tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Extreme Networks (EXTR)
NASDAQ:EXTR

Extreme Networks (EXTR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
825 Followers

Top Page

EXTR

Extreme Networks

(NASDAQ:EXTR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(16.72% Upside)
Extreme Networks' overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance, which shows stable revenue growth but significant profitability and leverage challenges. The technical analysis suggests neutral to bearish momentum, while the valuation indicates potential overvaluation. Positive sentiment from the earnings call and strategic corporate events provide some optimism, but the financial and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
SaaS ARR Growth
Strong SaaS ARR growth reflects successful adoption of subscription models, providing a stable and recurring revenue stream.
Strategic Wins and Partnerships
Strategic partnerships and wins enhance market presence and provide long-term growth opportunities in key regions.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage could limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Declining Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow may constrain the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.
Profitability Challenges
Low profitability margins indicate operational challenges, which may hinder the company's ability to sustain long-term growth.

Extreme Networks (EXTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Extreme Networks Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExtreme Networks, Inc. provides software-driven networking solutions worldwide. It designs, develops, and manufactures wired and wireless network infrastructure equipment; and develops software for network management, policy, analytics, security, and access controls. The company offers ExtremeCloud IQ, an ML/AI powered, wired, and wireless cloud network management solution that offers advanced visibility and control over users, devices, and applications; ExtremeCloud IQ – Site Engine that provides task automation, access control, granular visibility with real-time analytics and multi-vendor device management; and ExtremeCloud IQ Essentials offers WIPS, location services, IoT, and guest management services. It also provides wireless access point products; ExtremeSwitching portfolio that includes access edge products that offer physical presentations along with options to deliver Ethernet or convergence-friendly Power-over-Ethernet (POE), including high-power universal POE; aggregation/core switches designed to address aggregation, top-of-rack, and campus core environments; and data center switches and routers. In addition, the company offers cloud native platforms and applications for service providers; and customer support and services. It markets and sells its products through distributors, resellers, and field sales organizations to healthcare, education, government, manufacturing, retail, and hospitality markets. Extreme Networks, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Morrisville, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyExtreme Networks generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of hardware, software, and services. Key revenue streams include the sale of network switches, routers, and wireless access points, which cater to organizations seeking robust networking solutions. Additionally, the company offers subscription-based software licenses for its management and analytics platforms, which provide ongoing revenue. Service and support contracts also contribute significantly to the company's earnings, providing maintenance, training, and technical support to clients. Strategic partnerships with other technology companies and service providers enhance its market reach and drive additional revenue opportunities, particularly in the cloud and managed services sectors.

Extreme Networks Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with continued revenue growth and strategic wins. Despite challenges with component cost increases impacting gross margins, the company is optimistic about future recovery and growth prospects.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Sixth Consecutive Quarter of Revenue Growth
The first quarter marked the sixth consecutive quarter of revenue growth and the third consecutive quarter of double-digit year-over-year increases, with revenue reaching $310 million, up 15% year-over-year.
SaaS ARR Growth
Sustained growth in cloud subscription drove SaaS ARR up 24% year-over-year to $216 million.
Strong Product and Regional Performance
Product revenue increased 20% year-over-year, with strong performance in Asia Pacific and EMEA. Bookings grew 21% year-over-year.
New Product and Technology Adoption
Increased adoption of WiFi 7 solutions and positive feedback for Extreme Platform ONE, which uses AI to improve networking efficiency.
Strategic Wins and Partnerships
Significant wins in Asia Pacific with a major government project and an extended partnership with the NFL through 2028.
Environmental Initiatives
Extreme Networks reduced emissions by 34% since 2021 and plans to source 50% of electricity from renewables.
Negative Updates
Impact of Component Cost Increases
Non-GAAP gross margin was impacted by industry-wide increases in component costs, such as memory and metals.
Challenges with Gross Margin Recovery
Gross margins are expected to recover over time, with implemented price increases to mitigate higher costs.
Company Guidance
During the Extreme Networks First Quarter FY '26 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided a robust outlook, showcasing significant growth metrics. They achieved a revenue of $310 million, marking a sixth consecutive quarter of growth and a 15% year-over-year increase. Product revenue rose by 20% year-over-year, while SaaS ARR surged by 24% to $216 million, driven by new commercial models and large customer wins. Additionally, bookings climbed 21% year-over-year. Looking ahead, Extreme Networks anticipates revenue growth of 10% for the fiscal year. For the second quarter of fiscal '26, they projected revenue between $309 million and $315 million, with gross margins expected to improve by 100 to 200 basis points due to recent price increases and tactical supply chain adjustments. Earnings per share guidance for Q2 was set between $0.23 and $0.25.

