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Armour Residential (ARR)
NYSE:ARR

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) AI Stock Analysis

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ARR

ARMOUR Residential REIT

(NYSE:ARR)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
â–¼(-0.32% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
ARR scores in the mid-range primarily because financial performance remains inconsistent (volatile earnings/revenue and unclear leverage reporting) despite improved recent cash generation. The latest earnings call was a positive offset, highlighting strong economic returns, book value gains and liquidity alongside manageable but notable risks (prepayments, dilution, funding concentration). Technicals are neutral-to-slightly positive, while valuation is weighed down by an extremely high P/E despite the very high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong Liquidity
Substantial liquidity (~54% of equity, >$1B) provides a durable buffer against funding shocks and supports monthly dividends, opportunistic MBS deployment, and margin management. High cash buffers reduce forced asset sales and give management time to hedge or reshape the portfolio over months.
High-Quality Agency Portfolio
A portfolio overwhelmingly in agency RMBS and specified/prepayment-protected pools materially lowers credit risk and supports predictable cash flows. This structural asset mix helps stabilize income and book-value volatility versus non-agency exposures across a multi-month horizon.
Proven Economic Returns & Earnings
Recent sizable economic returns, strong distributable earnings and quarter-over-quarter book-value gains demonstrate management's ability to capture spread and execute hedging/positioning. These outcomes show durable operational competency in generating income above funding costs when markets align.
Negative Factors
Elevated Prepayment Risk
Rising prepayment speeds shorten expected cash flows and create reinvestment risk, compressing net interest margins as premium pools and TBAs pay down faster. Over months, faster CPRs can materially reduce yield on assets and make predictable distributable income harder to sustain.
Repo Counterparty Concentration
Heavy reliance on a single repo counterparty for a large share of short-term financing raises funding-concentration risk. If counterparties change haircuts or access tightens, the company could face abrupt funding cost increases or forced deleveraging, impacting dividends and leverage plans.
Dilution from Equity Raises
Regular ATM equity issuance indicates dependence on share-based capital to fund growth or liquidity, diluting per-share metrics and potentially pressuring book value per share. Continued reliance on dilution can undermine long-run dividend per-share sustainability absent steady earnings gains.

ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ARMOUR Residential REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. The company's securities portfolio primarily consists of the United States Government-sponsored entity's (GSE) and the Government National Mortgage Administration's issued or guaranteed securities backed by fixed rate, hybrid adjustable rate, and adjustable-rate home loans, as well as unsecured notes and bonds issued by the GSE and the United States treasuries, as well as money market instruments. It also invests in other securities backed by residential mortgages for which the payment of principal and interest is not guaranteed by a GSE or government agency. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust under the Internal Revenue Code. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to shareholders. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyARMOUR Residential REIT generates revenue primarily through the interest income earned on its portfolio of residential mortgage-backed securities. The company invests in RMBS that are backed by single-family homes and multi-family residential properties, allowing it to capitalize on the cash flows generated from the underlying mortgages. Additionally, ARMOUR uses leverage to enhance its returns, borrowing funds at lower interest rates to invest in higher-yielding RMBS. The spread between the interest income earned on these securities and the cost of borrowing constitutes a significant portion of the company's revenue. Furthermore, ARMOUR may also earn income from strategic partnerships and collaborations with financial institutions and investment funds that seek exposure to residential mortgage markets.

