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Commscope Holding Company Inc (COMM)
:COMM
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CommScope Holding (COMM) AI Stock Analysis

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COMM

CommScope Holding

(NASDAQ:COMM)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▼(-1.57% Downside)
CommScope's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong earnings performance and strategic initiatives, offset by financial challenges and valuation concerns. The company's strategic sale of the CCS business and strong segment growth are positive, but high leverage and profitability issues remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
Asset Sale
CommScope monetized its most valuable remaining asset, announcing the sale of its CCS business for $10.5bn, which allows the company to emerge from its debt load.
Financial Performance
CommScope reported Q2'25 non-GAAP core revenue and core EBITDA significantly ahead of market expectations.
Growth Outlook
Fundamentals have improved thanks to post-pandemic inventory normalization and cable TV upgrades, with a strong growth outlook led by cloud operator demand.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
The stock continues to be constrained by the high debt levels, with a high net leverage ratio of 7.8x.
Equity Upside Potential
Despite debt paydown and positive business momentum, the stock has been range bound at $4-$7, and limited upside potential to the equity is expected due to a high interest burden and operating costs.
Leverage Ratio
The asset sale did not improve the leverage ratio, and with $7.4bn of remaining debt, the stock still trades at 8.7x 2025E EV/EBITDA, in line with the historical range.

CommScope Holding (COMM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CommScope Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCommScope Holding Company, Inc. provides infrastructure solutions for communications and entertainment networks. It operates through four segments: Broadband Networks (Broadband), Outdoor Wireless Networks (OWN), Venue and Campus Networks (VCN), and Home Networks (Home). The Broadband segment provides converged cable access platforms, passive optical networking products, video systems, access technologies, fiber and coaxial cables, fiber and copper connectivity products, and hardened closures to the telco and cable provider broadband market. The OWN segment provides base station antennas, radio frequency filters, tower connectivity, microwave antennas, metro cell products, cabinets, steel towers, accessories, Spectrum Access System, and Comsearch products to the macro and metro cell markets. The VCN segment offers Wi-Fi and switching, distributed antenna systems, licensed and unlicensed small cells, enterprise fiber, and copper infrastructures for campuses, venues, data centers, and buildings. The Home segment provides devices and related software, and management solutions that offer residential connectivity and services to subscribers, such as digital subscriber lines, cable modems, and telephony and data gateways; and set top boxes and software that support cable, satellite, and Internet protocol television content delivery, which include digital video recorders, high definition set top boxes, and hybrid set top devices. It offers its products and services through specialized resellers and distributors, satellite video distributors, and system integrators, as well as directly to customers in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, the Caribbean, Latin America, and Canada. The company was formerly known as Cedar I Holding Company, Inc. and changed its name to CommScope Holding Company, Inc. in January 2011. CommScope Holding Company, Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Hickory, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyCommScope generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its network infrastructure products and services to telecommunications operators, enterprises, and data center operators. Key revenue sources include the sale of hardware such as fiber optic cables, connectivity solutions, and wireless infrastructure products. Additionally, the company offers professional services, including network design, installation, and maintenance, which contribute to its revenue. Significant partnerships with major telecommunications companies and service providers also enhance its market presence and sales potential, while ongoing investments in research and development enable CommScope to innovate and adapt to the evolving needs of the communication industry.

