tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
ViaSat Inc (VSAT)
:VSAT
Advertisement

ViaSat (VSAT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
932 Followers

Top Page

VSAT

ViaSat

(NASDAQ:VSAT)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$21.50
▲(6.02%Upside)
ViaSat's stock is bolstered by strong technical momentum and strategic corporate developments, but faces significant valuation and financial performance challenges. Notable achievements in the recent earnings call and corporate events suggest potential for future improvement, yet current profitability issues and high leverage remain significant concerns.
Positive Factors
Aviation Wins
Recent aviation wins with American Airlines, Etihad, and Riyadh Air instill confidence that ViaSat will remain a satcom industry leader.
Defense Technology
ViaSat’s defense satellite connectivity continues to achieve impressive growth with the connected battlefield now a strategic imperative.
Settlement Agreement
The settlement with Ligado is seen as incrementally positive for VSAT, aiding in shoring up the company's balance sheet.
Negative Factors
Commercial Comms Decline
Commercial Comms experienced a decline, negatively impacting the company's overall results.
Competition
ViaSat continues to face intense competition from Starlink across the residential, maritime, aviation, and government end-markets.
Satellite Delays
ViaSat has experienced delays with its ViaSat-3 satellite constellation, affecting its ability to provide Wi-Fi on most of American Airlines' international fleet.

ViaSat (VSAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ViaSat Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViaSat Inc. is an American communications company that provides high-speed satellite broadband services and secure networking systems to military and commercial markets. The company operates in sectors such as satellite services, government systems, and commercial networks. ViaSat's core products and services include satellite internet services, secure networking solutions, and communication systems for air, land, and sea applications.
How the Company Makes MoneyViaSat makes money primarily through its satellite services segment, which includes consumer broadband services for residential customers, in-flight internet services for commercial airlines, and connectivity solutions for government and defense markets. Key revenue streams include subscription fees for satellite internet services, contracts with commercial airlines for in-flight connectivity, and government contracts for secure communication systems. Significant partnerships with airlines and government agencies contribute to its earnings by expanding its customer base and enhancing service offerings.

ViaSat Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 92.59%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments and challenges. The company achieved record new contract awards, successful milestones in satellite deployment, and positive free cash flow. However, it faced a significant GAAP net loss, revenue declines in key segments, and a notable write-down. Despite the challenges, the company appears to be strategically positioned for future growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record New Contract Awards
Viasat achieved record new contract awards growth in fiscal year 2025.
Successful Launch and Integration of ViaSat-3 Flight 1
Successfully integrated ViaSat-3 Flight 1 into the global network, enhancing user experience and network efficiency.
Operational and Strategic Milestones
Completed critical milestones on satellite roadmap, received positive reception for NexusWave maritime broadband service, and introduced network optimization innovations.
Strong Performance in Government Satcom
Government satcom revenue grew by 16% in the fourth quarter.
Positive Free Cash Flow Achieved
Generated about $50 million of free cash flow in fiscal year 2025.
Reduction in Capital Expenditure
Reduced combined fiscal 2025 and 2026 CapEx by almost $300 million.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss
Reported a GAAP net loss of $575 million for fiscal year 2025.
Communication Services Revenue Decline
Communication Services segment revenue declined by 4% due to decline in fixed services and other end-product revenue.
Maritime Revenue Decrease
Maritime revenue was down 8%.
Fixed Broadband Challenges
US fixed broadband revenue continued to be challenged with capacity constraints.
Significant Write-down
Took a $160 million write-down in Communication Services segment related to the exit of certain EMEA ground network assets and related contracts.
Company Guidance
During Viasat's Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, the company reported achieving or exceeding its guidance metrics and highlighted record new contract awards growth. The company completed critical milestones on its satellite roadmap, integrated the first ViaSat-3 Flight 1 into its global network, and introduced the multi-orbit NexusWave maritime broadband service. Viasat also made significant progress on its capital structure, reducing capital intensity. Financially, Viasat reported fiscal 2025 revenue of $4.5 billion, a GAAP net loss of $575 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $1.55 billion, representing a 34.2% adjusted EBITDA margin. For fiscal 2026, Viasat anticipates modest revenue growth, flattish adjusted EBITDA, and aims for a free-cash flow inflection. The company plans to reduce its capital expenditures, which are expected to be about $1.3 billion, and remains focused on capital efficiency and debt reduction.

