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Nokia (NOK)
NYSE:NOK
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Nokia (NOK) AI Stock Analysis

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NOK

Nokia

(NYSE:NOK)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(7.08% Upside)
Nokia's overall score reflects strong revenue growth and strategic advancements in AI and cloud services, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, valuation concerns and margin pressures weigh on the score. The technical analysis suggests mixed market sentiment, and the financial performance indicates areas needing improvement, particularly in profitability and cash flow.
Positive Factors
5G Network Expansion
This strategic partnership to expand 5G networks in Italy strengthens Nokia's market position and supports long-term revenue growth in telecommunications.
AI and Cloud Growth
Growth in AI and cloud segments indicates Nokia's successful diversification and potential for sustainable revenue streams in emerging tech markets.
Strategic Partnership with NVIDIA
The partnership with NVIDIA enhances Nokia's capabilities in AI and 6G, positioning it strongly for future technological advancements and market leadership.
Negative Factors
Declining Margins
Declining margins could impact profitability, indicating challenges in cost management and pricing power, which may affect long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Challenges
A decline in cash flow growth suggests potential difficulties in funding operations and investments, impacting Nokia's financial flexibility and growth initiatives.
Operating Margin Decline
A decline in operating margin reflects increased costs or reduced pricing power, potentially affecting Nokia's ability to sustain profitability over time.

Nokia (NOK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nokia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNokia Corporation is a Finnish multinational telecommunications, information technology, and consumer electronics company. Founded in 1865, Nokia operates primarily in two sectors: Networks and Nokia Technologies. The Networks segment provides a range of telecommunications infrastructure, software, and services to mobile network operators and service providers globally, focusing on 5G technology and Internet of Things (IoT) solutions. Nokia Technologies, on the other hand, encompasses the company’s patent licensing and technology development activities, allowing it to monetize its vast intellectual property portfolio. The company is known for its commitment to innovation, sustainability, and delivering connectivity solutions across various industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyNokia generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary revenue source is its Networks segment, which includes sales of hardware (like base stations and network equipment), software, and managed services to telecom operators and enterprises. The company benefits from the ongoing global rollout of 5G networks, which drives demand for its cutting-edge solutions. Additionally, Nokia earns significant income through its Nokia Technologies division, which licenses its patents to other companies in the telecommunications and electronics industries. This includes royalties from licensing agreements with smartphone manufacturers and other technology firms. Strategic partnerships with major telecommunications companies and industry collaborations also play a crucial role in enhancing Nokia's market presence and revenue potential. Furthermore, the company invests in research and development to innovate and expand its service offerings, ensuring a steady pipeline of revenue-generating products.

Nokia Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Shows profit after direct costs for each business unit, revealing efficiency and pricing power across different segments.
Chart InsightsNokia's Network Infrastructure and Cloud and Network Services segments show resilience with recent growth, driven by strong demand and strategic deals. However, Mobile Networks faces challenges, reflected in declining profits due to past revenue recognition and external pressures like currency fluctuations and tariffs. Despite these hurdles, Nokia's focus on AI and technology advancements, alongside robust infrastructure growth, positions it for long-term opportunities. The revised profit outlook highlights the impact of macroeconomic factors, yet the company remains optimistic about cash flow and strategic growth areas.
Data provided by:The Fly

Nokia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Nokia's earnings call reflected a mix of positive and negative elements. The company demonstrated strong sales growth across its business segments, with significant progress in the AI and cloud customer segment and successful integration of Infinera. However, challenges remain in the form of declining margins and the need for continued cost control measures.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Sales Growth
Nokia reported a 9% increase in net sales with all business groups showing growth. Strong order intake was observed in optical networks and IP networks, driven by AI and cloud customers.
AI and Cloud Customer Segment Growth
AI and cloud customer segment accounted for 6% of Nokia's group net sales, with 29% of optical networks' sales coming from this segment. This was supported by new strategic partnerships and product launches.
Infinera Acquisition Progress
Nokia is ahead of schedule with the integration of Infinera, which contributed positively to both net sales and order intake growth in Q3.
Cloud and Network Services Performance
Cloud and Network Services saw a 13% sales growth, with gross margin increasing by 380 basis points due to improved delivery costs and operating leverage.
Nokia Technologies Sales Growth
Nokia Technologies experienced a 14% increase in net sales in Q3, with several new deals signed.
Negative Updates
Decline in Gross and Operating Margins
Group gross margin declined by 150 basis points year-on-year, largely due to product mix in network infrastructure and mobile networks. Operating margin decreased by 220 basis points due to a one-time impact from the previous year's loss allowance reversal.
Mobile Networks Gross Margin Decline
In Mobile Networks, the gross margin declined by 370 basis points due to a lower software revenue contribution.
Cost Savings Program
While Nokia aims for EUR 450 million in savings by 2025, the company continues to face challenges in driving operational leverage and efficiency.
Company Guidance
During Nokia's Third Quarter 2025 Results Call, the company reported a 9% increase in net sales and a sequential improvement in network infrastructure gross margin, though the operating margin declined due to a previous year's one-time benefit. The AI and cloud customer segment represented 6% of group net sales, with notable contributions from optical networks and IP networks. Nokia expects fourth-quarter net sales to grow sequentially, surpassing the historical seasonality of 22%, and is tracking towards the midpoint of its operating profit outlook range of EUR 1.7 billion to EUR 2.2 billion. The company also highlighted its progress on the Infinera acquisition, contributing to net sales and order intake growth. Nokia's cloud and network services showed a 13% sales increase and improved gross margin, while mobile networks saw a 4% net sales increase. The company focuses on operational leverage through continuous productivity improvements rather than large restructuring programs, targeting approximately EUR 450 million in savings by 2025.

