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IMPINJ Inc (PI)
NASDAQ:PI
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IMPINJ (PI) AI Stock Analysis

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PI

IMPINJ

(NASDAQ:PI)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$179.00
▲(10.65% Upside)
IMPINJ's stock is primarily driven by strong technical momentum and a positive earnings outlook, which are offset by high leverage and valuation concerns. While the company is on a promising growth path with improvements in revenue and cash flow, challenges in achieving consistent profitability and overvaluation are significant risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Impinj reported better than expected results and guidance on strength in Endpoint ICs and new project wins.
Market Demand
PI continues to chalk up new wins and benefit from new use cases, on the strength of market demand for its M800 endpoint IC family and Gen2x technology.
Negative Factors
Gross Margins
GMs declined sequentially due to lower Systems revenue mix.
Revenue Guidance
PI guided for Q3 revenues to be down 2.5% y/o/y at the midpoint of guidance, which was better than consensus -10%.

IMPINJ (PI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IMPINJ Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIMPINJ, Inc. is a leading provider of RAIN RFID solutions that enable businesses to identify, locate, and authenticate items in real-time. Operating primarily in the technology sector, IMPINJ's core products include RAIN RFID readers, chips, and software that facilitate the tracking of inventory and assets across various industries such as retail, healthcare, logistics, and manufacturing. The company's innovative technology enhances supply chain efficiency, improves operational visibility, and enables better customer experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyIMPINJ generates revenue through multiple streams primarily focused on the sale of RAIN RFID products, including integrated circuits (ICs), readers, and software solutions. The company sells its chips to manufacturers who embed them in items for tracking purposes, while their readers are utilized by businesses to scan and process RAIN RFID tags. Additionally, IMPINJ offers software solutions that help manage and analyze the data collected through their RFID systems. Significant partnerships with key players in various sectors, including retail giants and logistics providers, bolster their market presence and drive sales. The recurring revenue model is further supported by service agreements and maintenance contracts, providing ongoing support and updates for their technology.

IMPINJ Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 32.37%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Impinj's second quarter results showed strong sequential growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA, driven by the performance of endpoint ICs and improved gross margins. Despite facing year-over-year revenue declines and challenges in the reader IC segment, the company's positive outlook for the third quarter and strong cash position reflect a generally positive sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Exceed Expectations
Second quarter revenue was $97.9 million, up 32% sequentially from $74.3 million in first quarter 2025, and adjusted EBITDA set a new quarterly record at $27.6 million.
Strong Performance in Endpoint ICs
Second quarter endpoint IC revenue was $84.6 million, up 38% sequentially from $61.2 million in first quarter 2025. M800 and Gen2X drove this growth, with sequential endpoint IC product revenue growing 12%.
Record Gross Margin Achieved
Second quarter gross margin was 60.4%, compared to 52.7% in first quarter 2025, driven by licensing revenue and a richer mix of M800.
Cash Position and Free Cash Flow
The company ended the second quarter with cash, cash equivalents, and investments of $260.5 million, and free cash flow totaled $27.3 million.
Positive Outlook for Third Quarter
Revenue guidance for the third quarter is between $91 million and $94 million, with expectations for continued sequential growth in endpoint IC and systems revenue.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Revenue Decline
Second quarter revenue was down 4% year-over-year from $102.5 million in second quarter 2024.
Challenges in Reader IC Segment
Second quarter revenue for reader ICs declined sequentially due to significantly lower indie shipment volumes as that product line concludes its end of life.
Tariff and Supply Chain Headwinds
The company faced headwinds from tariffs and supply chain disruptions, impacting delivery timing and location adjustments.
Company Guidance
During the Impinj Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, Impinj provided guidance for the third quarter. They anticipate revenue between $91 million and $94 million, reflecting a quarter-over-quarter increase of 13% at the midpoint. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to range from $15.6 million to $17.1 million. Non-GAAP net income is projected between $14 million and $15.5 million, translating to non-GAAP fully diluted earnings per share of $0.47 to $0.51. Impinj highlighted that the third quarter product gross margin is expected to increase sequentially, driven by a higher mix of M800 products and sell-through of lower-cost wafers. They also noted that due to tariff-related uncertainties, minimal turns are assumed at the midpoint of their revenue guidance, with the possibility to fulfill a few more weeks of turns orders if needed.

