription and consumption-based models for certain services provide recurring revenue, contributing to the company's overall financial performance.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Margin by Segment
Operating Margin by Segment
Indicates the efficiency and profitability of each business segment, helping investors assess which segments are most effectively converting revenue into profit.
Chart InsightsHewlett Packard Enterprise's server segment, despite a 30% revenue surge, faces profitability challenges due to pricing competition and inventory issues, with margins dropping to 8.1%. The Intelligent Edge segment shows resilience, maintaining strong margins and growth, driven by AI and GreenLake adoption. Hybrid Cloud's margin improvements reflect strategic focus, yet overall operating margins are pressured by tariffs and cost-saving measures, including workforce reductions. Investors should watch for how these strategic shifts and external pressures impact future profitability.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 19.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and new AI orders, with notable achievements in hybrid cloud and Intelligent Edge segments. However, challenges remain in the server segment's operating margins and macroeconomic uncertainties impacting the hybrid cloud business. The balance between highlights and lowlights suggests a neutral sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Q2 revenue was $7.6 billion, up 7% year over year and above the high end of previously provided guidance. Non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share were $0.38, above the high end of the guidance range.
Growth in AI Orders
HPE signed $1.1 billion of net new AI orders, converting more than $1 billion into revenue, up from $900 million last quarter. Exited with $3.2 billion of backlog in AI systems.
Hybrid Cloud and Intelligent Edge Growth
Hybrid cloud segment reported double-digit year-over-year revenue growth for the third consecutive quarter. Intelligent Edge business returned to year-over-year top-line growth after five quarters.
GreenLake and Subscription Services Success
GreenLake continues to deliver strong results with 47% year-over-year growth in annualized revenue run rate, contributing significantly to the company's portfolio shift to higher growth and higher margin areas.
Cost Reduction and Efficiency Initiatives
Significant progress against cost reduction program, expected to contribute to results in future quarters. Free cash flow improved sequentially as inventory levels were reduced.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Server Segment
Server operating margin at 5.9%, below the desired 10% target. Execution issues from the previous quarter have been addressed, but further improvements are needed.
Goodwill Impairment Charge
Non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $1.4 billion related to the hybrid cloud business due to macroeconomic uncertainty.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative $847 million, although slightly better than expected.
Macro and Trade Policy Challenges
Continued navigation of a complex macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape, including trade policy uncertainties and tariff impacts.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal 2025 second quarter earnings call, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) reported a 7% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $7.6 billion, which exceeded the high end of their guidance. The company also delivered non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share of $0.38, surpassing expectations. HPE's hybrid cloud segment experienced a third consecutive quarter of double-digit year-over-year revenue growth, driven by the success of the Alletra MP storage platform. In the AI segment, more than $1 billion of revenue was converted, with a backlog of $3.2 billion. The Intelligent Edge business returned to growth, with revenue up 8% year-over-year. HPE's annualized revenue run rate grew 47% to $2.2 billion, fueled by AI and Intelligent Edge. Despite challenges in the server segment, corrective measures are anticipated to improve operating margins to approximately 10% by the end of Q4. Additionally, HPE raised the low end of their non-GAAP EPS guidance by $0.08, projecting a 7% to 9% year-over-year increase in revenue for the fiscal year.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hewlett Packard Enterprise exhibits solid financial performance with steady revenue growth and healthy profitability margins. The balance sheet shows a stable financial structure with moderate leverage, though there is room for improvement in asset financing. Cash flow generation is strong, but there is potential to enhance cash conversion efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Hewlett Packard Enterprise shows a steady revenue growth with a 3.58% increase in TTM compared to the previous year. The Gross Profit Margin stands at 48.65%, indicating effective cost management. The Net Profit Margin of 8.86% is healthy, reflecting strong profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 6.90% and 13.59% respectively, reveal solid operational efficiency. However, the slight decline in EBIT margin from 7.27% in the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company maintains a moderate Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.71, showing a balanced leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is robust at 10.96%, demonstrating effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 35.86% indicates a stable financial structure, though slightly lower compared to industry peers, suggesting room for improvement in asset financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Hewlett Packard Enterprise's Free Cash Flow grew by 10.24% in the TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.41 reflects efficient cash conversion from earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.79 indicates a healthy cash flow relative to profits, though there is room to enhance cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.65B30.13B29.14B28.50B27.78B26.98B
Gross Profit7.34B9.84B10.24B9.51B9.38B8.47B
EBITDA2.67B5.02B5.06B4.78B4.85B4.26B
Net Income1.43B2.58B2.02B868.00M3.43B-322.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets67.85B71.26B57.15B57.12B57.70B54.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.67B14.85B4.27B4.16B4.00B4.23B
Total Debt17.53B19.82B13.52B13.48B14.58B17.03B
Total Liabilities43.93B46.38B35.91B37.21B37.68B37.92B
Stockholders Equity23.87B24.82B21.18B19.86B19.97B16.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow107.00M1.97B1.60B1.47B3.37B-143.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.33B4.34B4.43B4.59B5.87B2.24B
Investing Cash Flow42.00M-53.00M-3.28B-2.09B-2.80B-2.58B
Financing Cash Flow6.47B6.28B-1.36B-1.80B-3.36B883.00M

