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IMPINJ Inc (PI)
NASDAQ:PI

IMPINJ (PI) AI Stock Analysis

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PI

IMPINJ

(NASDAQ:PI)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$179.00
▼(-14.14% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by solid revenue and free-cash-flow growth with healthy gross margins, offset by weak profitability and elevated leverage. Technicals are mixed with only modest momentum, valuation is constrained by losses (negative P/E), and the latest call added caution via softer near-term guidance despite strong operational highlights.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
IMPINJ's robust revenue and cash flow growth indicate strong demand for its RFID solutions, supporting long-term business expansion and financial health.
Strategic Leadership
The strategic hire in SaaS and Cloud Services enhances IMPINJ's focus on software, potentially increasing recurring revenue and strengthening competitive positioning.
Strong Systems Revenue
Significant growth in systems revenue reflects effective market penetration and product adoption, bolstering IMPINJ's market position in the IoT sector.
Negative Factors
Profitability Pressure
Ongoing profitability challenges and high leverage could strain financial resources, limiting IMPINJ's ability to invest in growth and innovation.
Sequential Revenue Decline
Sequential revenue decline signals potential demand fluctuations, which may impact IMPINJ's ability to maintain consistent growth momentum.
Lower Fourth Quarter Outlook
A cautious fourth-quarter outlook suggests potential headwinds, possibly affecting IMPINJ's near-term financial performance and strategic initiatives.

IMPINJ (PI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IMPINJ Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionImpinj, Inc. operates a cloud connectivity platform in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Its platform, which comprises multiple product families, wirelessly connects individual items and delivers data about the connected items to business and consumer applications. The company's platform comprises endpoint ICs, a miniature radios-on-a-chip that attaches to a host item and includes a number to identify the item. Its platform also consists of systems products that comprise reader ICs, readers, and gateways to wirelessly provide power to and communicate bidirectionally with endpoint ICs on host items, as well as to read, write, authenticate, and engage the endpoint ICs on those items; and software and algorithms that enables its partners to deliver use cases, such as retail self-checkout and loss prevention, and warehouse pallet and carton tracking to end-users. The company primarily serves retail, supply chain and logistics, aviation, automotive, healthcare, industrial and manufacturing, sports, food, datacenter, travel, banking, and linen and uniform tracking sectors through distributors, system integrators, value-added resellers, and software solution partners. Impinj, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyIMPINJ generates revenue primarily through the sale of its RAIN RFID products, which include integrated circuits (ICs), RFID readers, and software solutions. The company has established key revenue streams from direct sales to manufacturers, distributors, and end-users in multiple sectors. Additionally, IMPINJ benefits from recurring revenue through subscription-based software services and maintenance contracts. Significant partnerships with global companies in retail and logistics contribute to its earnings, as they leverage IMPINJ's technology to enhance operational efficiency and inventory management.

IMPINJ Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted some positive developments, including record endpoint IC volumes and strong systems revenue growth, along with strategic hires and a solid financial position. However, these were tempered by sequential revenue declines, a cautious fourth-quarter outlook, and challenges with Chinese partner orders.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Endpoint IC Volumes
Third quarter results showed record endpoint IC volumes, contributing to a new quarterly product revenue record, despite weak retailer buying patterns and tariff headwinds.
Strong Systems Revenue Growth
Third quarter systems revenue was $17.3 million, up 30% sequentially from $13.3 million in second quarter 2025 and up 21% year-over-year from $14.2 million in third quarter 2024.
New Leadership in SaaS and Cloud Services
Hired an SVP of SaaS and Cloud Services to develop software and win recurring revenue opportunities, enhancing the company's strategic focus on software.
Positive Cash Flow and Financial Position
Free cash flow was $18 million compared to $4.7 million in third quarter 2024, and cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaled $265.1 million.
Negative Updates
Sequential Revenue Decline
Third quarter revenue was $96.1 million, down 2% sequentially from $97.9 million in second quarter 2025.
Endpoint IC Revenue Drop
Third quarter endpoint IC revenue was $78.8 million, down 7% sequentially from $84.6 million in second quarter 2025 and down 3% year-over-year from $81 million in third quarter 2024.
Lower Fourth Quarter Outlook
Fourth quarter revenue is expected to be between $90 million and $93 million, a decrease from third quarter 2025, with adjusted EBITDA also expected to decline.
Conservative Ordering by Chinese Partners
Conservative ordering by Chinese reader IC partners is expected to push revenue lower in the fourth quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Impinj third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported revenue of $96.1 million, slightly down from the previous quarter's $97.9 million, but up 1% year-over-year. Despite a 7% sequential decrease in endpoint IC revenue to $78.8 million, systems revenue saw a robust 30% sequential increase, reaching $17.3 million. The third quarter's gross margin was 53%, with endpoint ICs contributing to a sequential increase in product gross margin. Operating expenses totaled $31.8 million, and the company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $19.1 million, marking a 19.8% adjusted EBITDA margin, a new record based on product revenue. Looking ahead, Impinj anticipates a modest sequential decline in fourth-quarter revenue to between $90 million and $93 million, with expectations for adjusted EBITDA ranging from $15.4 million to $16.9 million. The company also highlighted continued investments in Gen2X technology and software innovations to address growing market opportunities in sectors like food and e-commerce.

