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IMPINJ Inc (PI)
NASDAQ:PI
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IMPINJ (PI) AI Stock Analysis

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PI

IMPINJ

(NASDAQ:PI)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$132.00
▲(17.56% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/30/26
The score is driven by mixed financial quality (strong free cash flow but weak/unstable earnings and elevated leverage) and a supportive earnings outlook (Q2 profitability rebound guided alongside strong bookings and market share gains). Technicals add support with clear upward momentum, while valuation remains a headwind due to loss-making results and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Impinj’s sustained positive operating and free cash flow across 2024–2025 and TTM indicates durable cash conversion ability despite accounting losses. This underpins funding for R&D, product ramps, debt reduction and opportunistic capital uses, improving resilience through business cycles.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Leverage materially above parity constrains flexibility: with debt-to-equity near 1.3–1.6, Impinj must generate consistent earnings to de-risk the balance sheet. Elevated leverage increases refinancing and interest risk, and heightens the impact of any future demand slowdown on liquidity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Impinj’s sustained positive operating and free cash flow across 2024–2025 and TTM indicates durable cash conversion ability despite accounting losses. This underpins funding for R&D, product ramps, debt reduction and opportunistic capital uses, improving resilience through business cycles.
Read all positive factors

IMPINJ (PI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IMPINJ Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Impinj, Inc., established in 2000 and headquartered in Seattle, Washington, provides a sophisticated cloud connectivity platform across the Americas, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. This comprehensive platform facilitates the wi...
How the Company Makes Money
Impinj primarily makes money by selling RAIN RFID semiconductors and related products to business customers across the RFID ecosystem. The largest revenue stream is typically product revenue from endpoint ICs (chips that go into RFID tags/labels a...

IMPINJ Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a mix of near‑term execution challenges and clear forward momentum. Q1 showed sequential revenue and profitability pressure (notably a 20% sequential revenue decline and a sharp drop in adjusted EBITDA), systems revenue timing issues, and gross margin headwinds from indirect costs and a production utilization issue. Offsetting these negatives were record endpoint IC bookings, a 1,700 basis‑point market share gain versus 2024, a visible custom ASIC ramp with volumes expected to more than double in Q2, product and Gen2X technology improvements (including up to +25% M800 read‑range gains), healthy channel inventory entering Q2, and a strong Q2 guide implying ~7% year‑over‑year revenue growth and materially higher adjusted EBITDA and non‑GAAP net income. Management’s prudent stance on the back half reflects macro caution but does not obscure sizable enterprise and retail opportunities. Balancing the substantial forward‑looking positives against the transient quarter‑specific headwinds yields a constructive outlook.
Positive Updates
Record Endpoint IC Bookings and Material Market Share Gain
Company reported all-time record endpoint IC bookings driven by a custom ASIC ramp at a large North American supply chain/logistics end user, retailer rebuys, and customers booking beyond standard lead times. RAIN Alliance industry volumes showed Impinj's market share grew 1,700 basis points (17 percentage points) over 2024.
Negative Updates
Sequential Revenue Decline
Total Q1 revenue was $74.3 million, down 20% sequentially from $92.8 million in Q4 2025, although flat year‑over‑year versus Q1 2025 ($74.3M).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Endpoint IC Bookings and Material Market Share Gain
Company reported all-time record endpoint IC bookings driven by a custom ASIC ramp at a large North American supply chain/logistics end user, retailer rebuys, and customers booking beyond standard lead times. RAIN Alliance industry volumes showed Impinj's market share grew 1,700 basis points (17 percentage points) over 2024.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided Q2 revenue of $103–$106 million (midpoint ≈ +7% YoY vs. $97.9M), adjusted EBITDA of $27.8–$29.3 million, non‑GAAP net income of $24.6–$26.1 million (non‑GAAP diluted EPS $0.77–$0.82), and said product gross margin should increase sequentially while operating expense is expected to be roughly similar to Q1’s $35.5M (Q1 R&D $20.4M, S&M $7.3M, G&A $7.8M). For context they reported Q1 revenue $74.3M, Q1 adjusted EBITDA $3.4M (4.5% margin), cash & investments $235.2M, inventory $86.3M, capex $1.7M and free cash flow $2.2M; management also noted a ~100 bps Q1 gross‑margin impact from a now‑resolved production underutilization issue and a $40.2M convertible‑note repurchase that reduced dilution by roughly 400,000 shares.

IMPINJ Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are mixed: cash generation is strong and improving (positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2024–2025 and TTM), but profitability is inconsistent with net losses in 2025 and TTM and revenue flattening/turning slightly negative. The balance sheet has improved versus earlier years but still carries elevated leverage (debt-to-equity above 1), raising risk if earnings don’t normalize.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue361.05M361.07M366.09M307.54M257.80M190.28M
Gross Profit188.92M187.60M188.85M151.98M137.88M98.95M
EBITDA-8.63M8.49M10.32M-26.59M-13.54M-30.93M
Net Income-27.66M-10.85M40.84M-43.37M-24.30M-51.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets502.52M545.19M489.08M359.41M349.74M315.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments131.84M175.34M164.71M113.23M173.75M193.35M
Total Debt265.07M326.73M298.52M294.59M294.43M308.51M
Total Liabilities298.62M335.95M339.22M325.28M334.15M326.61M
Stockholders Equity203.91M209.23M149.86M34.13M15.59M-11.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.12M45.88M111.20M-68.22M-11.44M-9.77M
Operating Cash Flow73.87M58.75M128.31M-49.38M641.00K6.46M
Investing Cash Flow-43.51M-48.02M-192.57M115.81M-102.80M-18.64M
Financing Cash Flow-59.56M-8.93M15.68M8.74M-2.15M112.44M

IMPINJ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price112.28
Price Trends
50DMA
130.20
Negative
100DMA
125.45
Positive
200DMA
153.59
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.16
Positive
RSI
45.61
Neutral
STOCH
22.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 112.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 139.79, below the 50-day MA of 130.20, and below the 200-day MA of 153.59, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PI.

IMPINJ Risk Analysis

IMPINJ disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IMPINJ reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IMPINJ Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$2.58B59.486.72%13.48%0.69%
66
Neutral
$4.06B253.7921.07%14.90%
64
Neutral
$4.37B18.3918.84%0.17%9.28%14.45%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$3.96B-13.90%-0.69%-3584.62%
54
Neutral
$12.31B-211.54-6.92%30.59%-1171.00%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PI
IMPINJ
130.08
21.18
19.45%
BDC
Belden
112.12
1.48
1.34%
DGII
Digi International
68.33
34.27
100.62%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
31.07
14.37
86.05%
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
50.24
40.85
435.04%

IMPINJ Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Impinj Shareholders Back Directors, Auditor and Incentive Plan
Positive
May 29, 2026
Impinj held its annual meeting of stockholders on May 28, 2026, where approximately 88% of eligible shares were represented, underscoring strong shareholder engagement in the company’s governance. Stockholders elected seven directors, includ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Impinj Repurchases Convertible Notes to Reduce Debt Load
Positive
Mar 16, 2026
Between March 11 and 13, 2026, Impinj entered into privately negotiated agreements to repurchase for cash approximately $40.2 million in aggregate principal amount of its 1.125% Convertible Notes due 2027. The total cash outlay for the partial rep...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 30, 2026