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MORT - ETF AI Analysis

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MORT

VanEck Mortgage REIT Income ETF (MORT)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
MORT’s rating suggests it offers solid income potential from mortgage REITs but with notable risks that investors should understand. The fund is heavily influenced by large positions in Annaly Capital and AGNC, which contribute positively through strong dividend yields, solid revenue trends, and supportive technical signals, though both carry high leverage and profitability concerns. Weaker spots like Rithm Capital, which faces declining revenues and high leverage, and other holdings with operational challenges add risk, and the overall concentration in mortgage-focused real estate makes the ETF sensitive to interest rate and credit conditions.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent One-Month Rebound
The ETF has shown a solid bounce over the past month, suggesting improving short-term momentum in its mortgage REIT holdings.
Several Leading Holdings Are Performing Well
Key positions like Annaly Capital, AGNC Investment, Starwood Property, Blackstone Mortgage, and Arbor Realty have delivered positive year-to-date results, helping support the fund’s overall performance.
Moderate Expense Ratio for a Niche Strategy
The fund’s fee level is reasonable for a specialized mortgage REIT ETF, allowing investors to access this focused income segment without very high ongoing costs.
Negative Factors
High Concentration in a Few Stocks
The top two holdings make up a large share of the portfolio, which increases the impact that problems at these individual companies could have on the ETF.
Heavy Exposure to a Single Sector
Almost all assets are invested in real estate mortgage REITs, so the fund is highly sensitive to conditions in this one part of the market rather than being broadly diversified.
Several Top Holdings Are Underperforming
Notable positions such as Rithm Capital, Dynex Capital, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Ellington Financial, and Orchid Island Capital have shown weak year-to-date performance, which can drag on the ETF’s returns.

MORT vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MORT Summary

MORT is the VanEck Mortgage REIT Income ETF, which follows the MVIS US Mortgage REITs Index. It invests in U.S. mortgage real estate investment trusts—companies that earn money from mortgages and mortgage-backed securities rather than owning buildings directly. Well-known holdings include Annaly Capital and AGNC Investment. Investors might consider MORT if they want higher income through dividends and a way to tap into the real estate market without buying property. However, it is very focused on mortgage REITs, so its price and income can move sharply with interest rates and the real estate market.
How much will it cost me?The VanEck Mortgage REIT Income ETF (MORT) has an expense ratio of 0.42%, which means you’ll pay $4.20 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than the average for ETFs because it is focused on a specialized sector and is passively managed to track the MVIS US Mortgage REITs Index.
What would affect this ETF?The VanEck Mortgage REIT Income ETF (MORT) could benefit from stable or declining interest rates, as mortgage REITs generally perform better when borrowing costs are low, boosting their profitability. However, rising interest rates or economic downturns could negatively impact the ETF, as these factors may reduce the value of mortgage-backed securities and increase financing costs for its top holdings like Annaly Capital and AGNC Investment. Additionally, changes in U.S. real estate market conditions or regulatory shifts affecting mortgage REITs could influence the ETF's performance.

MORT Top 10 Holdings

MORT is essentially a pure play on U.S. mortgage REITs, with heavyweights Annaly Capital and AGNC Investment steering the ship but recently losing altitude, which has weighed on the fund. Starwood Property and Rithm Capital are also lagging, adding to the drag as higher-rate worries ripple through the sector. On the brighter side, Ellington Financial and Apollo Real Estate have been relative bright spots, helping to cushion the blow. Overall, this ETF is highly concentrated in interest-rate-sensitive real estate finance, with little geographic or sector diversification beyond U.S. mortgage markets.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Annaly Capital17.36%$69.91M$15.72B14.16%
63
Neutral
AGNC Investment13.86%$55.82M$11.72B15.50%
66
Neutral
Starwood Property7.05%$28.38M$6.41B-11.47%
62
Neutral
Rithm Capital6.61%$26.60M$5.17B-16.80%
58
Neutral
Dynex Capital4.95%$19.94M$2.74B7.34%
60
Neutral
ARMOUR Residential REIT4.48%$18.04M$2.06B3.69%
58
Neutral
Ellington Financial4.42%$17.80M$1.69B7.06%
72
Outperform
Blackstone Mortgage4.36%$17.57M$3.03B-4.16%
63
Neutral
Orchid Island Capital4.09%$16.48M$1.36B-2.31%
65
Neutral
Apollo Real Estate3.28%$13.22M$1.45B13.60%
64
Neutral

MORT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
10.16
Negative
100DMA
10.30
Negative
200DMA
10.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
39.55
Neutral
STOCH
28.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MORT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.32, equal to the 50-day MA of 10.16, and equal to the 200-day MA of 10.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MORT.

MORT Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$390.11M0.43%
62
Neutral
$599.15M0.38%
74
Outperform
$549.08M0.48%
62
Neutral
$459.54M0.35%
71
Outperform
$449.15M0.35%
68
Neutral
$423.70M5.39%
64
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MORT
VanEck Mortgage REIT Income ETF
10.01
1.04
11.59%
IAT
iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF
REM
iShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF
KIE
SPDR S&P Insurance ETF
KCE
SPDR S&P Capital Markets ETF
KBWD
Invesco KBW High Dividend Yield Financial ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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