tiprankstipranks
Donnelley Financial Solutions (DFIN)
NYSE:DFIN
Want to see DFIN full AI Analyst Report?

Donnelley Financial Solutions (DFIN) AI Stock Analysis

171 Followers

Top Page

DFIN

Donnelley Financial Solutions

(NYSE:DFIN)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
▼(-21.85% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score reflects solid underlying fundamentals and cash generation, plus a constructive earnings outlook driven by higher-margin software momentum and an attractive P/E. These positives are meaningfully offset by very weak technicals (price well below major moving averages with bearish momentum) and near-term uncertainty from transaction-volume volatility and secular print declines.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent, sizable operating and free cash flow provides durable financial flexibility. Strong cash generation supports debt service, reinvestment in product development, and sustained capital allocation (buybacks/dividends), reducing execution risk during cyclical slowdowns.
Negative Factors
Transactional revenue volatility
A meaningful portion of revenue is tied to capital markets and M&A activity, which is cyclical and geopolitically sensitive. Persistent volatility can create uneven top-line outcomes and complicate planning, pressuring margins when transactional volumes fall for multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistent, sizable operating and free cash flow provides durable financial flexibility. Strong cash generation supports debt service, reinvestment in product development, and sustained capital allocation (buybacks/dividends), reducing execution risk during cyclical slowdowns.
Read all positive factors

Donnelley Financial Solutions Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Product
Net Sales by Product
Shows revenue from individual products, helping investors understand product performance and market demand.
Chart InsightsDFIN is shifting from cyclical, deal-dependent compliance services toward steadier software: Capital Markets Software Solutions and Investment Companies Software Solutions have shown sustained, rising sales, while both Compliance & Communications lines remain lumpy — Investment Companies compliance is in a clear downtrend and Capital Markets compliance spikes with issuance/deal activity. That mix improves revenue quality and margin potential, but the company remains exposed to capital‑markets cycles; monitor recurring ARR growth and bookings cadence to judge durability.
Data provided by:The Fly

Donnelley Financial Solutions (DFIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Donnelley Financial Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. operates as a risk and compliance solutions company worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Capital Markets – Software Solutions (CM-SS), Capital Markets – Compliance and Communications Management...
How the Company Makes Money
DFIN primarily makes money by selling subscription-based software and related services that help clients produce and manage regulated content and complete complex financial reporting and deal workflows. A major revenue stream is recurring SaaS sub...

Donnelley Financial Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed constructive progress: revenue growth, meaningful software-led mix shift, repeatable ActiveDisclosure momentum (including AI expansion), margin expansion, improved leverage and an active capital return program. These positives are tempered by near-term market volatility, a March-related slowdown in transaction activity, secular declines in print revenue, and some segment-specific margin pressure. Management provided modest near-term guidance while emphasizing transformation to higher-margin software and continued cost discipline.
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue Growth
First quarter net sales of $205.5 million, up $4.4 million or 2.2% year-over-year, demonstrating topline growth despite a volatile market environment.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility and March Slowdown
Escalating geopolitical tensions and AI-driven uncertainty caused a pronounced market slowdown in March; filings declined sequentially from February for only the second time in history (after COVID-2020), dampening deal activity and transaction flow.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Consolidated Revenue Growth
First quarter net sales of $205.5 million, up $4.4 million or 2.2% year-over-year, demonstrating topline growth despite a volatile market environment.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For Q2 2026 the company guided consolidated net sales of $215 million to $225 million (midpoint $220M, ~+$2M or ≈+1% YoY) and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 34%–36%; the outlook assumes Capital Markets transactional revenue of $40M–$45M (midpoint up ≈$8M vs Q2 2025’s $34.8M and below Q1 2026’s $50.8M), a modest YoY decline in compliance/print & distribution (against an expected secular print decline of ~5%–6% annually), and ongoing market volatility and geopolitical uncertainty. By way of context, management cited Q1 results of net sales $205.5M (+2.2% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $70.6M (+$2.4M, +3.5%), adjusted EBITDA margin 34.4% (+50 bps), adjusted non‑GAAP gross margin 64% (+30 bps), adjusted non‑GAAP SG&A $61M (29.7% of sales), Q1 free cash flow -$16M (improved $35M YoY), total debt $229.9M, non‑GAAP net debt $203.8M with $121M drawn on the revolver (non‑GAAP net leverage 0.8x), full‑year capex guidance $55M–$60M (expected to ramp), and active capital deployment including ~595k shares repurchased for $28.3M in Q1 (avg $47.58) and a new $150M buyback authorization through 12/31/2027.