CommScope Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 95.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong positive outlook for CommScope, driven by significant transaction announcements, record revenue, and EBITDA growth across key segments. However, there are potential future challenges related to volatility in the ANS business and tariff impacts. Overall, the company's strategic actions and strong performance in the second quarter position it well for continued success.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant CCS Transaction Announcement
CommScope announced a definitive agreement to sell its CCS business to Amphenol for $10.5 billion in an all-cash transaction, expected to close in the first half of 2026. The transaction aims to unlock equity value, return cash to shareholders, and strengthen the business.
Record Revenue and EBITDA Growth
CommScope delivered net sales of $1.388 billion, a year-over-year increase of 32%, and adjusted EBITDA of $338 million, a year-over-year increase of 79%. This marks the fifth consecutive quarter of sequential adjusted EBITDA improvement.
Strong Performance in ANS and RUCKUS Segments
ANS and RUCKUS segments contributed $513 million in revenues, a 58% increase from the prior year, and $127 million in adjusted EBITDA, a 326% increase from the previous year.
ANS Business Growth
ANS segment saw net sales of $322 million, up 65% from the prior year, driven by a record deployment of DOCSIS 4.0 amplifier and node products.
Rising Demand in RUCKUS with New Product Launches
RUCKUS revenue increased 47% year-over-year, driven by demand for new Wi-Fi 7 products and subscription services. The segment's adjusted EBITDA increased by $51 million compared to Q2 2024.
Raised Guidance for Full Year 2025
CommScope raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to $1.15 billion to $1.2 billion, citing strong market recovery and strategic management actions.
Negative Updates
Potential Future Volatility in ANS Business
Although ANS had a strong quarter, future EBITDA is not expected to remain at Q2 levels due to product mix and project timing.
Challenges with Tariff Implementation
CommScope has been monitoring the fluid situation with tariffs, which could impact financial results if they remain at current levels, despite mitigation plans.
High Customer Concentration in ANS
The ANS business has higher customer concentration, which could pose risks if any major customer changes occur.
Company Guidance
During the CommScope Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the future. CommScope announced a definitive agreement to sell its CCS business to Amphenol for $10.5 billion, anticipating net proceeds of approximately $10 billion after taxes and transaction expenses. This transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2026. For the second quarter of 2025, CommScope reported net sales of $1.388 billion, a 32% year-over-year increase, and an adjusted EBITDA of $338 million, up 79% compared to the previous year. The ANS and RUCKUS segments reported revenues of $513 million, representing a 58% increase from the prior year, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 326% year-over-year. CommScope raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $1.15 billion to $1.2 billion. Furthermore, RemainCo, which will consist of the ANS and RUCKUS segments post-transaction, is expected to deliver adjusted EBITDA between $325 million and $350 million in 2025.

CommScope Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CommScope shows a mixed financial performance with strong revenue growth and improved profitability. However, its negative equity and high leverage pose significant financial risks. Positive cash flows provide some stability, but structural weaknesses in the balance sheet are concerning.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
CommScope Holding shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is robust at 38.74%, but the Net Profit Margin stands at 17.06%, which is a significant improvement from negative margins in previous years. The Revenue Growth Rate over the last year is a positive 12.95%, indicating a recovery trend. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, at 11.90% and 17.25% respectively. The company's profitability has improved, but past losses indicate potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet presents challenges with a very high Debt-to-Equity Ratio due to negative equity, indicating high leverage and financial risk. The Equity Ratio is negative, reflecting the equity deficit situation. The Return on Equity is not applicable due to negative equity, making it difficult to assess shareholder returns. The company's heavy debt load and negative equity pose significant financial stability concerns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
CommScope's cash flow situation shows some strengths. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.33 indicates the company generates decent cash relative to its net income. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is slightly negative, but Free Cash Flow remains positive, providing some financial flexibility. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is lower, reflecting the impact of net income fluctuations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.75B4.21B5.79B9.23B8.59B8.44B
Gross Profit1.95B1.58B2.15B2.80B2.68B2.75B
EBITDA767.10M648.10M519.10M85.30M813.00M746.60M
Net Income895.50M-315.50M-1.45B-1.29B-462.60M-573.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.74B8.75B9.37B11.69B13.26B13.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments571.10M564.90M543.80M398.10M360.30M521.90M
Total Debt7.25B9.27B9.32B9.50B9.51B9.52B
Total Liabilities8.92B10.98B11.18B12.13B12.36B12.18B
Stockholders Equity-1.18B-2.23B-1.81B-445.70M899.50M1.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow248.10M247.80M236.60M88.70M-9.10M315.00M
Operating Cash Flow290.20M273.10M289.90M190.00M122.30M436.20M
Investing Cash Flow2.01B-57.20M38.30M-82.10M-136.80M-120.20M
Financing Cash Flow-2.08B-83.00M-181.70M-65.00M-139.50M-383.80M

CommScope Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.24
Price Trends
50DMA
8.17
Positive
100DMA
6.47
Positive
200DMA
5.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.03
Negative
RSI
80.98
Negative
STOCH
94.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COMM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.00, above the 50-day MA of 8.17, and above the 200-day MA of 5.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.98 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COMM.

