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Motorola Solutions (MSI)
NYSE:MSI

Motorola Solutions (MSI) AI Stock Analysis

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MSI

Motorola Solutions

(NYSE:MSI)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$520.00
▲(17.51% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
MSI scores well on durable profitability, strong free cash flow, and an upbeat earnings outlook with record backlog and margin expansion guidance. The score is held back primarily by elevated leverage and a premium valuation, while technicals remain supportive with steady (not overheated) momentum.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent, large free cash flow (F F O ~2.6B in 2025) and ~90.7% FCF conversion provide durable funding for R&D, dividends, buybacks and disciplined M&A. Strong cash generation underpins capital allocation and cushions operating volatility over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Material debt load (~$10.1B) and high debt-to-equity reduce financial flexibility. Operating cash flow covers less than half of total debt (~0.47x), making the company more sensitive to rate increases or cyclical slowdowns and constraining optionality for large capital moves.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistent, large free cash flow (F F O ~2.6B in 2025) and ~90.7% FCF conversion provide durable funding for R&D, dividends, buybacks and disciplined M&A. Strong cash generation underpins capital allocation and cushions operating volatility over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Motorola Solutions (MSI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Motorola Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Motorola Solutions, Inc. provides mission critical communications and analytics in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Service...
How the Company Makes Money
Motorola Solutions makes money primarily by selling mission-critical communication hardware and systems, expanding those deployments with software, and supporting customers through long-term services and recurring software revenue. 1) Product and...

Motorola Solutions Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Motorola Solutions is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsMotorola Solutions' North American revenue shows strong growth momentum, with significant increases in recent quarters, aligning with the company's optimistic earnings guidance. The international segment, while growing, lags behind North America. The earnings call highlights robust demand, particularly in software and services, and a record backlog, suggesting sustained revenue potential. Despite tariff challenges and potential government shutdown impacts, the strategic integration of acquisitions like Silvus and a focus on public safety solutions are expected to drive continued growth, particularly in North America.
Data provided by:The Fly

Motorola Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong, broad-based operational and financial momentum: record revenue, operating earnings, margins, and cash flow, sizable backlog growth and large customer wins, successful product launches (SVX, APEX Next, Assist Suites), and an upgraded Silvus revenue outlook. Offsetting items include tariff and parts cost headwinds, higher OpEx and interest from acquisitions and financing, product-backlog normalization and seasonal Q1 softness, and some commercialization limits for Silvus tied to spectrum. On balance, the positive operational execution, robust cash generation, margin expansion, and raised guidance materially outweigh the manageable near-term headwinds, indicating a constructive outlook.
Positive Updates
Record Company Financials and Margins
Full-year 2025 revenue of $11.7B (+8% YoY); non-GAAP EPS $15.38 (+11% YoY); GAAP EPS $12.75 (+38% YoY, aided by prior-year accounting impact). Company achieved first-ever >30% annual non-GAAP operating margin (30.3%, +130 bps YoY).
Negative Updates
Tariffs and Cost Headwinds
Management expects an incremental tariff headwind of approximately $60M in the first half of 2026; tariffs were called out as a partial offset to margin expansion in 2025 and 2026 planning.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Company Financials and Margins
Full-year 2025 revenue of $11.7B (+8% YoY); non-GAAP EPS $15.38 (+11% YoY); GAAP EPS $12.75 (+38% YoY, aided by prior-year accounting impact). Company achieved first-ever >30% annual non-GAAP operating margin (30.3%, +130 bps YoY).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided Q1 revenue to increase 6–7% with non‑GAAP EPS of $3.20–$3.25 (assumes ~168 million diluted shares and a 20.5% effective tax rate). For full‑year 2026 they expect about $12.7 billion of revenue, non‑GAAP EPS of $16.70–$16.85 (≈168 million shares, ~22.5% tax rate), roughly $3.0 billion of operating cash flow, and ~100 basis points of operating margin expansion; the outlook includes about $100 million of favorable FX and assumes an incremental tariff headwind of ~ $60 million in H1. Segment and technology targets in the guide are: Software & Services growth 10–11%, Products & SI 7–8%, video 10–11%, Command Center 15%, and MCN 7–8% (with MCN accelerating in H2), and management expects continued double‑digit product orders.

Motorola Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation (Income Statement 86; Cash Flow 84) with expanding margins and solid free-cash-flow conversion, offset by materially elevated leverage and thin equity (Balance Sheet 58), especially after the 2025 debt increase.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.68B10.82B9.98B9.11B8.17B
Gross Profit5.86B5.51B4.97B4.23B4.04B
EBITDA3.52B2.60B2.75B2.19B2.21B
Net Income2.15B1.58B1.71B1.36B1.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.39B14.60B13.34B12.81B12.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.17B2.10B1.71B1.32B1.87B
Total Debt9.77B6.55B6.55B6.55B6.13B
Total Liabilities16.96B12.88B12.60B12.68B12.21B
Stockholders Equity2.41B1.70B724.00M116.00M-40.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.57B2.13B1.79B1.57B1.59B
Operating Cash Flow2.84B2.39B2.04B1.82B1.84B
Investing Cash Flow-5.16B-507.00M-414.00M-1.39B-742.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.31B-1.45B-1.29B-906.00M-429.00M

Motorola Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price442.50
Price Trends
50DMA
447.46
Negative
100DMA
412.50
Positive
200DMA
426.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.14
Positive
RSI
45.99
Neutral
STOCH
66.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 442.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 450.28, below the 50-day MA of 447.46, and above the 200-day MA of 426.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MSI.

Motorola Solutions Risk Analysis

Motorola Solutions disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Motorola Solutions reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Motorola Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$73.30B29.58103.24%1.18%6.17%35.41%
74
Outperform
$328.51B23.2323.64%2.09%8.91%14.53%
70
Outperform
$39.85B8.8429.57%2.51%1.04%
66
Neutral
$10.97B29.4511.50%13.35%34.73%
66
Neutral
$32.95B17.34-0.64%2.17%14.17%-102.25%
63
Neutral
$52.58B49.364.38%2.26%5.05%115.92%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSI
Motorola Solutions
442.50
24.70
5.91%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
83.17
27.13
48.41%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
11.90
4.77
66.90%
NOK
Nokia
9.55
4.70
96.95%
ZBRA
Zebra Tech
223.07
-2.37
-1.05%
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
24.83
11.04
80.04%

Motorola Solutions Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Motorola Solutions Adds Peter Leav to Board of Directors
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
On March 12, 2026, Motorola Solutions increased the size of its board of directors from eight to nine members and appointed technology veteran Peter A. Leav as a director and member of the Compensation and Leadership Committee, effective immediate...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026