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Viavi Solutions (VIAV)
NASDAQ:VIAV

Viavi Solutions (VIAV) AI Stock Analysis

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VIAV

Viavi Solutions

(NASDAQ:VIAV)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(7.50% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
The score is driven primarily by strong technical momentum and a constructive earnings call (beats and upbeat sequential guidance). This is tempered by mixed financial fundamentals (recent net loss and higher leverage) and weak valuation signals due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Re-accelerating revenue growth
Sustained top-line acceleration, driven by strong demand in data center and aerospace & defense and contribution from recent acquisitions, indicates durable market traction. Management's sequential guidance and repeated outperformance suggest the company can extend revenue momentum into multiple quarters, supporting investments and strategic initiatives.
Resilient gross margins across segments
High and steady gross margins reflect structural product mix and pricing power in test and optical businesses. Margin resilience across NSE and OSP, including OSP gross margin and strong OSP operating margin, supports sustainable cash generation and reinvestment capacity, making profitability less sensitive to revenue volatility.
Strong cash position and active debt management
A large cash balance plus consistent free cash flow gives the company flexibility to reduce leverage and fund strategic priorities. The use of cash to prepay term debt and exchanges to address convertibles shows disciplined capital allocation, enhancing balance-sheet resilience and capacity for M&A or R&D without relying solely on external financing.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage and balance-sheet sensitivity
Material increase in leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises interest-cost sensitivity. With debt-to-equity elevated versus prior periods, the company is more exposed to cyclical revenue or margin shocks, which can limit its ability to fund growth initiatives and increase refinancing risk if cash generation weakens.
Choppy profitability and earnings quality
Inconsistent profitability — including a recent swing to a net loss — weakens predictability of earnings and returns. Lower operating margins versus earlier peak periods suggest reduced operating leverage, making the company more vulnerable to margin pressure and constraining sustainable funding for capex, R&D, or shareholder returns.
Share dilution from convertible exchanges
Significant dilution from convertible-note exchanges increases share count, lowering per-share earnings and cash-per-share metrics over the long term. While exchanges reduced near-term cash outflows, persistent dilution can hamper EPS growth, reduce shareholder returns potential, and limit flexibility for future buybacks.

Viavi Solutions (VIAV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Viavi Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViavi Solutions Inc. provides network test, monitoring, and assurance solutions to communications service providers, enterprises, network equipment manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, government, and avionics customers worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Network Enablement (NE), Service Enablement (SE), and Optical Security and Performance Products (OSP) segments. The NE segment offers testing solutions that access the network to perform build-out and maintenance tasks. This segment provides solutions that include instruments, software, and services to design, build, activate, certify, troubleshoot, and optimize networks; and instrumentation for communication and safety. It also offers support and professional services, such as repair, calibration, software support, and technical assistance for the products; and system integration projects, including project management, installation, and implementation, as well as product and technology training, and consulting services. The SE segment provides embedded systems and enterprise performance management solutions for communication service providers, enterprises, and cloud operators with visibility into network, service, and application data. Its solutions include instruments, microprobes, and software, which monitor, collect, and analyze network data to reveal the actual customer experience and to identify opportunities for new revenue streams and network optimization. The OSP segment offers optical products for anti-counterfeiting, consumer and industrial, government, automotive, and industrial markets. The company was formerly known as JDS Uniphase Corporation and changed its name to Viavi Solutions Inc. in August 2015. Viavi Solutions Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyViavi Solutions generates revenue primarily through the sale of its test and measurement equipment and related services. The key revenue streams include hardware sales from network performance monitoring devices, software licenses for network management applications, and recurring revenue from support and maintenance agreements. Additionally, Viavi leverages partnerships with major telecommunications operators and service providers to integrate its solutions into their networks, enhancing customer loyalty and driving long-term contracts. The company also benefits from the growing demand for high-speed networks and cloud services, as businesses increasingly invest in advanced technologies to support digital transformation.

