tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL)
NASDAQ:CMTL

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
481 Followers

Top Page

CMTL

Comtech Telecommunications

(NASDAQ:CMTL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-9.42% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline, negative margins, and deteriorating free cash flow). Offsetting this, the latest earnings call indicated meaningful stabilization and improvement in cash flow, liquidity, margins, and adjusted EBITDA, while technical indicators are neutral and valuation remains unattractive due to ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
Operating Cash Flow & Liquidity
Two consecutive quarters of positive operating cash flow and liquidity rising to $47M (from $27M) materially reduce near-term refinancing risk and improve the company's ability to fund contracts and working capital. This creates a firmer base for multi‑quarter recovery if sustained.
Margin Improvement
A shift from low to high gross margins and a move to positive adjusted EBITDA reflect a durable improvement in revenue mix and cost structure. If maintained, higher gross margins enable operating leverage to convert revenue growth into sustainable profits over several quarters.
Contract Wins & Backlog
A large multiyear contract extension materially increases revenue visibility and backlog with a major customer. For a defense/space supplier, such long-term awards support recurring revenue, utilization planning, and predictable cash conversion over multiple reporting periods.
Negative Factors
Severe Revenue Decline
A near-vertical revenue drop undermines scale economics and the firm's ability to absorb fixed costs, weakening competitive position. Restoring topline momentum is critical; without sustained bookings growth, margin gains and cash improvements may prove fragile over the coming quarters.
Large Net Losses
A cumulative net loss of this magnitude erodes shareholder equity and restricts reinvestment capacity. Persistent large losses can limit strategic flexibility, increase reliance on external financing, and hamper the company's ability to execute long-term growth initiatives absent consistent cash generation.
Weak Free Cash Flow Trend
Very weak free cash flow growth signals structural cash conversion problems historically. Although Q4 showed positive operating cash flow, the deep negative FCF trend implies the company remains vulnerable to liquidity stress and may need sustained operational improvement to self-fund capex and debt servicing.

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comtech Telecommunications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComtech Telecommunications Corp., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, produces, and markets products, systems, and services for communications solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Commercial Solutions and Government Solutions. The Commercial Solutions segment offers satellite ground station technologies, including single channel per carrier and time division multiple access modems, amplifiers, frequency converters, and network software to modulate, demodulate, and amplify signals, as well as to carry voice, video, and/or data over networks; and public safety and location technologies, such as 911 call handling and mapping solutions that allow cellular carriers and voice over the Internet carriers to deliver emergency calls to public safety emergency call centers. The Government Solutions segment provides tactical satellite-based networks, such as satellite modems, ruggedized routers, and solid-state drives; sustainment services for the secret Internet Protocol router and non-classified Internet Protocol router access point; and small aperture terminals. This segment also offers high-performance transmission technologies that are used in communication systems comprising electronic warfare, radar, and identification friend or foe (IFF); troposcatter technologies for satellite communication; and high-power radio frequency microwave amplifiers and related switching control technologies that are used in electronic warfare, communications, radar, IFF, and medical applications. The company serves satellite systems integrators, wireless and other communication service providers, satellite broadcasters, prime contractors and system suppliers, medical equipment companies, aviation industry system integrators, oil companies, and domestic and international defense and government customers, as well as end-customers. Comtech Telecommunications Corp. was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyComtech Telecommunications generates revenue through a diverse range of products and services. The company’s primary revenue streams include sales of satellite communication equipment, software solutions, and support services. Additionally, Comtech earns income through government contracts, particularly in defense and intelligence sectors, which often involve long-term agreements and recurring service contracts. The company also benefits from partnerships with major telecommunications providers and defense contractors, which enhance its market reach and capabilities. Furthermore, Comtech's focus on innovation and development of cutting-edge technologies positions it to capitalize on emerging trends in communications, contributing to its overall earnings.

Comtech Telecommunications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 24, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call revealed significant improvements in operating cash flow, liquidity, revenue mix, and gross margins, alongside securing a major contract extension. However, these positive developments are tempered by a substantial net loss, decreased annual net sales, and a significant decline in bookings compared to the previous year.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Operating Cash Flow
Comtech reported $11.4 million of positive operating cash flow in the fourth quarter, following $2.3 million in the third quarter, marking the first positive quarters since fiscal 2023.
Increased Liquidity
The company concluded the fiscal year with $47 million of liquidity, a significant increase from $27 million in March 2025.
Revenue Growth and Improved Mix
Quarterly revenue increased 13% from the first to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, despite winding down certain legacy contracts.
Improved Gross Margins
Gross margins increased from 12.5% in the first quarter to 31.2% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA improved from negative $30.8 million in the first quarter to $13.3 million in the fourth quarter.
Major Contract Extension
Allerium secured a multiyear contract extension valued at over $130 million from its largest customer.
Negative Updates
Overall Net Loss
Net loss attributable to common shareholders was $204.3 million in fiscal 2025, compared to $135.4 million in fiscal 2024.
Decrease in Annual Net Sales
Consolidated net sales decreased from $540.4 million in fiscal 2024 to $499.5 million in fiscal 2025.
Decline in Bookings
Net bookings in fiscal 2025 were $372.7 million, significantly lower than $700.6 million in fiscal 2024.
Company Guidance
During Comtech Telecommunications Corp.'s fourth quarter and full year fiscal 2025 conference call, several key metrics highlighted the company's significant improvements. The company reported a positive operating cash flow of $11.4 million in Q4, following $2.3 million in Q3, marking the first quarters of positive cash flow since fiscal 2023. Liquidity reached $47 million, the highest in recent history, up from $27 million in March 2025. Accounts payable decreased to $26 million from $43 million in January. Quarterly revenue rose 13% from Q1 to Q4, with gross margins improving from 12.5% to 31.2%. Adjusted EBITDA improved sequentially from a negative $30.8 million in Q1 to a positive $13.3 million in Q4. Additionally, Comtech succeeded in negotiating better credit facility terms and made progress in remediating material weaknesses. These metrics indicate a successful transformation and financial stabilization for the company.