Extreme Networks Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Extreme Networks demonstrates stable revenue growth and strong gross margins, but faces challenges with profitability and high leverage. The balance sheet reveals significant debt, which could impact financial stability. Cash flow performance is mixed, with strong cash conversion but declining free cash flow. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and managing leverage to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
Extreme Networks shows a moderate revenue growth rate of 3.6% TTM, indicating steady growth. The gross profit margin remains strong at over 60%, but the net profit margin is low at 0.81%, suggesting limited profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest, reflecting operational challenges. Overall, the income statement reflects stable revenue growth but highlights profitability concerns.
Balance Sheet
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.22 TTM, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is positive at 14.81%, showing some profitability on equity. However, the equity ratio is low, suggesting potential financial risk. The balance sheet reflects high leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
Free cash flow growth is negative at -25.54% TTM, indicating a decline in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.23, showing moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.86, suggesting good cash flow relative to net income. Overall, cash flow performance is mixed, with strong cash conversion but declining free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.14B1.12B1.31B1.11B1.01B
Gross Profit716.62M709.13M628.79M752.67M626.70M573.41M
EBITDA68.18M39.42M-19.61M158.62M120.07M110.09M
Net Income9.52M-7.47M-85.96M78.07M44.27M1.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.15B1.15B1.04B1.14B1.07B1.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments209.00M231.75M156.70M234.83M194.52M246.89M
Total Debt242.39M223.44M250.15M275.46M365.09M409.59M
Total Liabilities1.08B1.09B1.02B1.02B978.17M955.63M
Stockholders Equity68.56M65.58M25.28M116.75M90.34M54.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow94.80M127.32M37.37M235.41M112.74M127.36M
Operating Cash Flow119.45M152.03M55.49M249.21M128.18M144.53M
Investing Cash Flow-24.65M-24.71M-18.12M-13.80M-84.95M-17.18M
Financing Cash Flow-45.18M-52.59M-114.98M-194.78M-94.66M-74.78M

Extreme Networks Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.85
Price Trends
50DMA
17.37
Negative
100DMA
19.23
Negative
200DMA
17.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Positive
RSI
29.52
Positive
STOCH
13.77
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXTR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.80, below the 50-day MA of 17.37, and below the 200-day MA of 17.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.52 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.77 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EXTR.

Extreme Networks Risk Analysis

Extreme Networks disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Extreme Networks reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Extreme Networks Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$4.14B260.432.13%15.60%
68
Neutral
$1.61B39.096.71%1.46%78.77%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$3.92B-141.679.86%99.11%
59
Neutral
$2.16B249.6117.08%14.31%
56
Neutral
$5.10B-9.67-11.04%1.23%-31.80%
50
Neutral
$707.42M-8.13-48.44%14.33%83.32%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXTR
Extreme Networks
15.85
-1.03
-6.10%
ADTN
Adtran
8.83
-1.34
-13.18%
DGII
Digi International
42.37
13.99
49.30%
VSAT
ViaSat
38.72
29.87
337.51%
COMM
CommScope Holding
17.78
12.80
257.03%
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
17.11
7.20
72.65%

Extreme Networks Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Extreme Networks Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Extreme Networks, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. Seven director nominees were elected for a one-year term, executive officer compensation was approved, Grant Thornton LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026, and an amendment to the 2013 Equity Incentive Plan was approved, adding 6,800,000 shares for issuance. These decisions reflect the company’s strategic direction and governance priorities, potentially impacting its operational and financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXTR) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Extreme Networks stock, see the EXTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Extreme Networks Announces 2026 Financial Guidance
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Extreme Networks announced its financial guidance for the fiscal year 2026, ending June 30, 2026, during its Investor Day. The company reaffirmed its fiscal second quarter 2026 outlook and provided detailed guidance for the full year, targeting total net revenue between $1,247 million and $1,264 million, with gross margins and operating margins outlined for both GAAP and non-GAAP measures. This announcement reflects Extreme Networks’ strategic positioning and expectations for continued growth, despite market conditions and competitive challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXTR) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Extreme Networks stock, see the EXTR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025