ViaSat Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ViaSat shows revenue growth but faces significant challenges with profitability and high leverage. The negative net profit margin and high debt-to-equity ratio are concerning, though there is a positive trend in operating cash flow.
Income Statement
50
Neutral
ViaSat has seen a significant increase in revenue over the years, with a revenue growth rate of 5.5% from 2024 to 2025. However, the company's profitability metrics are concerning, with a negative net profit margin due to consistent net losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational challenges, as EBIT remains negative. Despite revenue growth, the profitability issues weigh heavily on the income statement score.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
ViaSat's balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating substantial leverage which could pose risks if not managed effectively. The equity ratio shows that a significant portion of the company's assets is financed through debt. The return on equity is negative, highlighting the company's inability to generate profit from its equity base. These elements point to a financially strained position with potential risk exposure.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
The company's cash flow statement reveals a positive trend in operating cash flow, which is encouraging. However, free cash flow remains negative, indicating that capital expenditures are high relative to cash generated from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative due to the net losses, which suggests challenges in generating sufficient cash to cover expenses and investments.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.52B4.28B2.56B2.79B2.26B
Gross Profit1.49B1.38B721.40M847.51M691.82M
EBITDA1.24B363.98M365.03M386.93M351.59M
Net Income-574.96M-1.07B-211.57M-2.20M16.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.45B16.33B7.73B6.39B5.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.61B1.90B1.35B310.46M295.95M
Total Debt7.52B7.64B2.73B2.81B2.15B
Total Liabilities10.80B11.26B3.87B3.71B2.96B
Stockholders Equity4.55B5.03B3.82B2.63B2.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-122.00M-851.19M-796.46M-484.67M-158.06M
Operating Cash Flow908.19M688.20M367.86M505.64M727.22M
Investing Cash Flow-758.36M-1.29B768.04M-1.13B-885.27M
Financing Cash Flow-442.59M1.12B-66.13M643.63M149.69M

ViaSat Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.28
Price Trends
50DMA
13.33
Positive
100DMA
11.45
Positive
200DMA
10.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.97
Negative
RSI
80.54
Negative
STOCH
82.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VSAT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.55, above the 50-day MA of 13.33, and above the 200-day MA of 10.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.54 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VSAT.

ViaSat Risk Analysis

ViaSat disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ViaSat reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ViaSat Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$12.53B123.463.71%2.86%-29.92%
65
Neutral
$7.40B-42.79%3.58%-22.74%
64
Neutral
$2.23B-12.00%5.50%48.79%
62
Neutral
$34.80B6.83-10.78%2.06%6.36%-8.52%
58
Neutral
$2.18B464.760.71%3.34%
46
Neutral
$7.74B-1.60%-35.86%85.81%
39
Underperform
$5.20M-97.40%-29.78%45.35%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VSAT
ViaSat
20.28
2.74
15.62%
CIEN
Ciena
92.67
45.96
98.39%
SATS
Echostar
26.33
7.39
39.02%
LITE
Lumentum Holdings
111.13
69.54
167.20%
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
10.01
2.54
34.00%
BOXL
Boxlight
2.05
-0.58
-22.05%

ViaSat Corporate Events

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Viasat Announces Settlement with Ligado Networks
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

On June 13, 2025, Viasat announced that its subsidiary, Inmarsat, has reached a binding settlement with Ligado Networks and AST & Science as part of Ligado’s Chapter 11 reorganization. This agreement, pending bankruptcy court approval, involves Viasat receiving $568 million from Ligado by March 31, 2026, which will be used to manage near-term maturities and extend its maturity profile. The settlement includes quarterly payments from Ligado to Inmarsat starting September 30, 2025, and two lump sum payments, while Ligado’s lawsuit against Inmarsat will be dismissed. This settlement reflects Viasat’s strategic approach to maintaining its market position and advancing its growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (VSAT) stock is a Buy with a $52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ViaSat stock, see the VSAT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Viasat Updates Stockholder Agreements and Board Changes
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Viasat, a company involved in communications, entered into new Stockholder Agreements with former sellers, replacing previous agreements. These agreements require certain stakeholders to vote their shares according to the board’s recommendations and include transfer restrictions and standstill limitations. The former agreements, which allowed sellers to appoint directors, were terminated, and Andrew Sukawaty resigned from the board, with Viasat expressing gratitude for his service.

The most recent analyst rating on (VSAT) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ViaSat stock, see the VSAT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Viasat Expands Board with New Director Appointments
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 9, 2025, James Bridenstine resigned from the Board of Directors of Viasat, Inc., with no disagreements cited. The company expressed gratitude for his service and adjusted its board structure accordingly. Concurrently, Viasat appointed William LaPlante and Michael Paull as new directors, expanding the board to eight members, six of whom are independent. Dr. LaPlante brings extensive experience in national security and technology, having served in various high-level defense and technology roles, while Mr. Paull has a strong background in media and technology, having held leadership positions at Disney and Amazon. These appointments are expected to enhance Viasat’s strategic capabilities and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (VSAT) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ViaSat stock, see the VSAT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2025