tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Belden Inc (BDC)
NYSE:BDC

Belden (BDC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
325 Followers

Top Page

BDC

Belden

(NYSE:BDC)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$164.00
▲(12.49% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/14/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (profitability and steady cash generation tempered by leverage and some margin/FCF softness). Earnings-call momentum and guidance are a clear positive, while valuation is less supportive and technicals look overbought despite a strong uptrend.
Positive Factors
Steady Cash Generation
Belden generates consistent operating and free cash flow (TTM FCF ~$219M), with FCF roughly 62% of net income in 2025. Persistent cash generation supports buybacks, reinvestment in solutions, and gradual deleveraging, underpinning financial flexibility over the medium term.
Solutions & Product Mix Shift
The company is shifting mix toward higher‑value solutions (now >15% of revenue) with a 26% larger pipeline and increased broadband fiber content. Structural product mix improvement and solutions adoption support higher recurring, differentiated revenue and margin resilience over coming years.
Refinanced Debt, Extended Maturities
The €450M 2033 issuance and refinancing of 2027 notes lengthen maturities and lower average funding costs (~3.9%). Extending the debt profile reduces near‑term refinancing risk and gives management headroom to execute the solutions strategy and manage leverage over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Net leverage near 1.9x remains above management's stated ~1.5x target and debt was roughly in line with equity. Elevated leverage limits balance sheet flexibility for acquisitions or cyclical shocks and could constrain capital allocation if cash flow weakens.
Margin Pressure from Pass‑Throughs
Reported margins have been diluted by pass‑through pricing to recover commodity and tariff costs; this obscures underlying performance and risks persistent compression if customers resist higher pass‑throughs or commodity volatility persists, reducing long‑term margin stability.
Early‑Stage Data Center Opportunity
Belden's data center (white/gray space) initiative shows promising pipeline but remains a very small revenue base (<5%). Scaling this higher‑margin channel will take time and capital, meaning near‑term diversification benefits are limited and execution risk is material.

Belden (BDC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Belden Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBelden Inc. provides portfolio of signal transmission solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates in two segments, Enterprise Solutions and Industrial Solutions. The Enterprise Solutions segment offers copper cable and connectivity solutions, fiber cable and connectivity solutions, interconnect panels, racks and enclosures, and signal extension and matrix switching systems for use in applications, such as local area networks, data centers, access control, 5G, fiber, and home and building automation. It also provides power, cooling, and airflow management products for mission-critical data center operations; and end-to-end copper and fiber network systems. This segment serves commercial real estate, hospitality, healthcare, education, financial, government, and broadband and wireless service providers, as well as end-markets, including sport venues, stadiums, data centers, military installations, and academia. The Industrial Solutions segment offers infrastructure components and on-machine connectivity systems; and industrial Ethernet switches, network management software, routers, firewalls, gateways, input/output (I/O) connectors/systems, industrial Ethernet cables, optical fiber industrial Ethernet cables, Fieldbus cables, IP and networking cables, I/O modules, distribution boxes, and customer specific wiring solutions. This segment provides its products for use in applications comprising network and fieldbus infrastructure; sensor and actuator connectivity; and power, control, and data transmission; and supplies heat-shrinkable tubing and wire management products to protect and organize wire and cable assemblies. It serves distributors, original equipment manufacturers, installers, and end-users. The company was formerly known as Belden CDT Inc. and changed its name to Belden Inc. in May 2007. Belden Inc. was founded in 1902 and is based in St. Louis, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyBelden generates revenue primarily through the sale of its products and solutions in various sectors. The company has key revenue streams from its industrial solutions, which include cables and connectivity products used in manufacturing and automation systems, as well as from its enterprise solutions that cater to data centers and corporate networks. Additionally, Belden's broadcast solutions provide critical infrastructure for media and entertainment companies. The company benefits from strong partnerships with major players in different industries, enabling it to expand its market presence. Furthermore, Belden's focus on innovation and developing cutting-edge products helps to maintain its competitive edge, driving customer demand and sales growth.

