Echostar (SATS)
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Echostar (SATS) AI Stock Analysis

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SATS

Echostar

(NASDAQ:SATS)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$69.00
▼(-1.06% Downside)
Echostar's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by substantial losses and high leverage. While the earnings call provided some positive strategic insights, the technical analysis and valuation metrics remain weak, reflecting ongoing challenges.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
These partnerships enhance Echostar's market position and resolve FCC spectrum issues, supporting long-term growth and operational stability.
Shift to Enterprise Focus
Focusing on enterprise services can drive higher margins and stable revenue, leveraging existing infrastructure for sustainable growth.
Creation of EchoStar Capital
This strategic shift aims to optimize capital allocation and enhance shareholder value through strategic investments and acquisitions.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting flexibility in capital allocation and increasing vulnerability to interest rate changes.
Negative Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth suggests challenges in market competitiveness and product demand, impacting long-term profitability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Limited cash generation affects the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and meet financial obligations, posing long-term risks.

Echostar (SATS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Echostar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEchoStar Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides networking technologies and services worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Hughes and EchoStar Satellite Services (ESS). The Hughes segment offers broadband network technologies, managed services, equipment, hardware, satellite services, and communications solutions to government and enterprise customers. The segment also designs, provides, and installs gateway and terminal equipment to customers for other satellite systems. In addition, it designs, develops, constructs, and provides telecommunication networks comprising satellite ground segment systems and terminals to mobile system operators and enterprise customers. Further, this segment designs, provides, and installs gateway and terminal equipment to customers for other satellite systems, as well as offers satellite ground segment systems and terminals for other satellite systems, including mobile system operators. The ESS segment provides satellite services using its owned and leased in-orbit satellites and related licenses to offer satellite services on a full-time and/or occasional-use basis to the U.S. government service providers, internet service providers, broadcast news organizations, content providers, and private enterprise customers. It serves customers in North America, South and Central America, Asia, Africa, Australia, Europe, India, and the Middle East. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyEchostar generates revenue primarily through its broadband satellite services offered by Hughes Network Systems, which includes subscription fees from residential and business customers for internet access. Additionally, the company earns revenue from leasing satellite capacity and providing satellite transmission services through EchoStar Satellite Services. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with telecommunications and media companies for satellite capacity, as well as government contracts for secure communications solutions. Strategic partnerships with major telecommunications providers further enhance its revenue by expanding service offerings and customer reach.

Echostar Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic transactions and a shift towards capital management and enterprise focus, while also addressing challenges with FCC regulations and ongoing litigation.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Major Transactions with AT&T and SpaceX
EchoStar announced significant transactions with AT&T and SpaceX, valued at approximately $23 billion and $19 billion, respectively, which resolved FCC spectrum utilization reviews.
Strategic Shift to EchoStar Capital
Creation of a new division, EchoStar Capital, focused on capital management and M&A, aiming to leverage 45 years of institutional knowledge for strategic investments.
SpaceX Investment
EchoStar's investment in SpaceX stock valued at $2.6 billion is seen as a strategic holding with high growth potential due to SpaceX's leadership in space technology.
Shift to Enterprise Focus for Hughes
Hughes Network Systems is transitioning towards enterprise services, expecting to reach over 50% revenue from enterprise by next year, with significant progress in aero services.
Negative Updates
FCC Spectrum Challenges
FCC's decision to investigate EchoStar's spectrum usage presented unprecedented challenges, affecting the company's strategy and operations.
Litigation with Tower Companies
Ongoing litigation with a tower company due to disputes over contract obligations following FCC decisions, potentially complicating negotiations and financial liabilities.
Boost Business Cash Flow Issues
The Boost mobile business continues to face cash flow challenges, with ongoing efforts to reach profitability amidst a competitive landscape.
Company Guidance
During EchoStar Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, guidance was provided on several key metrics. The company announced major transactions with AT&T and SpaceX, valued at approximately $23 billion and $19 billion, respectively. These deals are critical for resolving the FCC's review of EchoStar's spectrum utilization. EchoStar also disclosed an amended agreement with SpaceX to sell its unpaired AWS-3 spectrum license for about $2.6 billion in SpaceX stock. This strategic capital deployment aims to fuel expansion and explore new growth avenues. The leadership also highlighted the creation of a new division, EchoStar Capital, focusing on capital management and M&A, signaling a shift towards a capital-rich, asset-light business model. The call referenced OIBDA and free cash flow, with reconciliations available in their earnings release and quarterly SEC filings. The leadership expressed excitement about their strategic direction, emphasizing value creation through innovation, execution, and integration.

