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Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL)
NASDAQ:CMTL
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Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) AI Stock Analysis

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CMTL

Comtech Telecommunications

(NASDAQ:CMTL)

Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-13.42% Downside)
Comtech Telecommunications' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, with ongoing losses and cash flow challenges. While recent corporate events and earnings call improvements provide some positive momentum, the stock remains risky due to its valuation and technical indicators.

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comtech Telecommunications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) is a leading provider of advanced communications solutions for both commercial and government applications. The company operates in various sectors, including satellite communications, telecommunications, and cybersecurity. CMTL's core products and services encompass satellite ground systems, secure wireless communications, and integrated network solutions, catering to a diverse clientele that includes defense, public safety, and commercial enterprises.
How the Company Makes MoneyComtech Telecommunications generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by selling advanced telecommunications equipment and providing related services. The company earns a significant portion of its income from government contracts, particularly in defense and public safety sectors, where it offers specialized solutions and products. CMTL also generates revenue from commercial customers by providing satellite communication services and network infrastructure solutions. Strategic partnerships with other technology firms and government agencies enhance its market reach and capabilities, contributing to its earnings through collaborative projects and joint ventures. Additionally, maintenance and support services for existing systems provide a recurring revenue model that bolsters overall financial stability.

Comtech Telecommunications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 09, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects significant progress in cost reduction and operational improvements, resulting in positive cash flow and improved margins. However, the loss of a major contract and ongoing challenges in the Satellite and Space segment indicate areas requiring further attention.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Transformation Plan Progress
Comtech's transformation plan is gaining traction, leading to improved financial performance, enhanced accountability, and a renewed sense of purpose among employees.
Capital Infusion and Improved Financial Flexibility
Secured a $40 million capital infusion, renegotiated terms with senior secured lenders, and improved financial flexibility by suspending certain financial covenants.
Cost Reduction Measures
Reduced annual labor costs by approximately $33 million through workforce reductions and streamlined organizational structure.
Positive Cash Flow from Operations
Generated GAAP cash flow from operations of a positive $2.3 million, the first positive cash flow in the past 8 quarters.
Improved Gross Margins
Achieved a consolidated gross margin of 30.7% in Q3, up from 30.4% a year ago and 26.7% in Q2 of fiscal 2025.
Strategic Wins in Satellite and Space
Secured strategic wins in digital SATCOM infrastructure and resilient communication programs with recent product deliveries to an allied Navy partner.
Terrestrial and Wireless Segment Performance
The T&W segment experienced higher net sales of next-generation 911 services and location-based solutions, showing improved operating income and EBITDA.
Negative Updates
Loss of U.S. Army GFSR Contract
The U.S. Army awarded the GFSR contract to the incumbent, leading to a $36 million de-booking this quarter.
Challenges in Satellite and Space Segment
Underperformance in recent quarters with more work needed to capitalize on growth opportunities.
Low Book-to-Bill Ratio
Consolidated book-to-bill ratio was 0.56x due to the de-booking of the U.S. Army GFSR contract.
Request for Information from DDTC
Received a request for information from the Director of Defense Trade Controls related to potential misclassification of certain modems.
Company Guidance
During the Comtech Telecommunications Corp. conference call for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, the company's leadership discussed key metrics and guidance for future performance. The company secured a $40 million capital infusion and renegotiated terms with senior secured lenders, resulting in the suspension of certain financial covenants through October 2025. Comtech's transformation plan, aimed at improving financial performance and operational efficiency, has led to a reduction of annual labor costs by $33 million and the discontinuation of over 70 products in the Satellite and Space business, contributing to higher margins. The quarter saw a net sales of $126.8 million, with a gross margin of 30.7%, and a positive GAAP cash flow from operations of $2.3 million, marking the first positive cash flow in eight quarters. The Satellite and Space segment reported a book-to-bill ratio of 0.85x, excluding a $36 million de-booking, while the Terrestrial and Wireless segment experienced higher net sales driven by next-generation 911 services. The company emphasized a focus on core strengths and growth opportunities in both segments, aiming for improved gross margins and product streamlining.