Belden Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a strongly positive operational and financial performance: record quarterly and annual revenue, record adjusted EPS, robust order growth, healthy cash generation, successful share repurchases, and accelerating solutions momentum (solutions >15% and pipeline +26%). Margin improvements and favorable underlying profitability (excluding pass-throughs) were highlighted. Challenges are present—broadband softness in H2, margin dilution from pass-through pricing, copper price volatility and inventory timing effects, and an early-stage data center opportunity—but these issues are presented as manageable and being actively addressed through pricing, regional supply strategies, product mix shift (fiber/wireless), and an organizational realignment to scale solutions. Overall, the positive financial results and strategic progress outweigh the headwinds noted on the call.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly and Annual Revenue
Q4 revenue of $720,000,000 (record) which was up 8% year-over-year and exceeded the high end of guidance; full year 2025 revenue of ~$2,700,000,000 (record), up 10% year-over-year.
Record Earnings Per Share
Adjusted EPS of $2.08 in Q4 (record), up 8% YoY; full year adjusted EPS of $7.54 (record), up 19% YoY.
Strong Orders and Organic Growth
Order momentum: Q4 orders +12% YoY and +5% sequentially; full year orders were a record. Organic revenue growth of 5% in Q4 and 6% for the full year (Automation Solutions organic +11%, Smart Infrastructure Solutions organic +1%).
Profitability and Margin Improvement
Q4 EBITDA of $122,000,000, up 7% YoY; full year EBITDA of $459,000,000, up 12% YoY. Reported gross profit margin 38.5% (+40 bps YoY) and EBITDA margin 16.9% (+20 bps YoY). Excluding pass-throughs, gross margin improved ~160 bps and EBITDA margin ~80 bps YoY; incremental EBITDA margins ~28% (in line with long-term targets).
Cash Generation and Capital Return
Free cash flow for trailing twelve months was $219,000,000; repurchased 1,700,000 shares for $195,000,000 during the year and reduced share count by more than 11% vs. 2021; cash & equivalents $390,000,000 at year-end.
Strategic Progress on Solutions Transformation
Solutions wins crossed 15% of total revenue for 2025 (meaningful increase YoY); solutions pipeline grew ~26% YoY; company reiterated 2028 solutions target and expects acceleration due to new unified functional operating model.
Automation Segment Strength
Automation Solutions revenue ~ $1.5B for the year, +14% YoY with EBITDA +16%; margins improved 50 bps to 21%; orders up 16% YoY and broad-based organic growth across regions and verticals (double-digit growth in discrete manufacturing and energy).
Balance Sheet and Debt Refinancing
Net leverage ~1.9x net debt/EBITDA with target ~1.5x long-term; completed refinancing by issuing €450,000,000 of 4.25% notes due 2033, extending debt maturities; average debt rate ~3.9%.
Product Mix Tailwinds
Broadband fiber content increased from 40% in 2024 to 50% in 2025, supporting share gains and differentiation; strategic wins highlighted in transit, grocery, and data center pilot programs (pipeline expanded 2–4x in data center white/gray space opportunities).
Q1 2026 Guidance
Q1 revenue guidance $675,000,000 - $690,000,000 with adjusted EPS $1.65 - $1.75, reflecting continued momentum and seasonality expectations; FX expected to benefit revenue by roughly 2% YoY in Q1.
Negative Updates
Smart Infrastructure Softness and Broadband Headwinds
Smart Infrastructure Solutions was flat in Q4 and grew only 7% for the year with organic growth of 1%; broadband experienced a softer back half of 2025 due to a temporary moderation in MSO capital deployments, contributing to near-term variability.
Reported Margin Dilution from Pass-Throughs
Pass-through pricing to recover copper and tariff costs led to dilution in reported margins (Smart Infrastructure EBITDA margin declined 10 bps to 12.1%) and partially obscured stronger underlying operating performance, requiring careful management and customer acceptance of price increases.
Copper Price Volatility and Working Capital Impact
Copper price volatility (noted range ~$4–$6 recently) drove inventory repricing and inventory growth in 2025, creating a modest working capital timing effect; business relies on ability to pass costs to customers which is a risk if market dynamics change.
Organizational Realignment Risks and No Immediate Cost Savings
Transition to a unified functional operating model is strategic but company indicated the move is intended to accelerate solutions growth rather than drive immediate restructuring cost savings; no explicit restructuring benefits were modeled and any efficiencies will be reinvested.
Data Center Opportunity is Early-Stage
Integrated data center (white/gray space) opportunity shows strong pipeline and pilots but currently represents a small portion of revenue (company acknowledged a small base <~5% today) and will take time to scale across multiple large accounts.
Leverage Above Long-Term Target
Net leverage of ~1.9x is above the ~1.5x target the company cites for the long term; management expects fluctuations as they pursue strategic opportunities.
Market Uncertainty and Seasonality
Management highlighted ongoing market uncertainty and typical seasonality which could cause near-term variability in results despite strong order and pipeline trends; broadband/MSO timing and supply chain dynamics are specific areas of watch.
Company Guidance
Belden guided first-quarter 2026 revenue of $675–690 million and adjusted EPS of $1.65–1.75, assuming continuation of current market conditions and typical seasonality, and noted an approximate 2% year‑over‑year FX benefit should be considered in modeling; that outlook builds on a record 2025 (FY revenue ≈ $2.7 billion, adjusted EPS $7.54, Q4 revenue $720 million, Q4 adj. EPS $2.08, orders +12% YoY / +5% QoQ), healthy cash generation (TTM free cash flow $219 million), year‑end net leverage of ~1.9x with a ~1.5x long‑term target, $145 million remaining on the repurchase authorization, and ongoing sensitivities such as copper volatility (recently ~$4–$6) and supply‑chain dynamics.