CommScope Holding Risk Analysis

CommScope Holding disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CommScope Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CommScope Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$995.40M14.9616.36%24.14%16.17%
74
Outperform
$501.61M22.417.49%19.67%12.32%
71
Outperform
$1.21B28.507.21%-2.37%147.46%
69
Neutral
$2.66B-16.44%2.05%91.37%
59
Neutral
$3.38B17.08%-11.03%91.98%
57
Neutral
HK$14.25B9.67-0.60%4.59%7.04%-42.47%
52
Neutral
$685.25M-53.68%3.52%81.33%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COMM
CommScope Holding
15.24
12.00
370.37%
ADTN
Adtran
8.56
3.69
75.77%
DGII
Digi International
32.50
4.70
16.91%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
20.08
6.17
44.36%
GILT
Gilat
8.95
4.31
92.89%
HLIT
Harmonic
8.75
-4.79
-35.38%

CommScope Holding Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CommScope Sells Connectivity Segment to Amphenol
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 3, 2025, CommScope Holding Company, Inc. entered into a Purchase Agreement with Amphenol Corporation to sell its Connectivity and Cable Solutions segment for approximately $10.5 billion. The transaction, expected to close in the first half of 2026, is subject to various conditions, including regulatory approvals and stockholder consent. This strategic move will result in a change of control for CommScope, impacting its financial structure and market positioning. The agreement includes provisions for employee retention and intellectual property rights, ensuring a smooth transition for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (COMM) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CommScope Holding stock, see the COMM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CommScope Sells Connectivity Business to Amphenol
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 4, 2025, CommScope announced its agreement to sell its Connectivity and Cable Solutions business to Amphenol Corporation for $10.5 billion in an all-cash transaction, expected to close in the first half of 2026. This strategic move aims to unlock equity value, repay debt, and distribute excess cash to shareholders, while focusing on the growth potential of its ANS and RUCKUS businesses, which have shown strong performance in the second quarter of 2025 with significant increases in sales and adjusted EBITDA.

The most recent analyst rating on (COMM) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CommScope Holding stock, see the COMM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CommScope Sells Connectivity Segment for $10.5 Billion
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, CommScope announced an agreement to sell its Connectivity and Cable Solutions segment to Amphenol Corporation for $10.5 billion in cash. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2026, pending regulatory approvals and shareholder votes. CommScope plans to use the net proceeds of approximately $10 billion to repay debt, redeem preferred equity, and distribute excess cash as dividends to shareholders. This strategic move is aimed at unlocking equity value, strengthening remaining businesses, and focusing on the development of next-generation network connectivity.

The most recent analyst rating on (COMM) stock is a Sell with a $1.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CommScope Holding stock, see the COMM Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CommScope Declares Dividend on Series A Preferred Stock
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 18, 2025, CommScope’s Board of Directors declared a dividend on its Series A Preferred Stock, which will be paid on June 30, 2025, in the form of additional shares and cash. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing financial strategies and its relationship with Carlyle Partners, highlighting its commitment to shareholder value and investment growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (COMM) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CommScope Holding stock, see the COMM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
CommScope Appoints Krista R. Bowen as Chief Legal Officer
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 9, 2025, CommScope Holding Company announced that Justin Choi will step down from his role as Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, and Secretary, effective May 14, 2025, with his employment ending on June 2, 2025. Choi, who joined the company in 2021, played a significant role in guiding CommScope through various divestitures. The company’s Board of Directors has appointed Krista R. Bowen as the new Chief Legal Officer, effective May 14, 2025. Bowen, who has been with CommScope since 2010, brings extensive experience in M&A, corporate governance, and global trade compliance to her new role.

The most recent analyst rating on (COMM) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CommScope Holding stock, see the COMM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025