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Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL)
NASDAQ:CMTL

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) AI Stock Analysis

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CMTL

Comtech Telecommunications

(NASDAQ:CMTL)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(8.70% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (steep revenue decline, negative margins, and deteriorating free cash flow trends). Offsetting this, technicals are strongly positive with the stock trading above major moving averages, and the earnings call indicates operational stabilization (improving cash flow, liquidity, margins, and EBITDA), though elevated loss levels and weaker bookings remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Operating cash flow recovery
Two consecutive quarters of positive operating cash flow indicate the company’s operations are beginning to generate internal funds. Durable cash generation reduces reliance on external financing, supports working capital for government contracts, and provides runway for restructuring and strategic investments.
Stronger liquidity position
A materially improved liquidity cushion expands financial flexibility to fund contract execution, R&D and potential M&A without immediate refinancing. Higher cash plus improved credit terms lowers near-term solvency risk and supports multi-month operational stability.
Material contract extension
A >$130M multiyear extension increases revenue visibility and backlog stability, especially important in government/defense segments where long-term contracts underpin recurring revenue, capacity planning, and margin predictability over multiple fiscal periods.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
A near-vertical revenue drop erodes scale and makes fixed-cost absorption difficult, pressuring margins and cash generation. Reduced top-line scale can weaken supplier leverage, contract competitiveness, and long-term market position absent sustainable new contract wins.
Deep negative profitability
Persistent negative EBIT and net margins indicate the core business is not covering costs sustainably. Continued losses constrain reinvestment, force reliance on financing, and impair the company’s ability to compete on pricing or fund innovation over the medium term.
Declining bookings and large net loss
A sharp drop in bookings reduces future revenue visibility and backlog renewal risk; coupled with a substantial FY net loss, this heightens the need for further restructuring or external capital. Both trends weaken long-term growth prospects and strategic optionality.

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comtech Telecommunications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComtech Telecommunications Corp., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, produces, and markets products, systems, and services for communications solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Commercial Solutions and Government Solutions. The Commercial Solutions segment offers satellite ground station technologies, including single channel per carrier and time division multiple access modems, amplifiers, frequency converters, and network software to modulate, demodulate, and amplify signals, as well as to carry voice, video, and/or data over networks; and public safety and location technologies, such as 911 call handling and mapping solutions that allow cellular carriers and voice over the Internet carriers to deliver emergency calls to public safety emergency call centers. The Government Solutions segment provides tactical satellite-based networks, such as satellite modems, ruggedized routers, and solid-state drives; sustainment services for the secret Internet Protocol router and non-classified Internet Protocol router access point; and small aperture terminals. This segment also offers high-performance transmission technologies that are used in communication systems comprising electronic warfare, radar, and identification friend or foe (IFF); troposcatter technologies for satellite communication; and high-power radio frequency microwave amplifiers and related switching control technologies that are used in electronic warfare, communications, radar, IFF, and medical applications. The company serves satellite systems integrators, wireless and other communication service providers, satellite broadcasters, prime contractors and system suppliers, medical equipment companies, aviation industry system integrators, oil companies, and domestic and international defense and government customers, as well as end-customers. Comtech Telecommunications Corp. was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyComtech Telecommunications generates revenue through a diverse range of products and services. The company’s primary revenue streams include sales of satellite communication equipment, software solutions, and support services. Additionally, Comtech earns income through government contracts, particularly in defense and intelligence sectors, which often involve long-term agreements and recurring service contracts. The company also benefits from partnerships with major telecommunications providers and defense contractors, which enhance its market reach and capabilities. Furthermore, Comtech's focus on innovation and development of cutting-edge technologies positions it to capitalize on emerging trends in communications, contributing to its overall earnings.

