Extreme Networks (EXTR)
NASDAQ:EXTR
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Extreme Networks (EXTR) AI Stock Analysis

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EXTR

Extreme Networks

(NASDAQ:EXTR)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(8.63% Upside)
Extreme Networks' overall stock score is primarily driven by strong earnings call performance, showcasing robust revenue growth and strategic wins. However, financial performance is moderate due to high leverage and profitability challenges. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the valuation is weak with a negative P/E ratio. The absence of corporate events does not impact the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
SaaS ARR Growth
Growth in SaaS ARR reflects successful adoption of subscription models, providing a reliable and recurring revenue stream.
Strategic Partnerships
Long-term partnerships with major organizations like the NFL strengthen market position and provide stable revenue opportunities.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues can hinder investment in growth initiatives and affect long-term financial health.
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially in volatile market conditions.
Component Cost Increases
Rising component costs can pressure margins, reducing profitability and potentially impacting competitive pricing strategies.

Extreme Networks (EXTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Extreme Networks Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExtreme Networks, Inc. (EXTR) is a prominent provider of networking solutions that enable organizations to deliver high-performance connectivity across various sectors, including enterprise, education, healthcare, and hospitality. The company specializes in software-driven networking solutions, offering a comprehensive range of products such as switches, routers, and wireless access points, along with cloud-managed networking services designed to optimize network performance and enhance user experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyExtreme Networks generates revenue primarily through the sale of its hardware products, including network switches, routers, and access points, which are essential for building and maintaining network infrastructure. Additionally, the company earns significant income from its software solutions, particularly its cloud-based management systems that provide analytics, security, and network optimization services. Recurring revenue is also a vital aspect of its business model, with maintenance contracts, subscription services, and support agreements contributing to ongoing earnings. Furthermore, Extreme Networks has formed strategic partnerships with major technology companies and service providers, enabling it to expand its market reach and enhance its offerings, ultimately driving further revenue growth.

Extreme Networks Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with continued revenue growth and strategic wins. Despite challenges with component cost increases impacting gross margins, the company is optimistic about future recovery and growth prospects.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Sixth Consecutive Quarter of Revenue Growth
The first quarter marked the sixth consecutive quarter of revenue growth and the third consecutive quarter of double-digit year-over-year increases, with revenue reaching $310 million, up 15% year-over-year.
SaaS ARR Growth
Sustained growth in cloud subscription drove SaaS ARR up 24% year-over-year to $216 million.
Strong Product and Regional Performance
Product revenue increased 20% year-over-year, with strong performance in Asia Pacific and EMEA. Bookings grew 21% year-over-year.
New Product and Technology Adoption
Increased adoption of WiFi 7 solutions and positive feedback for Extreme Platform ONE, which uses AI to improve networking efficiency.
Strategic Wins and Partnerships
Significant wins in Asia Pacific with a major government project and an extended partnership with the NFL through 2028.
Environmental Initiatives
Extreme Networks reduced emissions by 34% since 2021 and plans to source 50% of electricity from renewables.
Negative Updates
Impact of Component Cost Increases
Non-GAAP gross margin was impacted by industry-wide increases in component costs, such as memory and metals.
Challenges with Gross Margin Recovery
Gross margins are expected to recover over time, with implemented price increases to mitigate higher costs.
Company Guidance
During the Extreme Networks First Quarter FY '26 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided a robust outlook, showcasing significant growth metrics. They achieved a revenue of $310 million, marking a sixth consecutive quarter of growth and a 15% year-over-year increase. Product revenue rose by 20% year-over-year, while SaaS ARR surged by 24% to $216 million, driven by new commercial models and large customer wins. Additionally, bookings climbed 21% year-over-year. Looking ahead, Extreme Networks anticipates revenue growth of 10% for the fiscal year. For the second quarter of fiscal '26, they projected revenue between $309 million and $315 million, with gross margins expected to improve by 100 to 200 basis points due to recent price increases and tactical supply chain adjustments. Earnings per share guidance for Q2 was set between $0.23 and $0.25.

