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ViaSat (VSAT)
NASDAQ:VSAT
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ViaSat (VSAT) AI Stock Analysis

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VSAT

ViaSat

(NASDAQ:VSAT)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(2.97% Upside)
ViaSat's overall score reflects strong revenue growth and cash flow improvements, tempered by profitability challenges and high leverage. Technical indicators suggest a neutral market stance, while valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings. The earnings call provided some positive insights, but operational challenges persist.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth in key segments like Defense and Advanced Technologies indicates robust demand and strengthens market position.
Free Cash Flow Generation
Positive free cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt reduction.
Progress on ViaSat-3
Advancements in the ViaSat-3 project bolster long-term growth prospects by expanding capacity and service capabilities.
Negative Factors
Net Loss Increase
Rising net losses highlight ongoing profitability challenges, potentially impacting long-term financial health and investor confidence.
Pressure in Fixed Broadband
Declining fixed broadband revenue suggests competitive pressures and market challenges, affecting overall revenue stability.
High Leverage
High leverage can constrain financial flexibility and increase risk, necessitating careful debt management to ensure stability.

ViaSat (VSAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ViaSat Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViasat, Inc. provides broadband and communications products and services worldwide. The company's Satellite Services segment offers satellite-based fixed broadband services, including broadband internet access and voice over internet protocol services to consumers and businesses; in-flight entertainment and aviation software services to commercial airlines; community internet services; mobile broadband services, including satellite-based internet services to energy offshore vessels, cruise ships, consumer ferries, and yachts; and energy services, which include ultra-secure solutions IP connectivity, bandwidth-optimized over-the-top applications, industrial internet-of-things big data enablement, and industry-leading machine learning analytics. Its Commercial Networks segment offers fixed broadband satellite communication systems comprising satellite network infrastructure and ground terminals; mobile broadband satellite communication systems; antenna systems for terrestrial and satellite applications, such as earth imaging, remote sensing, mobile satellite communication, Ka-band earth stations, and other multi-band antennas; design and technology services comprising analysis, design, and development of satellites and ground systems; application specific integrated circuit and monolithic microwave integrated circuit chips; and network function virtualization, as well as space system design and development products and services include architectures for GEO, MEO, LEO satellites, and other satellite platforms. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyViaSat generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of broadband services to residential and commercial customers. The company's consumer segment offers satellite internet services, which are billed through monthly subscriptions. Its enterprise segment provides customized networking solutions for businesses, including secure data transmission and connectivity services. Additionally, ViaSat earns revenue from government contracts, supplying secure communication systems for military and defense applications. Strategic partnerships with satellite operators and telecommunications companies also contribute to its earnings, enabling ViaSat to expand its service offerings and reach a broader customer base.

ViaSat Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Contracts Awarded By Segment
Contracts Awarded By Segment
Tracks new contracts secured in each segment, reflecting business development success and future revenue streams.
Chart InsightsViaSat's recent shift in focus is evident as the Communication Services and Defense and Advanced Technologies segments have emerged as key growth drivers, replacing Satellite Services and Government Systems. The earnings call highlights double-digit growth in Defense and Advanced Technologies, driven by information security and cyber defense, aligning with the strategic pivot. Despite challenges in fixed broadband, the progress on the ViaSat-3 project and NexusWave's maritime success indicate a promising future, with expectations of sustainable free cash flow and reduced capital expenditures.
Data provided by:The Fly