Comtech Telecommunications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 24, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call revealed significant improvements in operating cash flow, liquidity, revenue mix, and gross margins, alongside securing a major contract extension. However, these positive developments are tempered by a substantial net loss, decreased annual net sales, and a significant decline in bookings compared to the previous year.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Operating Cash Flow
Comtech reported $11.4 million of positive operating cash flow in the fourth quarter, following $2.3 million in the third quarter, marking the first positive quarters since fiscal 2023.
Increased Liquidity
The company concluded the fiscal year with $47 million of liquidity, a significant increase from $27 million in March 2025.
Revenue Growth and Improved Mix
Quarterly revenue increased 13% from the first to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, despite winding down certain legacy contracts.
Improved Gross Margins
Gross margins increased from 12.5% in the first quarter to 31.2% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA improved from negative $30.8 million in the first quarter to $13.3 million in the fourth quarter.
Major Contract Extension
Allerium secured a multiyear contract extension valued at over $130 million from its largest customer.
Negative Updates
Overall Net Loss
Net loss attributable to common shareholders was $204.3 million in fiscal 2025, compared to $135.4 million in fiscal 2024.
Decrease in Annual Net Sales
Consolidated net sales decreased from $540.4 million in fiscal 2024 to $499.5 million in fiscal 2025.
Decline in Bookings
Net bookings in fiscal 2025 were $372.7 million, significantly lower than $700.6 million in fiscal 2024.
Company Guidance
During Comtech Telecommunications Corp.'s fourth quarter and full year fiscal 2025 conference call, several key metrics highlighted the company's significant improvements. The company reported a positive operating cash flow of $11.4 million in Q4, following $2.3 million in Q3, marking the first quarters of positive cash flow since fiscal 2023. Liquidity reached $47 million, the highest in recent history, up from $27 million in March 2025. Accounts payable decreased to $26 million from $43 million in January. Quarterly revenue rose 13% from Q1 to Q4, with gross margins improving from 12.5% to 31.2%. Adjusted EBITDA improved sequentially from a negative $30.8 million in Q1 to a positive $13.3 million in Q4. Additionally, Comtech succeeded in negotiating better credit facility terms and made progress in remediating material weaknesses. These metrics indicate a successful transformation and financial stabilization for the company.

Comtech Telecommunications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Comtech Telecommunications faces significant financial challenges. Despite a reported surge in revenue, the company's profitability and cash flow generation remain weak. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but the negative return on equity highlights the difficulty in achieving financial returns. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and cost management to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
Comtech Telecommunications has experienced significant volatility in its revenue and profitability. The company reported a massive increase in revenue for the latest period, but this is likely due to an anomaly in data reporting. Historically, the company has struggled with negative net income and EBIT margins, indicating challenges in achieving profitability. The gross profit margin has been declining, suggesting pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio that has been relatively stable. However, the return on equity has been negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio indicates a reasonable level of equity financing, but the company's ability to generate returns on this equity remains a concern.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals consistent challenges in generating positive operating and free cash flows. The company has reported negative operating cash flow in recent years, and free cash flow has also been negative, indicating potential liquidity issues. The ratios of cash flow to net income suggest inefficiencies in converting earnings into cash.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue499.53M540.40M549.99M486.24M581.70M
Gross Profit127.87M157.18M184.46M179.84M213.96M
EBITDA-76.06M-44.14M18.66M-334.00K-37.76M
Net Income-155.30M-99.98M-26.90M-33.05M-73.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets740.84M912.43M996.24M974.30M993.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments40.02M32.43M18.96M21.65M30.86M
Total Debt250.68M212.66M214.81M183.11M249.41M
Total Liabilities446.87M426.11M445.73M402.51M492.39M
Stockholders Equity293.97M486.33M550.51M571.79M500.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.86M-67.58M-22.74M-17.62M-56.67M
Operating Cash Flow-8.29M-54.49M-4.43M2.00M-40.64M
Investing Cash Flow-8.56M20.14M-18.31M-19.62M-15.48M
Financing Cash Flow24.44M47.83M20.05M8.41M39.10M

Comtech Telecommunications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.52
Price Trends
50DMA
3.70
Positive
100DMA
3.13
Positive
200DMA
2.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.63
Negative
RSI
70.38
Negative
STOCH
64.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMTL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.54, above the 50-day MA of 3.70, and above the 200-day MA of 2.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.38 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMTL.

Comtech Telecommunications Risk Analysis

Comtech Telecommunications disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comtech Telecommunications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comtech Telecommunications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$142.88M-12.09-8.78%-9.26%36.90%
57
Neutral
$86.25M-6.48-10.53%-4.61%63.88%
54
Neutral
$67.84M-7.59-27.13%93.47%37.19%
52
Neutral
$162.07M-2.38-7.88%-1.89%76.61%
42
Neutral
$36.90M-21.93-6.86%9.55%65.17%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMTL
Comtech Telecommunications
5.88
3.08
110.00%
KVHI
KVH Industries
7.26
1.42
24.32%
OCC
Optical Cable
4.44
0.10
2.30%
SILC
Silicom
15.35
-1.29
-7.75%
AMPG
AmpliTech Group
3.73
1.77
90.31%
FKWL
Franklin Wireless
4.22
-0.72
-14.57%

Comtech Telecommunications Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Comtech Appoints Mary Raymond to Board of Directors
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. announced the appointment of Mary J. Raymond as an independent director to its Board of Directors. Ms. Raymond brings over three decades of experience in public company finance and governance, having served in senior roles at Coherent Corp., Hudson Global, and other major firms. Her appointment is seen as a strategic move to leverage her expertise in governance, finance, and mergers and acquisitions, enhancing Comtech’s board as the company continues its positive momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTL) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comtech Telecommunications stock, see the CMTL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026