Echostar Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Echostar faces significant financial challenges with negative revenue growth, high leverage, and cash flow difficulties. The income statement shows substantial losses, the balance sheet indicates financial risk, and cash flow analysis reveals limited cash generation.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Echostar's income statement shows significant challenges. The TTM data reveals a negative revenue growth rate of -1.79% and a net profit margin of -140.13%, indicating substantial losses. Historical data shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability, with EBIT and EBITDA margins also turning negative. This suggests operational inefficiencies and declining market performance.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects high leverage with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 8.47, indicating significant financial risk. The return on equity is negative, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio has decreased over time, highlighting increased reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a negative free cash flow growth rate of -25.20% in the TTM period, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited cash generation relative to reported losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, further emphasizing cash flow difficulties.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.18B15.83B17.02B18.63B19.82B1.89B
Gross Profit3.79B5.69B5.07B6.42B7.32B1.14B
EBITDA-14.16B2.34B-247.35M4.59B4.67B645.10M
Net Income-12.95B-119.55M-1.70B2.48B2.49B-40.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.27B60.94B57.11B58.75B6.05B7.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.08B5.55B2.44B4.31B1.55B2.53B
Total Debt30.59B29.81B25.89B25.72B1.65B2.52B
Total Liabilities38.26B40.69B36.72B36.70B2.63B3.47B
Stockholders Equity6.95B20.19B19.88B21.49B3.35B3.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.09B-292.18M-668.27M570.72M160.25M86.94M
Operating Cash Flow371.50M1.25B2.43B3.62B632.23M534.39M
Investing Cash Flow-3.52B-3.05B-2.81B-9.06B168.81M-1.14B
Financing Cash Flow3.05B4.48B-277.12M-274.45M-1.16B-15.62M

Echostar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price69.74
Price Trends
50DMA
73.91
Negative
100DMA
54.61
Positive
200DMA
39.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.93
Positive
RSI
36.24
Neutral
STOCH
12.10
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SATS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 69.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.41, below the 50-day MA of 73.91, and above the 200-day MA of 39.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.10 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SATS.

Echostar Risk Analysis

Echostar disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Echostar reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Echostar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$801.90M31.826.95%29.67%41.90%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
56
Neutral
$4.88B-11.04%1.23%-31.80%
54
Neutral
$92.38M-0.46-26.69%-7.56%-47.16%
54
Neutral
$22.53B-39.22%641.24%41.70%
51
Neutral
$64.80M-27.13%93.47%37.19%
44
Neutral
$19.40B-98.16%-44.95%-430.47%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SATS
Echostar
69.74
46.31
197.65%
CMTL
Comtech Telecommunications
3.17
0.14
4.62%
GILT
Gilat
11.35
6.08
115.37%
VSAT
ViaSat
35.27
28.34
408.95%
AMPG
AmpliTech Group
3.12
2.30
280.49%
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile
58.22
34.64
146.90%

