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Extreme Networks (EXTR)
NASDAQ:EXTR
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Extreme Networks (EXTR) AI Stock Analysis

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EXTR

Extreme Networks

(NASDAQ:EXTR)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$21.50
▼(-3.67% Downside)
Extreme Networks is on a positive trajectory with strong revenue growth and strategic wins, particularly in APAC and EMEA. The technical indicators support a bullish trend. However, profitability issues and high leverage pose risks. The valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful product adoption, supporting long-term business expansion.
SaaS ARR Acceleration
The acceleration in SaaS ARR reflects a successful transition to recurring revenue models, enhancing financial stability and predictability.
Product Innovation
Innovative product launches like Extreme Platform 1 strengthen competitive positioning and drive future growth in the networking sector.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues can hinder reinvestment in growth initiatives and affect long-term financial health.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to navigate economic downturns.
Dependency on Government Contracts
Reliance on government contracts introduces revenue volatility, as these contracts can be subject to political and budgetary changes.

Extreme Networks (EXTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Extreme Networks Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExtreme Networks, Inc. is a leading provider of software-driven networking solutions, specializing in delivering high-performance networking products and services for enterprises, data centers, and service providers. The company operates primarily in the networking hardware and software sectors, offering a range of core products including network switches, routers, Wi-Fi access points, and cloud-managed networking solutions. Extreme Networks focuses on enabling organizations to enhance their connectivity, improve operational efficiency, and leverage data analytics to optimize network performance.
How the Company Makes MoneyExtreme Networks generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of networking hardware, software licenses, and subscription-based services. The company earns significant income from its networking equipment, including switches and routers, which are essential for building and maintaining network infrastructure. Additionally, Extreme Networks offers cloud-based networking solutions that are billed on a subscription model, providing a steady revenue stream from ongoing service contracts. The company also benefits from professional services, including installation, support, and consulting services, which contribute to its overall earnings. Strategic partnerships with other technology providers and integration with third-party solutions further enhance its market reach and revenue potential.

Extreme Networks Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance in Q4 with notable revenue growth and strategic wins, particularly in the APAC and EMEA regions. The launch of Extreme Platform 1 and expansion in high-density venues further showcase the company's innovation and market penetration. However, there are growth challenges in the Americas and a dependency on large government contracts. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Achieved a revenue of $307 million in Q4, marking a 20% increase year-over-year and an 8% increase sequentially.
SaaS ARR Acceleration
SaaS ARR revenue grew to $208 million, an increase of 24% year-over-year.
Significant Wins in APAC
Achieved the largest win in company history in the APAC region with the Japanese government, including a major project with the Supreme Court.
Strong Performance in EMEA
EMEA revenue grew 21% year-over-year, the highest level since early 2024.
Expansion in High-Density Venues
Expanded presence in venues like MetLife Stadium and Pinnacle Bank Arena with modern WiFi 6E infrastructure.
Introduction of Extreme Platform 1
Launched the AI-powered Extreme Platform 1, recognized by industry analysts as at the leading edge of the market.
Strong Financial Performance
Achieved earnings per share of $0.25, up 32% from the prior year.
Improved Cash Flow
Generated $75 million in free cash flow, the highest quarterly level since 2023.
Negative Updates
Challenges in the Americas
Revenue in the Americas grew only 4% year-over-year, indicating slower growth compared to other regions.
Dependency on Government Contracts
A significant portion of revenue growth was attributed to large government contracts, which can be volatile.
Company Guidance
During the Extreme Networks Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Conference Call, guidance highlighted several key metrics and expectations for the future. The company reported a fifth consecutive quarter of sequential revenue growth, achieving $307 million in Q4 revenue, marking a 20% year-over-year increase. SaaS ARR revenue accelerated to $208 million, a 24% increase year-over-year, driven by robust demand across various verticals and regions, including strong performances in APAC and EMEA. The company achieved a non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.25, at the high end of their guidance range, and exceeded the consensus of $0.23. Product revenue grew 26% year-over-year to $192 million, with Wi-Fi 7 representing 30% of wireless units. Looking ahead, for fiscal year 2026, revenue is expected to be between $1.228 billion to $1.238 billion, with strong visibility for growth based on the funnel, backlog, and future customer demand. For Q1 of fiscal 2026, revenue is projected to range from $292 million to $300 million, with earnings per share between $0.20 to $0.23.

Extreme Networks Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Extreme Networks shows positive revenue growth and improved cash flow metrics. However, profitability remains a concern with negative net margins and zero return on equity. The balance sheet shows high leverage, which could be a risk if not managed properly.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Extreme Networks has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 4.62% in the latest year, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin is strong at 62.2%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains negative, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved but remain relatively low, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved from extremely high levels but remains elevated at 3.41, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is currently zero, reflecting profitability issues. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow situation has improved significantly, with a free cash flow growth rate of 118.45%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating strong cash generation relative to reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0 suggests that the company is generating sufficient cash to cover its net losses, which is a positive sign for liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.14B1.14B1.12B1.31B1.11B1.01B
Gross Profit709.13M709.13M630.83M754.72M629.94M585.12M
EBITDA49.31M49.31M-19.61M158.62M120.07M110.09M
Net Income-7.47M-7.47M-85.96M78.07M44.27M1.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.15B1.15B1.04B1.14B1.07B1.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments231.75M231.75M156.70M234.83M194.52M246.89M
Total Debt223.44M223.44M239.60M264.61M351.13M390.84M
Total Liabilities1.09B1.09B1.02B1.02B978.17M955.63M
Stockholders Equity65.58M65.58M25.28M116.75M90.34M54.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow138.37M137.68M37.37M235.41M112.74M127.36M
Operating Cash Flow163.09M162.39M55.49M249.21M128.18M144.53M
Investing Cash Flow-24.71M-24.71M-18.12M-13.80M-84.95M-17.18M
Financing Cash Flow-63.64M-52.59M-114.98M-194.78M-94.66M-74.78M

Extreme Networks Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.32
Price Trends
50DMA
19.49
Positive
100DMA
17.61
Positive
200DMA
16.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.87
Negative
RSI
63.56
Neutral
STOCH
86.82
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.28, above the 50-day MA of 19.49, and above the 200-day MA of 16.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.82 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXTR.

Extreme Networks Risk Analysis

Extreme Networks disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Extreme Networks reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Extreme Networks Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$32.80B31.405.37%2.10%14.39%-38.96%
76
Outperform
$18.69B135.594.96%12.97%4.71%
72
Outperform
$37.08B51.50186.53%0.43%33.45%103.34%
71
Outperform
-2.56%52.05%
67
Neutral
$3.02B-16.44%2.05%91.37%
65
Neutral
$11.53B699.242.48%21.03%
61
Neutral
$36.69B12.42-10.20%1.85%8.50%-7.32%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXTR
Extreme Networks
22.32
7.51
50.71%
CIEN
Ciena
131.28
74.98
133.18%
JNPR
Juniper Networks
39.95
2.02
5.33%
UI
Ubiquiti Networks
604.78
401.67
197.76%
LITE
Lumentum Holdings
163.02
106.43
188.07%
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
24.73
7.99
47.73%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025