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.16
Price Trends
50DMA
19.94
Positive
100DMA
18.01
Positive
200DMA
19.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.37
Negative
RSI
62.83
Neutral
STOCH
81.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HPE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.72, above the 50-day MA of 19.94, and above the 200-day MA of 19.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HPE.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Risk Analysis

Hewlett Packard Enterprise disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$262.15B25.3622.58%2.42%5.30%3.07%
74
Outperform
$24.37B44.40237.68%0.59%21.43%56.87%
73
Outperform
$27.77B21.866.39%2.46%11.63%-24.41%
69
Neutral
$25.99B15.3819.63%3.54%0.98%
57
Neutral
$22.80B21.564.31%3.64%-2.39%157.33%
50
Neutral
AU$1.64B3.32-0.63%3.34%15.95%-3.56%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
21.63
3.29
17.94%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
66.95
18.31
37.64%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
7.69
0.66
9.39%
NOK
Nokia
4.20
0.14
3.45%
UI
Ubiquiti Networks
405.36
227.70
128.17%

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hewlett Packard Enterprise to Redeem $2.5 Billion Notes
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise announced its decision to redeem all $2.5 billion of its outstanding 4.900% Notes due 2025 on September 17, 2025. This strategic financial move involves redeeming the notes at their principal amount plus accrued interest, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and market positioning.

Dividends
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Declares Cash Dividend for Series C
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise‘s Board of Directors approved a cash dividend of $0.953125 per share for its 7.625% Series C Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock, with payment scheduled for September 1, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and is contingent upon the Board’s discretion and availability of legally permissible funds.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Partners with Elliott Management
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise announced a cooperation agreement with Elliott Investment Management, which includes the appointment of Robert Calderoni to the board of directors and the formation of a new Strategy Committee to drive shareholder value. This strategic move is part of HPE’s ongoing transformation efforts and aims to enhance the company’s operational and strategic opportunities, particularly following the recent acquisition of Juniper Networks.

M&A TransactionsLegal Proceedings
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Completes Merger with Juniper
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Hewlett Packard Enterprise announced the completion of its merger with Juniper, making Juniper a wholly owned subsidiary. The merger, valued at approximately $13.4 billion, was funded through a combination of cash, commercial paper issuances, and term loan credit facilities. The merger faced legal challenges when the U.S. Department of Justice sought to block it, but a settlement was reached requiring HPE to divest its Instant On business and conduct an auction for non-exclusive licensing of Juniper’s Mist AIOps source code.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Reports Q2 Revenue Growth
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

Hewlett Packard Enterprise announced its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, reporting a 6% increase in revenue to $7.6 billion compared to the previous year. Despite a solid performance in revenue growth across its product segments, the company faced challenges with a GAAP net loss per share of $(0.82) due to a non-cash impairment of legacy goodwill. HPE continues to focus on innovation and operational efficiency to enhance shareholder value, with an estimated revenue growth of 7% to 9% for fiscal 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025