Comtech Telecommunications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Comtech Telecommunications faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability, persistent negative net income, and weak cash flow generation. Despite a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, the balance sheet reveals a decrease in stockholders' equity and negative return on equity.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Comtech Telecommunications has been experiencing a declining revenue trend with a significant drop in total revenue over the TTM period compared to previous years. The company consistently reports negative net income, indicating struggles with profitability. Gross profit margin remains weak, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage levels. However, the company has recorded a decrease in stockholders' equity, and the return on equity is negative due to recurring net losses. The equity ratio indicates a reasonable proportion of equity financing compared to assets, yet the weakening financial health is evident.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Free cash flow remains negative, pointing to ongoing cash flow challenges. The company is not generating sufficient operating cash flow to cover capital expenditures. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights difficulties in turning profits into cash. Despite positive financing cash flow, overall cash flow management remains problematic.
BreakdownSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue540.40M549.99M486.24M581.70M616.72M
Gross Profit157.18M184.46M179.84M213.96M226.83M
EBITDA-44.81M18.66M-345.00K-37.76M47.34M
Net Income-99.98M-26.90M-33.05M-73.48M7.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets912.43M996.24M974.30M993.11M929.65M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.43M18.96M21.65M30.86M47.88M
Total Debt212.66M214.81M183.11M249.41M181.86M
Total Liabilities426.11M445.73M402.51M492.39M380.35M
Stockholders Equity486.33M550.51M571.79M500.72M549.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-77.87M-22.74M-17.62M-56.67M45.54M
Operating Cash Flow-64.79M-4.43M2.00M-40.64M52.76M
Investing Cash Flow20.14M-18.31M-19.62M-15.48M-20.18M
Financing Cash Flow58.12M20.05M8.41M39.10M-30.28M

Comtech Telecommunications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.31
Price Trends
50DMA
2.25
Positive
100DMA
2.06
Positive
200DMA
2.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
60.44
Neutral
STOCH
78.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMTL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.07, above the 50-day MA of 2.25, and above the 200-day MA of 2.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMTL.

Comtech Telecommunications Risk Analysis

Comtech Telecommunications disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comtech Telecommunications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comtech Telecommunications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$35.83B9.00-10.39%1.87%8.46%-7.85%
61
Neutral
$52.25M-14.60%5.77%29.54%
61
Neutral
$78.39M-30.53%58.04%21.09%
50
Neutral
$51.30M-21.97%6.84%49.74%
49
Neutral
$23.77M-13.41%-34.53%-50.58%
44
Neutral
$69.67M-43.88%-12.02%-615.33%
$48.20M-4.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMTL
Comtech Telecommunications
2.22
-1.06
-32.32%
OCC
Optical Cable
6.28
3.61
135.21%
UTSI
UTStarcom
2.43
-0.40
-14.13%
AIRG
Airgain
4.22
-3.15
-42.74%
AMPG
AmpliTech Group
4.09
3.22
370.11%
FKWL
Franklin Wireless
4.08
-0.03
-0.73%

Comtech Telecommunications Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Comtech Telecommunications Appoints Lloyd Sprung to Board
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. announced the appointment of Lloyd A. Sprung as an independent director to its Board of Directors. Mr. Sprung, who brings over three decades of experience in corporate finance, capital markets, and restructuring, will serve on the Audit and Strategic Review Committees. His appointment fulfills a requirement of Comtech’s Credit Agreement with TCW Asset Management Company LLC and is expected to enhance the company’s strategic initiatives and shareholder value.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Comtech Secures $35M Infusion, Amends Credit Agreement
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

On July 21, 2025, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. announced amendments to its senior secured credit agreement and a new $35 million capital infusion. These changes improve the terms of the credit agreement, increase financial flexibility, and enhance liquidity to support the company’s business plans. The amendments include a suspension of certain financial covenants until January 2027, altered interest rate margins, and deferred repayment obligations. The capital infusion, provided by an existing holder of the company’s convertible preferred stock, will be used to prepay a portion of the senior secured debt and increase liquidity. This move reflects strong confidence from lenders and stakeholders in Comtech’s transformation plan, positioning the company to capitalize on opportunities in its Terrestrial and Wireless, and Satellite and Space business segments.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025