tiprankstipranks
Echostar (SATS)
NASDAQ:SATS
Want to see SATS full AI Analyst Report?

Echostar (SATS) AI Stock Analysis

1,298 Followers

Top Page

SATS

Echostar

(NASDAQ:SATS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$108.00
▼(-18.93% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/19/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (severe TTM losses, negative free cash flow, and high leverage). Technicals are also soft (below key shorter-term moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation is constrained by losses (negative P/E), while corporate events provide only partial offset given the mix of deleveraging actions and recent liquidity stress.
Positive Factors
Recurring revenue model
EchoStar’s Hughes business generates recurring subscriber and managed-service revenue and leases satellite capacity, providing predictable cash inflows and customer stickiness. Recurring contracts and capacity leases support durable revenue visibility and retention over the next several months.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Elevated total debt and a spiked debt/equity ratio materially reduce financial flexibility. High leverage increases vulnerability to interest-rate or demand shocks, limits capacity for strategic investment, and raises the risk of covenant stress absent sustained cash flow improvement.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring revenue model
EchoStar’s Hughes business generates recurring subscriber and managed-service revenue and leases satellite capacity, providing predictable cash inflows and customer stickiness. Recurring contracts and capacity leases support durable revenue visibility and retention over the next several months.
Read all positive factors

Echostar Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Breaks down operating profit across the company’s business lines, revealing which segments generate earnings and which are loss-making; useful for spotting where management should allocate capital or cut costs.
Chart InsightsPay‑TV remains the steady earnings anchor while Wireless and Broadband swing wildly due to a one‑time decommissioning/impairment reclassification—5G deployment falls to zero as costs are shifted elsewhere and late‑2025 shows outsized losses. Management confirmed about $16B of write‑offs but narrowed expected cash decommissioning/tax payments to ~$5–7B and expects connectivity costs to decline materially in early 2026; the near‑term story is cleanup and cash allocation, with timing of a spectrum sale, tower litigation, and uncertainty around the SpaceX equity as key risk catalysts.
Data provided by:The Fly

Echostar (SATS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Echostar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
EchoStar Corporation, identified by the symbol SATS, operates globally by delivering a wide array of networking technologies and related services through its various subsidiaries. The company structures its operations into two primary divisions: H...
How the Company Makes Money
EchoStar makes money primarily by selling connectivity and network services that rely on its satellite and terrestrial infrastructure. A major revenue driver is broadband service delivered under the Hughes brand, where the company earns recurring ...

Echostar Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 02, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Mixed: the company articulated clear strategic positives — an expected inflow from a spectrum sale, a pragmatic capital-allocation framework, an operational partnership with SpaceX/Starlink, and management's view that DISH Wireless is nearing profitability — but these are balanced by material negatives including a roughly $16 billion decommissioning write-off, ongoing tower litigation after payment suspension, regulatory uncertainty from FCC actions, and significant valuation/timing uncertainty around the SpaceX equity. Management narrowed expected cash liabilities to ~$5–7 billion and highlighted progress on settlements, but near-term legal, regulatory, and valuation risks leave the situation balanced between opportunity and downside.
Positive Updates
Pending Spectrum Sale and Expected Capital Influx
EchoStar Capital is awaiting final regulatory approvals for a spectrum sale with proceeds expected in the first half of the year; management plans to allocate proceeds across paying down expensive or maturing debt, tax liabilities, investments, and potential shareholder returns.
Negative Updates
Tower Payment Suspension and Ongoing Litigation
EchoStar (through its DISH Wireless entity) stopped making tower payments after declaring a force majeure following FCC action; several tower companies have initiated litigation, which management expects could be protracted, increasing legal and operational uncertainty.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Pending Spectrum Sale and Expected Capital Influx
EchoStar Capital is awaiting final regulatory approvals for a spectrum sale with proceeds expected in the first half of the year; management plans to allocate proceeds across paying down expensive or maturing debt, tax liabilities, investments, and potential shareholder returns.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company provided limited forward guidance: it expects the cash inflow from a pending spectrum sale to arrive in the first half of the year and will consider allocations including paying down maturing/expensive debt, addressing tax liabilities, making investments, and potential returns to shareholders; EchoStar reiterated it is in a quiet period for FCC Auction 113 and will not comment on auction matters. Management noted the previously discussed ~2.8% SpaceX stake (initially cited at roughly $400 billion) remains unclosed and valuation/structure is uncertain (the Starlink/xAI merger was described publicly as roughly 80/20). On costs and decommissioning, the company said it has written off about $16 billion related to network decommissioning and now estimates cash decommissioning/tax payments of roughly $5–7 billion (down from prior $7–10 billion). All customers were moved off the network in Q4, DISH Wireless’s network assets sit in the “Other” segment (antennas, servers, radios), and management expects connectivity/decommissioning expenses in the Other segment to decline substantially in Q1–Q2 (an analyst estimated ~70% reduction in Q4), noting that roughly half of remaining expense is non‑cash accretion of lease liabilities. Management said DISH Wireless is “very, very, very close” to break‑even, and referenced OIBDA and free cash flow metrics with GAAP reconciliations in the earnings release/Form 10‑K.

