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Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL)
NASDAQ:CMTL

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) AI Stock Analysis

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CMTL

Comtech Telecommunications

(NASDAQ:CMTL)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-36.59% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weak underlying financial performance (multi-year losses and historically negative cash generation) and bearish technicals. The latest earnings call provides the main offset, pointing to improving margins, sustained positive operating cash flow, and stronger bookings/backlog, but leverage and near-term revenue pressure keep the overall risk profile elevated.
Positive Factors
Backlog & Bookings
A $732M backlog and ~ $1.1B revenue visibility with a 1.64x book-to-bill indicate durable near‑term demand and a multi-quarter revenue conversion runway. This reduces execution risk by providing contracted work and visibility into resource planning and revenue recognition.
Negative Factors
Historically Weak Cash Flow
Chronic annual negative free cash flow through 2025 shows prior reliance on financing or balance sheet actions to fund operations. Although TTM cash flow is positive, the historical inconsistency implies execution risk and a limited track record of sustainably self‑funding growth or deleveraging.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Backlog & Bookings
A $732M backlog and ~ $1.1B revenue visibility with a 1.64x book-to-bill indicate durable near‑term demand and a multi-quarter revenue conversion runway. This reduces execution risk by providing contracted work and visibility into resource planning and revenue recognition.
Read all positive factors

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comtech Telecommunications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Comtech Telecommunications Corp., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, produces, and markets products, systems, and services for communications solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Commerci...
How the Company Makes Money
Comtech makes money primarily by selling communications equipment, software, and services across government and commercial markets. A major portion of revenue is generated through government-related programs and contracts (including U.S. and allie...

Comtech Telecommunications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 16, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful operational improvement and strategic repositioning: margin expansion, stronger adjusted EBITDA, sustained positive operating cash flow (four consecutive quarters), robust bookings (book-to-bill 1.64x), backlog growth and specific product/program wins (Allerium contract funding, troposcatter and modem programs). These positives are tempered by a year-over-year revenue decline (~15.7%), a significant decrease in Satellite & Space sales (~31%) due to the phasing out of legacy low-margin business and government shutdown timing impacts, and a leveraged balance sheet with substantial preferred liquidation preference. On balance the company demonstrated credible progress toward higher-margin, recurring-revenue business and improved cash generation, but capital structure and near-term revenue timing remain areas to monitor.
Positive Updates
Improved Profitability and Margins
Gross profit increased to $36.2M from $33.7M year-over-year; gross margin rose to 33.9% from 26.7% (approx +7.2 percentage points). Adjusted EBITDA increased to $9.1M from $2.9M (over 200% increase). Excluding one-time and noncash items, consolidated operating income would have been $6.2M (5.8% of net sales) versus roughly breakeven a year ago.
Negative Updates
Consolidated Revenue Decline
Consolidated net sales declined to $106.8M from $126.6M year-over-year, a drop of approximately 15.7%. The Satellite & Space segment experienced a ~31% decline in net sales due to phasing out low-margin business and U.S. government shutdown-related timing delays.
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Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Improved Profitability and Margins
Gross profit increased to $36.2M from $33.7M year-over-year; gross margin rose to 33.9% from 26.7% (approx +7.2 percentage points). Adjusted EBITDA increased to $9.1M from $2.9M (over 200% increase). Excluding one-time and noncash items, consolidated operating income would have been $6.2M (5.8% of net sales) versus roughly breakeven a year ago.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that multiple next‑generation satellite modems will transition to production in fiscal 2026 (one already in low‑rate production; the EDIM program ramping late in the year) and emphasized long‑term unit opportunity, leaving the company with revenue visibility of approximately $1.1 billion, a backlog of $732 million and net bookings of $175.4 million in Q2 (book‑to‑bill 1.64x vs 0.63x a year ago). For Q2 management reported net sales of $106.8 million (vs $126.6M prior), gross profit $36.2 million (33.9% of sales, up from 26.7%), an operating loss of $1.2 million (or $6.2M adjusted, 5.8% of sales), adjusted EBITDA of $9.1 million (vs $2.9M), and positive operating cash flow of $4.9 million (fourth consecutive quarter). Liquidity totaled ~$49.9 million (≈$30.2M cash + $19.6M revolver availability), outstanding credit facility borrowings were ≈$125M (revolver drawn $7.6M), subordinated facility borrowings $102.8M, and convertible preferred liquidation preference $213.4M; management also noted funded awards of >$5.5M (troposcatter), >$4.5M (cyber support) and Allerium funding >$107M toward a >$130M multiyear extension plus >$10.5M for a South Central NG911 deployment.

Comtech Telecommunications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials remain pressured by persistent net losses and historically negative operating/free cash flow, despite relatively resilient gross margins. The balance sheet is workable with positive equity, but leverage has risen and returns are negative. A recent TTM/quarterly improvement in operating cash flow and profitability metrics is constructive, but durability is not yet proven.
Income Statement
27
Negative
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue474.95M499.53M540.40M549.99M486.24M581.70M
Gross Profit142.52M127.87M157.18M184.46M179.84M213.96M
EBITDA95.01M-76.06M-44.14M18.66M-334.00K-37.76M
Net Income12.33M-155.30M-99.98M-26.90M-33.05M-73.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets703.83M740.84M912.43M996.24M974.30M993.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.83T40.02M32.43M18.96M21.65M30.86M
Total Debt252.63M250.68M212.66M214.81M183.11M249.41M
Total Liabilities438.25M446.87M426.11M445.73M402.51M492.39M
Stockholders Equity265.58M293.97M486.33M550.51M571.79M500.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.51M-16.86M-67.58M-22.74M-17.62M-56.67M
Operating Cash Flow26.69M-8.29M-54.49M-4.43M2.00M-40.64M
Investing Cash Flow-12.18M-8.56M20.14M-18.31M-19.62M-15.48M
Financing Cash Flow-8.35M24.44M47.83M20.05M8.41M39.10M

Comtech Telecommunications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.52
Price Trends
50DMA
4.74
Negative
100DMA
4.52
Negative
200DMA
3.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Negative
RSI
43.08
Neutral
STOCH
82.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMTL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.67, above the 50-day MA of 4.74, and above the 200-day MA of 3.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CMTL.

Comtech Telecommunications Risk Analysis

Comtech Telecommunications disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comtech Telecommunications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comtech Telecommunications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$175.51M-18.31-5.49%-9.26%36.90%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$84.52M-27.50-3.58%9.55%65.17%
55
Neutral
$125.67M-7.31-10.53%-4.61%63.88%
48
Neutral
$109.52M-3.044.39%-1.89%76.61%
47
Neutral
$46.61M-8.96-19.98%93.47%37.19%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMTL
Comtech Telecommunications
3.69
2.32
169.34%
KVHI
KVH Industries
9.01
4.16
85.77%
OCC
Optical Cable
11.37
8.59
308.99%
SILC
Silicom
22.06
8.29
60.20%
AMPG
AmpliTech Group
1.84
0.52
39.39%
FKWL
Franklin Wireless
3.79
-1.12
-22.81%

Comtech Telecommunications Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Comtech Shareholders Approve Directors, Pay and Equity Plan
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
Comtech Telecommunications held its Fiscal 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on March 9, 2026, at which shareholders elected seven directors to the board, including Kenneth H. Traub and Lieutenant General (Ret.) Bruce T. Crawford, with voting ou...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Comtech Telecommunications Announces Planned Board Director Retirement
Neutral
Jan 29, 2026
On January 23, 2026, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. announced that director Wendi B. Carpenter will retire from its Board of Directors and will not stand for re-election at the company’s Fiscal 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, schedule...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026