tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Viavi Solutions (VIAV)
NASDAQ:VIAV
Advertisement

Viavi Solutions (VIAV) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
839 Followers

Top Page

VIAV

Viavi Solutions

(NASDAQ:VIAV)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▼(-7.92% Downside)
Viavi Solutions' overall score is impacted by financial performance challenges, particularly in net profitability and cash flow. The technical analysis suggests potential bearish momentum, while the valuation indicates possible overvaluation. However, the company shows strong earnings growth and strategic moves in corporate events, which provide some positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
Encouraged by the acquisition, as it represents a growth area for Viavi.
Earnings
Viavi Solutions Inc surpassed consensus revenue and earnings estimates and provided guidance significantly above expectations.
Financial performance
The Inertial Labs acquisition and data center business are contributing to stronger than expected financial performance.
Negative Factors
Guidance
There is a new concern that re-pricing with tariff premiums could lead to order delays, impacting future quarter guidance.
Market exposure
The business remains volatile with high exposure to service providers, keeping the analyst's recommendation underweight on a relative basis.
Revenue trajectory
There is a need for more clarity on revenue trajectory before assessing the full impact on Viavi's bottom line.

Viavi Solutions (VIAV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Viavi Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViavi Solutions Inc. provides network test, monitoring, and assurance solutions to communications service providers, enterprises, network equipment manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, government, and avionics customers worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Network Enablement (NE), Service Enablement (SE), and Optical Security and Performance Products (OSP) segments. The NE segment offers testing solutions that access the network to perform build-out and maintenance tasks. This segment provides solutions that include instruments, software, and services to design, build, activate, certify, troubleshoot, and optimize networks; and instrumentation for communication and safety. It also offers support and professional services, such as repair, calibration, software support, and technical assistance for the products; and system integration projects, including project management, installation, and implementation, as well as product and technology training, and consulting services. The SE segment provides embedded systems and enterprise performance management solutions for communication service providers, enterprises, and cloud operators with visibility into network, service, and application data. Its solutions include instruments, microprobes, and software, which monitor, collect, and analyze network data to reveal the actual customer experience and to identify opportunities for new revenue streams and network optimization. The OSP segment offers optical products for anti-counterfeiting, consumer and industrial, government, automotive, and industrial markets. The company was formerly known as JDS Uniphase Corporation and changed its name to Viavi Solutions Inc. in August 2015. Viavi Solutions Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyViavi Solutions generates revenue through the sale of its network test and measurement solutions and optical security products. In the Network Enablement segment, the company earns money by providing testing equipment and software solutions for network performance and service assurance. This includes fiber optic test instruments, wireless network test systems, and related software and services. In the Optical Security and Performance Products segment, Viavi earns revenue by supplying optical security technologies used in currency authentication and brand protection. Key factors contributing to its earnings include its extensive product portfolio, strong relationships with major telecom operators, and ongoing innovation in network testing and security technologies.

Viavi Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.89%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with significant growth in revenue and operating margins, driven by the data center ecosystem and OSP segment. However, challenges persist in the wireless business and tariff impacts. Overall, the highlights outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Net revenue for Q4 was $290.5 million, at the high end of the guidance range, up 2% sequentially and 15.3% year-over-year. Full fiscal year 2025 revenue was $1.84 billion, up 8.4% from the previous year.
Improved Operating Margins
Operating margin for Q4 was 14.4%, at the high end of the guidance range, up 350 basis points year-over-year. Fiscal year 2025 operating margin was 14.2%, an increase of 270 basis points from fiscal 2024.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) Growth
EPS for Q4 was $0.13, at the high end of the guidance range, up $0.05 year-over-year. Full year EPS was $0.47, up $0.14 from the prior year.
OSP Segment Performance
OSP revenue for Q4 was $81.4 million, above the high end of guidance, up 16.6% year-over-year, with gross margin at 54.7%, up 170 basis points from the previous year.
Data Center Ecosystem Growth
Strong demand from the data center ecosystem drove NSE revenue growth, with the launch of a second-generation 1.6-terabit test solution. This segment is expected to continue its strong demand into fiscal 2026.
Negative Updates
Decreased Operating Margin Sequentially
Q4 operating margin decreased 230 basis points from the prior quarter.
Challenges in Wireless Business
The wireless segment remains weak, with sluggish infrastructure test demand due to business weakness at leading wireless NEMs. This is expected to continue in the medium term.
Tariff Impacts
Newly imposed tariffs affected revenue, although the impact was mitigated. The tariff impact was approximately $1.5 million.
Company Guidance
During the Viavi Solutions Fiscal Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Call, guidance was provided for the upcoming fiscal year. The company expects first fiscal quarter revenue for 2026 to be between $290 million and $298 million, with an operating margin of 15%, plus or minus 40 basis points, and EPS estimated to range between $0.13 and $0.14. Specific guidance for their Network and Service Enablement (NSE) segment includes an anticipated revenue of approximately $211 million, plus or minus $3 million, with an operating margin of 5.8%, plus or minus 40 basis points. The Optical Security and Performance Products (OSP) segment is projected to generate approximately $83 million in revenue, plus or minus $1 million, with an operating margin of 38.3%, plus or minus 20 basis points. Additionally, tax expenses for the first quarter are expected to be around $8.5 million, plus or minus $500,000, with other income and expenses reflecting a net expense of approximately $5 million, and a share count of around 228.6 million shares. The guidance does not account for financial performance from the announced acquisition of certain Spirent business lines, expected to close by the end of September.