Extreme Networks Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Extreme Networks demonstrates moderate financial health with stable revenue growth and profitability challenges. The high leverage poses a risk, but the company maintains a solid cash conversion rate. Improvements in operational efficiency and debt management could enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Extreme Networks shows a moderate revenue growth rate of 3.6% in the TTM, with a gross profit margin of 61.6%. However, the net profit margin is low at 0.73%, indicating challenges in converting revenue into profit. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also relatively low, suggesting room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.22 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity is 13.46%, showing some profitability, but the equity ratio is low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.23, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is negative at -18.55%, which is a concern. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 86.36%, showing good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.14B1.12B1.31B1.11B1.01B
Gross Profit716.62M709.13M628.79M752.67M626.70M573.41M
EBITDA68.18M39.42M-19.61M158.62M120.07M110.09M
Net Income9.52M-7.47M-85.96M78.07M44.27M1.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.15B1.15B1.04B1.14B1.07B1.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments209.00M231.75M156.70M234.83M194.52M246.89M
Total Debt83.49M223.44M250.15M275.46M365.09M409.59M
Total Liabilities1.08B1.09B1.02B1.02B978.17M955.63M
Stockholders Equity68.56M65.58M25.28M116.75M90.34M54.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow112.71M127.32M37.37M235.41M112.74M127.36M
Operating Cash Flow130.50M152.03M55.49M249.21M128.18M144.53M
Investing Cash Flow-24.65M-24.71M-18.12M-13.80M-84.95M-17.18M
Financing Cash Flow-56.24M-52.59M-114.98M-194.78M-94.66M-74.78M

Extreme Networks Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.03
Price Trends
50DMA
20.20
Negative
100DMA
19.68
Negative
200DMA
17.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.81
Positive
RSI
35.47
Neutral
STOCH
26.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXTR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.80, below the 50-day MA of 20.20, and below the 200-day MA of 17.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EXTR.

Extreme Networks Risk Analysis

Extreme Networks disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Extreme Networks reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Extreme Networks Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.42B34.956.71%1.46%78.77%
68
Neutral
$3.77B254.192.13%15.60%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$3.72B9.86%99.11%
58
Neutral
$2.36B268.1917.08%14.31%
56
Neutral
$4.88B-11.04%1.23%-31.80%
41
Neutral
$598.47M-48.44%14.33%83.32%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXTR
Extreme Networks
16.73
1.31
8.50%
ADTN
Adtran
7.25
-0.67
-8.46%
DGII
Digi International
38.53
7.35
23.57%
VSAT
ViaSat
35.27
28.44
416.40%
COMM
CommScope Holding
16.67
12.14
267.99%
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
16.58
6.83
70.05%

Extreme Networks Corporate Events

Extreme Networks Reports Strong Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results
Oct 30, 2025

Extreme Networks, Inc. is a leader in AI-driven cloud networking, providing simple and secure solutions that enable connections among devices, applications, and users across various industries worldwide.

Extreme Networks Navigates Geopolitical and Economic Challenges Amid Tariff Uncertainties
Aug 20, 2025

Extreme Networks faces significant business risks due to geopolitical changes and economic policy uncertainties, particularly those stemming from U.S. tariff adjustments and broader global tensions. These factors could lead to decreased demand for their products, increased costs, and supply chain disruptions, potentially affecting their financial performance and stock price. The company is attempting to mitigate these risks by diversifying its manufacturing and supply chain strategies, yet the unpredictability of tariffs and retaliatory measures from trade partners remains a concern. Such economic volatility may prompt customers to delay IT spending, impacting sales and competitiveness in the global market.

Extreme Networks Reports Strong Growth in Q4 2025
Aug 8, 2025

Extreme Networks, Inc., a leader in AI-driven cloud networking, focuses on delivering simple and secure solutions to help businesses connect devices, applications, and users. The company leverages artificial intelligence, analytics, and automation to push technological boundaries.

Extreme Networks Reports Strong Growth and Strategic Wins
Aug 8, 2025

Extreme Networks’ latest earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic achievements, underscored by a positive sentiment. The company reported strong revenue growth and significant wins in key regions, alongside the successful launch of an innovative AI platform. Despite facing some regional revenue challenges and the need for margin improvement, the overall momentum and positive financial results suggest a favorable outlook for the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025