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CommScope Holding (COMM)
NASDAQ:COMM

CommScope Holding (COMM) AI Stock Analysis

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CommScope Holding

(NASDAQ:COMM)

58Neutral
CommScope's overall score reflects a balance between strong revenue growth and profitability, against the backdrop of high leverage and financial risk. Positive developments from the earnings call and corporate events provide a boost, but valuation concerns and technical indicators suggest a cautious approach. The company's ability to manage its debt and leverage will be crucial for future stock performance.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
CommScope is leveraging proceeds from the anticipated $2.1 billion sale of its OWN and DAS businesses to Amphenol to reduce its total debt burden.
Debt Refinancing
The refinancing plan effectively shifts CommScope's debt maturities from 2025 and 2026 to 2029 and 2031, reducing near-term concerns around its ability to address upcoming maturities.
Revenue Growth
CCS (cables and connectivity) grew 19.7% as enterprise fiber saw strong demand attributed to data center and genAI initiatives by hyperscalers.
Negative Factors
Equity Upside Limitations
Despite the positive momentum, limited upside potential to the equity is seen given the high debt level, limited FCF generation, and valuation considerations.
High Debt Levels
The stock continues to be constrained by the high debt levels, with a high net leverage ratio of 7.8x.
Valuation Concerns
High leverage burdens the valuation, with a 2025 EV/EBITDA of 11.5x above the historic range of 9-10x.

CommScope Holding (COMM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

CommScope Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCommScope Holding Company, Inc. provides infrastructure solutions for communications and entertainment networks. It operates through four segments: Broadband Networks (Broadband), Outdoor Wireless Networks (OWN), Venue and Campus Networks (VCN), and Home Networks (Home). The Broadband segment provides converged cable access platforms, passive optical networking products, video systems, access technologies, fiber and coaxial cables, fiber and copper connectivity products, and hardened closures to the telco and cable provider broadband market. The OWN segment provides base station antennas, radio frequency filters, tower connectivity, microwave antennas, metro cell products, cabinets, steel towers, accessories, Spectrum Access System, and Comsearch products to the macro and metro cell markets. The VCN segment offers Wi-Fi and switching, distributed antenna systems, licensed and unlicensed small cells, enterprise fiber, and copper infrastructures for campuses, venues, data centers, and buildings. The Home segment provides devices and related software, and management solutions that offer residential connectivity and services to subscribers, such as digital subscriber lines, cable modems, and telephony and data gateways; and set top boxes and software that support cable, satellite, and Internet protocol television content delivery, which include digital video recorders, high definition set top boxes, and hybrid set top devices. It offers its products and services through specialized resellers and distributors, satellite video distributors, and system integrators, as well as directly to customers in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, the Caribbean, Latin America, and Canada. The company was formerly known as Cedar I Holding Company, Inc. and changed its name to CommScope Holding Company, Inc. in January 2011. CommScope Holding Company, Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Hickory, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyCommScope generates revenue through the sale of its comprehensive portfolio of network infrastructure products and solutions. The company's revenue streams are primarily derived from its four business segments: Broadband Networks, Home Networks, Outdoor Wireless Networks, and Venue and Campus Networks. It earns money by providing products such as fiber optic cables, copper cables, antennas, and network management software. CommScope also benefits from strategic partnerships with telecom and broadband service providers, enterprises, and government entities, which contribute to its sales. The company's ability to innovate and adapt to emerging technology trends, such as 5G, further enhances its revenue potential.

CommScope Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CommScope Holding exhibits a mixed financial performance with strong revenue growth and improved profitability. However, the balance sheet presents significant concerns due to high leverage and negative equity, which pose financial stability risks. Cash flows are positive, providing some flexibility, but the structural weaknesses in the balance sheet demand attention.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
CommScope Holding shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is robust at 38.74%, but the Net Profit Margin stands at 17.06%, which is a significant improvement from negative margins in previous years. The Revenue Growth Rate over the last year is a positive 12.95%, indicating a recovery trend. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, at 11.90% and 17.25% respectively. The company's profitability has improved, but past losses indicate potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet presents challenges with a very high Debt-to-Equity Ratio due to negative equity, indicating high leverage and financial risk. The Equity Ratio is negative, reflecting the equity deficit situation. The Return on Equity is not applicable due to negative equity, making it difficult to assess shareholder returns. The company's heavy debt load and negative equity pose significant financial stability concerns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
CommScope's cash flow situation shows some strengths. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.33 indicates the company generates decent cash relative to its net income. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is slightly negative, but Free Cash Flow remains positive, providing some financial flexibility. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is lower, reflecting the impact of net income fluctuations.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.21B5.79B9.23B8.59B8.44B
Gross Profit
1.58B2.15B2.80B2.68B2.75B
EBIT
256.50M-112.90M471.40M132.30M218.40M
EBITDA
648.10M519.10M85.30M813.00M746.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-315.50M-1.45B-1.29B-462.60M-573.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
564.90M543.80M398.10M360.30M521.90M
Total Assets
8.75B9.37B11.69B13.26B13.58B
Total Debt
9.27B9.32B9.50B9.51B9.52B
Net Debt
8.71B8.77B9.10B9.15B9.00B
Total Liabilities
10.98B11.18B12.13B12.36B12.18B
Stockholders Equity
-2.23B-1.81B-445.70M899.50M1.40B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
247.80M236.60M88.70M-9.10M315.00M
Operating Cash Flow
273.10M289.90M190.00M122.30M436.20M
Investing Cash Flow
-57.20M38.30M-82.10M-136.80M-120.20M
Financing Cash Flow
-83.00M-181.70M-65.00M-139.50M-383.80M

CommScope Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.82
Price Trends
50DMA
4.66
Positive
100DMA
4.99
Negative
200DMA
4.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
59.61
Neutral
STOCH
87.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COMM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.00, above the 50-day MA of 4.66, and below the 200-day MA of 4.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COMM.