Viavi Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Viavi Solutions shows strong gross margins but faces challenges in net profitability and cash flow consistency. The balance sheet is stable, with a balanced capital structure, but improvements in revenue growth and cost management are necessary.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Viavi Solutions has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is strong at 57.57%, indicating efficient production processes. However, the net profit margin is only 0.49%, which suggests high operating costs or other expenses. Revenue has decreased over the last few years, with a notable decline from 2022 to 2023. The EBIT margin for TTM is 4.87%, and the EBITDA margin is 8.58%, both lower than previous years, reflecting pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows moderate strength with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.88, indicating a balanced capital structure. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM is 0.70%, which is low, suggesting limited profitability from shareholders' equity. However, the equity ratio is solid at 37.70%, highlighting a stable financial base with a fair proportion of assets funded by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some concerns. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting good cash conversion from operations. However, free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, and the free cash flow to net income ratio shows variability, indicating potential challenges in free cash generation relative to net income. These factors suggest a need for stronger cash management strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.05B1.00B1.11B1.29B1.20B1.14B
Gross Profit601.90M575.90M638.80M773.50M714.40M665.30M
EBITDA89.70M101.20M154.10M163.80M247.80M199.80M
Net Income5.10M-25.80M25.50M15.50M67.50M28.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.93B1.74B1.85B1.83B1.96B1.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments396.80M491.20M521.10M561.30M699.40M540.50M
Total Debt640.90M687.20M781.00M744.50M739.20M603.70M
Total Liabilities1.20B1.05B1.16B1.16B1.19B1.06B
Stockholders Equity728.80M681.60M690.80M671.70M763.90M711.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.10M96.90M63.00M105.60M191.20M103.70M
Operating Cash Flow92.20M116.40M114.10M178.10M243.30M135.60M
Investing Cash Flow-135.10M-21.60M-127.10M-71.00M-48.70M-29.80M
Financing Cash Flow-33.90M-125.70M-50.00M-210.40M-58.80M-71.70M

Viavi Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.86
Price Trends
50DMA
9.92
Positive
100DMA
9.99
Positive
200DMA
10.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
68.28
Neutral
STOCH
53.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIAV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.21, above the 50-day MA of 9.92, and above the 200-day MA of 10.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VIAV.

Viavi Solutions Risk Analysis

Viavi Solutions disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Viavi Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Viavi Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$4.47B21,351.390.42%13.96%-96.21%
69
Neutral
$2.66B-16.44%2.05%91.37%
65
Neutral
$8.07B-42.79%3.58%-22.74%
61
Neutral
$35.87B6.13-9.30%2.06%7.63%-6.38%
61
Neutral
$3.44B-12.48%-1.43%43.14%
59
Neutral
$3.45B17.08%-11.03%91.98%
58
Neutral
$2.42B70.704.76%8.39%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
10.86
3.21
41.96%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
20.08
6.17
44.36%
VSAT
ViaSat
25.55
8.81
52.63%
COMM
CommScope Holding
15.24
12.00
370.37%
LITE
Lumentum Holdings
115.03
68.79
148.77%
PI
IMPINJ
153.55
-2.00
-1.29%

Viavi Solutions Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Viavi Solutions Expands Board with New Appointments
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

Viavi Solutions Inc. has appointed Richard Burns and Eugenia Corrales as independent directors, expanding its Board of Directors to ten members. This strategic move, effective immediately as of July 24, 2025, brings extensive experience in engineering, telecommunications, and technology to the company, potentially enhancing its industry positioning and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (VIAV) stock is a Sell with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viavi Solutions stock, see the VIAV Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Viavi Solutions Plans Term Loan for Acquisition
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Viavi Solutions Inc. plans to present to prospective lenders regarding a proposed term loan financing to support its acquisition of Spirent Communications plc’s high-speed ethernet and network security business lines. This move is part of Viavi’s strategy to expand its capabilities and market presence, with the financing also expected to support general corporate purposes.

The most recent analyst rating on (VIAV) stock is a Sell with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viavi Solutions stock, see the VIAV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025