Viavi Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong financial outperformance for the quarter with robust revenue growth (+36.4% YoY), margin expansion, EPS beats, and clear momentum in high-growth end markets (data center and aerospace & defense). Management provided constructive Q3 guidance and highlighted cash strength and active debt management. Near-term negatives include a modest shortfall in Spirent timing, one-time restructuring charges (~$32M) with ~5% workforce reduction, share dilution from convertible exchanges (and a higher expected share count), slight margin pressure in parts of the business, and a small decline in operating cash flow. On balance, the positives around top-line strength, margin improvement, segment momentum, and disciplined capital allocation outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Beat and Strong Growth
Net revenue of $369.3M in Q2, at the high end of guidance ($360M–$370M); up 23.5% sequentially and up 36.4% year-over-year.
Margin Expansion and EPS Outperformance
Operating margin of 19.3% (above guidance 17.3%–18.5%), increasing 360 bps sequentially and 440 bps year-over-year. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.22 beat guidance ($0.18–$0.20), up $0.07 sequentially and $0.09 year-over-year.
NSE Segment Strength
NSE revenue of $291.5M (high end of guidance $283M–$293M), up 45.8% year-over-year driven by acquisitions (Inertia Labs and Spirent product lines) and strong demand from the data center ecosystem; NSE operating margin improved to 15.6% from 8.7% a year ago.
OSP (OSB) Revenue and Margin Improvement
OSP revenue $77.8M (slightly above ~ $77M guidance), up 9.7% year-over-year. OSP gross margin 50.8% (+20 bps YoY) and operating margin 33.4% (up 100 bps YoY).
Strong Cash Position and Active Debt Management
Total cash and short-term investments of $772.1M (vs $549.1M prior period, ~+40.6%). Exchanged ~$100M principal of convertible notes for 7.9M shares and prepaid $100M of a $600M term loan B, prioritizing debt management over buybacks.
Positive Forward Guidance and Continued End‑market Momentum
Q3 revenue guidance implies sequential growth (company expects Q3 up sequentially), Q3 revenue range $386M–$400M; NSE guidance $304M–$316M; OSP $82M–$84M. Management expects continued data center and aerospace & defense demand to drive momentum into calendar 2026.
Cost Savings Program with Reinvestment Plans
Restructuring plan affecting ~5% of global workforce with estimated $32M in charges and expected annual run-rate savings of ~$30M; company intends to reinvest a portion of savings into higher-growth areas.
Negative Updates
Spirent Product Line Revenue Slightly Below Expectations
Spirent-related revenue of $43M came in below the company's expectation of $45M–$55M due to timing of certain opportunities; timing delays may push some government and other orders into Q3.
Dilution and Increasing Share Count
Fully diluted share count rose to 233.4M (from 224.8M prior year), and expected share count for next quarter is ~245M, reflecting convertible note exchanges and potential dilution.
Restructuring Charges and Workforce Reduction
Approved restructuring with ~5% headcount reduction and estimated ~$32M one-time charges (to be recognized mainly by June 2026), which creates short-term cost and execution risk despite expected ~$30M annual savings.
Remaining Debt and Convertible Note Cash Outflow
Approximately $50M principal remaining on convertible notes to be paid in cash and continued debt obligations despite partial prepayment of term loan; company settled a portion via share issuance which contributed to dilution.
Slight Pressure on Segment Margins and Variable Costs
NSE gross margin was 64.7% (down 10 bps YoY) and OSP/OSB operating margin came in slightly below guidance (company cited slightly higher variable costs), indicating some margin pressure in parts of the business.
Operating Cash Flow Slightly Lower
Cash flow from operations was $42.5M versus $44.7M in the prior-year period (down ~4.9%), attributed mainly to timing of working capital.
Persistent Weakness in Wireless Infrastructure Test
Management noted that demand for wireless infrastructure test remains weak (though stable), representing an area of ongoing softness within the portfolio.
Company Guidance
Viavi guided that fiscal Q3 revenue should be up sequentially, with total revenue of $386–$400 million, NSE revenue of $304–$316 million and OSP revenue of $82–$84 million; the Q3 guide includes a full 13 weeks of Spirent product lines versus 10 weeks in the prior quarter. They expect Viavi operating margin of 19.7% ±50 bps (≈19.2%–20.2%) and NSE operating margin of 15.5% ±50 bps (≈15.0%–16.0%) (OSB margin was not specified), other income/expense to be a net expense of ~$12.5 million, fully diluted share count around 245 million, and an expected Inertia Labs earn‑out payment of about $75 million during the quarter.