ARMOUR Residential REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted several strong operational and financial positives: a robust 10.63% Q4 total economic return, meaningful book value appreciation (+6.5% in Q4), healthy distributable earnings ($79.8M), portfolio growth (>10%) to over $20 billion, strong liquidity (~54% of equity), and improved funding conditions. Key risks were elevated prepayment speeds (CPR rising to 11.1), tighter spreads limiting incremental yield, mild dilution from ATM equity issuance, counterparty concentration in repo, and policy uncertainty around GSE actions. Overall, the favorable returns, liquidity position, and active risk management appear to outweigh the manageable headwinds, supporting a constructive outlook for 2026.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Total Economic Return
ARMOUR reported a total economic return of 10.63% for Q4, driven by MBS spread tightening, lower MBS volatility, and a lower interest rate environment.
Solid GAAP and Non-GAAP Earnings
Q4 GAAP net income available to common stockholders was $28.7 million ($1.86 per share). Distributable earnings (non-GAAP) were $79.8 million, or $0.71 per common share. Net interest income was $50.4 million.
Book Value Appreciation
Q4 book value was $18.63 per common share, up 6.5% from September 30, 2025. The most recent estimated book value as of Feb 17, 2026 was $18.37 (after dividend accruals).
Consistent Dividend Policy
ARMOUR paid monthly common dividends of $0.24 per share ($0.72 for the quarter) and declared subsequent monthly dividends of $0.24, signaling a continued commitment to a stable, medium-term dividend.
Portfolio and Balance Sheet Growth
Portfolio grew for a second consecutive quarter, increasing by more than 10% from the end of 2025. Mortgage assets grew to over $20 billion and the company added over $3 billion of MBS pools and DUS across Q4 and early Q1.
Strong Liquidity and Moderate Leverage
Capital liquidity measured ~54% of total shareholders' equity as of January. Implied leverage (excluding treasury loans) was 7.9 turns and net balance sheet duration was 0.14 years, reflecting a conservative, front-end biased duration posture.
High Share of Prepayment- and Specified-Protected Assets
Specified MBS pools with prepayment protection comprised over 92% of the portfolio, and roughly 30% of assets are in prepayment-protected agency CMBS pools and discount MBS, indicating active prepayment risk management.
Improved Funding and Favorable Repo Conditions
Repo market conditions materially improved in 2026 versus 2025 — repo financing averaged roughly SOFR +15 bps. The weighted average haircut on the repo book was ~2.75% and roughly 80% of repo principal is financed at a 3% haircut or lower across 23 counterparties.
Negative Updates
Rising Prepayment Speeds
Aggregate portfolio prepayments averaged 11.1 CPR through Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 to date, up from 8.1 CPR in Q3 2025, indicating elevated prepayment/refinance risk as mortgage rates move toward the low end of the 6%–6.3% band.
Spread Tightening Reduces Incremental Yield
Management noted materially tighter MBS spreads versus the prior year. While spread tightening supported book value, it compresses incremental yield on new investments and requires more selective deployment of capital.
Dilution from Capital Raises
Through 02/11/2026 ARMOUR raised approximately $138 million via common at-the-market issuances (~7.5 million shares), described as 'mildly dilutive.' Q4 preferred at-the-market activity raised ~$3.8 million (183k shares) plus $4.8 million (230k shares) under the preferred program.
Small Near-Term Book Value Compression
Book value declined from $18.63 at quarter end to an estimated $18.37 as of Feb 17, 2026 (reflecting dividend payments/accruals), a reduction of approximately 1.4% versus the Q4 reported level.
Concentration in Repo Counterparty Exposure
Although repo financing is diversified across 23 counterparties, Buckner Securities accounts for roughly 40%–60% of repo financing, presenting counterparty concentration risk within short-term funding.
Prepayment Risk Elevated in TBAs and Premium MBS
Management flagged that TBA roll and generic premium MBS prepayment risk is elevated given originators' capacity to ramp refinancing if rates move below 6%, which could accelerate speeds in par and premium coupons.
Policy Uncertainty and Potential Unintended Effects
The company's outlook depends in part on government/GSE actions to lower mortgage rates (e.g., FHFA/GSE purchases, potential G-fee changes). Management warned some policy measures (like G-fee cuts) could have counterproductive effects, increasing investor demanded spreads and introducing negative convexity.
Company Guidance
Management guided that 2026 remains supportive and that they expect a consistent, predictable return profile driven by a steeper yield curve and lower volatility, while continuing to stress-test liquidity, hedge systematically and deploy capital opportunistically; key metrics cited include a Q4 total economic return of 10.63%, GAAP net income $28.7M ($1.86/sh), net interest income $50.4M, distributable earnings $79.8M ($0.71/sh), Q4 book value $18.63 (+6.5% QoQ) with a current estimate of $18.37 as of Feb 17, monthly common dividends of $0.24 ($0.72/quarter) with Feb and Mar dividends declared, a portfolio now north of $20B (up >10% since YE 2025) driven by ~22 bps of spread tightening, net balance sheet duration of 0.14 years, implied leverage ~7.9x (ex-Treasury loans), added >$3B of MBS/DUS (including >$1B of 4.5%/5% coupons), aggregate prepayments ~11.1 CPR (vs 8.1 CPR in Q3), ~92% of assets in specified pools (nearly 30% in prepayment-protected CMBS/discounts), ~86% of hedges in OIS/SOFR swaps, financing across 23 repo counterparties with ~80% of repo principal at ≤3% haircut and a weighted average haircut ≈2.75%, repo costs ~SOFR+15 bps, liquidity ~54% of shareholders’ equity, capital raises of ~$3.8M preferred in Q4 (183k shares), ~$138M common ATM through 2/11/26 (≈7.5M shares) and ~$4.8M preferred (230k shares), and a marginal capital hurdle near 16% with levered production-coupon yields on 30-year 5s in the mid-teens (8x leverage, hedged), all supporting their confidence in delivering shareholder value in 2026.