Comtech Telecommunications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements reflect material stress: steep revenue decline (-95.5% TTM), deeply negative profitability (net margin -31.1%, EBIT margin -21.8% TTM), and worsening free cash flow growth (-172.3% TTM). Leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity 0.85 TTM), but returns are very weak (ROE -54.9% TTM).
Income Statement
35
Negative
Comtech Telecommunications has faced declining revenues with a negative revenue growth rate of -95.5% TTM. The company also exhibits negative margins across the board, including a net profit margin of -31.1% and an EBIT margin of -21.8% TTM, indicating significant profitability challenges. The gross profit margin is relatively stable at 25.6% TTM, but overall, the income statement reflects financial distress and a need for strategic improvements.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85 TTM, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is significantly negative at -54.9% TTM, indicating poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the overall balance sheet suggests a need for improved financial health and asset management.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Comtech's cash flow statement reveals a challenging situation with negative free cash flow growth of -172.3% TTM. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 2.03, indicating some ability to generate cash relative to net losses. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting ongoing cash flow difficulties.
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue494.76M499.53M540.40M549.99M486.24M581.70M
Gross Profit145.08M127.87M157.18M184.46M179.84M213.96M
EBITDA55.36M-76.06M-44.14M18.66M-334.00K-37.76M
Net Income-22.77M-155.30M-99.98M-26.90M-33.05M-73.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets734.12M740.84M912.43M996.24M974.30M993.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.63M40.02M32.43M18.96M21.65M30.86M
Total Debt258.29M250.68M212.66M214.81M183.11M249.41M
Total Liabilities455.08M446.87M426.11M445.73M402.51M492.39M
Stockholders Equity279.04M293.97M486.33M550.51M571.79M500.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.18M-16.86M-67.58M-22.74M-17.62M-56.67M
Operating Cash Flow21.59M-8.29M-54.49M-4.43M2.00M-40.64M
Investing Cash Flow-9.41M-8.56M20.14M-18.31M-19.62M-15.48M
Financing Cash Flow1.81M24.44M47.83M20.05M8.41M39.10M

Comtech Telecommunications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.52
Price Trends
50DMA
5.27
Negative
100DMA
4.18
Positive
200DMA
3.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
43.61
Neutral
STOCH
34.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMTL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.60, above the 50-day MA of 5.27, and above the 200-day MA of 3.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CMTL.

Comtech Telecommunications Risk Analysis

Comtech Telecommunications disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comtech Telecommunications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comtech Telecommunications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$113.02M-10.07-10.53%-4.61%63.88%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$117.24M-9.73-8.78%-9.26%36.90%
50
Neutral
$66.98M-5.36-27.13%93.47%37.19%
49
Neutral
$166.00M-2.23-7.88%-1.89%76.61%
48
Neutral
$55.35M-33.53-6.86%9.55%65.17%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMTL
Comtech Telecommunications
5.19
3.49
205.29%
KVHI
KVH Industries
6.01
0.18
3.09%
OCC
Optical Cable
6.01
1.97
48.76%
SILC
Silicom
19.27
3.27
20.44%
AMPG
AmpliTech Group
2.79
1.14
69.09%
FKWL
Franklin Wireless
3.85
-3.02
-43.96%

Comtech Telecommunications Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Comtech Telecommunications Announces Planned Board Director Retirement
Neutral
Jan 29, 2026

On January 23, 2026, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. announced that director Wendi B. Carpenter will retire from its Board of Directors and will not stand for re-election at the company’s Fiscal 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, scheduled for March 9, 2026; she will serve out the remainder of her term until that date, and her departure is not due to any disagreement with the company or the board. Upon the conclusion of Carpenter’s term at the Fiscal 2025 Annual Meeting, the size of Comtech’s board will be reduced to seven members, signaling a modest governance change but no reported strategic shift or internal conflict, which should reassure shareholders that the transition is part of routine board refreshment rather than a response to controversy.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTL) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comtech Telecommunications stock, see the CMTL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Comtech Appoints Mary Raymond to Board of Directors
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. announced the appointment of Mary J. Raymond as an independent director to its Board of Directors. Ms. Raymond brings over three decades of experience in public company finance and governance, having served in senior roles at Coherent Corp., Hudson Global, and other major firms. Her appointment is seen as a strategic move to leverage her expertise in governance, finance, and mergers and acquisitions, enhancing Comtech’s board as the company continues its positive momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTL) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comtech Telecommunications stock, see the CMTL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026