Belden Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid profitability and steady operating/free cash flow, with improving earnings quality versus earlier years. Offsets include moderately elevated leverage (debt roughly in line with equity; net leverage above long-term target) plus some margin pressure and a slight 2025 free-cash-flow pullback.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Revenue has rebounded after two down years, with 2025 revenue up ~2% versus 2024 and profitability remaining solid. Margins are healthy for the period (2025 gross margin ~38%, EBIT margin ~11.5%, net margin ~8.7%), but they have eased from 2022–2023 levels, suggesting some cost or pricing pressure. Earnings quality looks improved versus 2020’s loss and 2021’s low profitability, yet the recent margin compression keeps the income statement from scoring higher.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage is meaningful: debt is roughly in line with equity in 2024–2025 (debt-to-equity ~1.09 in 2025) and was higher earlier in the period (peaking above 2.0 in 2020). Equity has grown since 2020, and returns to shareholders are strong (return on equity ~19% in 2025), but the balance sheet still carries a moderately elevated debt load that can reduce flexibility if operating conditions weaken.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash generation is steady, with operating cash flow around $350M in both 2024 and 2025 and free cash flow over $200M in those years. Free cash flow has generally improved versus 2020, but conversion is only moderate: free cash flow is about 62% of net income in 2025 (similar in prior years). Free cash flow growth was slightly negative in 2025 versus 2024, indicating some near-term softness despite solid absolute cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.72B2.46B2.51B2.61B2.30B
Gross Profit1.03B922.22M954.97M916.29M771.84M
EBITDA442.73M381.99M418.83M449.69M377.46M
Net Income237.52M198.43M242.76M254.66M63.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.54B3.33B3.24B3.16B3.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments389.89M370.30M597.04M687.68M641.56M
Total Debt1.47B1.25B1.30B1.24B1.54B
Total Liabilities2.28B2.03B2.07B2.02B2.46B
Stockholders Equity1.26B1.29B1.17B1.14B955.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow218.69M222.98M202.91M176.20M181.07M
Operating Cash Flow354.86M352.08M319.64M281.30M272.06M
Investing Cash Flow-128.24M-426.75M-200.36M168.41M-92.00M
Financing Cash Flow-217.77M-143.72M-211.93M-393.21M-32.93M

Belden Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price145.79
Price Trends
50DMA
124.30
Positive
100DMA
120.05
Positive
200DMA
119.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.63
Negative
RSI
70.37
Negative
STOCH
45.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BDC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 145.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 133.13, above the 50-day MA of 124.30, and above the 200-day MA of 119.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.37 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BDC.