ARMOUR Residential REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are improving but remain uneven. Income statement quality is weak due to volatile earnings and unstable revenue trends (including near-zero reported revenue in 2025), while the balance sheet is mixed with expanding equity but inconsistent leverage disclosure. Cash flow is a relative strength with positive operating and free cash flow in 2021–2025, though 2025 free cash flow fell versus 2024 and 2020 was materially negative.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Earnings have been volatile across the cycle, with losses in 2022–2024 followed by a sharp rebound to strong profitability in 2025. Revenue trends are unstable, including a steep drop to near-zero reported revenue in 2025 and large swings in prior years, which reduces confidence in the durability of recent results. Margins also swing meaningfully year-to-year, reinforcing an inconsistent operating profile.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a large asset base and equity that has expanded materially from 2021–2025, supporting improved financial flexibility. However, leverage disclosures are inconsistent: total debt is very high in 2020 but reported as zero in 2021–2025, which makes leverage risk harder to assess from the provided figures. Return on equity improved sharply in 2025 after several weak years, but the multi-year track record remains uneven.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash generation is generally positive in recent years, with operating cash flow and free cash flow positive from 2021–2025 and a notable step-up in 2024. That said, free cash flow declined in 2025 versus 2024, and 2020 showed materially negative cash flow, highlighting sensitivity to market conditions. Overall, cash flow looks healthier lately, but not consistently upward-trending.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue309.93M1.31B239.90M449.67M-877.95M4.89M
Gross Profit474.06M1.27B206.77M418.09M-903.93M-17.61M
EBITDA234.67M964.77M510.10M457.87M-104.61M7.11M
Net Income64.54M322.69M-14.39M-67.92M-229.93M15.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.36B21.01B13.55B12.34B9.44B5.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.24M63.27M67.97M221.89M87.28M337.66M
Total Debt0.0017.94B0.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities17.23B18.74B12.19B11.07B8.32B4.13B
Stockholders Equity2.13B2.26B1.36B1.27B1.11B1.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow179.08M124.20M261.46M132.82M124.08M11.74M
Operating Cash Flow179.08M124.20M261.46M132.82M124.08M11.74M
Investing Cash Flow-6.66B-7.36B-1.69B-3.04B-3.89B503.58M
Financing Cash Flow6.60B0.001.31B3.05B3.53B-330.77M

ARMOUR Residential REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.56
Price Trends
50DMA
17.48
Positive
100DMA
16.47
Positive
200DMA
15.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
54.90
Neutral
STOCH
45.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.66, above the 50-day MA of 17.48, and above the 200-day MA of 15.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARR.

ARMOUR Residential REIT Risk Analysis

ARMOUR Residential REIT disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ARMOUR Residential REIT reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ARMOUR Residential REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$2.79B5.6617.50%14.63%47.97%17.22%
60
Neutral
$1.47B13.096.66%9.89%0.29%―
60
Neutral
$1.58B9.599.23%11.37%70.94%2.95%
57
Neutral
$1.98B5.3717.82%15.06%-27.55%-97.87%
54
Neutral
$1.32B20.474.25%8.21%-17.18%-17.16%
53
Neutral
$1.15B8.019.04%11.40%9.46%-111.44%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARR
ARMOUR Residential REIT
17.89
2.15
13.69%
ARI
Apollo Real Estate
10.63
1.55
17.02%
CIM
Chimera Investment
13.54
0.90
7.09%
DX
Dynex Capital
14.13
2.10
17.44%
EFC
Ellington Financial
12.37
0.71
6.06%
LADR
Ladder Capital
10.48
-0.42
-3.85%

ARMOUR Residential REIT Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
ARMOUR Residential REIT Highlights Strong Q4 Results, Liquidity
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

ARMOUR Residential REIT reported unaudited fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 18, 2026, posting GAAP net income available to common shareholders of $208.7 million, or $1.86 per share, and distributable earnings of $79.8 million, or $0.71 per share. The company generated net interest income of $50.4 million, maintained an economic net interest spread of 1.77%, paid $0.72 per common share in dividends for the quarter, and raised $3.8 million via preferred stock issuance.