CommScope Holding Risk Analysis

CommScope Holding disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CommScope Holding reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CommScope Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.03B29.207.30%-4.47%195.28%
72
Outperform
$1.01B19.7912.45%20.53%-27.75%
71
Outperform
$363.20M14.628.58%14.79%5.04%
61
Neutral
$1.89B-78.83%-11.00%-792.47%
60
Neutral
$10.96B10.28-6.73%2.97%7.74%-12.45%
58
Neutral
$1.05B17.08%-19.10%93.30%
43
Neutral
$619.71M-66.50%-10.18%75.45%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COMM
CommScope Holding
4.82
3.79
367.96%
ADTN
Adtran
7.71
2.17
39.17%
DGII
Digi International
32.76
5.71
21.11%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
14.80
4.09
38.19%
GILT
Gilat
6.52
0.97
17.48%
HLIT
Harmonic
9.08
-2.28
-20.07%

CommScope Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 28.88%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
CommScope reported strong year-over-year growth across all core segments and announced a stock buyback program, indicating positive momentum. However, the company faces challenges from new tariffs and anticipated sequential declines in some areas. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with strong growth tempered by external challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
CommScope reported core net sales of $1.112 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of 23%. Core adjusted EBITDA also saw a significant rise to $245 million, representing a 159% increase from the previous year.
Data Center Segment Growth
The enterprise fiber business, part of the data center market, drove revenues of $213 million, reflecting an 88% increase year-over-year. This segment now represents 29% of first-quarter CCS revenue compared to 19% in Q1 2024.
Improved Market Conditions in Core Segments
All core segments (CCS, NICS, ANS) showed year-over-year growth with CCS revenue increasing by 20%, NICS by 51%, and ANS by 20%.
Stock Buyback Program
CommScope's Board of Directors approved a $50 million stock buyback program, indicating confidence in the undervaluation of the company's equity.
ANS Segment Recovery
ANS adjusted EBITDA increased by 177% compared to Q1 2024, driven by new DOCSIS 4.0 products and higher legacy license sales.
Negative Updates
Tariff-Related Challenges
The company faces challenges due to recently announced tariffs, with an estimated impact of $10 million to $15 million in Q2 2025. However, mitigation plans are in place to address this issue.
Free Cash Flow Concerns
Despite strong earnings, the company reported a use of $202 million in free cash flow for Q1 2025, and projects breakeven cash flow for the year due to working capital needs and capital expenditures.
Sequential Decline Expected in NICS
The NICS segment is expected to experience a decline in adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2025 compared to Q1, due to increased variable compensation and the elimination of first-quarter inventory adjustment benefits.
Company Guidance
During the CommScope First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial performance with core net sales reaching $1.112 billion, up 23% year-over-year, and core adjusted EBITDA soaring by 159% to $245 million. The adjusted EBITDA margin stood at a strong 22% of revenues. CommScope also reaffirmed its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1 billion to $1.05 billion despite the challenges posed by recently announced tariffs. The CCS segment saw a revenue increase of 20% year-over-year and an 87% rise in adjusted EBITDA, with the enterprise fiber business contributing significantly with an 88% revenue growth. The NICS segment experienced a 51% increase in revenue, bolstered by new Wi-Fi 7 products and the resolution of channel inventory issues. CommScope's ANS segment also reported a 20% rise in net sales, primarily due to the deployment of new DOCSIS 4.0 products. The company remains optimistic about the remainder of 2025, supported by a strong market position, ongoing capacity expansions, and the approval of a $50 million stock buyback program.

CommScope Holding Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CommScope Holding Approves Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, CommScope Holding Company held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where all five proxy proposals were approved. Stockholders re-elected eight directors and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. Additionally, the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved on a non-binding advisory basis, and additional shares under the 2019 Long-Term Incentive Plan were sanctioned. The holders of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock also re-elected two directors.

Spark’s Take on COMM Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, COMM is a Neutral.

CommScope’s overall score reflects a balance between strong revenue growth and profitability, against the backdrop of high leverage and financial risk. Positive developments from the earnings call and corporate events provide a boost, but valuation concerns and technical indicators suggest a cautious approach. The company’s ability to manage its debt and leverage will be crucial for future stock performance.

To see Spark’s full report on COMM stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
CommScope Appoints New Senior VP for Financial Leadership
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

On March 28, 2025, CommScope Holding Company announced the appointment of Charles A. Gilstrap as Senior Vice President, Treasury, Tax & Chief Accounting Officer, effective April 1, 2025. This appointment marks a strategic move in the company’s leadership, with Mr. Gilstrap replacing Jennifer L. Crawford, who will return to her role as Segment CFO for Connectivity & Cable Solutions. The announcement also detailed Mr. Gilstrap’s compensation package and severance protection agreement, indicating a robust support structure for his new role. These changes are expected to strengthen CommScope’s financial management and align with its long-term strategic goals.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.