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Janus Henderson Group (JHG)
:JHG

Janus Henderson Group (JHG) AI Stock Analysis

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JH

Janus Henderson Group

(NYSE:JHG)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$42.00
▲(13.98%Upside)
Janus Henderson Group demonstrates strong financial positioning with solid profitability and effective management, which is further supported by positive earnings call insights. Technical indicators are neutral, suggesting moderate momentum, while the valuation remains attractive. The company's strategic initiatives and shareholder returns bolster investor confidence despite broader market challenges.
Positive Factors
Business strategy
JHG is on a unique growth path due to its differentiated product offerings and strength in the retail channel which should drive sustained, positive organic growth.
Strategic partnerships
The Guardian partnership also gives JHG greater credibility to win even more third-party insurance AUM.
Negative Factors
Earnings projections
The adjusted EPS for 2025 is expected to decrease by 0.8% due to softer revenues resulting from lower assets under management.
Revenue challenges
The 2026 adjusted EPS is projected to decrease by 0.5% as a result of lower revenues slightly offset by reduced expenses.

Janus Henderson Group (JHG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Janus Henderson Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJanus Henderson Group (JHG) is a global asset management group that provides a wide range of investment solutions to institutional and retail clients worldwide. The company operates in the financial services sector, offering core products and services that include equities, fixed income, multi-asset, and alternative asset classes. Janus Henderson is known for its active management approach, aiming to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyJanus Henderson Group makes money primarily through the management fees it charges on the assets it manages. These fees are calculated as a percentage of the assets under management (AUM) and are the company's main source of revenue. Additionally, Janus Henderson may also earn performance fees, which are contingent upon achieving specific investment performance benchmarks. The company benefits from economies of scale, as increasing AUM can lead to higher revenues without a proportional increase in costs. Furthermore, partnerships with financial advisors, broker-dealers, and institutional investors play a significant role in expanding its client base and increasing assets under management, thereby enhancing revenue potential.

Janus Henderson Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.21%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Janus Henderson showed resilience with consistent positive net flows and strong investment performance amid market volatility. Strategic growth through partnerships and financial returns to shareholders were notable, though challenges remain in equity flows and AUM decline.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Positive Net Flows
Janus Henderson delivered a fourth consecutive quarter of positive net flows, reflecting a 44% increase in year-over-year gross sales. Net inflows for the quarter were $2 billion, compared to net inflows of $3.3 billion last quarter and an improvement over net outflows of $3 billion a year ago.
Strong Investment Performance
Despite short-term volatility, at least 65% of assets beat respective benchmarks on a three, five, and ten-year basis. Over 70% of AUM is in the top two Morningstar quartiles over all-time periods.
Strategic Partnership with Guardian Life
The partnership with Guardian Life includes managing a $45 billion investment-grade public fixed-income portfolio and a $400 million seed capital commitment, expanding Janus Henderson's fixed-income AUM significantly.
Financial Growth and Shareholder Returns
Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.79 marks an 11% increase from the first quarter of 2024. A 3% increase in quarterly dividend and a new share buyback authorization of up to $200 million were announced.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Assets Under Management
Assets under management decreased by 1% to $373.2 billion due to market declines, despite being partially offset by positive net flows and favorable currency adjustments.
Negative Performance Fees
First-quarter performance fees were negative $4 million, albeit an improvement from negative $13 million a year ago.
Equity Flows Challenges
Equity flows were negative $4.2 billion, exacerbated by market dislocation and risk-off sentiment.
Company Guidance
During the Janus Henderson Group's first-quarter 2025 results briefing, the company reported a slight 1% decrease in assets under management (AUM) to $373.2 billion, despite significant market challenges. Positive net flows of $2 billion and favorable currency adjustments helped offset market declines. The company achieved a 44% year-over-year increase in gross sales and maintained positive net flows for the fourth consecutive quarter. Over 70% of AUM was in the top two Morningstar quartiles across all time periods, indicating strong investment performance. Janus Henderson's adjusted diluted EPS increased by 11% to $0.79 compared to Q1 2024, and the company announced a 3% dividend increase alongside a new $200 million share buyback authorization. The strategic partnership with Guardian Life Insurance Company will manage a $45 billion investment-grade public fixed-income portfolio, expected to lower the aggregate net management fee rate by 5 to 6 basis points once fully onboarded.

