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Motorola Solutions (MSI)
NYSE:MSI

Motorola Solutions (MSI) AI Stock Analysis

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Motorola Solutions

(NYSE:MSI)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$469.00
▲( 11.95% Upside)
Motorola Solutions scores well due to strong financial performance and positive earnings call results, showcasing growth in key segments. However, high valuation and mixed technical signals temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
Motorola has a presence in the Middle East and should benefit from the region’s $1.5 trillion infrastructure boom and strong U.S. geopolitical ties.
Product Innovation
SVX and Assist AI offerings provide a more holistic record of incidents by consolidating voice and video onto one device, enhancing evidence reporting for police.
Negative Factors
Competitive Challenges
There is an uphill battle in gaining market share in body cameras from AXON, which remains a strong competitor with compelling AI features.
Revenue Growth Concerns
Shares are under pressure because the guidance implies that the revenue growth cadence will be back-end loaded.

Motorola Solutions (MSI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Motorola Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMotorola Solutions, Inc. provides mission critical communications and analytics in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Services. The Products and Systems Integration segment offers a portfolio of infrastructure, devices, accessories, and video security devices and infrastructure, as well as the implementation, and integration of systems, devices, software, and applications for government, public safety, and commercial customers who operate private communications networks and video security solutions, as well as manage a mobile workforce. Its land mobile radio communications and video security and access control devices include two-way portable and vehicle-mounted radios, fixed and mobile video cameras, and accessories; radio network core and central processing software, base stations, consoles, and repeaters; and video analytics, network video management hardware and software, and access control solutions. The Software and Services segment provides repair, technical support, and hardware maintenance services. This segment also offers monitoring, software updates, and cybersecurity services; and public safety and enterprise command center software, unified communications applications, and video software solutions through on-premise and as a service. It serves government, public safety, and commercial customers. The company was formerly known as Motorola, Inc. and changed its name to Motorola Solutions, Inc. in January 2011. Motorola Solutions, Inc. was founded in 1928 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyMotorola Solutions generates revenue primarily through the sale of its communication equipment, software, and services. The company has two main segments: Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Services. The Products and Systems Integration segment includes sales of devices like two-way radios and video security systems, which are crucial for public safety and enterprise customers. The Software and Services segment provides recurring revenue through subscription-based models, offering command center software, video analytics, and managed services. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with government entities and enterprises, leveraging its technology to enhance operational efficiency and security. Strategic partnerships with agencies and organizations globally also play a significant role in driving Motorola Solutions' earnings.

Motorola Solutions Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Backlog
Backlog
Represents the value of unfulfilled orders, showing future revenue visibility and overall product demand strength.
Chart InsightsMotorola Solutions' backlog has shown fluctuations, with a notable decrease in Q1 2025, attributed to strong LMR shipments and revenue recognition. Despite this, the company achieved record Q1 revenue and growth in Software and Services, suggesting robust operational performance. However, the backlog decrease highlights potential challenges in sustaining future growth, especially with international revenue pressures and tariff impacts. Investors should monitor how effectively the company navigates these challenges while capitalizing on its software and services momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Motorola Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Motorola Solutions demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, robust margins, and efficient cash flow generation. The high return on equity is a positive indicator, but the company's high leverage poses potential risks if market conditions shift unfavorably.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Motorola Solutions shows strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trend over the years, with recent TTM revenue increasing by 10.2% compared to the previous year. The company maintains a robust gross profit margin of 51% and a net profit margin of 18.7% for the TTM, indicating strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 25.2% and 28.8%, respectively, showcasing efficient operations. Overall, the income statement reflects stability and growth, although slight fluctuations in EBITDA margins warrant attention.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Motorola Solutions indicates moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.71, reflecting higher debt levels compared to equity. The return on equity is impressive at 124.7% for the TTM, driven by strong net income relative to equity. However, the equity ratio is low at 11.4%, suggesting reliance on liabilities for asset financing. While profitability is strong, the high leverage poses a risk if market conditions change unfavorably.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.23, indicating effective cash generation from operations. Free cash flow growth is steady, with a significant increase in recent periods, highlighting good cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.11, supporting the company's profitability. Despite strong cash flow metrics, continuous monitoring of capital expenditure is recommended to maintain healthy free cash flow levels.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.96B10.82B9.98B9.11B8.17B7.41B
Gross Profit
5.58B5.51B4.97B4.23B4.04B3.61B
EBIT
2.76B2.69B2.29B1.66B1.67B1.38B
EBITDA
3.16B2.65B2.75B2.26B2.26B1.86B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.05B1.58B1.71B1.36B1.25B949.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.56B2.10B1.71B1.32B1.87B1.25B
Total Assets
14.43B14.60B13.34B12.81B12.19B10.88B
Total Debt
6.53B6.55B6.55B6.55B6.01B5.58B
Net Debt
4.96B4.45B4.84B5.23B4.13B4.32B
Total Liabilities
12.77B12.88B12.60B12.68B12.21B11.42B
Stockholders Equity
1.64B1.70B724.00M116.00M-40.00M-558.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.27B2.13B1.79B1.57B1.59B1.40B
Operating Cash Flow
2.52B2.39B2.04B1.82B1.84B1.61B
Investing Cash Flow
-937.00M-507.00M-414.00M-1.39B-742.00M-437.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.53B-1.45B-1.29B-906.00M-429.00M-966.00M