As of December 31, 2025, book value per common share rose 6.5% from September 30 to $18.63, contributing to a Q4 total economic return of 10.63% and a full-year 2025 economic return of 12.79%. ARMOUR reported $1.2 billion of liquidity, portfolio leverage near 8:1, and a portfolio 97.0% invested in Agency MBS, while management highlighted roughly 60% portfolio growth in 2025 driven by $878 million of capital deployment into MBS amid tighter spreads, lower volatility, and a lower rate environment, underscoring confidence in its capital deployment and risk management strategy.

On February 17, 2026, the company reported more than $1.0 billion in liquidity excluding $300.0 million of pending MBS principal and interest, and a securities portfolio of about $21.1 billion, including TBA securities. Through February 11, 2026, ARMOUR raised approximately $138.0 million via common stock and $4.8 million via preferred stock under at-the-market programs, while keeping its debt-to-equity ratio around 8:1 and signaling continued active balance sheet and capital management for shareholders’ benefit.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARR) stock is a Hold with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARMOUR Residential REIT stock, see the ARR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
ARMOUR Residential REIT Issues February Portfolio and Dividend Update
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

On February 18, 2026, ARMOUR Residential REIT released a February 2026 monthly update detailing its mortgage‑backed securities portfolio and capital position as of January 31, 2026. The $20.98 billion portfolio remains overwhelmingly concentrated in agency mortgage assets, with 30‑year fixed‑rate pools accounting for nearly 90% of holdings, supported by a mix of net TBA positions and U.S. Treasury longs to manage duration and interest‑rate exposure.

Key balance‑sheet metrics in the update highlight a highly levered but liquid profile, with repo and implied leverage ratios of roughly 7.5–7.8 times equity and liquidity of $1.32 billion, equal to 54% of total capital. For income investors, the company reaffirmed a monthly common dividend of $0.24 per share for March, implying a dividend yield of 16.6% at a $17.40 stock price, underscoring ARMOUR’s continued focus on sustaining high payouts despite relying heavily on short‑term repo funding and extensive interest rate swap hedges across varying maturities.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARR) stock is a Hold with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARMOUR Residential REIT stock, see the ARR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ARMOUR Residential REIT Schedules Q4 2025 Earnings Webcast
Neutral
Feb 17, 2026

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. announced on February 17, 2026, that it will host an online, real-time webcast of its conference call with equity analysts to discuss operating results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. The call is scheduled for Thursday, February 19, 2026, at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time, following the planned release of fourth quarter 2025 earnings after the market close on Wednesday, February 18, 2026.

The live broadcast will be accessible via a dedicated webcast link, with an online replay available on the company’s website for one year, providing extended access for investors and other stakeholders. This scheduled communication underscores ARMOUR’s efforts to maintain transparency around its financial performance and to engage actively with the investment community regarding its mortgage-backed securities portfolio and operating results.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARR) stock is a Hold with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARMOUR Residential REIT stock, see the ARR Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
ARMOUR Residential REIT Declares March 2026 Monthly Dividend
Positive
Feb 17, 2026

On February 17, 2026, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. declared a cash dividend of $0.24 per common share for the month of March 2026, reinforcing its income-distribution role for shareholders. The dividend will be paid on March 30, 2026, to stockholders of record as of March 16, 2026, providing clarity on the company’s near-term payout schedule and supporting investor expectations for ongoing cash returns.

As a U.S. REIT, ARMOUR highlighted that it must distribute substantially all of its ordinary REIT taxable income to maintain its tax status, and noted that dividends paid in excess of current tax earnings and profits may be non-taxable to common stockholders. The announcement underscored that actual dividend levels remain at the discretion of the board, which weighs operational results, liquidity, capital needs and market conditions, signaling that payout policy could adjust if business or macro conditions shift.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARR) stock is a Hold with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARMOUR Residential REIT stock, see the ARR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
ARMOUR Residential REIT Declares February 2026 Monthly Dividend
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