IMPINJ Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IMPINJ is on a growth trajectory with significant revenue increases and improvements in cash flow generation. While the company has made strides in reducing losses and increasing stockholders' equity, challenges remain in achieving consistent profitability and managing leverage. Continued focus on cost management and capital structure optimization will be crucial to enhancing financial health.
Income Statement
72
Positive
IMPINJ has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a TTM revenue of $358.94M, up significantly from $138.92M in 2020. The gross profit margin is healthy at 52.11% for the TTM, reflecting effective cost management. However, the company has struggled with profitability at the operating level, as indicated by negative EBIT and modest net profit margin of 0.18% in the TTM period. Despite improvements, maintaining consistent profitability remains a challenge.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.56 in the TTM, suggesting potential risk in financial stability. Stockholders' equity has improved significantly to $187.69M from a deficit in 2021, reflecting a positive trajectory in equity growth. However, the equity ratio is still moderate at 36.87%, indicating room for strengthening the capital structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
IMPINJ has shown improvement in cash flow, with operating cash flow to net income ratio at 71.75 in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow has grown, with a TTM free cash flow of $27.46M, up from negative values in earlier years. Despite this progress, cash flow stability could be enhanced further.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue358.94M366.09M307.54M257.80M190.28M138.92M
Gross Profit187.09M188.85M151.98M137.88M98.95M65.14M
EBITDA17.82M57.82M-26.83M-13.54M-43.95M-41.92M
Net Income633.00K40.84M-43.37M-24.30M-51.26M-51.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets508.82M489.08M359.41M349.74M315.54M207.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments193.21M164.71M113.23M173.75M193.35M106.09M
Total Debt292.40M292.80M294.59M294.43M304.37M73.46M
Total Liabilities321.13M339.22M325.28M334.15M326.61M98.50M
Stockholders Equity187.69M149.86M34.13M15.59M-11.08M109.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow27.46M111.20M-68.22M-11.44M-9.77M-19.95M
Operating Cash Flow45.41M128.31M-49.38M641.00K6.46M-16.88M
Investing Cash Flow-229.72M-192.57M115.81M-102.80M-18.64M-36.29M
Financing Cash Flow11.80M15.68M8.74M-2.15M112.44M9.90M

IMPINJ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price161.77
Price Trends
50DMA
124.84
Positive
100DMA
110.05
Positive
200DMA
125.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
12.69
Negative
RSI
66.44
Neutral
STOCH
79.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 161.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 144.26, above the 50-day MA of 124.84, and above the 200-day MA of 125.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 12.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PI.

IMPINJ Risk Analysis

IMPINJ disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IMPINJ reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IMPINJ Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.22B28.827.21%-2.37%147.46%
70
Outperform
$4.98B22.7818.34%0.16%12.93%17.64%
69
Neutral
$4.87B22,468.060.42%13.96%-96.21%
69
Neutral
$2.63B-16.44%2.05%91.37%
68
Neutral
¥242.18B15.626.62%2.44%9.08%2.46%
59
Neutral
$3.34B17.08%-11.03%91.98%
58
Neutral
$2.41B70.184.76%8.39%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PI
IMPINJ
161.77
-1.16
-0.71%
BDC
Belden
124.13
19.45
18.58%
DGII
Digi International
32.24
3.07
10.52%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
19.72
5.04
34.33%
COMM
CommScope Holding
15.50
11.50
287.50%
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
10.78
2.83
35.60%

IMPINJ Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Impinj COO Resignation Amid Stable Earnings Outlook
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Impinj, Inc. announced the resignation of its Chief Operating Officer, Hussein Mecklai, effective May 20, 2025. Despite this leadership change, the company affirmed that there would be no alterations to its previously disclosed earnings guidance, indicating stability in its operational outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (PI) stock is a Buy with a $190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IMPINJ stock, see the PI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2025