Echostar Corporate Events

EchoStar Reports Significant Loss Amid Strategic Shifts
Nov 7, 2025

EchoStar Corporation, a leading provider of technology, networking services, and television entertainment, operates in the satellite communications industry, offering solutions under various brand names including EchoStar, Hughes, and DISH. In its latest earnings report, EchoStar revealed a significant financial downturn with a net loss of $12.78 billion for the third quarter of 2025, primarily due to substantial impairments and strategic shifts in its business operations. Key financial metrics showed a decline in total revenue to $3.61 billion, down from $3.89 billion in the same period last year, with service revenue and equipment sales both experiencing decreases. The company also reported a substantial impairment charge related to its spectrum licenses and international licenses, which significantly impacted its financial results. Looking ahead, EchoStar is focused on completing major transactions with AT&T and SpaceX, which are expected to provide significant cash inflows and strategic realignments. These transactions are anticipated to close in the first half of 2026, subject to regulatory approvals, and are expected to bolster the company’s financial position and support its transition to a Hybrid MNO business model.

EchoStar’s Strategic Moves and Earnings Call Insights
Nov 7, 2025

EchoStar’s recent earnings call was marked by a strategic shift and significant transactions, reflecting a focus on capital management and enterprise growth. The sentiment was largely positive, highlighting strategic moves while acknowledging challenges such as FCC regulations and ongoing litigation.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
EchoStar Announces New Division and Leadership Changes
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 5, 2025, EchoStar Corporation entered into an Amended and Restated License Purchase Agreement with Space Exploration Technologies Corp. and Spectrum Business Trust 2025-1, revising their previous transaction to include the transfer of 15 MHz of AWS spectrum, increasing the total transaction value to over $19.6 billion. Additionally, on November 6, 2025, EchoStar announced the creation of a new division, EchoStar Capital, and appointed Charles W. Ergen as Chairman, President, and CEO, while Hamid Akhavan became CEO of the new division, reflecting strategic leadership changes within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (SATS) stock is a Hold with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Echostar stock, see the SATS Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FCC Concludes Investigation into EchoStar’s 5G Compliance
Neutral
Sep 9, 2025

On September 8, 2025, the FCC concluded its investigation into EchoStar’s compliance with federal obligations related to its 5G service provision in the U.S., which began on May 9, 2025. While this resolves the FCC’s inquiries, EchoStar’s transactions with AT&T and SpaceX still require FCC approval, highlighting ongoing regulatory scrutiny in the telecommunications sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (SATS) stock is a Hold with a $82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Echostar stock, see the SATS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
EchoStar Sells Spectrum Licenses to SpaceX for $17B
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

On September 7, 2025, EchoStar Corporation entered into a License Purchase Agreement with SpaceX to sell its AWS-4 and H-block spectrum licenses for approximately $17 billion. This transaction, expected to close by November 30, 2027, involves a combination of cash and SpaceX stock and includes a long-term commercial agreement enabling EchoStar’s Boost Mobile subscribers to access SpaceX’s Starlink Direct to Cell service. The proceeds will be used to retire debt and fund EchoStar’s growth initiatives, while its current operations remain unaffected. This strategic move aims to enhance SpaceX’s Starlink capabilities and resolve FCC inquiries, potentially impacting the telecommunications industry by advancing satellite-based direct-to-cell connectivity.

The most recent analyst rating on (SATS) stock is a Hold with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Echostar stock, see the SATS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
EchoStar Sells Spectrum Licenses to AT&T for $22.65B
Neutral
Aug 26, 2025

On August 25, 2025, EchoStar Corporation entered into a License Purchase Agreement with AT&T Mobility II LLC, a subsidiary of AT&T Inc., to sell spectrum licenses for $22.65 billion, with conditions for potential price adjustments. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2026, subject to regulatory approvals and other conditions. Simultaneously, DISH Wireless L.L.C., a subsidiary of EchoStar, and AT&T Mobility LLC amended their Network Services Agreement, introducing new terms for DISH’s transition to a hybrid MNO model, effective from January 1, 2026, with potential extensions through 2035.

The most recent analyst rating on (SATS) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Echostar stock, see the SATS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025