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Airgain Inc (AIRG)
NASDAQ:AIRG
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Airgain (AIRG) AI Stock Analysis

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AIRG

Airgain

(NASDAQ:AIRG)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-0.66% Downside)
Airgain's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and negative profit margins, which weigh heavily on the score. The earnings call provided some optimism with revenue growth and cost management improvements, but valuation concerns and mixed technical indicators contribute to a cautious outlook.

Airgain (AIRG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Airgain Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAirgain, Inc. designs, develops, and engineers antenna products for original equipment and design manufacturers, vertical markets, chipset vendors, service providers, value-added resellers and software developers worldwide. The company's products include MaxBeam embedded antennas; profile embedded antennas; profile contour embedded antennas; ultra-embedded antennas; SmartMax embedded antennas; and MaxBeam carrier class antennas, as well as automotive, fleet, public safety, and machine-to-machine antennas under the Antenna Plus brand. It provides embedded antenna technologies to enable high performance wireless networking in a range of devices and markets, including consumer, enterprise, and automotive. The company was formerly known as AM Group and changed its name to Airgain, Inc. in 2004. Airgain, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAirgain generates revenue through the sale of its antenna products and connectivity solutions, which are primarily sold to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and system integrators in the automotive, IoT, and telecommunications markets. The company's revenue model is based on both direct sales and long-term contracts, which provide a steady stream of income. Key revenue streams include the sale of hardware products, such as antennas and related accessories, as well as licensing agreements for its proprietary technologies. Airgain has established significant partnerships with major players in the automotive and telecommunications industries, which contribute to its earnings by securing large-scale contracts and broadening its market reach. Additionally, the company may benefit from recurring revenue through support services and potential future upgrades for its products.

Airgain Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company experiencing sequential revenue growth and progress in its strategic platforms, like AC-Fleet and Lighthouse. However, there are notable challenges in the automotive and asset tracking markets. The company shows a clear path to profitability and growth in 2026, though current market conditions remain mixed.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Revenue Growth
Second quarter revenue came in at $13.6 million, up 13% sequentially from the first quarter.
Enterprise Market Performance
Enterprise revenue increased to $7.2 million, driven by strong demand for embedded modems and custom IoT solutions.
AC-Fleet Certification and Deployment
Achieved FirstNet Trusted certification for AC-Fleet in May, opening access to FirstNet's dedicated public safety network.
Lighthouse Platform Expansion
Scheduled for multiple trials by the end of the year across several regions, including the U.S., Latin America, Southeast Asia, Europe, and the Middle East.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA Outlook
Expect positive adjusted EBITDA of approximately $0.2 million and positive non-GAAP EPS of $0.01 per share in Q3.
Negative Updates
Automotive Market Weakness
Automotive revenue was $0.8 million, down $0.4 million sequentially, reflecting softer demand.
Continued Challenges in Automotive Aftermarket
Aftermarket antenna sales growth continues to be weighed down by channel inventory overhang, expected to persist through the second half of the year.
Asset Tracking Market Challenges
Asset tracking sales have moderated this year, reflecting a lack of traction on key projects.
Company Guidance
During Airgain's Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, CEO Jacob Suen outlined the company's strategic initiatives and financial performance, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported a sequential revenue growth of 13%, reaching $13.6 million for Q2, with a significant contribution from the enterprise sector, which rose to $7.2 million. Consumer revenue stood at $5.6 million, while automotive revenue was $0.8 million. The non-GAAP gross margin was slightly down at 43.8%, and operating expenses were reduced to $6.5 million. Airgain anticipates further growth in the second half of 2025, with a projected revenue range of $30 to $50 million for Q3, driven by contributions from their platform products, AirgainConnect and Lighthouse. The company aims for a positive adjusted EBITDA of approximately $0.2 million and non-GAAP EPS of $0.01 per share in Q3, with expectations of scaling their platforms significantly in 2026.

