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Viavi Solutions (VIAV)
NASDAQ:VIAV
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Viavi Solutions (VIAV) AI Stock Analysis

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VIAV

Viavi Solutions

(NASDAQ:VIAV)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$55.00
▲(24.60% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/01/26
The score reflects strong technical momentum and a constructive earnings call with improving margins and upbeat sequential guidance, partially offset by weaker underlying financial performance (TTM net loss, higher leverage, and declining free cash flow) and valuation risk tied to current unprofitability.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth & healthy gross margins
Sustained top-line expansion with a ~56% gross margin indicates durable product economics and pricing power across test and optical portfolios. Strong revenue growth supports scale, funds R&D and service offerings, and provides a base for margin recovery and long-term operating leverage.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Material increase in leverage reduces balance-sheet flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity. Elevated debt-to-equity constrains ability to invest through cycles, heightens risk in downturns, and makes returns generation more challenging until leverage is meaningfully reduced.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth & healthy gross margins
Sustained top-line expansion with a ~56% gross margin indicates durable product economics and pricing power across test and optical portfolios. Strong revenue growth supports scale, funds R&D and service offerings, and provides a base for margin recovery and long-term operating leverage.
Read all positive factors

Viavi Solutions (VIAV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Viavi Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Viavi Solutions Inc. provides network test, monitoring, and assurance solutions to communications service providers, enterprises, network equipment manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, government, and avionics customers worldwide. The ...
How the Company Makes Money
Viavi makes money primarily by selling hardware, software, and services that help customers test, validate, install, and maintain communications networks and optical systems. 1) Network Enablement (test, measurement, assurance, and monitoring) - ...

Viavi Solutions Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Measures profitability after operating costs for each segment, indicating which parts of the business are actually earning money versus those that require investment or are loss-making. Highlights where cost control, scale, or pricing power are strong and which segments are likely to fund future growth or drag on overall results.
Chart InsightsNSE has swung from tepid to material profitability as acquisitions (Spirent, Inertia) and data‑center demand drove a step‑change in operating income, while OSP remains a steady, margin‑accretive anchor. Those segment gains are being offset by a growing and volatile corporate “Other” drag—likely acquisition-related charges, earn‑outs and restructuring—which now meaningfully erodes consolidated operating income and cash flow. The company’s guidance and full Spirent quarter point to sustained NSE momentum, but watch Other volatility (earn‑outs, one‑timers, dilution) as the key risk to reported earnings and free cash.
Data provided by:The Fly

Viavi Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strong operational beat and clear momentum: revenue and EPS exceeded guidance, margins expanded materially, NSE delivered very high year-over-year growth (driven by Spirent and data center demand), and management provided upbeat sequential guidance. Offsetting items include a substantial cash balance decline driven by strategic earn-outs and debt prepayments, negative operating cash flow for the quarter, near-term dilution from convertible conversions, and some product-mix pressure on OSP gross margins plus a weak wireless/service-provider market. On balance, the company demonstrated robust demand, margin leverage and a constructive outlook while taking deliberate debt-reduction and investment actions; these positives outweigh the near-term cash and dilution headwinds.
Positive Updates
Revenue Beat and Strong Growth
Q3 net revenue $406.8M, above the high end of guidance ($386M-$400M). Revenue +10.2% sequentially and +42.8% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Material Cash Decline
Total cash and short-term investments decreased from $772.1M to $508M quarter-over-quarter, a decline of approximately 34.2%, driven by earn-out payments, convertible note payoff, and Term Loan B prepayment.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Beat and Strong Growth
Q3 net revenue $406.8M, above the high end of guidance ($386M-$400M). Revenue +10.2% sequentially and +42.8% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For Q4 FY2026 Viavi guided revenue of $427–$437 million (sequentially higher), with NSE revenue of $340–$348 million and OSP revenue of $87–$89 million; consolidated operating margin of 22.7% ±50 bps (22.2%–23.2%), NSE operating margin 18.7% ±50 bps (18.2%–19.2%), and OSP operating margin 38.4% ±40 bps (38.0%–38.8%); EPS of $0.29–$0.31; tax expense of roughly $10.0 million ±$0.5 million ($9.5–$10.5M); other income/expense net expense ≈ $12M; and an expected fully diluted share count of ~256 million — revenue is expected to rise quarter-over-quarter driven by continued strength across NSE (data center, aerospace & defense and seasonally stronger service provider spend) and across OSP product lines.

Viavi Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing strongly (+9.8% TTM) with healthy gross margin (~56%), but TTM profitability has weakened (net loss of ~$54.8M; net margin ~-4.0%) and leverage has risen (debt-to-equity ~1.28). Free cash flow is still positive (~$45.5M) but down sharply (~-42%), indicating a transitional financial profile with elevated balance-sheet risk.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.37B1.08B1.00B1.11B1.29B1.20B
Gross Profit760.50M616.30M569.60M630.10M763.80M681.10M
EBITDA207.00M133.60M101.20M157.30M163.80M247.80M
Net Income-55.10M34.80M-25.80M25.50M15.50M67.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.53B1.99B1.74B1.85B1.83B1.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments500.80M425.30M491.20M521.10M561.30M699.40M
Total Debt1.14B692.30M687.20M781.00M744.50M739.20M
Total Liabilities1.68B1.21B1.05B1.16B1.16B1.20B
Stockholders Equity846.50M780.20M681.60M690.80M671.70M763.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow45.50M62.00M96.90M63.00M105.60M191.20M
Operating Cash Flow71.00M89.80M116.40M114.10M178.10M243.30M
Investing Cash Flow-405.00M-128.40M-21.60M-127.10M-71.00M-48.70M
Financing Cash Flow449.10M-23.60M-125.70M-50.00M-210.40M-58.80M

Viavi Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.14
Price Trends
50DMA
32.59
Positive
100DMA
25.75
Positive
200DMA
19.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.00
Negative
RSI
67.84
Neutral
STOCH
75.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIAV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.59, above the 50-day MA of 32.59, and above the 200-day MA of 19.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VIAV.

Viavi Solutions Risk Analysis

Viavi Solutions disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Viavi Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Viavi Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$3.08B47.3221.07%14.90%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$9.14B44.93-7.45%2.07%20.79%
60
Neutral
$67.42B87.1127.64%68.98%
59
Neutral
$12.40B313.93-6.92%30.59%-1171.00%
57
Neutral
$4.73B-30.79-13.90%-0.69%-3584.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
53.00
43.99
488.24%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
23.54
8.99
61.79%
VSAT
ViaSat
67.30
58.02
625.22%
LITE
Lumentum Holdings
944.28
878.04
1325.54%
PI
IMPINJ
155.13
57.45
58.81%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026