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KCE - ETF AI Analysis

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KCE

SPDR S&P Capital Markets ETF (KCE)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
KCE, the SPDR S&P Capital Markets ETF, has a solid overall rating driven mainly by strong holdings like Victory Capital, Cboe Global Markets, CME Group, and Affiliated Managers Group, which benefit from robust financial performance, positive earnings call commentary, and strategic growth initiatives. These strengths are partly offset by weaker spots such as StoneX Group and Virtu Financial, where profitability, cash flow, and leverage issues, along with some bearish technical signals and high valuations in several holdings, introduce risk and can hold back the fund’s rating. The main risk factor is its focus on capital markets companies, which ties the ETF’s fortunes closely to market conditions, trading activity, and sector-specific financial pressures.
Positive Factors
Broad Mix of Capital Markets Stocks
The ETF holds many different financial companies involved in capital markets, which helps spread risk across the industry.
Strong Recent Performance
The fund has shown steady gains over the past month, three months, and year to date, indicating positive recent momentum.
Multiple Strong-Performing Top Holdings
Several of the largest positions, such as WisdomTree and Perella Weinberg Partners, have delivered strong year-to-date performance that supports the fund’s returns.
Negative Factors
Heavy Concentration in Financials
Almost all of the portfolio is in the financial sector, so the fund is highly sensitive to downturns in financial markets.
Very Limited Geographic Diversification
With nearly all assets in U.S. companies, the ETF offers little protection if the U.S. market struggles compared with other regions.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is not especially low, which slightly reduces the net returns investors keep over time.

KCE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

KCE Summary

KCE is the SPDR S&P Capital Markets ETF, which follows the S&P Capital Markets Select Industry Index. It focuses on U.S. financial companies that work in capital markets, such as investment banks, asset managers, and brokerage firms. Well-known holdings include Cboe Global Markets and WisdomTree. Someone might invest in KCE to get targeted exposure to the financial sector and to spread their money across many different capital markets companies instead of picking individual stocks. A key risk is that it is heavily tied to financial stocks, so it can rise or fall sharply with changes in the financial sector and overall market.
How much will it cost me?The SPDR S&P Capital Markets ETF (KCE) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is a sector-focused ETF, which typically requires more active management compared to broad market index funds.
What would affect this ETF?The SPDR S&P Capital Markets ETF (KCE) could benefit from positive trends like increased financial innovation, growth in investment activities, and rising demand for asset management services, especially in the U.S. However, it may face challenges from economic downturns, regulatory changes in the financial sector, or rising interest rates, which could negatively impact capital markets and its top holdings like investment banks and brokerage firms.

KCE Top 10 Holdings

KCE is a pure U.S. capital-markets play, and its story right now is all about rising deal flow and trading activity. Fast-climbing names like StoneX Group and WisdomTree are doing the heavy lifting, while steady performers such as CME Group and Cboe Global Markets give the fund a more reliable backbone. Tradeweb and Victory Capital add to the upward pull with generally positive, if not explosive, momentum. On the flip side, Affiliated Managers, Interactive Brokers, and Perella Weinberg are losing a bit of steam, modestly tugging on overall returns.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
WisdomTree2.47%$11.63M$2.35B91.92%
71
Outperform
StoneX Group2.08%$9.78M$5.67B41.00%
58
Neutral
Cboe Global Markets2.01%$9.48M$31.53B41.44%
75
Outperform
CME Group2.00%$9.44M$113.72B24.56%
74
Outperform
Tradeweb Markets1.96%$9.25M$29.36B-6.48%
71
Outperform
Donnelley Financial Solutions1.96%$9.23M$1.27B5.08%
64
Neutral
Franklin Resources1.95%$9.17M$13.66B29.13%
74
Outperform
Virtu Financial1.93%$9.08M$6.34B12.02%
64
Neutral
Janus Henderson Group1.89%$8.92M$7.91B37.99%
73
Outperform
Victory Capital Holdings1.89%$8.90M$4.48B19.56%
80
Outperform

KCE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
151.90
Negative
100DMA
149.26
Negative
200DMA
148.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.15
Positive
RSI
38.24
Neutral
STOCH
45.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KCE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 146.51, equal to the 50-day MA of 151.90, and equal to the 200-day MA of 148.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KCE.

KCE Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$471.38M0.35%
70
Outperform
$605.81M0.38%
74
Outperform
$583.17M0.48%
62
Neutral
$448.14M0.35%
72
Outperform
$439.59M5.39%
64
Neutral
$419.03M0.38%
75
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KCE
SPDR S&P Capital Markets ETF
141.18
19.52
16.04%
IAT
iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF
REM
iShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF
KIE
SPDR S&P Insurance ETF
KBWD
Invesco KBW High Dividend Yield Financial ETF
IAK
iShares U.S. Insurance ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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