IMPINJ Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IMPINJ demonstrates strong revenue growth and cash flow generation, which are positive indicators for future expansion. However, profitability challenges and high leverage pose risks to financial stability. Continued focus on cost control and debt management is crucial.
Income Statement
IMPINJ shows a strong revenue growth rate of 23.9% in the TTM, indicating robust demand for its products. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 52.1%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin and EBIT margin, suggesting challenges in controlling operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.56, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. The return on equity is low at 0.4%, suggesting limited returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio of 37.8% shows a reasonable level of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
IMPINJ's cash flow statement highlights a strong free cash flow growth rate of 48.4%, demonstrating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.51 indicates efficient conversion of earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.60 suggests room for improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue359.80M366.09M307.54M257.80M190.28M138.92M
Gross Profit187.84M188.85M151.98M137.88M98.95M65.14M
EBITDA1.43M10.32M-26.59M-13.54M-30.93M-37.21M
Net Income-12.40M40.84M-43.37M-24.30M-51.26M-51.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets516.46M489.08M359.41M349.74M315.54M207.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments190.08M164.71M113.23M173.75M193.35M106.09M
Total Debt287.53M292.80M294.59M294.43M308.51M73.46M
Total Liabilities321.50M339.22M325.28M334.15M326.61M98.50M
Stockholders Equity194.96M149.86M34.13M15.59M-11.08M109.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow40.76M111.20M-68.22M-11.44M-9.77M-19.95M
Operating Cash Flow56.23M128.31M-49.38M641.00K6.46M-16.88M
Investing Cash Flow-73.08M-192.57M115.81M-102.80M-18.64M-36.29M
Financing Cash Flow-5.29M15.68M8.74M-2.15M112.44M9.90M

IMPINJ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price208.47
Price Trends
50DMA
169.95
Positive
100DMA
180.63
Positive
200DMA
145.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.60
Negative
RSI
71.95
Negative
STOCH
93.28
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 208.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 172.42, above the 50-day MA of 169.95, and above the 200-day MA of 145.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.95 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.28 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PI.

IMPINJ Risk Analysis

IMPINJ disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IMPINJ reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IMPINJ Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$3.82B260.432.13%15.60%
69
Neutral
$4.52B20.2618.41%0.17%13.42%31.28%
68
Neutral
$1.59B39.096.71%1.46%78.77%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$3.94B9.86%99.11%
59
Neutral
$2.12B249.6117.08%14.31%
58
Neutral
$6.28B-477.16-7.49%4.24%-141.83%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PI
IMPINJ
208.47
62.15
42.48%
BDC
Belden
114.97
1.11
0.97%
DGII
Digi International
42.37
13.95
49.09%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
15.85
-0.95
-5.65%
COMM
CommScope Holding
17.78
12.86
261.38%
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
17.11
7.19
72.48%

IMPINJ Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Impinj Enhances Executive Severance and Change-in-Control Protections
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Impinj, Inc. amended the executive employment agreement of Chief Executive Officer Chris Diorio, revising his eligibility for severance benefits in the event of certain qualifying terminations, both in connection with and outside a change of control. The amendment increases Diorio’s potential severance protections, including enhanced cash severance, accelerated vesting of time-based equity awards, extended health insurance reimbursement, and a longer post-termination stock option exercise period, while maintaining that no tax gross-up will be provided and conditioning all benefits on a release of claims. On the same date, the company’s Compensation Committee adopted a new Executive Change in Control and Severance Policy that standardizes severance and change-of-control benefits for designated senior executives, including CFO Cary Baker and Chief Innovation Officer Cathal Phelan, offering defined cash payments, COBRA coverage, equity vesting and option exercise extensions tied to whether a termination occurs in a change-of-control window or outside it, thereby strengthening retention incentives and providing clearer treatment of leadership in potential corporate transactions.

The most recent analyst rating on (PI) stock is a Buy with a $211.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IMPINJ stock, see the PI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Impinj Appoints Arthur Valdez Jr. to Board
Neutral
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, Impinj, Inc. announced the appointment of Arthur L. Valdez Jr. to its Board of Directors, expanding the board to seven members. Mr. Valdez’s term will last until the company’s next annual stockholders’ meeting, and he will participate in the company’s outside director compensation policy. There are no existing relationships or transactions between Mr. Valdez and the company that require disclosure.

The most recent analyst rating on (PI) stock is a Buy with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IMPINJ stock, see the PI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 25, 2025