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Zebra Tech (ZBRA)
NASDAQ:ZBRA
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Zebra Tech (ZBRA) AI Stock Analysis

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ZBRA

Zebra Tech

(NASDAQ:ZBRA)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$276.00
▲(17.73% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/14/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong and rebounding free cash flow despite lower net margins and moderate leverage) and a bullish earnings update (raised FY guidance, strong Q1 results, and continued buybacks). Technicals are supportive but mixed given the stock is still below its 200-day average, while valuation is broadly reasonable with no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Sustained, high free cash flow provides durable optionality: funds share buybacks, debt paydown, and R&D without relying on equity markets. Close FCF-to-net-income conversion signals earnings quality and gives management flexibility to invest in product roadmap and integration of acquisitions over quarters.
Negative Factors
Moderate leverage
Meaningful leverage limits financial flexibility during downturns and increases interest expense sensitivity to rate moves. While manageable today, elevated debt relative to equity constrains capacity for large strategic investments or cushions against prolonged demand softness across industrial and retail end markets.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow generation
Sustained, high free cash flow provides durable optionality: funds share buybacks, debt paydown, and R&D without relying on equity markets. Close FCF-to-net-income conversion signals earnings quality and gives management flexibility to invest in product roadmap and integration of acquisitions over quarters.
Read all positive factors

Zebra Tech Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Highlights the profit generated by each segment before accounting for overhead, showing which parts of the business are most lucrative.
Chart InsightsEnterprise Visibility & Mobility endured a mid-cycle blow then recovered, while Asset Intelligence & Tracking has become a steadier source of gross-profit growth—together shifting the mix toward product-led strength. Management’s Elo and Fotoneo deals and RFID/machine-vision momentum should reinforce that trend, but impending memory-cost pressure and elevated repair/service costs could compress margins near term; the company’s ability to execute price increases, supplier actions and robotics-exit savings will determine whether reported gross profit rebounds fully or faces continued margin headwinds.
Data provided by:The Fly

Zebra Tech (ZBRA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zebra Tech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Zebra Technologies Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides enterprise asset intelligence solutions in the automatic identification and data capture solutions industry worldwide. It operates in two segments, Asset Intelligence & Track...
How the Company Makes Money
Zebra makes money primarily by selling enterprise hardware and the related recurring and attach revenues that accompany those deployments. A major revenue stream comes from product sales of AIDC devices and systems—such as barcode label printers (...

Zebra Tech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong top-line and bottom-line results (nearly $1.5B revenue, +14% YoY; EPS +18%), margin expansion, robust cash generation and aggressive buybacks, and management raised the full-year outlook. These positives are tempered by a key operational risk: memory supply and cost volatility that is expected to pressure margins sequentially (notably into Q2) and could constrain back-half volumes. Additional modest risks include reliance on acquisitions/FX for part of near-term growth and trade/tariff uncertainty. Overall, the company's execution, pipeline strength, and margin actions appear to outweigh the near-term headwinds but the memory issue remains an execution risk to monitor.
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Revenue Growth
Q1 sales of nearly $1.5 billion, up 14.3% year-over-year (reported) and +4.3% on an organic (constant currency) basis, with broad-based growth across segments and regions.
Negative Updates
Memory Cost and Supply Uncertainty
Memory remains a dynamic headwind: modest impact in Q1 but management expects a sequential step-up in memory costs in Q2 (management cited ~1.5 points of sequential EBITDA headwind) and constrained availability could reduce back-half volumes; mitigation plans are in place but execution risk remains.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Q1 Revenue Growth
Q1 sales of nearly $1.5 billion, up 14.3% year-over-year (reported) and +4.3% on an organic (constant currency) basis, with broad-based growth across segments and regions.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Zebra guided Q2 sales growth of 14%–17% year‑over‑year (including ~10.5 points from acquisitions and favorable FX), Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin slightly above 21% and Q2 non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $4.20–$4.50; for FY2026 it now expects sales growth of 10%–14% (midpoint +1 point vs. prior outlook) with a ~7‑point benefit from acquisitions/FX, adjusted EBITDA margin of ~22%, non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $18.30–$18.70, and free cash flow of at least $900 million (≈100% conversion). The guide assumes full mitigation of a 2‑point memory cost headwind (including ~1 point of pricing), and builds on Q1 results of nearly $1.5B sales (+14% y/y, +4% organic), 50.4% adjusted gross margin (+80 bps), 23.2% adjusted EBITDA margin, $4.75 non‑GAAP EPS (+18% y/y), $163M Q1 free cash flow, $500M of share repurchases YTD, net leverage ~2.1x and $1.1B of credit capacity.

Zebra Tech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid and improving: TTM revenue returned to modest growth (+3.5%) and cash generation is a standout (TTM FCF ~$836M, up ~60%, with ~0.91x FCF-to-net-income). Offsets are a lower net margin (~7.5% vs. prior-cycle peaks) and a moderately leveraged balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.81, ROE ~11.5%) which reduces flexibility if conditions soften.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.58B5.40B4.98B4.58B5.78B5.63B
Gross Profit2.65B2.48B2.41B2.12B2.62B2.63B
EBITDA1.02B985.00M937.00M761.00M1.14B1.16B
Net Income418.00M419.00M528.00M296.00M463.00M837.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.33B8.50B7.97B7.31B7.53B6.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments114.00M125.00M901.00M137.00M105.00M332.00M
Total Debt2.81B2.82B2.36B2.41B2.34B1.15B
Total Liabilities4.86B4.91B4.38B4.27B4.80B3.23B
Stockholders Equity3.47B3.59B3.59B3.04B2.73B2.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow836.00M831.00M954.00M-91.00M413.00M1.01B
Operating Cash Flow915.00M917.00M1.01B-4.00M488.00M1.07B
Investing Cash Flow-1.38B-1.46B-57.00M-92.00M-968.00M-546.00M
Financing Cash Flow-305.00M-239.00M-190.00M117.00M253.00M-371.00M

Zebra Tech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price234.43
Price Trends
50DMA
225.56
Positive
100DMA
238.56
Negative
200DMA
271.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.27
Negative
RSI
65.68
Neutral
STOCH
90.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZBRA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 234.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 214.54, above the 50-day MA of 225.56, and below the 200-day MA of 271.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ZBRA.

Zebra Tech Risk Analysis

Zebra Tech disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zebra Tech reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zebra Tech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$12.35B18.9211.59%10.66%-21.83%
72
Outperform
$41.56B96.4225.11%2.51%4.40%1595.74%
69
Neutral
$43.92B17.34-0.64%2.17%15.04%-108.60%
67
Neutral
$65.28B49.7190.39%1.18%8.32%2.54%
67
Neutral
$77.19B113.024.38%2.26%12.83%9.07%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$4.23B-30.79-13.90%-0.69%-3584.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZBRA
Zebra Tech
259.35
-38.47
-12.92%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
12.50
4.11
48.95%
MSI
Motorola Solutions
393.28
-27.41
-6.52%
NOK
Nokia
13.95
8.81
171.40%
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
33.10
16.07
94.37%
PI
IMPINJ
138.72
15.40
12.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026