Airgain Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Airgain faces significant financial hurdles, with declining revenue, negative profitability margins, and cash flow challenges. The balance sheet provides some stability with a strong equity ratio and manageable debt levels. However, ongoing losses and negative cash flows pose risks to financial sustainability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Airgain's income statement reveals a challenging landscape with declining revenue and ongoing losses. The TTM data shows a gross profit margin of 41.77% and a net profit margin of -13.32%, indicating profitability issues. Revenue has decreased from $60.60 million to $58.38 million, a drop of 3.97%, while EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, at -16.09% and -10.00%, respectively, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a mixed picture. The equity ratio stands at 65.74%, indicating solid equity backing. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is 0.15, suggesting some leverage, though not excessive. Return on equity is negative at -25.66%, reflecting current profitability struggles. The company's liquidity position shows resilience with cash exceeding debt, but overall financial health is hindered by ongoing losses.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Airgain's cash flow statement highlights negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.44, and the free cash flow growth rate is -2.99%, showing a decline in cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.46, reflecting challenges in translating revenue into positive cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue56.82M60.60M56.04M75.89M64.27M48.50M
Gross Profit24.08M24.80M20.76M27.97M24.61M22.59M
EBITDA-4.71M-5.22M-8.77M-4.88M-6.53M-2.09M
Net Income-6.74M-8.69M-12.43M-8.66M-10.09M-3.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.52M48.44M42.23M54.40M66.39M54.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.68M8.51M7.88M11.90M14.51M38.17M
Total Debt4.36M3.90M1.54M2.44M3.06M310.00K
Total Liabilities15.73M17.47M10.82M14.57M22.22M7.18M
Stockholders Equity29.79M30.97M31.41M39.83M44.17M47.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.19M-3.71M-3.65M3.68M-11.91M2.98M
Operating Cash Flow-2.10M-3.53M-3.30M4.45M-11.17M3.70M
Investing Cash Flow-86.00K-178.00K-346.00K-750.00K-14.92M20.89M
Financing Cash Flow1.41M4.30M-458.00K-6.30M2.43M561.00K

Airgain Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.53
Price Trends
50DMA
4.38
Positive
100DMA
4.12
Positive
200DMA
5.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
49.77
Neutral
STOCH
57.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIRG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.66, above the 50-day MA of 4.38, and below the 200-day MA of 5.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AIRG.

Airgain Risk Analysis

Airgain disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Airgain reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Airgain Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$44.51M-14.60%5.77%29.54%
60
Neutral
€29.57B18.24-2.62%2.43%6.80%27.82%
58
Neutral
$63.78M-30.53%58.04%21.09%
51
Neutral
$53.56M-21.97%6.84%49.74%
45
Neutral
$60.55M-43.88%-12.02%-615.33%
41
Neutral
$28.64M-191.90%49.13%99.60%
$47.14M-4.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIRG
Airgain
4.53
-3.29
-42.07%
CMTL
Comtech Telecommunications
2.01
-1.41
-41.23%
OCC
Optical Cable
5.32
2.47
86.67%
SYTA
Siyata Mobile
3.06
-14.74
-82.81%
AMPG
AmpliTech Group
3.15
2.27
257.95%
FKWL
Franklin Wireless
4.01
>-0.01
-0.25%

Airgain Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Airgain Increases Stock Incentive Plan Shares
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

On July 15, 2025, Airgain, Inc.’s board of directors approved an amendment to increase the shares of the company’s common stock reserved for issuance under the 2021 Employment Inducement Incentive Award Plan from 700,000 to 1,100,000 shares. This decision reflects the company’s strategic move to enhance its stock-based incentive offerings, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Airgain Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

Airgain, Inc. held its 2024 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 11, 2025, where three key proposals were considered. The election of Class III directors for a term expiring in 2028 was approved, with Kiva A. Allgood, Thomas A. Munro, and Jacob Suen elected as directors. The appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified. Additionally, the compensation of the Company’s named executive officers was approved on a non-binding, advisory basis.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025