Janus Henderson Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Janus Henderson Group exhibits solid financial health, characterized by strong profitability margins and a robust balance sheet with minimal leverage. The company demonstrates effective cost management and strong equity positioning, providing a stable foundation for future growth despite modest revenue growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a stable financial performance with a strong gross profit margin at around 71.2% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin stands at 15.7%, reflecting healthy profitability. Revenue growth was modest, increasing by 1.9% from the previous year. EBIT margin is strong at 27.3%, while EBITDA margin is slightly lower at 21.5%, suggesting good operational efficiency. Overall, the company exhibits solid profitability and efficiency, though revenue growth is modest.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating minimal financial leverage and a strong equity base. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM is 8.4%, showing effective use of shareholder funds to generate profit. The equity ratio is high at 66.0%, suggesting a strong reliance on equity financing, which enhances financial stability. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with low leverage and effective capital management.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement demonstrates strong cash generation capabilities, with a free cash flow growth rate of 0.9% over the last year, indicating stable cash flow performance. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.77, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.75, both reflecting efficient cash conversion from earnings. Overall, cash flows are healthy and indicative of strong liquidity management, although growth is modest.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.52B2.47B2.10B2.20B2.77B2.30B
Gross Profit
1.79B1.76B1.46B1.59B2.07B1.68B
EBIT
688.60M645.70M483.70M489.80M823.40M717.20M
EBITDA
540.70M654.40M550.00M557.30M983.50M766.40M
Net Income Common Stockholders
395.70M399.00M392.00M274.50M620.00M130.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.08B2.07B1.88B1.16B1.56B1.59B
Total Assets
7.12B6.96B6.50B6.24B6.74B6.69B
Total Debt
395.20M486.50M382.50M332.00M310.40M458.50M
Net Debt
-688.40M-748.30M-785.60M-830.30M-796.90M-649.60M
Total Liabilities
1.76B1.88B1.64B1.64B1.91B1.87B
Stockholders Equity
4.69B4.59B4.54B4.36B4.66B4.72B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
690.60M684.50M430.80M455.70M885.00M627.90M
Operating Cash Flow
698.90M694.60M441.60M473.30M895.40M645.70M
Investing Cash Flow
-457.70M-285.40M-328.90M58.50M-283.30M129.40M
Financing Cash Flow
-65.60M-324.40M-151.90M-419.10M-588.10M-491.00M

Janus Henderson Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.85
Price Trends
50DMA
34.55
Positive
100DMA
37.51
Negative
200DMA
38.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Positive
RSI
55.11
Neutral
STOCH
71.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JHG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.04, above the 50-day MA of 34.55, and below the 200-day MA of 38.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JHG.

Janus Henderson Group Risk Analysis

Janus Henderson Group disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Janus Henderson Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Janus Henderson Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
FHFHI
80
Outperform
$3.36B11.9624.98%3.20%2.32%1.08%
ABAB
76
Outperform
$4.47B10.9020.69%7.92%53.17%
JHJHG
76
Outperform
$5.81B14.668.55%4.34%17.41%-4.75%
AMAMG
74
Outperform
$5.21B14.3812.81%0.02%-6.37%-28.43%
IVIVZ
74
Outperform
$6.63B11.865.50%5.67%5.69%
CGCG
73
Outperform
$16.91B15.8220.38%2.99%81.86%
64
Neutral
$12.85B9.817.79%78.20%12.23%-7.93%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JHG
Janus Henderson Group
36.85
5.45
17.36%
AMG
Affiliated Managers
183.15
34.79
23.45%
AB
AllianceBernstein
40.42
10.25
33.97%
FHI
Federated Hermes
42.36
11.74
38.34%
IVZ
Invesco
15.07
1.20
8.65%
CG
Carlyle Group
47.43
9.51
25.08%

Janus Henderson Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Janus Henderson COO James Lowry to Step Down
Neutral
May 16, 2025

James R. Lowry will step down as Global Chief Operating Officer of Janus Henderson Group plc effective May 31, 2025. A Settlement Agreement will provide him with certain benefits, including a pro-rated bonus for 2025, with his departure finalized by August 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (JHG) stock is a Buy with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Janus Henderson Group stock, see the JHG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Janus Henderson Group Announces New CEO Agreement
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 9, 2025, Janus Henderson Group plc announced a new employment agreement with CEO Ali Dibadj, effective May 12, 2025, to retain him for the next five years. The agreement includes a base salary of $725,000 and a performance-based variable compensation program, with a special award to align the CEO’s interests with shareholders and enhance retention.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.