Nokia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nokia shows strong revenue recovery and maintains a solid balance sheet with low leverage. However, profitability margins are under pressure, and cash flow generation has declined, indicating areas for improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Nokia's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 60.31% in the TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 5.87% from 6.64% in the previous year, reflecting some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth is positive at 40.2% TTM, a significant improvement from the previous year's decline, suggesting a strong recovery and growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21, indicating a conservative leverage position. Return on equity is modest at 5.75%, down from previous years, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 54.33%, reflecting a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 10.62% TTM, indicating challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.20, suggesting that operating cash flows are not fully covering net income, which could be a concern if it persists. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 67.65%, showing decent cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.15B19.22B21.14B24.91B22.20B21.87B
Gross Profit8.89B8.86B8.69B10.22B8.83B8.21B
EBITDA2.73B3.43B2.87B3.55B2.68B1.93B
Net Income1.20B1.28B665.00M4.25B1.62B-2.52B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.04B39.15B39.86B42.94B40.05B46.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.67B8.91B8.24B9.16B9.60B9.86B
Total Debt4.07B4.75B5.19B5.52B5.66B7.94B
Total Liabilities16.37B18.40B19.23B21.52B22.59B31.17B
Stockholders Equity19.58B20.66B20.54B21.33B17.36B15.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.37B2.02B665.00M873.00M2.06B1.28B
Operating Cash Flow2.02B2.49B1.32B1.47B2.63B1.76B
Investing Cash Flow-1.34B-117.00M1.04B-1.88B-1.79B-1.52B
Financing Cash Flow-2.74B-2.00B-1.50B-837.00M-1.21B883.00M

Nokia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.07
Price Trends
50DMA
6.04
Positive
100DMA
5.20
Positive
200DMA
5.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
44.92
Neutral
STOCH
70.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NOK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.37, above the 50-day MA of 6.04, and above the 200-day MA of 5.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NOK.

Nokia Risk Analysis

Nokia disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nokia reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We may be unable to realize the anticipated benefits, synergies, cost savings or efficiencies from acquisitions, and we may encounter issues or inefficiencies related to our organizational and operational structure including being unable to successfully implement related business plans. Q4, 2024

Nokia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$308.07B29.4023.01%2.09%8.91%14.53%
74
Outperform
$31.99B12.7925.45%2.56%1.04%
72
Outperform
$30.22B28.110.23%2.27%14.00%-102.25%
71
Outperform
$62.36B30.04115.80%1.16%6.17%35.41%
66
Neutral
$33.97B34.164.03%2.43%5.05%115.92%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$34.39B43.10155.78%0.48%36.77%102.83%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NOK
Nokia
6.07
1.77
41.16%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
77.97
20.50
35.67%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
9.50
1.33
16.28%
MSI
Motorola Solutions
374.39
-99.82
-21.05%
UI
Ubiquiti Networks
577.92
250.48
76.50%
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
23.33
0.83
3.69%

Nokia Corporate Events

Nokia Announces $1 Billion Strategic Partnership with NVIDIA
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Nokia announced a significant strategic partnership with NVIDIA, which includes a USD 1.0 billion equity investment by NVIDIA in Nokia. This investment will see NVIDIA become a 2.90% shareholder of Nokia. The partnership aims to advance the AI-RAN market and enhance data center networking, with Nokia using the proceeds to accelerate its strategic plans, including the development of 5G and 6G RAN software on NVIDIA’s architecture. This collaboration is expected to create substantial value for both companies and strengthen Nokia’s presence in the AI and Cloud market.

Nokia Manager’s Share Acquisition Highlights Market Confidence
Oct 27, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Nokia Corporation reported a manager’s transaction involving Tommi Uitto, a senior manager, who acquired shares on NASDAQ Helsinki. This transaction, under the EU Market Abuse Regulation, highlights Nokia’s ongoing internal financial activities and could indicate confidence in the company’s market positioning and future prospects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025