On January 29, 2026, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. announced that it would pay a cash dividend of $0.24 per share on its common stock for the month of February 2026, with shareholders of record as of February 17, 2026 scheduled to receive payment on February 27, 2026. The company noted that, as a REIT, it must distribute substantially all of its ordinary taxable income to maintain its tax status, and indicated that dividend levels are set at the board’s discretion based on operational results, cash flows, financial condition, capital needs, and market conditions, underscoring the role of regular dividends as a key element of its shareholder return and capital allocation strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARR) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARMOUR Residential REIT stock, see the ARR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ARMOUR Residential REIT Expands ATM Equity Sales Program
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, ARMOUR Residential REIT amended its existing at-the-market equity sales program, increasing by 15 million the number of common shares that may be offered and sold and revising its roster of sales agents, removing Janney Montgomery Scott and adding Huntington Securities. Under the amended agreement, ARMOUR may now issue and sell up to 23,244,198 common shares—comprising 8,244,198 previously authorized but unsold shares plus the newly added 15 million—through a group of agents in connection with its effective shelf registration, a move that further extends the company’s ongoing capital-raising program and could provide additional funding flexibility for its mortgage investment operations and balance-sheet management.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARR) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARMOUR Residential REIT stock, see the ARR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
ARMOUR Residential REIT Issues January 2026 Financial Update
Positive
Jan 16, 2026

On January 16, 2026, ARMOUR Residential REIT issued a January 2026 monthly update presentation detailing its financial position and portfolio data as of December 31, 2025, showing a $20.0 billion portfolio heavily concentrated in agency mortgage‑backed securities, with 97% in agency holdings and 91.5% in 30‑year fixed‑rate pools, supplemented by a small allocation to U.S. Treasury long positions. The company reported key metrics including an estimated fourth‑quarter 2025 book value per common share of $18.53 to $18.73 versus a $17.69 common stock price, debt‑to‑equity of 7.9, implied leverage of 8.1, and total liquidity of about $1.17 billion, representing 52% of total capital, alongside a monthly common dividend of $0.24 per share (yielding 16.3%) scheduled for payment on January 29, 2026, and detailed its short‑term repo funding profile and extensive interest rate swap positions, underscoring its reliance on leverage, active hedging and ample liquidity to manage interest‑rate risk and sustain dividends for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARR) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARMOUR Residential REIT stock, see the ARR Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
ARMOUR Residential REIT Confirms January 2026 Dividend Payments
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On January 2, 2026, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. confirmed a cash dividend of $0.24 per share on its common stock for January 2026, payable on January 29, 2026 to shareholders of record as of January 15, 2026, aligning with guidance issued in late December 2025. The company also confirmed a monthly cash dividend of $0.14583 per share on its Series C preferred stock for each month of the first quarter of 2026, with record dates on the 15th of January, February and March and corresponding payments on January 27, February 27 and March 27, underscoring its ongoing commitment to regular capital returns as it distributes substantially all of its REIT taxable income in order to maintain its tax status.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARR) stock is a Buy with a $18.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARMOUR Residential REIT stock, see the ARR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
ARMOUR Residential REIT Sets January 2026 Dividend Guidance
Neutral
Dec 23, 2025

On December 23, 2025, ARMOUR Residential REIT announced guidance for a January 2026 monthly cash dividend of $0.24 per common share, with shareholders of record on January 15, 2026 scheduled to receive payment on January 29, 2026. The company also disclosed that on December 22, 2025 its external manager, ARMOUR Capital Management LP, notified ARMOUR that it will end its voluntary waiver of a portion of the base management fee for amounts due after February 1, 2026, meaning management fees tied to January 2026 services will no longer benefit from the waiver, which could modestly increase the company’s expense base and affect returns to shareholders going forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARR) stock is a Buy with a $18.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARMOUR Residential REIT stock, see the ARR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ARMOUR Residential REIT Releases Financial Update Presentation
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. released a presentation detailing its financial position and operations as of November 30, 2025. The update highlights ARMOUR’s strategic focus on maintaining shareholder value through a diversified MBS portfolio and effective risk management. The company reported a total portfolio value of $19,362 million, with a significant portion in agency MBS. ARMOUR’s financial strategy includes leveraging equity capital and repurchase financing, with a debt-equity ratio of 8.1 and total liquidity of $1,095.2 million. The announcement underscores ARMOUR’s commitment to sustaining common share dividends and managing interest rate risks, which is crucial for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARR) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARMOUR Residential REIT stock, see the ARR Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
ARMOUR Residential REIT Declares December 2025 Dividend
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

On November 26, 2025, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. announced a cash dividend of $0.24 per share for December 2025, payable to common stockholders on December 29, 2025, with a record date of December 15, 2025. This announcement reflects ARMOUR’s commitment to maintaining its REIT status by distributing its taxable income, and the dividend decision is influenced by factors such as operational results, cash flows, and market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARR) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARMOUR Residential REIT stock, see the ARR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026