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Nokia (NOK)
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Nokia (NOK) AI Stock Analysis

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NOK

Nokia

(NYSE:NOK)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(18.88% Upside)
Nokia's strong technical momentum and solid financial performance are the primary drivers of its stock score. While the valuation is somewhat high, the company's strategic growth in AI and cloud services and robust cash flow provide a positive outlook. Challenges in margin control and revenue volatility are notable risks.

Nokia (NOK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nokia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNokia Corporation is a global technology company based in Finland, primarily known for its telecommunications infrastructure and services. The company operates through two main sectors: Nokia Networks, which focuses on providing network equipment and services to telecommunications operators, and Nokia Technologies, which is involved in licensing its extensive portfolio of patents and technologies. Core products include mobile broadband infrastructure, fixed networks, 5G technology solutions, and software applications designed to enhance network performance and security.
How the Company Makes MoneyNokia generates revenue primarily through the sale of network equipment and services to telecom operators, enterprises, and public sector organizations. The Nokia Networks division is a key revenue driver, offering a range of products such as base stations, routers, and software for network management and optimization. Additionally, Nokia Technologies contributes significantly through licensing agreements, where the company monetizes its vast intellectual property portfolio by allowing other companies to use its patented technologies. Key partnerships with major telecom operators and technology companies further bolster Nokia's revenue, particularly in the deployment of 5G networks and the Internet of Things (IoT) solutions. The company's focus on innovation and investment in R&D also plays a crucial role in maintaining competitive advantages and driving future earnings.

Nokia Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Shows profit after direct costs for each business unit, revealing efficiency and pricing power across different segments.
Chart InsightsNokia's Network Infrastructure and Cloud and Network Services segments show resilience with recent growth, driven by strong demand and strategic deals. However, Mobile Networks faces challenges, reflected in declining profits due to past revenue recognition and external pressures like currency fluctuations and tariffs. Despite these hurdles, Nokia's focus on AI and technology advancements, alongside robust infrastructure growth, positions it for long-term opportunities. The revised profit outlook highlights the impact of macroeconomic factors, yet the company remains optimistic about cash flow and strategic growth areas.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Nokia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Nokia's earnings call reflected a mix of positive and negative elements. The company demonstrated strong sales growth across its business segments, with significant progress in the AI and cloud customer segment and successful integration of Infinera. However, challenges remain in the form of declining margins and the need for continued cost control measures.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Sales Growth
Nokia reported a 9% increase in net sales with all business groups showing growth. Strong order intake was observed in optical networks and IP networks, driven by AI and cloud customers.
AI and Cloud Customer Segment Growth
AI and cloud customer segment accounted for 6% of Nokia's group net sales, with 29% of optical networks' sales coming from this segment. This was supported by new strategic partnerships and product launches.
Infinera Acquisition Progress
Nokia is ahead of schedule with the integration of Infinera, which contributed positively to both net sales and order intake growth in Q3.
Cloud and Network Services Performance
Cloud and Network Services saw a 13% sales growth, with gross margin increasing by 380 basis points due to improved delivery costs and operating leverage.
Nokia Technologies Sales Growth
Nokia Technologies experienced a 14% increase in net sales in Q3, with several new deals signed.
Negative Updates
Decline in Gross and Operating Margins
Group gross margin declined by 150 basis points year-on-year, largely due to product mix in network infrastructure and mobile networks. Operating margin decreased by 220 basis points due to a one-time impact from the previous year's loss allowance reversal.
Mobile Networks Gross Margin Decline
In Mobile Networks, the gross margin declined by 370 basis points due to a lower software revenue contribution.
Cost Savings Program
While Nokia aims for EUR 450 million in savings by 2025, the company continues to face challenges in driving operational leverage and efficiency.
Company Guidance
During Nokia's Third Quarter 2025 Results Call, the company reported a 9% increase in net sales and a sequential improvement in network infrastructure gross margin, though the operating margin declined due to a previous year's one-time benefit. The AI and cloud customer segment represented 6% of group net sales, with notable contributions from optical networks and IP networks. Nokia expects fourth-quarter net sales to grow sequentially, surpassing the historical seasonality of 22%, and is tracking towards the midpoint of its operating profit outlook range of EUR 1.7 billion to EUR 2.2 billion. The company also highlighted its progress on the Infinera acquisition, contributing to net sales and order intake growth. Nokia's cloud and network services showed a 13% sales increase and improved gross margin, while mobile networks saw a 4% net sales increase. The company focuses on operational leverage through continuous productivity improvements rather than large restructuring programs, targeting approximately EUR 450 million in savings by 2025.