Donnelley Financial Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are fundamentally sound, led by strong TTM operating cash flow (~$194M) and healthy free cash flow (~$140M). The balance sheet is generally manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.63), but leverage has ticked up and profitability has softened (TTM net margin ~4.5% and ROE ~8.7%, down versus 2023–2024), making margin durability the key watch item.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
76
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue771.40M767.00M781.90M797.20M833.60M993.30M
Gross Profit475.10M486.60M484.00M463.90M463.40M580.20M
EBITDA127.80M123.20M209.70M192.00M212.00M275.20M
Net Income34.90M32.40M92.40M82.20M102.50M145.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets840.80M800.40M857.00M806.90M828.30M883.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.10M24.50M57.30M23.10M34.20M54.50M
Total Debt235.70M181.80M144.40M153.10M215.90M187.20M
Total Liabilities464.10M421.20M420.90M404.70M498.80M506.30M
Stockholders Equity376.70M379.20M436.10M402.20M329.50M377.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow142.80M107.80M105.20M62.20M96.00M137.70M
Operating Cash Flow197.00M164.90M171.10M124.00M150.20M180.00M
Investing Cash Flow-54.00M-57.00M-53.30M-51.30M-50.90M-45.00M
Financing Cash Flow-133.80M-141.80M-82.10M-84.60M-121.10M-154.90M

Donnelley Financial Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price52.46
Price Trends
50DMA
46.42
Negative
100DMA
47.97
Negative
200DMA
49.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.73
Positive
RSI
30.52
Neutral
STOCH
41.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DFIN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 52.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.95, above the 50-day MA of 46.42, and above the 200-day MA of 49.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DFIN.

Donnelley Financial Solutions Risk Analysis

Donnelley Financial Solutions disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Donnelley Financial Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Donnelley Financial Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.90B2.9625.95%1.47%
70
Outperform
$890.91M9.3421.89%56.68%159.90%
64
Neutral
$966.32M9.048.66%-1.05%-56.42%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$1.00B-11.5310.36%0.99%18.88%26.40%
56
Neutral
$1.76B214.94-8.69%1.62%-30.35%
54
Neutral
$70.42M-9.93-6.18%-3.91%-129.85%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DFIN
Donnelley Financial Solutions
39.34
-15.82
-28.68%
OPY
Oppenheimer Holdings
91.90
27.82
43.42%
SIEB
Siebert Financial
1.88
-3.35
-64.05%
TIGR
Up Fintech Holding
5.10
-3.44
-40.28%
PWP
Perella Weinberg Partners
18.38
0.93
5.32%
MRX
Marex Group plc
53.54
9.69
22.11%

Donnelley Financial Solutions Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Donnelley Financial unveils leadership overhaul to drive growth
Positive
May 14, 2026
On May 14, 2026, DFIN announced a leadership overhaul aimed at advancing its sales transformation, appointing veteran financial data executive Ken Napolitano as its first Chief Revenue Officer effective June 1, 2026, and moving Eric Johnson into a...
Stock Buyback
Donnelley Financial Launches New $150 Million Share Buyback
Positive
Apr 21, 2026
On April 16, 2026, Donnelley Financial Solutions’ board authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $150 million of its outstanding common stock, effective from April 17, 2026, through December 31, 2027. The program replaces a prior $...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026