Viavi Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is re-accelerating and gross margins are resilient, with generally positive free cash flow. Offsetting this, profitability has recently swung to a net loss, operating margins are weaker versus prior peak years, and leverage has increased meaningfully (debt-to-equity ~1.17), raising execution and balance-sheet risk.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue has re-accelerated to 8.6% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) after a prior down year, and gross margin remains solid and steady (~56–60%). However, profitability is choppy: net income swung to a loss in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) after being profitable in FY2025, and operating margins are well below the stronger levels seen in FY2021–FY2023, indicating weaker cost leverage and earnings quality in the most recent period.
Balance Sheet
47
Neutral
Leverage has risen meaningfully, with debt-to-equity moving to ~1.17 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (up from ~0.89 in FY2025) as total debt increased sharply. Equity remains positive, but returns on equity are low and inconsistent (negative in FY2024 and modestly positive recently), which reduces balance-sheet flexibility and increases sensitivity to any profit pressure.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: the company stayed free-cash-flow positive across periods and posted strong free-cash-flow growth in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). That said, operating cash flow is not consistently strong versus reported earnings in the provided data, and free cash flow has been volatile year-to-year, which suggests working-capital and conversion dynamics can swing materially.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24B1.08B1.00B1.11B1.29B1.20B
Gross Profit693.30M616.30M569.60M630.10M763.80M681.10M
EBITDA90.90M131.30M101.20M157.30M163.80M247.80M
Net Income-41.70M34.80M-25.80M25.50M15.50M67.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.78B1.99B1.74B1.85B1.83B1.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments767.40M425.30M491.20M521.10M561.30M699.40M
Total Debt1.33B692.30M687.20M781.00M744.50M739.20M
Total Liabilities1.94B1.21B1.05B1.16B1.16B1.20B
Stockholders Equity834.30M780.20M681.60M690.80M671.70M763.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow78.70M62.00M96.90M63.00M105.60M191.20M
Operating Cash Flow105.10M89.80M116.40M114.10M178.10M243.30M
Investing Cash Flow-525.20M-128.40M-21.60M-127.10M-71.00M-48.70M
Financing Cash Flow678.90M-23.60M-125.70M-50.00M-210.40M-58.80M

Viavi Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.35
Price Trends
50DMA
22.34
Positive
100DMA
19.20
Positive
200DMA
14.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.62
Negative
RSI
83.03
Negative
STOCH
80.55
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIAV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.56, above the 50-day MA of 22.34, and above the 200-day MA of 14.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 83.03 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.55 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VIAV.

Viavi Solutions Risk Analysis

Viavi Solutions disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Viavi Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Viavi Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$8.18B-186.35-5.54%15.60%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$55.92B239.5029.27%33.62%
54
Neutral
$1.91B213.3212.43%14.31%
53
Neutral
$6.42B-18.18-7.27%1.23%-31.80%
50
Neutral
$3.65B-317.61-6.04%4.24%-141.83%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
35.35
24.36
221.66%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
14.25
-0.31
-2.13%
VSAT
ViaSat
47.24
38.69
452.19%
LITE
Lumentum Holdings
783.25
718.16
1103.33%
PI
IMPINJ
120.66
30.46
33.77%

Viavi Solutions Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Viavi Solutions Announces Convertible Notes Exchange Agreement
Neutral
Dec 16, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Viavi Solutions Inc. announced that it entered into agreements with certain institutional investors to exchange $103.463 million of its 1.625% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 for 7,871,043 shares of common stock at $17.88 per share. This exchange, expected to close by December 22, 2025, will not generate cash proceeds but will aid in prepaying $100 million of a $600 million Term Loan Credit Facility initiated in October 2025, leaving $49.037 million of the 2026 Notes outstanding.

The most recent analyst rating on (VIAV) stock is a Buy with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viavi Solutions stock, see the VIAV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026