Echostar Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate elevated risk: multi-year revenue contraction, TTM profitability collapse with deeply negative operating and net results, and sharply higher leverage with a thinner equity cushion. Cash flow also weakened, with TTM operating cash flow slightly negative and free cash flow substantially negative, increasing reliance on external funding.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
16
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.80B15.00B15.83B17.02B18.63B19.82B
Gross Profit4.01B3.87B5.69B5.07B6.42B7.32B
EBITDA-15.70B-15.79B2.34B-247.35M4.59B4.67B
Net Income-14.44B-14.50B-119.55M-1.70B2.48B2.49B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.38B43.02B60.94B57.11B58.75B6.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.52B2.06B5.55B2.44B4.31B1.55B
Total Debt29.29B31.01B29.81B25.89B25.72B1.65B
Total Liabilities35.70B37.20B40.69B36.72B36.70B2.63B
Stockholders Equity5.63B5.77B20.19B19.88B21.49B3.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-908.58M-1.07B-292.18M-668.27M570.72M160.25M
Operating Cash Flow-67.84M-99.37M1.25B2.43B3.62B632.23M
Investing Cash Flow1.10B-1.40B-3.05B-2.81B-9.06B168.81M
Financing Cash Flow-2.36B-910.31M4.48B-277.12M-274.45M-1.16B

Echostar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price133.21
Price Trends
50DMA
124.95
Negative
100DMA
119.37
Negative
200DMA
102.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.38
Positive
RSI
39.90
Neutral
STOCH
32.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SATS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 133.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 121.09, above the 50-day MA of 124.95, and above the 200-day MA of 102.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SATS.

Echostar Risk Analysis

Echostar disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Echostar reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Echostar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$997.74M30.767.33%46.26%111.78%
63
Neutral
$8.76B-268.95-0.74%2.67%93.53%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
$227.80M-32.63-17.50%149.18%54.90%
53
Neutral
$71.91M-9999.00%-8.31%77.99%
52
Neutral
$31.31B-48.12-32.33%1732.08%11.19%
44
Neutral
$31.64B-2.18-151.68%-5.60%-6044.89%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SATS
Echostar
109.17
84.02
334.08%
CMTL
Comtech Telecommunications
2.40
-0.19
-7.34%
GILT
Gilat
13.19
6.58
99.55%
VSAT
ViaSat
64.13
51.30
399.84%
AMPG
AmpliTech Group
8.99
7.03
358.67%
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile
80.66
30.46
60.68%

Echostar Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
EchoStar Cures Deferred Note Interest, Stabilizing Credit Outlook
Positive
Jun 19, 2026
On June 17, 2026, EchoStar’s DISH DBS unit informed note trustees that it would make on June 18, 2026 the interest payments on its 2026, 2028 and 2029 DBS notes that were originally due June 1, 2026, curing the non‑payment within the 3...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
EchoStar Skips DISH DBS Interest Payments Amid Liquidity Pressures
Negative
Jun 1, 2026
On June 1, 2026, EchoStar Corporation chose not to make approximately $183 million in cash interest payments due on various secured and unsecured notes issued by its DISH DBS subsidiary, triggering a default under the governing indentures and star...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
EchoStar Launches Major Debt Restructuring and Deleveraging Plan
Positive
Mar 19, 2026
On March 19, 2026, EchoStar Corporation, DISH Network Corporation, DISH DBS Corporation and certain subsidiaries entered into a Restructuring Support Agreement with an ad hoc group representing more than 82% of holders of DDBS debt securities. The...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 19, 2026