ViaSat Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive financial improvements and strategic advancements, with challenges including a delayed satellite launch and declines in certain service areas. Despite some setbacks, the company is making progress in key areas and maintaining a focus on cash generation and strategic initiatives.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Financial Performance
Net loss of $61 million, improved from a net loss of $138 million in Q2 FY 2025, primarily due to favorable service revenue mix, lower depreciation and amortization, and lower SG&A expenses.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Revenue grew 2% year-over-year, with a 3% growth in the Defense and Advanced Technologies segment. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 3% year-over-year.
Strong Awards and Backlog
Awards were $1.5 billion, up 17%, and backlog increased to a record of $1.2 billion, up 31% year-over-year.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Generated $69 million in free cash flow for the quarter and $147 million on a trailing 12-month basis, achieving positive free cash flow for three consecutive quarters.
Strategic Developments
The company announced plans to form Equitus with Space 42 and potentially other operators to enhance their mobile satellite services.
Negative Updates
Launch Delay of ViaSat-3 Flight 2
The launch was delayed due to an issue with the Atlas booster liquid oxygen tank vent valve, which now aims to launch in a week.
Fixed Services Revenue Decline
Fixed services and other revenue was down 16% as U.S. fixed broadband subscribers continued to decline.
Government Shutdown Impact
The potential delay of DAT awards by up to $100 million and impact DAT adjusted EBITDA by up to $20 million due to the government shutdown.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2026 earnings call, Viasat provided guidance highlighting a net loss reduction to $61 million from $138 million in the prior year, driven by favorable service revenue mix, lower depreciation, amortization, and SG&A expenses. Revenue increased by 2%, with the Defense and Advanced Technologies (DAT) segment growing by 3% and the Communications Services segment by 1%. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 3%, attributed to better-than-expected growth in the Communications Services segment, albeit partially offset by a decline in the DAT segment. The DAT segment backlog reached a record $1.2 billion, a 31% year-over-year increase. The company also noted awards growth of 17%, cash flow from operations up by 18% year-over-year to $282 million, and free cash flow of $69 million, demonstrating progress in cash generation. Viasat's fiscal year 2026 outlook anticipates low single-digit revenue growth and flattish adjusted EBITDA, with free cash flow expected to be positive in fiscal year 2027.

ViaSat Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ViaSat shows strong revenue growth and improving cash flow metrics, but faces challenges with profitability and high leverage. The company needs to enhance its profit margins and manage debt levels for long-term stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
ViaSat's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue growth rate of 40.8%, which is a positive sign. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has improved over time, but the persistent negative net income is a concern.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity remains negative, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges. The equity ratio suggests a stable asset base, but the high debt levels pose a risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a strong recovery in free cash flow growth, with a significant increase in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains low, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.58B4.52B4.28B2.56B2.42B1.92B
Gross Profit1.52B1.49B1.38B721.40M705.90M565.19M
EBITDA1.37B1.24B363.98M397.12M403.70M294.95M
Net Income-522.34M-574.96M-1.07B1.08B-15.53M3.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.76B15.45B16.33B7.73B6.39B5.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.23B1.61B1.90B1.35B310.46M295.95M
Total Debt7.08B7.52B7.64B2.78B2.85B2.20B
Total Liabilities10.18B10.80B11.26B3.87B3.71B2.96B
Stockholders Equity4.52B4.55B5.03B3.82B2.63B2.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow146.54M-122.00M-851.19M-796.46M-484.67M-158.06M
Operating Cash Flow1.06B908.19M688.20M367.86M505.64M727.22M
Investing Cash Flow-815.68M-758.36M-1.29B768.04M-1.13B-885.27M
Financing Cash Flow-2.55B-442.59M1.12B-66.13M643.63M149.69M

ViaSat Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.96
Price Trends
50DMA
34.92
Positive
100DMA
30.21
Positive
200DMA
20.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.34
Negative
RSI
51.28
Neutral
STOCH
81.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VSAT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.49, above the 50-day MA of 34.92, and above the 200-day MA of 20.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VSAT.

ViaSat Risk Analysis

ViaSat disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ViaSat reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ViaSat Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$801.90M31.826.95%29.67%41.90%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$23.50B221.5513.42%33.62%
60
Neutral
$4.25B-152.759.86%99.11%
56
Neutral
$4.73B-11.04%1.23%-31.80%
54
Neutral
$23.61B-98.16%-44.95%-430.47%
54
Neutral
$27.16B-39.22%641.24%41.70%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VSAT
ViaSat
34.96
25.43
266.84%
SATS
Echostar
82.00
58.27
245.55%
GILT
Gilat
11.86
5.69
92.22%
COMM
CommScope Holding
19.17
13.91
264.45%
LITE
Lumentum Holdings
331.41
241.61
269.05%
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile
73.92
47.94
184.53%

ViaSat Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Viasat Appoints Barbara Frenkel to Board of Directors
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Viasat, Inc. appointed Barbara Frenkel as a Class I director, expanding the Board to eight members, six of whom are independent. Ms. Frenkel brings extensive experience from her tenure at Porsche AG, where she held various executive roles, including on the Executive Board for Procurement. Her appointment is expected to enhance Viasat’s strategic direction and governance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025