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Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL)
:CMTL
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Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) AI Stock Analysis

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Comtech Telecommunications

(NASDAQ:CMTL)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-11.11%Downside)
Comtech's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges as the most impactful factor, despite some positive corporate events and restructuring efforts highlighted in the earnings call. Technical indicators offer a neutral view, while valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings.

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comtech Telecommunications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) is a leading provider of advanced communication solutions for both commercial and government sectors. The company specializes in designing, developing, and producing innovative products and services that enable secure and reliable communication across various platforms. Its core offerings include satellite earth station technology, over-the-horizon microwave systems, and advanced network infrastructure. Comtech serves a diverse client base, including military agencies, government bodies, and commercial enterprises, delivering critical communication capabilities that ensure seamless connectivity and operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyComtech Telecommunications generates revenue through a combination of product sales, service contracts, and government-funded projects. Its key revenue streams include the sale of satellite communication systems, terrestrial network infrastructure, and high-performance transmission equipment. Additionally, the company engages in long-term service agreements and provides ongoing support and maintenance for its products, ensuring steady income from existing contracts. Significant partnerships with defense agencies and telecommunication providers further bolster its earnings, as these collaborations often involve multi-year agreements and substantial investment in infrastructure and technology solutions.

Comtech Telecommunications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 09, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -11.42%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a company in transition, with significant efforts in cost reduction and financial restructuring yielding positive outcomes. However, historical challenges and the loss of a significant contract highlight ongoing obstacles. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a focus on transformation.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Capital Infusion and Renegotiation
Secured a $40 million capital infusion, enabling renegotiation with senior secured lenders, waiving prior covenant breaches and improving financial flexibility.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Reduced annual labor costs by approximately $33 million through workforce reductions since July 31, 2024.
Positive Cash Flow from Operations
Generated GAAP cash flow from operations of a positive $2.3 million, marking the first positive cash flow in the past 8 quarters.
T&W Segment Performance
Terrestrial and Wireless Networks segment experienced higher net sales and improved metrics, including operating income, net income, and adjusted EBITDA.
New Product Launch
Development of next-generation 911 call handling solution is nearly complete, and launch is anticipated at the National Emergency Number Association Conference.
Negative Updates
De-booking of GFSR Contract
Loss of a large multiyear GFSR contract resulting in a $36 million de-booking for the Satellite and Space business.
Historical Challenges and Leadership Turnover
Burdensome capital structure, high cost structure, extensive leadership turnover, and operational discipline issues.
Ongoing Regulatory Inquiry
Request for information from the Director of Defense Trade Controls related to voluntary disclosures about potential modem misclassification.
Company Guidance
During Comtech's third-quarter fiscal 2025 conference call, the company provided key guidance and updates on its transformation plan. Comtech reported a consolidated net sales figure of $126.8 million, with a gross margin of 30.7%, an improvement from the previous quarter. The company secured a $40 million capital infusion, which allowed for renegotiation of terms with senior secured lenders, enhancing financial flexibility. Cost reduction measures were highlighted, including a $33 million annual decrease in labor costs achieved through workforce reductions. The Satellite and Space segment faced a $36 million de-booking due to a contract loss but achieved a higher book-to-bill ratio excluding the de-booking. The Terrestrial and Wireless segment showed growth with higher net sales, driven by next-generation 911 services and location-based solutions. Comtech reported positive GAAP cash flow from operations of $2.3 million, marking the first positive cash flow in eight quarters. The company is focused on leveraging its core strengths and opportunities in Satellite and Space, as well as Terrestrial and Wireless, to drive future growth and improve operational efficiency.

Comtech Telecommunications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Comtech Telecommunications faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability, persistent negative net income, and weak cash flow generation. Despite a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, the balance sheet reveals a decrease in stockholders' equity and negative return on equity.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Comtech Telecommunications has been experiencing a declining revenue trend with a significant drop in total revenue over the TTM period compared to previous years. The company consistently reports negative net income, indicating struggles with profitability. Gross profit margin remains weak, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage levels. However, the company has recorded a decrease in stockholders' equity, and the return on equity is negative due to recurring net losses. The equity ratio indicates a reasonable proportion of equity financing compared to assets, yet the weakening financial health is evident.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Free cash flow remains negative, pointing to ongoing cash flow challenges. The company is not generating sufficient operating cash flow to cover capital expenditures. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights difficulties in turning profits into cash. Despite positive financing cash flow, overall cash flow management remains problematic.
BreakdownSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue540.40M549.99M486.24M581.70M616.72M
Gross Profit157.18M184.46M179.84M213.96M226.83M
EBITDA-44.81M18.66M-345.00K-37.76M47.34M
Net Income-99.98M-26.90M-33.05M-73.48M7.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets912.43M996.24M974.30M993.11M929.65M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.43M18.96M21.65M30.86M47.88M
Total Debt212.66M214.81M183.11M249.41M181.86M
Total Liabilities426.11M445.73M402.51M492.39M380.35M
Stockholders Equity486.33M550.51M571.79M500.72M549.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-77.87M-22.74M-17.62M-56.67M45.54M
Operating Cash Flow-64.79M-4.43M2.00M-40.64M52.76M
Investing Cash Flow20.14M-18.31M-19.62M-15.48M-20.18M
Financing Cash Flow58.12M20.05M8.41M39.10M-30.28M

Comtech Telecommunications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.25
Price Trends
50DMA
2.24
Positive
100DMA
1.92
Positive
200DMA
2.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
43.89
Neutral
STOCH
4.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMTL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.53, above the 50-day MA of 2.24, and below the 200-day MA of 2.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CMTL.

Comtech Telecommunications Risk Analysis

Comtech Telecommunications disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comtech Telecommunications reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comtech Telecommunications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
¥227.94B14.577.50%2.72%9.28%6.70%
61
Neutral
$57.40M-29.09%-21.44%-3.31%
57
Neutral
$56.61M-25.57%8.46%39.81%
OCOCC
54
Neutral
$47.19M-14.60%5.77%29.54%
49
Neutral
$24.05M-9.04%-30.95%-8.17%
47
Neutral
$66.14M-43.88%-12.02%-615.33%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMTL
Comtech Telecommunications
2.25
-0.81
-26.47%
OCC
Optical Cable
4.80
2.09
77.12%
UTSI
UTStarcom
2.54
-0.23
-8.30%
AIRG
Airgain
5.41
-1.87
-25.69%
AMPG
AmpliTech Group
2.79
1.59
132.50%

Comtech Telecommunications Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Comtech Secures $35M Infusion, Amends Credit Agreement
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

On July 21, 2025, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. announced amendments to its senior secured credit agreement and a new $35 million capital infusion. These changes improve the terms of the credit agreement, increase financial flexibility, and enhance liquidity to support the company’s business plans. The amendments include a suspension of certain financial covenants until January 2027, altered interest rate margins, and deferred repayment obligations. The capital infusion, provided by an existing holder of the company’s convertible preferred stock, will be used to prepay a portion of the senior secured debt and increase liquidity. This move reflects strong confidence from lenders and stakeholders in Comtech’s transformation plan, positioning the company to capitalize on opportunities in its Terrestrial and Wireless, and Satellite and Space business segments.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTL) stock is a Buy with a $9.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comtech Telecommunications stock, see the CMTL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2025