Motorola Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price418.92
Price Trends
50DMA
422.18
Negative
100DMA
436.22
Negative
200DMA
446.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Negative
RSI
48.26
Neutral
STOCH
69.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 418.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 420.46, below the 50-day MA of 422.18, and below the 200-day MA of 446.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MSI.

Motorola Solutions Risk Analysis

Motorola Solutions disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Motorola Solutions reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Motorola Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MSMSI
74
Outperform
$70.39B35.18189.18%0.97%7.45%46.78%
74
Outperform
$14.66B27.2616.16%16.72%109.89%
HPHPE
70
Outperform
$23.05B8.6812.09%2.96%10.93%43.19%
68
Neutral
$29.03B184.651.67%2.06%-2.08%
64
Neutral
$12.03B34.407.58%2.45%-2.56%52.05%
NONOK
64
Neutral
$28.04B35.735.70%1.88%-9.96%-6.83%
61
Neutral
$11.29B10.07-7.05%2.96%7.47%-10.75%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSI
Motorola Solutions
418.92
62.54
17.55%
JNPR
Juniper Networks
35.99
2.39
7.11%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
8.66
2.82
48.29%
NOK
Nokia
5.34
1.56
41.27%
ZBRA
Zebra Tech
284.21
-42.03
-12.88%
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
17.42
-0.49
-2.74%

Motorola Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.61%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a robust start to the fiscal year with record achievements in revenue, operating earnings, and cash flow. The company shows strong growth in Software and Services and Video Technologies, with effective mitigation strategies for tariffs. However, challenges such as international revenue decline due to currency headwinds and a decrease in backlog indicate areas needing attention.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Performance
The company achieved record first quarter revenue, record operating earnings, and record cash flow, with Q1 revenue up 6% year-over-year.
Software and Services Growth
Sales in Software and Services were up 9%, driven by strong adoption of software applications across the safety and security ecosystem and LMR services.
Product and SI Segment Performance
Sales in products and SI were up 4% with significant operating margin expansion due to growth in higher tier public safety devices and lower material costs.
Video and Software Revenue Growth
Video and Software investments continue to drive meaningful revenue growth, with Command Center and Video Technologies growing double digits.
Strong Cash Flow
Q1 operating cash flow was $510 million, up $128 million versus last year, and free cash flow was $473 million, up $137 million.
Negative Updates
International Revenue Decline
International Q1 revenue was $676 million, down 3% versus last year, due to foreign currency headwinds and lower LMR revenue from Ukraine.
Backlog Decrease
Ending backlog for Q1 was $14.1 billion, down $306 million or 2% versus last year, driven by strong LMR shipments and revenue recognition.
Tariff Challenges
Higher costs from the current tariff environment could impact up to $100 million this year, though mitigation efforts are in place.
Company Guidance
During the Motorola Solutions Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported record first quarter revenue, operating earnings, and cash flow, with revenue growth of 6% exceeding guidance. Software and Services sales increased by 9%, driven by strong adoption of software applications, while Products and SI sales grew by 4%. Non-GAAP operating earnings rose by 12% to $716 million, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 28.3%. GAAP earnings per share were $2.53, while non-GAAP EPS stood at $3.18, reflecting a 13% increase. The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, expecting 5.5% revenue growth and non-GAAP EPS of $14.64 to $14.74, despite an anticipated $100 million impact from tariffs. Operating cash flow was $510 million, up by $128 million from the previous year, and free cash flow reached $473 million. The company also reported $325 million in share repurchases and $182 million in cash dividends for the quarter.

Motorola Solutions Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Motorola Solutions Shareholders Approve Key Proposals
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Motorola Solutions held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where all director nominees were elected for a one-year term. Additionally, shareholders ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025 and approved the company’s executive compensation on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSI) stock is a Buy with a $460.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Motorola Solutions stock, see the MSI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Motorola Solutions Secures New $2.25 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Apr 25, 2025

On April 25, 2025, Motorola Solutions entered into a new $2.25 billion revolving credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, replacing its previous agreement from March 2021. This new facility, maturing in 2030, supports the company’s general corporate purposes and includes options for extension and increased commitments, reflecting Motorola’s strategic financial planning and strengthening its operational flexibility.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.