Belden Risk Analysis

Belden disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Belden reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Belden Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.87B45.696.84%1.46%78.77%
67
Neutral
$5.69B24.8418.56%0.17%13.42%31.28%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$6.09B-138.80-5.54%15.60%
54
Neutral
$1.90B210.1812.43%14.31%
50
Neutral
$3.72B-324.59-6.04%4.24%-141.83%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BDC
Belden
145.79
34.26
30.72%
DGII
Digi International
50.20
17.15
51.89%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
14.05
-1.07
-7.08%
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
27.53
16.18
142.56%
PI
IMPINJ
127.92
33.30
35.19%

Belden Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Belden Issues €450 Million Senior Subordinated Notes Offering
Neutral
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Belden Inc. completed a €450 million issuance of 4.250% senior subordinated notes due 2033, sold at par in a private offering to qualified institutional buyers in the U.S. and to non-U.S. investors under Regulation S. The euro-denominated notes, which are guaranteed on a joint and several basis by the company’s current and future domestic subsidiary guarantors, rank pari passu with Belden’s other senior subordinated debt and are subordinated to its senior debt, including its revolving credit facility; they carry semi-annual interest payments starting August 1, 2026, and include optional redemption features from 2029, an equity-clawback option of up to 40% of the issue before 2029, and a change-of-control put at 101%, all under an indenture that imposes leverage, dividend, affiliate-transaction, asset-disposition, lien and merger restrictions, with certain covenants suspended if the notes reach investment-grade status, thereby shaping Belden’s future capital-structure flexibility and creditor protections.

The most recent analyst rating on (BDC) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Belden stock, see the BDC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Belden Launches €450 Million Notes to Refinance 2027 Debt
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 12 and 13, 2026, Belden Inc. announced a private offering and subsequent pricing of €450 million in senior subordinated notes due 2033, with the proceeds, together with cash on hand, earmarked to redeem in full its outstanding 3.375% senior subordinated notes due 2027 and to cover related fees and expenses. The company also issued a conditional redemption notice on January 12, 2026, setting February 11, 2026 as the redemption date for the 2027 notes, subject to the successful closing of the new notes offering, a refinancing move that extends the company’s debt maturity profile and may strengthen its capital structure, while limiting participation in the new securities to qualified institutional and non-U.S. professional investors under applicable U.S. and European securities regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BDC) stock is a Hold with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Belden stock, see the BDC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Belden Names Brad Dineley Chief Digital and Operations Officer
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

Effective January 5, 2026, Belden Inc. appointed Brad Dineley as Executive Vice President – Chief Digital and Operations Officer, a new role with global responsibility reporting directly to the Chief Executive Officer. Dineley, 53, brings prior leadership experience from TE Connectivity, where he served as Vice President of Operations Excellence, and from various positions of increasing responsibility at the Schaeffler Group, and as an executive officer he will participate in Belden’s Executive Severance Plan, underscoring the strategic importance of his position in advancing the company’s digital and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (BDC) stock is a Buy with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Belden stock, see the BDC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Belden Appoints Adel Al-Saleh to Board of Directors
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 19, 2025, Belden Inc. announced the appointment of Adel Al-Saleh to its Board of Directors, expanding the board from nine to ten members. Al-Saleh, with over 30 years of experience in the information technology sector, is expected to bring significant value to Belden with his expertise in leading technology transformations, as highlighted by Ashish Chand, President and CEO of Belden.

The most recent analyst rating on (BDC) stock is a Hold with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Belden stock, see the BDC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026