Nokia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nokia's financial performance is characterized by strong cash flow and a stable balance sheet, despite revenue volatility. The company has improved profitability margins and effective cost management, demonstrating financial resilience through robust cash generation and reduced leverage.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Nokia's revenue has shown volatility, with a notable drop from 2022 to 2024. However, gross profit margins remain relatively stable, indicating consistent cost management. The net profit margin improved significantly from 2023 to 2024, reflecting better profitability despite lower revenues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are satisfactory, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet illustrates a strong equity position with an equity ratio of around 52.8% in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, showing reduced leverage. Return on equity has increased, reflecting improved profitability relative to shareholder investments. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability and effective debt management.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow has significantly improved in 2024, showcasing robust cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow has grown impressively, indicating effective capital expenditure management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.77B19.22B21.14B24.91B22.20B21.87B
Gross Profit5.93B8.86B8.69B10.22B8.83B8.21B
EBITDA1.30B3.43B2.87B3.55B2.68B1.93B
Net Income354.00M1.28B665.00M4.25B1.62B-2.52B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.04B39.15B39.86B42.94B40.05B36.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.67B8.91B8.24B9.16B9.60B8.28B
Total Debt4.07B4.75B5.19B5.52B5.66B6.49B
Total Liabilities16.37B18.40B19.23B21.52B22.59B23.65B
Stockholders Equity19.58B20.66B20.54B21.33B17.36B12.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.24B2.02B665.00M873.00M2.07B1.28B
Operating Cash Flow1.70B2.49B1.32B1.47B2.63B1.76B
Investing Cash Flow-1.07B-117.00M1.04B-1.88B-1.79B-1.52B
Financing Cash Flow-2.12B-2.00B-1.50B-837.00M-1.21B883.00M

Nokia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.15
Price Trends
50DMA
5.16
Positive
100DMA
4.89
Positive
200DMA
4.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.60
Negative
RSI
70.99
Negative
STOCH
58.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NOK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.01, above the 50-day MA of 5.16, and above the 200-day MA of 4.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.99 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NOK.

Nokia Risk Analysis

Nokia disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nokia reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We may be unable to realize the anticipated benefits, synergies, cost savings or efficiencies from acquisitions, and we may encounter issues or inefficiencies related to our organizational and operational structure including being unable to successfully implement related business plans. Q4, 2024

Nokia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$294.32B29.2422.65%2.19%5.30%3.07%
$46.84B65.83186.53%0.34%33.45%103.34%
$34.49B13.8225.45%2.86%1.04%
$37.25B38.894.03%2.06%5.05%115.92%
$32.22B30.845.37%2.12%14.39%-38.96%
$67.74B32.64115.80%1.11%6.17%35.41%
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NOK
Nokia
7.15
2.55
55.43%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
74.45
19.70
35.98%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
10.27
2.12
26.01%
MSI
Motorola Solutions
391.50
-66.05
-14.44%
UI
Ubiquiti Networks
774.19
515.21
198.94%
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
24.50
5.03
25.83%

Nokia Corporate Events

Nokia Announces $1 Billion Strategic Partnership with NVIDIA
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Nokia announced a significant strategic partnership with NVIDIA, which includes a USD 1.0 billion equity investment by NVIDIA in Nokia. This investment will see NVIDIA become a 2.90% shareholder of Nokia. The partnership aims to advance the AI-RAN market and enhance data center networking, with Nokia using the proceeds to accelerate its strategic plans, including the development of 5G and 6G RAN software on NVIDIA’s architecture. This collaboration is expected to create substantial value for both companies and strengthen Nokia’s presence in the AI and Cloud market.

Nokia Manager’s Share Acquisition Highlights Market Confidence
Oct 27, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Nokia Corporation reported a manager’s transaction involving Tommi Uitto, a senior manager, who acquired shares on NASDAQ Helsinki. This transaction, under the EU Market Abuse Regulation, highlights Nokia’s ongoing internal financial activities and could indicate confidence in the company’s market positioning and future prospects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025